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Everyone’s celebrating the breakout but bitcoin:native is running the same playbook again. Range build then spike then overbought RSI then distribution. Base case is another 30-38% flush toward the low $50Ks. $82K is my invalidation. Close above it and I’m dropping this thesis entirely.

Gerla

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55,744 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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Nobody wants to hear this but $BTC looks like it’s following the same script again. Accumulation is done and we just got the manipulation spike with daily RSI back in overbought zone. My base case is distribution from here followed by a deeper reset toward the low $50Ks. $82K is the line in the sand for this setup. If we reclaim it cleanly I’ll reconsider the whole thesis.

Nobody wants to hear this but $BTC looks like it’s following the same script again. Accumulation is done and we just got the manipulation spike with daily RSI back in overbought zone. My base case is distribution from here followed by a deeper reset toward the low $50Ks. $82K is the line in the sand for this setup. If we reclaim it cleanly I’ll reconsider the whole thesis.

Gerla

165,837 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

THE RSI JUST HIT THE SAME LEVEL AS THE 2022 BOTTOM. Not similar. Identical. 2022: oversold RSI. Ascending wedge breaks. $16K. Then recovery. 2026: oversold RSI. Ascending wedge breaking. $52-57K next. Then? $78K is the line. Hold it: 2022 recovery without the full flush. Lose it: flush completes first. Same signal. Same sequence. Different price.

THE RSI JUST HIT THE SAME LEVEL AS THE 2022 BOTTOM. Not similar. Identical. 2022: oversold RSI. Ascending wedge breaks. $16K. Then recovery. 2026: oversold RSI. Ascending wedge breaking. $52-57K next. Then? $78K is the line. Hold it: 2022 recovery without the full flush. Lose it: flush completes first. Same signal. Same sequence. Different price.

Merlijn The Trader

43,193 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

SAME TRAP DIFFERENT RANGE DON'T GET CAUGHT Accumulation, manipulation, distribution the market runs this playbook every single cycle Accumulation: complete Bull trap: $67K-$69K, pushing into it right now at $66K Distribution flush: target $54K Same three-act structure that dragged price from $82K down to $60K last round different levels, identical mechanics Every green candle into this zone is exit liquidity, not a breakout One way this gets invalidated a daily close that holds above $70K. Until that prints, the trap is still live Distribution is still ahead Turn notifications on - I'll flag it before it triggers

SAME TRAP DIFFERENT RANGE DON'T GET CAUGHT Accumulation, manipulation, distribution the market runs this playbook every single cycle Accumulation: complete Bull trap: $67K-$69K, pushing into it right now at $66K Distribution flush: target $54K Same three-act structure that dragged price from $82K down to $60K last round different levels, identical mechanics Every green candle into this zone is exit liquidity, not a breakout One way this gets invalidated a daily close that holds above $70K. Until that prints, the trap is still live Distribution is still ahead Turn notifications on - I'll flag it before it triggers

ardizor 🧙‍♂️

38,862 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

SILVER TAUGHT ME THIS LESSON YEARS AGO. Decade-long base. Everyone bored. Then it finally cleared $54… and ripped. Bitcoin is running the same playbook: Long base. Seller exhaustion. Violent repricing. Same structure. Different asset.

SILVER TAUGHT ME THIS LESSON YEARS AGO. Decade-long base. Everyone bored. Then it finally cleared $54… and ripped. Bitcoin is running the same playbook: Long base. Seller exhaustion. Violent repricing. Same structure. Different asset.

Merlijn The Trader

476,009 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

YOU MISSED THE BOAT. BITCOIN AT $71,713 IS OUT OF THE FIFTH BOX AND THE 2024 SELL MODEL COMPLETED. Base. Expansion. Top. Distribution. Distribution. Then the range nobody wanted to trade. I said the fifth box was where selling ends. It ended. Price is 12% above where I posted this.

YOU MISSED THE BOAT. BITCOIN AT $71,713 IS OUT OF THE FIFTH BOX AND THE 2024 SELL MODEL COMPLETED. Base. Expansion. Top. Distribution. Distribution. Then the range nobody wanted to trade. I said the fifth box was where selling ends. It ended. Price is 12% above where I posted this.

Merlijn The Trader

55,619 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

This might sound crazy but $BTC has made this exact move before. Manipulation spike straight into the CME gap and Stoch RSI is already showing signs of rejection. Last time this gap got filled, $BTC dropped 30%. 83K is my line in the sand. Reclaim it and hold above it, and I’ll invalidate the bearish thesis.

This might sound crazy but $BTC has made this exact move before. Manipulation spike straight into the CME gap and Stoch RSI is already showing signs of rejection. Last time this gap got filled, $BTC dropped 30%. 83K is my line in the sand. Reclaim it and hold above it, and I’ll invalidate the bearish thesis.

Gerla

50,481 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen

$BTC CONFIRMED A WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION In short: Price tested resistance at $125k twice Then lost the range low at $74.5k with a clean Sign of Weakness (SOW) Now sitting at the LPSY - the weak rally that fails to reclaim broken support In Wyckoff terms, this is the highest probability short setup that exists Most of retail is calling this accumulation. It's the opposite My read: one more failed push to $83-85k, then markdown to $52k Invalidation: weekly close back above $90k (No way) NOTIFS ON!

$BTC CONFIRMED A WYCKOFF DISTRIBUTION In short: Price tested resistance at $125k twice Then lost the range low at $74.5k with a clean Sign of Weakness (SOW) Now sitting at the LPSY - the weak rally that fails to reclaim broken support In Wyckoff terms, this is the highest probability short setup that exists Most of retail is calling this accumulation. It's the opposite My read: one more failed push to $83-85k, then markdown to $52k Invalidation: weekly close back above $90k (No way) NOTIFS ON!

bee🐝

19,349 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 BTC IS RUNNING 2022 PLAYBOOK AGAIN 🚨 Just check it out: 2022: breakdown, resistance retest, one final flush Then the biggest run in BTC history followed 2026: same breakdown and resistance retest happening right now The trap works because everyone already believes $100k is coming That belief is exactly what gets punished before the real move begins One more leg down. Then the cycle resets NOTIFS ON!

🚨 BTC IS RUNNING 2022 PLAYBOOK AGAIN 🚨 Just check it out: 2022: breakdown, resistance retest, one final flush Then the biggest run in BTC history followed 2026: same breakdown and resistance retest happening right now The trap works because everyone already believes $100k is coming That belief is exactly what gets punished before the real move begins One more leg down. Then the cycle resets NOTIFS ON!

NoName

68,844 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

BITCOIN IS IN THE SAME CHANNEL IT BROKE OUT OF IN 2022. 2022 channel: descended 12 months. Multiple bounces. One breakout. Then 4x. 2026 channel: same descent. Same trendline. Same structure. We're not at the breakout yet. We're at the part where everyone sells before it. Three more lows. Then the move. History doesn't repeat. But this chart is trying.

BITCOIN IS IN THE SAME CHANNEL IT BROKE OUT OF IN 2022. 2022 channel: descended 12 months. Multiple bounces. One breakout. Then 4x. 2026 channel: same descent. Same trendline. Same structure. We're not at the breakout yet. We're at the part where everyone sells before it. Three more lows. Then the move. History doesn't repeat. But this chart is trying.

Merlijn The Trader

41,663 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

This is where I’d be careful with $BTC Price is testing the same major resistance zone that rejected it twice before A clean break above $82K would change the structure for me Until then, I wouldn’t rule out a deeper move below the $58K–$60K zone before the real breakout Third test needs confirmation

This is where I’d be careful with $BTC Price is testing the same major resistance zone that rejected it twice before A clean break above $82K would change the structure for me Until then, I wouldn’t rule out a deeper move below the $58K–$60K zone before the real breakout Third test needs confirmation

Gerla

30,854 Aufrufe • vor 4 Tagen

🚨 Everyone is calling the new bull run. But they are missing one thing. Every previous breakout above the 200 week also broke Bitcoin out of its RSI downtrend at the same time. That confluence is what confirmed it. This time, Bitcoin broke above the 200-week moving average, but the RSI has yet to break out.

🚨 Everyone is calling the new bull run. But they are missing one thing. Every previous breakout above the 200 week also broke Bitcoin out of its RSI downtrend at the same time. That confluence is what confirmed it. This time, Bitcoin broke above the 200-week moving average, but the RSI has yet to break out.

CryptoGoos

25,677 Aufrufe • vor 7 Tagen

EVERYONE CALLING THE 200MA RECLAIM A BREAKOUT IS WRONG Last time this exact setup appeared the market dropped nearly 30% shortly after This isn't a breakout it's the final liquidity grab before the flush $70K FVG fills next then the real move begins straight toward $50K The crowd is going to get caught holding the exact level where smart money exits

EVERYONE CALLING THE 200MA RECLAIM A BREAKOUT IS WRONG Last time this exact setup appeared the market dropped nearly 30% shortly after This isn't a breakout it's the final liquidity grab before the flush $70K FVG fills next then the real move begins straight toward $50K The crowd is going to get caught holding the exact level where smart money exits

philarekt

19,204 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Abu Kamal was a friend of my grandfather’s in Tulkarem. The Zionist playbook was the same then as it is now. But there are no walls between the Christians and the Muslims of Palestine. And our occupiers didn’t distinguish between us then or now.

Abu Kamal was a friend of my grandfather’s in Tulkarem. The Zionist playbook was the same then as it is now. But there are no walls between the Christians and the Muslims of Palestine. And our occupiers didn’t distinguish between us then or now.

Dr. Omar Suleiman

25,429 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

📺 $TSLA CLOSE BELOW $364.76 TODAY → A SHORT SETUP ACTIVATES Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla is currently trading inside a wide range between $342.95 (support) and $437.58 (resistance). A confirmed close above $437.58 = strong bullish signal, which opens the path toward the $540s (long-term channel top). It would likely mark a major low already in place for the year. A weekly close below $339.52 (≈1% below support) triggers a 3–5 month sell signal with the downside target of ~$220s ($224.94 area). So, #TSLA is in a range-bound market until proven otherwise — but the breakout (up or down) will be decisive and large. * The key resistance level this week is at $398.25. This level has repeatedly rejected buying pressure. The important filter level is $364.76 (5/8 Fibonacci). Above it → selling pressure is contained, below it → opens downside momentum toward $342.95. $TSLA is currently sitting just above the line that matters most in the short term. * If $TSLA closes today above $377.12 → momentum shift higher, with a likely move to $398.25 within 2–3 days. If #TSLA closes below $364.76 → a short setup activates, with the downside move toward $342.95. We expect a choppy, back-and-forth inside the range. Possible path: bounce → upper $390s, then reject → drift lower again, and then repeat until breakout. * So, $TSLA is neutral to slightly bearish bias below $377.12. Constructive only above $377.12. Look out for $364.7 – danger zone is below it. * Watch the full $TSLA Trading Plan for Apr 27, 2026 in this short video🔽

📺 $TSLA CLOSE BELOW $364.76 TODAY → A SHORT SETUP ACTIVATES Please ❤️like and 🔁share with fellow Tesla traders/investors #Tesla is currently trading inside a wide range between $342.95 (support) and $437.58 (resistance). A confirmed close above $437.58 = strong bullish signal, which opens the path toward the $540s (long-term channel top). It would likely mark a major low already in place for the year. A weekly close below $339.52 (≈1% below support) triggers a 3–5 month sell signal with the downside target of ~$220s ($224.94 area). So, #TSLA is in a range-bound market until proven otherwise — but the breakout (up or down) will be decisive and large. * The key resistance level this week is at $398.25. This level has repeatedly rejected buying pressure. The important filter level is $364.76 (5/8 Fibonacci). Above it → selling pressure is contained, below it → opens downside momentum toward $342.95. $TSLA is currently sitting just above the line that matters most in the short term. * If $TSLA closes today above $377.12 → momentum shift higher, with a likely move to $398.25 within 2–3 days. If #TSLA closes below $364.76 → a short setup activates, with the downside move toward $342.95. We expect a choppy, back-and-forth inside the range. Possible path: bounce → upper $390s, then reject → drift lower again, and then repeat until breakout. * So, $TSLA is neutral to slightly bearish bias below $377.12. Constructive only above $377.12. Look out for $364.7 – danger zone is below it. * Watch the full $TSLA Trading Plan for Apr 27, 2026 in this short video🔽

Wicked Stocks

22,820 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Trump endorsed GOP candidate Brandon Herrera tonight. Here is Brandon recreating the assassination of MLK and then shooting the target dummy at close range. He then chuckled and said, “This is so fucking wrong.”

Trump endorsed GOP candidate Brandon Herrera tonight. Here is Brandon recreating the assassination of MLK and then shooting the target dummy at close range. He then chuckled and said, “This is so fucking wrong.”

PatriotTakes 🇺🇸

166,782 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS WHERE I BUY BITCOIN. The cycle is simple once you see it. Accumulation. Distribution. Re-accumulation. Distribution. Then accumulation again. We just came out of distribution and into the third accumulation zone. This is the phase where strong hands quietly load up while everyone else is scared.

🚨 THIS IS WHERE I BUY BITCOIN. The cycle is simple once you see it. Accumulation. Distribution. Re-accumulation. Distribution. Then accumulation again. We just came out of distribution and into the third accumulation zone. This is the phase where strong hands quietly load up while everyone else is scared.

Crypto Rover

76,990 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

🩸 THIS IS THE FINAL STAGE OF THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET. We are in the last fakeout phase. One more washout before the next cycle begins. Here is the roadmap I am watching. From here, a flush toward the high $40,000s. That is the capitulation low. The level where the bottom tends to form. Then the reversal. The path back up runs through $85,000 toward $135,000. The scariest drop is the last one. Then the cycle turns.

Mister Crypto

17,566 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 BITCOIN IS RECLAIMING THE RANGE LOW. Price tapped the demand zone near 59K and bounced hard. That is the first sign buyers are defending the bottom of the range. The next tests are the mid-range near 67K, then the top near 75K. Reclaim those and the structure flips. Fail here and the flush is still on the table. his is the relief I have been watching for.

🚨 BITCOIN IS RECLAIMING THE RANGE LOW. Price tapped the demand zone near 59K and bounced hard. That is the first sign buyers are defending the bottom of the range. The next tests are the mid-range near 67K, then the top near 75K. Reclaim those and the structure flips. Fail here and the flush is still on the table. his is the relief I have been watching for.

Crypto Rover

90,668 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

How To Manage The Bitcoin Bounce 🔊 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down $BTC's current setup, noting it has formed a higher low above the prior closing low of $62,800 and is holding just above $71,000, but warns this is not an ideal entry point. He explains that the buy zone is at the low end of the risk range near $63,000, while the top of the Risk Range™ is where caution is warranted. "It's a progression right? You cover your shorts first and then you continue to wait and watch. It's not like you just flip completely." Watch the full clip. Then watch today's full episode of The Macro Show free — along with our entire suite of research this week.

How To Manage The Bitcoin Bounce 🔊 Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough breaks down $BTC's current setup, noting it has formed a higher low above the prior closing low of $62,800 and is holding just above $71,000, but warns this is not an ideal entry point. He explains that the buy zone is at the low end of the risk range near $63,000, while the top of the Risk Range™ is where caution is warranted. "It's a progression right? You cover your shorts first and then you continue to wait and watch. It's not like you just flip completely." Watch the full clip. Then watch today's full episode of The Macro Show free — along with our entire suite of research this week.

Hedgeye

16,817 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten