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ETH/BTC is doing something it's only done once before....in 2019, right after the QT dip was over and normalization phase ended. Same spot in the liquidity cycle and same setup. Last time it kicked off the crypto bull market and altcoin repricing. Here I discuss confirmation and invalidation areas...

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Dan Gambardello

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32,476 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50
13:46

The oversold conditions we're seeing right now on Bitcoin and Ethereum on the weekly and on the monthly are the same conditions that have marked every major bottom across every cycle. Every single one. After years of altcoins getting absolutely demolished, ETH/BTC is showing the exact same structure it showed in 2019 right after QT ended. And QT just ended in December. Is it different this time? Maybe... But I'm paying attention. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin bottom 1:30 BTC confirmation 3:20 ETH vs. BTC 6:10 ETH breakout and altcoins 9:50

Dan Gambardello

31,597 views • 5 months ago

7 years in the making: Ethereum is about to decide what happens next to altcoins. ETH/BTC is sitting at a trendline that's rejected Ethereum and altcoins for nearly a year. If it breaks, it could be the confirmation altcoin holders have been waiting for. If it fails, expect more downside volatility. I walk through why this may be the most important chart in crypto right now and how it ties into the business cycle, post-QT normalization, and even the Clarity Act. Intro 00:00 ETH/BTC and Clarity Act 2:30 Altcoin dips 5:10 Macro reversal 7:50 Watch ETH/BTC if Clarity passes 10:15 ETH risk 11:20 Eth price action short term 13:00
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7 years in the making: Ethereum is about to decide what happens next to altcoins. ETH/BTC is sitting at a trendline that's rejected Ethereum and altcoins for nearly a year. If it breaks, it could be the confirmation altcoin holders have been waiting for. If it fails, expect more downside volatility. I walk through why this may be the most important chart in crypto right now and how it ties into the business cycle, post-QT normalization, and even the Clarity Act. Intro 00:00 ETH/BTC and Clarity Act 2:30 Altcoin dips 5:10 Macro reversal 7:50 Watch ETH/BTC if Clarity passes 10:15 ETH risk 11:20 Eth price action short term 13:00

Dan Gambardello

29,442 views • 1 month ago

Ethereum’s “mini crypto winter” might finally be ending as Bitmine continues to stack ETH like crazy. The structure looks almost identical to past reversals, though nothing is yet confirmed as ETH trades in the middle of pattern. I'm waiting to see confirmation areas discussed below. And Bitcoin is back at the same confluence that often shows up before big moves. BTC is also waiting for bull or bear confirmations. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin rejected 1:20 Bull conformation 4:15 Watch these areas 5:00 Ethereum mini crypto winter 6:30 ETH reversal structure 8:00 Ethereum downside target 9:10 ETH bull moves 10:25
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Ethereum’s “mini crypto winter” might finally be ending as Bitmine continues to stack ETH like crazy. The structure looks almost identical to past reversals, though nothing is yet confirmed as ETH trades in the middle of pattern. I'm waiting to see confirmation areas discussed below. And Bitcoin is back at the same confluence that often shows up before big moves. BTC is also waiting for bull or bear confirmations. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin rejected 1:20 Bull conformation 4:15 Watch these areas 5:00 Ethereum mini crypto winter 6:30 ETH reversal structure 8:00 Ethereum downside target 9:10 ETH bull moves 10:25

Dan Gambardello

18,521 views • 4 months ago

What If We’re All Wrong About Crypto… (Before It All Turns) Intro 00:00 Big announcement 1:45 BTC risk 2:20 July 2019 all over again 2:55 Bull vs. bear validation 5:15 AI insight on bull 6:10 Altcoin risk 8:15 ETH confirmation 9:50 If this gets bad 12:45 When to buy/sell 15:00
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What If We’re All Wrong About Crypto… (Before It All Turns) Intro 00:00 Big announcement 1:45 BTC risk 2:20 July 2019 all over again 2:55 Bull vs. bear validation 5:15 AI insight on bull 6:10 Altcoin risk 8:15 ETH confirmation 9:50 If this gets bad 12:45 When to buy/sell 15:00

Dan Gambardello

19,099 views • 10 months ago

ETH/BTC just made a trendline breakout that hasn't happened in over 6 years. It's the first real crack we've seen in a 5 year long altcoin bear market. Meanwhile USD pairs across the board are just about ready to breakout or lose all support for more downside. Intro 00:00 BTC bull 1price targets 1:45 BTC bear targets 3:45 Ethereum and altcoin caution 5:05 ETH/BTC cycle breakout 7:45
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ETH/BTC just made a trendline breakout that hasn't happened in over 6 years. It's the first real crack we've seen in a 5 year long altcoin bear market. Meanwhile USD pairs across the board are just about ready to breakout or lose all support for more downside. Intro 00:00 BTC bull 1price targets 1:45 BTC bear targets 3:45 Ethereum and altcoin caution 5:05 ETH/BTC cycle breakout 7:45

Dan Gambardello

23,624 views • 1 month ago

Bitcoin up 13% since November 2024. Ethereum up 14% in the same stretch. A year and a half and basically the same return. The BTC vs altcoin war online is louder than the actual gap. I know BTC has had its ATH in between, but I'd argue Bitcoin hasn't even had its real bull market yet, and that should get even BTC-only holders excited. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin vs. altcoins 00:45 Bitcoin hasn’t had bull market? 4:20 BTC and ETH returns 7:45 Crypto price action and support 11:45
16:02

Bitcoin up 13% since November 2024. Ethereum up 14% in the same stretch. A year and a half and basically the same return. The BTC vs altcoin war online is louder than the actual gap. I know BTC has had its ATH in between, but I'd argue Bitcoin hasn't even had its real bull market yet, and that should get even BTC-only holders excited. Intro 00:00 Bitcoin vs. altcoins 00:45 Bitcoin hasn’t had bull market? 4:20 BTC and ETH returns 7:45 Crypto price action and support 11:45

Dan Gambardello

17,037 views • 3 months ago

Bitcoin $75K. Monthly MACD move, first time since the bear market bottom. ADA daily MACD compression mirrors July 2019 & late 2022. SUI weekly MACD just flipped. ETH sitting 21% from the 20-month MA. Doing this for 8 years. The setup forming right now has my full attention. Intro 00:00 BTC dominance attention 00:30 Bull signal 3:00 Altcoin caution 4:00 Ethereum 7:20 SUI bull confirmation 8:45 Cardano compression 11:35
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Bitcoin $75K. Monthly MACD move, first time since the bear market bottom. ADA daily MACD compression mirrors July 2019 & late 2022. SUI weekly MACD just flipped. ETH sitting 21% from the 20-month MA. Doing this for 8 years. The setup forming right now has my full attention. Intro 00:00 BTC dominance attention 00:30 Bull signal 3:00 Altcoin caution 4:00 Ethereum 7:20 SUI bull confirmation 8:45 Cardano compression 11:35

Dan Gambardello

31,760 views • 4 months ago

If You Hold ALTCOINS, You NEED to See This PMI just came out TODAY and it printed lower at 47.9...after quantitative tightening officially ended. That’s the same post-QT lag we saw in 2019, right before liquidity turned. Altcoins move at the confluence of liquidity and business activity. This is the data point every crypto holder should pay attention to. In this video I explain exactly what this PMI print means for a crypto bull market. Intro 00:00 Exactly what the PMI data means 1:25 Could we expand sooner this cycle? 10:20 Altcoins vs. BTC 12:30 Dip or bear market? 14:20 Big CCV Intelligence update 17:40
18:43

If You Hold ALTCOINS, You NEED to See This PMI just came out TODAY and it printed lower at 47.9...after quantitative tightening officially ended. That’s the same post-QT lag we saw in 2019, right before liquidity turned. Altcoins move at the confluence of liquidity and business activity. This is the data point every crypto holder should pay attention to. In this video I explain exactly what this PMI print means for a crypto bull market. Intro 00:00 Exactly what the PMI data means 1:25 Could we expand sooner this cycle? 10:20 Altcoins vs. BTC 12:30 Dip or bear market? 14:20 Big CCV Intelligence update 17:40

Dan Gambardello

149,595 views • 7 months ago

Monthly RSI has been fully reset and the post-QT dip I've been warning about since January is nearly complete. The business cycle is also expanding. ETH ADA SUI are coiled tighter than any point before. While IT COULD ALL GO TO $0, and no one knows what will happen, the setup is here and the data is clear. Thank you for watching. Intro 00:00 Post-qt dip almost over 00:20 Altcoin setup could not look better 3:00 Ethereum 4:25 Cardano 6:35 SUI 8:50
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Monthly RSI has been fully reset and the post-QT dip I've been warning about since January is nearly complete. The business cycle is also expanding. ETH ADA SUI are coiled tighter than any point before. While IT COULD ALL GO TO $0, and no one knows what will happen, the setup is here and the data is clear. Thank you for watching. Intro 00:00 Post-qt dip almost over 00:20 Altcoin setup could not look better 3:00 Ethereum 4:25 Cardano 6:35 SUI 8:50

Dan Gambardello

26,353 views • 5 months ago

As the crypto market recovers over the coming months, $ETH will outperform $BTC and that will be very good for Altcoins As I’ve mentioned, we have only 2–3 months to get everything ready before the altcoins market truly explodes. The ETH/BTC chart is very great for long-term
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As the crypto market recovers over the coming months, $ETH will outperform $BTC and that will be very good for Altcoins As I’ve mentioned, we have only 2–3 months to get everything ready before the altcoins market truly explodes. The ETH/BTC chart is very great for long-term

Ryker 🇯🇵

208,556 views • 1 month ago

Ethereum is quietly setting up a possible move to $3,700–$4,200. This is the same post-QT pattern that played out last cycle. Meanwhile, so many are calling the Bitcoin 200-day rejection a bear market signal. Last time it happened in 2022, QT was just getting announced. 200 day resistance in 2018 we were in the middle of first ever QT. This time, QT just ENDED in December. It's an opposite macro environment, so we should consider other explanations at the very least. It's unpopular to consider that crypto doesn't look as bad as it seems, but here you go anyway! Upside and downside discussed here. Intro 00:00 BTC 200 day resistance 1:10 This is not 2022 2:00 4 year cycles 3:55 What's going on with altcoins? 5:00 Eth altcoin analysis 6:30 Ethereum price target 10:00
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Ethereum is quietly setting up a possible move to $3,700–$4,200. This is the same post-QT pattern that played out last cycle. Meanwhile, so many are calling the Bitcoin 200-day rejection a bear market signal. Last time it happened in 2022, QT was just getting announced. 200 day resistance in 2018 we were in the middle of first ever QT. This time, QT just ENDED in December. It's an opposite macro environment, so we should consider other explanations at the very least. It's unpopular to consider that crypto doesn't look as bad as it seems, but here you go anyway! Upside and downside discussed here. Intro 00:00 BTC 200 day resistance 1:10 This is not 2022 2:00 4 year cycles 3:55 What's going on with altcoins? 5:00 Eth altcoin analysis 6:30 Ethereum price target 10:00

Dan Gambardello

19,567 views • 3 months ago

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25
18:41

5 red monthly candles on ETH and altcoins falling nonstop. But after years, PMI regional data is pointing toward expansion. The business cycle that has correlated with every crypto bull and bear is shifting. The last two times crypto looked like this on the macro, it was the bottom. I could be wrong and if I am I'll say it. But the data right now doesn't say bear market starting. It says bear market ending. ISM prints tomorrow morning... Intro 00:00 ISM PMI about to turn 00:50 Bitcoin bear vs. bull 2:50 Ethereum 7:30 Altcoins 13:25

Dan Gambardello

65,274 views • 6 months ago

LIVE NOW - Ben Cowen: Ethereum Season Is Here | How Far Can ETH Go? Ethereum has flipped the switch. After years of underperformance, ETH is showing decisive momentum, not just in USD terms, but against Bitcoin and the broader altcoin market. In this episode, Benjamin Cowen returns to break down what’s changed, why ETH may be on a path to new all-time highs, and what its dominance means for the rest of the cycle. -------------- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 3:40 ETH Coming Home 14:13 Why ETH Outperforms Now 18:51 What ETH Season Actually Looks Like 24:48 ETH/BTC Targets & USD Projections 29:25 Price First, Narrative Later 32:27 Bitcoin Risks & the Flippening Hypothetical 36:17 Ben’s Market Timeline 43:36 ETH Treasury Narrative Flip 48:11 Where’s the Alt Season?
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LIVE NOW - Ben Cowen: Ethereum Season Is Here | How Far Can ETH Go? Ethereum has flipped the switch. After years of underperformance, ETH is showing decisive momentum, not just in USD terms, but against Bitcoin and the broader altcoin market. In this episode, Benjamin Cowen returns to break down what’s changed, why ETH may be on a path to new all-time highs, and what its dominance means for the rest of the cycle. -------------- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 3:40 ETH Coming Home 14:13 Why ETH Outperforms Now 18:51 What ETH Season Actually Looks Like 24:48 ETH/BTC Targets & USD Projections 29:25 Price First, Narrative Later 32:27 Bitcoin Risks & the Flippening Hypothetical 36:17 Ben’s Market Timeline 43:36 ETH Treasury Narrative Flip 48:11 Where’s the Alt Season?

Bankless

71,588 views • 1 year ago

Crypto is red today, but the chart that actually matters for altcoins is up & sitting at a multi‑year pivot. Others/BTC is pressing into the same setup we had post‑QT in 2019, right as PMI finally flips into expansion. This chart is getting squeezed right into a cycle shift. Intro 00:00 Macro theory summation 1:00 QT 1:30 PMI 2:40 Here’s where the cycle is 4:00 Copper/Gold breaking out 6:10 Altcoins vs. Bitcoin 7:45 Altcoins did this last time 9:30 Other macro indicators 12:30
16:04

Crypto is red today, but the chart that actually matters for altcoins is up & sitting at a multi‑year pivot. Others/BTC is pressing into the same setup we had post‑QT in 2019, right as PMI finally flips into expansion. This chart is getting squeezed right into a cycle shift. Intro 00:00 Macro theory summation 1:00 QT 1:30 PMI 2:40 Here’s where the cycle is 4:00 Copper/Gold breaking out 6:10 Altcoins vs. Bitcoin 7:45 Altcoins did this last time 9:30 Other macro indicators 12:30

Dan Gambardello

17,964 views • 2 months ago

LIVE NOW -- Why is ETH Down So Bad this Cycle? | Kyle Samani SOL/ETH is up 300% YoY, and ETH/BTC is down 50% over the last 2 years. Why is ETH underperforming so bad? Kyle Samani is the Managing Partner & Co-Founder at . Kyle and Multicoin are among the largest investors and proponents of Solana. They have been spearheading the ‘integrated blockchain’ investment theses even before the success of Solana redefined that corner of crypto. This episode is not intended to be a debate like the vs Justin Drake one. Ryan and David are mostly going to sit back and hear Kyle’s perspective and reasoning as to why ETH has been down so bad in this crypto cycle. ========================================= Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 5:40 Ethereum in a Vacuum 10:10 $ETH Vs. $BTC 25:50 Broken Layer2 Interoperability 34:46 Value Capture 51:46 What Needs to Change 55:23 Decentralization 1:06:34 #Solana 1:12:25 Steelmanning #Ethereum 1:17:49 Closing & Disclaimers
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LIVE NOW -- Why is ETH Down So Bad this Cycle? | Kyle Samani SOL/ETH is up 300% YoY, and ETH/BTC is down 50% over the last 2 years. Why is ETH underperforming so bad? Kyle Samani is the Managing Partner & Co-Founder at . Kyle and Multicoin are among the largest investors and proponents of Solana. They have been spearheading the ‘integrated blockchain’ investment theses even before the success of Solana redefined that corner of crypto. This episode is not intended to be a debate like the vs Justin Drake one. Ryan and David are mostly going to sit back and hear Kyle’s perspective and reasoning as to why ETH has been down so bad in this crypto cycle. ========================================= Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 5:40 Ethereum in a Vacuum 10:10 $ETH Vs. $BTC 25:50 Broken Layer2 Interoperability 34:46 Value Capture 51:46 What Needs to Change 55:23 Decentralization 1:06:34 #Solana 1:12:25 Steelmanning #Ethereum 1:17:49 Closing & Disclaimers

Bankless

91,016 views • 2 years ago

Bitcoin has been more suppressed than it ever has been. The momentum of BTC has been oversold within the past 4 months in a way that typically takes years. Now it's testing the trendline that has defined this entire downtrend. Ethereum is sitting at a similar moment. Intro 00:00 Oversold more than ever 1:20 BTC trend reversal 4:05 Watching for bull confirmation 4:50 BTC targets 7:00 Eth/btc 12:10 Eth targets 13:20
16:40

Bitcoin has been more suppressed than it ever has been. The momentum of BTC has been oversold within the past 4 months in a way that typically takes years. Now it's testing the trendline that has defined this entire downtrend. Ethereum is sitting at a similar moment. Intro 00:00 Oversold more than ever 1:20 BTC trend reversal 4:05 Watching for bull confirmation 4:50 BTC targets 7:00 Eth/btc 12:10 Eth targets 13:20

Dan Gambardello

25,034 views • 1 month ago

Altcoins have gone five years without a bull market and this is their last chance. If the economy expands from here and altcoins still don't move, then the people saying altcoins are finished are probably right. But if business cycle expansion does drive crypto bull markets, it's a very good idea to be ready. Intro 00:00 The 3rd altcoin cycle 00:30 Major Ethereum reversal 1:15 SUI setup 7:55 Cardano 10:50 Last chance for altcoins 14:15
19:50

Altcoins have gone five years without a bull market and this is their last chance. If the economy expands from here and altcoins still don't move, then the people saying altcoins are finished are probably right. But if business cycle expansion does drive crypto bull markets, it's a very good idea to be ready. Intro 00:00 The 3rd altcoin cycle 00:30 Major Ethereum reversal 1:15 SUI setup 7:55 Cardano 10:50 Last chance for altcoins 14:15

Dan Gambardello

67,210 views • 27 days ago

Doesn't matter if you think bottom is in or we are 3 months from bottom, crypto is looking awesome! Today's CPI print was the biggest monthly drop since May 2020. The disinflation narrative I've been talking about for weeks is now showing up. So watch how fast the headlines start flipping. ETH/BTC is also breaking out today. This is the chart that kicks off the altcoin market. Bitcoin sitting at the 200-week MA with full momentum reset. Whether the bottom is in now or in October, this window took years to get to. Position and prepare based on your risk tolerance. Intro 00:00 Is the bottom in? 1:35 Inflation falls 3:50 Is BTC looking this bad? 5:35 Altcoin bottom signals 10:45 ETH/BTC breakout 13:25
17:14

Doesn't matter if you think bottom is in or we are 3 months from bottom, crypto is looking awesome! Today's CPI print was the biggest monthly drop since May 2020. The disinflation narrative I've been talking about for weeks is now showing up. So watch how fast the headlines start flipping. ETH/BTC is also breaking out today. This is the chart that kicks off the altcoin market. Bitcoin sitting at the 200-week MA with full momentum reset. Whether the bottom is in now or in October, this window took years to get to. Position and prepare based on your risk tolerance. Intro 00:00 Is the bottom in? 1:35 Inflation falls 3:50 Is BTC looking this bad? 5:35 Altcoin bottom signals 10:45 ETH/BTC breakout 13:25

Dan Gambardello

24,094 views • 1 month ago

Is This $BTC Final Rally Before a Bear Market? w/ Until $BTC dominance peaks and $ETH holds $5K, altseason is just a dream. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:56 – Flash Crash Recap 08:12 – Bitcoin’s Q4 Prediction 14:00 – $ETH Drop + Recovery Outlook 17:10 – Why ETH Needs $5K 20:58 – Nexo 21:32 – Figure Markets 22:06 – When Will Altseason Begin? 26:02 – Does Narrative Follow Price? 33:37 – How to Survive the Next Bear Market 40:10 – Satoshi Valuation Explained 45:10 – Cowen’s Top Q4 Watch Signals 52:20 – Wrap-Up
53:17

Is This $BTC Final Rally Before a Bear Market? w/ Until $BTC dominance peaks and $ETH holds $5K, altseason is just a dream. Tune in to know more ⏱ TIME POINTS ⏱ 00:00 – Intro 01:56 – Flash Crash Recap 08:12 – Bitcoin’s Q4 Prediction 14:00 – $ETH Drop + Recovery Outlook 17:10 – Why ETH Needs $5K 20:58 – Nexo 21:32 – Figure Markets 22:06 – When Will Altseason Begin? 26:02 – Does Narrative Follow Price? 33:37 – How to Survive the Next Bear Market 40:10 – Satoshi Valuation Explained 45:10 – Cowen’s Top Q4 Watch Signals 52:20 – Wrap-Up

Milk Road

136,049 views • 10 months ago

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55
13:43

Bitcoin just flashed a signal it’s only shown once before, in the 2022 bottom At the same time, Saylor sold $2.5M BTC last week… then turned around and now bought $100M BTC And altcoin dominance has been quietly climbing for months. Everyone’s certain about the “October bottom”. I get it, it's fine. But it's a good idea to consider all possibilities... We’ve got: 1. Weekly RSI printing the same bullish divergence as the last major bottom 2. Copper/gold reversing with PMI expansion 3. Altcoin dominance following the same post‑QT pattern as 2019 4. Bitcoin sitting at the same oversold levels we only see at real cycle lows Could we still drop into Q4? Sure. But ignoring this data because it doesn’t fit the four‑year calendar is a mistake, and makes no sense from an analytical perspective. Consider all possibilities I’m not calling a bottom. I’m simply saying the setup is way more interesting than people think, and it deserves a real look! Intro 00:00 Saylor buys BTC 00:40 Bitcoin and the bottom 2:30 BTC bottom signal 3:00 Copper/gold 7:40 Altcoin dominance 9:55

Dan Gambardello

30,451 views • 2 months ago