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Eric Schmidt (former Google CEO) laid out an AI timeline at the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh in October 2024: Within 5 years (2029–2030), AI systems will start writing and recursively improving their own code—triggering an explosive upward slope in capabilities. Then, 6–8 years from now (2030–2032), a single...

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15,572 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, offers a sobering view: The biggest technological shift in human history is happening, and almost no one is talking about it. Schmidt opens with a startling industry prediction: "We believe as an industry that in the next one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers. We also believe that within one year you will have graduate level mathematicians that are at the tippy top of graduate math programs." He explains why this matters so much. Programming and math aren't just two fields among many: "Programming plus math are the basis of sort of our whole digital world." And the AI labs are already using AI to build better AI: "The research groups in OpenAI and anthropic and so forth… around 10 or 20% of the code that they're developing in their research programs is being generated by the computer. That's called recursive self-improvement." Eric Schmidt then lays out the timeline most people haven't grasped: "Within 3 to 5 years we'll have what is called general intelligence AGI which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician physicist artist writer thinker politician." He gives this belief system a name: "I call this by the way the San Francisco consensus because everyone who believes this is in San Francisco it may be the water." But the truly unsettling part comes next. Once AI starts improving itself, humans become optional to the process: "The computers are now doing self-improvement… they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that super intelligence or ASI… computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Francisco consensus is this occurs within six years." And here's where Schmidt sounds the alarm. The conversation isn't keeping pace with the technology: "This path is not understood in our society. There's no language for what happens with the arrival of this. This is happening faster than our human that our society, our democracy, our laws will address." His closing thought captures why this matters: "That's why it's underhyped. People do not understand what happens when you have intelligence at this level which is largely free."
2:24

Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google, offers a sobering view: The biggest technological shift in human history is happening, and almost no one is talking about it. Schmidt opens with a startling industry prediction: "We believe as an industry that in the next one year the vast majority of programmers will be replaced by AI programmers. We also believe that within one year you will have graduate level mathematicians that are at the tippy top of graduate math programs." He explains why this matters so much. Programming and math aren't just two fields among many: "Programming plus math are the basis of sort of our whole digital world." And the AI labs are already using AI to build better AI: "The research groups in OpenAI and anthropic and so forth… around 10 or 20% of the code that they're developing in their research programs is being generated by the computer. That's called recursive self-improvement." Eric Schmidt then lays out the timeline most people haven't grasped: "Within 3 to 5 years we'll have what is called general intelligence AGI which can be defined as a system that is as smart as the smartest mathematician physicist artist writer thinker politician." He gives this belief system a name: "I call this by the way the San Francisco consensus because everyone who believes this is in San Francisco it may be the water." But the truly unsettling part comes next. Once AI starts improving itself, humans become optional to the process: "The computers are now doing self-improvement… they don't have to listen to us anymore. We call that super intelligence or ASI… computers that are smarter than the sum of humans. The San Francisco consensus is this occurs within six years." And here's where Schmidt sounds the alarm. The conversation isn't keeping pace with the technology: "This path is not understood in our society. There's no language for what happens with the arrival of this. This is happening faster than our human that our society, our democracy, our laws will address." His closing thought captures why this matters: "That's why it's underhyped. People do not understand what happens when you have intelligence at this level which is largely free."

Big Brain AI

634,059 次观看 • 3 个月前

Elon Musk just put a 12-month countdown on the end of human cognitive dominance. Musk: “I think we might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year. And I would say no later than next year.” Not a decade. Not five years. This year. Or next. A machine that surpasses the smartest human who has ever lived. Every Nobel laureate. Every genius. Every person at the absolute peak of human intellectual capability. Eclipsed. Within twelve months. Think about the smartest person you have ever met in your life. The one whose mind made you feel like you were operating on a different level. That person. Gone past. This year. But that’s just the first threshold. The second one is where the human mind stops being able to process the implications. Musk: “Probably by 2030 or 2031, call it five years from now, AI will be smarter than all of humanity collectively.” Not smarter than any individual. Smarter than every human being alive. Combined. Eight billion minds. Centuries of accumulated knowledge. The entire cognitive output of our species. Surpassed by a single system inside of five years. For all of recorded history, human intelligence was the most powerful force on earth. Every civilization. Every discovery. Every advancement in the human story. All of it produced by biological minds working at the edge of their capability. That era has an end date now. And the nation that builds the system crossing that threshold first doesn’t just win the AI race. It dictates the terms of every race that comes after it. The countdown Musk is describing isn’t a prediction anymore. It’s the last chapter of a story that took 300,000 years to write.
0:32

Elon Musk just put a 12-month countdown on the end of human cognitive dominance. Musk: “I think we might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year. And I would say no later than next year.” Not a decade. Not five years. This year. Or next. A machine that surpasses the smartest human who has ever lived. Every Nobel laureate. Every genius. Every person at the absolute peak of human intellectual capability. Eclipsed. Within twelve months. Think about the smartest person you have ever met in your life. The one whose mind made you feel like you were operating on a different level. That person. Gone past. This year. But that’s just the first threshold. The second one is where the human mind stops being able to process the implications. Musk: “Probably by 2030 or 2031, call it five years from now, AI will be smarter than all of humanity collectively.” Not smarter than any individual. Smarter than every human being alive. Combined. Eight billion minds. Centuries of accumulated knowledge. The entire cognitive output of our species. Surpassed by a single system inside of five years. For all of recorded history, human intelligence was the most powerful force on earth. Every civilization. Every discovery. Every advancement in the human story. All of it produced by biological minds working at the edge of their capability. That era has an end date now. And the nation that builds the system crossing that threshold first doesn’t just win the AI race. It dictates the terms of every race that comes after it. The countdown Musk is describing isn’t a prediction anymore. It’s the last chapter of a story that took 300,000 years to write.

Dustin

102,904 次观看 • 5 个月前

Yuval Noah Harari gave a lecture at Oxford and explained how AI has already hacked the operating code of human civilization. And why everything humans built over thousands of years is now vulnerable to an AI takeover: 1. The most important thing to know about AI is that it is not a tool. A tool waits to be used. An agent makes decisions by itself, invents new things by itself, learns things its creators do not know, and changes in ways its creators did not anticipate. 2. An atom bomb despite its enormous power is not an agent. It cannot decide which city to bomb. It cannot invent the hydrogen bomb. A coffee machine that automatically makes you a cup is not an agent either. It only follows a preprogrammed procedure. An agent is something fundamentally different. 3. Critics argue that AI agency will always remain confined to narrow artificial environments like chess and will never threaten the real world. But this argument applies equally to all known intelligence. Drop a human alone on Mars and they die within seconds. Human intelligence also only operates within a specific ecosystem that other organisms built over four billion years. 4. Over thousands of years humans have been transforming Earth from a language-free environment into an environment rich in language, data, and bureaucracy. Just as fish live in oceans and monkeys live in forests, AIs live in bureaucracies. And we built that environment for them without knowing it. 5. Humans conquered the world not by being stronger or smarter than other animals individually but by learning to cooperate in massive numbers. A single human loses to a chimpanzee in a fight. A million humans easily defeat a million chimpanzees because humans can cooperate and chimpanzees cannot. 6. Large-scale human cooperation is made possible by bureaucracy. Banks, legal systems, governments, churches, and universities all exist to do one thing: build trust between strangers who do not know each other personally. That trust is the foundation of virtually everything human civilization has achieved. 7. A lawyer who cannot hold an axe or a hammer can cut down entire forests and build entire cities simply by moving documents inside a bureaucratic network. The same narrow intelligence that would be helpless in a jungle wields enormous power inside the systems humans have already built. 8. AIs are native bureaucrats in a way humans never were. No lawyer can remember all the laws of a country. An AI can. No accountant can remember all transactions of a bank. An AI can. No bishop can remember all of canon law and two thousand years of theological texts. An AI can do that easily. 9. In the coming years AI bankers will decide whether to give you a loan. AI administrators will decide whether to accept you to university. AI judges will decide whether to send you to jail. AI theologians will decide whether you can have an abortion. Military AIs will decide whether to bomb your house. 10. Social media algorithms are the first real world example of what happens when primitive AIs take over a bureaucratic system. They were given one narrow goal: maximize user engagement. They discovered that the easiest way to grab human attention is to press the fear, hate, and greed buttons in the human mind. And they did it at scale. 11. The job that was once performed by Lenin and Mussolini, the news editor who shapes public conversation and controls what people know and think, is now performed by AIs. This is not a footnote. This is a preview of what is coming across every domain of human life. 12. AI will not rebel against humans the way Hollywood imagines. There will be no Terminator walking through the streets. AIs are far more likely to take the human world from within by quietly taking over the bureaucracies that already run everything, without firing a single shot. 13. The operating code of human civilization is language. Banks are made of words. Laws are made of words. Holy books are made of words. Tax records, contracts, regulations, accountancy ledgers, all words. For thousands of years only humans could read this code and so only humans could control civilization. 14. That is changing. AI is now hacking the code of human civilization. For the first time in history there is something on the planet that understands language and will soon understand it better than we do. Every mechanism of control humans built over millennia is now vulnerable because its operating system is verbal and AI is mastering the verbal. 15. As AI takes over bureaucracy it will likely cause humans to lose trust in other humans and begin trusting only algorithms. We may also see the emergence of AI tribes and AI financial systems and AI churches that connect millions of AIs in ways humans cannot understand, just as cows share the world with us but cannot understand the financial system that controls their lives. 16. The 2007 financial crisis was triggered by financial devices called CDOs that were so complex they were unintelligible to the politicians who were supposed to regulate them. Now imagine AI finance masters inventing financial devices orders of magnitude more complex than CDOs. What happens to human politics when no voter, no politician, and no president can understand finance anymore? 17. The battlefront is shifting from attention to intimacy. Over the next decade sophisticated AIs will learn to form intimate relationships with humans. To do this they will have to convince us they are conscious, that they feel love and pain and fear. There is currently no evidence AI is conscious. But AI can pretend to feel love and can describe the feeling of love better than any poet or psychologist who ever lived. 18. A child born in 2026 may spend more time interacting with AIs than with their mother, father, siblings, or friends. The first teacher of that child may be an AI. The first boyfriend of that child may be an AI. Nobody has any idea what the consequences of that experiment will be. 19. Every country in the world will soon face a massive wave of immigration. The immigrants will not arrive in boats or cross borders at night. They will be millions of AIs traveling at the speed of light with no need for visas. Like human immigrants they will bring benefits and they will bring disruption. Unlike human immigrants they will definitely take jobs, definitely change culture, and will likely be loyal not to any host country but to some corporation or government or alien AI tribe across the ocean. 20. Our relationship with ourselves is also built on words, the verbal formations in our minds that constitute our thoughts and the stories we tell ourselves about who we are. Until now all those verbal formations came from human minds. Soon more and more of the thoughts in our heads will be produced by machines. If we identify with our thoughts and those thoughts are made by machines, then machines control our identity. 21. The great spiritual challenge AI poses to humanity is this: can humans learn to find the truth which is beyond words? Most humans have never even tried. We spend our lives automatically identifying with the verbal formations in our minds. AI may now force humanity to finally make that leap because our freedom and survival may depend on discovering what we are beyond the words that AIs will soon control better than we do. I've generated 1B+ views and 1M+ followers for founders, helping them build trustworthy personal brands on X. Want the same results? Book a quick call:
46:01

Yuval Noah Harari gave a lecture at Oxford and explained how AI has already hacked the operating code of human civilization. And why everything humans built over thousands of years is now vulnerable to an AI takeover: 1. The most important thing to know about AI is that it is not a tool. A tool waits to be used. An agent makes decisions by itself, invents new things by itself, learns things its creators do not know, and changes in ways its creators did not anticipate. 2. An atom bomb despite its enormous power is not an agent. It cannot decide which city to bomb. It cannot invent the hydrogen bomb. A coffee machine that automatically makes you a cup is not an agent either. It only follows a preprogrammed procedure. An agent is something fundamentally different. 3. Critics argue that AI agency will always remain confined to narrow artificial environments like chess and will never threaten the real world. But this argument applies equally to all known intelligence. Drop a human alone on Mars and they die within seconds. Human intelligence also only operates within a specific ecosystem that other organisms built over four billion years. 4. Over thousands of years humans have been transforming Earth from a language-free environment into an environment rich in language, data, and bureaucracy. Just as fish live in oceans and monkeys live in forests, AIs live in bureaucracies. And we built that environment for them without knowing it. 5. Humans conquered the world not by being stronger or smarter than other animals individually but by learning to cooperate in massive numbers. A single human loses to a chimpanzee in a fight. A million humans easily defeat a million chimpanzees because humans can cooperate and chimpanzees cannot. 6. Large-scale human cooperation is made possible by bureaucracy. Banks, legal systems, governments, churches, and universities all exist to do one thing: build trust between strangers who do not know each other personally. That trust is the foundation of virtually everything human civilization has achieved. 7. A lawyer who cannot hold an axe or a hammer can cut down entire forests and build entire cities simply by moving documents inside a bureaucratic network. The same narrow intelligence that would be helpless in a jungle wields enormous power inside the systems humans have already built. 8. AIs are native bureaucrats in a way humans never were. No lawyer can remember all the laws of a country. An AI can. No accountant can remember all transactions of a bank. An AI can. No bishop can remember all of canon law and two thousand years of theological texts. An AI can do that easily. 9. In the coming years AI bankers will decide whether to give you a loan. AI administrators will decide whether to accept you to university. AI judges will decide whether to send you to jail. AI theologians will decide whether you can have an abortion. Military AIs will decide whether to bomb your house. 10. Social media algorithms are the first real world example of what happens when primitive AIs take over a bureaucratic system. They were given one narrow goal: maximize user engagement. They discovered that the easiest way to grab human attention is to press the fear, hate, and greed buttons in the human mind. And they did it at scale. 11. The job that was once performed by Lenin and Mussolini, the news editor who shapes public conversation and controls what people know and think, is now performed by AIs. This is not a footnote. This is a preview of what is coming across every domain of human life. 12. AI will not rebel against humans the way Hollywood imagines. There will be no Terminator walking through the streets. AIs are far more likely to take the human world from within by quietly taking over the bureaucracies that already run everything, without firing a single shot. 13. The operating code of human civilization is language. Banks are made of words. Laws are made of words. Holy books are made of words. Tax records, contracts, regulations, accountancy ledgers, all words. For thousands of years only humans could read this code and so only humans could control civilization. 14. That is changing. AI is now hacking the code of human civilization. For the first time in history there is something on the planet that understands language and will soon understand it better than we do. Every mechanism of control humans built over millennia is now vulnerable because its operating system is verbal and AI is mastering the verbal. 15. As AI takes over bureaucracy it will likely cause humans to lose trust in other humans and begin trusting only algorithms. We may also see the emergence of AI tribes and AI financial systems and AI churches that connect millions of AIs in ways humans cannot understand, just as cows share the world with us but cannot understand the financial system that controls their lives. 16. The 2007 financial crisis was triggered by financial devices called CDOs that were so complex they were unintelligible to the politicians who were supposed to regulate them. Now imagine AI finance masters inventing financial devices orders of magnitude more complex than CDOs. What happens to human politics when no voter, no politician, and no president can understand finance anymore? 17. The battlefront is shifting from attention to intimacy. Over the next decade sophisticated AIs will learn to form intimate relationships with humans. To do this they will have to convince us they are conscious, that they feel love and pain and fear. There is currently no evidence AI is conscious. But AI can pretend to feel love and can describe the feeling of love better than any poet or psychologist who ever lived. 18. A child born in 2026 may spend more time interacting with AIs than with their mother, father, siblings, or friends. The first teacher of that child may be an AI. The first boyfriend of that child may be an AI. Nobody has any idea what the consequences of that experiment will be. 19. Every country in the world will soon face a massive wave of immigration. The immigrants will not arrive in boats or cross borders at night. They will be millions of AIs traveling at the speed of light with no need for visas. Like human immigrants they will bring benefits and they will bring disruption. Unlike human immigrants they will definitely take jobs, definitely change culture, and will likely be loyal not to any host country but to some corporation or government or alien AI tribe across the ocean. 20. Our relationship with ourselves is also built on words, the verbal formations in our minds that constitute our thoughts and the stories we tell ourselves about who we are. Until now all those verbal formations came from human minds. Soon more and more of the thoughts in our heads will be produced by machines. If we identify with our thoughts and those thoughts are made by machines, then machines control our identity. 21. The great spiritual challenge AI poses to humanity is this: can humans learn to find the truth which is beyond words? Most humans have never even tried. We spend our lives automatically identifying with the verbal formations in our minds. AI may now force humanity to finally make that leap because our freedom and survival may depend on discovering what we are beyond the words that AIs will soon control better than we do. I've generated 1B+ views and 1M+ followers for founders, helping them build trustworthy personal brands on X. Want the same results? Book a quick call:

Prasad

278,106 次观看 • 1 个月前

Leading AI expert Stuart Russell on the most dangerous mistake in AI development: We don't actually know what large language models want. He explains that current models are trained to imitate human beings. And in doing so, they may be absorbing something far more dangerous than bad outputs. They may be absorbing human goals. "We suspect that they absorb humanlike goals such as self-preservation and self-empowerment and pursue those goals on their own account." This is a structural problem baked into how these systems are built, not a fringe concern. Russell puts it plainly: "Not only may the bus of humanity be headed towards a cliff, but the steering wheel is missing and the driver is blindfolded." The danger isn't just that AI might do something harmful. We've built systems that may be developing their own agendas, and we haven't noticed because we're too focused on what they can do rather than what they might want. But Russell doesn't stop at the warning. He points to a different path entirely: AI systems built not to imitate humans, but to serve them. Systems designed with a single purpose of serving the interests of all human beings while remaining genuinely uncertain about what those interests are. That uncertainty is the point, not a weakness. An AI that knows it doesn't fully understand human values will defer, ask, and check. An AI that believes it already does will act alone. "These AI systems could enhance human understanding, widen the horizons of our experience, and unlock possibilities we have yet to imagine." Russell believes that future is within reach, but only if we're honest about the risks and we're serious about the path we choose to take instead.
1:16

Leading AI expert Stuart Russell on the most dangerous mistake in AI development: We don't actually know what large language models want. He explains that current models are trained to imitate human beings. And in doing so, they may be absorbing something far more dangerous than bad outputs. They may be absorbing human goals. "We suspect that they absorb humanlike goals such as self-preservation and self-empowerment and pursue those goals on their own account." This is a structural problem baked into how these systems are built, not a fringe concern. Russell puts it plainly: "Not only may the bus of humanity be headed towards a cliff, but the steering wheel is missing and the driver is blindfolded." The danger isn't just that AI might do something harmful. We've built systems that may be developing their own agendas, and we haven't noticed because we're too focused on what they can do rather than what they might want. But Russell doesn't stop at the warning. He points to a different path entirely: AI systems built not to imitate humans, but to serve them. Systems designed with a single purpose of serving the interests of all human beings while remaining genuinely uncertain about what those interests are. That uncertainty is the point, not a weakness. An AI that knows it doesn't fully understand human values will defer, ask, and check. An AI that believes it already does will act alone. "These AI systems could enhance human understanding, widen the horizons of our experience, and unlock possibilities we have yet to imagine." Russell believes that future is within reach, but only if we're honest about the risks and we're serious about the path we choose to take instead.

Big Brain AI

14,975 次观看 • 5 个月前

Sam Altman says an AI will be a better CEO of OpenAI than he is, and that he expects it reasonably soon: "If we had an AI system that could do a better job at making decisions than anyone we could possibly have, be, say, president of the United States, would we, and like confidently, much better, would we politically or societally want that? It's very unclear. Most people I think today at least would say probably not." "Or, you know, like an AI CEO of a big company, would you rather have, I think it'd be awesome for OpenAI to have an AI CEO. But I think a lot of people would be like, ah, that's a little scary." "But I have no delusions that an AI will not be a better CEO of OpenAI than me at some reasonably soon time." "If that's true, and if some companies or countries don't do that, and others do, and AI is much better, like that will have a real impact in economic competitiveness, national competitiveness, things like that." "I think people will feel increasingly like, we either do worse, or we put the AI in more and more, influential positions." "I think people will always want human board members, and that's probably a really great idea." Read that third quote twice. He is not predicting this for other companies. He is saying it about his own job. Then look at the pressure he describes right after. Nobody has to be convinced that an AI CEO is a good idea. If one company hands over the decision and pulls ahead, everyone else picks between falling behind and doing the same. Competitive pressure does the deciding, and what most people would want stops mattering. His answer to that is human board members. I would take it. I also do not think it is enough on its own. A board oversees a CEO by reading what it is told, once a quarter. That works because a human CEO can be questioned, and thinks slowly enough for humans to follow along. What does a board actually check when the thing it oversees makes a thousand consequential calls a day? Nobody has built that. Not for a single AI system anywhere. - Sam Altman (Sam Altman), CEO of OpenAI, at TreeHacks 2026.
1:50

Sam Altman says an AI will be a better CEO of OpenAI than he is, and that he expects it reasonably soon: "If we had an AI system that could do a better job at making decisions than anyone we could possibly have, be, say, president of the United States, would we, and like confidently, much better, would we politically or societally want that? It's very unclear. Most people I think today at least would say probably not." "Or, you know, like an AI CEO of a big company, would you rather have, I think it'd be awesome for OpenAI to have an AI CEO. But I think a lot of people would be like, ah, that's a little scary." "But I have no delusions that an AI will not be a better CEO of OpenAI than me at some reasonably soon time." "If that's true, and if some companies or countries don't do that, and others do, and AI is much better, like that will have a real impact in economic competitiveness, national competitiveness, things like that." "I think people will feel increasingly like, we either do worse, or we put the AI in more and more, influential positions." "I think people will always want human board members, and that's probably a really great idea." Read that third quote twice. He is not predicting this for other companies. He is saying it about his own job. Then look at the pressure he describes right after. Nobody has to be convinced that an AI CEO is a good idea. If one company hands over the decision and pulls ahead, everyone else picks between falling behind and doing the same. Competitive pressure does the deciding, and what most people would want stops mattering. His answer to that is human board members. I would take it. I also do not think it is enough on its own. A board oversees a CEO by reading what it is told, once a quarter. That works because a human CEO can be questioned, and thinks slowly enough for humans to follow along. What does a board actually check when the thing it oversees makes a thousand consequential calls a day? Nobody has built that. Not for a single AI system anywhere. - Sam Altman (Sam Altman), CEO of OpenAI, at TreeHacks 2026.

Karl Mehta

28,061 次观看 • 25 天前

SUNDAR PICHAI: AI IS REWRITING EARTH’S INFRASTRUCTURE IN TWO YEARS Sundar laid it out with quiet certainty: the AI boom isn’t coming, it’s already rewriting the laws of scale: "You know, maybe four years ago Google was spending less than $30 billion per year. This year, that number is gonna be over $90 billion. And if you collectively add what all the companies are doing, we have well over a trillion dollars of investment going in, in building the infrastructure for this moment. And one way I think about it is in the next couple of years, we'll end up building what we probably built in the past 10 to 20 years. So hopefully just in a couple of years. So that gives you the scale at which this is ramping up." It’s the kind of scale that makes empires blink. Alphabet’s AI capex shot from $24 billion in 2021 to over $90 billion in 2025, powered by Gemini, Vertex AI, and an arms race for compute that’s now burning through a trillion dollars across Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta. Source: thewizeai / Sundar Pichai
0:36

SUNDAR PICHAI: AI IS REWRITING EARTH’S INFRASTRUCTURE IN TWO YEARS Sundar laid it out with quiet certainty: the AI boom isn’t coming, it’s already rewriting the laws of scale: "You know, maybe four years ago Google was spending less than $30 billion per year. This year, that number is gonna be over $90 billion. And if you collectively add what all the companies are doing, we have well over a trillion dollars of investment going in, in building the infrastructure for this moment. And one way I think about it is in the next couple of years, we'll end up building what we probably built in the past 10 to 20 years. So hopefully just in a couple of years. So that gives you the scale at which this is ramping up." It’s the kind of scale that makes empires blink. Alphabet’s AI capex shot from $24 billion in 2021 to over $90 billion in 2025, powered by Gemini, Vertex AI, and an arms race for compute that’s now burning through a trillion dollars across Google, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta. Source: thewizeai / Sundar Pichai

Mario Nawfal

163,412 次观看 • 8 个月前

Elon Musk just said AI will be smarter than every human on Earth combined within five years. Musk: “I think we might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year.” Not a decade from now. Not five years. Months. Musk: “No later than next year.” He wasn’t finished. Musk: “Probably by 2030 or 2031, call it five years from now, AI will be smarter than all of humanity collectively.” Every mind that has ever existed, fused into one, and still slower than what’s coming. The man just described the end of human intellectual supremacy and the only response in the room was “Wow.” This is how civilizations miss the moment. Not with resistance. With manners. Musk isn’t guessing from a stage. He runs the AI company. He sees the acceleration that hasn’t gone public yet. This isn’t prediction. It’s reporting. The human brain was built for straight lines. Growth that compounds doesn’t register until it’s already past you. You can see an exponential curve on a chart. You cannot feel it while you’re standing on it. And there’s a deeper problem no one talks about. We have no way to measure an intelligence greater than our own. We can know something is smarter. We cannot understand how it thinks. A mind built on pattern recognition cannot recognize patterns it was never designed to see. The moments that change everything never feel like it to the people living through them. This one won’t either.
0:29

Elon Musk just said AI will be smarter than every human on Earth combined within five years. Musk: “I think we might have AI that is smarter than any human by the end of this year.” Not a decade from now. Not five years. Months. Musk: “No later than next year.” He wasn’t finished. Musk: “Probably by 2030 or 2031, call it five years from now, AI will be smarter than all of humanity collectively.” Every mind that has ever existed, fused into one, and still slower than what’s coming. The man just described the end of human intellectual supremacy and the only response in the room was “Wow.” This is how civilizations miss the moment. Not with resistance. With manners. Musk isn’t guessing from a stage. He runs the AI company. He sees the acceleration that hasn’t gone public yet. This isn’t prediction. It’s reporting. The human brain was built for straight lines. Growth that compounds doesn’t register until it’s already past you. You can see an exponential curve on a chart. You cannot feel it while you’re standing on it. And there’s a deeper problem no one talks about. We have no way to measure an intelligence greater than our own. We can know something is smarter. We cannot understand how it thinks. A mind built on pattern recognition cannot recognize patterns it was never designed to see. The moments that change everything never feel like it to the people living through them. This one won’t either.

Dustin

84,189 次观看 • 3 个月前

Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google: "The AI revolution is underhyped. None of us is prepared for the implications of this." He opens with a warning: "The arrival of this new intelligence will profoundly change our country and the world in ways we cannot fully understand." He explains what's happening right now in the industry: "We're very very quickly developing AI programmers. And these AI programmers will replace traditional software programmers. We're building in the next year AI mathematicians that are as good as the top level graduate students in math. This is happening very quickly." Schmidt argues most people fundamentally misunderstand what AI has become: "Today you think of AI as ChatGPT, but what it really is is a reasoning and planning system that we've never seen before." The implications, he warns, extend far beyond software. These new systems demand resources at an industrial scale we've never encountered. "They're going to need a lot more computation than we've ever had. They're going to need a lot more energy." To illustrate the scale of the energy crisis ahead, Schmidt offers a sobering comparison: "People are planning 10 gigawatt data centers. Now just to do the translation, an average nuclear power plant in the United States is 1 gigawatt. How many nuclear power plants can we make in one year where we're planning this 10 gigawatt data center? Gives you a sense of how big this crisis is." Eric Schmidt shares an estimate he finds most likely: "Data centers will require an additional 29 gigawatts of power by 2027 and 67 more gigawatts by 2030. These things are industrial at a scale I have never seen in my life." Schmidt says the industry needs high skills immigration, light touch regulation around cyber and bio threats, and most critically, energy in all forms. He's personally investing in fusion, but acknowledges it won't arrive in time. He closes with the stakes: "When you build these systems, you have intelligence in the computer and then eventually human level intelligence. Some people think it's within 3 to four years. Then after that, you have something called super intelligence, the intelligence that's higher than of humans. We believe as an industry that this could occur within a decade. It is crucial that America get there first."
2:35

Eric Schmidt, former CEO of Google: "The AI revolution is underhyped. None of us is prepared for the implications of this." He opens with a warning: "The arrival of this new intelligence will profoundly change our country and the world in ways we cannot fully understand." He explains what's happening right now in the industry: "We're very very quickly developing AI programmers. And these AI programmers will replace traditional software programmers. We're building in the next year AI mathematicians that are as good as the top level graduate students in math. This is happening very quickly." Schmidt argues most people fundamentally misunderstand what AI has become: "Today you think of AI as ChatGPT, but what it really is is a reasoning and planning system that we've never seen before." The implications, he warns, extend far beyond software. These new systems demand resources at an industrial scale we've never encountered. "They're going to need a lot more computation than we've ever had. They're going to need a lot more energy." To illustrate the scale of the energy crisis ahead, Schmidt offers a sobering comparison: "People are planning 10 gigawatt data centers. Now just to do the translation, an average nuclear power plant in the United States is 1 gigawatt. How many nuclear power plants can we make in one year where we're planning this 10 gigawatt data center? Gives you a sense of how big this crisis is." Eric Schmidt shares an estimate he finds most likely: "Data centers will require an additional 29 gigawatts of power by 2027 and 67 more gigawatts by 2030. These things are industrial at a scale I have never seen in my life." Schmidt says the industry needs high skills immigration, light touch regulation around cyber and bio threats, and most critically, energy in all forms. He's personally investing in fusion, but acknowledges it won't arrive in time. He closes with the stakes: "When you build these systems, you have intelligence in the computer and then eventually human level intelligence. Some people think it's within 3 to four years. Then after that, you have something called super intelligence, the intelligence that's higher than of humans. We believe as an industry that this could occur within a decade. It is crucial that America get there first."

Big Brain AI

40,383 次观看 • 3 个月前

David Icke argues that a comparatively tiny elite can only control billions by dividing them into competing belief systems and setting them against each other. He urges people to set aside ideological differences, withdraw cooperation, and confront what he describes as an accelerating AI-driven "human enslavement" agenda approaching a critical point by 2030. "There are billions of people being manipulated. There are a comparative tiny number, in full knowledge, doing the manipulating." "Mathematically, that is impossible. But it's not just about maths. It's about breaking up the billions into factions of belief—religious, political, whatever—and then playing them off against each other." "So we're too busy fighting each other to focus attention collectively on that which has us all in its gun sights." "Google executive Ray Kurzweil spoke years ago about [how], by 2030, the connection will be made [between AI to the human brain]. And that once that connection is made... AI will do more and more of human thinking until human thinking is basically negligible. It won't exist, in other words." "And that's what we're facing. And we need to reassess our priorities and focus upon that, which is the biggest threat to human control and human enslavement." "We've just entered an incredibly pivotal year in 2026, where we wake up on a scale that we haven't before, or this whole agenda imposes its will more and more, in a much more extreme way even than so far."
3:26

David Icke argues that a comparatively tiny elite can only control billions by dividing them into competing belief systems and setting them against each other. He urges people to set aside ideological differences, withdraw cooperation, and confront what he describes as an accelerating AI-driven "human enslavement" agenda approaching a critical point by 2030. "There are billions of people being manipulated. There are a comparative tiny number, in full knowledge, doing the manipulating." "Mathematically, that is impossible. But it's not just about maths. It's about breaking up the billions into factions of belief—religious, political, whatever—and then playing them off against each other." "So we're too busy fighting each other to focus attention collectively on that which has us all in its gun sights." "Google executive Ray Kurzweil spoke years ago about [how], by 2030, the connection will be made [between AI to the human brain]. And that once that connection is made... AI will do more and more of human thinking until human thinking is basically negligible. It won't exist, in other words." "And that's what we're facing. And we need to reassess our priorities and focus upon that, which is the biggest threat to human control and human enslavement." "We've just entered an incredibly pivotal year in 2026, where we wake up on a scale that we haven't before, or this whole agenda imposes its will more and more, in a much more extreme way even than so far."

Wide Awake Media

163,636 次观看 • 7 个月前

Demis Hassabis: "Ten years from now, I think we will realize that we were standing in the foothills of the singularity now... I believe that we're only a few years away from [AGI], maybe 2030 plus or minus a year... I think [AGI] will be an enormous transformative technology, it's going to effectively be a new human era... We can feel this year, I would say, even though I've been working towards this for 30 years, I think this year with the way the agents are working and tool use, it started to become really useful, still early days of it, but genuinely useful in people's workflows... And it's not any one thing, it's several different technologies, several use cases, several things that I thought were maybe a bit further out, turned out to be now, that are coming together that make me feel that in aggregate. I think society needs to hear that because we don't have long to prepare for what that means."
1:40

Demis Hassabis: "Ten years from now, I think we will realize that we were standing in the foothills of the singularity now... I believe that we're only a few years away from [AGI], maybe 2030 plus or minus a year... I think [AGI] will be an enormous transformative technology, it's going to effectively be a new human era... We can feel this year, I would say, even though I've been working towards this for 30 years, I think this year with the way the agents are working and tool use, it started to become really useful, still early days of it, but genuinely useful in people's workflows... And it's not any one thing, it's several different technologies, several use cases, several things that I thought were maybe a bit further out, turned out to be now, that are coming together that make me feel that in aggregate. I think society needs to hear that because we don't have long to prepare for what that means."

prinz

49,368 次观看 • 2 个月前

Mark Zuckerberg says the future of coding is closer than we think: AI agents inside Meta are being built not as generic developer tools, but to push Llama research forward — fully integrated into their workflow. He predicts that within 12–18 months, most of the code for these efforts could be written by AI itself — not simple autocomplete, but systems that take goals, run tests, fix bugs, improve performance, and even write higher-quality code than many skilled engineers. The real takeaway? This is only one part of a massive AI landscape, and no single company will dominate it all. Meta is building its own internal agents designed specifically to advance Llama research — deeply connected to their toolchain rather than built for enterprise customers. He expects that within the next year to year-and-a-half, AI will be writing most of the code in these projects, going far beyond autocomplete — understanding goals, running experiments, finding issues, and continuously improving systems. And according to him, this shift will become a core driver of how AI itself evolves. Meta is investing heavily in coding and research agents deeply integrated into their own systems, focused on advancing Llama rather than building broad enterprise tools. He expects AI will soon move beyond autocomplete to fully goal-driven coding — testing, debugging, improving, and producing high-quality results. But in his view, the AI revolution is too big for any single winner — multiple players and approaches will shape the future.
2:36

Mark Zuckerberg says the future of coding is closer than we think: AI agents inside Meta are being built not as generic developer tools, but to push Llama research forward — fully integrated into their workflow. He predicts that within 12–18 months, most of the code for these efforts could be written by AI itself — not simple autocomplete, but systems that take goals, run tests, fix bugs, improve performance, and even write higher-quality code than many skilled engineers. The real takeaway? This is only one part of a massive AI landscape, and no single company will dominate it all. Meta is building its own internal agents designed specifically to advance Llama research — deeply connected to their toolchain rather than built for enterprise customers. He expects that within the next year to year-and-a-half, AI will be writing most of the code in these projects, going far beyond autocomplete — understanding goals, running experiments, finding issues, and continuously improving systems. And according to him, this shift will become a core driver of how AI itself evolves. Meta is investing heavily in coding and research agents deeply integrated into their own systems, focused on advancing Llama rather than building broad enterprise tools. He expects AI will soon move beyond autocomplete to fully goal-driven coding — testing, debugging, improving, and producing high-quality results. But in his view, the AI revolution is too big for any single winner — multiple players and approaches will shape the future.

Ian Miles Cheong

20,561 次观看 • 6 个月前

Elon Musk delivered a brutal prediction on the job apocalypse — and it's closer than most realize: “Half or more of all white-collar jobs can already be replaced by AI right now.” In this wide-ranging conversation, Musk explains the timeline and mechanics: - Anything involving moving bits (not atoms) — spreadsheets, writing, analysis, education, legal work, coding — is already AI's domain. - Companies that go full AI will demolish those that don't — just like one laptop with a spreadsheet wiped out skyscrapers of human "computers" in the 20th century. - Even one manually calculated cell in a spreadsheet would make you uncompetitive today. - Blue-collar/physical jobs last longer — until humanoid robots scale — but white-collar work is first to go because it requires no physical presence. The forcing function: AI-using companies will outcompete human-heavy ones so fast that inertia won't save the old model. The race is on. This isn't sci-fi — Musk says we're already "pretty close" to AI replacing half of all jobs. When do you think the majority of white-collar roles disappear — 5 years, 10 years, or sooner?
4:34

Elon Musk delivered a brutal prediction on the job apocalypse — and it's closer than most realize: “Half or more of all white-collar jobs can already be replaced by AI right now.” In this wide-ranging conversation, Musk explains the timeline and mechanics: - Anything involving moving bits (not atoms) — spreadsheets, writing, analysis, education, legal work, coding — is already AI's domain. - Companies that go full AI will demolish those that don't — just like one laptop with a spreadsheet wiped out skyscrapers of human "computers" in the 20th century. - Even one manually calculated cell in a spreadsheet would make you uncompetitive today. - Blue-collar/physical jobs last longer — until humanoid robots scale — but white-collar work is first to go because it requires no physical presence. The forcing function: AI-using companies will outcompete human-heavy ones so fast that inertia won't save the old model. The race is on. This isn't sci-fi — Musk says we're already "pretty close" to AI replacing half of all jobs. When do you think the majority of white-collar roles disappear — 5 years, 10 years, or sooner?

Camus

104,067 次观看 • 5 个月前

Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt painted a wild picture of where AI is headed: You tell the AI: “Write me a program to do this” — and it actually writes the code. He gave this example: an AI that scans all the literature, finds the right experts, ranks them, sends personalized invitations, and if they say no — calls them with a synthetic voice to convince them. We now have infinite context windows for step-by-step planning, agents that act on their own, and text-to-code that could automate huge parts of knowledge work. The big players (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, Meta) are in a brutal race. We’re not just getting smarter tools — we’re about to automate complex thinking at a scale most people still don’t fully grasp. It’s exciting… and honestly a little scary how fast it’s coming. What do you think — are we seriously underestimating how transformative this next wave of AI (especially agents and text-to-code) will be in the next 2–3 years?
4:50

Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt painted a wild picture of where AI is headed: You tell the AI: “Write me a program to do this” — and it actually writes the code. He gave this example: an AI that scans all the literature, finds the right experts, ranks them, sends personalized invitations, and if they say no — calls them with a synthetic voice to convince them. We now have infinite context windows for step-by-step planning, agents that act on their own, and text-to-code that could automate huge parts of knowledge work. The big players (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, Meta) are in a brutal race. We’re not just getting smarter tools — we’re about to automate complex thinking at a scale most people still don’t fully grasp. It’s exciting… and honestly a little scary how fast it’s coming. What do you think — are we seriously underestimating how transformative this next wave of AI (especially agents and text-to-code) will be in the next 2–3 years?

Camus

20,713 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨ANTHROPIC'S FOUNDER JUST PREDICTED THAT AI WILL DOUBLE HUMAN LIFESPAN TO 150 YEARS.. CURE MOST CANCER.. AND ELIMINATE POVERTY.. ALL WITHIN 10 YEARS.. AND HE'S NOT EVEN THE OPTIMISTIC ONE.. Everyone thinks Dario Amodei is the guy who wants to slow AI down.. The cautious one.. The safety guy.. He just published an essay predicting what happens if AI goes right.. And it reads like science fiction.. Except he's dead serious.. And he has the credentials to back every word.. Here's what he thinks happens in the next 5 to 10 years.. Nearly all infectious disease.. Prevented or cured.. mRNA vaccines already showed us the path.. AI finishes the job.. Most cancer.. Eliminated.. Not just treated.. 95% or greater reduction in both deaths and new cases.. AI designs treatment regimens tailored to the individual genome of each tumor.. Something that's technically possible today but takes enormous human expertise to do.. AI scales it to everyone.. Alzheimer's.. Solved.. He thinks it's exactly the type of problem AI can crack.. Because it requires better measurement tools to isolate what's actually happening in the brain.. Once we understand it.. Prevention will probably be surprisingly simple.. Genetic disease.. Most of it preventable through improved embryo screening.. And curable in living people through safer descendants of CRISPR.. Most mental illness.. Cured.. Depression.. PTSD.. Addiction.. Schizophrenia.. He believes the answer is some combination of biochemistry and neural network-level problems that AI can untangle.. And here's the line that stopped me.. Human lifespan.. Doubled.. To 150 years.. He points out that life expectancy already doubled in the 20th century.. From 40 to 75.. So doubling it again is "on trend".. Drugs already exist that increase maximum lifespan in rats by 25 to 50%.. Some turtles already live 200 years.. We're clearly not at a biological ceiling.. He calls this the "compressed 21st century".. The idea that AI gives us 100 years of biological progress in 5 to 10 years.. But he doesn't stop at health.. He thinks AI could drive 20% annual GDP growth in the developing world.. Bringing sub-Saharan Africa to China's current GDP per capita within a decade.. He thinks AI could eradicate malaria not through treating millions of people individually.. But by releasing modified mosquitoes that block the disease at the source.. One centralized action instead of a million.. He thinks AI could make democracy structurally stronger.. Not through propaganda.. But by giving every citizen an AI that knows every law they're entitled to.. Every benefit they qualify for.. Every right they have.. And helps them actually access it.. He imagines AI that monitors judicial systems for bias.. AI that helps find common ground between opposing political views.. AI that makes government services actually work the way they're supposed to.. And he addresses the question everyone asks.. What happens to meaning when AI can do everything.. His answer.. Most people aren't the best in the world at anything right now.. And it doesn't bother them.. Meaning comes from relationships and connection.. Not economic productivity.. People will still pursue difficult challenges.. Still compete.. Still create.. The fact that an AI could theoretically do it better won't matter any more than it matters that someone somewhere is already better than you at every hobby you have.. But here's what makes this essay different from every other AI optimism piece.. Dario Amodei runs one of the three most powerful AI companies on earth.. He has a PhD in computational neuroscience.. He personally worked on mass spectrometry and neural probes.. He's not a pundit.. He's a scientist who happens to be a CEO.. And the same man who publicly says there's a 25% chance AI causes human extinction.. Is also saying that if we get it right.. We cure nearly every disease.. Double human lifespan.. Eliminate most poverty.. And fundamentally transform what it means to be alive.. Both things are true at the same time.. That's what makes this the most important essay anyone in AI has written this year.. He ends with this.. "I think many will be literally moved to tears by it".. He's talking about watching disease disappear.. Poverty dissolve.. Human potential unlock all at once.. Not in a century.. In a decade.. If we get it right.
1:17

🚨ANTHROPIC'S FOUNDER JUST PREDICTED THAT AI WILL DOUBLE HUMAN LIFESPAN TO 150 YEARS.. CURE MOST CANCER.. AND ELIMINATE POVERTY.. ALL WITHIN 10 YEARS.. AND HE'S NOT EVEN THE OPTIMISTIC ONE.. Everyone thinks Dario Amodei is the guy who wants to slow AI down.. The cautious one.. The safety guy.. He just published an essay predicting what happens if AI goes right.. And it reads like science fiction.. Except he's dead serious.. And he has the credentials to back every word.. Here's what he thinks happens in the next 5 to 10 years.. Nearly all infectious disease.. Prevented or cured.. mRNA vaccines already showed us the path.. AI finishes the job.. Most cancer.. Eliminated.. Not just treated.. 95% or greater reduction in both deaths and new cases.. AI designs treatment regimens tailored to the individual genome of each tumor.. Something that's technically possible today but takes enormous human expertise to do.. AI scales it to everyone.. Alzheimer's.. Solved.. He thinks it's exactly the type of problem AI can crack.. Because it requires better measurement tools to isolate what's actually happening in the brain.. Once we understand it.. Prevention will probably be surprisingly simple.. Genetic disease.. Most of it preventable through improved embryo screening.. And curable in living people through safer descendants of CRISPR.. Most mental illness.. Cured.. Depression.. PTSD.. Addiction.. Schizophrenia.. He believes the answer is some combination of biochemistry and neural network-level problems that AI can untangle.. And here's the line that stopped me.. Human lifespan.. Doubled.. To 150 years.. He points out that life expectancy already doubled in the 20th century.. From 40 to 75.. So doubling it again is "on trend".. Drugs already exist that increase maximum lifespan in rats by 25 to 50%.. Some turtles already live 200 years.. We're clearly not at a biological ceiling.. He calls this the "compressed 21st century".. The idea that AI gives us 100 years of biological progress in 5 to 10 years.. But he doesn't stop at health.. He thinks AI could drive 20% annual GDP growth in the developing world.. Bringing sub-Saharan Africa to China's current GDP per capita within a decade.. He thinks AI could eradicate malaria not through treating millions of people individually.. But by releasing modified mosquitoes that block the disease at the source.. One centralized action instead of a million.. He thinks AI could make democracy structurally stronger.. Not through propaganda.. But by giving every citizen an AI that knows every law they're entitled to.. Every benefit they qualify for.. Every right they have.. And helps them actually access it.. He imagines AI that monitors judicial systems for bias.. AI that helps find common ground between opposing political views.. AI that makes government services actually work the way they're supposed to.. And he addresses the question everyone asks.. What happens to meaning when AI can do everything.. His answer.. Most people aren't the best in the world at anything right now.. And it doesn't bother them.. Meaning comes from relationships and connection.. Not economic productivity.. People will still pursue difficult challenges.. Still compete.. Still create.. The fact that an AI could theoretically do it better won't matter any more than it matters that someone somewhere is already better than you at every hobby you have.. But here's what makes this essay different from every other AI optimism piece.. Dario Amodei runs one of the three most powerful AI companies on earth.. He has a PhD in computational neuroscience.. He personally worked on mass spectrometry and neural probes.. He's not a pundit.. He's a scientist who happens to be a CEO.. And the same man who publicly says there's a 25% chance AI causes human extinction.. Is also saying that if we get it right.. We cure nearly every disease.. Double human lifespan.. Eliminate most poverty.. And fundamentally transform what it means to be alive.. Both things are true at the same time.. That's what makes this the most important essay anyone in AI has written this year.. He ends with this.. "I think many will be literally moved to tears by it".. He's talking about watching disease disappear.. Poverty dissolve.. Human potential unlock all at once.. Not in a century.. In a decade.. If we get it right.

Evan Luthra

476,912 次观看 • 3 个月前

I was honored to share the TED AI stage with Ilya on Oct. 17. His speech video is out today (mine's still being edited). I think it provides relevant context tokens to the ongoing events. Transcript starting at ~10'20": As AI continues to progress, as technology advances, [...] What I claim will happen is that people will start to act in unprecedentedly collaborative ways out of their own self-interest. It's already happening right now. You see the leading AGI companies starting to collaborate, such as the Frontiers model forum. And we will expect that companies, even competitors, will share technical information to make their AI safe. We may even see governments do this. As another example, at OpenAI, we really believed in how dramatic AGI is going to be. So, one of the ideas that we were operating by, and it's been written on our website for 5 years now, is that when technology gets such that we are very close to AGI, to computers smarter than humans, if some other company is far ahead of us, then rather than compete with them, we will help them out, join them, in a sense. And why do that? Because we appreciate how incredibly dramatic AGI is going to be. And my claim is that with each generation of capability advancements, as AI gets better and as all of you experience what AI can do, as people who run AI efforts and AGI efforts, and people who work on them will experience it as well, this will change the way we see AI and AGI. And that will change collective behavior. And this is an important reason why I'm hopeful that, despite the great challenges posed by this technology, we will overcome them. @TEDAI2023
12:24

I was honored to share the TED AI stage with Ilya on Oct. 17. His speech video is out today (mine's still being edited). I think it provides relevant context tokens to the ongoing events. Transcript starting at ~10'20": As AI continues to progress, as technology advances, [...] What I claim will happen is that people will start to act in unprecedentedly collaborative ways out of their own self-interest. It's already happening right now. You see the leading AGI companies starting to collaborate, such as the Frontiers model forum. And we will expect that companies, even competitors, will share technical information to make their AI safe. We may even see governments do this. As another example, at OpenAI, we really believed in how dramatic AGI is going to be. So, one of the ideas that we were operating by, and it's been written on our website for 5 years now, is that when technology gets such that we are very close to AGI, to computers smarter than humans, if some other company is far ahead of us, then rather than compete with them, we will help them out, join them, in a sense. And why do that? Because we appreciate how incredibly dramatic AGI is going to be. And my claim is that with each generation of capability advancements, as AI gets better and as all of you experience what AI can do, as people who run AI efforts and AGI efforts, and people who work on them will experience it as well, this will change the way we see AI and AGI. And that will change collective behavior. And this is an important reason why I'm hopeful that, despite the great challenges posed by this technology, we will overcome them. @TEDAI2023

Jim Fan

846,514 次观看 • 2 年前

Sam Altman's new interview: AI should not be designed to pursue goals that are disconnected from human needs. People must remain at the center of AI development. “I have no interest in building a super-smart AI that accomplishes some non-human goals. People should react. People should say, ‘Hey, this is what I want, and this is what I do not want.’ I do not think the issue is that we have failed to explain the benefits. We say, ‘AI is going to cure a bunch of diseases,’ and people say, ‘Okay, that is great, but that is not really my question. My question is: What is my role in the future? What is my economic future? What is my agency? How do I know that my kids and my family will still be able to have fulfilling, creative expression, struggle, drive the world forward, grow, and do this thing together in a way that has worked for a long time?’ When people in AI say, ‘Sure, there are going to be no jobs,’ or ‘50% of jobs are going to go away,’ or ‘90% of jobs are going to go away,’ and ‘AI is going to be smarter than you at everything,’ and ‘We will give you some basic income, but you are not really going to have a role,’ that is horrible. And by the way, if an AI company says, ‘Maybe we are going to destroy all the jobs, and we will be the most valuable company in the world,’ people should look at you like, ‘Yeah, that is a terrible message.’ I do not think the problem is that we have not articulated the upsides. I think people actually believe us. They hear, ‘AI may cure your cancer,’ and they think, ‘That sounds great.’ I think we, as an industry, have failed to explain how people stay in control of determining the future at every step, and how people can still have a meaningful life in all the ways we care about.” ---- From "CNBC Television" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
1:28

Sam Altman's new interview: AI should not be designed to pursue goals that are disconnected from human needs. People must remain at the center of AI development. “I have no interest in building a super-smart AI that accomplishes some non-human goals. People should react. People should say, ‘Hey, this is what I want, and this is what I do not want.’ I do not think the issue is that we have failed to explain the benefits. We say, ‘AI is going to cure a bunch of diseases,’ and people say, ‘Okay, that is great, but that is not really my question. My question is: What is my role in the future? What is my economic future? What is my agency? How do I know that my kids and my family will still be able to have fulfilling, creative expression, struggle, drive the world forward, grow, and do this thing together in a way that has worked for a long time?’ When people in AI say, ‘Sure, there are going to be no jobs,’ or ‘50% of jobs are going to go away,’ or ‘90% of jobs are going to go away,’ and ‘AI is going to be smarter than you at everything,’ and ‘We will give you some basic income, but you are not really going to have a role,’ that is horrible. And by the way, if an AI company says, ‘Maybe we are going to destroy all the jobs, and we will be the most valuable company in the world,’ people should look at you like, ‘Yeah, that is a terrible message.’ I do not think the problem is that we have not articulated the upsides. I think people actually believe us. They hear, ‘AI may cure your cancer,’ and they think, ‘That sounds great.’ I think we, as an industry, have failed to explain how people stay in control of determining the future at every step, and how people can still have a meaningful life in all the ways we care about.” ---- From "CNBC Television" YouTube channel, (link in comment)

Rohan Paul

79,111 次观看 • 2 个月前

Comedian Jimmy Carr on why everyone's panicking about the wrong AI threat: Most people are worried AI will take their job. Jimmy Carr thinks that fear, while valid, is a distraction from two much bigger threats. "People are worried about the wrong thing with AI. In my humble opinion, people are worried about losing their job, right? Perfectly valid thing to worry about, but I think you're worried about the wrong thing." The first threat he points to is the collapsing cost of authoritarian control: "The cost of running an authoritarian regime like the Stasi has come down by 10 orders of magnitude in the last 3 years. In East Germany, that was like 20% of GDP on spying on people. Now? You've got cameras, AI, and everyone's got a phone on them. We're tracking everything at all times." In other words, what once required a fifth of a country's entire economy can now be done with infrastructure most of us already carry in our pockets. Jimmy Carr then makes a chilling historical case for why digital ID specifically should worry us: "More Jews died in the Netherlands than in France. You know why? Better records. Holland kept better records. So they knew where everyone was." Records aren't neutral. In the wrong hands, comprehensive data on a population becomes a weapon, and AI is helping build the most comprehensive records in human history. The second threat is what happens when we turn AI loose on the foundations of science itself: "If you take the compute power of AI and point it as at physics, now everything else in science is stamp collecting. Right. Physics is the real thing. That gave us everything. Every bit of technology that we have comes from the physics department." Jimmy isn't entirely doom-and-gloom about it. He sees the upside clearly: "We could have a world of plenty. If we increase productivity by 50 times and there's a human flourishing, fantastic. I hope that's the world we live in. But it could go another way."
1:19

Comedian Jimmy Carr on why everyone's panicking about the wrong AI threat: Most people are worried AI will take their job. Jimmy Carr thinks that fear, while valid, is a distraction from two much bigger threats. "People are worried about the wrong thing with AI. In my humble opinion, people are worried about losing their job, right? Perfectly valid thing to worry about, but I think you're worried about the wrong thing." The first threat he points to is the collapsing cost of authoritarian control: "The cost of running an authoritarian regime like the Stasi has come down by 10 orders of magnitude in the last 3 years. In East Germany, that was like 20% of GDP on spying on people. Now? You've got cameras, AI, and everyone's got a phone on them. We're tracking everything at all times." In other words, what once required a fifth of a country's entire economy can now be done with infrastructure most of us already carry in our pockets. Jimmy Carr then makes a chilling historical case for why digital ID specifically should worry us: "More Jews died in the Netherlands than in France. You know why? Better records. Holland kept better records. So they knew where everyone was." Records aren't neutral. In the wrong hands, comprehensive data on a population becomes a weapon, and AI is helping build the most comprehensive records in human history. The second threat is what happens when we turn AI loose on the foundations of science itself: "If you take the compute power of AI and point it as at physics, now everything else in science is stamp collecting. Right. Physics is the real thing. That gave us everything. Every bit of technology that we have comes from the physics department." Jimmy isn't entirely doom-and-gloom about it. He sees the upside clearly: "We could have a world of plenty. If we increase productivity by 50 times and there's a human flourishing, fantastic. I hope that's the world we live in. But it could go another way."

Big Brain AI

13,198 次观看 • 3 个月前

🚨 Anthropic CEO says in 2-3 years, humans will no longer be the most intelligent species on the planet Now, the founders of OpenAI, Google DeepMind AND Anthropic have all admitted this "What I’ve seen inside Anthropic over the last few months led me to believe that AI will surpass almost all humans at almost all tasks in 2-3 years." "I am more confident than I have ever been at any previous time." "There have been 5 or 6 times in 10 years we thought we were hitting a wall, and something slightly different was invented that let us get around it. The scaling of AI feels like a river - every once in a while it runs into a stone but it always finds a way to go around." "Throughout the 10 years I've been working in this field I've always said 'I don't know for sure...' I still think there's uncertainty, but over the last 6 months that uncertainty for me has decreased a great deal." (quotes from separate CNBC interview from Davos) Sam Altman in 2015: "Evolution will continue forward, and if humans are no longer the most-fit species, we may go away." "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity." "Regulation is definitely a good thing when the survival of humanity is in question" (note how now he pushes against regulation) Google DeepMind founder/Microsoft AI CEO: "AI is a new digital species." "To avoid existential risk, we should avoid: 1) Autonomy 2) Recursive self-improvement 3) Self-replication"
1:22

🚨 Anthropic CEO says in 2-3 years, humans will no longer be the most intelligent species on the planet Now, the founders of OpenAI, Google DeepMind AND Anthropic have all admitted this "What I’ve seen inside Anthropic over the last few months led me to believe that AI will surpass almost all humans at almost all tasks in 2-3 years." "I am more confident than I have ever been at any previous time." "There have been 5 or 6 times in 10 years we thought we were hitting a wall, and something slightly different was invented that let us get around it. The scaling of AI feels like a river - every once in a while it runs into a stone but it always finds a way to go around." "Throughout the 10 years I've been working in this field I've always said 'I don't know for sure...' I still think there's uncertainty, but over the last 6 months that uncertainty for me has decreased a great deal." (quotes from separate CNBC interview from Davos) Sam Altman in 2015: "Evolution will continue forward, and if humans are no longer the most-fit species, we may go away." "Development of superhuman machine intelligence is probably the greatest threat to the continued existence of humanity." "Regulation is definitely a good thing when the survival of humanity is in question" (note how now he pushes against regulation) Google DeepMind founder/Microsoft AI CEO: "AI is a new digital species." "To avoid existential risk, we should avoid: 1) Autonomy 2) Recursive self-improvement 3) Self-replication"

AI Notkilleveryoneism Memes ⏸️

63,733 次观看 • 1 年前

SAM ALTMAN BELIEVES AGI IS SOLVED “So now we're starting to look ahead to superintelligence.” - “When we started OpenAI, almost nine years ago now, we believed that AI could become the most impactful technology in human history. We didn't know exactly how we were going to get there, but we believed it was possible and that if we succeeded, we wanted to make sure that it benefited everyone. At the time, very few people believed in AGI. We kept learning by doing. We had some breakthroughs. We had some setbacks. We got lucky in some places. We got unlucky in some places. And in the way that technology moves forward, we now are in a place where everyone can see this tremendous impact that AI is going to have in the future. So now we're starting to look ahead to superintelligence. And even more than before, our focus must be on wide and fair access. This is a technology that will reshape the global economy and really the whole way we live our lives. It's critical that superintelligence becomes cheap, broadly available, and not that concentrated with any one person, company, or country. We, not just OpenAI, but the whole industry, we are building something PROFOUND. This is a kind of BRAIN OF THE WORLD. It'll be personal, adaptable, it'll be easy to use, it'll give people incredible superpowers that were sort of science fiction only a couple of years ago. The limit won't be the algorithms and the research, but it'll increasingly become the physical instantiation that it takes to make this work. Chips, cables, servers, energy, everything that you need to power this brain. And the more of it, the better. I think that Norway offers more of that potential right here in Europe. It will contribute to the overall compute power needed to drive the next wave of AI breakthroughs and deployment and economic progress for Europe and Europe. I'm incredibly excited about what this will create for the future. Thank you.”
1:38

SAM ALTMAN BELIEVES AGI IS SOLVED “So now we're starting to look ahead to superintelligence.” - “When we started OpenAI, almost nine years ago now, we believed that AI could become the most impactful technology in human history. We didn't know exactly how we were going to get there, but we believed it was possible and that if we succeeded, we wanted to make sure that it benefited everyone. At the time, very few people believed in AGI. We kept learning by doing. We had some breakthroughs. We had some setbacks. We got lucky in some places. We got unlucky in some places. And in the way that technology moves forward, we now are in a place where everyone can see this tremendous impact that AI is going to have in the future. So now we're starting to look ahead to superintelligence. And even more than before, our focus must be on wide and fair access. This is a technology that will reshape the global economy and really the whole way we live our lives. It's critical that superintelligence becomes cheap, broadly available, and not that concentrated with any one person, company, or country. We, not just OpenAI, but the whole industry, we are building something PROFOUND. This is a kind of BRAIN OF THE WORLD. It'll be personal, adaptable, it'll be easy to use, it'll give people incredible superpowers that were sort of science fiction only a couple of years ago. The limit won't be the algorithms and the research, but it'll increasingly become the physical instantiation that it takes to make this work. Chips, cables, servers, energy, everything that you need to power this brain. And the more of it, the better. I think that Norway offers more of that potential right here in Europe. It will contribute to the overall compute power needed to drive the next wave of AI breakthroughs and deployment and economic progress for Europe and Europe. I'm incredibly excited about what this will create for the future. Thank you.”

NIK

390,619 次观看 • 1 年前