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EDIT: MASSIVE BREAKOUT! Bitcoin has been sideways for two months now and seller exhaustion on-chain is at record lows. Then you look at altcoins. The 20 week just fell below the 200 week. Last two times that happened were 2019 and 2023 bottoms. Post QT normalization, PMI turning, bottom... show more

Dan Gambardello

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27,017 views • 10 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50

The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50

Dan Gambardello

31,597 views • 5 months ago

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55

Dan Gambardello

30,451 views • 2 months ago

The 4-year cycle says Bitcoin will bottom in October. Bitcoin priced in gold says it may have already bottomed...back above the 20-week MA, the same move that confirmed the 2018 and 2022 lows. Copper vs gold also bottomed. Russell 2000 at all-time highs. PMI expanding. QT over, and altcoin dominance trending up with the business cycle, the same sequence as last cycle. What if Bitcoin is mid-cycle, not late-cycle, and altcoins are getting ready to exit a 5-year bear market? Prepare for both scenarios. But the business cycle is the engine. Intro 00:00 The beginning 2:10 Bitcoin Gold bottom 3:00 Copper, Russell Business cycle 7:00 Altcoins and PMI 9:30

The 4-year cycle says Bitcoin will bottom in October. Bitcoin priced in gold says it may have already bottomed...back above the 20-week MA, the same move that confirmed the 2018 and 2022 lows. Copper vs gold also bottomed. Russell 2000 at all-time highs. PMI expanding. QT over, and altcoin dominance trending up with the business cycle, the same sequence as last cycle. What if Bitcoin is mid-cycle, not late-cycle, and altcoins are getting ready to exit a 5-year bear market? Prepare for both scenarios. But the business cycle is the engine. Intro 00:00 The beginning 2:10 Bitcoin Gold bottom 3:00 Copper, Russell Business cycle 7:00 Altcoins and PMI 9:30

Dan Gambardello

26,873 views • 1 month ago

It's a massive week with Kevin Warsh speaking for first time, as well as peace deal on the 19th. All while crypto forms a record setting bottom. 196 days post-QT, altcoins down -46% with no bull market yet. Last cycle at this point we were down -75%... The only difference is the length of QT we had to sit through. Business cycle turning, new Fed chair, CLARITY and GENIUS Acts, institutions onboarding. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin caution 1:20 S&P 500 and altcoins 5:40 Ethereum bottom 7:40

It's a massive week with Kevin Warsh speaking for first time, as well as peace deal on the 19th. All while crypto forms a record setting bottom. 196 days post-QT, altcoins down -46% with no bull market yet. Last cycle at this point we were down -75%... The only difference is the length of QT we had to sit through. Business cycle turning, new Fed chair, CLARITY and GENIUS Acts, institutions onboarding. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin caution 1:20 S&P 500 and altcoins 5:40 Ethereum bottom 7:40

Dan Gambardello

13,686 views • 2 months ago

ALTCOINS Might Outperform Bitcoin Sooner Than You Think. I was digging into the OTHERS/BTC chart and didn't expect to see what I found. Small caps vs Bitcoin are sitting in a spot that looks very similar to mid-2019...right after QT ended, while PMI was still contracting. Back then, PMI kept getting worse for months…but altcoins quietly stopped falling against Bitcoin anyway. This is what really surprised me. Not saying it has to repeat. Short term can still be messy, as PMI just printed lower, and is still ugly. And wait until you see what PMI respondents said for December. But it's interesting how often the relative turn happens before the macro data feels better. This video is me walking through that relationship...business cycles, liquidity, BTC dominance, and why this area matters. Intro 00:00 PMI print was not good, but… 2:00 Liquidity vs. business cycle 7:20 Surprising altcoin chart 8:40

ALTCOINS Might Outperform Bitcoin Sooner Than You Think. I was digging into the OTHERS/BTC chart and didn't expect to see what I found. Small caps vs Bitcoin are sitting in a spot that looks very similar to mid-2019...right after QT ended, while PMI was still contracting. Back then, PMI kept getting worse for months…but altcoins quietly stopped falling against Bitcoin anyway. This is what really surprised me. Not saying it has to repeat. Short term can still be messy, as PMI just printed lower, and is still ugly. And wait until you see what PMI respondents said for December. But it's interesting how often the relative turn happens before the macro data feels better. This video is me walking through that relationship...business cycles, liquidity, BTC dominance, and why this area matters. Intro 00:00 PMI print was not good, but… 2:00 Liquidity vs. business cycle 7:20 Surprising altcoin chart 8:40

Dan Gambardello

30,635 views • 7 months ago

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Bitcoin just touched the 50 month moving average for the 4th time ever. 2015 bottom zone. 2018 the bottom. 2022 the bottom. 2026 right now. The 20 week moving average sits at $71,000. Every prior bear market bottom was confirmed the same way: reclaim the 20 week, test the 50 week, bottom was in. If Bitcoin makes that move sooner rather than later, the "Q4 bottom" thesis doesn't have months left to be proven right. It has weeks. I respect the 4 year cycle analysis and consider the possibilities. But PMI just flipped to expansion, copper/gold is breaking out, and every prior time that combination showed up, a crypto bull market followed. Both theories about to be tested at the same time. We're about to find out which cycle Bitcoin actually answers to.

Dan Gambardello

23,799 views • 2 months ago

PMI just printed 52.6! Last time we were here was June 2022. But that was the beginning of QT and beginning of the bear. This time, we're at the END of QT and beginning of new business cycle. With a new Fed chair incoming. With inflation cratering below 1%. Crypto has never traded from this macro setup. Ever. While there is still reason to be cautious during post-QT normalization, the next 2 PMI prints will tell us a lot. Intro 00:00 PMI print and meaning 1:15 What is PMI? 3:00 FED and QE 8:45 Gold and crypto bull market 12:15 Altcoins oversold and PMI 13:30 Bitcoin indicator to watch 16:00

PMI just printed 52.6! Last time we were here was June 2022. But that was the beginning of QT and beginning of the bear. This time, we're at the END of QT and beginning of new business cycle. With a new Fed chair incoming. With inflation cratering below 1%. Crypto has never traded from this macro setup. Ever. While there is still reason to be cautious during post-QT normalization, the next 2 PMI prints will tell us a lot. Intro 00:00 PMI print and meaning 1:15 What is PMI? 3:00 FED and QE 8:45 Gold and crypto bull market 12:15 Altcoins oversold and PMI 13:30 Bitcoin indicator to watch 16:00

Dan Gambardello

56,982 views • 6 months ago

🚨 THE SIGNAL THAT MARKED EVERY BITCOIN BOTTOM IS BACK Gold has topped, and the ISM has just entered expansion once again. This is exactly what happened in 2016 and 2020 before a massive run. We haven't seen this pattern in six years, but it's here now. Many traders wish they had bought in 2016 and 2020. Bitcoin is giving you another chance. Take it while you still can. Don't miss this again.

🚨 THE SIGNAL THAT MARKED EVERY BITCOIN BOTTOM IS BACK Gold has topped, and the ISM has just entered expansion once again. This is exactly what happened in 2016 and 2020 before a massive run. We haven't seen this pattern in six years, but it's here now. Many traders wish they had bought in 2016 and 2020. Bitcoin is giving you another chance. Take it while you still can. Don't miss this again.

Coinvo Trading

16,821 views • 6 months ago

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

Dan Gambardello

65,274 views • 6 months ago

🚨 SOMETHING VERY BAD IS HAPPENING!! Congress is leaving for summer recess until September. And the Clarity Act has been DELAYED again. Last time this happened, $BTC crashed: $97K → $61K (-38%) Now Bitcoin has already dropped: $67K → $63K But I don’t think the real dump has even started yet. You were warned. I’ve spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles, and I’ve called major tops and bottoms across Bitcoin, Gold, Silver, Oil, and SpaceX. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Follow and turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SOMETHING VERY BAD IS HAPPENING!! Congress is leaving for summer recess until September. And the Clarity Act has been DELAYED again. Last time this happened, $BTC crashed: $97K → $61K (-38%) Now Bitcoin has already dropped: $67K → $63K But I don’t think the real dump has even started yet. You were warned. I’ve spent more than a decade studying macro and market cycles, and I’ve called major tops and bottoms across Bitcoin, Gold, Silver, Oil, and SpaceX. When I start buying Bitcoin again, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Follow and turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Wimar.X

70,294 views • 21 days ago

Bitcoin is starting to print the same structure that marked the end of the last bear market. After the 2021 top, Bitcoin lost the 200 Week Moving Average. What followed was a brutal bear market. But here's what happened next... Price slowly built a rounded base beneath the 200 Week Moving Average. Everyone expected another leg lower. Instead, Bitcoin reclaimed the 200 Week Moving Average... And the next bull market began. Now look at 2026. Bitcoin has once again lost the 200 Week Moving Average. And it's beginning to build a very similar rounded base. The reclaim hasn't happened yet. But if history starts to repeat... That could be the signal the bear market is finally coming to an end.

Bitcoin is starting to print the same structure that marked the end of the last bear market. After the 2021 top, Bitcoin lost the 200 Week Moving Average. What followed was a brutal bear market. But here's what happened next... Price slowly built a rounded base beneath the 200 Week Moving Average. Everyone expected another leg lower. Instead, Bitcoin reclaimed the 200 Week Moving Average... And the next bull market began. Now look at 2026. Bitcoin has once again lost the 200 Week Moving Average. And it's beginning to build a very similar rounded base. The reclaim hasn't happened yet. But if history starts to repeat... That could be the signal the bear market is finally coming to an end.

Mister Crypto

22,509 views • 1 month ago

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING Congress is leaving for summer recess until September. The Clarity Act has been delayed again. Last time this happened, Bitcoin crashed: $97K → $61K (-38%). Now Bitcoin has already fallen: $67K → $63K And the real collapse hasn’t even started yet. You were warned. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying Bitcoin, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING Congress is leaving for summer recess until September. The Clarity Act has been delayed again. Last time this happened, Bitcoin crashed: $97K → $61K (-38%). Now Bitcoin has already fallen: $67K → $63K And the real collapse hasn’t even started yet. You were warned. Reminder: I’ve called every major market top and bottom for the last 15 years, including the tops in Gold and Silver, the collapse in Oil, the SpaceX drop, and Bitcoin’s crash. When I start buying Bitcoin, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

190,603 views • 25 days ago

WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS? $60K was probably the $BTC bottom, and that too based on the 4-year cycle. Each cycle, BTC has made a new ATH. And the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH. In Jan 2017, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in December 2018. In December 2020, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in November 2022. This cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024. If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in Feb 2026 (23 months). And there are other things too supporting this. During the Feb 2026 dump: - Weekly RSI hit a 4-year low - The sentiment index went to its lowest ever - Retest of the 2021 cycle ATH All these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin, and maybe "THIS TIME IT'S NOT DIFFERENT."

WHY IS NO ONE TALKING ABOUT THIS? $60K was probably the $BTC bottom, and that too based on the 4-year cycle. Each cycle, BTC has made a new ATH. And the bottom happened exactly 23 months after making a new ATH. In Jan 2017, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in December 2018. In December 2020, Bitcoin made a new ATH. The bottom happened exactly 23 months later, in November 2022. This cycle, Bitcoin made a new ATH in March 2024. If it goes by history, the bottom has already happened in Feb 2026 (23 months). And there are other things too supporting this. During the Feb 2026 dump: - Weekly RSI hit a 4-year low - The sentiment index went to its lowest ever - Retest of the 2021 cycle ATH All these things combined have previously marked the bottom for Bitcoin, and maybe "THIS TIME IT'S NOT DIFFERENT."

Ash Crypto

248,949 views • 4 months ago

🚨 Bitcoin just entered the transition phase. When price sits between the 200 day and the 50 week moving average. Every past transition led straight into a bull phase. 2015, 2019, 2023. Look at the returns after each one. But here's the key. It only confirms a full bull market once it breaks and holds above the 50 week. Right now $BTC is right in that zone. Not confirmed yet. Break the 50 week, and the run is ON.

🚨 Bitcoin just entered the transition phase. When price sits between the 200 day and the 50 week moving average. Every past transition led straight into a bull phase. 2015, 2019, 2023. Look at the returns after each one. But here's the key. It only confirms a full bull market once it breaks and holds above the 50 week. Right now $BTC is right in that zone. Not confirmed yet. Break the 50 week, and the run is ON.

CryptoGoos

169,298 views • 3 days ago

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 BITCOIN FOLLOWS THIS PATTERN FOR 12 YEARS Everyone says the cycle is dead. But the chart says the opposite. Bitcoin has followed the same timing pattern for more than a DECADE../ Cycle top → 1430 days. Cycle bottom → 1460 days. This happened in 2013. This happened in 2017. This happened in 2021. This happened in 2025. Now Bitcoin is following the same structure one more time. The last major top came almost exactly on schedule, around 1431 days after the previous cycle top. That is not random. That is the cycle repeating. Now the next major low is projected around 1460 days from the last cycle bottom. That means the final dump is not chaos. It is part of the same pattern Bitcoin has followed for years. People will call it panic. People will call it the end. But historically, this is where Bitcoin creates the next bottom. Same timing. Same structure. Same cycle. Final bottom: 2026. Then the next expansion starts. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

28,699 views • 3 months ago

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

606,809 views • 2 months ago

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Everything is going according to the plan. 2018 → 2022 → 2026 Bitcoin cycle bottom will look exactly like this. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

32,174 views • 2 months ago

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64k and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66k–$67k range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58k 4. Drop to $54k 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

🚨 BITCOIN IS IN THE FINAL PHASE BEFORE A MASSIVE DUMP Today, Bitcoin continues moving lower, dropping below $64k and losing 50% from its ATH. The 1st and 2nd major phases are finished. Now comes the third. Here’s my Bitcoin roadmap for the next 3 months: 1. Bounce back to the $66k–$67k range 2. Brief consolidation 3. Dump below $58k 4. Drop to $54k 5. Peak panic phase 6. Cycle bottom in October–November The only thing you need to understand now: The bear market is not over yet. We are about to witness how market cycle bottoms form once again. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

342,329 views • 1 month ago

Mark my words. Bitcoin will close the FVG at $67K. Then the real move begins. Here is how Bitcoin plays out from here: - Rally to $67K - 10–14 days of distribution - Dump below $58K - Flush to $47K - Final bottom test in the $37K–$45K zone Most people think the bear market is over. The final capitulation phase has not even started. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Mark my words. Bitcoin will close the FVG at $67K. Then the real move begins. Here is how Bitcoin plays out from here: - Rally to $67K - 10–14 days of distribution - Dump below $58K - Flush to $47K - Final bottom test in the $37K–$45K zone Most people think the bear market is over. The final capitulation phase has not even started. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

261,726 views • 1 month ago