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🚨🇨🇳 Forcing countries to use new currencies could have lasting consequences. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says once businesses learn to operate outside the dollar, switching again becomes easier. That is how long-term shifts begin. Kenneth S Rogoff

Mario Nawfal

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59,835 次观看 • 3 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🚨🇺🇸 Dollar dominance is not collapsing overnight, but it is being challenged. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says long-term pressures like debt, geopolitics, and alternative systems are building. This war adds to that momentum. Kenneth S Rogoff

🚨🇺🇸 Dollar dominance is not collapsing overnight, but it is being challenged. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says long-term pressures like debt, geopolitics, and alternative systems are building. This war adds to that momentum. Kenneth S Rogoff

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🚨 This crisis could push multiple countries into recession. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says prolonged disruption would hit inflation, growth, and financial markets worldwide. He says the longer it lasts, the worse the impact becomes. Kenneth S Rogoff

🚨 This crisis could push multiple countries into recession. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says prolonged disruption would hit inflation, growth, and financial markets worldwide. He says the longer it lasts, the worse the impact becomes. Kenneth S Rogoff

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🚨🇺🇸 This conflict may matter more than trade wars ever did. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says tariff disputes caused economic splits but this war is causing geopolitical ones. That makes it far more serious. Kenneth S Rogoff

🚨🇺🇸 This conflict may matter more than trade wars ever did. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says tariff disputes caused economic splits but this war is causing geopolitical ones. That makes it far more serious. Kenneth S Rogoff

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🚨🇺🇸 The biggest mistake may have been going into this war without an endgame. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says any serious strategy requires knowing what a “winning outcome” actually looks like. He says it is unclear what outcome the U.S. was aiming for. Kenneth S Rogoff

🚨🇺🇸 The biggest mistake may have been going into this war without an endgame. Kenneth Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, says any serious strategy requires knowing what a “winning outcome” actually looks like. He says it is unclear what outcome the U.S. was aiming for. Kenneth S Rogoff

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European equities (IEUR) are up 20%+ in 2025, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 3.8% gain. Does a potential U.S. lead in AGI justify a centralized bet on America, or is it time to rebalance? Ken Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF, makes the case for global investment diversification—despite decades of U.S. dominance: "Europe seems to be under pressure to remilitarize. Remilitarizing would actually be good for the euro. It would be good for technology in Europe... My instinct is that these things have some regression to mean"

European equities (IEUR) are up 20%+ in 2025, far outpacing the S&P 500’s 3.8% gain. Does a potential U.S. lead in AGI justify a centralized bet on America, or is it time to rebalance? Ken Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF, makes the case for global investment diversification—despite decades of U.S. dominance: "Europe seems to be under pressure to remilitarize. Remilitarizing would actually be good for the euro. It would be good for technology in Europe... My instinct is that these things have some regression to mean"

Dwarkesh Podcast

18,490 次观看 • 1 年前

New episode with Kenneth S Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF. Ken predicts that, within the next decade, the US will have a debt-induced inflation crisis, but not a Japan-type financial crisis (the latter is much worse, and can make a country poorer for generations). Ken explains how China is trapped: in order to solve their current problems, they keep leaning on financial repression and state-directed investment, which only makes their situation worse. Available on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, etc. Enjoy! 00:00:00 – China is stagnating 00:25:46 – How the US broke Japan's economy 00:37:06 – America's inflation crisis is coming 01:02:20 – Will AGI solve the US deficit? 01:07:11 – Why interest rates will go up 01:10:55 – US equities will underperform 01:22:24 – The erosion of dollar dominance

New episode with Kenneth S Rogoff, former chief economist of the IMF. Ken predicts that, within the next decade, the US will have a debt-induced inflation crisis, but not a Japan-type financial crisis (the latter is much worse, and can make a country poorer for generations). Ken explains how China is trapped: in order to solve their current problems, they keep leaning on financial repression and state-directed investment, which only makes their situation worse. Available on YouTube, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, etc. Enjoy! 00:00:00 – China is stagnating 00:25:46 – How the US broke Japan's economy 00:37:06 – America's inflation crisis is coming 01:02:20 – Will AGI solve the US deficit? 01:07:11 – Why interest rates will go up 01:10:55 – US equities will underperform 01:22:24 – The erosion of dollar dominance

Dwarkesh Patel

188,550 次观看 • 1 年前

Ken Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, points out that countries can go bankrupt even with good growth. Debt crises are really about politics: whether leaders are willing and able to manage tax, spending, and inflation. Growth gives leaders more flexibility, but doesn't guarantee they'll use it wisely. Ken's worry with AGI is that, even if it creates huge amounts of wealth, it will also be a massive shock to the political system. If governments fail to capture AI wealth through tax, and the public clamours for more spending, it creates a big risk:

Ken Rogoff, former IMF chief economist, points out that countries can go bankrupt even with good growth. Debt crises are really about politics: whether leaders are willing and able to manage tax, spending, and inflation. Growth gives leaders more flexibility, but doesn't guarantee they'll use it wisely. Ken's worry with AGI is that, even if it creates huge amounts of wealth, it will also be a massive shock to the political system. If governments fail to capture AI wealth through tax, and the public clamours for more spending, it creates a big risk:

Dwarkesh Patel

16,180 次观看 • 2 个月前

Japan was richer per capita than the US in the late 1980s. Today it sits at the bottom among developed countries. How does an economic superpower fall this far and never recover? Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of IMF) walked me through what he believes was a catastrophic mistake. In 1985, the US pressured Japan to rapidly strengthen the yen and liberalize its financial markets through the Plaza Accord. The yen doubled in value in just 3 years. To offset the economic shock, Japan slashed interest rates and flooded the economy with cheap credit. Japanese banks, suddenly freed from decades of tight regulation, went on a lending spree. They poured money into real estate and stocks with little risk assessment. Japan's stock market became worth more than the US stock market despite having half the population. The total value of Japanese real estate was 4 times the value of all US real estate. When the bubble burst in 1991, banks were left with massive bad loans. The entire financial system seized up, creating a "lost decade" of deflation and stagnation. Here's what stunned me: Rogoff estimates Japan would be 50% wealthier per person today without this crisis. I didn't grasp before this interview how devastating financial crises are. They don't just cause a temporary recession - they permanently alter a country's growth trajectory. Three decades later, Japan still hasn't recovered. Full interview with Kenneth S Rogoff out tomorrow.

Japan was richer per capita than the US in the late 1980s. Today it sits at the bottom among developed countries. How does an economic superpower fall this far and never recover? Kenneth Rogoff (former Chief Economist of IMF) walked me through what he believes was a catastrophic mistake. In 1985, the US pressured Japan to rapidly strengthen the yen and liberalize its financial markets through the Plaza Accord. The yen doubled in value in just 3 years. To offset the economic shock, Japan slashed interest rates and flooded the economy with cheap credit. Japanese banks, suddenly freed from decades of tight regulation, went on a lending spree. They poured money into real estate and stocks with little risk assessment. Japan's stock market became worth more than the US stock market despite having half the population. The total value of Japanese real estate was 4 times the value of all US real estate. When the bubble burst in 1991, banks were left with massive bad loans. The entire financial system seized up, creating a "lost decade" of deflation and stagnation. Here's what stunned me: Rogoff estimates Japan would be 50% wealthier per person today without this crisis. I didn't grasp before this interview how devastating financial crises are. They don't just cause a temporary recession - they permanently alter a country's growth trajectory. Three decades later, Japan still hasn't recovered. Full interview with Kenneth S Rogoff out tomorrow.

Dwarkesh Patel

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Putin says the US shoots itself in the foot by restricting the use of the dollar, and Middle Eastern countries are switching to the Chinese yuan: "They saw off the branch they’re sitting on - I’ve been reiterating that - by limiting the use of the dollar based on momentary, situational considerations of political nature. They are harming themselves, and we might even add they shoot themselves in the foot. We would use the dollar, but they do not let us. How can we make payments? In a currency that is acceptable to our partners. The yuan is one of these currencies, especially since it is used by the International Monetary Fund. Do you know that the Middle Eastern oil-producing countries have announced they want to use the yuan for settlements? We will be gradually expanding this and will be expanding the use of the reliable currencies."

Putin says the US shoots itself in the foot by restricting the use of the dollar, and Middle Eastern countries are switching to the Chinese yuan: "They saw off the branch they’re sitting on - I’ve been reiterating that - by limiting the use of the dollar based on momentary, situational considerations of political nature. They are harming themselves, and we might even add they shoot themselves in the foot. We would use the dollar, but they do not let us. How can we make payments? In a currency that is acceptable to our partners. The yuan is one of these currencies, especially since it is used by the International Monetary Fund. Do you know that the Middle Eastern oil-producing countries have announced they want to use the yuan for settlements? We will be gradually expanding this and will be expanding the use of the reliable currencies."

KanekoaTheGreat

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Ken Rogoff thinks we're going to see another big spurt of inflation within the next ten years. I asked him why this isn't already priced in. What is the bond market wrong about? His answer: too much faith in Fed independence. Fed independence is neither guaranteed nor long lived (we've only had it for 4 or 5 decades). The Supreme Court may have ruled presidents can’t fire the Fed chair—but Congress and the president have other ways to override it, especially under the pretext of war or emergency. There are basically four ways the government can get out of its debt burden: default, financial repression, austerity, or inflation. Kenneth S Rogoff thinks that politically, the most palatable one is inflation. Which means that the President and Congress may force the Fed to give way on its mandate to keep inflation at 2%. Full episode is out.

Ken Rogoff thinks we're going to see another big spurt of inflation within the next ten years. I asked him why this isn't already priced in. What is the bond market wrong about? His answer: too much faith in Fed independence. Fed independence is neither guaranteed nor long lived (we've only had it for 4 or 5 decades). The Supreme Court may have ruled presidents can’t fire the Fed chair—but Congress and the president have other ways to override it, especially under the pretext of war or emergency. There are basically four ways the government can get out of its debt burden: default, financial repression, austerity, or inflation. Kenneth S Rogoff thinks that politically, the most palatable one is inflation. Which means that the President and Congress may force the Fed to give way on its mandate to keep inflation at 2%. Full episode is out.

Dwarkesh Patel

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🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on the latest episode of Going Underground FULL INTERVIEW BELOW IN THE REPLIES👇

🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on the latest episode of Going Underground FULL INTERVIEW BELOW IN THE REPLIES👇

Going Underground

24,289 次观看 • 8 个月前

🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on Going Underground

🚨Prof. Steve Keen: Africa MUST kick out the IMF as Asia has done ‘One of the reasons that the IMF has the countries of Africa over a barrel in that sense, is they need foreign exchange for some of the investments they’re doing. And they borrow the American dollars from the IMF to do that. But that then puts them into the same problem they’ve had for centuries, ever since colonialism destroyed that continent, that they have had their resources run down. They don’t have the domestic capabilities they used to have. They have to import and that then gets them trapped in exporting for the sake of financing their foreign debt. And that is a disastrous process. The Southeast Asians kicked the IMF out a long time ago. The 1997 Asian financial crisis, particularly Indonesia. But basically they never want to see an IMF official ever again. So Asia learned how to break away. I think it’s time Africa does the same thing.’ -Dr. Steve Keen on Going Underground

Going Underground

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🚨🇵🇰📉Pakistan's financial situation is facing a serious crisis, with the country's total debt now reaching 80 trillion rupees, including 36 trillion in external debt, which is linked to the exchange rate of the US dollar. Chief Minister Suhail Afridi stated that most of these external loans have been provided by the IMF, the World Bank, & the Asian Development Bank. Around 70% of Pakistan’s $20 billion in foreign reserves consist of debt or aid from friendly countries. He warned that if these countries demand repayment, the artificially maintained exchange rate of 280 rupees per dollar could surpass 400. Declining exports, heavy debt, & reliance on foreign aid have put Pakistan’s economic stability at serious risk.

🚨🇵🇰📉Pakistan's financial situation is facing a serious crisis, with the country's total debt now reaching 80 trillion rupees, including 36 trillion in external debt, which is linked to the exchange rate of the US dollar. Chief Minister Suhail Afridi stated that most of these external loans have been provided by the IMF, the World Bank, & the Asian Development Bank. Around 70% of Pakistan’s $20 billion in foreign reserves consist of debt or aid from friendly countries. He warned that if these countries demand repayment, the artificially maintained exchange rate of 280 rupees per dollar could surpass 400. Declining exports, heavy debt, & reliance on foreign aid have put Pakistan’s economic stability at serious risk.

Afghanistan Defense

96,268 次观看 • 7 个月前

New report says former EPA employees are being told to downplay risks linked to chemicals in cosmetics, deodorants, and household cleaners “Some say their supervisors are pushing staff to use alternative exposure scenarios to make the chemicals appear safer. They also say leaders have limited consideration of how certain racial groups could be more vulnerable to chemical exposure” The EPA disputes those allegations and from what I can find these are anonymous employee allegations so it would be hard to prove I go over the test they are allegedly switching to make it easier to downplay chemical side effects in the video

New report says former EPA employees are being told to downplay risks linked to chemicals in cosmetics, deodorants, and household cleaners “Some say their supervisors are pushing staff to use alternative exposure scenarios to make the chemicals appear safer. They also say leaders have limited consideration of how certain racial groups could be more vulnerable to chemical exposure” The EPA disputes those allegations and from what I can find these are anonymous employee allegations so it would be hard to prove I go over the test they are allegedly switching to make it easier to downplay chemical side effects in the video

Wall Street Apes

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🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground

🚨Peter Schiff: China🇨🇳 is silently dumping the dollar, a US🇺🇸 dollar crisis is coming soon! ‘China is gradually weaning themselves off of the dollar. That’s why, if you look at their holdings of US Treasuries, they’ve actually gone down a bit over the years. If you look at all the new Treasuries we’ve issued over the years, the fact that the Chinese haven’t bought any of them is a big deal because they used to be a main buyer of these assets. Instead of buying more Treasuries, they’ve bought more gold. So if you look at US dollar debt as a percentage of all the reserves the Chinese own, Treasuries are a much smaller percentage of their total reserves than they once were, especially if you consider the appreciation of gold. I would guess the reason they’re not moving more dramatically is because they probably don’t want to cause a crash, the dollar to implode, the Treasury market to implode, because they are trying to sell and want to get a decent price. So I think they’re happy to slowly bleed it off to try to get that good price. They just have to worry about the impact on the dollar, because if they try to dump too many dollars at once, the dollar could go down, and especially if a lot of other countries see that and want to get out. There could be a run on the dollar. If all the holders decide they want to get out, they don’t want to be the last one holding the dollar, and so it becomes a rush, and we could be in a US dollar crisis relatively soon anyway… I think we’re heading for a real crisis in the US, and I think countries that are smart would be trying to get ahead of that by selling whatever they can, as quietly as they can, out of US dollars and any US dollar-denominated debt.’ -Peter Schiff on Going Underground

Afshin Rattansi

107,856 次观看 • 6 个月前

NEW: The EPA is beginning to allow the use of pesticides containing PFAS on food. These new forever chemicals will be sprayed on our food “Last week, the agency approved the use of two new pesticides that qualify as PFAS. It means that farmers could spread them on crops like romaine lettuce, broccoli and potatoes. The Washington Post is reporting that agency plans to approve four more pesticides. Not much is known about their long-term impact, but PFAS have been linked to certain cancers, birth defects and other health problems. In a statement to the News Hour today, the EPA said it will provide transparent, science-based information on how the chemicals are evaluated.”

NEW: The EPA is beginning to allow the use of pesticides containing PFAS on food. These new forever chemicals will be sprayed on our food “Last week, the agency approved the use of two new pesticides that qualify as PFAS. It means that farmers could spread them on crops like romaine lettuce, broccoli and potatoes. The Washington Post is reporting that agency plans to approve four more pesticides. Not much is known about their long-term impact, but PFAS have been linked to certain cancers, birth defects and other health problems. In a statement to the News Hour today, the EPA said it will provide transparent, science-based information on how the chemicals are evaluated.”

Wall Street Apes

123,818 次观看 • 8 个月前

The US is approaching the end of the long-term debt cycle. There are 3 levers we can pull to bring the deficit down to ~3% of GDP and mitigate our debt burdens: 1) reducing spending, 2) increasing taxes, and 3) lowering interest rates. While we need to consider each of these levers, I recently discussed why reducing interest rates will ultimately have the greatest impact on the budget deficit with IMF. You can learn more about my proposed 3% 3-part solution to the US debt crisis in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available now wherever books are sold. #principles #howcountriesgobroke #Economics

The US is approaching the end of the long-term debt cycle. There are 3 levers we can pull to bring the deficit down to ~3% of GDP and mitigate our debt burdens: 1) reducing spending, 2) increasing taxes, and 3) lowering interest rates. While we need to consider each of these levers, I recently discussed why reducing interest rates will ultimately have the greatest impact on the budget deficit with IMF. You can learn more about my proposed 3% 3-part solution to the US debt crisis in my new book, How Countries Go Broke: The Big Cycle, available now wherever books are sold. #principles #howcountriesgobroke #Economics

Ray Dalio

132,124 次观看 • 1 年前

Full Trump/Putin conference and highlights: -Putin confirms the war would have never started if Trump were President. -Trump highlights how his relationship with Putin was strained due to the Russia Gate collusion hoax concocted by the Democrats by states that Putin knew all along it was a sham. He once again refers to it as a criminal enterprise. -It was a very successful meeting, and a peace deal is closer than ever before. Trump will need to speak with Zelensky and NATO. -Putin says the situation in Ukraine has to do with fundamental threats to Russia's security.. in order to make the settlement lasting, long-term, we need to eliminate all the primary roots that primary causes of that conflict -Putin offers to meet with Trump in Moscow. Trump says it could happen. We'll see. Let's all hope and pray this conflict will finally end very soon!

Full Trump/Putin conference and highlights: -Putin confirms the war would have never started if Trump were President. -Trump highlights how his relationship with Putin was strained due to the Russia Gate collusion hoax concocted by the Democrats by states that Putin knew all along it was a sham. He once again refers to it as a criminal enterprise. -It was a very successful meeting, and a peace deal is closer than ever before. Trump will need to speak with Zelensky and NATO. -Putin says the situation in Ukraine has to do with fundamental threats to Russia's security.. in order to make the settlement lasting, long-term, we need to eliminate all the primary roots that primary causes of that conflict -Putin offers to meet with Trump in Moscow. Trump says it could happen. We'll see. Let's all hope and pray this conflict will finally end very soon!

Green Lives Matter

42,883 次观看 • 11 个月前

🚨THIS INFORMATION COULD STOP A NEW WORLD WAR! 🚨 BOMBSHELL INTERVIEW! Joe Kent As You Have Never Heard Him, The Former Spy Chief Confirms Israeli COUP Against America and That The Iran War Is Globalist Trap! Here Are The Topics No One Else Has Asked: - Was Their A Foreign Nexus Surrounding the Charlie Kirk Assassination? - We’re You Vetted By Israel? - Are You A Part Of Long Term OP To Install JD Vance? - Is The Iran War A Globalist Plot To Kill The Trump Recovery? - Imminent Ground Troop Build Up In Iran Infowars asks the questions everyone else is afraid to ask. Alex Jones is breaking down this interview right now. LIVE FEED HERE:

🚨THIS INFORMATION COULD STOP A NEW WORLD WAR! 🚨 BOMBSHELL INTERVIEW! Joe Kent As You Have Never Heard Him, The Former Spy Chief Confirms Israeli COUP Against America and That The Iran War Is Globalist Trap! Here Are The Topics No One Else Has Asked: - Was Their A Foreign Nexus Surrounding the Charlie Kirk Assassination? - We’re You Vetted By Israel? - Are You A Part Of Long Term OP To Install JD Vance? - Is The Iran War A Globalist Plot To Kill The Trump Recovery? - Imminent Ground Troop Build Up In Iran Infowars asks the questions everyone else is afraid to ask. Alex Jones is breaking down this interview right now. LIVE FEED HERE:

Alex Jones

384,431 次观看 • 4 个月前