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Elon Musk on full self-driving: “Nothing like that has ever happened before.” “Nothing like that has ever happened before. There is no analogy. There's never been something where a software update increased the value of a gigantic asset base by a factor of like 500% to 1000%. So it's...

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ELON ON FSD: MOST PEOPLE DON’T UNDERSTAND WHAT’S ABOUT TO HAPPEN “Almost the entire fleet, which will pass 10 million vehicles next year, is capable of full autonomy. So, even without the Cybercab, we still actually have a gigantic fleet that is capable of being autonomous. And the thing about being an autonomous car is that it can be used much more than a car that is not autonomous. A typical passenger vehicle car will be used about 10 hours a week. If you have a car that's a robot car that can drive autonomously, it can now be used potentially for 80, maybe 100 hours a week. So, you could have a car that has 10 times the usefulness of a non-autonomous car, but it still costs the same. In fact, the fleet is already built, so the software update just enables that capability. Overnight you have an increase in usefulness of 10 million cars that suddenly become like 50 million cars or maybe 80 or 100 million cars of usefulness overnight. That's a profound thing. Nothing like that has ever happened before. There is no analogy. There's never been something where a software update increase the value of a gigantic asset base by a factor of like 500 to 1000%. So, it's very difficult for people in the stock market, especially those that look in the rearview mirror, which is most people, to imagine a future where suddenly a 10 million vehicle fleet has 5 to 10 times the usefulness. It's so profound and there's no comparison with anything in the past, so it doesn’t compute. But it will compute in the future.” Source: Tesla All-Hands, March 2025

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1,597,274 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

Curtis Yarvin on how "the Left" has executed population replacement in the White Dominions as a "stalk and charge." "This is a predator... [and] they're starting to speed run...mass immigration is not 2 million people entering the US a year...[it's] 10... to 100 million a year" This clip of Yarvin (Curtis Yarvin), a political blogger and software developer (according to Wikipedia), is taken from a conversation with Peter McCormack (Peter McCormack 🏴‍☠️🇬🇧🇮🇪) posted to McCormack's eponymous YouTube channel on February 23, 2026. ---------------Partial transcription of clip---------------- "You might think that people getting red-pilled in various ways is something that would really put a stop to this craziness of population replacement. Oh, no, actually it's quite very much the reverse. "Because there's something anyone who's totally lost faith in the Left, in a way, they have many complaints with the Left. But it all boils down to, you basically recognize that this is not a vegetarian thing. This is a predator, right? "And so this is a predator. And so when a predator such as a lion is hunting, there are basically two phases of the pursuit. There's the stalk and the charge. And the stalk is like, well, nobody really knows what's going on here. Like, let's take the demographic replacement in the U.S. It's from the, you know, the 1965 Immigration Act. And politicians swore up and down that this was not what it, what it was. Basically, since that act, basically it's brought like 100 million people from the third world into the US, right? "Something like that. Solid, solid numbers like that. And, but in order to sort of do that, you know, you couldn't have this giant boat lift where, you know, some gigantic version of the Empire Windrush brought 100 million people at the same time. It's more a case of like, you know, slowly, slowly, catchy, catchy fish, right? You know, where you're kind of tickling it and you're like, oh yeah, oh yeah, our friends from, you know, we're open, our hearts are welcoming, right? "You know, like all of this, like, you know, stuff that's just of course, unbelievably sinister because it's sort of trading on people's goodwill and people's good wishes. It's like this con. But the thing is, when people, when enough people see the con, and all of these systems are incentive-based, they're not based on planning, the Left is not run by some cabal. It's incentives that drive things. "What you're seeing, especially in what used to be called the white dominions, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, especially is you're seeing they're starting to speed run, they're starting to come out of their crouch and basically just be like, yeah, actually we're, I mean in the 21st century, I think they've increased the population of Canada by like 35%. Right? "And so even that is small. Even that is small. The Spanish government was just like, we're going to legalize 500,000. Oh, but that's just an estimate. That's just an estimate of how many people that plan will suck in it probably will be more like over a million. Right. "And so you know and those people are Schengen. They can go anywhere in Europe and you will see them do that and the like and and so what you could see in the US if basically the next time Democrats win the presidency people go on about like mass immigration. Like no, we've not seen mass immigration. You have no idea what mass immigration is. "Mass Immigration is not 2 million people entering the US a year. Mass immigration starts I I would call it mass until it was like 10 a year. And like mass immigration is really the 10 to 50 to 100 million a year. But that's what could spark civil war. No, no— I don't know I'm seeing it here. No because people have no balls. People have no balls—"

Sense Receptor

246,748 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

EVERYONE needs to be aware how SIGNIFICANT the Wisconsin Supreme Court election is This election decides who controls The House of Representatives and Voter ID Elon Musk “The single biggest challenge, I think is actually just making people aware that there is this very important election. There's both the very important election for Judge Schimel as well as the deciding on, on adding voter ID to the Wisconsin Constitution institution, which is very, very important. So it's quite shocking ,you can sort of tell where voter fraud is happening, where they ban id, you know, like why would you ban, ID like in New York and California, it's like illegal to show idea at an election. Well, why would, I can't imagine why that would be the case…. So, two really important things is to ensure judicial integrity on Tuesday and then the voter ID thing It's April Fool's Day. So I think most people aren't aware, like I said, most people aren't aware that there is this important election, but there most people don't even know that there's an election at all. Or if they do, they aren't sure exactly when and where it is. — They don't realize just how important it is. They think it, it's, well it's just, you know, some kind of judicial thing that's not that important. But it actually, what they're doing, what's happening on Tuesday is a vote for the, the which party controls the U.S house of House of Representatives. That is why it is so, so significant and whichever party controls the house, to a significant degree controls the country, which then steers the course of Western civilization. So it's like, I feel like this is one of those things that, that may not seem that it's gonna affect the entire destiny of humanity, — it's a super, it's a super big deal. The fact that I'm here in person, like I'm not phoning it in. I'm here in person”

Wall Street Apes

51,280 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr