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Exercise MILAN 2026 concludes at sea From vibrant harbour engagements and professional exchanges to high-tempo multi-domain operations at sea, #ExerciseMILAN26 culminated aboard India’s indigenous aircraft carrier INS Vikrant. With the Sea Phase comprising 42 ships & submarines and 29 aircraft, the exercise strengthened interoperability, maritime cooperation and enduring professional... show more

SpokespersonNavy

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12,449 次观看 • 6 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

#ExerciseMILAN26

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Indian Naval Ship #INSMysore arrived at Lumut, Malaysia, on 09 Sep 26 to participate in the 4th edition of Exercise #SamudraLaksamana. The bilateral exercise with the #RoyalMalaysianNavy will feature professional engagements in harbour and at sea to enhance interoperability and strengthen operational synergy. The visit aims to deepen bilateral engagements and advance #India–#Malaysia maritime cooperation. 🇮🇳-🇲🇾 #BridgesofFriendship #MAHASAGAR #IONS26 #ActEast Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳 Royal Malaysian Navy India in Malaysia

Indian Naval Ship #INSMysore arrived at Lumut, Malaysia, on 09 Sep 26 to participate in the 4th edition of Exercise #SamudraLaksamana. The bilateral exercise with the #RoyalMalaysianNavy will feature professional engagements in harbour and at sea to enhance interoperability and strengthen operational synergy. The visit aims to deepen bilateral engagements and advance #India–#Malaysia maritime cooperation. 🇮🇳-🇲🇾 #BridgesofFriendship #MAHASAGAR #IONS26 #ActEast Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳 Royal Malaysian Navy India in Malaysia

SpokespersonNavy

32,507 次观看 • 4 天前

#Lokayan26 Strengthening Maritime Bonds 🇮🇳🤝🇵🇹 #INSSudarshini concluded her three-day port call at #Lisbon on 25 Aug 26. Engagements with senior Portuguese naval leadership and a visit to the Portuguese Naval Academy were undertaken during the ship’s stay. Professional interactions, training exchanges and social engagements further strengthened the enduring maritime cooperation and partnership between the two Navies. Details #IndianNavy #SagarYatra2026 #SailsofIndia India in Portugal Marinha Ministry of Defence, Government of India Southern Naval Command

#Lokayan26 Strengthening Maritime Bonds 🇮🇳🤝🇵🇹 #INSSudarshini concluded her three-day port call at #Lisbon on 25 Aug 26. Engagements with senior Portuguese naval leadership and a visit to the Portuguese Naval Academy were undertaken during the ship’s stay. Professional interactions, training exchanges and social engagements further strengthened the enduring maritime cooperation and partnership between the two Navies. Details #IndianNavy #SagarYatra2026 #SailsofIndia India in Portugal Marinha Ministry of Defence, Government of India Southern Naval Command

SpokespersonNavy

31,378 次观看 • 19 天前

Thirty nations. One target. 💥🌊 Allies and partners participating in #RIMPAC2026 recently completed two successful sinking exercises, combining ships, aircraft, weapons and personnel from across the globe to test live-fire proficiency and the ability to operate together at sea. Thirty nations, 30 ships, five submarines, 15 national land forces, more than 190 aircraft and more than 30,000 personnel are participating in RIMPAC, the world’s largest international maritime exercise.

Thirty nations. One target. 💥🌊 Allies and partners participating in #RIMPAC2026 recently completed two successful sinking exercises, combining ships, aircraft, weapons and personnel from across the globe to test live-fire proficiency and the ability to operate together at sea. Thirty nations, 30 ships, five submarines, 15 national land forces, more than 190 aircraft and more than 30,000 personnel are participating in RIMPAC, the world’s largest international maritime exercise.

U.S. Navy

119,796 次观看 • 1 个月前

#Surat : सागरे प्रचंड – Ferocious at Sea! Unveiling the crest of Surat, featuring the Hazira Lighthouse and Asiatic Lion, embodies Gujarat’s heritage and #IndianNavy’s commitment to courage, honor, and maritime excellence. Mark your calendars! 15th January 2025, "INS Surat" will join the #IndianNavy and stands tall among the nation’s finest combatants, ready to safeguard #India’s🇮🇳 maritime interests. #WeDare #AatmanirbharBharat Western Naval Command Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳 Southern Naval Command

#Surat : सागरे प्रचंड – Ferocious at Sea! Unveiling the crest of Surat, featuring the Hazira Lighthouse and Asiatic Lion, embodies Gujarat’s heritage and #IndianNavy’s commitment to courage, honor, and maritime excellence. Mark your calendars! 15th January 2025, "INS Surat" will join the #IndianNavy and stands tall among the nation’s finest combatants, ready to safeguard #India’s🇮🇳 maritime interests. #WeDare #AatmanirbharBharat Western Naval Command Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳 Southern Naval Command

SpokespersonNavy

15,118 次观看 • 1 年前

#Lokayan26 ⚓🌊 Charting New Horizons 🇮🇳🤝🇪🇸 #IndianNavy’s Sail Training Ship #INSSudarshini concluded her port call at Barcelona, Spain. A deck reception, professional interactions and ship open for visitors were among the principal features of the visit. The engagements further strengthened maritime cooperation and camaraderie between the two Navies. #BridgesofFriendship #VasudhaivaKutumbakam Armada Southern Naval Command India in Spain Ministry of Defence, Government of India

#Lokayan26 ⚓🌊 Charting New Horizons 🇮🇳🤝🇪🇸 #IndianNavy’s Sail Training Ship #INSSudarshini concluded her port call at Barcelona, Spain. A deck reception, professional interactions and ship open for visitors were among the principal features of the visit. The engagements further strengthened maritime cooperation and camaraderie between the two Navies. #BridgesofFriendship #VasudhaivaKutumbakam Armada Southern Naval Command India in Spain Ministry of Defence, Government of India

SpokespersonNavy

21,300 次观看 • 7 天前

Three Subs Three Mates Three Days …. #IndianNavy successfully achieved maiden mating of the #DSRV with foreign submarines in South China Sea during #XPR25 conducting full spectrum of Intervention & Rescue Operations. This included ROV ops over three days, showcasing our growing global rescue capabilities. This milestone underscores our readiness, interoperability and commitment to global submarine rescue proving India as a dependable maritime partner and a proactive contributor to regional safety and humanitarian response at sea. #RSN #ProudAndHistoric #PrecisionMeetsProfessionalism India in Singapore Ministry of Defence Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳

Three Subs Three Mates Three Days …. #IndianNavy successfully achieved maiden mating of the #DSRV with foreign submarines in South China Sea during #XPR25 conducting full spectrum of Intervention & Rescue Operations. This included ROV ops over three days, showcasing our growing global rescue capabilities. This milestone underscores our readiness, interoperability and commitment to global submarine rescue proving India as a dependable maritime partner and a proactive contributor to regional safety and humanitarian response at sea. #RSN #ProudAndHistoric #PrecisionMeetsProfessionalism India in Singapore Ministry of Defence Eastern Naval Command 🇮🇳

SpokespersonNavy

51,818 次观看 • 11 个月前

#IndianNavy's Sail Training Ship #INSSudarshini arrived at Salalah, #Oman on #02Feb 2026, marking the first international port call of her historic trans-oceanic voyage #Lokayan26. Sailing from #Kochi on 20 Jan 26, the ship steered through the seasonal winds of the Arabian Sea to complete the first leg of deployment. The visit highlights strong India–Oman maritime ties,with professional interactions and training engagements planned with the Royal Navy of Oman. 🇮🇳🤝🇴🇲 Details ⬇️ #SagarYatra2026 #TallShipIndia #SailsOfIndia التوجيه المعنوي India in Oman (Embassy of India, Muscat) Southern Naval Command

#IndianNavy's Sail Training Ship #INSSudarshini arrived at Salalah, #Oman on #02Feb 2026, marking the first international port call of her historic trans-oceanic voyage #Lokayan26. Sailing from #Kochi on 20 Jan 26, the ship steered through the seasonal winds of the Arabian Sea to complete the first leg of deployment. The visit highlights strong India–Oman maritime ties,with professional interactions and training engagements planned with the Royal Navy of Oman. 🇮🇳🤝🇴🇲 Details ⬇️ #SagarYatra2026 #TallShipIndia #SailsOfIndia التوجيه المعنوي India in Oman (Embassy of India, Muscat) Southern Naval Command

SpokespersonNavy

15,201 次观看 • 7 个月前

U.S. Southern Command: "On Sept. 5, at the direction of SOUTHCOM, Joint Task Force Western Hemisphere (JTF-WHEM) forces successfully interdicted a multi-vessel floating refueling station in support of illicit at-sea drug trafficking operations in the Eastern Pacific. Intelligence confirmed the vessels were operating in support of the Los Choneros violent narco-terrorist organization. Individuals removed from the main vessel have been transferred to Ecuadorian authorities. Once the main vessel was cleared and the crew disembarked, U.S. forces sank it and the attached support vessels. JTF-WHEM continues to conduct precise and professional operations to dismantle the logistical networks fueling narco-trafficking in the Western Hemisphere."

U.S. Southern Command: "On Sept. 5, at the direction of SOUTHCOM, Joint Task Force Western Hemisphere (JTF-WHEM) forces successfully interdicted a multi-vessel floating refueling station in support of illicit at-sea drug trafficking operations in the Eastern Pacific. Intelligence confirmed the vessels were operating in support of the Los Choneros violent narco-terrorist organization. Individuals removed from the main vessel have been transferred to Ecuadorian authorities. Once the main vessel was cleared and the crew disembarked, U.S. forces sank it and the attached support vessels. JTF-WHEM continues to conduct precise and professional operations to dismantle the logistical networks fueling narco-trafficking in the Western Hemisphere."

Open Source Intel

102,198 次观看 • 8 天前

RC-135 Deployments Signal Imminent Attack: Myths and Realities of Iran's Military Power The RC-135 is a family of large reconnaissance aircraft operated by the ISAF. These jets are designed for ISR missions, providing near real-time data to military commanders and national leaders. The primary variant focuses on detecting, identifying, and geolocating electromagnetic signals, such as communications, radar emissions, and electronic warfare activities. Based on past experience, the early arrival of these aircraft often signals that an attack may be very close. But what about Iran, what capabilities does it actually have? There are many myths surrounding Iran's military power. Here are some key points: 1. Israel did not overfly Iran during the 12-day war This is implausible. Most part of the munitions used included bombs like the GBU-28 and GBU-31, both with ranges under 25 km, which suggests they could only have been dropped from inside Iranian territory. 2. Iranian missiles have poor accuracy In 2025, several Iranian missiles were launched against targets in Erbil, Iraq, with excellent precision. During the 12-day war, Iran struck the Weizmann Institute and the Haifa refinery with high accuracy, as well as some Israeli launchers, all in an environment of heavy jamming. The truth is that Iranian missile accuracy depends on the model. Iran has missiles in its arsenal that are more than 15 years old, but there is no evidence that the precision of its modern anti-ship missiles is deficient. 3. Iranian air defenses are of very poor quality This cannot be stated with absolute certainty because they were never fully tested. Israel's ground sabotage operations were highly effective, successfully disabling radars and most short-range air defense systems. Iran does not keep its long- and medium-range air defenses permanently deployed, and consequently none of them were destroyed during the 12 days of war. 4. Iran has no radars capable of detecting stealth aircraft In 2024, Iranian radars locked onto Israeli F-35s while they were still over Iraqi territory. In 2025, Iranian-supplied radars integrated into missile batteries in Yemen also locked onto and fired at U.S. F-35s on multiple occasions, nearly downing one. 5. The high technology of U.S. ships and aircraft will paralyze Iranian weapons This would only happen if the Iranians turned their systems off, as reportedly occurred in the Venezuela case. So far, Iranian equipment has proven extremely resistant to interference. Shahed drones continue to operate accurately, and after years of Western efforts, they have not been successfully jammed. This will pose a major challenge for the Americans. 6. The U.S. Carrier Strike Group will easily crush the Iranian navy They would destroy Iran's large ships in minutes, but they would face enormous difficulty against mini-submarines, USVs, UAVs, UUVs, and fast attack craft equipped with missiles. In additional, the U.S. drones would not have complete freedom for target acquisition and would have to rely on LEO/ISR sats. Iran possesses drones like the Karrar, a jet-powered interceptor equipped with air-to-air missiles that can operate at 15,000 meters to deny U.S. drones freedom of action. The Israelis lost an unknown number of drones during the 12-day war, though losses were reported. Summary Does Iran have any advantage? At sea, against the current Carrier Strike Group and considering all of Iran's resources, I would say Iran holds an advantage, evidenced by factors such as missile range, number of containers, tubes, VLS cells, drones, mines, submarines, anti-ship missiles, and other assets. However, once the focus shifts from the sea to the air, the American advantage is overwhelming, both in satellite intelligence and in combat aviation. And this is the type of war the Americans know best.

RC-135 Deployments Signal Imminent Attack: Myths and Realities of Iran's Military Power The RC-135 is a family of large reconnaissance aircraft operated by the ISAF. These jets are designed for ISR missions, providing near real-time data to military commanders and national leaders. The primary variant focuses on detecting, identifying, and geolocating electromagnetic signals, such as communications, radar emissions, and electronic warfare activities. Based on past experience, the early arrival of these aircraft often signals that an attack may be very close. But what about Iran, what capabilities does it actually have? There are many myths surrounding Iran's military power. Here are some key points: 1. Israel did not overfly Iran during the 12-day war This is implausible. Most part of the munitions used included bombs like the GBU-28 and GBU-31, both with ranges under 25 km, which suggests they could only have been dropped from inside Iranian territory. 2. Iranian missiles have poor accuracy In 2025, several Iranian missiles were launched against targets in Erbil, Iraq, with excellent precision. During the 12-day war, Iran struck the Weizmann Institute and the Haifa refinery with high accuracy, as well as some Israeli launchers, all in an environment of heavy jamming. The truth is that Iranian missile accuracy depends on the model. Iran has missiles in its arsenal that are more than 15 years old, but there is no evidence that the precision of its modern anti-ship missiles is deficient. 3. Iranian air defenses are of very poor quality This cannot be stated with absolute certainty because they were never fully tested. Israel's ground sabotage operations were highly effective, successfully disabling radars and most short-range air defense systems. Iran does not keep its long- and medium-range air defenses permanently deployed, and consequently none of them were destroyed during the 12 days of war. 4. Iran has no radars capable of detecting stealth aircraft In 2024, Iranian radars locked onto Israeli F-35s while they were still over Iraqi territory. In 2025, Iranian-supplied radars integrated into missile batteries in Yemen also locked onto and fired at U.S. F-35s on multiple occasions, nearly downing one. 5. The high technology of U.S. ships and aircraft will paralyze Iranian weapons This would only happen if the Iranians turned their systems off, as reportedly occurred in the Venezuela case. So far, Iranian equipment has proven extremely resistant to interference. Shahed drones continue to operate accurately, and after years of Western efforts, they have not been successfully jammed. This will pose a major challenge for the Americans. 6. The U.S. Carrier Strike Group will easily crush the Iranian navy They would destroy Iran's large ships in minutes, but they would face enormous difficulty against mini-submarines, USVs, UAVs, UUVs, and fast attack craft equipped with missiles. In additional, the U.S. drones would not have complete freedom for target acquisition and would have to rely on LEO/ISR sats. Iran possesses drones like the Karrar, a jet-powered interceptor equipped with air-to-air missiles that can operate at 15,000 meters to deny U.S. drones freedom of action. The Israelis lost an unknown number of drones during the 12-day war, though losses were reported. Summary Does Iran have any advantage? At sea, against the current Carrier Strike Group and considering all of Iran's resources, I would say Iran holds an advantage, evidenced by factors such as missile range, number of containers, tubes, VLS cells, drones, mines, submarines, anti-ship missiles, and other assets. However, once the focus shifts from the sea to the air, the American advantage is overwhelming, both in satellite intelligence and in combat aviation. And this is the type of war the Americans know best.

Patricia Marins

30,566 次观看 • 7 个月前

‼️🇯🇵🇨🇳 BREAKING - Due to the threat from China, Japan will allocate an additional $5.4 billion in its 2025 budget for missiles and ships. Japan’s government has approved an additional $5.4 billion in 2025 to purchase extra ships and anti-ship systems. The corresponding document was published by Japan’s Ministry of Defense. The supplementary budget is allocated separately from the main defense funding. Specifically, $370 million is allocated for the acquisition of SSM-2 anti-ship missiles and Type-12 coastal defense missile systems. It is noteworthy that the missiles planned for delivery are not long-range versions — their maximum range will be up to 250 km. Japan will also purchase Type-03 Kai medium-range surface-to-air missile systems. The systems will be deployed on Yonaguni Island, located about 110 km from Taiwan. In total, Japan’s Ministry of Defense plans to acquire 29 batteries of the new surface-to-air missile systems. At the same time, about $800 million will be directed primarily toward accelerating orders for the construction of military vessels — specifically, multi-purpose frigates and submarines. In addition, part of the budget will accelerate purchases of UH-2 multi-role helicopters produced by Subaru. It should be recalled that the adjustment of Japan’s military budget is taking place in the context of the threat coming from China, especially following the national-security comments of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who emphasized that a Chinese attack on Taiwan would threaten Japan itself, and that Tokyo might become a party to this conflict. For this reason, China has intensified its propaganda campaign, accusing Japan of returning to militarism and imperialist approaches. Moreover, in recent days, incidents involving increased activity of Chinese forces near Japanese territory have become more frequent. In response to China’s increased violations of Japan’s borders, both at sea and in the air, Japan’s Ministry of Defense announced the deployment of Type-03 air-defense batteries and electronic warfare systems on Yonaguni Island, 110 km from Taiwan — a move that sparked even greater dissatisfaction in Beijing. Japan’s multi-billion-dollar special boost, aimed at rapidly strengthening its military capabilities, suggests that geopolitical tectonic shifts may soon begin in East Asia and across the Indo-Pacific basin. Furthermore, the strengthening of Yonaguni Island — and Japan’s effort to turn it into an “unsinkable aircraft carrier” — signals that Japan does not intend to passively wait while China begins its struggle for state hegemony through the use of hard power, which would primarily affect neighboring states. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

‼️🇯🇵🇨🇳 BREAKING - Due to the threat from China, Japan will allocate an additional $5.4 billion in its 2025 budget for missiles and ships. Japan’s government has approved an additional $5.4 billion in 2025 to purchase extra ships and anti-ship systems. The corresponding document was published by Japan’s Ministry of Defense. The supplementary budget is allocated separately from the main defense funding. Specifically, $370 million is allocated for the acquisition of SSM-2 anti-ship missiles and Type-12 coastal defense missile systems. It is noteworthy that the missiles planned for delivery are not long-range versions — their maximum range will be up to 250 km. Japan will also purchase Type-03 Kai medium-range surface-to-air missile systems. The systems will be deployed on Yonaguni Island, located about 110 km from Taiwan. In total, Japan’s Ministry of Defense plans to acquire 29 batteries of the new surface-to-air missile systems. At the same time, about $800 million will be directed primarily toward accelerating orders for the construction of military vessels — specifically, multi-purpose frigates and submarines. In addition, part of the budget will accelerate purchases of UH-2 multi-role helicopters produced by Subaru. It should be recalled that the adjustment of Japan’s military budget is taking place in the context of the threat coming from China, especially following the national-security comments of Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi, who emphasized that a Chinese attack on Taiwan would threaten Japan itself, and that Tokyo might become a party to this conflict. For this reason, China has intensified its propaganda campaign, accusing Japan of returning to militarism and imperialist approaches. Moreover, in recent days, incidents involving increased activity of Chinese forces near Japanese territory have become more frequent. In response to China’s increased violations of Japan’s borders, both at sea and in the air, Japan’s Ministry of Defense announced the deployment of Type-03 air-defense batteries and electronic warfare systems on Yonaguni Island, 110 km from Taiwan — a move that sparked even greater dissatisfaction in Beijing. Japan’s multi-billion-dollar special boost, aimed at rapidly strengthening its military capabilities, suggests that geopolitical tectonic shifts may soon begin in East Asia and across the Indo-Pacific basin. Furthermore, the strengthening of Yonaguni Island — and Japan’s effort to turn it into an “unsinkable aircraft carrier” — signals that Japan does not intend to passively wait while China begins its struggle for state hegemony through the use of hard power, which would primarily affect neighboring states. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

127,878 次观看 • 9 个月前

🇰🇷 | High tensions in South Korea as protests erupt against Iran war deployment plans. South Korea is actively preparing to become the first country to join the US militarily in the Strait of Hormuz — and Seoul has seen daily protests ever since officials confirmed it. Police tried to contain demonstrators as they took to the streets. With slogans such as "Everyone opposed to the Hormuz deployment, unite!" and "Refuse US military pressure!", activists are protesting near the US embassy in the capital. The demonstrations are organised by Seoul Peace Solidarity and National People's Action, which have urged the government not to bow to US pressure or capitulate to Washington, and vowed to continue the mobilisations. Further protests are planned. Washington has pressured Seoul for months to deploy forces to West Asia. It has never looked closer to reality. Seoul has notified Washington it is willing to dispatch naval ships and maritime patrol aircraft, and local media report parliamentary approval is already being prepared. It would be South Korea's first deployment at US request in 22 years. The deployment still requires that approval to proceed, but officials confirmed preparations are already under way regardless. While South Korea frames the package as "defensive," it would actively supply and enable US military operations against Iran, providing logistics, intelligence and direct cooperation with US forces. South Korea imports essentially all of its crude oil, 70% of it from the Gulf, leaving it heavily dependent on traffic through the Strait. Iran's foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei warned Seoul on Monday, in Korean, that any country operating in the Strait would be regarded as directly supporting the aggressor, and that a sovereign state must not yield to US pressure. Just last month, Washington downgraded its most important annual drills with Seoul, saying South Korea had refused to back its war on Iran. South Korea is arguably the most subordinated country in the world to the US military. Under OPCON, it is the only country on earth whose military would pass to American command in wartime. It hosts one of the largest US contingents anywhere, and Washington is its most important diplomatic and military partner.

🇰🇷 | High tensions in South Korea as protests erupt against Iran war deployment plans. South Korea is actively preparing to become the first country to join the US militarily in the Strait of Hormuz — and Seoul has seen daily protests ever since officials confirmed it. Police tried to contain demonstrators as they took to the streets. With slogans such as "Everyone opposed to the Hormuz deployment, unite!" and "Refuse US military pressure!", activists are protesting near the US embassy in the capital. The demonstrations are organised by Seoul Peace Solidarity and National People's Action, which have urged the government not to bow to US pressure or capitulate to Washington, and vowed to continue the mobilisations. Further protests are planned. Washington has pressured Seoul for months to deploy forces to West Asia. It has never looked closer to reality. Seoul has notified Washington it is willing to dispatch naval ships and maritime patrol aircraft, and local media report parliamentary approval is already being prepared. It would be South Korea's first deployment at US request in 22 years. The deployment still requires that approval to proceed, but officials confirmed preparations are already under way regardless. While South Korea frames the package as "defensive," it would actively supply and enable US military operations against Iran, providing logistics, intelligence and direct cooperation with US forces. South Korea imports essentially all of its crude oil, 70% of it from the Gulf, leaving it heavily dependent on traffic through the Strait. Iran's foreign ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei warned Seoul on Monday, in Korean, that any country operating in the Strait would be regarded as directly supporting the aggressor, and that a sovereign state must not yield to US pressure. Just last month, Washington downgraded its most important annual drills with Seoul, saying South Korea had refused to back its war on Iran. South Korea is arguably the most subordinated country in the world to the US military. Under OPCON, it is the only country on earth whose military would pass to American command in wartime. It hosts one of the largest US contingents anywhere, and Washington is its most important diplomatic and military partner.

The Specter

7,059,765 次观看 • 6 天前

President Zelenskyy is in Canada today. His visit is primarily about air defense for Ukraine and how Ukraine can survive the winter. This is the right priority: the sky above Ukrainian cities is currently more important than any concepts. But I would look at this visit more broadly. Canada is currently restructuring its defense policy toward Europe, and Ukraine can take a significantly more important place in this restructuring than is visible from the list of aid packages. We are talking about the Canada–EU–Ukraine triangle. This is not an alternative to NATO, but rather an additional mechanism within Euro-Atlantic security. Why is this happening right now? There are four reasons: the lasting confrontation with Russia, growing threats in the Arctic and North Atlantic, Europe's need to take care of its own defense, and uncertainty regarding the duration, terms and conditions that the US will remain a guarantor of security. I will start with Canada. In 2025, PM Carney said that about 75 cents out of every dollar of Canadian capital defense spending goes to American suppliers. Therefore, Canada is now setting a course toward diversification. At the same time, there are no intentions to sever ties with Washington. Canadian defense-industrial strategy explicitly emphasizes strong relations with the United States. The second Canadian motive is the Arctic. Seven out of eight Arctic states are now in NATO. Russia remains the main military threat in the region, while China is increasingly taking an active interest in resources and routes. But for Ottawa, the North is also a matter of sovereignty. At the Canadian-Nordic Summit in Oslo in March, leaders specifically emphasized the territorial integrity and sovereignty of states. Against the backdrop of disputes surrounding Greenland and talk about a "51st state," a closer security partnership with Europe gives Canada more political support in these matters. And thirdly, let's be honest: in terms of military capabilities, Canada is not a giant. It only plans to reach 2% of GDP on defense this fiscal year. Canada's strength lies in geography and coalitions: in the fact that, together with the US, it secures NORAD while simultaneously building bridges to Europe. And why does Europe need Canada? Because Europe's need is not just weapons, but also the ability to move troops, equipment, and resources across the Atlantic. The JFC Norfolk command, which is responsible for maritime communications between North America and Europe, as of December 2025 also covers Denmark, Finland, and Sweden. The Atlantic, the North, and the East of Europe in NATO planning are increasingly becoming a single space. Canada in this scheme is the other shore of the Atlantic. The most interesting thing is that elements of the Canada-EU-Ukraine triangle are already working. SAFE is the first of them. This is a European concessional loan mechanism for joint defense procurement, worth EUR 150 billion. The main condition is that the money must work for the European defense industry. Therefore, at least 65% of the component value in a contract must be European. Under SAFE rules, items produced in Ukraine count as European, on equal footing with products from EU countries, Norway, or Iceland. Canada was also admitted to the mechanism, becoming the first non-European country to join. Joint production is the second one. In May, the defense ministries of Ukraine and Canada signed an agreement to produce Ukrainian reconnaissance drones in Canada for the Armed Forces of Ukraine through the Airlogix-Sentinel joint venture. Ukraine provides battle-tested technology; Canada provides manufacturing capacity and funding. This is no longer aid, it's a manufacturing partnership. The third one: money. The NATO Ankara Declaration recorded that European allies and Canada are already funding the vast majority of security assistance to Ukraine. The threats facing all three sides are also shared. The most vivid example is underwater infrastructure. According to Reuters that cites two Western officials, in the spring, Britain, Norway, and the US tracked Russian GUGI submersibles that were practicing the use of means for covertly disabling cables near Svalbard. For Canada, this concerns trans-Atlantic communications and Arctic surveillance. For the EU: cables, ports, and energy grids. For Ukraine: energy infrastructure and the Black Sea infrastructure. What does Ukraine bring to this arrangement? We bring experience that neither Canada nor most European armies possess: high-intensity warfare against Russia, mass deployment of drones, electronic warfare, intelligence, and protecting infrastructure under constant attack. Chatham House, in a May report, directly proposes integrating Ukraine into NATO's Eastern Sentry, as well as into the EU's Eastern Flank Watch and Drone Defense Initiative, arguing that Ukrainian solutions could make the defense of the continent against drones more cost-effective. Ukraine, without a full-fledged navy, forced the Russian Black Sea Fleet to withdraw its main forces from Sevastopol, Crimea. This experience is directly relevant to both the Baltic and the North Atlantic. Shared maritime situational awareness from the Black Sea to the Arctic (Canadian space capabilities, European surveillance programs, and Ukrainian practical experience) would allow monitoring the Russian navy, shadow tankers, and underwater infrastructure as a single theater. Cooperation between Canada and the EU can reduce dependence on unstable supply chains. Canada possesses significant reserves of critical materials, important among other things for the defense industry, whereas the EU depends on China for critical raw materials. Combining Canadian resources, European manufacturing capacity, and Ukrainian technology could create a distinct trans-Atlantic supply chain. Energy cooperation should be long-term. Canada does not yet have sufficient infrastructure on its Atlantic coast to quickly replace Russian energy resources in Europe. However, it can gradually become one of the sources of the EU's energy security. This applies not only to LNG, but also to critical materials, nuclear fuel, and the protection of energy infrastructure. The role of the United Kingdom should not be underestimated, as well. It plays a significant role in the security of the North Atlantic, the GIUK gap, the protection of underwater infrastructure, and the development of the Atlantic Bastion concept, fitting naturally into a broader security system beyond the Canada–EU–Ukraine format. However, this specific triangle holds distinct significance because it combines Canada, European institutions, and Ukraine's gradual integration into the European defense market. Thus, Ukrainian president's visit to Canada does not create a triangle in itself. But it shows that there are elements that are already working: SAFE, where Ukrainian content is counted toward European content; JFC Norfolk, which stitches the Atlantic to the North and East of Europe; Ukrainian drones manufactured in Canada; and funding, the main share of which is already borne by Europe and Canada. The potential for deepening cooperation within the triangle lies in joint projects: air defense and counter-drone measures, maritime situational awareness from the Black Sea to the North Atlantic, protection of underwater infrastructure, and raw material supply chains.

President Zelenskyy is in Canada today. His visit is primarily about air defense for Ukraine and how Ukraine can survive the winter. This is the right priority: the sky above Ukrainian cities is currently more important than any concepts. But I would look at this visit more broadly. Canada is currently restructuring its defense policy toward Europe, and Ukraine can take a significantly more important place in this restructuring than is visible from the list of aid packages. We are talking about the Canada–EU–Ukraine triangle. This is not an alternative to NATO, but rather an additional mechanism within Euro-Atlantic security. Why is this happening right now? There are four reasons: the lasting confrontation with Russia, growing threats in the Arctic and North Atlantic, Europe's need to take care of its own defense, and uncertainty regarding the duration, terms and conditions that the US will remain a guarantor of security. I will start with Canada. In 2025, PM Carney said that about 75 cents out of every dollar of Canadian capital defense spending goes to American suppliers. Therefore, Canada is now setting a course toward diversification. At the same time, there are no intentions to sever ties with Washington. Canadian defense-industrial strategy explicitly emphasizes strong relations with the United States. The second Canadian motive is the Arctic. Seven out of eight Arctic states are now in NATO. Russia remains the main military threat in the region, while China is increasingly taking an active interest in resources and routes. But for Ottawa, the North is also a matter of sovereignty. At the Canadian-Nordic Summit in Oslo in March, leaders specifically emphasized the territorial integrity and sovereignty of states. Against the backdrop of disputes surrounding Greenland and talk about a "51st state," a closer security partnership with Europe gives Canada more political support in these matters. And thirdly, let's be honest: in terms of military capabilities, Canada is not a giant. It only plans to reach 2% of GDP on defense this fiscal year. Canada's strength lies in geography and coalitions: in the fact that, together with the US, it secures NORAD while simultaneously building bridges to Europe. And why does Europe need Canada? Because Europe's need is not just weapons, but also the ability to move troops, equipment, and resources across the Atlantic. The JFC Norfolk command, which is responsible for maritime communications between North America and Europe, as of December 2025 also covers Denmark, Finland, and Sweden. The Atlantic, the North, and the East of Europe in NATO planning are increasingly becoming a single space. Canada in this scheme is the other shore of the Atlantic. The most interesting thing is that elements of the Canada-EU-Ukraine triangle are already working. SAFE is the first of them. This is a European concessional loan mechanism for joint defense procurement, worth EUR 150 billion. The main condition is that the money must work for the European defense industry. Therefore, at least 65% of the component value in a contract must be European. Under SAFE rules, items produced in Ukraine count as European, on equal footing with products from EU countries, Norway, or Iceland. Canada was also admitted to the mechanism, becoming the first non-European country to join. Joint production is the second one. In May, the defense ministries of Ukraine and Canada signed an agreement to produce Ukrainian reconnaissance drones in Canada for the Armed Forces of Ukraine through the Airlogix-Sentinel joint venture. Ukraine provides battle-tested technology; Canada provides manufacturing capacity and funding. This is no longer aid, it's a manufacturing partnership. The third one: money. The NATO Ankara Declaration recorded that European allies and Canada are already funding the vast majority of security assistance to Ukraine. The threats facing all three sides are also shared. The most vivid example is underwater infrastructure. According to Reuters that cites two Western officials, in the spring, Britain, Norway, and the US tracked Russian GUGI submersibles that were practicing the use of means for covertly disabling cables near Svalbard. For Canada, this concerns trans-Atlantic communications and Arctic surveillance. For the EU: cables, ports, and energy grids. For Ukraine: energy infrastructure and the Black Sea infrastructure. What does Ukraine bring to this arrangement? We bring experience that neither Canada nor most European armies possess: high-intensity warfare against Russia, mass deployment of drones, electronic warfare, intelligence, and protecting infrastructure under constant attack. Chatham House, in a May report, directly proposes integrating Ukraine into NATO's Eastern Sentry, as well as into the EU's Eastern Flank Watch and Drone Defense Initiative, arguing that Ukrainian solutions could make the defense of the continent against drones more cost-effective. Ukraine, without a full-fledged navy, forced the Russian Black Sea Fleet to withdraw its main forces from Sevastopol, Crimea. This experience is directly relevant to both the Baltic and the North Atlantic. Shared maritime situational awareness from the Black Sea to the Arctic (Canadian space capabilities, European surveillance programs, and Ukrainian practical experience) would allow monitoring the Russian navy, shadow tankers, and underwater infrastructure as a single theater. Cooperation between Canada and the EU can reduce dependence on unstable supply chains. Canada possesses significant reserves of critical materials, important among other things for the defense industry, whereas the EU depends on China for critical raw materials. Combining Canadian resources, European manufacturing capacity, and Ukrainian technology could create a distinct trans-Atlantic supply chain. Energy cooperation should be long-term. Canada does not yet have sufficient infrastructure on its Atlantic coast to quickly replace Russian energy resources in Europe. However, it can gradually become one of the sources of the EU's energy security. This applies not only to LNG, but also to critical materials, nuclear fuel, and the protection of energy infrastructure. The role of the United Kingdom should not be underestimated, as well. It plays a significant role in the security of the North Atlantic, the GIUK gap, the protection of underwater infrastructure, and the development of the Atlantic Bastion concept, fitting naturally into a broader security system beyond the Canada–EU–Ukraine format. However, this specific triangle holds distinct significance because it combines Canada, European institutions, and Ukraine's gradual integration into the European defense market. Thus, Ukrainian president's visit to Canada does not create a triangle in itself. But it shows that there are elements that are already working: SAFE, where Ukrainian content is counted toward European content; JFC Norfolk, which stitches the Atlantic to the North and East of Europe; Ukrainian drones manufactured in Canada; and funding, the main share of which is already borne by Europe and Canada. The potential for deepening cooperation within the triangle lies in joint projects: air defense and counter-drone measures, maritime situational awareness from the Black Sea to the North Atlantic, protection of underwater infrastructure, and raw material supply chains.

Anton Gerashchenko

28,148 次观看 • 4 天前

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/14 to 3/16 • The war widened further into the Gulf economy, with drone incidents near Dubai Airport, disruption at Fujairah energy infrastructure (also in the UAE), and continued pressure around the Strait of Hormuz • Israel continued deep strike waves inside Iran while expanding ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon • Iran continued missile salvos toward Israel while activating proxy pressure fronts across Iraq • The U.S. began pushing for a multinational Hormuz security coalition while calibrating escalation to avoid a global oil shock The last 48 hours showed that the war is no longer just about missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. It is increasingly a contest over the regional system itself: energy flows, maritime routes, proxy networks, and command infrastructure. While Israel continues to degrade Iran’s military capabilities, Iran is trying to widen the battlefield economically and geographically. 📽️VIDEO 1: U.S. strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island oil export hub. 📽️VIDEO 2: Smoke rising from oil infrastructure in Fujairah after drone debris caused a fire. *⃣ GULF FRONT: THE ECONOMIC WAR DEEPENED This remained the most strategically important development. Following earlier strikes around Kharg Island and threats to the Strait of Hormuz, pressure on Gulf infrastructure continued. Drone incidents and debris related fires disrupted operations near Fujairah’s energy infrastructure, one of the world’s largest bunkering hubs in the UAE. Shortly afterward, a drone related incident near Dubai International Airport ignited a fuel tank and temporarily disrupted flight operations before authorities contained the fire and resumed traffic. These incidents show the war repeatedly touching civilian energy and logistics infrastructure in the UAE, not just military facilities. Even limited disruptions matter in this region. The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20 percent of global oil supply, and repeated incidents have pushed oil prices above $100 during the week. Iran does not need to fully close Hormuz to achieve strategic leverage. Persistent disruption alone can force insurance spikes, rerouting of shipping, and higher global energy prices. *⃣ KHARG ISLAND: IRAN’S ECONOMIC JUGULAR IS NOW UNDER DIRECT PRESSURE One of the most consequential developments in the war involves Kharg Island, Iran’s primary oil export terminal. Historically, roughly 85 to 90 percent of Iran’s crude exports pass through Kharg, making it the single most important node in the country’s energy economy. Recent U.S. strikes targeted military infrastructure associated with IRGC naval operations near the island, particularly facilities linked to mine laying capability and coastal missile systems. These strikes appear connected to Washington’s warning that Iran must not deploy naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz. There are also scattered reports of secondary explosions and possible infrastructure damage near the port, though there is no credible confirmation that the export terminal itself has been destroyed. That distinction is important. Destroying Kharg outright would cripple Iran’s oil exports overnight and likely trigger a massive oil price spike. Instead, the current targeting pattern appears designed to threaten Iran’s economic lifeline without fully collapsing it, maintaining pressure while avoiding the most extreme global economic consequences. *⃣ IRAN: STRIKES INSIDE THE CORE CONTINUED Inside Iran, Israeli strike activity remained intense. Over the last 48 hours, strikes targeted command infrastructure, missile launch systems, air defense networks, and military production sites across Tehran and other strategic locations. The campaign also hit Mehrabad Airport, where Israeli officials reported destroying aircraft associated with Iran’s leadership. Across central and western Iran, the strike map remains broad. Tehran, Karaj, and several other military zones have continued to appear in overnight strike reporting. This suggests the campaign is still focused on systematically degrading Iran’s military capacity, particularly missile infrastructure and command networks. Rather than shifting toward a narrow endgame phase, the strikes indicate a continued effort to keep Iran’s launch capabilities suppressed. *⃣ LEBANON: THE NORTHERN FRONT IS EXPANDING The Lebanon front also escalated further. Israeli forces expanded ground operations in southern Lebanon and reportedly encircled Khiyam, pushing westward toward the Litani River. This represents a larger ground posture than earlier border operations and indicates Israel is attempting to shape the battlefield against Hezbollah rather than simply retaliating against rocket launches. At the same time, Hezbollah continued firing rockets and drones toward northern Israel, maintaining pressure on the northern front even after suffering extensive infrastructure losses earlier in the war. Israel has continued heavy strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, including operational sites and logistical facilities tied to the group’s missile network. The northern theater now appears to be entering a phase of attrition and positional pressure, rather than the limited cross border exchanges that characterized earlier weeks. *⃣ IRAQ: PROXY PRESSURE ON THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES Iran aligned militias continued attacks on U.S. positions across Iraq. Over the past several days these groups have launched drones and rockets against American bases and diplomatic infrastructure, including a missile strike on the helipad area of the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad. These attacks serve two purposes: ➡️First, they impose direct costs on U.S. operations in the region. ➡️Second, they force the United States to divert resources toward base defense and interception missions. Even when damage is limited, the attacks expand the battlefield and complicate the operational environment for U.S. forces. *⃣ IRANIAN MISSILE ATTACKS CONTINUE Iran continued launching missiles toward Israel during this period. Several salvos targeted southern Israel and the Negev region, triggering repeated air raid alerts. Despite continued launches, the overall military impact of these attacks appears limited. Israeli air defense systems including Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and U.S. systems such as THAAD have maintained high interception rates. Iran is still able to launch missiles and drones, but the sustained strikes on launchers, command centers, and production facilities appear to be reducing the scale of its barrages compared to the opening days of the war. *⃣ WASHINGTON: TRUMP SIGNALS A LONGER STRATEGIC GAME The political messaging from Washington over the past 48 hours has also clarified the broader strategic direction. Publicly, Trump has suggested the war could end soon and that most major Iranian targets have already been struck. Operationally, however, the signals point toward preparation for a longer campaign. Washington has begun pushing for a multinational coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, urging countries that depend on Gulf energy flows to participate in maritime security operations. At the same time, the United States has been careful not to push escalation to the point of triggering a global energy shock. This balancing act helps explain why certain targets, such as Kharg Island’s export terminal, have been threatened but not completely destroyed. The strategic posture appears to be: ➡️sustain pressure on Iran’s military capability ➡️protect global energy flows ➡️avoid triggering a catastrophic oil price spike Israel’s priorities are somewhat different. Israel is focused primarily on maximizing military degradation of Iran and Hezbollah, even if that increases regional escalation risks. The dynamic between Washington’s economic caution and Israel’s military pressure is likely to shape the next phase of the conflict. *⃣ WHAT CHANGED IN THE LAST 48 HOURS Three developments stand out: ➡️First, the Gulf economic front is becoming central to the war. Drone incidents near Dubai and Fujairah show that the conflict is now directly touching regional infrastructure and global energy flows. ➡️Second, Israel continues to widen the battlefield rather than narrow it. Deep strikes inside Iran and expanded operations in Lebanon suggest the campaign is still in a degradation phase. ➡️Third, the United States is beginning to shift toward coalition management of the conflict, particularly around Hormuz, while trying to prevent the war from triggering a global energy crisis. In short, the war is evolving from a direct military confrontation into a broader struggle over regional stability, energy flows, and long term strategic balance in the Middle East.

🚨OPERATIONAL UPDATE: ISRAEL U.S. WAR WITH THE ISLAMIC REPUBLIC - Reporting Window: 3/14 to 3/16 • The war widened further into the Gulf economy, with drone incidents near Dubai Airport, disruption at Fujairah energy infrastructure (also in the UAE), and continued pressure around the Strait of Hormuz • Israel continued deep strike waves inside Iran while expanding ground operations against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon • Iran continued missile salvos toward Israel while activating proxy pressure fronts across Iraq • The U.S. began pushing for a multinational Hormuz security coalition while calibrating escalation to avoid a global oil shock The last 48 hours showed that the war is no longer just about missile exchanges between Israel and Iran. It is increasingly a contest over the regional system itself: energy flows, maritime routes, proxy networks, and command infrastructure. While Israel continues to degrade Iran’s military capabilities, Iran is trying to widen the battlefield economically and geographically. 📽️VIDEO 1: U.S. strikes on Iran’s Kharg Island oil export hub. 📽️VIDEO 2: Smoke rising from oil infrastructure in Fujairah after drone debris caused a fire. ⃣ GULF FRONT: THE ECONOMIC WAR DEEPENED This remained the most strategically important development. Following earlier strikes around Kharg Island and threats to the Strait of Hormuz, pressure on Gulf infrastructure continued. Drone incidents and debris related fires disrupted operations near Fujairah’s energy infrastructure, one of the world’s largest bunkering hubs in the UAE. Shortly afterward, a drone related incident near Dubai International Airport ignited a fuel tank and temporarily disrupted flight operations before authorities contained the fire and resumed traffic. These incidents show the war repeatedly touching civilian energy and logistics infrastructure in the UAE, not just military facilities. Even limited disruptions matter in this region. The Strait of Hormuz handles roughly 20 percent of global oil supply, and repeated incidents have pushed oil prices above $100 during the week. Iran does not need to fully close Hormuz to achieve strategic leverage. Persistent disruption alone can force insurance spikes, rerouting of shipping, and higher global energy prices. ⃣ KHARG ISLAND: IRAN’S ECONOMIC JUGULAR IS NOW UNDER DIRECT PRESSURE One of the most consequential developments in the war involves Kharg Island, Iran’s primary oil export terminal. Historically, roughly 85 to 90 percent of Iran’s crude exports pass through Kharg, making it the single most important node in the country’s energy economy. Recent U.S. strikes targeted military infrastructure associated with IRGC naval operations near the island, particularly facilities linked to mine laying capability and coastal missile systems. These strikes appear connected to Washington’s warning that Iran must not deploy naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz. There are also scattered reports of secondary explosions and possible infrastructure damage near the port, though there is no credible confirmation that the export terminal itself has been destroyed. That distinction is important. Destroying Kharg outright would cripple Iran’s oil exports overnight and likely trigger a massive oil price spike. Instead, the current targeting pattern appears designed to threaten Iran’s economic lifeline without fully collapsing it, maintaining pressure while avoiding the most extreme global economic consequences. ⃣ IRAN: STRIKES INSIDE THE CORE CONTINUED Inside Iran, Israeli strike activity remained intense. Over the last 48 hours, strikes targeted command infrastructure, missile launch systems, air defense networks, and military production sites across Tehran and other strategic locations. The campaign also hit Mehrabad Airport, where Israeli officials reported destroying aircraft associated with Iran’s leadership. Across central and western Iran, the strike map remains broad. Tehran, Karaj, and several other military zones have continued to appear in overnight strike reporting. This suggests the campaign is still focused on systematically degrading Iran’s military capacity, particularly missile infrastructure and command networks. Rather than shifting toward a narrow endgame phase, the strikes indicate a continued effort to keep Iran’s launch capabilities suppressed. ⃣ LEBANON: THE NORTHERN FRONT IS EXPANDING The Lebanon front also escalated further. Israeli forces expanded ground operations in southern Lebanon and reportedly encircled Khiyam, pushing westward toward the Litani River. This represents a larger ground posture than earlier border operations and indicates Israel is attempting to shape the battlefield against Hezbollah rather than simply retaliating against rocket launches. At the same time, Hezbollah continued firing rockets and drones toward northern Israel, maintaining pressure on the northern front even after suffering extensive infrastructure losses earlier in the war. Israel has continued heavy strikes on Hezbollah infrastructure in Lebanon, including operational sites and logistical facilities tied to the group’s missile network. The northern theater now appears to be entering a phase of attrition and positional pressure, rather than the limited cross border exchanges that characterized earlier weeks. ⃣ IRAQ: PROXY PRESSURE ON THE UNITED STATES CONTINUES Iran aligned militias continued attacks on U.S. positions across Iraq. Over the past several days these groups have launched drones and rockets against American bases and diplomatic infrastructure, including a missile strike on the helipad area of the U.S. embassy compound in Baghdad. These attacks serve two purposes: ➡️First, they impose direct costs on U.S. operations in the region. ➡️Second, they force the United States to divert resources toward base defense and interception missions. Even when damage is limited, the attacks expand the battlefield and complicate the operational environment for U.S. forces. ⃣ IRANIAN MISSILE ATTACKS CONTINUE Iran continued launching missiles toward Israel during this period. Several salvos targeted southern Israel and the Negev region, triggering repeated air raid alerts. Despite continued launches, the overall military impact of these attacks appears limited. Israeli air defense systems including Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and U.S. systems such as THAAD have maintained high interception rates. Iran is still able to launch missiles and drones, but the sustained strikes on launchers, command centers, and production facilities appear to be reducing the scale of its barrages compared to the opening days of the war. ⃣ WASHINGTON: TRUMP SIGNALS A LONGER STRATEGIC GAME The political messaging from Washington over the past 48 hours has also clarified the broader strategic direction. Publicly, Trump has suggested the war could end soon and that most major Iranian targets have already been struck. Operationally, however, the signals point toward preparation for a longer campaign. Washington has begun pushing for a multinational coalition to secure the Strait of Hormuz, urging countries that depend on Gulf energy flows to participate in maritime security operations. At the same time, the United States has been careful not to push escalation to the point of triggering a global energy shock. This balancing act helps explain why certain targets, such as Kharg Island’s export terminal, have been threatened but not completely destroyed. The strategic posture appears to be: ➡️sustain pressure on Iran’s military capability ➡️protect global energy flows ➡️avoid triggering a catastrophic oil price spike Israel’s priorities are somewhat different. Israel is focused primarily on maximizing military degradation of Iran and Hezbollah, even if that increases regional escalation risks. The dynamic between Washington’s economic caution and Israel’s military pressure is likely to shape the next phase of the conflict. ⃣ WHAT CHANGED IN THE LAST 48 HOURS Three developments stand out: ➡️First, the Gulf economic front is becoming central to the war. Drone incidents near Dubai and Fujairah show that the conflict is now directly touching regional infrastructure and global energy flows. ➡️Second, Israel continues to widen the battlefield rather than narrow it. Deep strikes inside Iran and expanded operations in Lebanon suggest the campaign is still in a degradation phase. ➡️Third, the United States is beginning to shift toward coalition management of the conflict, particularly around Hormuz, while trying to prevent the war from triggering a global energy crisis. In short, the war is evolving from a direct military confrontation into a broader struggle over regional stability, energy flows, and long term strategic balance in the Middle East.

Inside_Israel_Intel

460,417 次观看 • 6 个月前