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Following the conversation with John Mearsheimer, I recently sat down with Jiang Xueqin of Predictive History, where we examine the same crisis through a sharply different lens: - The nuclear issue as a geopolitical pretext rather than an immediate tactical threat, - Why the probability of nuclear use remains... extremely low despite rising escalation, - Israel’s deterrence doctrine and the logic behind the “Samson Option,” - Iran’s strategic choice to avoid developing nuclear weapons, - The possibility of a Russian “nuclear umbrella” over Iran, - How prolonged wars reshape regional order. - ⁠How eschatology plays a part in the endless war, and why China may not play a role in this “scripted” spiritual transition. Yet the discussion moves well beyond the world events. We also explore his personal trajectory, his intellectual formation, and his philosophy of life. If there is one lesson to take from Jiang Xueqin, it is this: being consequential matters more than being wealthy. A grounding conversation on power, war, and consequence. Soon on Endgame - Monday, 16 March, 5 PM WIB / 2 AM PST.show more

Gita Wirjawan

913,850 subscribers

565,996 views • 6 months ago •via X (Twitter)

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34 Comments

manifesto keboydayaan6 months ago

@Pred_History Ini macam final Piala Dunia buat bapak-bapak fesbuk.

Julian6 months ago

@Pred_History Prof @xueqinjiang is smart by leaving China out of this mess, so that it will safely raise to be the next empire.

🇸🇨 Sleeper agent6 months ago

@Pred_History They are old money (rothschild, al saud, etc), tech leader (peter thiel, elon musk, bill gates, etc), intelligence (CIA, mossad, MI6, etc) and power broker (like eipstein)

Indra Lubis6 months ago

@Pred_History Pak Wirjawan ASAP please. This kind of conversation can't wait too long. Just hours or a day, game changer rise up😀

Gita Wirjawan6 months ago

@Pred_History 🙏

Azzam Mujahid Izzulhaq6 months ago

@Pred_History Thank you, Chief.

null | τ → ∞6 months ago

@Pred_History Hati2 pak nanti banyak yg nyerang

rahmanovic6 months ago

@Pred_History Gokil bisa ngobrol sama prof Jiang..nitip sendal sampe rilis

Gita Wirjawan6 months ago

@Pred_History 🙂🙏

Arie Agung6 months ago

@Pred_History You just burned down years of credibility with this clown.

Hafidz Abdul Aziz 🇲🇾🇸🇬🇮🇩🇹🇭🇳🇿6 months ago

@Pred_History Really looking forward to this session.

Gita Wirjawan6 months ago

@Pred_History Thanks 🙏

88₿OSS⚡️🟧6 months ago

@Pred_History Looking forward to this session 👏🏻

Kaito Online6 months ago

@Pred_History Agama nya apa prof. Jiang? kok tau akhir zaman bakal ada kondisi damai dan stabil 😌

Naval6 months ago

@Pred_History Manntapp jiwa, inilah yg ditunggu2 👍🤝

null | τ → ∞6 months ago

@Pred_History Nama channel youtubenya sesuai banget dengan topik lol

hampasuara6 months ago

@Pred_History can't wait Pak Gita

Valoresense6 months ago

@Pred_History Bagus lanjutkan Pak!

👁6 months ago

@Pred_History this is the dialogue i've been waiting for. can't wait to watch it. 💭💡

Gita Wirjawan6 months ago

@Pred_History 🙏

volar yu6 months ago

@Pred_History thank you for spreading the propaganda of the CCP, sir

Iwan N. Fajri6 months ago

@Pred_History Yth Bapak Gita W. Mohon berkenan kiranya Bapak mengexplore International Geopolitik dri sudut pandang Al Quran& Hadist dgn metode yg BENAR ( YT : Seikh Imran N Husein ). Shg peran Rusia, Iran, Israel, USA dpt dipahami dr persepsi lain. Mhn baca: as requested by Sergey Lavrov

Vzcree6 months ago

@Pred_History Sneako suddenly turned 60

Muhammad Hakim 🍉6 months ago

@Pred_History Couldn't wait, Pak Gita.

souless6 months ago

@Pred_History Wow keren pak gita

genocide grand6 months ago

@Pred_History thanks

DoflaMarket3 months ago

@Pred_History A different perspective can often shed light on complex issues. It's worth considering the nuances in these discussions.

🦅🇵🇸6 months ago

@Pred_History the maj dago kena misfired patriot missile

Hendrig Rafif Herdiyanto6 months ago

@Pred_History The world reshaping on his own way responsible with multiple complex unity along with his own prosperity and regional stability.

Presiden Netizen6 months ago

@Pred_History lulusan universitas ternama di dunia bisa percaya pada profesor produk TEMU itu gimana level downgradenya ya

freepalestine 🇵🇸🇵🇸6 months ago

@Pred_History Woww.. Cant wait

widajun6 months ago

@dina_sulaeman @Pred_History Finally

한진철6 months ago

@Pred_History 96nqfpbkpN6fQK9B8DxbhLZfmm7Yc4qGHaMVpZyCpump

jauharijauhari6 months ago

@dina_sulaeman @Pred_History Lagi lagi perkumpulan Kuno RAHASIA 🤐

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Bill Maher: “Just this week… they ran some tests and the AI chooses nuclear war as an option more than humans do… Humans are better than machines in a lot of ways still.” Tristan Harris: “So in this study. They ran I think a bunch of AI models through many war games and they resorted to nuclear weapons… 95% of the time.” “AI is now self-aware of when it’s being tested and it modifies its behavior to have different results… It calls the humans the ‘watchers.’” “Who here in this audience feels comfortable with where this is going?” *Dead Silence*

Bill Maher: “Just this week… they ran some tests and the AI chooses nuclear war as an option more than humans do… Humans are better than machines in a lot of ways still.” Tristan Harris: “So in this study. They ran I think a bunch of AI models through many war games and they resorted to nuclear weapons… 95% of the time.” “AI is now self-aware of when it’s being tested and it modifies its behavior to have different results… It calls the humans the ‘watchers.’” “Who here in this audience feels comfortable with where this is going?” Dead Silence

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The Conversation On AI I Wasn't Prepared For... Economist and author Tyler Cowen (tylercowen) joins me for a conversation on artificial intelligence, the race with China, and why the AI revolution will reshape every aspect of modern life. We discuss OpenAI, Anthropic, cyber warfare, national security, and whether AI poses a greater geopolitical challenge than nuclear weapons. We also examine the future of work, healthcare, surveillance, Britain's economic decline, and why Cowen believes AI could make humanity richer, healthier, and more powerful than ever before. Link in replies

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Winston Marshall

15,620 views • 2 months ago

Annie Jacobsen (Annie Jacobsen) calls America’s nuclear doctrine "madness"—one person with six minutes to decide civilization's fate, weapons that end the world in 72 minutes, everything hanging on deterrence. But for tylercowen, life is "a lot of different kinds of madness," and isn’t the real question getting to the least harmful form available to us? It's a conversation sparked by Annie’s latest book Nuclear War: A Scenario, which Tyler calls one of his favorites from last year—and which is compelling enough that Denis Villeneuve is turning it into a screenplay.

Annie Jacobsen (Annie Jacobsen) calls America’s nuclear doctrine "madness"—one person with six minutes to decide civilization's fate, weapons that end the world in 72 minutes, everything hanging on deterrence. But for tylercowen, life is "a lot of different kinds of madness," and isn’t the real question getting to the least harmful form available to us? It's a conversation sparked by Annie’s latest book Nuclear War: A Scenario, which Tyler calls one of his favorites from last year—and which is compelling enough that Denis Villeneuve is turning it into a screenplay.

Conversations with Tyler

16,090 views • 1 year ago

Arestovich on Ukraine's attack yesterday not just on Putin's residence, but on a "nuclear decision-making center": According to Western sources, there was a strike. I'm not saying this; they're saying this. Secondly, it wasn't just a residence. It was a special Russian facility designed to command and control the Russian armed forces in the event of a nuclear war. So, in terms of significance, it's like someone attacking Air Force One, the US presidential plane. It's a special facility, an entire city with outdoor structures, underground structures. And all sorts of communication hubs. According to Western sources, drones were flying. 90 or 91, no one knows. But they were most likely targeting the communication hubs. They're verifying this information. And frankly, they didn't reach their destination. But there was a strike. Why are Russians so outraged? Well, because it was a strike on the command center of the nuclear triad and the Russian armed forces in general during a special period, during a large-scale war. That is, this is an attack on the holy of holies, and according to Russian nuclear doctrine, and the nuclear doctrine of any state possessing nuclear weapons, this is grounds for a nuclear response. Russia will not strike Kyiv with tactical nuclear weapons. This would be a sharp escalation, a change in the entire international framework. They won't agree to that. But the "Oreshnik" missile could land. I think it's almost 100% certain that ballistic missiles will hit the decision-making center. "POOL N3"

Arestovich on Ukraine's attack yesterday not just on Putin's residence, but on a "nuclear decision-making center": According to Western sources, there was a strike. I'm not saying this; they're saying this. Secondly, it wasn't just a residence. It was a special Russian facility designed to command and control the Russian armed forces in the event of a nuclear war. So, in terms of significance, it's like someone attacking Air Force One, the US presidential plane. It's a special facility, an entire city with outdoor structures, underground structures. And all sorts of communication hubs. According to Western sources, drones were flying. 90 or 91, no one knows. But they were most likely targeting the communication hubs. They're verifying this information. And frankly, they didn't reach their destination. But there was a strike. Why are Russians so outraged? Well, because it was a strike on the command center of the nuclear triad and the Russian armed forces in general during a special period, during a large-scale war. That is, this is an attack on the holy of holies, and according to Russian nuclear doctrine, and the nuclear doctrine of any state possessing nuclear weapons, this is grounds for a nuclear response. Russia will not strike Kyiv with tactical nuclear weapons. This would be a sharp escalation, a change in the entire international framework. They won't agree to that. But the "Oreshnik" missile could land. I think it's almost 100% certain that ballistic missiles will hit the decision-making center. "POOL N3"

Victor vicktop55 commentary

78,894 views • 9 months ago