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🚨🇨🇳 Forcing countries to use new currencies could have lasting consequences. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says once businesses learn to operate outside the dollar, switching again becomes easier. That is how long-term shifts begin. Kenneth S Rogoff

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Mario Nawfal

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59,835 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸 Dollar dominance is not collapsing overnight, but it is being challenged. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says long-term pressures like debt, geopolitics, and alternative systems are building. This war adds to that momentum. Kenneth S Rogoff
2:42

🚨🇺🇸 Dollar dominance is not collapsing overnight, but it is being challenged. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says long-term pressures like debt, geopolitics, and alternative systems are building. This war adds to that momentum. Kenneth S Rogoff

Mario Nawfal

51,335 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨 This crisis could push multiple countries into recession. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says prolonged disruption would hit inflation, growth, and financial markets worldwide. He says the longer it lasts, the worse the impact becomes. Kenneth S Rogoff
4:39

🚨 This crisis could push multiple countries into recession. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says prolonged disruption would hit inflation, growth, and financial markets worldwide. He says the longer it lasts, the worse the impact becomes. Kenneth S Rogoff

Mario Nawfal

40,443 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 This conflict may matter more than trade wars ever did. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says tariff disputes caused economic splits but this war is causing geopolitical ones. That makes it far more serious. Kenneth S Rogoff
1:52

🚨🇺🇸 This conflict may matter more than trade wars ever did. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says tariff disputes caused economic splits but this war is causing geopolitical ones. That makes it far more serious. Kenneth S Rogoff

Mario Nawfal

16,860 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨🇺🇸 The biggest mistake may have been going into this war without an endgame. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says any serious strategy requires knowing what a “winning outcome” actually looks like. He says it is unclear what outcome the U.S. was aiming for. Kenneth S Rogoff
3:13

🚨🇺🇸 The biggest mistake may have been going into this war without an endgame. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says any serious strategy requires knowing what a “winning outcome” actually looks like. He says it is unclear what outcome the U.S. was aiming for. Kenneth S Rogoff

Mario Nawfal

47,023 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

🚨 Harvard economist Ken Rogoff just predicted a US debt crisis to Wall Street's face. The former IMF chief warns the biggest threat to the dollar is internal, pointing to Argentina's 2001 collapse. "We're going to have a crisis, because the voters won't allow anything else."
1:25

🚨 Harvard economist Ken Rogoff just predicted a US debt crisis to Wall Street's face. The former IMF chief warns the biggest threat to the dollar is internal, pointing to Argentina's 2001 collapse. "We're going to have a crisis, because the voters won't allow anything else."

Coin Bureau

54,068 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

New episode with Kenneth S Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF. Ken predicts that, within the next decade, the US will have a debt-induced inflation crisis, but not a Japan-type financial crisis (the latter is much worse, and can make a country poorer for generations). Ken explains how China is trapped: in order to solve their current problems, they keep leaning on financial repression and state-directed investment, which only makes their situation worse. Available on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, etc. Enjoy! 00:00:00 – China is stagnating 00:25:46 – How the US broke Japan's economy 00:37:06 – America's inflation crisis is coming 01:02:20 – Will AGI solve the US deficit? 01:07:11 – Why interest rates will go up 01:10:55 – US equities will underperform 01:22:24 – The erosion of dollar dominance
1:36:04

New episode with Kenneth S Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF. Ken predicts that, within the next decade, the US will have a debt-induced inflation crisis, but not a Japan-type financial crisis (the latter is much worse, and can make a country poorer for generations). Ken explains how China is trapped: in order to solve their current problems, they keep leaning on financial repression and state-directed investment, which only makes their situation worse. Available on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, etc. Enjoy! 00:00:00 – China is stagnating 00:25:46 – How the US broke Japan's economy 00:37:06 – America's inflation crisis is coming 01:02:20 – Will AGI solve the US deficit? 01:07:11 – Why interest rates will go up 01:10:55 – US equities will underperform 01:22:24 – The erosion of dollar dominance

Dwarkesh Patel

188,550 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Ken Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, points out that countries can go bankrupt even with good growth. Debt crises are really about politics: whether leaders are willing and able to manage tax, spending, and inflation. Growth gives leaders more flexibility, but doesn't guarantee they'll use it wisely. Ken's worry with AGI is that, even if it creates huge amounts of wealth, it will also be a massive shock to the political system. If governments fail to capture AI wealth through tax, and the public clamours for more spending, it creates a big risk:
1:06

Ken Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, points out that countries can go bankrupt even with good growth. Debt crises are really about politics: whether leaders are willing and able to manage tax, spending, and inflation. Growth gives leaders more flexibility, but doesn't guarantee they'll use it wisely. Ken's worry with AGI is that, even if it creates huge amounts of wealth, it will also be a massive shock to the political system. If governments fail to capture AI wealth through tax, and the public clamours for more spending, it creates a big risk:

Dwarkesh Patel

16,180 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

Japan was richer per capita than the US in the late 1980s. Today it sits at the bottom among developed countries. How does an economic superpower fall this far and never recover? Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of IMF) walked me through what he believes was a catastrophic mistake. In 1985, the US pressured Japan to rapidly strengthen the yen and liberalize its financial markets through the Plaza Accord. The yen doubled in value in just 3 years. To offset the economic shock, Japan slashed interest rates and flooded the economy with cheap credit. Japanese banks, suddenly freed from decades of tight regulation, went on a lending spree. They poured money into real estate and stocks with little risk assessment. Japan's stock market became worth more than the US stock market despite having half the population. The total value of Japanese real estate was 4 times the value of all US real estate. When the bubble burst in 1991, banks were left with massive bad loans. The entire financial system seized up, creating a "lost decade" of deflation and stagnation. Here's what stunned me: Rogoff estimates Japan would be 50% wealthier per person today without this crisis. I didn't grasp before this interview how devastating financial crises are. They don't just cause a temporary recession - they permanently alter a country's growth trajectory. Three decades later, Japan still hasn't recovered. Full interview with Kenneth S Rogoff out tomorrow.
1:39

Japan was richer per capita than the US in the late 1980s. Today it sits at the bottom among developed countries. How does an economic superpower fall this far and never recover? Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of IMF) walked me through what he believes was a catastrophic mistake. In 1985, the US pressured Japan to rapidly strengthen the yen and liberalize its financial markets through the Plaza Accord. The yen doubled in value in just 3 years. To offset the economic shock, Japan slashed interest rates and flooded the economy with cheap credit. Japanese banks, suddenly freed from decades of tight regulation, went on a lending spree. They poured money into real estate and stocks with little risk assessment. Japan's stock market became worth more than the US stock market despite having half the population. The total value of Japanese real estate was 4 times the value of all US real estate. When the bubble burst in 1991, banks were left with massive bad loans. The entire financial system seized up, creating a "lost decade" of deflation and stagnation. Here's what stunned me: Rogoff estimates Japan would be 50% wealthier per person today without this crisis. I didn't grasp before this interview how devastating financial crises are. They don't just cause a temporary recession - they permanently alter a country's growth trajectory. Three decades later, Japan still hasn't recovered. Full interview with Kenneth S Rogoff out tomorrow.

Dwarkesh Patel

426,760 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

Putin says the US shoots itself in the foot by restricting the use of the dollar, and Middle Eastern countries are switching to the Chinese yuan: "They saw off the branch they’re sitting on - I’ve been reiterating that - by limiting the use of the dollar based on momentary, situational considerations of political nature. They are harming themselves, and we might even add they shoot themselves in the foot. We would use the dollar, but they do not let us. How can we make payments? In a currency that is acceptable to our partners. The yuan is one of these currencies, especially since it is used by the International Monetary Fund. Do you know that the Middle Eastern oil-producing countries have announced they want to use the yuan for settlements? We will be gradually expanding this and will be expanding the use of the reliable currencies."
1:11

Putin says the US shoots itself in the foot by restricting the use of the dollar, and Middle Eastern countries are switching to the Chinese yuan: "They saw off the branch they’re sitting on - I’ve been reiterating that - by limiting the use of the dollar based on momentary, situational considerations of political nature. They are harming themselves, and we might even add they shoot themselves in the foot. We would use the dollar, but they do not let us. How can we make payments? In a currency that is acceptable to our partners. The yuan is one of these currencies, especially since it is used by the International Monetary Fund. Do you know that the Middle Eastern oil-producing countries have announced they want to use the yuan for settlements? We will be gradually expanding this and will be expanding the use of the reliable currencies."

KanekoaTheGreat

4,634,604 görüntüleme • 3 yıl önce

Ken Rogoff thinks we're going to see another big spurt of inflation within the next ten years. I asked him why this isn't already priced in. What is the bond market wrong about? His answer: too much faith in Fed independence. Fed independence is neither guaranteed nor long lived (we've only had it for 4 or 5 decades). The Supreme Court may have ruled presidents can’t fire the Fed chair—but Congress and the president have other ways to override it, especially under the pretext of war or emergency. There are basically four ways the government can get out of its debt burden: default, financial repression, austerity, or inflation. Kenneth S Rogoff thinks that politically, the most palatable one is inflation. Which means that the President and Congress may force the Fed to give way on its mandate to keep inflation at 2%. Full episode is out.
1:33

Ken Rogoff thinks we're going to see another big spurt of inflation within the next ten years. I asked him why this isn't already priced in. What is the bond market wrong about? His answer: too much faith in Fed independence. Fed independence is neither guaranteed nor long lived (we've only had it for 4 or 5 decades). The Supreme Court may have ruled presidents can’t fire the Fed chair—but Congress and the president have other ways to override it, especially under the pretext of war or emergency. There are basically four ways the government can get out of its debt burden: default, financial repression, austerity, or inflation. Kenneth S Rogoff thinks that politically, the most palatable one is inflation. Which means that the President and Congress may force the Fed to give way on its mandate to keep inflation at 2%. Full episode is out.

Dwarkesh Patel

28,496 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on Going Underground
2:10

🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on Going Underground

Going Underground

25,327 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

New report says former EPA employees are being told to downplay risks linked to chemicals in cosmetics, deodorants, and household cleaners “Some say their supervisors are pushing staff to use alternative exposure scenarios to make the chemicals appear safer. They also say leaders have limited consideration of how certain racial groups could be more vulnerable to chemical exposure” The EPA disputes those allegations and from what I can find these are anonymous employee allegations so it would be hard to prove I go over the test they are allegedly switching to make it easier to downplay chemical side effects in the video
1:14

New report says former EPA employees are being told to downplay risks linked to chemicals in cosmetics, deodorants, and household cleaners “Some say their supervisors are pushing staff to use alternative exposure scenarios to make the chemicals appear safer. They also say leaders have limited consideration of how certain racial groups could be more vulnerable to chemical exposure” The EPA disputes those allegations and from what I can find these are anonymous employee allegations so it would be hard to prove I go over the test they are allegedly switching to make it easier to downplay chemical side effects in the video

Wall Street Apes

17,042 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground
3:31

🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground

Afshin Rattansi

107,856 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce

NEW: The EPA is beginning to allow the use of pesticides containing PFAS on food. These new forever chemicals will be sprayed on our food “Last week, the agency approved the use of two new pesticides that qualify as PFAS. It means that farmers could spread them on crops like romaine lettuce, broccoli and potatoes. The Washington Post is reporting that agency plans to approve four more pesticides. Not much is known about their long-term impact, but PFAS have been linked to certain cancers, birth defects and other health problems. In a statement to the News Hour today, the EPA said it will provide transparent, science-based information on how the chemicals are evaluated.”
1:13

NEW: The EPA is beginning to allow the use of pesticides containing PFAS on food. These new forever chemicals will be sprayed on our food “Last week, the agency approved the use of two new pesticides that qualify as PFAS. It means that farmers could spread them on crops like romaine lettuce, broccoli and potatoes. The Washington Post is reporting that agency plans to approve four more pesticides. Not much is known about their long-term impact, but PFAS have been linked to certain cancers, birth defects and other health problems. In a statement to the News Hour today, the EPA said it will provide transparent, science-based information on how the chemicals are evaluated.”

Wall Street Apes

123,948 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

🚨 JUST IN: Former Clarence Thomas clerk John Yoo reveals Tennessee death row inmate convicted killer Christa Pike might have to face the FIRING SQUAD after TN BOTCHED lethal injection TWICE in one go "TN is gonna have to go back, try again, perfect these methods, or use another kind of execution method!" "TN could use far more 'hurtful' like firing squad...the lawyers have said, why not use the firing squad?" It's simple. She was rightfully sentenced to CAPITAL PUNISHMENT. Lethal injection failed twice. Use a method that is GUARANTEED TO WORK and make it swift, or she will have more opportunities to get out of it! The details under which she m*rdered her classmate in 1995 are brutally gruesome. Execution is long overdue
1:19

🚨 JUST IN: Former Clarence Thomas clerk John Yoo reveals Tennessee death row inmate convicted killer Christa Pike might have to face the FIRING SQUAD after TN BOTCHED lethal injection TWICE in one go "TN is gonna have to go back, try again, perfect these methods, or use another kind of execution method!" "TN could use far more 'hurtful' like firing squad...the lawyers have said, why not use the firing squad?" It's simple. She was rightfully sentenced to CAPITAL PUNISHMENT. Lethal injection failed twice. Use a method that is GUARANTEED TO WORK and make it swift, or she will have more opportunities to get out of it! The details under which she m*rdered her classmate in 1995 are brutally gruesome. Execution is long overdue

Eric Daugherty

520,210 görüntüleme • 16 saat önce

The US is approaching the end of the long-term debt cycle. There are 3 levers we can pull to bring the deficit down to ~3% of GDP and mitigate our debt burdens: 1) reducing spending, 2) increasing taxes, and 3) lowering interest rates. While we need to consider each of these levers, I recently discussed why reducing interest rates will ultimately have the greatest impact on the budget deficit with IMF. You can learn more about my proposed 3% 3-part solution to the US debt crisis in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available now wherever books are sold. #principles #howcountriesgobroke #Economics
0:58

The US is approaching the end of the long-term debt cycle. There are 3 levers we can pull to bring the deficit down to ~3% of GDP and mitigate our debt burdens: 1) reducing spending, 2) increasing taxes, and 3) lowering interest rates. While we need to consider each of these levers, I recently discussed why reducing interest rates will ultimately have the greatest impact on the budget deficit with IMF. You can learn more about my proposed 3% 3-part solution to the US debt crisis in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available now wherever books are sold. #principles #howcountriesgobroke #Economics

Ray Dalio

132,124 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce