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ETH/BTC is doing something it's only done once before....in 2019, right after the QT dip was over and normalization phase ended. Same spot in the liquidity cycle and same setup. Last time it kicked off the crypto bull market and altcoin repricing. Here I discuss confirmation and invalidation areas...

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Dan Gambardello

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32,320 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50
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The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50

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7 years in the making: Ethereum is about to decide what happens next to altcoins. ETH/BTC is sitting at a trendline that's rejected Ethereum and altcoins for nearly a year. If it breaks, it could be the confirmation altcoin holders have been waiting for. If it fails, expect more downside volatility. I walk through why this may be the most important chart in crypto right now and how it ties into the business cycle, post-QT normalization, and even the Clarity Act. Intro 00:00 ETH/BTC and Clarity Act 2:30 Altcoin dips 5:10 Macro reversal 7:50 Watch ETH/BTC if Clarity passes 10:15 ETH risk 11:20 Eth price action short term 13:00
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7 years in the making: Ethereum is about to decide what happens next to altcoins. ETH/BTC is sitting at a trendline that's rejected Ethereum and altcoins for nearly a year. If it breaks, it could be the confirmation altcoin holders have been waiting for. If it fails, expect more downside volatility. I walk through why this may be the most important chart in crypto right now and how it ties into the business cycle, post-QT normalization, and even the Clarity Act. Intro 00:00 ETH/BTC and Clarity Act 2:30 Altcoin dips 5:10 Macro reversal 7:50 Watch ETH/BTC if Clarity passes 10:15 ETH risk 11:20 Eth price action short term 13:00

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What If We’re All Wrong About Crypto… (Before It All Turns) Intro 00:00 Big announcement 1:45 BTC risk 2:20 July 2019 all over again 2:55 Bull vs. bear validation 5:15 AI insight on bull 6:10 Altcoin risk 8:15 ETH confirmation 9:50 If this gets bad 12:45 When to buy/sell 15:00

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Bitcoin up 13% since November 2024. Ethereum up 14% in the same stretch. A year and a half and basically the same return. The BTC vs altcoin war online is louder than the actual gap. I know BTC has had its ATH in between, but I'd argue Bitcoin hasn't even had its real bull market yet, and that should get even BTC-only holders excited. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin vs. altcoins 00:45 Bitcoin hasn’t had bull market? 4:20 BTC and ETH returns 7:45 Crypto price action and support 11:45
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Bitcoin up 13% since November 2024. Ethereum up 14% in the same stretch. A year and a half and basically the same return. The BTC vs altcoin war online is louder than the actual gap. I know BTC has had its ATH in between, but I'd argue Bitcoin hasn't even had its real bull market yet, and that should get even BTC-only holders excited. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin vs. altcoins 00:45 Bitcoin hasn’t had bull market? 4:20 BTC and ETH returns 7:45 Crypto price action and support 11:45

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Bitcoin $75K. Monthly MACD move, first time since the bear market bottom. ADA daily MACD compression mirrors July 2019 & late 2022. SUI weekly MACD just flipped. ETH sitting 21% from the 20-month MA. Doing this for 8 years. The setup forming right now has my full attention. Intro 00:00 BTC dominance attention 00:30 Bull signal 3:00 Altcoin caution 4:00 Ethereum 7:20 SUI bull confirmation 8:45 Cardano compression 11:35

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If You Hold ALTCOINS, You NEED to See This PMI just came out TODAY and it printed lower at 47.9...after quantitative tightening officially ended. That’s the same post-QT lag we saw in 2019, right before liquidity turned. Altcoins move at the confluence of liquidity and business activity. This is the data point every crypto holder should pay attention to. In this video I explain exactly what this PMI print means for a crypto bull market. Intro 00:00 Exactly what the PMI data means 1:25 Could we expand sooner this cycle? 10:20 Altcoins vs. BTC 12:30 Dip or bear market? 14:20 Big CCV Intelligence update 17:40
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If You Hold ALTCOINS, You NEED to See This PMI just came out TODAY and it printed lower at 47.9...after quantitative tightening officially ended. That’s the same post-QT lag we saw in 2019, right before liquidity turned. Altcoins move at the confluence of liquidity and business activity. This is the data point every crypto holder should pay attention to. In this video I explain exactly what this PMI print means for a crypto bull market. Intro 00:00 Exactly what the PMI data means 1:25 Could we expand sooner this cycle? 10:20 Altcoins vs. BTC 12:30 Dip or bear market? 14:20 Big CCV Intelligence update 17:40

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Monthly RSI has been fully reset and the post-QT dip I've been warning about since January is nearly complete. The business cycle is also expanding. ETH ADA SUI are coiled tighter than any point before. While IT COULD ALL GO TO $0, and no one knows what will happen, the setup is here and the data is clear. Thank you for watching. Intro 00:00 Post-qt dip almost over 00:20 Altcoin setup could not look better 3:00 Ethereum 4:25 Cardano 6:35 SUI 8:50
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As the crypto market recovers over the coming months, $ETH will outperform $BTC and that will be very good for Altcoins As I’ve mentioned, we have only 2–3 months to get everything ready before the altcoins market truly explodes. The ETH/BTC chart is very great for long-term

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71,588 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Crypto is red today, but the chart that actually matters for altcoins is up & sitting at a multi‑year pivot. Others/BTC is pressing into the same setup we had post‑QT in 2019, right as PMI finally flips into expansion. This chart is getting squeezed right into a cycle shift. Intro 00:00 Macro theory summation 1:00 QT 1:30 PMI 2:40 Here’s where the cycle is 4:00 Copper/Gold breaking out 6:10 Altcoins vs. Bitcoin 7:45 Altcoins did this last time 9:30 Other macro indicators 12:30
16:04

Crypto is red today, but the chart that actually matters for altcoins is up & sitting at a multi‑year pivot. Others/BTC is pressing into the same setup we had post‑QT in 2019, right as PMI finally flips into expansion. This chart is getting squeezed right into a cycle shift. Intro 00:00 Macro theory summation 1:00 QT 1:30 PMI 2:40 Here’s where the cycle is 4:00 Copper/Gold breaking out 6:10 Altcoins vs. Bitcoin 7:45 Altcoins did this last time 9:30 Other macro indicators 12:30

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91,016 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25
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5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

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65,258 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

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Ethereum is quietly setting up a possible move to $3,700–$4,200. This is the same post-QT pattern that played out last cycle. Meanwhile, so many are calling the Bitcoin 200-day rejection a bear market signal. Last time it happened in 2022, QT was just getting announced. 200 day resistance in 2018 we were in the middle of first ever QT. This time, QT just ENDED in December. It's an opposite macro environment, so we should consider other explanations at the very least. It's unpopular to consider that crypto doesn't look as bad as it seems, but here you go anyway! Upside and downside discussed here. Intro 00:00 BTC 200 day resistance 1:10 This is not 2022 2:00 4 year cycles 3:55 What's going on with altcoins? 5:00 Eth altcoin analysis 6:30 Ethereum price target 10:00

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19,567 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Bitcoin has been more suppressed than it ever has been. The momentum of BTC has been oversold within the past 4 months in a way that typically takes years. Now it's testing the trendline that has defined this entire downtrend. Ethereum is sitting at a similar moment. Intro 00:00 Oversold more than ever 1:20 BTC trend reversal 4:05 Watching for bull confirmation 4:50 BTC targets 7:00 Eth/btc 12:10 Eth targets 13:20
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Bitcoin has been more suppressed than it ever has been. The momentum of BTC has been oversold within the past 4 months in a way that typically takes years. Now it's testing the trendline that has defined this entire downtrend. Ethereum is sitting at a similar moment. Intro 00:00 Oversold more than ever 1:20 BTC trend reversal 4:05 Watching for bull confirmation 4:50 BTC targets 7:00 Eth/btc 12:10 Eth targets 13:20

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24,961 Aufrufe • vor 26 Tagen

Doesn't matter if you think bottom is in or we are 3 months from bottom, crypto is looking awesome! Today's CPI print was the biggest monthly drop since May 2020. The disinflation narrative I've been talking about for weeks is now showing up. So watch how fast the headlines start flipping. ETH/BTC is also breaking out today. This is the chart that kicks off the altcoin market. Bitcoin sitting at the 200-week MA with full momentum reset. Whether the bottom is in now or in October, this window took years to get to. Position and prepare based on your risk tolerance. Intro 00:00 Is the bottom in? 1:35 Inflation falls 3:50 Is BTC looking this bad? 5:35 Altcoin bottom signals 10:45 ETH/BTC breakout 13:25
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Doesn't matter if you think bottom is in or we are 3 months from bottom, crypto is looking awesome! Today's CPI print was the biggest monthly drop since May 2020. The disinflation narrative I've been talking about for weeks is now showing up. So watch how fast the headlines start flipping. ETH/BTC is also breaking out today. This is the chart that kicks off the altcoin market. Bitcoin sitting at the 200-week MA with full momentum reset. Whether the bottom is in now or in October, this window took years to get to. Position and prepare based on your risk tolerance. Intro 00:00 Is the bottom in? 1:35 Inflation falls 3:50 Is BTC looking this bad? 5:35 Altcoin bottom signals 10:45 ETH/BTC breakout 13:25

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24,094 Aufrufe • vor 20 Tagen

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Is This $BTC Final Rally Before a Bear Market? w/ Until $BTC dominance peaks and $ETH holds $5K, altseason is just a dream. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:56 – Flash Crash Recap 08:12 – Bitcoin’s Q4 Prediction 14:00 – $ETH Drop + Recovery Outlook 17:10 – Why ETH Needs $5K 20:58 – Nexo 21:32 – Figure Markets 22:06 – When Will Altseason Begin? 26:02 – Does Narrative Follow Price? 33:37 – How to Survive the Next Bear Market 40:10 – Satoshi Valuation Explained 45:10 – Cowen’s Top Q4 Watch Signals 52:20 – Wrap-Up

Milk Road

136,049 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55
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Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55

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Crypto is finally moving! But it's too early to be celebrating green candles. Bitcoin, Ethereum, SUI, and Cardano are all approaching levels that could define the rest of this cycle as the business cycle officially begins expanding. The opportunity is becoming clearer... But don't confuse one green weekend with confirmation. The bull reversal takes time and often patience. Intro 00:00 The bottom vs. the opportunity 00:25 Eth enters new cycle 1:15 Sui is opportunity 4:35 Ada confirmation 6:50
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