正在加载视频...

视频加载失败

Everyone feels safe again. That’s usually when the market does the most damage. Bulls are comfortable up here. Too comfortable. New highs, shallow pullbacks, constant dip buying and endless optimism. The same mindset shows up every cycle right before things change. Hope creeps back in. Risk gets ignored. Complacency...

42,146 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

0 条评论

暂无评论

原始帖子的评论将显示在这里

相关视频

The $SPY Moon Boys are celebrating. The $TSLA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $NVDA Moon Boys are celebrating. The $AMD Moon Boys are celebrating. The #Bitcoin Moon Boys are celebrating. And their celebration is about to come to an end. Because while they’re cheering small green candles here near the highs, the signals underneath the surface are quietly doing the opposite. My hourly signal line has already rolled over. The 4 hour is rolling over. And the daily is now starting to turn. This is the exact confirmation I want. Which is why I added size yesterday. I did in fact tell everyone in the community to wait for the daily signal line confirmation to be safe.. These are the same signals that caught the last major legs down before the herd even realized what was happening. The same structure. The same behavior. The same warnings that everyone ignored until it was too late. Yet here we are again. They’re celebrating a small drift higher. They’re mistaking complacency for strength. They’re convincing themselves “this time is different.” It never is. In this video, I break down the signs across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA, $AMD and #Bitcoin and explain why the timeframes are starting to align for the next major move. We need a few more confirmed signals and this is golden for that next leg. The higher timeframe signals hasn’t improved. The trend hasn’t flipped. And the signal lines are all telling the same story. The nuke is getting close. Did we nail this exact top? Now you can all see that I am not perfect by no means.. But when it is all said and done, this tiny squeeze to a new high potentially... This 1% move? Is nothing to the 12% move coming on the #SP500, and 20% move coming on $TSLA. I need to see my signals flip bullish before I consider the alternative move to the upside. And as for $NVDA? I need to see the push to $193 before I get back in from when we exited down in the $170's and $180's. Most traders chase comfort. We position for what comes after it. #SP500 $SPY $TSLA $NVDA $AMD #Bitcoin #Trading

TraderJonesy

31,217 次观看 • 7 个月前

This is the part they said would never happen. The stock market is UNWINDING. The bulls are in shambles. $SPY is flushing hard. $QQQ is flushing hard. $TSLA is flushing hard. $NVDA is flushing hard. And no. This didn’t come out of nowhere. Everyone was warned. The signals warned weeks in advance. The divergence was there. The macro pressure was there. Liquidity was tightening while price floated higher. Bulls didn’t get blindsided. They got complacent. This is what happens when everyone is trained to buy every dip in a late cycle market. When the larger move starts, it shows no mercy. Dip buyers get trapped. Shorts who waited too long can’t reposition. Speed replaces comfort. This is how real unwinds begin. Yields are breaking out of an inverse head-and-shoulders. The $VIX has lifted off long term support. Weekly signal line divergence is now resolving down, exactly as warned. This wasn’t about calling a top candle. It was about positioning before price made it obvious. Patience wasn’t rewarded because it was lucky. It’s being rewarded because it was aligned. To those who stayed disciplined! Great Job! To those who laughed, doubted or trolled? Price will finish the argument. On the short term side note, There is a 70% chance that the S&P 500 hits $693 by Wednesday. There is a 85% chance that the S&P 500 hits $693 by Thursday. But the larger signals still remain intact. And once they start to play out, it throws out any short term moves. I remain in my larger position for March but I am closing out the small put position for January 21 for a nice 200% plus profit. I will be looking at short term calls for the move up to $693 while remaining in the larger position down. The calls I get into will completely be covered by the put position closed out for Jan 21st. The call position will be TINY! But on the long term side note, A 70% chance we see a 10% drop by end of February. And an 85% chance that we see a 10% drop by end of March. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #MU #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #StockMarket #MoveTo600

TraderJonesy

22,571 次观看 • 5 个月前

$TSLA is doing now what it did before every major unwind. The most dangerous part of a selloff is the part that still feels controlled. #Tesla didn’t randomly roll over. Since my sell signal triggered, $TSLA is already down -10% and the signals haven’t improved at all. Lower highs and lower lows now on the hourly. My weekly Signal Line remains bearish. My daily Signal Line remains bearish and the last time the daily SL looked this weak, we saw $TSLA unwind straight into the $380s late November. That wasn’t noise. That was structure breaking. We’ve seen this exact setup before. In 2022, $TSLA topped early, chopped around and then began a sustained decline that eventually took it down more than 60% from the highs. It didn’t happen overnight. There were bounces. There were squeezes. There were moments where people thought the worst was over. And every one of those moves got sold once the larger trend took control. That’s how real downside plays out. The same thing applied to $SPY. Early 2022 started with strength, sideways action and confidence. Then it rolled. By the time it felt obvious, $SPY was already deep into what became a -25% drawdown. The patience required back then is the same patience being tested now. That’s why short term upside doesn’t change the story. I need to see the 4 hour Signal Line flip green and increase before I even consider trading short term upside in $TSLA. If it happens, I’ll trade it. But until then, any bounce is counter trend and not confirmation. In the video, I walk through key $TSLA levels and I also walk through key $SPY levels because this isn’t just a $TSLA move. $SPY is showing the same behavior. Rallies into resistance that get sold, momentum fading, and downside pressure building. That’s exactly how 2022 started. And when $SPY rolls, the rest follow. $QQQ, $NVDA, $MU all showing the same signals, same patience required. I remain short each name. Just like with $TSLA, the ones who stayed patient are already seeing how much that discipline pays. The larger move is still intact. Video is live. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #MU #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #StockMarket

TraderJonesy

77,461 次观看 • 6 个月前

A lot of people still don’t understand how ruthless systematic trading can be. This is exactly why I run a quant fund alongside everything else I do. The quant fund is built to measure momentum on the 4 hour timeframe. Nothing more. Nothing less. No opinions. No emotions. No discretion. It tracks 15 core stocks and follows the same rule set every single time. When the 4 hour signal line turns green and increases, it buys. When it rolls over and turns red, it exits. Period. This fund does not care what I think. It does not care what I want. It does not care about headlines, FOMC, earnings or narratives. It follows the signal to a T. That’s what makes it so powerful. This is completely separate from my main fund, which is longer term positioning based on monthly and weekly signal lines across sectors. It’s also completely separate from my options trades, which are built around a 2–3 month outlook and larger macro structure. Three different approaches. Three different time horizons. Three different objectives. The quant fund exists for one reason. To systematically capture short term momentum while removing every human weakness that causes traders to fail. The part most people can’t handle? They want to intervene. They want to override. They want to “feel” their way through it. Quant trading doesn’t allow that and that’s why it works. If you want discretion, opinions and emotion… this isn’t for you. If you want structure, probability and discipline… this is how accounts actually compound. That’s everything you need to know about my quant fund and the 4 hour signal line that drives it. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER! — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #StockMarket

TraderJonesy

43,814 次观看 • 5 个月前

Everyone is panicking over Iran. Futures red. Feeds full of “this is the crash.” People convinced the market is about to unravel. I just dropped a full #SP500 breakdown explaining why this likely gets bought. If there is one video you watch this week, make it this one. I’ll say it again clearly. There is a 70% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Wednesday. There is an 85% chance the #SP500 hits 690–693 by Thursday. Those probabilities didn’t disappear because of a headline. I’m in calls for next Friday. My plan was always to add size near 678–675. It looks like I may get that opportunity. And let me stress something most people ignore. Contract selection matters more than direction. You can be completely right about the move and still lose money if your delta is wrong, your gamma is weak or your expiration is too short. I started this short with about $6,000. Less than 0.5% of my total account. Go look at my pinned post. I constantly stress small size and building into positions. No single trade should ever exceed 6% of your total fund. At the open, my goal is simple. Bring strikes down. Improve delta and gamma. That way a partial move back up repairs the position quickly and continuation expands it. This is where opportunity meets preparation. Most will FOMO at the open. Most will react to emotion. Very few will execute a plan. I originally dropped this video for the Discord but I’m sharing it here because this week matters. I am not worried. I do not believe this is the true move. And that’s coming from someone who has been positioned for the larger unwind. If there is one thing I recommend you do, it is watch this video. Important things are about to happen. Those who prepare will be the ones who capitalize. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER!! — TJ #SP500 #SPY #QQQ #TSLA #PLTR #NVDA #AAPL #Bitcoin #Crypto #stockmarket

TraderJonesy

48,286 次观看 • 4 个月前

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL The stock market is about to repeat history. US MARKET HAS NEVER BEEN THIS OVERBOUGHT IN HISTORY. The setup is IDENTICAL. Every single time the MACD turns, the S&P-500 has a massive crash. I spent 14 hours researching this, and you MUST know what comes next: Back in 2000, markets looked unstoppable. Momentum was strong. Confidence was high. And then everything broke. Billions were erased. Portfolios were crushed. And the dump was brutal. Right now, the chart is lining up almost point for point. Same breakout. Same overextension. Same false sense of security. And the warning signs are flashing. Valuations are stretched. Liquidity is tightening. Volatility is waking up. And risk is building underneath the surface. Most investors still don’t see it. Because at the top, everything feels normal. That’s how every major correction starts. Optimism peaks. Positioning gets crowded. And complacency takes over. Then the reversal begins. Fast. And once momentum flips, there is no gradual exit. There is only repricing. The market does not wait. It resets. And when it does, it moves violently. Right now, there are three paths ahead: 1⃣ SOFT RESET The market cools off. Valuations compress. Momentum stabilizes. 2⃣ DEEP CORRECTION Selling accelerates. Fear returns. Risk assets dump lower. 3⃣ FULL DOT-COM STYLE COLLAPSE Support breaks. Panic spreads. Liquidity disappears. Forced selling takes over. That is where real damage happens. Because when leverage unwinds, everything gets hit. Stocks. Crypto. Speculative assets. EVERYTHING. The chart is there. The setup is there. And history is staring investors in the face. Watch price action. Watch liquidity. Watch volatility. Because if this pattern completes, the next move will be impossible to ignore. And by the time everyone sees it - the market will already be lower. I’ve spent 10 years studying markets, and I’ve called most major tops and bottoms along the way. And I’ll call it again in 2026. Follow me and turn notifications on before it’s too late. Don’t become the exit liquidity.

DANNY

142,432 次观看 • 1 个月前

Something big is forming in this market and most traders are completely blind to it. Everyone sees the bounce. Almost nobody understands why it’s happening. This push isn’t accumulation. It’s distribution. And when the big money steps back in after the holiday lull, they’re not coming back to buy this. They’re coming back to sell it. Here’s exactly what I laid out in the video. For the #SP500, we rode the entire move down. 686 to 675 and trimmed… 675 to 664 and trimmed… 664 to 651 and trimmed again. Now we’re sitting in the small core position we kept intentionally, waiting for strength to reload into. My plan hasn’t changed. I’m looking to size back in at 683 and we added some at 670 yesterday because the market doesn’t always hand you the perfect level. February already proved that. No bounce, no mercy, just four straight weeks of pain. You prepare for both paths. That’s discipline. For #Tesla, nothing in the structure has shifted. We shorted at $436, rode it to the $390s, added back at $424, took profit on those at $386 and held the core the whole time. Yesterday we added again at $418. Next level is $433. This isn’t a reversal. It’s a lower high forming inside a red SuperTrend. For #Nvidia, the plan played out perfectly. Short at $195 on the earnings pop, trimmed in the $180s, trimmed again in the $170s, now holding 5 contracts out of the original 25. Heavy de risking into weakness, dry powder ready for strength. My levels haven’t changed. $180 and $193 are where I’ll load size again. #Bitcoin is showing the same exact behavior. Im expecting a push into the low $100Ks to form the lower high, then a drop toward $70K heading into January. Same trend. Same structure. Same macro pressure. And here’s the part hardly anyone is talking about. This entire bounce is happening on light holiday volume. This isn’t institutions building positions. This is drift. When real liquidity returns next week, this gets sold. Not bought. My daily, weekly and monthly Signal Lines are all still rolling over. My SuperTrend is still red across $SPY, $TSLA, $NVDA and #Bitcoin. Liquidity is dropping. Credit is tightening. Breadth is thinning. Nothing in the bigger picture has improved. This isn’t bias. It’s the trend. This isn’t a feeling. It’s the data. And the truth is simple. You don’t get generational opportunities unless the market sets a generational trap first. This bounce is the trap. The lower high is the trap. And most of this feed is walking straight into it just like they always do. Conviction isn’t recklessness. I keep dry powder. I hold the core. I trim into weakness and add into strength. Over and over again. That’s why I’m still in the game while others panic over a 2% wiggle and miss the real move entirely. If the signals flip green, I’ll flip long without hesitation. If they stay red, I stay short without emotion. I don’t trade what I want. I trade what the system tells me. You’re going to look back at this moment and realize you either stood with the signals or you chased the lower high with the moon boys. Your choice.

TraderJonesy

138,348 次观看 • 7 个月前

my new song “BREAKDOWN.” is out on the 21st of June!!! 🖤🖤🖤 I wrote this poem because it’s been the hardest year for my mental health. In my life I’ve always never felt good enough, it’s just the thing that’s eaten me up. For as long as I can remember i have felt constantly afraid of how quickly my head can turn dark. It’s always been so hard to fight the darkness that i inevitably have. A lot of people will say it’s a phase and it will go away. But it doesn’t and the reality of the situation is I have to find strategies to deal with it. To put it plainly the things I don’t like about myself will probably never change, people tell me one day I’ll come-to terms with them one day but I want that day to be FUCKING NOW. This song is a message to myself to try and exist alongside my insecurities and my darkness by grounding myself and remembering what is real in life and the world is so much bigger than me. Try and get out of your head and notice the world around you, notice the things and people around you. Connect with them, the chances are they probably feel the same. Don’t let the bullshit inside your head consume you. It just wastes precious time. Remember what is real. Help people, be kind, help the world, help yourself. If you think you can’t do it, you can. You can get through this, trust me. Use this poem in a mornin to get u out of bed, use it when youre about to back out of something last minute, use it when you’re at your darkest. It’s got a little bit of light in it. Don’t forget to put your feet in the grass … Mind

YUNGBLUD

66,420 次观看 • 2 年前