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Ana Sayfaya Dön

Equity Trading Through Counterparty Analysis and Edge This presents a framework for successful discretionary long/short equity trading that centers on counterparty analysis rather than abstract valuation alone. A trader must constantly ask who is on the other side of the transaction and why they are willing to trade at... show more

TheValueist

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170,947 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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USDJPY analysis I sent out to the private group last night; The amount of analysis that goes into my trades is a lot more than just looking at candles on the chart. Being a good analyst does not equate to being a good trader, analysis and execution are two separate skill sets.

USDJPY analysis I sent out to the private group last night; The amount of analysis that goes into my trades is a lot more than just looking at candles on the chart. Being a good analyst does not equate to being a good trader, analysis and execution are two separate skill sets.

The MMXM Trader

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Correlations in trading analysis are often overlooked. Be the trader who looks at multiple data points for clues on where your edge lies. ✅ More data = Better signals. you do this via interactive charts and overlays. Here's an example with a simple win-rate chart on the TradesViz | Trading Performance Analysis dashboard: Q: Does a higher win rate mean better performance? A: The chart alone says so. But overlays and data insights say otherwise.... 💡 Insight: "Looking at this in another way, if we take the overall ranges such that it maximizes your winrate, that would be between 0:00:10 and 0:05:00 where your average winrate is 58% but this seems to bring in a loss of -$1,571.49" When you check the pnl overlay, we see that the highest overall pnl was for trade duration between 2 to 7 days. But win-rate? ~60% only. 100% of other journals miss this. 90% of educators ignore these types of correlations. This is why a meticulous approach to trading analysis is irreplaceable. All the more reason why TradesViz | Trading Performance Analysis should be a part of every trader's arsenal and daily review. The above example was ONE insight from ONE chart. TradesViz has 100s of such charts and insights. Knowledge is wealth. It couldn't be more true in this day and age - especially to traders :) #NTUpartner

Correlations in trading analysis are often overlooked. Be the trader who looks at multiple data points for clues on where your edge lies. ✅ More data = Better signals. you do this via interactive charts and overlays. Here's an example with a simple win-rate chart on the TradesViz | Trading Performance Analysis dashboard: Q: Does a higher win rate mean better performance? A: The chart alone says so. But overlays and data insights say otherwise.... 💡 Insight: "Looking at this in another way, if we take the overall ranges such that it maximizes your winrate, that would be between 0:00:10 and 0:05:00 where your average winrate is 58% but this seems to bring in a loss of -$1,571.49" When you check the pnl overlay, we see that the highest overall pnl was for trade duration between 2 to 7 days. But win-rate? ~60% only. 100% of other journals miss this. 90% of educators ignore these types of correlations. This is why a meticulous approach to trading analysis is irreplaceable. All the more reason why TradesViz | Trading Performance Analysis should be a part of every trader's arsenal and daily review. The above example was ONE insight from ONE chart. TradesViz has 100s of such charts and insights. Knowledge is wealth. It couldn't be more true in this day and age - especially to traders :) #NTUpartner

Steve Burns

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TheValueist

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RIPS

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#WATCH | Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu: On the DMK's allegations of horse-trading, Congress MP Praveen Chakravarty says, “This is a matter between the ADMK and the TVK; it is their internal matter. Second, this is about MLAs resigning and joining another party on their own, so this is not horse-trading. Horse-trading is when the DMK—a former minister of the DMK and a current MLA—is reportedly offering money to TVK MLAs to get them to vote against their own government. That is horse-trading. This is when MLAs are leaving on their own for whatever reasons. That is not horse-trading; that is actually horse-racing, because they want to get onto a better horse…”

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ANI

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This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

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VALIX

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This trader built a trading bot with Claude and made $295,000 on Polymarket His bot makes 28.8 trades per hour or 1.58 trades per minute and trades the structure of related markets around the same underlying asset price His strategy is simple: > Compares the current ETH/SOL/XRP price with the price on Polymarket > Buys when it sees a gap between fair probability and the order book price > Uses arbitrage if there is edge This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he generates consistent profit and grows his capital

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VALIX

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VALIX

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The best signal is sometimes NO signal. That is why I do not trade when Intelligent Balance shows less than 60%. Below 60% means one thing to me: NO CLEAR EDGE. And that is exactly where most traders destroy their account. They see a sweep. They see an iFVG. They see CISD. They convince themselves there is a trade. But without a strong more probable side, the setup has no real filter. For me: 60%+ = I have a side to focus on. Below 60% = I protect capital. Simple. Intelligent Balance is not only there to tell me where to trade. It is there to tell me when NOT to trade. Because forcing trades in a low-edge environment is not trading. It is gambling with extra steps. Would you skip a session if the indicator told you there is no clear edge?

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Herman Trading

18,993 görüntüleme • 25 gün önce

Today The Arena rolls out the next evolution of social trading! Introducing Copy Trading Here’s how it works 👇 Automatically copy any trader of Arena perps on Hyperliquid. Check the sentiment around the trader based on their recent trades and pledge a certain amount to copy trade them. Determine how much you want to pledge to copy a specific trader. When the trader puts in the trade, we calculate what percentage of their total portfolio is on the line and we mirror that percentage based on the funds you’ve pledged. Each time the trader initiates a trade, funds will automatically be deployed to copy the trade. Even if it’s the middle of the night and you’re fast asleep, never miss another profitable trade! For example, if you pledge $1,000 to copy a trader and they put 5% of their portfolio on a trade, $50 will be automatically deployed on the same trade. Traders earn fees from their copy traders after each profitable trade. The only action that will not be copied is adding additional margin, but we will still give the copy traders the option to manually add more margin very soon. If you’re a profitable trader, gain a following and get rewarded for making others money. If you are not a profitable trader, level up today by copying some of the best traders on a transparent leaderboard. Earn more, trade less. Only on The Arena ⚔️

Today The Arena rolls out the next evolution of social trading! Introducing Copy Trading Here’s how it works 👇 Automatically copy any trader of Arena perps on Hyperliquid. Check the sentiment around the trader based on their recent trades and pledge a certain amount to copy trade them. Determine how much you want to pledge to copy a specific trader. When the trader puts in the trade, we calculate what percentage of their total portfolio is on the line and we mirror that percentage based on the funds you’ve pledged. Each time the trader initiates a trade, funds will automatically be deployed to copy the trade. Even if it’s the middle of the night and you’re fast asleep, never miss another profitable trade! For example, if you pledge $1,000 to copy a trader and they put 5% of their portfolio on a trade, $50 will be automatically deployed on the same trade. Traders earn fees from their copy traders after each profitable trade. The only action that will not be copied is adding additional margin, but we will still give the copy traders the option to manually add more margin very soon. If you’re a profitable trader, gain a following and get rewarded for making others money. If you are not a profitable trader, level up today by copying some of the best traders on a transparent leaderboard. Earn more, trade less. Only on The Arena ⚔️

The Arena ⚔️

13,290 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

EDGE REVEALED: How an Ex-Jane Street Trader Finds Edge in Markets & Life Agustin Lebron Agustin Lebron (former Jane Street trader, author of The Laws of Trading, now working at an AI startup applying reinforcement learning to market execution) breaks down what edge really means — and how to find yours in trading, careers & life. “Edge is something that either you know or you can do that the marginal participant in that market either doesn’t or can’t.” We cover: - What edge actually means & how Jane Street builds organizational edge (their worst skill is still "pretty decent") - Why you can never truly know if you have edge — the statistical vs intuitive approaches - The consolidation of quant trading: from dozens of options firms to a handful of giants - The gamblification of everything — retail trading, sports betting & prediction markets fueling quant profits - What it was like having Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) as a Jane Street intern: "Day one, I'm going to ask all the questions" - How to apply edge thinking to your own career: find what you're differentially good at - Raising teenagers in the AI age: why the traditional path still works, but other paths are opening up 00:00 Introduction 00:44 What is edge in financial markets 01:43 Jane Street and organizational structures for quant trading 03:46 Identifying and validating edge in trading 06:22 Navigating extreme market events and volatility 09:37 Future of quant trading and consolidation 12:15 Why quant firm profits have increased 14:42 The gamblization of everything 15:55 Who should pursue a career in quant trading 18:19 Applying the concept of edge to career and life decisions 20:56 Advice for interns to excel in quant trading 23:44 Predicting long-term success in trading interns 25:08 Sam Bankman-Fried as an intern and FTX reflections 28:15 Reasons people leave Jane Street and what they do next 31:19 Advice for young people in a changing world 36:09 Navigating job insecurity in tech-driven roles 38:55 Where to live if you want to be successful 40:28 Raising kids for a rapidly changing future 42:55 Questions young people should ask themselves 44:45 Outro and book recommendation

EDGE REVEALED: How an Ex-Jane Street Trader Finds Edge in Markets & Life Agustin Lebron Agustin Lebron (former Jane Street trader, author of The Laws of Trading, now working at an AI startup applying reinforcement learning to market execution) breaks down what edge really means — and how to find yours in trading, careers & life. “Edge is something that either you know or you can do that the marginal participant in that market either doesn’t or can’t.” We cover: - What edge actually means & how Jane Street builds organizational edge (their worst skill is still "pretty decent") - Why you can never truly know if you have edge — the statistical vs intuitive approaches - The consolidation of quant trading: from dozens of options firms to a handful of giants - The gamblification of everything — retail trading, sports betting & prediction markets fueling quant profits - What it was like having Sam Bankman-Fried (SBF) as a Jane Street intern: "Day one, I'm going to ask all the questions" - How to apply edge thinking to your own career: find what you're differentially good at - Raising teenagers in the AI age: why the traditional path still works, but other paths are opening up 00:00 Introduction 00:44 What is edge in financial markets 01:43 Jane Street and organizational structures for quant trading 03:46 Identifying and validating edge in trading 06:22 Navigating extreme market events and volatility 09:37 Future of quant trading and consolidation 12:15 Why quant firm profits have increased 14:42 The gamblization of everything 15:55 Who should pursue a career in quant trading 18:19 Applying the concept of edge to career and life decisions 20:56 Advice for interns to excel in quant trading 23:44 Predicting long-term success in trading interns 25:08 Sam Bankman-Fried as an intern and FTX reflections 28:15 Reasons people leave Jane Street and what they do next 31:19 Advice for young people in a changing world 36:09 Navigating job insecurity in tech-driven roles 38:55 Where to live if you want to be successful 40:28 Raising kids for a rapidly changing future 42:55 Questions young people should ask themselves 44:45 Outro and book recommendation

Ethan Kho

213,669 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

btw, the Helius MCP isn’t just for docs, it’s a whole blockchain explorer in your terminal Some things you can ask: - What is this KoL holding and trading? - What is happening in this transaction? - What are the top holders of this token also trading? Test the MCP with complex multi-part questions that build on each other.

btw, the Helius MCP isn’t just for docs, it’s a whole blockchain explorer in your terminal Some things you can ask: - What is this KoL holding and trading? - What is happening in this transaction? - What are the top holders of this token also trading? Test the MCP with complex multi-part questions that build on each other.

Nathan

12,537 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Qullamaggie on SMB Capital and Daytrading “Yeah, and I can tell you that the day trading is just most of the time a waste of time, like this SMB that prop firm. I mean, this was like a couple of years ago when I saw a video of their best trader who makes like 300k per year. And that’s a guy who’s been trading for like 20 years. If you’ve been trading for 20 years, you should make 300k a week, not per year. So, that’s another confirmation that day trading is just not gonna cut it if you want to make big money. You gotta swing and position trade.”

Qullamaggie on SMB Capital and Daytrading “Yeah, and I can tell you that the day trading is just most of the time a waste of time, like this SMB that prop firm. I mean, this was like a couple of years ago when I saw a video of their best trader who makes like 300k per year. And that’s a guy who’s been trading for like 20 years. If you’ve been trading for 20 years, you should make 300k a week, not per year. So, that’s another confirmation that day trading is just not gonna cut it if you want to make big money. You gotta swing and position trade.”

Lone

138,504 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

"This is like Trump's superpower. Finding a bunch of 80-20 issues and getting on the 80 and everybody who is reflexively against him gets on the 20. Now the Democrat Party has a 31% approval rating. This is why!" Brilliant analysis on how TDS has driven the left to insanity.

"This is like Trump's superpower. Finding a bunch of 80-20 issues and getting on the 80 and everybody who is reflexively against him gets on the 20. Now the Democrat Party has a 31% approval rating. This is why!" Brilliant analysis on how TDS has driven the left to insanity.

Brigitte Gabriel

3,107,696 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

If this is who you are learning trading from, you are fucked. yea he's the biggest "trader" in the space. and yet, he doesn't know shit about trading. No BASIC risk management rules. "This is how I made 100k today" - that day the guy loses 100k, then doubles the risk to 200k for a 1R trade, so he can say he made 100k that day. Pathetic. if this is how you wanna trade, you are completely fucked.

If this is who you are learning trading from, you are fucked. yea he's the biggest "trader" in the space. and yet, he doesn't know shit about trading. No BASIC risk management rules. "This is how I made 100k today" - that day the guy loses 100k, then doubles the risk to 200k for a 1R trade, so he can say he made 100k that day. Pathetic. if this is how you wanna trade, you are completely fucked.

L2WTrades

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📌PINDex｜Winning in Trading Is Not About Direction — It’s About Execution Most derivatives platforms focus on one question: Can the trade be executed? But long-term results depend on something deeper: •Who executes •How #execution is structured •Whether it can be reproduced consistently over time Direction drives short-term outcomes. Execution design determines durability. 🔰From Trading Decisions to Trading Systems #PINDex embeds: •Strategy •Execution •Risk control directly into the system itself. removing reliance on individual judgment and allowing trading to operate as a continuously running protocol. 🌐When trading becomes a system-level capability, compounding returns finally become accessible to ordinary users. 📊This is not just a new way to trade — it is the first time derivatives trading is truly built to run long-term.

📌PINDex｜Winning in Trading Is Not About Direction — It’s About Execution Most derivatives platforms focus on one question: Can the trade be executed? But long-term results depend on something deeper: •Who executes •How #execution is structured •Whether it can be reproduced consistently over time Direction drives short-term outcomes. Execution design determines durability. 🔰From Trading Decisions to Trading Systems #PINDex embeds: •Strategy •Execution •Risk control directly into the system itself. removing reliance on individual judgment and allowing trading to operate as a continuously running protocol. 🌐When trading becomes a system-level capability, compounding returns finally become accessible to ordinary users. 📊This is not just a new way to trade — it is the first time derivatives trading is truly built to run long-term.

PINDex

25,161 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Threadguy explains why he has edge trading Oil right now “This isn’t an Oil trade, this is a twitter headline trade” “I guarantee you’ll beat me on the math on Oil flows and tankers through the Strait of Hormuz” “But if we’re talking twitter headlines, nobody is f-cking with me. I’m like the Bam Adebayo of twitter headlines”

Threadguy explains why he has edge trading Oil right now “This isn’t an Oil trade, this is a twitter headline trade” “I guarantee you’ll beat me on the math on Oil flows and tankers through the Strait of Hormuz” “But if we’re talking twitter headlines, nobody is f-cking with me. I’m like the Bam Adebayo of twitter headlines”

Jack

53,180 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

CryptoCopy beta is live! The solution allows you to trade on multiple exchanges at the same time. Over 20 top exchanges will be available in total. You can apply here. In the video, you can see an example of copying a trade from a #Bybit futures account to #Binance and #Bitget exchanges. In this example, it is clear how opening a trade on one exchange immediately executes the trade on the other exchanges! This is essential for diversifying your funds across different exchanges to reduce non-trading risks, improve execution, and enhance liquidity, especially when trading altcoins. Copying trades via CryptoCopy occurs at a speed of 30 milliseconds, faster than what it takes for exchanges to execute your market order!

CryptoCopy beta is live! The solution allows you to trade on multiple exchanges at the same time. Over 20 top exchanges will be available in total. You can apply here. In the video, you can see an example of copying a trade from a #Bybit futures account to #Binance and #Bitget exchanges. In this example, it is clear how opening a trade on one exchange immediately executes the trade on the other exchanges! This is essential for diversifying your funds across different exchanges to reduce non-trading risks, improve execution, and enhance liquidity, especially when trading altcoins. Copying trades via CryptoCopy occurs at a speed of 30 milliseconds, faster than what it takes for exchanges to execute your market order!

CryptoCopy

105,761 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce