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🚨EVERYTHING IS GOING EXACTLY AS I SAID!!! It IPO'd, ripped, and everyone called it the buy of the decade. Now we're at $110 and the chart has already broken. And this was the easy part. Here's the full map, day by day: IPO → the top 10 days →...

238,264 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

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🚨 SPACEX IS DONE? It opened at $150, ripped to $225 in three days, and everyone called it the buy of the decade. Now it's at $145 - an all-time low, below the open, sitting a few dollars above the IPO price. Down 35% from the top. The chart isn't breaking. It already broke. And this was the easy part. Here's where it goes from here: $145 → $135 → $120 → $100 Why this has to happen the math is brutal and public: → Only ~4% of shares actually trade. Nasdaq bent the float rule just to let this listing through. → It got jammed into the indexes, and every passive fund on the planet was forced to buy near the top. → Insiders still hold 96% of the supply. → The first unlock hits on August 6 - right at Q2 earnings. About 20% of insider shares go free, and the float doubles overnight. → Then it doubles again through the fall, all the way to a full unlock. Sit with that. This entire 35% collapse happened on a tiny float, with no supply. The actual wall of stock hasn't even arrived yet. And look at the backdrop: Apple's printing new all-time highs while SPCX bleeds to fresh lows. That's not a market problem that's a SpaceX problem. The hype died, the capex is enormous, the valuation is priced at ~100x sales, and the unlock cliff is dead ahead. Everything I said would happen is happening. No surprises. The next leg is where the real money gets made but not on the long side yet. Save this. Turn on notifications. Or come back in 30 days wishing you had.

Shelpid.WI3M

355,948 Aufrufe • vor 29 Tagen

🚨 HERE'S WHY SPACEX IS A LIQUIDITY SCAM. Everyone sees the $SPCX pump. Almost nobody sees what is happening behind it. Only around 4% of SpaceX shares are trading. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

111,577 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 SPACEX: THE BIGGEST EXIT LIQUIDITY IN HISTORY SpaceX is up 70% from IPO. Everyone is FOMOing hard. But almost nobody is talking about the real reason. Only 4% of shares are available to the public. A normal public company can have over 80% available. When only 4% of supply is available, price becomes easy to push. This is the same setup we see in crypto. Tokens like LAB and RAVE use tiny float and huge locked supply. The team controls almost everything. Only a small amount reaches the market. Then scarcity pumps the chart. SpaceX is doing the same thing on a much bigger scale. And now look at who is forced to buy. $SPCX was added to MSCI indexes very quickly. That means passive funds now have to buy it. Not because they believe in Elon Musk. Because their mandate follows the index. Now connect the dots. → Massive forced demand → Only 4% of shares available → Almost no real liquidity → Price can pump HARD But the real supply is still locked. And the unlock schedule starts much earlier than people think. → First 20% after Q2 earnings → Another 7% after 70 days → Another 7% after 90 days → Another 7% after 105 days → Another 7% after 120 days → Another 7% after 135 days → Another 28% after Q3 earnings → The rest after 180 days That means early investors can start exiting in 1 to 2 months. And who will they sell to? Retail chasing the hype. Passive funds forced into the stock. Keep the float tiny. Force funds to buy. Pump the valuation toward $2 TRILLION. Then open the insider exit door. Crypto does this with low float tokens. Wall Street does it with IPOs. Different market. Same trap. Most people are watching the SpaceX dream. I’m watching who buys now and who sells later. The last buyer always pays for the dream. Reminder: I’ve called all the market tops and bottoms for the last 15 years, including the Bitcoin bottom at $16,000 and the top at $126,000. The next call will be even more important. When I exit the markets completely, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

DANNY

47,858 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨THE SPACEX "FAILED IPO" IS THE SAME TRAP FACEBOOK SET IN 2012 I told you this drop was coming $SPCX is now down nearly 50% from its peak. And if you know your history, you've seen this movie before. Rewind to 2012. Facebook IPO's at $38 to massive hype. Then the lockups start expiring, wave after wave of insider shares flood the market, and the stock bleeds with every single one all the way down to $18. A 50%+ collapse. The media called it a disaster. "Failed IPO." "Overhyped." Sound familiar? Then the supply ran out. And Facebook went on to become one of the greatest stocks of the decade. SpaceX is running the exact same script. Right now only ~5% of SpaceX trades. The rest unlocks in waves the first after Q2 earnings, then more through November. Just like Facebook, every unlock dumps fresh supply onto a stock that already stopped buying at the top. And just like Facebook, price steps lower with each one. That's what's crushing it. Not the company. The plumbing. Sure, the bears have points Japan landed a reusable rocket, Flight 13 slipped, the valuation's stretched. That's exactly why it keeps bleeding through every unlock. Same fear, same headlines, same "it's over" chorus that surrounded Facebook at $18. But watch the other side. Once the float is fully out and the last locked shares hit the tape, the overhang is gone. No more forced sellers. That's when the selling dries up and real size steps in. Institutions never chased Facebook at $38. They bought the exhaustion at $18, after the final unlock, when everyone had left it for dead. That's the entire game. The unlock schedule is the whole map. History is just repeating. I'm not buying yet. The best entry of 2026 is on the far side of these waves you'll know the moment I move. NFA. Notifications on. The ones scrolling past now will be begging for the entry later.

Shelpid.WI3M

42,686 Aufrufe • vor 14 Tagen

🚨 WARNING: THE SPACEX IPO IS THE BIGGEST TRAP OF 2026 Read this post carefully before buying SpaceX shares In 4 days, $SPCX will debut on Nasdaq The biggest IPO in history, with a valuation of around $1.8 trillion You may have noticed that demand has already exceeded $150 billion, while the public float is only 4-5% And I wouldn't rule out the possibility that the stock could easily jump 20-50% in the first days or weeks purely because of FOMO and the limited share supply But after that, the picture could change dramatically! 1. SpaceX didn't use the standard 180-day lock-up Instead, the S-1 includes a phased unlock schedule Insiders, employees, and early investors will be able to sell shares in stages starting in August: - August 21 (70 days) - +7% - September 10 (90 days) - +7% - September 25 (105 days) - +7% - October 10 (120 days) - +7% - October 25 (135 days) - +7% 2. On top of that, they removed the profitability requirement and are adding SpaceX to major indexes just 5 days after the IPO, while the usual waiting period is 90 days That forces 401(k) pension funds and passive index funds to buy SpaceX shares at inflated IPO prices and keep holding them throughout any decline 3. On top of that, there are major share releases after the Q2 earnings report (August) and Q3 earnings report (November) If the stock is trading 30% above the IPO price after Q2, a performance bonus will kick in and another +10% will be unlocked This staggered selling structure reduces the chance of one massive crash, but it creates several waves of selling pressure between August and November For comparison: when Meta went public in 2012 (one of the top 3 largest IPO in U.S. history, with a $104 billion valuation) The stock fell more than 60% within a few months after the IPO due to lock-up expirations and market concerns about its ability to monetize its business And there's one very important thing you need to remember! 4. The company is still unprofitable, posting roughly a $4.9 billion net loss in 2025 Passive funds (Nasdaq-100) will become forced buyers, but at the first sign of bad news they'll become forced sellers That's why I'm warning you not to become exit liquidity for insiders and VCs who have already made huge money from private funding rounds In the short term, the IPO looks very attractive for traders who know how to speculate But if you're planning to hold, you need to clearly understand this: August through November could bring serious volatility and a major correction I've said this before, and the cycle is still playing out exactly according to plan Turn on notifications and drop your thoughts below The next phase is gonna be very important

Leni

202,426 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨 EVERYONE THINKS THE $SPCX CRASH IS OVER. I think the real bloodbath hasn't even started. SpaceX is already down nearly 50%. Most people see a bargain. I see the biggest supply shock that's still ahead. Here's what almost nobody understands: Only ~5% of the company is actually trading. The other 95% hasn't fully hit the market yet. Starting after Q2 earnings, the float gets flooded in waves: → +20% → +14% → +14% → +28% Every unlock puts millions of new shares into a market that already rejected $225. That's why price keeps falling. Not because SpaceX is broken. Because supply keeps overwhelming demand. And yes—the bears have a case. • Japan just landed a reusable rocket. • Flight 13 was delayed. • Valuation is still expensive. Every bearish headline becomes even more painful when new shares keep hitting the tape. But here's the part everyone misses. Once the final unlock is behind us... The forced selling disappears. The supply overhang is gone. That's when the game changes. Institutions don't chase IPO hype. They wait until retail gives up. They wait until nobody wants to touch the stock. That's usually where the biggest winners are built. I'm still not buying. I believe the best $SPCX entry of 2026 comes after these unlock waves—not before. When I start building a position... You'll see it here first. Most people will buy too early. A few will buy when everyone else has already quit. That's usually who makes the real money. Turn notifications on.

WhaleTwits

46,553 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

🚨SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS WEEK Everyone thinks the SpaceX crash is over. Wrong. And if you think it can't go lower, you're not seeing what's about to hit. SpaceX topped at $225. It's now near $110 almost −52% in a month. And here's the kicker: that entire collapse happened while only about 5% of shares were even tradeable. That changes next week. The first earnings report in company history lands Aug 4, after close. Everyone's fixated on the revenue number (~$6.8B, Starlink printing). They're watching the wrong thing. Because two days later, the lockup breaks and up to 911 million shares flood the market. That more than doubles the tradeable float overnight. Then another ~7% unlocks around Aug 21, again in September, and it keeps stacking through November. Now connect the dots. The −52% dump already happened. Retail chased. Funds bought. And now supply is about to 4x. If the stock is already bleeding on 5% float, imagine what 20%+ does to it. And here's the trap it doesn't matter how the earnings actually look: → If the report is strong, the pop just gives insiders the exit they've been waiting for. They finally get to sell, and retail becomes the liquidity they sell into. → If the report is weak, you get falling price and a doubled float at the same time a straight trapdoor. Either way, the outcome is the same. A float that doubles doesn't get bought it gets absorbed. Slowly. Lower. Wave after wave into December. Be ready. The real price discovery starts next week. Reminder: I've called the major tops and bottoms for years gold, silver, the oil collapse, the SpaceX drop, Bitcoin's crash. All before they happened. When I exit the markets completely, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. If you're not following yet, you'll understand why soon enough.

Shelpid.WI3M

53,331 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen

🚨 I WARNED YOU. $SPCX IS ENTERING A 6-MONTH "DEAD MONEY" PHASE. Everything is unfolding exactly the way I laid it out. SPCX is already showing cracks - and the real test hasn't even arrived. Let me put it in the simplest possible terms. Right now, only about 4% of SpaceX actually trades. The other 96% is locked up tight. That single fact is the entire reason the chart looks the way it does: a tiny sliver of stock is holding up a $2.7 trillion valuation after a 53% post-IPO melt-up. Insiders, employees, and early funds are all sitting on shares they're not allowed to sell. Yet. Late summer is where that changes. Once the Q2 report drops in late July, the first chunk of insider stock - roughly 20% comes unlocked. And it doesn't stop there: the tradable float is set to roughly double by late August, then keep bleeding open in tranches all the way to the full unlock in December. Sit with that math. Only ~4% trades today. By late August, that pool doubles - and it can start hitting the tape all at once. So who do they sell into? → Retail still chasing the SpaceX dream → Index funds forced to buy when MSCI added it on June 13 → Everyone who piled in after the pump If this feels familiar, it should. It's the exact playbook crypto ran for years: tiny float → enormous valuation → index inclusion → forced buyers → then the unlock cliff arrives and reality catches up. The only difference is SpaceX is running it at a $2.7 trillion price tag. We even have the blueprint. Facebook's 2012 IPO used the same staggered-lockup trick - and the stock was down 40%+ by the time those releases finished. Most people are still staring at the pump. I'm already looking at the calendar. The first exit door swings open in late July - and the last buyer in always pays for the dream. I've been calling tops for 10 years. I shorted BTC from six figures last October. This next one is the biggest call yet. Follow and turn notifications on. I post before the headlines catch up.

Shelpid.WI3M

232,032 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat