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FOMC ✅ 25 bps Rate Cut ✅ The Market Will Now Decide Direction… FULL BREAKDOWN 👇 Main Decision •⁠ ⁠Fed cut rates by 25 bps to 4.25%. •⁠ ⁠⁠Powell: It was a “risk management cut.” •⁠ ⁠⁠He noted “there was not widespread support for a 50 bps cut. •⁠...

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🚨 WARNING: THE SITUATION JUST TOOK A VERY BAD TURN The Fed is now expected to raise rates another 25 bps in October. Think about that for a moment. Just months ago, markets were expecting 2026 to be dominated by rate cuts. Now investors are preparing for another hike. Yet somehow, stocks are still hovering close to record highs. Something doesn’t quite add up: → Oil is above $100. → Diesel prices are near historical highs. → Inflation remains stubborn. → Rates are already restrictive. And now another Fed hike is back on the table. So what is keeping the market afloat? AI. But this is where most people are missing the bigger picture. The AI boom isn’t only lifting equities. It’s also giving the Fed more room to remain hawkish. Huge AI investments are keeping economic growth strong, while a small group of mega-cap companies continues to support the major indexes. As long as that continues, the Fed has little incentive to ease policy. That’s the real trap: AI boom → stronger growth → persistent inflation → rates stay elevated → another hike becomes possible. Now add oil to the equation: $100+ crude → rising energy costs → additional inflation pressure → even less room for rate cuts. Whether the next move comes in October or December isn’t the main issue. The direction is. A few months ago, the expectation was cuts. Now we’re talking about no cuts, followed by a hike, and potentially more tightening afterward. The market can absorb all of this as long as AI continues carrying it. The real danger begins when AI loses momentum. If those mega-cap names finally break down while rates are rising and inflation remains elevated, the market could lose the main force absorbing all that pressure. Then things can move very quickly: AI breaks → indexes drop → liquidity dries up → forced selling begins. And when forced selling hits, funds don’t necessarily sell what they want. They sell whatever they can. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. Everything. That’s the part most people aren’t prepared for. And ironically, that’s where the next major buying opportunity could appear. I’m not afraid of the selloff. I’m waiting for it. I’ve been trading for 15+ years, and the pattern remains the same. When liquidation arrives and I see a level that genuinely makes sense to buy, I’ll share it here just like I always do. Turn on notifications. You’ll want to see this chart later.
0:18

🚨 WARNING: THE SITUATION JUST TOOK A VERY BAD TURN The Fed is now expected to raise rates another 25 bps in October. Think about that for a moment. Just months ago, markets were expecting 2026 to be dominated by rate cuts. Now investors are preparing for another hike. Yet somehow, stocks are still hovering close to record highs. Something doesn’t quite add up: → Oil is above $100. → Diesel prices are near historical highs. → Inflation remains stubborn. → Rates are already restrictive. And now another Fed hike is back on the table. So what is keeping the market afloat? AI. But this is where most people are missing the bigger picture. The AI boom isn’t only lifting equities. It’s also giving the Fed more room to remain hawkish. Huge AI investments are keeping economic growth strong, while a small group of mega-cap companies continues to support the major indexes. As long as that continues, the Fed has little incentive to ease policy. That’s the real trap: AI boom → stronger growth → persistent inflation → rates stay elevated → another hike becomes possible. Now add oil to the equation: $100+ crude → rising energy costs → additional inflation pressure → even less room for rate cuts. Whether the next move comes in October or December isn’t the main issue. The direction is. A few months ago, the expectation was cuts. Now we’re talking about no cuts, followed by a hike, and potentially more tightening afterward. The market can absorb all of this as long as AI continues carrying it. The real danger begins when AI loses momentum. If those mega-cap names finally break down while rates are rising and inflation remains elevated, the market could lose the main force absorbing all that pressure. Then things can move very quickly: AI breaks → indexes drop → liquidity dries up → forced selling begins. And when forced selling hits, funds don’t necessarily sell what they want. They sell whatever they can. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. Everything. That’s the part most people aren’t prepared for. And ironically, that’s where the next major buying opportunity could appear. I’m not afraid of the selloff. I’m waiting for it. I’ve been trading for 15+ years, and the pattern remains the same. When liquidation arrives and I see a level that genuinely makes sense to buy, I’ll share it here just like I always do. Turn on notifications. You’ll want to see this chart later.

Bitcoin Intelligence

31,232 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen

🚨WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD JUST HAPPENED! FED projected to hike interest rates by 25 BPS in October. And if you think this has no impact on global markets... Just months ago, 2026 was supposed to be the year of RATE CUTS. Now the market is preparing for another HIKE. And somehow, stocks are still sitting near the ATH. Something doesn’t add up: - Oil is above $100. - Diesel prices are near record ATH. - Inflation is still sticky. - Rates are already restrictive. And now the market thinks the Fed could tighten AGAIN. So why hasn’t the market broken yet? Because one thing is still keeping it alive: THE AI BOOM. And this is where almost everyone is getting it wrong. AI isn’t just pushing stocks higher. IT IS GIVING THE FED ROOM TO STAY AGGRESSIVE. Massive AI spending keeps growth alive while a handful of mega-cap stocks continue carrying the indexes. As long as that continues, the Fed has less reason to back off. That creates a dangerous setup: AI boom → growth stays strong → inflation stays sticky → Fed keeps rates higher → another hike becomes possible. Now add: $100+ oil → higher energy costs → more inflation pressure → even less room for cuts. October or December doesn’t matter. The bigger picture does. Months ago: RATE CUTS. Now: NO CUTS → HIKE → POSSIBLY ANOTHER HIKE. The market can survive this while AI keeps carrying it. The real problem starts when AI stops. If those stocks finally crack while rates are still rising and inflation is still hot, the market loses the ONE thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it gets ugly fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity disappears → forced selling begins. And once forced selling starts, funds don’t sell what they WANT. They sell what they CAN. - Stocks. - Metals. - Bitcoin. That’s the part most people are not prepared for. And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears. I’m not afraid of the dump. I’M WAITING FOR IT. I’ve been trading markets for 15+ years. When the liquidation starts and I see the level actually worth buying, I’ll post it here like I always do. Turn notifications on. You’ll want this chart later.
0:17

🚨WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD JUST HAPPENED! FED projected to hike interest rates by 25 BPS in October. And if you think this has no impact on global markets... Just months ago, 2026 was supposed to be the year of RATE CUTS. Now the market is preparing for another HIKE. And somehow, stocks are still sitting near the ATH. Something doesn’t add up: - Oil is above $100. - Diesel prices are near record ATH. - Inflation is still sticky. - Rates are already restrictive. And now the market thinks the Fed could tighten AGAIN. So why hasn’t the market broken yet? Because one thing is still keeping it alive: THE AI BOOM. And this is where almost everyone is getting it wrong. AI isn’t just pushing stocks higher. IT IS GIVING THE FED ROOM TO STAY AGGRESSIVE. Massive AI spending keeps growth alive while a handful of mega-cap stocks continue carrying the indexes. As long as that continues, the Fed has less reason to back off. That creates a dangerous setup: AI boom → growth stays strong → inflation stays sticky → Fed keeps rates higher → another hike becomes possible. Now add: $100+ oil → higher energy costs → more inflation pressure → even less room for cuts. October or December doesn’t matter. The bigger picture does. Months ago: RATE CUTS. Now: NO CUTS → HIKE → POSSIBLY ANOTHER HIKE. The market can survive this while AI keeps carrying it. The real problem starts when AI stops. If those stocks finally crack while rates are still rising and inflation is still hot, the market loses the ONE thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it gets ugly fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity disappears → forced selling begins. And once forced selling starts, funds don’t sell what they WANT. They sell what they CAN. - Stocks. - Metals. - Bitcoin. That’s the part most people are not prepared for. And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears. I’m not afraid of the dump. I’M WAITING FOR IT. I’ve been trading markets for 15+ years. When the liquidation starts and I see the level actually worth buying, I’ll post it here like I always do. Turn notifications on. You’ll want this chart later.

DANNY

63,617 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING VERY BAD JUST STARTED The Fed is now projected to hike another 25 bps in October. Sit with that for a second. Months ago, 2026 was supposed to be the year of rate cuts. Now the market is bracing for another hike. And somehow stocks are still parked near all-time highs. None of this adds up: → Oil above $100. → Diesel near record highs. → Inflation still sticky. → Rates already restrictive. And now the Fed might tighten again. So why hasn't the market cracked yet? One thing is holding it up. The AI boom. And here's where almost everyone gets it wrong. AI isn't just pushing stocks higher. It's giving the Fed room to stay aggressive. Massive AI spending keeps growth alive while a handful of mega-caps carry the entire index. As long as that holds, the Fed has zero reason to back off. That's the trap: AI boom → growth stays strong → inflation stays sticky → Fed keeps rates high → another hike becomes possible. Now stack oil on top: $100+ crude → higher energy costs → more inflation pressure → even less room to cut. October or December, doesn't matter. The direction is what matters. Months ago it was cuts. Now it's no cuts, then a hike, then possibly another. The market survives all of this as long as AI keeps carrying it. The real problem starts when AI stops. If those names finally crack while rates are climbing and inflation is still hot, the market loses the one thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it moves fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity vanishes → forced selling starts. And once forced selling begins, funds don't sell what they want to sell. They sell what they can. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. Everything at once. That's the part nobody's prepared for. And that's exactly where the next real buying opportunity shows up. I'm not scared of the dump. I'm waiting for it. 15+ years trading, and the pattern never changes. When the liquidation hits and I see a level actually worth buying, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. You'll want this chart later.
0:18

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING VERY BAD JUST STARTED The Fed is now projected to hike another 25 bps in October. Sit with that for a second. Months ago, 2026 was supposed to be the year of rate cuts. Now the market is bracing for another hike. And somehow stocks are still parked near all-time highs. None of this adds up: → Oil above $100. → Diesel near record highs. → Inflation still sticky. → Rates already restrictive. And now the Fed might tighten again. So why hasn't the market cracked yet? One thing is holding it up. The AI boom. And here's where almost everyone gets it wrong. AI isn't just pushing stocks higher. It's giving the Fed room to stay aggressive. Massive AI spending keeps growth alive while a handful of mega-caps carry the entire index. As long as that holds, the Fed has zero reason to back off. That's the trap: AI boom → growth stays strong → inflation stays sticky → Fed keeps rates high → another hike becomes possible. Now stack oil on top: $100+ crude → higher energy costs → more inflation pressure → even less room to cut. October or December, doesn't matter. The direction is what matters. Months ago it was cuts. Now it's no cuts, then a hike, then possibly another. The market survives all of this as long as AI keeps carrying it. The real problem starts when AI stops. If those names finally crack while rates are climbing and inflation is still hot, the market loses the one thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it moves fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity vanishes → forced selling starts. And once forced selling begins, funds don't sell what they want to sell. They sell what they can. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. Everything at once. That's the part nobody's prepared for. And that's exactly where the next real buying opportunity shows up. I'm not scared of the dump. I'm waiting for it. 15+ years trading, and the pattern never changes. When the liquidation hits and I see a level actually worth buying, I'll post it here like always. Turn notifications on. You'll want this chart later.

Qmo

77,754 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen

NEW: Chicago residents melt down over the surge in migrants in their communities, say they "won't have it." They voted for this so continue to give it to them. They will vote for this again in 2024. No remorse. Chicago (Cook County), who overwhelmingly voted for Joe Biden at a rate of 74%, is learning in real time what it means to be a Sanctuary City. One resident complained about getting "the low scraps." "We come in a community of black people where we already get the low scraps... do you wanna take the little scraps, the resources that we have and put us at the bottom of the barrel? That's not fair and I won't have it."
0:19

NEW: Chicago residents melt down over the surge in migrants in their communities, say they "won't have it." They voted for this so continue to give it to them. They will vote for this again in 2024. No remorse. Chicago (Cook County), who overwhelmingly voted for Joe Biden at a rate of 74%, is learning in real time what it means to be a Sanctuary City. One resident complained about getting "the low scraps." "We come in a community of black people where we already get the low scraps... do you wanna take the little scraps, the resources that we have and put us at the bottom of the barrel? That's not fair and I won't have it."

Collin Rugg

1,919,649 Aufrufe • vor 3 Jahren

🚨 JUST IN: President Trump REACTS to the Federal Reserve RAISING interest rates for the first time in THREE YEARS "We are 'carrying' almost every country in the World, and that cannot go on any longer." POTUS says he wants interest rates at 1% OR LESS. After today's hike, the federal funds rate is 3.75 - 4% "LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST! President DONALD J. TRUMP" The Fed made clear today that lowering interest rates anytime soon is VERY unlikely. Especially given the vote to raise them was UNANIMOUS. 7 of 7, including Chairman Warsh, voted to raise interest rates by a quarter point. Several of them have already indicated they want another rate hike this year.
0:18

🚨 JUST IN: President Trump REACTS to the Federal Reserve RAISING interest rates for the first time in THREE YEARS "We are 'carrying' almost every country in the World, and that cannot go on any longer." POTUS says he wants interest rates at 1% OR LESS. After today's hike, the federal funds rate is 3.75 - 4% "LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST! President DONALD J. TRUMP" The Fed made clear today that lowering interest rates anytime soon is VERY unlikely. Especially given the vote to raise them was UNANIMOUS. 7 of 7, including Chairman Warsh, voted to raise interest rates by a quarter point. Several of them have already indicated they want another rate hike this year.

Nick Sortor

203,879 Aufrufe • vor 12 Tagen

Taiwan is facing a full-scale population collapse In 2025, Taiwan recorded only 107,812 births a new all-time low, down nearly 20% from the previous year The Total Fertility Rate has now fallen to ~0.72, making Taiwan the country with the lowest birth rate in the world even lower than South Korea This marks the 10th consecutive year of declining births. Marriages have also dropped to record lows Taiwan’s government recently admitted their models were "too optimistic." At this rate, the country’s population could shrink dramatically in the coming decades This is not just a Taiwan problem. It’s a warning for every developed nation
0:10

Taiwan is facing a full-scale population collapse In 2025, Taiwan recorded only 107,812 births a new all-time low, down nearly 20% from the previous year The Total Fertility Rate has now fallen to ~0.72, making Taiwan the country with the lowest birth rate in the world even lower than South Korea This marks the 10th consecutive year of declining births. Marriages have also dropped to record lows Taiwan’s government recently admitted their models were "too optimistic." At this rate, the country’s population could shrink dramatically in the coming decades This is not just a Taiwan problem. It’s a warning for every developed nation

X Freeze

26,743 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

Lot of people writing about MSTR and STRC. The best thing MSTR did last December was raise $2.2B in cash for a reserve fund. It put investors like myself at ease regarding future dividend obligations. It was armor in a potential bear market. The bear market arrived. But MSTR used their reserves to retire debt. They now have $871M in reserves. This is not what I wanted to see. No one at MSTR cares what I think. STRC is a great feat of engineering whose very success has put it under strain. Why? Because if you successfully launch a product with no volatility returning significantly above the real rate of return you will have tremendous demand. The low volatility means investors will leverage highly. Retail investors. And to have the CEO retweet DEFI shit products built to DO EXACTLY that is irresponsible. I'm not happy right now. No one cares. And everyone gets what they deserve. Some more than others.
0:10

Lot of people writing about MSTR and STRC. The best thing MSTR did last December was raise $2.2B in cash for a reserve fund. It put investors like myself at ease regarding future dividend obligations. It was armor in a potential bear market. The bear market arrived. But MSTR used their reserves to retire debt. They now have $871M in reserves. This is not what I wanted to see. No one at MSTR cares what I think. STRC is a great feat of engineering whose very success has put it under strain. Why? Because if you successfully launch a product with no volatility returning significantly above the real rate of return you will have tremendous demand. The low volatility means investors will leverage highly. Retail investors. And to have the CEO retweet DEFI shit products built to DO EXACTLY that is irresponsible. I'm not happy right now. No one cares. And everyone gets what they deserve. Some more than others.

George Bodine

12,199 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🚨 JUST IN: President Trump GOES OFF on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, demanding the Fed lower them to 1% PERCENT — not RAISE them toward 4.00% 47 says he's DONE effectively subsidizing other nations: "Interest Rates in the United States should be 1%, or less, because we are the Best Credit in the World — BY FAR. Our Country is BOOMING with new Investment! If we stopped Trading with every country that we have a Deficit with, which is most of them, we would make, at least, 1.5 Trillion Dollars a year." "The word “Deficit” is nothing more than a fancy word for LOSS. We are “carrying” almost every country in the World, and that cannot go on any longer. LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!" 🇺🇸 Rates now went up to 3.75%-4.00%, a 25 basis point hike Sadly, this decision was UNANIMOUS. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh agreed with it Stop being terrified of growth causing inflation and listen to Trump. LOWER THE RATES!
0:19

🚨 JUST IN: President Trump GOES OFF on the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, demanding the Fed lower them to 1% PERCENT — not RAISE them toward 4.00% 47 says he's DONE effectively subsidizing other nations: "Interest Rates in the United States should be 1%, or less, because we are the Best Credit in the World — BY FAR. Our Country is BOOMING with new Investment! If we stopped Trading with every country that we have a Deficit with, which is most of them, we would make, at least, 1.5 Trillion Dollars a year." "The word “Deficit” is nothing more than a fancy word for LOSS. We are “carrying” almost every country in the World, and that cannot go on any longer. LOWER THE INTEREST RATES FOR THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND FAST!" 🇺🇸 Rates now went up to 3.75%-4.00%, a 25 basis point hike Sadly, this decision was UNANIMOUS. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh agreed with it Stop being terrified of growth causing inflation and listen to Trump. LOWER THE RATES!

Eric Daugherty

250,352 Aufrufe • vor 12 Tagen

I think the market is overpricing a Fed hike. Going in with 50% of a new $5K predictions portfolio, and may increase sizing if the odds for a hike spike more on Friday's CPI print. I won't claim claim to have much differentiated alpha here or to have a high degree of certainty, but when I see genuinley attractive odds, I like to go for them. We're in a trap here. If Warsh hikes and the US government can't afford the interest on debt that's 120% of GDP, the long end goes higher. If Warsh is dovish and inflation stays hot, the long end goes higher. The only logical course of action is to step up long end buybacks more and more aggressively because both scenarios end the same way? The cheapest fix is getting the short rate down so Bessent can fund more buybacks with cheap bills and If that still doesn't hold the long end, the Fed steps in and buys it directly. Now may not be the time to cut, but it's certainly not the time to hike. Don't forget Bessent and Warsh both worked for Druck with the same macro worldview, and Bessent pushed him for the job. Why would they not be working towards the same strategy?
0:10

I think the market is overpricing a Fed hike. Going in with 50% of a new $5K predictions portfolio, and may increase sizing if the odds for a hike spike more on Friday's CPI print. I won't claim claim to have much differentiated alpha here or to have a high degree of certainty, but when I see genuinley attractive odds, I like to go for them. We're in a trap here. If Warsh hikes and the US government can't afford the interest on debt that's 120% of GDP, the long end goes higher. If Warsh is dovish and inflation stays hot, the long end goes higher. The only logical course of action is to step up long end buybacks more and more aggressively because both scenarios end the same way? The cheapest fix is getting the short rate down so Bessent can fund more buybacks with cheap bills and If that still doesn't hold the long end, the Fed steps in and buys it directly. Now may not be the time to cut, but it's certainly not the time to hike. Don't forget Bessent and Warsh both worked for Druck with the same macro worldview, and Bessent pushed him for the job. Why would they not be working towards the same strategy?

Michael Sikand

86,157 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING Yesterday, the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps for the first time in 3 years. Today, stocks are rallying like nothing happened. Something doesn't add up: 16 of 18 Fed policymakers expect at least ONE MORE HIKE this year. Just 9 months ago, markets were pricing in 3 RATE CUTS for 2026. Oil is above $100. Diesel prices just hit RECORD HIGHS. And the Fed now expects 3.7% inflation in 2026. But the market still hasn’t broken. WHY? Because one thing is keeping it alive: THE AI BOOM. And this is where almost everyone is getting it wrong. AI is not just holding the market up. IT IS GIVING THE FED ROOM TO KEEP HIKING. Massive AI spending is keeping growth alive while a handful of mega-cap stocks keep the indexes near the highs. As long as that continues, the Fed has less reason to back off. That creates a dangerous setup: AI boom → stronger growth → sticky inflation → higher rates for longer Now add: $100+ oil → record diesel → higher costs across the economy → even less room for cuts October or December doesn’t matter. Nine months ago: 3 CUTS. Today: HIKE → ANOTHER HIKE. The market can survive that while AI keeps carrying it. The problem starts when AI stops. If those stocks finally crack while rates are still rising and energy inflation is still hot, the market loses the one thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it gets ugly fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity disappears → forced selling begins And once forced selling starts, funds don’t sell what they WANT. They sell what they CAN. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. That’s the part most people are not prepared for. And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears. I’m not afraid of the dump. I’M WAITING FOR IT. Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years. When the liquidation starts and I see the level worth buying, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.
0:18

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING Yesterday, the Fed hiked rates by 25 bps for the first time in 3 years. Today, stocks are rallying like nothing happened. Something doesn't add up: 16 of 18 Fed policymakers expect at least ONE MORE HIKE this year. Just 9 months ago, markets were pricing in 3 RATE CUTS for 2026. Oil is above $100. Diesel prices just hit RECORD HIGHS. And the Fed now expects 3.7% inflation in 2026. But the market still hasn’t broken. WHY? Because one thing is keeping it alive: THE AI BOOM. And this is where almost everyone is getting it wrong. AI is not just holding the market up. IT IS GIVING THE FED ROOM TO KEEP HIKING. Massive AI spending is keeping growth alive while a handful of mega-cap stocks keep the indexes near the highs. As long as that continues, the Fed has less reason to back off. That creates a dangerous setup: AI boom → stronger growth → sticky inflation → higher rates for longer Now add: $100+ oil → record diesel → higher costs across the economy → even less room for cuts October or December doesn’t matter. Nine months ago: 3 CUTS. Today: HIKE → ANOTHER HIKE. The market can survive that while AI keeps carrying it. The problem starts when AI stops. If those stocks finally crack while rates are still rising and energy inflation is still hot, the market loses the one thing absorbing all that pressure. Then it gets ugly fast: AI cracks → indexes fall → liquidity disappears → forced selling begins And once forced selling starts, funds don’t sell what they WANT. They sell what they CAN. Stocks. Metals. Bitcoin. That’s the part most people are not prepared for. And that’s exactly where the next real buying opportunity appears. I’m not afraid of the dump. I’M WAITING FOR IT. Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years. When the liquidation starts and I see the level worth buying, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

847,245 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY!! The U.S. just hit the panic button. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. 99% of people will lose everything next week. And it won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will crash. Metals will dump. Bitcoin will collapse even harder. Insiders already know what's coming. They are not “buying the dip.” They are raising cash, cutting risk, and positioning for a catastrophic market event. Meanwhile, alarm bells are ringing across the global financial system. China is dumping U.S. Treasuries at an alarming rate, with holdings dropping to the lowest levels since 2008. Japan's bond market volatility has forced the BOJ back into QE, but it's not enough to stem the tide. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. In response, the U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. Kevin Warsh already sounds hawkish at the Jackson Hole conference. This means interest rates will stay higher for longer. And global liquidity is disappearing fast: → Japanese bond yields are surging → Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries is weakening → Global bond markets are under heavy pressure → Volatility is spreading across asset classes → Liquidity is tightening worldwide It's already spiraling out of control. When this accelerates, there will be no time left to react. Risk assets won't “dip.” They will DUMP HARD. This is exactly how chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing prolonged instability, the entire framework changes. I have spent 10+ tracking macro and systemic market reactions like this. I will share my next move here publicly. Follow and turn notifications on. Because by the time it reaches the headlines, it will be too late.
0:16

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING TERRIBLE WILL HAPPEN ON MONDAY!! The U.S. just hit the panic button. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. 99% of people will lose everything next week. And it won't be “just another dip.” Stocks will crash. Metals will dump. Bitcoin will collapse even harder. Insiders already know what's coming. They are not “buying the dip.” They are raising cash, cutting risk, and positioning for a catastrophic market event. Meanwhile, alarm bells are ringing across the global financial system. China is dumping U.S. Treasuries at an alarming rate, with holdings dropping to the lowest levels since 2008. Japan's bond market volatility has forced the BOJ back into QE, but it's not enough to stem the tide. The odds of a Fed rate hike in September have jumped to 70%. In response, the U.S. Treasury is launching a $1 TRILLION buyback program to prevent a market crash. Kevin Warsh already sounds hawkish at the Jackson Hole conference. This means interest rates will stay higher for longer. And global liquidity is disappearing fast: → Japanese bond yields are surging → Foreign demand for U.S. Treasuries is weakening → Global bond markets are under heavy pressure → Volatility is spreading across asset classes → Liquidity is tightening worldwide It's already spiraling out of control. When this accelerates, there will be no time left to react. Risk assets won't “dip.” They will DUMP HARD. This is exactly how chain reactions begin. Because once markets start pricing prolonged instability, the entire framework changes. I have spent 10+ tracking macro and systemic market reactions like this. I will share my next move here publicly. Follow and turn notifications on. Because by the time it reaches the headlines, it will be too late.

0xNobler

329,200 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Jerome Powell might go down as one of the most hated Fed Chairs ever And ironically, one of the most successful Trump’s spent years harassing him with names like “moron” & “TOTAL LOSER” At the same time, the left blamed him for “crushing workers” with rate hikes Both sides roasted him nonstop But let’s look at the actual scoreboard: > Inflation peaked at 9.1% > Fell back near the Fed’s 2% target > Unemployment stayed historically low > No major recession > No financial crisis > Economy kept growing Most economists in 2022–2023 thought a hard landing was inevitable Instead Powell pulled off one of the rarest outcomes in macro: A soft landing People also forget the context: > COVID shutdowns > supply chain chaos > massive fiscal stimulus > war-driven commodity shocks > banking stress > tariff pressure Then Powell delivered the fastest hiking cycle in 40 years without breaking the system Was he perfect? No The “transitory inflation” call aged badly and hikes probably came later than they should have But outcomes matter And the outcome was far better than almost anyone expected That’s probably why the internet turned him into a meme AI songs Techno edits K-pop fan cams “Jerome Powell saves America” videos One of the weirdest arcs in modern finance The guy both political sides hated may have quietly pulled off one of the best Fed performances in decades Wish you would have cut rates a bit earlier but can't knock his game And a fun fact is, he hasn't retired He's still on the Fed's board of governors Just no longer is the Fed chair
0:13

Jerome Powell might go down as one of the most hated Fed Chairs ever And ironically, one of the most successful Trump’s spent years harassing him with names like “moron” & “TOTAL LOSER” At the same time, the left blamed him for “crushing workers” with rate hikes Both sides roasted him nonstop But let’s look at the actual scoreboard: > Inflation peaked at 9.1% > Fell back near the Fed’s 2% target > Unemployment stayed historically low > No major recession > No financial crisis > Economy kept growing Most economists in 2022–2023 thought a hard landing was inevitable Instead Powell pulled off one of the rarest outcomes in macro: A soft landing People also forget the context: > COVID shutdowns > supply chain chaos > massive fiscal stimulus > war-driven commodity shocks > banking stress > tariff pressure Then Powell delivered the fastest hiking cycle in 40 years without breaking the system Was he perfect? No The “transitory inflation” call aged badly and hikes probably came later than they should have But outcomes matter And the outcome was far better than almost anyone expected That’s probably why the internet turned him into a meme AI songs Techno edits K-pop fan cams “Jerome Powell saves America” videos One of the weirdest arcs in modern finance The guy both political sides hated may have quietly pulled off one of the best Fed performances in decades Wish you would have cut rates a bit earlier but can't knock his game And a fun fact is, he hasn't retired He's still on the Fed's board of governors Just no longer is the Fed chair

eye zen hour 🥶

18,609 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

I keep wondering which analysts are being completely honest about what they think they are seeing right now. I will readily admit one of my own limitations is longevity. I have studied a lot of economic history, but I have not personally lived through enough cycles as an analyst to have the kind of pattern recognition that comes from watching turning points develop in real time over decades. There are people who do have that intuition. They have seen enough cycles to recognize when the headline data and the underlying economy start telling different stories. They can look at a low hire, low fire labor market, understand how seasonal adjustments and lagging models can make deterioration look deceptively stable, and diagnose where we are in the cycle before the consensus catches up. Those are the people I want to hear from right now. Who do you all think has that kind of judgment and is willing to say what they actually see?
0:13

I keep wondering which analysts are being completely honest about what they think they are seeing right now. I will readily admit one of my own limitations is longevity. I have studied a lot of economic history, but I have not personally lived through enough cycles as an analyst to have the kind of pattern recognition that comes from watching turning points develop in real time over decades. There are people who do have that intuition. They have seen enough cycles to recognize when the headline data and the underlying economy start telling different stories. They can look at a low hire, low fire labor market, understand how seasonal adjustments and lagging models can make deterioration look deceptively stable, and diagnose where we are in the cycle before the consensus catches up. Those are the people I want to hear from right now. Who do you all think has that kind of judgment and is willing to say what they actually see?

EndGame Macro

12,071 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

🚨THIS IS THE END FOR solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr Most traders think this rally isn’t over yet. But the market is starting to send a different signal. Inflation is picking up again. The Fed is becoming more hawkish. And rate cuts are getting pushed further away. Meanwhile, mega-caps are holding up solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr. Now those leaders are starting to lose momentum. We’ve seen this setup before. 2018 → almost -20% 2022 → roughly -25% And this time the market is even more concentrated. One bad catalyst could change everything very quickly. My target: solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr ~7,800 → ~6,000 That’s around a 25% drop. The final push higher could still happen first. But I wouldn’t be buying this market aggressively here. The next move is what matters. Watch solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr closely. I’ll post the warning before it becomes obvious.
0:17

🚨THIS IS THE END FOR solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr Most traders think this rally isn’t over yet. But the market is starting to send a different signal. Inflation is picking up again. The Fed is becoming more hawkish. And rate cuts are getting pushed further away. Meanwhile, mega-caps are holding up solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr. Now those leaders are starting to lose momentum. We’ve seen this setup before. 2018 → almost -20% 2022 → roughly -25% And this time the market is even more concentrated. One bad catalyst could change everything very quickly. My target: solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr ~7,800 → ~6,000 That’s around a 25% drop. The final push higher could still happen first. But I wouldn’t be buying this market aggressively here. The next move is what matters. Watch solana:J3NKxxXZcnNiMjKw9hYb2K4LUxgwB6t1FtPtQVsv3KFr closely. I’ll post the warning before it becomes obvious.

winkle.

11,851 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

People do this kind of thing when they feel they are experiencing reality at a high frame rate. It does not feel risky to hold a laptop by a corner if you feel like you have an “agency frame” every half second. It feels risky if you have an “agency frame” every 60 seconds. You’d be betting that a hand you do not have control over for 60 seconds will keep gripping. Our conscious frame rate can vary dramatically throughout the day, and it’s hard to perceive the difference because we can only sample ourselves at our conscious frame rate, we can’t oversample ourselves. People drunk drive because they fail to perceive their slower frame rate. Their frame rate feels normal because it matches their sample rate. But we do get a subtle sense of when we’re “switched on”. Everything seems to go easier, everything feels less risky and more easy to correct. A lot of people toward the autistic side of the spectrum are experiencing reality very granularly with a “high agency frame rate”. This is why their social interactions can seem overly forced and awkward, they can be bad at dancing, etc—because they are exerting conscious control over their body and language at very tight intervals—you get a sense that they are extremely “self aware” and not “letting go”. “Letting go” in the social sense is actually about reducing your agency frame rate. That’s why alcohol is good for socializing and bad for driving. With a reduced agency frame rate our speech and body language feels more natural, less forced. More like we are flowing with the social group mind rather than being an island of constant awkward agency.
0:16

People do this kind of thing when they feel they are experiencing reality at a high frame rate. It does not feel risky to hold a laptop by a corner if you feel like you have an “agency frame” every half second. It feels risky if you have an “agency frame” every 60 seconds. You’d be betting that a hand you do not have control over for 60 seconds will keep gripping. Our conscious frame rate can vary dramatically throughout the day, and it’s hard to perceive the difference because we can only sample ourselves at our conscious frame rate, we can’t oversample ourselves. People drunk drive because they fail to perceive their slower frame rate. Their frame rate feels normal because it matches their sample rate. But we do get a subtle sense of when we’re “switched on”. Everything seems to go easier, everything feels less risky and more easy to correct. A lot of people toward the autistic side of the spectrum are experiencing reality very granularly with a “high agency frame rate”. This is why their social interactions can seem overly forced and awkward, they can be bad at dancing, etc—because they are exerting conscious control over their body and language at very tight intervals—you get a sense that they are extremely “self aware” and not “letting go”. “Letting go” in the social sense is actually about reducing your agency frame rate. That’s why alcohol is good for socializing and bad for driving. With a reduced agency frame rate our speech and body language feels more natural, less forced. More like we are flowing with the social group mind rather than being an island of constant awkward agency.

Scott Stevenson

1,808,759 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

This is such an outright lie. In 2008, the Lehman Brothers collapse created a crisis in the entire world causing a worldwide economic fallout. While the entire world was reeling under the crisis, Manmohan Singh, the then PM of India deployed a multi-pronged strategy. The UPA Govt, between 2008-2009 rolled out three distinct stimulus packages totalling to approximately 1.86 lakh Crores which was around 3.5% of India's GDP then. The Govt slashed the Central Excise Duty across board by 4% and cut service taxes to boost domestic consumption. Govt spending was made to focus on rural development and infrastructure to keep a stable employment. Extra subsidies and credit line extensions were given to export oriented sectors. From a Banking POV, upon instructions of the Govt, the RBI aggressively cut the repo rate down to 4.75% to ease borrowing and encourage investments in the private sector. CRR and SLR were heavily slashed for all banks encouraging smaller banks to extend and improve their lending. These efforts injected Rs. 5.6 lakh crore liquidity (almost 9% of the GDP) into the banking system. Owing to these smart and aggressive measures, especially in the banking system, by 2010, the Indian GDP showed a quick rebound to an 8.5% growth rate. As a short term measure the repo rate cut down along with the CRR and SLR slash ensured that the domestic economy thrived even as the global crisis continued. Disclaimer: Anyone who blamed MMS's strategies during the 2008 crisis, either has no clue about economy or is lying through his teeth.
0:16

This is such an outright lie. In 2008, the Lehman Brothers collapse created a crisis in the entire world causing a worldwide economic fallout. While the entire world was reeling under the crisis, Manmohan Singh, the then PM of India deployed a multi-pronged strategy. The UPA Govt, between 2008-2009 rolled out three distinct stimulus packages totalling to approximately 1.86 lakh Crores which was around 3.5% of India's GDP then. The Govt slashed the Central Excise Duty across board by 4% and cut service taxes to boost domestic consumption. Govt spending was made to focus on rural development and infrastructure to keep a stable employment. Extra subsidies and credit line extensions were given to export oriented sectors. From a Banking POV, upon instructions of the Govt, the RBI aggressively cut the repo rate down to 4.75% to ease borrowing and encourage investments in the private sector. CRR and SLR were heavily slashed for all banks encouraging smaller banks to extend and improve their lending. These efforts injected Rs. 5.6 lakh crore liquidity (almost 9% of the GDP) into the banking system. Owing to these smart and aggressive measures, especially in the banking system, by 2010, the Indian GDP showed a quick rebound to an 8.5% growth rate. As a short term measure the repo rate cut down along with the CRR and SLR slash ensured that the domestic economy thrived even as the global crisis continued. Disclaimer: Anyone who blamed MMS's strategies during the 2008 crisis, either has no clue about economy or is lying through his teeth.

Darshan Mondkar

37,359 Aufrufe • vor 22 Tagen

Thoughts about $GYAT The rise at the beginning was due to the fact that the official post was published, followed by the expected decline. Then the growth spikes were due to the fact that many Influencers started to post about it. Now we have stability, which is achieved due to the community and its support. Should we expect anything? It is likely, memecoins are such a hype thing, it can come very quickly and go quickly as well. We are also seeing a sharp decline in Volume, perhaps this is end. MC: $11.5m, Volume: $46m More calls in my telegram:
0:12

Sensitive content

Thoughts about $GYAT The rise at the beginning was due to the fact that the official post was published, followed by the expected decline. Then the growth spikes were due to the fact that many Influencers started to post about it. Now we have stability, which is achieved due to the community and its support. Should we expect anything? It is likely, memecoins are such a hype thing, it can come very quickly and go quickly as well. We are also seeing a sharp decline in Volume, perhaps this is end. MC: $11.5m, Volume: $46m More calls in my telegram:

kaize

62,465 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨 THE MARKET IS NOT READY FOR TODAY’S CPI REPORT August inflation data drops TODAY at 8:30 AM ET. Yesterday’s PPI showed producer prices rose 0.4% in August, up from 0.1% in July. Now, comes the consumer side: • Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM, +3.4% YoY • Core CPI: +0.2% MoM, +2.4% YoY Hot PPI doesn’t guarantee hot CPI. But an upside surprise would mean back-to-back inflation warnings, with markets pricing a 51% chance of a Fed hike next week (market Hot CPI = yields and the dollar jump, while tech likely gets hit. Cool CPI = rate-hike fears fade, and risk assets get room to rally. Sticky core CPI = the market stays trapped between weak growth and persistent inflation. With the Fed meeting next week, one surprise could reshape expectations for September’s decision. Limitless traders currently see just a 10% chance CPI comes in above 0.4%: Market: Only a 10% chance of an upside surprise. How expensive would being wrong be?
0:16

🚨 THE MARKET IS NOT READY FOR TODAY’S CPI REPORT August inflation data drops TODAY at 8:30 AM ET. Yesterday’s PPI showed producer prices rose 0.4% in August, up from 0.1% in July. Now, comes the consumer side: • Headline CPI: +0.4% MoM, +3.4% YoY • Core CPI: +0.2% MoM, +2.4% YoY Hot PPI doesn’t guarantee hot CPI. But an upside surprise would mean back-to-back inflation warnings, with markets pricing a 51% chance of a Fed hike next week (market Hot CPI = yields and the dollar jump, while tech likely gets hit. Cool CPI = rate-hike fears fade, and risk assets get room to rally. Sticky core CPI = the market stays trapped between weak growth and persistent inflation. With the Fed meeting next week, one surprise could reshape expectations for September’s decision. Limitless traders currently see just a 10% chance CPI comes in above 0.4%: Market: Only a 10% chance of an upside surprise. How expensive would being wrong be?

Limitless Finance

18,726 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen