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EVERY MEGA IPO IN HISTORY MARKED THE TOP OF A BUBBLE This pattern has never failed once in 100 years 1928 → Goldman Sachs IPO → 1929 crash: -86% 1971 → Intel IPO → 1973 crash: -53% 2000 → AT&T Wireless IPO → dot-com crash: -51% 2026 → Anthropic...

43,432 次观看 • 2 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

23 条评论

Dorian 的头像
Dorian1 个月前

You are not so good in pattern//scheme recognition i guess

paintingcandles 的头像
paintingcandles1 个月前

Might also be helpful to plot all the other IPOs before and after

David Chip”on” 的头像
David Chip”on”1 个月前

@grok true?

CoJoe 的头像
CoJoe1 个月前

Straight noise pollution. Buy, buy, buy…

Wotan 的头像
Wotan1 个月前

It might be the OPEN AI IPO coming after

Michael Klaus 的头像
Michael Klaus1 个月前

Got a final date yet? My S&P short is already waiting for tailwind 😬

bee🐝 的头像
bee🐝2 个月前

🐝🐝

Keep to yourself 的头像
Keep to yourself1 个月前

The “mega IPO marks the top” pattern is an interesting observation, but technological revolutions don’t end with a single listing. An Anthropic IPO would subject the business to public-market scrutiny which is healthy. I’m more interested in the multi-year growth trajectory than short-term drawdown risk.

santiago muñoz 的头像
santiago muñoz1 个月前

2008?

Finish 🏁 的头像
Finish 🏁2 个月前

👀

01 adanalı 的头像
01 adanalı1 个月前

random IPO's

Linton Worm (🍏,🪱) 的头像
Linton Worm (🍏,🪱)2 个月前

🍎🍏

SEPTINVESTING 的头像
SEPTINVESTING1 个月前

Mega IPOs always show up at peak liquidity — when the biggest one of an era hits, it’s usually the last gasp before the bubble unwinds.

Adel Bucetta 的头像
Adel Bucetta2 个月前

this pattern has never failed once in 100 years because the market's momentum is still a blunt instrument for valuing innovation, and ipos are just a snapshot of that momentary faith

philarekt 的头像
philarekt2 个月前

My private trading group:

Leviathan 的头像
Leviathan2 个月前

🧐

CASINO BONUS 500 的头像
CASINO BONUS 5001 个月前

Got something interesting for you guys

Trend Stalker 的头像
Trend Stalker1 个月前

Yeah OK. space x was a mid cap IPO 😂

Pepesso 的头像
Pepesso2 个月前

interesting one

Atento 的头像
Atento1 个月前

I thought it was SpaceX 🫠 So.....if not Anthropic, who else could it be Next? 🥲

ToraX 的头像
ToraX2 个月前

🤠🤠

Gargoyle 的头像
Gargoyle2 个月前

that a nice one

ck 的头像
ck1 个月前

First it was SpaceX's IPO, now it's Anthropic's, then it'll be OpenAI's. The world is always ending.

相关视频

🚨 THIS IS HOW THE AI BUBBLE WILL CRASH THE S&P 500 Read this carefully before buying stocks! The biggest IPO wave in decades is colliding with one of the most concentrated markets in history. 1. The IPO wave is already here. > SpaceX completed the largest IPO in history in June, raising $75 BILLION at a ~$1.77 TRILLION valuation. > Anthropic is now preparing for a potential Nasdaq IPO, with its valuation reportedly reaching as high as ~$2 TRILLION. > OpenAI was also considered one of the next trillion-dollar IPO candidates, but Sam Altman has now ruled out an IPO in 2026. And that actually makes the setup even more interesting! 2. The S&P 500 is already extremely concentrated. The Magnificent Seven currently represent roughly 34% of the entire S&P 500, with Nvidia, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Meta, Apple, and Tesla carrying an enormous share of the index. Now imagine another massive Anthropic offering pulling tens of billions of dollars into a brand-new AI stock. That money has to come from somewhere. Funds could rotate capital out of today's biggest winners to make room for the next generation of AI giants. Nvidia. Microsoft. Google. Amazon. THE SAME STOCKS CURRENTLY HOLDING UP THE INDEX! SpaceX also showed exactly how extreme this IPO cycle has become: $75 BILLION raised in a single offering. Anthropic could potentially be even bigger. 3. History has seen this setup before. Near the peak of every major bubble, capital became concentrated in a small group of companies investors believed could not lose: > The Roaring Twenties > The Nifty Fifty > Japan's 1980s asset bubble > The Dot-Com Bubble Today, U.S. market concentration is once again near historic extremes. 4. Great companies can still become terrible investments at the wrong valuation. During the Dot-Com collapse, some of the strongest companies on Earth suffered brutal drawdowns: Amazon: ~-95% Microsoft: ~-65% Intel: ~-80%+ Oracle: ~-80%+ Yahoo: ~-97% A great business does not protect investors from extreme valuations. And now private AI companies are approaching trillion-dollar valuations while the industry is still burning enormous amounts of capital. THAT IS EXACTLY THE KIND OF EUPHORIA THAT SHOULD MAKE INVESTORS PAY ATTENTION! I've said this before, and the cycle is still moving in the same direction. Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below. THE NEXT PHASE COULD BE THE MOST IMPORTANT ONE YET!

Qmo

59,017 次观看 • 1 个月前