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Explore all 9 participating commercial venues in Sanya’s Passport Friendly Initiative. Follow the interactive map to unlock perks, duty-free shopping, and lifestyle hubs across the city! ·No.1 Harbour City / Big Pineapple Shopping Mall ·Sanya International Duty Free Shopping Complex ·Sanya Joy City ·CNSC Duty Free (Sanya) ·Hainan Tourism...

26,085 次观看 • 27 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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Gaborone, Botswana 🇧🇼. Cool, quiet and growing. The country has been building a newer side of Capital for the last 8 years. Botswana Population - 2.5M, around the Population of Kiambu County. Though the country is vast relative to population. Population of the Capital City, Gaborone - around 250,000. Thika Town is over 270,000. Kisii Town is over 270,000. As shown in the attached video, the City is still growing. Nominal Per Capita GDP of Botswana - Approximately $7,500. Around number 5 in Africa. Economic Mainstay is Diamond mining. De Beers and Debswana are the most consequential companies. Beef processing and Tourism are coming up. Currency - Pula, meaning Rain (Mbura). One BWP is Ksh 9. Primary Education - Free. Secondary Education - Free. University Education - Free. University Students are paid a stipend of 2,500 BWP, Approximately Ksh 22,000 per Month. Tivet Students are paid by Government a stipend of 1,900 Pula, Approximately Ksh 17,000 Per Month. All Elderly over 65 years of age are paid a stipend of Ksh 1,400 BWP, Approximately Ksh 12,000 Per Month. Health care is free in all Government facilities. Land is given freely to citizens by Government. You may get a plot in the City or Town and a Farm. You apply, then appear before the land board for allocation. Others choose to buy from those allocated. Corruption index - Qualitatively, many people detest it and the country is ranked favourably. No Visa is required for Kenyans or holders of a Kenyan Passport. Great people, warm Africans. Africa is definitely the best Continent in the World. We are African and Africa is our Business..

Ndindi Nyoro

43,474 次观看 • 10 个月前

深藏不漏的本地视频生成大师 Gary 用黑白深度+精准分镜提示词复刻了陶阿狗君的创意换装视频 我用 Minimax H3 + gary的黑白深度,微调了一下提示词,就用新的模特复现了 复刻的具体步骤: 1. 准备好模特的人物三视图 2. 生成四个场景下的人物参考图,可以用 gpt image 2.5 换人 3. 稍微调整提示词里对原来模特的特征锁定,按照新模特重写 4. 用新的提示词 + 参考图片 + 黑白深度视频交给 Minimax H3 生成 微调后的提示词👇 defines Rei's opening outfit only: a fitted black satin mini dress with thin spaghetti straps, a lace-trimmed V-neckline, a small front bow with trailing ribbons, off-the-shoulder lace ruffle sleeves, a ruched bodice, a ruffled lace hem, bare legs and black pointed-toe stiletto pumps. Preserve the dress's silhouette, materials and front/back construction as shown. Use this outfit for the white-studio opening only; do not reproduce the character-sheet layout. defines her Paris outfit, front-facing presentation pose, drink, sunglasses, city map and UI. defines her Rome outfit, front/three-quarter presentation pose, props, city map and UI. defines her Cairo outfit, presentation pose, shopping bags, city map and UI. defines her Sydney outfit, front-facing finishing pose, city map and UI. is an unmodified slightly turned standard face crop from the original Rei character card. It is the highest-priority facial identity reference for ALL outfits: preserve its eye shape and spacing, eyelids, nose, lips and natural proportions without beautification. Pictures 2–5 supply new city outfits and environments, never a substitute face. This is the same adult woman in different clothes throughout the entire video. is a black-and-white relative-depth reference for body movement, camera pullback and chronological timing only. Depth brightness represents distance, not skin color or face detail. Render natural full color using the pictures. A featureless face in the depth map must not become the back of Rei's head. Use the scene pictures to resolve which way her face and chest point after each turn. Generate ONE continuous 12-second vertical video. The timed Shot labels below are successive phases of this one output, not instructions to insert camera cuts. Keep the reference timeline at its original speed. Do not compress the opening to make room for the cities. Only Rei rotates during transformation; the camera must not orbit her. A back view is a brief passing orientation during a spin, never a held destination pose. Each completed transformation reveals her face and the FRONT of the new outfit, as in its corresponding picture. Change clothing, handheld props, city map and city-name UI together; do not change only the background while leaving the previous outfit. Shot 1 [0.00–2.50 seconds]: White studio and opening black sailor uniform from . Rei looks at the phone held in front of her chest. Follow the opening camera pullback in . Her torso remains generally facing the camera; allow the original small phone and head gestures. This interval contains no full-body spin, no location pin yet, no city background and no wardrobe change. Shot 2 [2.50–3.15 seconds]: The red location pin appears above Rei. This event ONLY adds the pin. She continues looking at her phone in the white studio, still wearing the opening black sailor uniform. The pin does not trigger a spin or a scene change. Do not begin the transformation here. Shot 3 [3.15–4.05 seconds]: Follow the small preparatory side pivot in , then return toward the camera-facing starting orientation while holding the phone. This is the preparatory movement, not the rapid transformation spin. Retain the opening black sailor uniform, white background and red pin throughout this interval. No Paris map or summer outfit before 4.05 seconds. Shot 4 [4.05–6.00 seconds]: At 4.05 seconds begin the rapid transformation rotation following . Pass continuously through the side and back orientations without pausing. Around 4.25 seconds, during this rotation, change together into the Paris outfit, drink, sunglasses, map and navigation UI from . By 4.50 seconds complete the rotation and reveal Rei FACING THE CAMERA, with her face and the front of her navy-and-ivory striped top visible. From 4.50 to 6.00 seconds remain in this front/three-quarter FRONT presentation, with the drink and sunglasses gesture from . The cream full-length trousers, striped top and red neck scarf replace the opening black sailor uniform completely. No back-facing hold, no phone, no opening black sailor uniform during the Paris presentation. The top search bar and bottom location card both read 巴黎. Shot 5 [6.00–8.00 seconds]: Begin the next reference turn at 6.00 seconds. Around 6.25 seconds change outfit, props, city and UI to Rome from . Complete the turn by 6.55 seconds into a front/three-quarter FRONT view showing Rei's face, sage-green midi dress with brown belt. Until 8.00 seconds use the Rome pose with the paper guide and warm Trajan column and Roman Forum map. Both city labels read 罗马. Back-facing frames occur only while the turn is in progress; no stopped back view after the turn. Shot 6 [8.00–10.00 seconds]: Begin the next reference turn at 8.00 seconds. Around 8.25 seconds change together to the ivory linen shirt, beige full-length trousers, ochre scarf, shopping bags, Cairo map and UI from . By 8.55 seconds reveal her face and the front of the ivory linen shirt. Hold the front/three-quarter presentation with natural small movements until 10.00 seconds. Both city labels read 开罗. Keep the Cairo outfit and map together; do not introduce previous clothes or Sydney early. Shot 7 [10.00–12.00 seconds]: Begin the final reference turn at 10.00 seconds. Around 10.25 seconds replace the Cairo clothes and shopping bags, city and labels with the Sydney sky-blue overshirt, white T-shirt, navy knee-length shorts and white sneakers, Sydney Tower map and UI from . By 10.55 seconds face the camera with the white T-shirt beneath the sky-blue overshirt visible, hands raised and one leg bent backward as in . Keep this front-facing Sydney presentation with subtle natural movement through 12.00 seconds. Both city labels read 悉尼. No additional spin, destination or wardrobe change after this final reveal. Keep Rei's facial identity, natural body proportions, hair and bangs throughout. Clothing changes must not alter her face, age, body shape, hair color or hair length. Do not reproduce character-sheet panels, extra people, face closeups or depth-map gray colors. Do not reproduce the blank faces in Picture 1's full-body clothing views; Rei must have her normal face whenever her face is visible. Keep the city UI style consistent; update both location labels at each city change. No generated speech or music. The angle in Picture 6 describes identity only, NOT a fixed head pose. Face direction, expression, head tilt, hand gestures and full body movement follow Video 1, with each completed city presentation matching its corresponding scene picture. In Paris the sunglasses are opaque black and fully cover both eyes and eye sockets. Keep the sunglasses on throughout the Paris presentation. At the Rome transformation, switch to the accessories shown in Picture 3.

Hoody

36,920 次观看 • 13 天前

260708 A summary of #BAEKHO’s sighting at yesterday’s ROKA Special Performance Team auditions! 👀🎤 According to an attendee whose friend participated in the auditions as an active-duty soldier, they saw BAEKHO at the venue alongside Seventeen’s Hoshi & Woozi and Monsta X’s I.M, the four were also seen chatting together. According to OP’s friend, yesterday’s event was the 2nd-round audition to select members of the ROKA Special Performance Team, which performs at the annual Ground Army Festival. The audition was open to all active-duty Army soldiers. If selected, Baekho would be temporarily reassigned from his current unit, the 7th Division in Hwacheon, to the ROKA Headquarters, where the selected members will train and prepare together for the festival until early October. If this year’s selection process follows last year’s, applicants first went through a document screening, followed by yesterday’s live audition, before the final successful candidates are announced. According to attendee reports, the results are expected around the end of July, although no official schedule is known. There’s also information that last year’s selected team reportedly began training together around 40 days before the festival and performed throughout the event. If selected, we can expect Baekho to perform across all 5 days of this year’s Ground Army Festival, that will be taking place from October 1 to 5. The Ground Army Festival is a free public cultural event, meaning civilians (fans) can attend to watch the performances, as well as enjoy the festival’s military demonstrations, exhibitions, and other activities! + One of TEAM BAEKHO’s staff members also posted an Instagram Story in Hwacheon, near Baekho’s base, last night! So hopefully we’ll get to see him back on stage again soon! 🤞 Note: This information is based on attendee reports and publicly available information. While multiple accounts share the same details, some information like dates and the schedule has not been officially confirmed! #백호 #강동호 #KANGDONGHO

Baekho Updates

11,962 次观看 • 2 个月前

he turned $4k into 15x on weather markets. i reverse engineered his strategy. every day Polymarket runs the daily high temperature for 48 cities, 11 positions each: will be 14°, will be 15°, and so on. from morning to early afternoon the temperature only goes up. the moment the airport station prints 15, the "will be 14" position is dead. the high is already above it, no way back. but the market doesn't react instantly. there are still other people's YES bids sitting in the book, people who placed them in the morning at 30-80c and went to get coffee. that second, he sells them YES, meaning he buys NO at 20-85c. a few seconds later he dumps that NO at 99c to the bots that buy up the last cent. that's how he arbs the weather market. since june 1 he has done this 2,575 times. one loss, $34. a typical entry: $170 in, $5 profit, money free again 9 seconds later. rarely more than $1.5k working at once, $4k at the peak. on that $4k he made $63k in 98 days. the biggest profit comes from dying favorites: the position is cheap (60c), there are hundreds of dollars in bids in the book, and one station reading turns them into trash. then the bot buys out the whole book cheap at once and seconds later sells the positions to the bots at 99c. these are 18% of his trades and 44% of his total profit. NYC, june 25. the 82-83°F position was at 54c, the station printed 84. he took $1,470 of NO at 66c, sold it 9 seconds later at 99, +$732 from one trade. how to repeat it? the description of every temperature market has a link to the station it resolves on, like the same report comes from the api, free, no key: /api/data/metar?ids=UUWW the day's high on the station moved above a position = the position is dead. you sell into its YES bids and immediately dump the NO at 99. reports come out at :20 and :50 but get published with a 15 second to 5 minute delay, so you have to poll every second. you don't watch all 11 positions, you watch the favorite from 11:00 to 15:00 local time of the city. that's the only place the bid stacks are. fees are on for these markets. he doesn't pay them at his tier, you will: about 0.4c per contract against 2.6c he captures on a typical trade. it eats a chunk but not the trade. competition: four bots fight over these markets and 5 seconds after the first one the book is empty. this morning i caught three of these moments live, Moscow and Jeddah. other bots beat him to it. so the first thing in this strategy is to build your own setup that's faster than the rest, or at least as fast. then the total profit gets split five ways. the trader's wallet: hightemptation on Polymarket

may.crypto {🦅}

23,777 次观看 • 28 天前

The pressure inside Tehran is reaching a violent, unavoidable breaking point. All around me, people are barely clinging to life, and I can hardly bear to imagine the unthinkable agony endured by our brothers and sisters in Sistan and the south. When I was a child, I wanted to be Spider-Man. Every kid dreams of becoming a superhero to save their city. But Iranian children became heroes without ever asking for a mantle. They were forced to wear shrouds. They died as legends before they even had the chance to live. I was not one of those fallen legends. Instead, I was burdened with a quiet, sacred purpose. To become their voice. That is the only reason my lungs still draw air after surviving three revolutions and three massacres executed by this regime. I survived Bloody November. I survived Woman Life Freedom. I survived the brutal January massacre of our Lion and Sun revolution. They say with great power comes great responsibility, but in Iran, with great luck comes an absolute duty. I will be damned if I abandon that weight while I still draw breath. For Nika. For Sarina. For Sepehr. For Khodanour. For Kian. For negin. For every star ripped from our sky and every mother weeping over a cold grave, I must keep surviving to be the voice of my homeland. Iran will be free from this occupying tyranny. But mark my words. We will never forget the allies who stood with us in the dark, and we will never forgive those who chose to side with our oppressors. I believe in the Lion and Sun revolution with every fiber of my being. Our dawn is inevitable, and Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi will lead us through the despair of this night onto morning light.

Decado

23,318 次观看 • 2 个月前

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto—focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( – $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > ( - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > ( — Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules >Tropical Tidbits ( - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high >Climate Reanalyzer ( - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities >Windy ( - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online ( - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction ? >Center ( - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center ( - long-term ENSO, droughts >Open-Meteo ( - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. >OpenWeatherMap ( = Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. >Visual Crossing Weather ( - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities >WeatherAPI. com ( - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Aleiah

77,547 次观看 • 8 个月前

How to make money on the weather using Polymarket I've been noticing more and more traders quietly printing on Polymarket's weather markets lately - and the category is exploding for a reason. Weather has always been super predictable for meteorologists (and us normals) right up to the day of. The whole point? You can earn easy, near-certain yield just knowing it'll rain in London tomorrow. I'm sharing a finished tutorial with you. Here is a small list of traders 1. gopfan2 ( - The absolute leader in weather. Earned over $2M in net profit by focusing on temperature and precipitation. Strategy - buy Yes below 15 cents, No above 45 cents, with risks of less than $1 per position. It dominates the NYC and London markets where the weather is predictable 2. enzocostapt81 ( is a weather-exclusive trader whose profile shows a complete wipeout in resolved positions-no active/open trades, current positions value $0.00, and all listed markets (resolved) at -100% P/L. The trader focused solely on daily/precise temperature predictions in major cities like New York City and London. 3. 0x594edb9112f526fa6a80b8f858a6379c8a2c1c11 ( 100% of active positions are weather/temperature markets across cities like Dallas, London, Seattle, Atlanta, NYC, and Toronto-focused on precise daily highs/thresholds/ranges. 4. meropi ( - Earned ~$30k on micro bets ($1-3) with multipliers up to 500x. Automated bets on temperature rise for 0.01 cents. Focus on speed to capture momentum in daily markets. One of the most stable in weather 5. 1pixel ( - $18.5k profit from $2.3k deposit, weather only (NYC and London) 6. erb80 ( Dominant focus-two massive Atlanta temperature range bets for Dec 17, with enormous share volume at ultra-low entries (0.1¢) turning into huge unrealized gains (+49,550% on the main one) 7. Hans323 ( - Earned $1.1M on one temperature trade in London. Started with $741 in January 2025 and increased to $87k net profit for the year 8. securebet ( - Turned $7 into $640 (+9244%) on a series of temperature bets in NYC and Seattle. 3077 predictions, top 0.04% by metrics. Focus on small bets ($3-20) with high growth on low quotes. High win rate thanks to NOAA data 9. automatedAItradingbot ( Micro/low-cost bets (0.4¢–15¢) on specific outcomes, especially weather thresholds in Seoul/London and fighter matchups.Explosive wins (300%+ on select weather 1,000–5,000% average ROI across successful weather specialists based on this traders Tools and Automation > - Built specifically for Polymarket weather traders. Offers real-time multi-model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF, etc.), temperature range dashboards, climate pattern guides per city/station, and settlement station details. Includes educational guides on seasonal biases and forecasting challenges—highly recommended for NYC/London/Atlanta markets. > - Free guide/resource hub for weather betting on Polymarket. Covers market overviews, settlement rules > - US GFS and ECMWF Europe models for temperature, precipitation, hurricane forecasts. Updates every 6 hours. Ideal for comparing models if 3+ agree, the probability is high > - real-time maps of air/ocean temperature, precipitation anomalies. With historical context for calculating probabilities > - interactive maps of wind, temperature, rain, snow. 10+ models, for local events NOAA Climate Data Online - 100+ years of historical location data NOAA Weather Prediction > - short forecasts for precipitation, anomalies. Climate Prediction Center - long-term ENSO, droughts > - Completely free open-source weather API with no key required. Provides GFS, ECMWF-derived, and ensemble forecasts for temperature, precipitation, and more at hourly/sub-hourly resolution globally. Excellent for scripting quick checks on NYC/London highs or comparing multiple models. Direct API calls make it ideal for automation or batch probability calculations. > - Free tier gives current conditions, 5-day/3-hour forecasts, and 16-day daily forecasts. Good for real-time verification and basic historical pulls (limited free). Use for cross-checking Polymarket ranges before resolution. > - Free tier includes historical data (50+ years), current conditions, hourly/sub-hourly forecasts, and alerts. Strong for querying specific cities > - Free plan covers real-time, hourly, daily forecasts (up to 14 days), historical data (from 2010), and bulk requests. Reliable for urban stations and includes marine/pollen extras if needed. Quick Tips for Using These in Trading >>>Cross-verify 3+ models (e.g., GFS + ECMWF via Open-Meteo + Windy) → if 80%+ agree on a range/threshold, probability is often very high for "Yes" bets under 10-15¢. >>>Focus on major stations (e.g., Central Park for NYC, Heathrow for London) - check settlement rules on Polymarket pages. >>>ADD TO BOOKMARKS so you don't lose alpha information

Valentin

17,170 次观看 • 4 个月前

EXODUS: Help Darren Stallcup Move Out Of San Francisco After dedicating the best years of my life to save San Francisco, I have made the heartbreaking decision to leave this great beautiful city behind. I did the best that I could every day and I know so many honest good caring San Franciscans out there are hurting just as much as I am and I've met so many of you who desperately want the same healing and recovery for this city that I do... The truth is... the daily chaos, lawlessness and human suffering on our streets are not accidents but a deliberate result of a cruel, sick game engineered by corrupt politicians and non-profits who benefit from the suffering of the less fortunate. I don't hate everyone who votes differently or works in non-profits... there are plenty of decent people trying to help, but far too many bad apples in the Democratic party are working hand-in-hand with these organizations to keep the crisis alive. I'm infuriated by this broken, predatory system that devastates the vulnerable, attacks those trying to help and enriches those who have blood on their hands... all on the taxpayers dime. That's why I'm done playing along and refusing to sacrifice my life to their endless failure. Yet even as I leave, I'll never stop fighting for the less fortunate by demanding secure treatment beds, real enforcement against fentanyl dealers and sober housing that actually saves lives instead of enabling death. I can continue my art, music and citizen journalism in another city that is cleaner, safer and dare I say more friendlier to me, a conservative Patriot who loves our great beautiful country. Day and Night I walked these streets up and down the block, handing out food, clothing and blankets to the less fortunate while listening to their stories. Through citizen journalism, I documented the homeless crisis on the ground, sharing videos and photos to raise awareness. I spoke passionately at City Hall meetings, demanding accountability from leaders who seemed indifferent. I appeared on national and international television to share my story with the world about the fentanyl genocide devastating our city. Today, with a heavy heart, I regret to inform our community that I am relocating to a safer area outside San Francisco. I can no longer tolerate the chaos and stress of day to day survival in this city. It has taken an undeniable toll on my physical, mental and spiritual well being. Our corrupt and incompetent local and state leaders have deliberately enabled chaos on San Francisco's streets, creating a perpetual crisis that funnels billions of taxpayer dollars into the hands of corrupt non-profits and organizations. These entities thrive on the suffering of the less fortunate, profiting from endless contracts for shelters, outreach programs and harm-reduction initiatives that fail to reduce harm or homelessness. Harm reduction is causing more harm. Progressive policy is making everything progressively worse. I am done being a guinea pig in their social experiment. Year after year, billions have been spent, yet the humanitarian crisis has only worsened, with more tents, more overdoses, and more despair. Fentanyl overdoses are on the rise, homelessness numbers are climbing and our public spaces have all but deteriorated, all while the same politicians get elected year after year. It is a calculated system of human suffering and I am done living through the nightmare every single day. I've been documenting the truth about San Francisco's streets for years, but as I prepare to leave for good, this frontline perspective might go with me unless I am able to find a nice small town where I can continue my work from afar. If my story has ever opened your eyes or fueled your fight, I ask you to show love to my journey. My work in our community began with a deep compassion for those suffering on the streets and I poured my energy into helping the homeless directly. My home burned down to the ground, I know what it's like to have nothing and work your way up from rock bottom. Every day, more people overdose and more people show up in San Francisco from all over the country. It's a never ending cycle. I have lost too many family and friends and I refuse to be next. I am profoundly tired of the fentanyl genocide that has turned my once beloved city into a hell hole. I have seen one too many open air drug markets, claiming thousands of lives each year. The drug dealers operating freely, the human feces and needles littering streets and sidewalks, the judges letting the fentanyl dealers out of jail, the fentanyl showing up on playgrounds and in schools, the women giving birth on the sidewalk, the still born babies found in port-o-pottys, the people jumping off of buildings, the people living in the sewers, the non-stop every day looting of our grocery store, the robbery of our local restaurants, the targeting of our mom-and-pop shops, the risk of riding public transportation, the waking up to burglars kicking in my door and fighting them off, the sound of going to sleep to people screaming and waking up to emergency sirens, the billion dollar tech offices and third world conditions across the streets, the constant threat of The Big Earthquake, power outages, infrastructure breakdown, skyrocketing cost of living, it's all become unbearable. Homeless encampments blocking public spaces, the high risk of fentanyl exposure and rampant property crime have eroded any sense of normalcy. Personal safety threats from erratic behavior, boarded-up stores and political hostility weigh heavily on me. I no longer desire or wish to endure these heartbreaking struggles. Building a life for myself, let alone a family, in this decay, is almost impossible. The frustration with leftist policies enabling open drug scenes, health risks from biohazards and store closures reducing access to essentials has taken its toll. I have personally witnessed at least a dozen grocery stores close down and my heart is broken as I wonder if I am slowly living in a food desert because of rampant, unchecked crime. They defunded the police and the judge releases criminals out of jail the next day. I am sick and tired of fighting off the same bad guys every day. The Urban decay is not just in areas like the Tenderloin, SOMA and Union Square, but all over the city. The difficulty in regular social life is noticeable and everybody is on guard making human connection even more challenging unless you are a millionaire. I walk into small businesses, stores and restaurants and all the workers are on edge wondering what chaos will happen that day. Tourists ask me what is happening to the city? All I do is shake my head. This is not the San Francisco I grew up in. My City has become unrecognizable. The Full House Days are long gone and it will take years, if not generations, for San Francisco to recover from all the damage done. Years of frontline activism without any city wide solutions have left me absolutely drained. Every day feels like the same nightmare, repeating the same chaos day after day without end. I don't want my life trapped in this cycle of sirens, screams and unchecked decline. It's time to step away from this chaos. I do not want to die here. The threats to personal safety, the constant exposure to violence and humanitarian crisis has become too much for one lifetime. I shouldn't have PTSD from living in San Francisco, but I do. Honestly, we all have survivor's guilt. I refuse to let this environment claim my future or my dreams. Relocating means saving my health, mental well being, spirituality and opportunity to thrive elsewhere. No more waking up and counting the bodies on the sidewalks or navigating hazards just to live daily life. I deserve a chance to build without the shadow of this humanitarian crisis looming over everything. I've sacrificed my personal health, safety and years of my life on the frontlines for the vulnerable while our local leaders profited from their pain... now, to keep fighting, I have to leave everything behind and start over. If this battle has ever meant something to you, please do consider supporting. As I pursue my American dreams in a new place, I carry the lessons from San Francisco with me forever. I will always cherish the memories and good times. This city will always have a place in my heart. San Francisco is my hometown. I continue advocating for change from afar, but with renewed energy in a safer environment. This move allows me to build a stable life, free from the nightmare that has defined too many years of life. Thank you to all my family and friends that have supported my work, I fought valiantly but now it is time for a tactical retreat. My time in the trenches, on the frontlines are over. I can't believe I made it out alive. Here's to new beginnings and the hope that one day, San Francisco heals.

Darren Stallcup - World Peace Movement

20,793 次观看 • 9 个月前

The goal isn’t to make AI look perfect. It’s to make you forget you’re watching AI in the first place. Seedance 2.5 on DomoAI official Prompt A young Korean woman @[Image 1](image_1) is casually organizing her small apartment kitchen and dining area alone. (Image) provides only her face and hairstyle; She is the only person who appears throughout. @[Image 1](image_1) The environment is a compact, lived-in apartment kitchen connected to a small dining space. The room feels naturally cluttered but comfortable: a few grocery bags near the counter, dishes drying beside the sink, a half-open cabinet, a small wooden dining table with a ceramic mug and unopened mail, a dish towel hanging unevenly from the oven handle, a refrigerator covered with a few small magnets and handwritten notes, and a couple of reusable shopping bags resting near the doorway. Warm orange evening sunlight enters through partially open blinds, creating realistic patches of light across the floor and countertops. Her behavior is quiet, casual, and completely unperformed. She is simply doing ordinary household chores when she unexpectedly notices something behind the refrigerator. The sequence should feel like an authentic personal phone recording rather than a professionally produced commercial or cinematic scene. SHOT 1 — 0–2s: She wipes down the kitchen counter with a slightly damp cloth while casually moving a few everyday objects out of the way. The camera is handheld from a slightly low side angle, as if someone casually holding a phone while standing nearby. The framing is imperfect and slightly tilted. She quietly hums under her breath while cleaning. Audio: cloth rubbing against the countertop, faint refrigerator hum, distant neighborhood ambience. SHOT 2 — 2–4s: As she reaches toward the floor to pick up a reusable shopping bag, she notices something small wedged behind the refrigerator. She pauses and leans down to see it better. The camera quickly tilts downward and moves closer with a natural handheld wobble. She quietly says: "어? 저게 뭐야?" ("Huh? What's that?") Audio remains completely live and imperfect. SHOT 3 — 4–6s: She crouches beside the refrigerator and reaches one hand into the narrow gap behind it. She struggles slightly to reach the object, shifting her body and pulling the shopping bag out of the way. Her sweatshirt naturally wrinkles and moves with her body. The camera moves closer from above her shoulder, briefly losing focus before refocusing on her hand. She murmurs: "잠깐만…" ("Wait a second…") SHOT 4 — 6–8s: She finally manages to pull the object free. It is an old pair of wired earphones tangled into a small knot, clearly something she had forgotten months ago. She holds them in front of her and looks genuinely confused for a moment. She turns the earphones over in her fingers, inspecting them naturally. She says softly: "이게 왜 여기 있어?" ("Why is this here?") No exaggerated reaction. SHOT 5 — 8–10s: Close handheld shot from slightly below eye level. She suddenly recognizes the earphones and gives a small, genuine laugh. Her expression changes from confusion to amused realization. She says: "아… 예전에 쓰던 거네." ("Ah… these are the ones I used to use.") The camera gently drifts closer, with realistic smartphone autofocus briefly shifting between her face and the earphones. SHOT 6 — 10–13s: She looks around the messy kitchen and realizes there are still several things left to organize. She gives a tiny tired sigh, places the old earphones on the dining table beside the mug, then picks up the cloth again. She quietly mutters with a faint smile: "정리할 게 왜 이렇게 많아…" ("Why is there so much to clean up…") She immediately continues wiping the counter. SHOT 7 — 13–15s: The camera slowly backs away toward the entrance of the apartment, still handheld and slightly shaky. She continues casually cleaning the kitchen without acknowledging the camera. The warm evening sunlight remains visible through the blinds while the apartment feels naturally quiet and lived-in. The final moment should feel completely ordinary, as though the recording simply happened to capture a tiny unexpected discovery during a normal evening.

Sharon Riley

30,876 次观看 • 22 天前

A Tale of Two Palestinian Cities. Some were outraged when I stated earlier that we, as Gulf Arabs, no longer wish to destroy our nations and futures for a cause that, for 70 years, has brought us nothing but terrorism, accusations, betrayal, and alliances with our enemies. The moment we say: “We want to live,” we are branded Zionists. By who? By people sitting comfortably in Malaysia, Pakistan, Indonesia, the West - sipping lattes and tweeting from safe homes - demanding we fight and die for their version of solidarity. So let me show you two realities. The first video is from Gaza, April 2025 - 18 months into a war that never needed to happen. There was no prior Israeli provocation, no bombing campaign, no invasion leading up to October 7. Things were improving. Israel was issuing 22,000 daily work permits for Gazans, and negotiations were underway - with Saudi mediation - for improving Gaza’s conditions in exchange for moderation. Then Hamas, acting on behalf of Iran, blew it all up. October 7 wasn’t resistance. It was sabotage. A completely unnecessary massacre - not for Palestinian liberation, but to derail Saudi-Israeli normalization and regional peace. It was Tehran’s agenda, paid in Palestinian blood. The second video is from the Palestinian capital, Ramallah, also April 2025 - the ICON Mall grand opening. Music. Dancing. Luxury stores. BMWs pulling in. Palestinians celebrating as if Gaza were on another continent. No outrage. No mourning. Just luxury shopping and selfies. If they, the fellow Palestinians, aren’t standing in the rubble, why are we told we must? Let’s also get this straight: Gaza has been “free” since 2005. The siege? It started in 2007, after Hamas took power by killing 300 fellow Palestinians (PA Police) and throwing them off rooftops. Since then, Israel still gave out work permits. Egypt, on the other hand, kept the Rafah border completely sealed. Even during the war’s worst days, Egypt wouldn’t open it - barely for aid, not for refugees. Not one work permit. Nothing. If Gaza was truly a prison, why didn’t Hamas break out through Egypt? Why always toward Israel? Because Egypt would shoot - not negotiate. But you won’t see the usual online “activists” blaming Cairo. No. It’s always easier to guilt-trip the Gulf Countries. So no - we will not join your death cult. We will not die for the cause while Ramallah dances and Cairo locks the gate. And to all the comfortable, self-righteous voices screaming “solidarity”: shut the fuck up and go die in Gaza yourselves if you care that much. Don’t lecture us from safety. Don’t demand sacrifice from others while you live off hashtags. If the people of Ramallah aren’t bothered - if their own fellow Palestinians can dance on the same day others die - why the hell should we? Spare us the pious performative grief. We’ve seen through it. The cause was hijacked long ago by ye Ayatollahs of Tehran - and we are done dying for other people’s delusions.

Aimen Dean

1,345,669 次观看 • 1 年前

more seedance 2.5 realism tests: > it always makes the arms a bit too long > shot selection is pretty insane > audio is a bit sub par, needs more work > in aggregate, can 100% pass as real (read the article below for full guide) prompt: Create an exactly 15-second photorealistic shopping vlog in 16:9: extremely sharp 4K compact-camera detail, natural HDR, accurate skin, realistic motion and perfect identity continuity. No VHS, grain, subtitles, logos, watermarks or graphics. SUBJECT: A 21-year-old American woman with long wavy chestnut hair, light everyday makeup and an expressive, approachable face. Fitted black long-sleeve top, light-blue straight jeans, sneakers and a small black shoulder bag. Keep her face, hair, outfit, bag and jewellery identical through every cut. She talks like a normal friend, never a presenter. STORE: A large modern high-street womenswear shop resembling an upscale European fast-fashion retailer without real branding. Cream walls, black fixtures, mirrors, warm-neutral spotlights, polished floor, fitting rooms, folded denim and dense racks of blazers, tops, dresses, knitwear and trousers. Adult shoppers browse independently. No readable brands, signs, price tags or labels. CAMERA: The same compact camera stays in her hand throughout. Every frame is one-handed arm’s-length selfie, her mirror reflection holding it, or her rotating it outward to show clothes. Never place it down, prop it up, pass it to anyone or use an external angle. Sharp 20–24mm-equivalent wide lens, mild barrel distortion, deep focus, reliable eye autofocus and true 24fps with 1/48-second blur. Stabilization controls impacts but retains footstep bob, wrist sway, breathing, grip shifts, late pans and imperfect reframing. Preserve pores, flyaways, teeth, fabric and accurate reflections without beauty filtering or fake bokeh. Exposure stays face-priority but shifts subtly between mirrored aisles and the fitting-room corridor. Fast wrist turns show slight rolling-shutter skew and natural background blur while her face and garments remain sharply resolved. EDITING IS CRITICAL: Use 12 clips and 11 hard jump cuts. Most cuts remain in the same aisle or beside the same rack, with only a small jump in pose, expression, camera distance, garment position or sentence. Remove mundane pauses and bits of walking. Cut mid-gesture, during camera turns and inside sentences for the fast rhythm of an edited social vlog. Geography and identity stay coherent despite time compression. No fades, transitions, whip effects or cinematic montage. Cuts are not beat-synced; some happen for no narrative reason and simply skip a fraction of an ordinary action. CLIP 1 — 0.0–1.2: Walking into the store in loose selfie framing: “Okay, I’m literally just getting—” CLIP 2 — 1.2–2.3: Jump cut a few steps inside, nearly the same angle but her hair and bag have shifted: “—one top. That’s it.” CLIP 3 — 2.3–3.4: She rotates the camera toward a crowded rack and slides hangers with her free hand. Hangers clack; no dialogue. CLIP 4 — 3.4–4.6: Jump cut beside the same rack. In selfie view she holds a dark-red top against herself: “Wait, this is cute.” CLIP 5 — 4.6–5.5: Cut to a nearby mirror, camera visible in her hand. She checks the top. Her female friend, mostly off-camera, says, “No.” She turns: “Really?” CLIP 6 — 5.5–6.4: Close selfie micro-cut in the same spot. She laughs: “Okay, rude.” CLIP 7 — 6.4–7.6: She rotates toward a blazer rail and pulls out a charcoal jacket. Focus briefly transfers from mirror to fabric. CLIP 8 — 7.6–8.8: Jump cut in the same aisle. The top and jacket now rest over her free arm. Looking down: “Why do I already have four things?” CLIP 9 — 8.8–9.8: Near-identical angle after another micro-cut. Friend: “Because you picked them up.” She smiles: “Fair.” CLIP 10 — 9.8–11.2: Cut to her walking past another rack. She pans across dresses, passes the item she wants, then corrects back. No dialogue. CLIP 11 — 11.2–13.2: Mirror near the fitting rooms. Holding the jacket against herself: “Do I need this?” Friend: “No.” She smiles, ignoring the answer. CLIP 12 — 13.2–15.0: Close walking selfie approaching the fitting rooms, garments over her free arm: “Okay, I’m trying it on.”

beech

29,321 次观看 • 1 个月前

The Princess of Wales is worth Over £1 Billion pounds to the British fashion industry. Over the last 15+ years, Catherine's wardrobe has become far more than just clothes—it is a masterclass in structural tailoring, sartorial diplomacy, and unwavering brand loyalty. HRH has built an untouchable fashion legacy that stands entirely in a league of its own. 1. The Power of Long-Term Brand Loyalty: True fashion icons don't chase all fleeting trends or jump from brand to brand looking for freebies. Catherine’s strength lies in her deep, decades-long relationships with iconic British heritage houses and high-end designers. Her team never makes desperate calls to fashion houses begging for free clothes. Instead, her wardrobe is fully funded by the Duchy of Cornwall, and she pays full price for everything she wears. She either handpicks her pieces or designers proactively share their new collections with the palace so bespoke versions can be created. As a result, most of the stunning pieces she wears are unique, custom-made creations—which are then replicated across affordable fashion brands at every price point. That is true future-Queen energy. For nearly 20 years, HRH has championned names like Alexander McQueen, Catherine Walker, and Jenny Packham. Because these relationships were built organically and authentically over time, these houses understand her silhouette, her role, and her message perfectly. 2. The "Kate Effect" vs. Calculated PR: There is a fundamental difference between organic cultural impact and aggressive public relations. The "Kate Effect" wasn't manufactured by a Californian PR team; it was coined because the public genuinely connected with her authentic choices. When Catherine wears something, it sells out in minutes because her reach is entirely organic. While other one has spent years in the US failing to elevate high-end American fashion brands or cultivate meaningful luxury relationships, Catherine has quietly stayed in her lane, minding her own business, and building an economic powerhouse for the British fashion industry. 3. The Mastery of High-Low Dressing: One of the most revolutionary aspects of her style strategy is the seamless integration of high-street pieces with bespoke luxury. She will effortlessly pair a custom gown with accessible earrings, or step out in a tailored blazer from Zara or Reiss alongside heirloom royal jewelry. This is what she is known for and the other one copies her. This high-low mix keeps her relatable to the public while maintaining the prestige required of her position. 4. Evolution into the Future Queen: Her style has evolved symmetrically with her growing constitutional responsibilities. 5. A Unique, Uncontested Position: Ultimately, Catherine’s style works because she understands her unique position. She holds a rank that no one else in the UK holds, and as the future Queen, she is entirely without competition. While the other one stalks her with media noise and desperate PR campaigns and now attempting to target and mimic the exact brands Catherine has loyally worn for two decades, it falls flat. Why? Because you cannot replicate two decades of duty, consistency, and genuine poise. Why would a luxury brand ruin their successful, positive brand image for a volatile and toxic brand? Ultimately, if fashion houses are reluctant to dress the Californain one, it is the direct consequence of her six-year history of cultivating a toxic reputation and her art of devaluing high-end garments. Catherine has nothing to prove, she is getting on with her life and is worth over £1 billion pounds to the British fashion industry. HRH doesn't need to chase the spotlight or push nonsense PR, she embodies British culture and the stability of the crown and country she represents. She knows who she is and she's not insecure. Natural elegance, consistency, and loyalty will always rise above her stalker's media noise. 👑🇬🇧 #PrincessCatherine #PrincessofWales

The British Prince

50,657 次观看 • 21 天前

Lads. Sit down and give me your ear a while, for I have watched from the water long enough and the hour is upon us whether we have the stomach for it or not. You remember. Or your fathers told you, or their fathers did, and the knowledge of it is in the marrow of you whether you drew breath in those days or not. The moors in the grey hour before dawn. Wet heather soft under the boot. Peat smoke rising from a low stone chimney a mile out across the bog, thin as a prayer. A sky the colour of a gun barrel and the gulls lamenting above the headland. The smell of turf burning, and wet wool, and the ferrous tang of the sea when the wind swung around out of the Atlantic and put the taste of iron on your tongue. A man could walk that land and know every stone of it was his by inheritance, because his grandfather had broken his back upon it, and his grandfather before him, back through the generations until you reach men whose names are lost and whose bones are in the soil you are standing on. The potato fields. God be good to us, the potato fields. Lazy beds cut straight as a gunwale, the ridges black and shining after a night of rain, women bent double with creels lashed to their backs and the children at their skirts, drawing the crop up by the hand for there was never any other means devised nor wanted. Hands split open at the knuckles and never entirely healed in this life. Hunger within living memory. Grandmothers who had seen the blight with their own eyes and would not speak of it from the year of it until the day they were laid down, save that a crust was kept always on the dresser which no soul in that house was permitted to touch. Not ever. Not for any reason under heaven. And the chimney sweeps. Wee lads no heavier than a sack of meal, black to the bone with soot, their lungs ruined before they were old enough to marry and old men entirely by thirty. Up the flues at first light, the skin worn off them by the brick, eyes crimson at the rim, breathing the black in with every draw of air. And the coal miners a half mile beneath our feet, down in the wet dark, the roof of the world muttering over their heads, the canary gone silent, a man's whole existence measured out in the shilling a ton and the dust he carried home in his chest to cough up of a Sunday morning into a rag. Fathers who descended and were never hauled up again. Widows at the pit head with the shawl drawn over the head and no tears remaining in them for they had spent those long ago. That was the tariff paid to keep the hearth lit. That was the reckoning of being warm in winter in the Ireland that was. And after the labouring week, Friday evening, and a man had earned the peace of what followed. Home first. Peeled the day off him in the yard. A shower of ice cold moor river water out of a tin bucket punctured with holes, hung on a nail on the gable wall, the water running clean down the back of him and carrying the week's dust and sweat away into the drain. Scrubbed till the skin was pink beneath the grime. Clean shirt laid out by the wife. The hair combed down with a drop of water. Then, and only then, did a man set himself to the table. A meat pie from the baker, tenpence if he was known to you, a shilling and no change if he was not, put down upon a proper plate. Fish and chips for threepence, the salt and vinegar soaked through the newspaper, but carried home and ate slowly at your own table with your people around you, not walked with through the streets like some vagrant tinker off the road. A man ate as a man who had earned his portion, for he had. And later, with the dishes cleared and the kettle set, down the road to the tavern. Low beams black with a century of smoke. A turf fire muttering in the grate. The air thick with pipe smoke and the vapour of wet overcoats steaming themselves dry on the backs of chairs. A pint of stout, cold and black as a cove at midnight, elevenpence laid down on the counter, a head on it thick enough to strike a match upon. A second one because you had it coming to you and no man present would dispute it. A fiddle starting up in the corner of its own accord. The old men in the snug who remembered matters the history books had long since mislaid. A song before the bolt was thrown on the door. The walk home beneath a firmament crowded with stars, the stout warm in the gut of you, the week behind you, and your own door waiting with the latch unlocked for you had no enemies in that parish. That was the country. That was the covenant. Honest labour, plain food, a cold wash, a hot meal, a cold pint, your own tongue in your own mouth, your own soil beneath your boots, and no man standing above you save the Almighty Himself. Now regard her. Regard her close. The fields disposed of to men who have never set foot upon them and never shall. The harbours signed away by the stroke of a pen in a room you were not admitted to, and foreign keels dragging out of our waters the living that sustained this island for a thousand years, while our own boats rot at their moorings for want of a quota. The tradesmen undercut by imported labour and imported goods. The shops shuttered along every main street from Donegal to Cork. The young ones scattered to London and Sydney and Boston and the Gulf because there is nothing remaining for them beneath their own roof. And the entirety of this rotten arrangement dressed up in the soft mannerly language of progress by men in towers of glass who could not tell a lazy bed from a grave, nor a trawler from a tugboat, nor an honest day's work from a pension plan. And now they arrive with the next imposition. A digital identity. A number assigned to each soul. A card required to buy your bread. A code required to draw your own earnings out of your own account. A file kept on every man, woman and child from the cradle forward. Permission asked to move. Permission asked to speak. Permission asked to earn. A levy upon every breath drawn and a regulation upon every step taken. No. And no again. And no for a third time so there is no misunderstanding of it. We do not require your digital identity. We did not request it. We did not vote upon it. We do not consent to it. We do not need your permission to exist upon the soil our forefathers are buried in. We are a free people. We have carried ourselves this far upon our own two backs. Through famine and empire and civil war and black lung and blight and the emigrant ship out of Cobh, we have come this distance under our own steam, and the arrangement appears to be serving us well enough without your intervention. We buried our own. We fed our own. We raised our own roofs and took our own fish and reared our own children in our own tongue. We are in your debt for nothing. Not a signature. Not a biometric scan. Not a single solitary inch. And while we are upon the subject, let us speak plainly of the tax man, for he has gone too long without proper introduction. The tax collector and the tax man are the one article under two names, and the article is a parasite. There is no dressing it up finer than that. A man who produces nothing, who grows nothing, who catches nothing, who builds nothing, who mends nothing, who has never in his professional life lifted anything heavier than a pen, and who arrives at your door with the full apparatus of the state at his back to carry off the fruits of labour he did not perform. He is a middleman between your sweat and some scheme dreamt up in a committee room by his own kind, and the great majority of what he takes is consumed by the machinery of the taking itself before ever a penny of it reaches the road or the hospital or the schoolhouse he claims to be funding. And I will go further while I have the floor. Finance itself, the whole apparatus of it, money breeding money in the dark without a hand laid upon a tool or a spade turned in the earth, is slavery dressed in a good suit. It is the oldest swindle known to man and it has never been anything other. A man who produces nothing yet lives off the productive labour of others through the charging of interest upon money conjured out of nothing is a parasite of a rarer and more refined order than the tax man, but a parasite all the same, and between the pair of them they have the working people of this island bled white and lectured at for the pleasure. A man who will not work with his hands, nor with his back, nor with his mind at some honest problem of the real physical world, is no man that I recognise. He is a ledger entry in a suit. The country was not built by ledger entries. The country was built by farmers and fishermen and masons and smiths and sweeps and miners and shipwrights and midwives and mothers, and those are the people whose say should carry in her councils, and no other. Here is what I put to you. Let each man and woman of this island direct the first tenth of their earnings themselves, by their own judgement, to the purpose they see as worthy. The school down the road. The lifeboat station. The hospice. The widow on the corner. The roof of the chapel. The harbour wall. Whatever it may be. Let the people who earned the money decide where the money travels. You will find the roads mended and the ports dredged and the schools standing and the old ones cared for inside of five years, and done better and for less, because the hand that earned the coin knows the weight of it and will not squander it upon consultants and committees. And let us have done with the paper currency and the numbers in a screen that can be frozen at the whim of a clerk in a tower. Bring back the coin. Gold for the great transactions. Silver for the weekly commerce of a working life. Copper for the small change of the day. Metal you can bite. Metal you can weigh. Metal that cannot be conjured out of nothing by a keystroke, nor erased out of existence by another. Real money for real labour. A coin in the hand is a free man's wage. A number in a database is a collar around a free man's neck, and they are fitting that collar now while we stand arguing over the colour of it. Feel it in your gut. That is not nothing. That is your blood relating to you what your ears will not hear. That is every forebear who starved and fought and coughed the black dust into a rag and descended the shaft regardless, standing at your shoulder and saying no further. Not one more field. Not one more harbour. Not one more son upon a plane. Not one more free man converted into a number in a ledger for the convenience of the parasites. This is the hour. Make no error about it. Ireland is redeemed in this generation or she is lost beyond recovery, and every true son and daughter of her knows it in the marrow. There is no middle ground remaining. There is no waiting it out. There is standing now, upon your own two feet, or there is watching her go under the waves for the last and final time. So stand. Stand with your farmers. Stand with your fishermen. Stand with your tradesmen and your miners and your sweeps and your mothers and your old ones. Raise the tricolour. Speak the tongue. Walk the land. Hold the line in the streets of every town and city and do not break it, for they are relying upon you to break and to go home and to forget by Tuesday. She is calling her children home. Every stone of her, every breaker on her western shore, every acre of wet heather and every coal in every hearth the length and breadth of her is calling. Answer her. Take her back. Every field, every harbour, every last inch of her. Take her back, or lose her entirely. There is no third road open to us.

SiriusB

15,437 次观看 • 5 个月前

I've bought over 30 RV & MH parks in the last 5 years. Lately? 2 per month. Want our playbook? Here ya go: How to buy a small, off-market mobile home or RV park that can 2x your money in 1-2 years, in 5 steps: 1. Pick a city in a red state. The two biggest factors: Crime & unemployment rates Crime: CrimeGrade . org Unemployment: SimpleMaps . com Cities with 3k - 30k people are best. This is the sweet spot for enough population & not to much competition. You want parks with almost no web presence & little to no reviews. A DG nearby is great. Walmart is better. But remember, “if no DG, it ain’t for me.” If there's a Whole Foods you ain't getting a good deal, I promise. Growth rate is good too, but #3 to the two above. Don't worry about the path of progress as much as other asset classes might. 2. Find the leads Get on Google Maps and search "mobile home park" in your target area(s). Avoid NY & CA (not landlord friendly). Make a Google sheet of the leads & use Loom to record your screen. Spend 30 mins doing this. OR, use something like Outscraper to do it for you. Be warned though, that if you don’t do this yourself the scraped results may not be as accurate. If you’re targeting a smaller geographical area I would do it by hand. If a whole state, use software. You’re looking for phone numbers. Use SearchBug . com to see if cell or landline for pennies. Or Phone Validator Go to Upwork and hire a virtual assistant to keep doing this for you, assuming you are targeting a larger area. They will cost around $4/hour. Use that same Loom link in your posting so applicants can see what the job will entail. When working, Loom it! You’ll never know when you’ll need it. When in doubt, Loom it out! More leads = better deals. 3. Call the leads Call up the owners and be real. Don't talk about any accolades. He doesn't care and it will only hurt you. You're a hard working country boy. You have a wife and kids (I hope you actually do). Are you a democrat? Don't tell the owner. (Sorry, democrats). Here's your general pitch: "I'm not a broker, I'm just looking for some good real estate and don't want to waste your time with a lowball offer. I can pay cash and close fast" Tell him about your wife and kids and what you do on the weekend. Most importantly, LISTEN. He's going to talk your ear off. This is a good sign. 4. Ask the right questions Ask him: How many pad sites? How many of those have a unit on them? How many of the units are RVs? (It's common for there to be a mix of MH/RV) Any single family homes on the property? Rent? Are the units park owned or tenant owned? (this is key) If a mix, what's the mix? Park-owned homes you have to maintain. AVOID AT ALL COSTS. Tenant-owned homes are key (lot rent). This means you only rent out the land and underground infrastructure. Depending on the state, sometimes you can sell back or give away the park-owned units to the tenants to absolve yourself of maintenance. Check the laws! You'll command half the rent but enjoy 90% less hassles. $250 - $350 is common lot rent in the midwest and SE. What's the occupancy and rental amount of each type of unit? Any outbuildings on the property? Septic or city sewer? If septic, conventional or aerobic? Sewer is best. Septic isn’t a deal breaker but you REALLY want to have it inspected. If there’s a lagoon or wastewater treatment plant I want you to throw that phone as far as you can, block their number and never speak of it again. Within city limits or no? City limits are best but rare. Outstanding municipal or zoning issues? How much is insurance? How much is landscaping? Asphalt, cement or dirt roads? Condition of the roads? Any drainage issues? Is there a manager? What do you pay them? (Best if no manager) Any pending litigation? What are total collections? How do people pay rent? How many are delinquent? What condition are the units in? Do you have a lien on the property? How long have you owned it? 30 or 50 amp? City maintained streets? City water or well? City is best. Keep in mind, that’s a lot of questions to ask. You have to feel it out, if he’s being standoffish, don’t keep pushing, just call back. This isn’t a used car lot, this is a relationship you’re trying to build. Don’t try and close on this first call. The key question: "If we were to make a deal, what's a ballpark offer you'd expect?" NEVER anchor him with the phrase "bottom dollar." Using the word "ballpark" keeps numbers loose. Whatever number he says, you want to pause and hem and haw over it. Embrace the silence and awkwardness. Back to car sales, they call this the “silent walkaround” when valuing a trade-in. Don’t say a thing about the asset, but point out the flaws with your body language. Touch the dents and scratches as you pause. Do the phone version of this. Tell him you'll get back to him tomorrow. Thank him profusely for his time and congratulate him on the park he's built. 5. Underwrite Before you do anything, check with the city to ensure the park is in good standing. Get that in writing. Don't trust the seller. Buyers are liars? So are sellers! Now's time to crunch numbers: What's a cap rate? The net operating income of the park divided by the price you'd like to pay. If you want your money back in 5 years and you're willing to pay up to $1m, you need $200k net profit per year. This is a 20% cap rate (20 cap). It's aggressive but possible on a smaller, rural park. (Yes, it really is, even in 2023) You probably won’t find a park that big in a small town for a good price, though. Start w/ a smaller park & higher cap rate. More room for error. $300k - $1m purchase price. First do some market research: Remember all your leads? Call competing parks as a potential tenant and ask what their lot rent is. Put this in a spreadsheet to get average lot rent & park-owned home rent. Keep in mind many of these parks will be undercharging as well. It's common to find parks charging $100 that could charge $250. When calculating cap rate BE CONSERVATIVE. Don't count on 100% of people staying if you increase rents, even though most will. Use $190 to be safe. Shoot for a park that will net $100k/year after rent increases that you pay no more than $600k for. It’s hard but not impossible. Or maybe you find a $30k/year park to get your feet wet. At least you're in the game. The more leads you scrape, the better chance of finding this park. Shoot for as much seller financing as you can get. Finance the rest with friends/family or savings. Once you find this park, get it under contract. Use a standard, simple real estate form that you can find on your state's real estate commission website. Texas' is called TREC. Yes, get it under contract before seeing it. Put down earnest and option money, and then go see it. Don't dress like a city slicker. Be personable and be willing to stay a while and BS. Drive a Tesla? Rent a truck. Drive a Prius? Just quit. Inspect the condition of the units, even if you aren't buying them Crappy units = more tenants willing to abandon them. And they aren't cheap to remove or move. Verify everything he said on the call If all looks good, start on the inspections: Septic or sewer lines SFH home inspection. Check with the city for outstanding issues or litigation Check for liens Wastewater treatment plant? If so, abandon ship! Electrical infrastructure Use professionals for all of these. Ask for: Rent rolls. They will likely be handwritten, that’s ok. Bank statements. Ask to speak to a few tenants to get their experience. Inspect their lease. Ask for vendor invoices or history of payments. Ask to speak to vendors. At some point before you close, list the property on Craigslist, FB Marketplace and Zillow. See how demand is for vacancies. If all still looks good, close on the property. 6. Post-closing strategy Meet all the tenants in the evening, they're at work during the day. Shake their hands. Tell them you want their experience to be amazing & you want them to stay Give them your number Ask what can be fixed If fixes are cheap, do them ASAP Tell that tenant once fixes are made. Address them by name. Clean up the park. Hire a tree guy to clear out low hanging branches. Do some simple landscaping. Find the tattletale in the park and get all the dirt. Who are the druggies and abusive husbands? Get them out ASAP if you can. They are much more expensive than the temporary vacancy hit. Fix potholes and drainage issues. ADD VALUE. Show you care. Wait a couple months before making any changes. Bring lot rents closer to market. Be upfront about this. They will understand if they've been getting a deal. Give people 2-3 more months' notice to give them time. Keep renting out vacancies at new price. This isn't self storage. You won't raise rents yearly. Don't be a jerk. Let them know what to expect. Once rents are raised and park is stabilized, you are 9-12 months in. Search Loopnet for the most active MHP brokers Hire the best one & pay what he or she commands. Sell on the market for 7-10% cap You've just 2-3x'ed your money. Rinse & repeat. I have done this over many times. Not all of my deals were bangers, but most were. THERE ARE STILL DEALS OUT THERE. There's a lot of fine print, and things can and will go wrong, so don't be dumb. Do your own research. Not everything can be explained in 1,700 words. I'm hosting a live, free webinar this Tuesday to cover this stuff in more detail. Including: 1. How to do everything above in more detail 2. How to ETHICALLY wholesale deals like these if you can't afford to buy them. 3. What hard questions to ask GPs of parks like these (like me) if you want to invest in them. 4. Live Q&A with me Comment below and me or my assistant Kelly will DM you the invite link. See you there! Or just follow me Chris Koerner for more RV/MHP content.

Chris Koerner

368,571 次观看 • 2 年前

Just finished a one-week trip to China. I've now "survived" all the major (~20) L2 self-driving and robotaxi vehicles in both the US and China. Some thoughts & observations: ▶️L2 self-driving I tested major brands like $Huawei, $Li, $NIO, $Xpeng, and $Xiaomi. Overall, they exceeded my expectations. The rides were not overly cautious and handled complex situations (yes, road conditions in China are very challenging!) quite well. Nothing compares to $Tsla's approach. I see imitation learning/end-to-end as the only effective approach for self-driving. While Chinese peers perform well on main roads, they struggle on frontage roads due to reliance on high-precision maps and rule-based methods (e.g. cars stopped in the middle of the road where there was no clear white lining). Chinese EVs' self-driving capabilities are far ahead of those from US and EU brands. I doubt any Chinese players can profit from L2 self-driving, not because it’s not useful, but because it’s hard to differentiate, and price wars dominate the market in China. Chinese consumers and regulators seem much more receptive to self-driving. Even with a 5/10 self-driving capability, cars are practically *hands-free(!)* Insurance-wise, for L3+ cars, OEMs bear responsibility for incidents, so OEMs avoid labeling cars as L3+. ▶️Robotaxi I tested major brands like $Didi, and $Bidu. I'd rate equal to $Waymo, and it's ahead of other peers. However, the same issue applies here: user experience is nearly perfect (in Yizhuang, Beijing), but expansion is the real question. Chinese robotaxi companies are very sophisticated. While the rest of the world focuses on technology, Chinese peers treat it as a product, considering unit economics, operations, mass production, etc. Interestingly, most companies expressed a preference NOT to operate fleets themselves. They aim to be asset-light and let fleet managers handle operations. Policy Support: China has a very clear approval process, driven by data (autonomous driving distance, fully driverless distance, intervention rate, passenger ratings, etc.). ▶️Chinese EVs In major cities like Beijing or Shanghai, EV adoption (green license plates vs. gas cars with blue license plates) seems to be 40%+. If 40% of cars on the road are EVs, then EV penetration (defined as the % of new car sales) must already be over 50%. In shopping malls, the ground floor is filled with EV showrooms—easily 10+ brands, many of which are unfamiliar Chinese brands. It appears almost too easy to make an electric car, which is a stark contrast to the US. $Xiaomi, for example, can achieve a 10% gross profit margin in its first year of operation, compared to $RIVN's -45%. Additionally, $Xiaomi cars are priced at 30% of $RIVN's price. It's fascinating to see how China transitioned from "couldn't make their own gas cars at all (only JVs)" to "dominating EVs globally." The government deserves credit for setting the direction and executing effectively. China now controls the entire supply chain, with $CATL holding 40% of the global market share. 🔹How did it happen? The success of the industry Incentives were set just right: the government provided incentives early on to make EVs and gas cars have comparable MSRPs, allowing consumers to choose based on functionality. This approach differs from how the IRA offers incentives... Perfectly competitive market: $TSLA was brought in, and competition was welcomed, unlike the US, which has a 100% import tax on Chinese EVs. Strategic regulations: License plate restrictions were used effectively; for example, taxis and minivans are required to be EVs. 🔹The challenges Despite the success, the industry faces challenges with low-margin companies and struggling stocks. The intense competition shows no sign of ending. Well-funded global OEMs and Chinese state-owned car companies continue to subsidize, leading to new EV brands emerging annually. The natural tendency in China is to race to the bottom. I think this ties back to China's history as the "world’s factory," where manufacturers price products at "cost plus" versus the US and developing countries, which price based on "affordability/value creation." 🔹The wow EV feature >Software features that surprised me the most: - Everything in the car can be voice-controlled. Not just simple tasks like playing music; users can adjust the height of the steering wheel and set the temperature easily. - Self-parking, which $Tsla has yet to release to all FSD users, is already a table stake in China (I'd rate the quality as 10/10). >Other fun hardware features: - Mini fridges in the car - Infotainment systems - IoT: remote access the car/home via cellphone - all connected together - Heads-up displays - UV-protected glass roofs: $Xiaomi took $Tsla's design, but the glass roof of the $Xiaomi car is made of double layers with silver, blocking 99.9% of UV and infrared rays...as a result, heat is no longer a problem inside the car

Freda Duan

399,164 次观看 • 2 年前