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Euan Sinclair. 27 years trading volatility. phd physicist. wrote the book on vol trading, literally, it's called Volatility Trading. on a coin that pays 51 heads / 49 tails: "over an infinite time period, you're going to make an infinite amount of money. but in any given flip, you're...

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Goshawk Trades

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35,414 次观看 • 2 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Qullamaggie on Putting in Work on the Weekends Is the Only Way You Will Make It In Trading “Don't forget to put in a lot of work during the weekend. That's the only way you're going to make it. It's during the weekends. That's where your edge is honed. It's not watching trading choppy markets. That's not where you get an edge. You get an edge by sitting there and doing things most people are not willing to do. That's where edge comes from. Okay, guys. Good luck. See ya.”
0:27

Qullamaggie on Putting in Work on the Weekends Is the Only Way You Will Make It In Trading “Don't forget to put in a lot of work during the weekend. That's the only way you're going to make it. It's during the weekends. That's where your edge is honed. It's not watching trading choppy markets. That's not where you get an edge. You get an edge by sitting there and doing things most people are not willing to do. That's where edge comes from. Okay, guys. Good luck. See ya.”

Lone

15,114 次观看 • 7 个月前

Threadguy reveals the real reason Waymo is going to take over the world "The real value of Waymo is not that it's cheaper. It's that you get in a Waymo and you don't have to talk to anybody. That is why Waymo is gonna take over the world and flip Uber. Nobody actually cares about the 10% discount or saving a little bit of money on gas." "They just don't want to talk to the guy who drives the Uber. And requesting a silent Uber is just a weird thing to do, you're like an asshole if you do that. I would rather walk than request a silent Uber honestly."
0:52

Threadguy reveals the real reason Waymo is going to take over the world "The real value of Waymo is not that it's cheaper. It's that you get in a Waymo and you don't have to talk to anybody. That is why Waymo is gonna take over the world and flip Uber. Nobody actually cares about the 10% discount or saving a little bit of money on gas." "They just don't want to talk to the guy who drives the Uber. And requesting a silent Uber is just a weird thing to do, you're like an asshole if you do that. I would rather walk than request a silent Uber honestly."

Kai

77,845 次观看 • 5 个月前

Prioritise Owning Equity "You're not going to get rich renting out your time. You must own equity - a piece of a business - to gain your financial freedom." Trading time for money is a losing game. The real wealth comes from ownership. Don’t be an employee. Be an owner.
0:31

Prioritise Owning Equity "You're not going to get rich renting out your time. You must own equity - a piece of a business - to gain your financial freedom." Trading time for money is a losing game. The real wealth comes from ownership. Don’t be an employee. Be an owner.

MATT GRAY

198,181 次观看 • 1 年前

The #1 prediction markets trader says the two most important skills didn't come from markets — they came from poker. "The first thing is being comfortable putting money behind your own research. A lot of people find that too daunting as a concept." "Smart people who follow the news — they think it's easy from the outside. Hindsight bias makes them think 'Trump at 60% was a lock.'" "The second thing is you really have to be humble. Very quickly you're going to lose a bet. And you're going to think you're an idiot." "In poker you can be the best player in the world and have a whole month where you're losing money. That's psychologically very hard." "It's a matter of navigating losing in real time. The self-doubt, wondering if you're doing the totally wrong thing." "You have to be comfortable with the fact that maybe you're only going to win 60% of the time."
2:57

The #1 prediction markets trader says the two most important skills didn't come from markets — they came from poker. "The first thing is being comfortable putting money behind your own research. A lot of people find that too daunting as a concept." "Smart people who follow the news — they think it's easy from the outside. Hindsight bias makes them think 'Trump at 60% was a lock.'" "The second thing is you really have to be humble. Very quickly you're going to lose a bet. And you're going to think you're an idiot." "In poker you can be the best player in the world and have a whole month where you're losing money. That's psychologically very hard." "It's a matter of navigating losing in real time. The self-doubt, wondering if you're doing the totally wrong thing." "You have to be comfortable with the fact that maybe you're only going to win 60% of the time."

Ethan Kho

29,323 次观看 • 4 个月前

Day 4 of why you need to use Jupiter Mobile: UNIFIED TRADING HISTORY See a unified, real-time view of every tx you’ve ever made, across your entire portfolio. Most wallets only show partial activity and force you to get a PhD in explorers to reconstruct what happened on your own. Instead, on Jupiter Mobile V3 you get: - A complete trading history per token directly on the token page - See every move across Swaps, Limit Orders, Recurring Orders, Transfers, and Magic Links in one view - Clean aggregation across your entire portfolio and at the token level - A single, chronological timeline that updates in real time All of it lives directly inside the History tab. Know every move you've made. Just Use Jupiter (Mobile). iOS: Android:
0:38

Day 4 of why you need to use Jupiter Mobile: UNIFIED TRADING HISTORY See a unified, real-time view of every tx you’ve ever made, across your entire portfolio. Most wallets only show partial activity and force you to get a PhD in explorers to reconstruct what happened on your own. Instead, on Jupiter Mobile V3 you get: - A complete trading history per token directly on the token page - See every move across Swaps, Limit Orders, Recurring Orders, Transfers, and Magic Links in one view - Clean aggregation across your entire portfolio and at the token level - A single, chronological timeline that updates in real time All of it lives directly inside the History tab. Know every move you've made. Just Use Jupiter (Mobile). iOS: Android:

Jupiter

271,170 次观看 • 7 个月前

a former quant PM at Tudor Investment Corp and Moore Capital, two of the most legendary hedge funds ever built. on the trap he's watched destroy traders over and over again: "you can go out there and sell options for the premium and make money 99 days out of 100." "and for 98 of those 99 days, you're sure you're brilliant. you've come up with something totally new." "you don't make much money every day, but you make it every day. so all you need to do is multiply your size by 10,000 and you're going to get rich because it makes money every day." "you think you've cracked the code. you haven't cracked the code." "what you've done is you've compressed your risk. you've traded a half percent gain every day for a 150% loss on the 99th day." "when you average that over years, you're going to be a loser. but on the way up, you get paid." "year one, you get paid. year two, you get paid. year three, you lose more than you made in the last two. maybe you get fired. you go to another shop and do the same thing over again." this is the most common failure in systematic trading. a strategy that wins almost every day feels great, but often it's a time bomb with a fuse you can't see. if your equity curve looks too smooth to be true, you probably found tail risk.
2:48

a former quant PM at Tudor Investment Corp and Moore Capital, two of the most legendary hedge funds ever built. on the trap he's watched destroy traders over and over again: "you can go out there and sell options for the premium and make money 99 days out of 100." "and for 98 of those 99 days, you're sure you're brilliant. you've come up with something totally new." "you don't make much money every day, but you make it every day. so all you need to do is multiply your size by 10,000 and you're going to get rich because it makes money every day." "you think you've cracked the code. you haven't cracked the code." "what you've done is you've compressed your risk. you've traded a half percent gain every day for a 150% loss on the 99th day." "when you average that over years, you're going to be a loser. but on the way up, you get paid." "year one, you get paid. year two, you get paid. year three, you lose more than you made in the last two. maybe you get fired. you go to another shop and do the same thing over again." this is the most common failure in systematic trading. a strategy that wins almost every day feels great, but often it's a time bomb with a fuse you can't see. if your equity curve looks too smooth to be true, you probably found tail risk.

Goshawk Trades

108,242 次观看 • 2 个月前

You don't need to lose money to learn how to trade. PaperTrench is a Chrome extension that turns the trading platforms you already use into a paper trading terminal Real charts. Real prices. Fake money Your bubbles show up on the chart, your trades are recorded and documented in both picture, video form for you to review oh yeah, there is a leaderboard! top 3 paper traders at the end of the month will get some prizes. Gl out there 🫡 (Free & Open source)
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You don't need to lose money to learn how to trade. PaperTrench is a Chrome extension that turns the trading platforms you already use into a paper trading terminal Real charts. Real prices. Fake money Your bubbles show up on the chart, your trades are recorded and documented in both picture, video form for you to review oh yeah, there is a leaderboard! top 3 paper traders at the end of the month will get some prizes. Gl out there 🫡 (Free & Open source)

Terp

132,470 次观看 • 23 天前

"The worst trade is a trade that you make money on. Because then you convince yourself bad trades will make you money, and you lose a lot going forward" Tillman Holloway on why you can't let the market drive you into emotional decisions "The intention is to not let the conditions of the market drive you into an emotional state that then leads you into a decision. Those decisions most of the time are bad ones" "There's an old adage my dad and my granddad used to tell me. The worst trade is a trade that you make money on. That's a bad trade because then you convince yourself that bad trades will make you money" "You gotta have a strategy, and you gotta deploy it without emotion"
0:35

"The worst trade is a trade that you make money on. Because then you convince yourself bad trades will make you money, and you lose a lot going forward" Tillman Holloway on why you can't let the market drive you into emotional decisions "The intention is to not let the conditions of the market drive you into an emotional state that then leads you into a decision. Those decisions most of the time are bad ones" "There's an old adage my dad and my granddad used to tell me. The worst trade is a trade that you make money on. That's a bad trade because then you convince yourself that bad trades will make you money" "You gotta have a strategy, and you gotta deploy it without emotion"

The Wolf Of All Streets

15,907 次观看 • 2 个月前

Kevin O'Leary on why Jeff Bezos refuses to make any decision after 1pm: "Bezos will not make a decision after 1:00 in the afternoon because he felt that the noise was too high. The signal for him was in the morning hours." For O'Leary, this scheduling habit defines what separates successful entrepreneurs from the rest: "This is a crucial aspect of success that I now understand to be the ability of… it defines an entrepreneur, a man or woman that understands the signal noise ratio that focuses on that, they'll be successful. The ones that can't, that get down to a 50/50 signal noise, they'll fail." Bezos understood something most people miss: your mind has a limited window each day where signal is strong and noise is low. He protected that window fiercely, refusing to make decisions once afternoon hit and clarity faded. The deeper insight goes beyond timing. It's about ruthless prioritisation. Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful explains how this plays out in practice: "You made one of your things today this interview. You're going to get it done. You're going to all these people around and everything else. This is one of the three to five things you're going to get done. I have five things today. I'm going to get them done. I'll do the same thing tomorrow and the day after that." Three to five things. A small, deliberate number of decisions and actions that actually matter. He closes with the question every entrepreneur should be asking themselves: "You have to decide how much signal you need to get those three to five things done."
0:55

Kevin O'Leary on why Jeff Bezos refuses to make any decision after 1pm: "Bezos will not make a decision after 1:00 in the afternoon because he felt that the noise was too high. The signal for him was in the morning hours." For O'Leary, this scheduling habit defines what separates successful entrepreneurs from the rest: "This is a crucial aspect of success that I now understand to be the ability of… it defines an entrepreneur, a man or woman that understands the signal noise ratio that focuses on that, they'll be successful. The ones that can't, that get down to a 50/50 signal noise, they'll fail." Bezos understood something most people miss: your mind has a limited window each day where signal is strong and noise is low. He protected that window fiercely, refusing to make decisions once afternoon hit and clarity faded. The deeper insight goes beyond timing. It's about ruthless prioritisation. Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful explains how this plays out in practice: "You made one of your things today this interview. You're going to get it done. You're going to all these people around and everything else. This is one of the three to five things you're going to get done. I have five things today. I'm going to get them done. I'll do the same thing tomorrow and the day after that." Three to five things. A small, deliberate number of decisions and actions that actually matter. He closes with the question every entrepreneur should be asking themselves: "You have to decide how much signal you need to get those three to five things done."

Big Brain Business

42,231 次观看 • 3 个月前

Ansem explains the problem with the trenches and how to fix it "Everybody's been trading these $10K market cap coins and not holding anything. The average hold time has been like 30 seconds" "The way you actually make money during bull markets is holding things for an extended period of time. If solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 goes from $60 to $600, the coins onchain that are beta to Solana are going to 100x at minimum" "You want to buy the coins that are getting momentum and trending, not the ones that just launch and don't have confirmed momentum yet" "The reason coins did well in the past is all the holders were deliberate and aggressive about sharing their thesis and aligning on it. it was more PvE than PvP" "People like trading crypto is because you're able to make a lot of money off a little bit of money, but that only works if people are aligned around the same thesis"
1:37

Ansem explains the problem with the trenches and how to fix it "Everybody's been trading these $10K market cap coins and not holding anything. The average hold time has been like 30 seconds" "The way you actually make money during bull markets is holding things for an extended period of time. If solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 goes from $60 to $600, the coins onchain that are beta to Solana are going to 100x at minimum" "You want to buy the coins that are getting momentum and trending, not the ones that just launch and don't have confirmed momentum yet" "The reason coins did well in the past is all the holders were deliberate and aggressive about sharing their thesis and aligning on it. it was more PvE than PvP" "People like trading crypto is because you're able to make a lot of money off a little bit of money, but that only works if people are aligned around the same thesis"

Market Bubble

30,872 次观看 • 1 个月前

$10,000 WAGER AGAINST S&P FURUS I am EXTREMELY skeptical of one’s ability to succeed only intraday trading the s&p or similar indices. NO BROKEN SLOT MACHINE = NO EDGE! Yet huge FinTwit ecosystem of courses & chatrooms exist giving false hope to good-hearted people that can’t afford to waste their time or money. If the marketer is not providing edge and verifying proof, it is unethical for them to cause harm to their consumers. My $10,000 gauntlet for those marketing courses/services: -3 years of statements -Indices traded > 80% of trading days -Over 250 index trades per year - Net PNL > $250k from the daily trading of indices (not just one big chop on an in-play name) If proven wrong, I will redact this statement and publicly make a video that I am wrong and provide credibility to you. LETS SEPARATE THE WHEAT FROM THE CHAFF!
6:14

$10,000 WAGER AGAINST S&P FURUS I am EXTREMELY skeptical of one’s ability to succeed only intraday trading the s&p or similar indices. NO BROKEN SLOT MACHINE = NO EDGE! Yet huge FinTwit ecosystem of courses & chatrooms exist giving false hope to good-hearted people that can’t afford to waste their time or money. If the marketer is not providing edge and verifying proof, it is unethical for them to cause harm to their consumers. My $10,000 gauntlet for those marketing courses/services: -3 years of statements -Indices traded > 80% of trading days -Over 250 index trades per year - Net PNL > $250k from the daily trading of indices (not just one big chop on an in-play name) If proven wrong, I will redact this statement and publicly make a video that I am wrong and provide credibility to you. LETS SEPARATE THE WHEAT FROM THE CHAFF!

Lance Breitstein 🇺🇸🌎

915,158 次观看 • 2 年前

+15k today trading, last year I was working $30/hour I can personally tell you, going from broke to making unfathomable amounts of money is one of the best feelings in life deep down you know, a job isn't for you you've seen your parents... you really wanna be like them? whether you're in college, have a job, or don't know what is going on in life the truth is this: you're either a person who is going to work a job your whole life or you're going to do whatever it takes to make sure that doesn't happen make a decision and do EVERYTHING you can to change your situation and do not stop until its changed IT IS NOT EASY but you wouldn't still be reading this if there wasn't a part of you that didn't think you were capable stop telling yourself you can't because of your current situation start now, take small steps less video games, netflix, social media, p*rn more time spent towards figuring out how you're going to make internet money or work a job your whole life and look back at your life in regret choice is yours
2:52

+15k today trading, last year I was working $30/hour I can personally tell you, going from broke to making unfathomable amounts of money is one of the best feelings in life deep down you know, a job isn't for you you've seen your parents... you really wanna be like them? whether you're in college, have a job, or don't know what is going on in life the truth is this: you're either a person who is going to work a job your whole life or you're going to do whatever it takes to make sure that doesn't happen make a decision and do EVERYTHING you can to change your situation and do not stop until its changed IT IS NOT EASY but you wouldn't still be reading this if there wasn't a part of you that didn't think you were capable stop telling yourself you can't because of your current situation start now, take small steps less video games, netflix, social media, p*rn more time spent towards figuring out how you're going to make internet money or work a job your whole life and look back at your life in regret choice is yours

Trey

23,972 次观看 • 7 个月前

Obama in 2009: “What's going to happen is you are going to pay a significant fine. You are going to learn English. You are going to -- you are going to go to the back of the line so that you don't get ahead of somebody who was in Mexico City applying legally. But after you've done these things over a certain period of time you can earn your citizenship, so that it's not -- it's not something that is guaranteed or automatic. You've got to earn it. But over time you give people an opportunity. Now, it only works though if you do all the pieces. I think the American people, they appreciate and believe in immigration. But they can't have a situation where you just have half a million people pouring over the border without any kind of mechanism to control it!” Got it… Illegal immigration is wrong.. It must be merit based. And allowing, not just a million, but upwards of 15 million, unvetted 😳illegal immigrants into the Country is disastrous and unfair to everyone including Legal immigrants.
1:11

Obama in 2009: “What's going to happen is you are going to pay a significant fine. You are going to learn English. You are going to -- you are going to go to the back of the line so that you don't get ahead of somebody who was in Mexico City applying legally. But after you've done these things over a certain period of time you can earn your citizenship, so that it's not -- it's not something that is guaranteed or automatic. You've got to earn it. But over time you give people an opportunity. Now, it only works though if you do all the pieces. I think the American people, they appreciate and believe in immigration. But they can't have a situation where you just have half a million people pouring over the border without any kind of mechanism to control it!” Got it… Illegal immigration is wrong.. It must be merit based. And allowing, not just a million, but upwards of 15 million, unvetted 😳illegal immigrants into the Country is disastrous and unfair to everyone including Legal immigrants.

Suzanne 🇺🇸♥️

111,705 次观看 • 1 年前

Qullamaggie on SMB Capital and Daytrading “Yeah, and I can tell you that the day trading is just most of the time a waste of time, like this SMB that prop firm. I mean, this was like a couple of years ago when I saw a video of their best trader who makes like 300k per year. And that’s a guy who’s been trading for like 20 years. If you’ve been trading for 20 years, you should make 300k a week, not per year. So, that’s another confirmation that day trading is just not gonna cut it if you want to make big money. You gotta swing and position trade.”
0:45

Qullamaggie on SMB Capital and Daytrading “Yeah, and I can tell you that the day trading is just most of the time a waste of time, like this SMB that prop firm. I mean, this was like a couple of years ago when I saw a video of their best trader who makes like 300k per year. And that’s a guy who’s been trading for like 20 years. If you’ve been trading for 20 years, you should make 300k a week, not per year. So, that’s another confirmation that day trading is just not gonna cut it if you want to make big money. You gotta swing and position trade.”

Lone

138,715 次观看 • 7 个月前

The biggest lesson in my career: Trading less = earning more. As the week begins, I like to remind myself that if the setup isn't A+, then it isn't a setup. It is so easy to get caught up in overtrading and see mediocre setups eat up an account due to a lack of patience. As Jessie Livermore said, “Money is made by sitting, not trading.” The true winning trades will show themselves. Developing the strength to wait for the optimal setup is an art that must be practiced every single trading session.
0:25

The biggest lesson in my career: Trading less = earning more. As the week begins, I like to remind myself that if the setup isn't A+, then it isn't a setup. It is so easy to get caught up in overtrading and see mediocre setups eat up an account due to a lack of patience. As Jessie Livermore said, “Money is made by sitting, not trading.” The true winning trades will show themselves. Developing the strength to wait for the optimal setup is an art that must be practiced every single trading session.

GG

48,642 次观看 • 2 年前

From the archive: Brian Armstrong on AI trading bots "We're going to get AI agents that can be your registered investment advisors." "Imagine you are in the Coinbase 🛡️ app and you tell them: I want to put in $10,000, go make me money." "It may make mistakes and there's a lot of details to figure out, but I think having a trading bot do a lot of that for you (is very cool)."
0:56

From the archive: Brian Armstrong on AI trading bots "We're going to get AI agents that can be your registered investment advisors." "Imagine you are in the Coinbase 🛡️ app and you tell them: I want to put in $10,000, go make me money." "It may make mistakes and there's a lot of details to figure out, but I think having a trading bot do a lot of that for you (is very cool)."

TBPN

66,220 次观看 • 1 年前

I very much disagree with some of Jon Jones' recent statements. It's not about you, Jon. It's not about your life, it's not about your story. If you want to be a part of a reality show and take that money to delay things and hold someone else's dreams back from becoming a reality. That is ducking. That is ducking because there is a time-honored tradition in the sport. The whole thing has to move along. Get rid of that belt. Everyone thinks you've done enough. You've earned enough. You've proven enough. Now allow someone else to have that same story. You are holding back not only Tom Aspinall, but the rest of the division. So yes, you're missing the point. This isn't about you. It's about the belt.
4:44

I very much disagree with some of Jon Jones' recent statements. It's not about you, Jon. It's not about your life, it's not about your story. If you want to be a part of a reality show and take that money to delay things and hold someone else's dreams back from becoming a reality. That is ducking. That is ducking because there is a time-honored tradition in the sport. The whole thing has to move along. Get rid of that belt. Everyone thinks you've done enough. You've earned enough. You've proven enough. Now allow someone else to have that same story. You are holding back not only Tom Aspinall, but the rest of the division. So yes, you're missing the point. This isn't about you. It's about the belt.

Ariel Helwani

411,245 次观看 • 1 年前

The CIO of a crypto fund on what crypto actually added to trading: Tom Costello explains: "Crypto is a bunch of super, super, super smart guys cosplaying at finance." "It was built for retail. It wasn't built for institutions." "The easiest money in finance is taking money from retail. That's where you have the biggest information advantage — they don't really know what's going on." "If you know even a little about what's really going on, it's easy to find somebody who's wrong. That's most of the crypto space." "There are a lot of great, innovative ideas in crypto. A lot will produce real efficiency. But it's not going to be in trading." "No new trading ideas in there. None that won't end up with somebody in prison."
1:02

The CIO of a crypto fund on what crypto actually added to trading: Tom Costello explains: "Crypto is a bunch of super, super, super smart guys cosplaying at finance." "It was built for retail. It wasn't built for institutions." "The easiest money in finance is taking money from retail. That's where you have the biggest information advantage — they don't really know what's going on." "If you know even a little about what's really going on, it's easy to find somebody who's wrong. That's most of the crypto space." "There are a lot of great, innovative ideas in crypto. A lot will produce real efficiency. But it's not going to be in trading." "No new trading ideas in there. None that won't end up with somebody in prison."

Ethan Kho

36,811 次观看 • 2 个月前