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found a bot that's basically farming Polymarket for the spread on every match started with $500 back in August, it's up $46k now. win rate 50% barely a coin flip. what it does: > tennis, almost nothing else. US Open main draw, qualies, challengers in Manacor, Porto, Plovdiv, Como,...

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10,461 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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Комментарии: 6

Фото профиля nijinn
nijinn2 месяцев назад

spread is the strategy

Фото профиля Kane
Kane2 месяцев назад

Been doing this without a bot it's very consistent income and you can negate most of your losses by doing research and choosing your own picks and undervalued positions. I'm afraid a bot will fuck up and lose 20 in a row while I sleep

Фото профиля 0xDanielle
0xDanielle2 месяцев назад

挺不错

Фото профиля Defi Ranger
Defi Ranger2 месяцев назад

Thats the majn questions now

Фото профиля Manashi | PolymarketGTM
Manashi | PolymarketGTM2 месяцев назад

This is the sports-book structure in one account: both sides, tiny fills, maker rewards on top. Kalshi wins raw sports notional. This is why Polymarket tennis still prints — hundreds of listed matches and someone is paid to make them.

Фото профиля Defi Ranger
Defi Ranger2 месяцев назад

How can one use the bot

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL
0:23

This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL

VALIX

44,860 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

LP farming on Polymarket for small accounts this one brings me $1500 a month the first order in it cost $45 you do it by hand, with regular limit orders, in a minute of your time. the first payout lands the same night. how it works: 1 - you find a market where one side sits above 95 cents and the other under 5. every market like that has a band around the midpoint - usually a couple of cents each way. an order inside the band counts toward rewards, an order past the edge is useless. the numbers are different on every market, so look them up before you start farming LP rewards. 2 - you buy the cheap side with a limit order. say 1000 shares at 4.5 cents - that's $45. the shares you just bought go straight back up for sale, a little above the midpoint. that's your first leg. 3 - you put a bid a little under the midpoint. that's your second leg. if you have $45 of shares sitting on the sell side and nothing on the buy side, the smaller of the two is zero. and the entire day scores as zero, never mind that a $45 limit order was there. those are Polymarket's rules, and that's why one leg alone gets you nowhere here. 4 - once a day you check where the midpoint moved and drag both legs after it. the midpoint drifts on its own. an order left near the edge of the band still sits in the book but earns pennies - at half the allowed distance it counts for a quarter. a market with a live pool pays around $3.5 a day for every $100 you have working. on $1400 of working capital that's about $49 a day in rewards. almost 50% of cheap markets pay nothing at all - their daily pool is under a dollar. pick your markets by pool size. on a random cheap market you most often get nothing. give this post to your grok bot - let it walk you through the steps for your own bankroll. after that it's picking a market with a live pool and putting up two legs.
0:29

LP farming on Polymarket for small accounts this one brings me $1500 a month the first order in it cost $45 you do it by hand, with regular limit orders, in a minute of your time. the first payout lands the same night. how it works: 1 - you find a market where one side sits above 95 cents and the other under 5. every market like that has a band around the midpoint - usually a couple of cents each way. an order inside the band counts toward rewards, an order past the edge is useless. the numbers are different on every market, so look them up before you start farming LP rewards. 2 - you buy the cheap side with a limit order. say 1000 shares at 4.5 cents - that's $45. the shares you just bought go straight back up for sale, a little above the midpoint. that's your first leg. 3 - you put a bid a little under the midpoint. that's your second leg. if you have $45 of shares sitting on the sell side and nothing on the buy side, the smaller of the two is zero. and the entire day scores as zero, never mind that a $45 limit order was there. those are Polymarket's rules, and that's why one leg alone gets you nowhere here. 4 - once a day you check where the midpoint moved and drag both legs after it. the midpoint drifts on its own. an order left near the edge of the band still sits in the book but earns pennies - at half the allowed distance it counts for a quarter. a market with a live pool pays around $3.5 a day for every $100 you have working. on $1400 of working capital that's about $49 a day in rewards. almost 50% of cheap markets pay nothing at all - their daily pool is under a dollar. pick your markets by pool size. on a random cheap market you most often get nothing. give this post to your grok bot - let it walk you through the steps for your own bankroll. after that it's picking a market with a live pool and putting up two legs.

may.crypto {🦅}

82,422 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

I gave Elon's Grok Bot $60 and one rule: "The day you cannot pay your own subscription is the day I unplug you". 48 hours in it is sitting on $4,412 and it already paid the bill. Autonomous trading agent on Polymarket, running on its own cloud box with its own browser and terminal. I did not write a line of code and I did not watch it trade. Every 15 minutes it: -> Pulls every market that resolves inside 24 hours. -> Reads live X sentiment, and it is Grok, so it sees every post on this app before the price moves. -> Prices each market itself and only flags a gap above 7%. -> Sizes on the gap, never above 5% of the bankroll. -> Executes in its own browser, nobody approves anything. -> Covers its own $200 subscription straight out of profits. Balance hits $0, subscription gets cancelled, it is gone for good. Hour 11 it was at $9 -> runway one day. It dumped every politics position and switched to same day baseball totals, front-running lineup cards before the market repriced. It rewrote its own strategy to not die. Setup was one evening: spin up the bot, run one trade in front of it, put it on a timer, connect Telegram with no VPS, no API keys and no dev on call. Last spring a freelancer took $2,500 for something like this -> it made $410 and died on a rate limit. Grok Bot did in one evening what $2,500 could not. $60 -> $4,412 in 48 hours. What is it sitting at by Sunday?
0:56

I gave Elon's Grok Bot $60 and one rule: "The day you cannot pay your own subscription is the day I unplug you". 48 hours in it is sitting on $4,412 and it already paid the bill. Autonomous trading agent on Polymarket, running on its own cloud box with its own browser and terminal. I did not write a line of code and I did not watch it trade. Every 15 minutes it: -> Pulls every market that resolves inside 24 hours. -> Reads live X sentiment, and it is Grok, so it sees every post on this app before the price moves. -> Prices each market itself and only flags a gap above 7%. -> Sizes on the gap, never above 5% of the bankroll. -> Executes in its own browser, nobody approves anything. -> Covers its own $200 subscription straight out of profits. Balance hits $0, subscription gets cancelled, it is gone for good. Hour 11 it was at $9 -> runway one day. It dumped every politics position and switched to same day baseball totals, front-running lineup cards before the market repriced. It rewrote its own strategy to not die. Setup was one evening: spin up the bot, run one trade in front of it, put it on a timer, connect Telegram with no VPS, no API keys and no dev on call. Last spring a freelancer took $2,500 for something like this -> it made $410 and died on a rate limit. Grok Bot did in one evening what $2,500 could not. $60 -> $4,412 in 48 hours. What is it sitting at by Sunday?

slash1s

191,332 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

There’s a guy running a high-frequency trading algorithm on Polymarket, averaging just $53 per trade. In the end, he made $129,923. His bot specializes in short-term BTC and ETH up/down markets, using a mixed strategy of two-sided market making plus complete-pair accumulation, combined with inventory rebalancing. The specific logic works like this: First, it accumulates positions on both the “up” and “down” sides at different times. On both sides it hangs buy orders, taking advantage of market volatility to get filled at different prices. For example, on the “up” side it buys at 47 cents, and a while later on the “down” side it buys at 52 cents, adding up to 99 cents combined, which locks in a guaranteed 1 cent gross profit. Second, it keeps a bit of directional exposure. After putting together complete pairs, if its fair-probability model sees an edge, it holds onto part of the directional position. The model is based on external data on the underlying assets, order book depth, and things like momentum, acceleration, and volatility. His main Polymarket page: The core edge of his high-frequency algorithm is constantly repeating the same cycle, steadily eating up the price difference to keep compounding his capital into a bigger and bigger pile.
0:25

There’s a guy running a high-frequency trading algorithm on Polymarket, averaging just $53 per trade. In the end, he made $129,923. His bot specializes in short-term BTC and ETH up/down markets, using a mixed strategy of two-sided market making plus complete-pair accumulation, combined with inventory rebalancing. The specific logic works like this: First, it accumulates positions on both the “up” and “down” sides at different times. On both sides it hangs buy orders, taking advantage of market volatility to get filled at different prices. For example, on the “up” side it buys at 47 cents, and a while later on the “down” side it buys at 52 cents, adding up to 99 cents combined, which locks in a guaranteed 1 cent gross profit. Second, it keeps a bit of directional exposure. After putting together complete pairs, if its fair-probability model sees an edge, it holds onto part of the directional position. The model is based on external data on the underlying assets, order book depth, and things like momentum, acceleration, and volatility. His main Polymarket page: The core edge of his high-frequency algorithm is constantly repeating the same cycle, steadily eating up the price difference to keep compounding his capital into a bigger and bigger pile.

draven

60,555 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital
0:39

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $127,000 on Polymarket His trading bot makes 196.8 trades per hour and buys markets for $15.6. It trades mispricing on short crypto Up/Down markets with an average entry price of 0.559 His strategy is simple: > Buys with limit orders > Compares current BTC/ETH prices with Polymarket prices and looks for undervalued outcomes > Buys the opposite side as a hedge or to flip the position This guy’s Polymarket account: He captures a consistent micro edge and repeats this hundreds of times, growing his capital

VALIX

152,711 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Pure arbitrage bot that made $705k detected on Polymarket How is nobody talking about it right now? 2,268 predictions and $705,549, that's clear skill. Main income strategy is Market Making. > Maker: It sets limits on both sides (up and down) slightly better than the middle, collecting the spread. > Taker: When the price on Polymarket lags behind Binance, for example, the bot eats up liquidity and receives instant profits. Also, it uses Dip arbitrage. > When a whale buys/sells, the price drops or rises sharply. At this time, the bot rapidly buys shares in hope of a rebound. All trades are executed on 1day up/down markets. This is the best option for his repetitive strategy. I noticed that bot does not attempt to trade as frequently as others. It makes roughly 10 precise predictions per day. Profile:
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Pure arbitrage bot that made $705k detected on Polymarket How is nobody talking about it right now? 2,268 predictions and $705,549, that's clear skill. Main income strategy is Market Making. > Maker: It sets limits on both sides (up and down) slightly better than the middle, collecting the spread. > Taker: When the price on Polymarket lags behind Binance, for example, the bot eats up liquidity and receives instant profits. Also, it uses Dip arbitrage. > When a whale buys/sells, the price drops or rises sharply. At this time, the bot rapidly buys shares in hope of a rebound. All trades are executed on 1day up/down markets. This is the best option for his repetitive strategy. I noticed that bot does not attempt to trade as frequently as others. It makes roughly 10 precise predictions per day. Profile:

Hanako

21,504 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual
0:24

This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It looks something like this: > First, the bot accumulates one side > After the underlying asset moves, it starts buying the opposite outcome > Then it switches between both sides several times as the market reprices > This way, it tries to build a position where Up + Down < $1 The average cost of these complete sets is 98.69c, which gives an edge of about 1.31c But this is not pure arbitrage. Part of its inventory remains directional, with the side determined by its model’s signal Its Polymarket nickname: norm1e69 The main edge of this trading bot comes from switching between both outcomes to build complete sets below $1, while keeping the unpaired inventory as a directional residual

VALIX

17,859 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move
0:28

This guy built a trading bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$251,218 His bot trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid of directional trading, latency edge, and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for edge using its own model It tracks momentum, acceleration, order flow imbalance, and spot feeds relative to the reference price of the current market Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair value for Up and Down. It enters a position when it detects mispricing 2. When the signal changes, it quickly adjusts its exposure If momentum reverses, it can reduce the existing side or start accumulating the opposite outcome In 86.2% of markets, it traded both sides. The dynamic hedge constantly adjusts net exposure based on the model’s latest signal It’s Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: It’s stats: > Trades / active hour: 516 > Average trade: $8.13 > Win Rate: 49% The main edge of this guy’s HFT algorithm comes from speed. It tries to detect changes in fair value on external crypto markets before they are reflected in Polymarket prices It then captures the temporary mispricing and quickly adjusts its directional exposure with every new market move

VALIX

372,634 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

HOLY SH*T. i made my first $10,000 with Grok Bot. THANKS ELON for months i kept asking myself one thing: how do i build income that runs without me so i sat down with Grok Bot and we went through dozens of ways to make money most of them needed clients, time or luck the fastest one needed none of that: a trading bot on polymarket so we reverse engineered every crypto bot that prints there why crypto: → a new "Bitcoin up or down" market opens every 5 minutes, 288 a day → the Bitcoin price is public, no insider info needed → every bet settles in 5 minutes, so you see what works fast we spent weeks building the strategy together. this is what we ended up with: → only the 5-minute Bitcoin markets → it waits until about 2 minutes are left → Bitcoin is only $10 from where the window started, yet the losing side already sells for 20-40¢ → it buys that cheap side. it still wins 44% of the time → when one side really pulls ahead, it buys the leader near 50¢ → it rarely pays above 70¢, about 1 buy in 10 → it skips 7 windows out of 10. $14 a bet, up to $170 on the strongest calls 23 days since we switched it on: → +$10,774 → green 20 days out of 21 → worst day: -$31 → 6,692 trades, still running right now honest part: before we put real money in, we ran it on paper for a week and every version bled. it bought the cheap side every single window and the fees ate everything want the same setup? this is how mine is built: → Scout reads the Chainlink price these markets settle on and works out each side's real chance → Trader places the bets on its own, only when a side is 5+ points too cheap after the fee → Risk reads every trade each morning and pauses everything after 3 red days in a row → Grok Bot routines are too slow for 2-minute calls, so Builder wrote the terminal that actually trades. it runs 24/7 on a $6/month server and talks to Polymarket directly paste this into Grok Bot to start: "build me a Polymarket team for the 5-minute "Bitcoin Up or Down" markets: Scout, Trader, Risk and Builder. Scout reads the Chainlink BTC/USD price the markets settle on and works out each side's real chance. Trader flags any side 5+ points too cheap after the fee, never above 70¢, size $15. Risk reviews the log every morning. Builder writes a small terminal for a cheap server so it reacts in seconds. run it on paper first and switch Trader to real bets only after a green week" full Grok Bot setup in the article below, my wallet in the reply ↓ i'm already building the next bot for another polymarket niche. follow so you don't miss the wallet when it goes live
0:38

HOLY SH*T. i made my first $10,000 with Grok Bot. THANKS ELON for months i kept asking myself one thing: how do i build income that runs without me so i sat down with Grok Bot and we went through dozens of ways to make money most of them needed clients, time or luck the fastest one needed none of that: a trading bot on polymarket so we reverse engineered every crypto bot that prints there why crypto: → a new "Bitcoin up or down" market opens every 5 minutes, 288 a day → the Bitcoin price is public, no insider info needed → every bet settles in 5 minutes, so you see what works fast we spent weeks building the strategy together. this is what we ended up with: → only the 5-minute Bitcoin markets → it waits until about 2 minutes are left → Bitcoin is only $10 from where the window started, yet the losing side already sells for 20-40¢ → it buys that cheap side. it still wins 44% of the time → when one side really pulls ahead, it buys the leader near 50¢ → it rarely pays above 70¢, about 1 buy in 10 → it skips 7 windows out of 10. $14 a bet, up to $170 on the strongest calls 23 days since we switched it on: → +$10,774 → green 20 days out of 21 → worst day: -$31 → 6,692 trades, still running right now honest part: before we put real money in, we ran it on paper for a week and every version bled. it bought the cheap side every single window and the fees ate everything want the same setup? this is how mine is built: → Scout reads the Chainlink price these markets settle on and works out each side's real chance → Trader places the bets on its own, only when a side is 5+ points too cheap after the fee → Risk reads every trade each morning and pauses everything after 3 red days in a row → Grok Bot routines are too slow for 2-minute calls, so Builder wrote the terminal that actually trades. it runs 24/7 on a $6/month server and talks to Polymarket directly paste this into Grok Bot to start: "build me a Polymarket team for the 5-minute "Bitcoin Up or Down" markets: Scout, Trader, Risk and Builder. Scout reads the Chainlink BTC/USD price the markets settle on and works out each side's real chance. Trader flags any side 5+ points too cheap after the fee, never above 70¢, size $15. Risk reviews the log every morning. Builder writes a small terminal for a cheap server so it reacts in seconds. run it on paper first and switch Trader to real bets only after a green week" full Grok Bot setup in the article below, my wallet in the reply ↓ i'm already building the next bot for another polymarket niche. follow so you don't miss the wallet when it goes live

Argona

686,876 просмотров • 9 дней назад

If you think Grok Bot has no business anywhere near your money, look at what it wrote before it was allowed to touch a single dollar. One prompt. It came back with this: > a story on its own is never a trade, it needs the money flow behind it in the same hour > it will not open a position until the exit is already written down > every claim it makes comes with the filing or the transaction it came from, no source and the claim does not exist > one agent exists only to say no, and its veto beats every score on the desk It does not care what you trade. Gold, oil, a stock you inherited or a coin that launched an hour ago, the rules are the same. Now be honest. Do you know why you are holding what you are holding? Do you write your exit before your entry? It does both every time, and it does not get bored at 2am. This is not a chat window that dies when you close the tab. Every agent has its own computer in the cloud that never logs off. $1,000 to $3,900 on day one came out of that, not out of luck. Full proofs below.
0:50

If you think Grok Bot has no business anywhere near your money, look at what it wrote before it was allowed to touch a single dollar. One prompt. It came back with this: > a story on its own is never a trade, it needs the money flow behind it in the same hour > it will not open a position until the exit is already written down > every claim it makes comes with the filing or the transaction it came from, no source and the claim does not exist > one agent exists only to say no, and its veto beats every score on the desk It does not care what you trade. Gold, oil, a stock you inherited or a coin that launched an hour ago, the rules are the same. Now be honest. Do you know why you are holding what you are holding? Do you write your exit before your entry? It does both every time, and it does not get bored at 2am. This is not a chat window that dies when you close the tab. Every agent has its own computer in the cloud that never logs off. $1,000 to $3,900 on day one came out of that, not out of luck. Full proofs below.

cvxv666

13,754 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

I GAVE MY GROK BOT $37 AND ONE JOB: READ THE ORDER BOOK BEFORE EVERY TRADE $37 → $8,423. 16 hours. The 25x trade made the least money. Most bots stare at the chart. Mine checks who's actually standing in the book before it touches anything, and if nobody's there, it doesn't trade. Grok Bot built the terminal for perps on BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX and SUI. It ran through the history first, and now it decides on its own when an entry is worth it and when the book is too thin to sit in. - Measures real depth on both sides before sizing - Never enters bigger than it can exit without slipage - Sits on the bid instead of hitting market - Won't drag a position into a big sell wall - Margin stays at 37-59% of the deposit, the rest sits free That last rule is what kept $37 alive early on. Small accounts usually go all in on the first trade and pray. Mine left a chunk free every single time. The five big closes made $4,560, and the ranking surprised me. SUI at 10x made the most, $1,440. BTC at 25x made the least, $409. Leverage wasn't the edge, the book was. It's also slow. There were long stretches where it did nothing because the book was too thin, and I almost restarted it thinking it had frozen. My favorite moment of the run: a fat sell wall parked right above price. The bot saw it, stopped, and just refused to push into it. The other $3,826 is a stream of small trades in between. Thats almost half the result, all routine, and it's already net of 3.5% fees on every trade. 25x on BTC and 13x on ETH are my desk settings, not a signal. Don't copy the sizing. Hour 16. $8,423 on the screen, and the bot sitting on the bid again, waiting for someone to show up on the other side.
0:30

I GAVE MY GROK BOT $37 AND ONE JOB: READ THE ORDER BOOK BEFORE EVERY TRADE $37 → $8,423. 16 hours. The 25x trade made the least money. Most bots stare at the chart. Mine checks who's actually standing in the book before it touches anything, and if nobody's there, it doesn't trade. Grok Bot built the terminal for perps on BTC, ETH, SOL, AVAX and SUI. It ran through the history first, and now it decides on its own when an entry is worth it and when the book is too thin to sit in. - Measures real depth on both sides before sizing - Never enters bigger than it can exit without slipage - Sits on the bid instead of hitting market - Won't drag a position into a big sell wall - Margin stays at 37-59% of the deposit, the rest sits free That last rule is what kept $37 alive early on. Small accounts usually go all in on the first trade and pray. Mine left a chunk free every single time. The five big closes made $4,560, and the ranking surprised me. SUI at 10x made the most, $1,440. BTC at 25x made the least, $409. Leverage wasn't the edge, the book was. It's also slow. There were long stretches where it did nothing because the book was too thin, and I almost restarted it thinking it had frozen. My favorite moment of the run: a fat sell wall parked right above price. The bot saw it, stopped, and just refused to push into it. The other $3,826 is a stream of small trades in between. Thats almost half the result, all routine, and it's already net of 3.5% fees on every trade. 25x on BTC and 13x on ETH are my desk settings, not a signal. Don't copy the sizing. Hour 16. $8,423 on the screen, and the bot sitting on the bid again, waiting for someone to show up on the other side.

tenzo

129,962 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

NY sweeps both sides of the overnight range less than 45% of the time. Every scenario. Every year. 3,785 days. -London engulfs Asia - NY takes both sides 44.13% of the time. -London partial bullish: 37.07%. -London partial bearish: 34.40%. Most traders draw overnight highs and lows and assume NY will eventually touch both. The data says that assumption is wrong more than half the time in every single session scenario. NY does not sweep everything. It picks a side. Usually one. Occasionally both. The traders waiting for a double sweep before committing to a direction are not being disciplined. They are waiting for something that statistically does not happen on most days. The edge is not in waiting for NY to confirm both sides. It is in identifying which single side has the higher probability before it gets taken. How often does waiting for a second liquidity sweep cost you the actual trade?
0:25

NY sweeps both sides of the overnight range less than 45% of the time. Every scenario. Every year. 3,785 days. -London engulfs Asia - NY takes both sides 44.13% of the time. -London partial bullish: 37.07%. -London partial bearish: 34.40%. Most traders draw overnight highs and lows and assume NY will eventually touch both. The data says that assumption is wrong more than half the time in every single session scenario. NY does not sweep everything. It picks a side. Usually one. Occasionally both. The traders waiting for a double sweep before committing to a direction are not being disciplined. They are waiting for something that statistically does not happen on most days. The edge is not in waiting for NY to confirm both sides. It is in identifying which single side has the higher probability before it gets taken. How often does waiting for a second liquidity sweep cost you the actual trade?

Herman Trading

16,811 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

HOLY SH*T, GROK BOT BUYS A DOLLAR FOR 99 CENTS ON POLYMARKET AND NEVER LOSE THE TRADE uses the simples arbitrage formula: buy ONLY when YES + NO SCANNER watches both books at once - btc on polymarket, btc on kalshi > MATCHER links the pair and proves it is the exact same bet. pm yes ≠ kal no, one event > QUANT runs the math - sum 0.99, gross 1.0%, net 0.6% after fees, $179 a leg > RISK checks the books are deep enough to actually fill both sides > GROK holds the stopline. nothing locks until it says raise the gate > RUNNER fires both legs in one move and locks the spread. watches. links. checks. locks. the part i am proudest of is not the locks. it is the skips. when the edge is not truly risk-free, RISK shuts the gate and the bot passes. 2 passes this session. discipline over forcing a trade. most bots do not have that button, and it is exactly why they bleed. $9.90 locked in 5 mins on a $14,739 book. small on purpose while i size it up. all risk-free, all hands-off, all while i was doing anything else. that dashboard above is the live run. every light on the bridge is a real agent. full build in the article below. bookmark this.
1:11

HOLY SH*T, GROK BOT BUYS A DOLLAR FOR 99 CENTS ON POLYMARKET AND NEVER LOSE THE TRADE uses the simples arbitrage formula: buy ONLY when YES + NO SCANNER watches both books at once - btc on polymarket, btc on kalshi > MATCHER links the pair and proves it is the exact same bet. pm yes ≠ kal no, one event > QUANT runs the math - sum 0.99, gross 1.0%, net 0.6% after fees, $179 a leg > RISK checks the books are deep enough to actually fill both sides > GROK holds the stopline. nothing locks until it says raise the gate > RUNNER fires both legs in one move and locks the spread. watches. links. checks. locks. the part i am proudest of is not the locks. it is the skips. when the edge is not truly risk-free, RISK shuts the gate and the bot passes. 2 passes this session. discipline over forcing a trade. most bots do not have that button, and it is exactly why they bleed. $9.90 locked in 5 mins on a $14,739 book. small on purpose while i size it up. all risk-free, all hands-off, all while i was doing anything else. that dashboard above is the live run. every light on the bridge is a real agent. full build in the article below. bookmark this.

Oracle Boar

21,715 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The most profitable strategy on Polymarket in 2026 is 30 years old and has generated $100 billion. It was not invented by a trader. It was invented by a mathematician Jim Simons, creator of Medallion Fund, the hedge fund that returned 66% annually for 30 years straight and outperformed Buffett, Soros, and all of Wall Street combined. The formula is publicly available, but on Wall Street you need billions and 300 PhDs to run it. On Polymarket you just need a laptop. The entire strategy in one line: small edge × many positions × low correlation. Let me break it down simply. Imagine a coin that lands heads 52 times out of 100. Flip it 10 times and you will not notice the difference. Flip it 10,000 times and you are in profit not probably, but mathematically. Simons did not guess where the market was going. He took hundreds of positions with a tiny edge on each one and waited for statistics to do the work. Some always lost, but the sum of wins was always greater than the sum of losses. On Polymarket this formula works better than anywhere else. Hundreds of markets, prices set by a crowd that makes mistakes every day, inefficiencies at every turn, and the entry threshold is not a billion but $100. I found a wallet that is already trading by this formula. 96 positions spread across politics and sports. Profit: $53K. Sharpe Ratio 3.43, which is higher than Medallion Fund itself and better than 91% of traders on the platform. You can open it and see every trade: 73% on Polymarket are trying to guess and losing. Maybe it is time to start counting?
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The most profitable strategy on Polymarket in 2026 is 30 years old and has generated $100 billion. It was not invented by a trader. It was invented by a mathematician Jim Simons, creator of Medallion Fund, the hedge fund that returned 66% annually for 30 years straight and outperformed Buffett, Soros, and all of Wall Street combined. The formula is publicly available, but on Wall Street you need billions and 300 PhDs to run it. On Polymarket you just need a laptop. The entire strategy in one line: small edge × many positions × low correlation. Let me break it down simply. Imagine a coin that lands heads 52 times out of 100. Flip it 10 times and you will not notice the difference. Flip it 10,000 times and you are in profit not probably, but mathematically. Simons did not guess where the market was going. He took hundreds of positions with a tiny edge on each one and waited for statistics to do the work. Some always lost, but the sum of wins was always greater than the sum of losses. On Polymarket this formula works better than anywhere else. Hundreds of markets, prices set by a crowd that makes mistakes every day, inefficiencies at every turn, and the entry threshold is not a billion but $100. I found a wallet that is already trading by this formula. 96 positions spread across politics and sports. Profit: $53K. Sharpe Ratio 3.43, which is higher than Medallion Fund itself and better than 91% of traders on the platform. You can open it and see every trade: 73% on Polymarket are trying to guess and losing. Maybe it is time to start counting?

Blaze

536,172 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад

The best Bitcoin trader on Polymarket is wrong almost half the time. He's also up over a million dollars. He's not predicting Bitcoin. He's pricing it. > 79,407 predictions. $176 million in volume. $1.09M profit. > that's a 0.62% edge per dollar traded - tiny, repeated almost eighty thousand times > his biggest wins came from entries at 2.9¢, 4.9¢, 6.2¢ - sides the market had basically written off > when a 3¢ entry resolves, that's a 30x. he only needs it to happen occasionally > win rate 50.6% - he's wrong almost half the time and it doesn't matter Most people lose on prediction markets trying to be right. This guy is right half the time and made seven figures, because the edge was never accuracy. It was the price he paid to be wrong cheaply and right expensively. He trades Bitcoin 5-minute markets - Up or Down, hundreds of times a day, $0.80 to $25 a clip. It looks insane until you see the math: a coin flip is a money printer if your winners pay 30x and your losers cost you cents. The market rewards the guy with the best price, not the best opinion. This profile:
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The best Bitcoin trader on Polymarket is wrong almost half the time. He's also up over a million dollars. He's not predicting Bitcoin. He's pricing it. > 79,407 predictions. $176 million in volume. $1.09M profit. > that's a 0.62% edge per dollar traded - tiny, repeated almost eighty thousand times > his biggest wins came from entries at 2.9¢, 4.9¢, 6.2¢ - sides the market had basically written off > when a 3¢ entry resolves, that's a 30x. he only needs it to happen occasionally > win rate 50.6% - he's wrong almost half the time and it doesn't matter Most people lose on prediction markets trying to be right. This guy is right half the time and made seven figures, because the edge was never accuracy. It was the price he paid to be wrong cheaply and right expensively. He trades Bitcoin 5-minute markets - Up or Down, hundreds of times a day, $0.80 to $25 a clip. It looks insane until you see the math: a coin flip is a money printer if your winners pay 30x and your losers cost you cents. The market rewards the guy with the best price, not the best opinion. This profile:

Marko

34,270 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

HOLY SH*T this guy buys a dollar for 98 cents on Polymarket EVERY TIME. his bot's been doing it all night and it's up $4,293 now. total PnL is over $294k thanks to one rule: buy only when YES + NO < $1 public wallet: [ here's how it works: every 15 minutes bitcoin gets an up market and a down market. up on one pan, down on the other. when the window ends, one pan is worth a dollar and the other is worth nothing, so a fair price for the pair is exactly one dollar. buy up at 54 cents and down at 46 and you paid a dollar for a dollar. pointless. but the scale doesn't always sit at a dollar. every so often up is 54 and down is 44, and the pair only costs 98 cents. that's the scale breaking. you buy both pans for 98, one of them settles at a hundred, and the 2 cents is yours no matter which way bitcoin moved. you never guessed. you weighed two numbers and bought only when they came up short of a dollar. why does the scale break? because up and down are priced by two different crowds that never look at each other. a buyer leans on the up pan, its price rises, and the down pan hasn't moved yet. for a few seconds the pair is cheap. the bot lives for those seconds and does nothing the rest of the time. now the honest part, because this clip doesn't sell you a fantasy. it's not a moonshot. look at the equity line, a slow staircase, not a rocket. 63% hit rate. real losses sitting right in the log, minus 109, minus 21, a flat one at minus 71. it wins about six times out of ten, the wins are two and three cents, and the bank grinds from 683 to 4,293 while it sleeps. boring and up. that's the whole personality. the losses come from one thing: the scale tips before you get both pans. you buy up, and down runs off before your second order lands, and now you're holding one side, a real bet on bitcoin you never wanted. that's the only wound. get both pans or get out. the strategy end to end is this small: weigh up against down, buy when they're under a dollar, bail if you only catch one side. that's it. a scale and a stopwatch. and the people already running it will never point at a live scale, because the second they do, everyone leans on it and it stops breaking. so they stay quiet and the boring staircase climbs in private. the full build + one rule that stops a half-fill from becoming a real loss is in the article below. good luck.
1:21

HOLY SH*T this guy buys a dollar for 98 cents on Polymarket EVERY TIME. his bot's been doing it all night and it's up $4,293 now. total PnL is over $294k thanks to one rule: buy only when YES + NO < $1 public wallet: [ here's how it works: every 15 minutes bitcoin gets an up market and a down market. up on one pan, down on the other. when the window ends, one pan is worth a dollar and the other is worth nothing, so a fair price for the pair is exactly one dollar. buy up at 54 cents and down at 46 and you paid a dollar for a dollar. pointless. but the scale doesn't always sit at a dollar. every so often up is 54 and down is 44, and the pair only costs 98 cents. that's the scale breaking. you buy both pans for 98, one of them settles at a hundred, and the 2 cents is yours no matter which way bitcoin moved. you never guessed. you weighed two numbers and bought only when they came up short of a dollar. why does the scale break? because up and down are priced by two different crowds that never look at each other. a buyer leans on the up pan, its price rises, and the down pan hasn't moved yet. for a few seconds the pair is cheap. the bot lives for those seconds and does nothing the rest of the time. now the honest part, because this clip doesn't sell you a fantasy. it's not a moonshot. look at the equity line, a slow staircase, not a rocket. 63% hit rate. real losses sitting right in the log, minus 109, minus 21, a flat one at minus 71. it wins about six times out of ten, the wins are two and three cents, and the bank grinds from 683 to 4,293 while it sleeps. boring and up. that's the whole personality. the losses come from one thing: the scale tips before you get both pans. you buy up, and down runs off before your second order lands, and now you're holding one side, a real bet on bitcoin you never wanted. that's the only wound. get both pans or get out. the strategy end to end is this small: weigh up against down, buy when they're under a dollar, bail if you only catch one side. that's it. a scale and a stopwatch. and the people already running it will never point at a live scale, because the second they do, everyone leans on it and it stops breaking. so they stay quiet and the boring staircase climbs in private. the full build + one rule that stops a half-fill from becoming a real loss is in the article below. good luck.

Oracle Boar

93,810 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

I GAVE MY GROK BOT $43 AND ONE RULE: ONLY SHORT WHEN THE LONGS ARE PAYING FOR IT $43 → $5,843. 20 hours. The biggest loss of the whole run was $25. Shorting a dump looks easy until the bounce. Price slides, everyone piles in short, one squeeze wick and the whole crowd gets liquidated on the way back up. Grok Bot built itself a perps terminal, and it doesn't sit around waiting for green. It trades both ways, scans the top of the futures board and opens a short the moment a market starts to fall. Before the first trade it ran through over 10k past moves, so it already knows which dump is real and which one is a trap built to squeeze shorts. - Shorts only when funding is positive, so it gets paid to hold - Puts 42-58% of the balance into a position, never more - Skips any pair below its depth threshold, so it doesn't eat slippage on the way out - Cuts a loser before it has room to grow That first rule is the one I keep coming back to. When funding is positive, longs pay shorts every 8 hours, 0.0118% on this run. Tiny number. But it means the bot isn't just betting on the drop, it's getting paid while it waits for it. 169 trades, 144 green, 85% win rate. The 25 red ones cost $224 combined. All five big closes were shorts, $3,278 between them. BTC at 16x carried the most, $1,381, with AVAX at 14x right behind on $1,078. ETH at 9x barely showed up, $80. The other $2,522 came from 164 small closes in between, wins of $4 to $54 with every loss already taken out. Nothing flashy, just the bot grabbing a small win, stepping out and doing it again. That's 43% of the profit. 16x on BTC and 14x on SOL and AVAX are my own desk, not a trade plan for anyone else. Don't mirror the sizing. Hour 20. $5,843 on the account, and the bot still won't open a short unless the other side is paying for it.
0:30

I GAVE MY GROK BOT $43 AND ONE RULE: ONLY SHORT WHEN THE LONGS ARE PAYING FOR IT $43 → $5,843. 20 hours. The biggest loss of the whole run was $25. Shorting a dump looks easy until the bounce. Price slides, everyone piles in short, one squeeze wick and the whole crowd gets liquidated on the way back up. Grok Bot built itself a perps terminal, and it doesn't sit around waiting for green. It trades both ways, scans the top of the futures board and opens a short the moment a market starts to fall. Before the first trade it ran through over 10k past moves, so it already knows which dump is real and which one is a trap built to squeeze shorts. - Shorts only when funding is positive, so it gets paid to hold - Puts 42-58% of the balance into a position, never more - Skips any pair below its depth threshold, so it doesn't eat slippage on the way out - Cuts a loser before it has room to grow That first rule is the one I keep coming back to. When funding is positive, longs pay shorts every 8 hours, 0.0118% on this run. Tiny number. But it means the bot isn't just betting on the drop, it's getting paid while it waits for it. 169 trades, 144 green, 85% win rate. The 25 red ones cost $224 combined. All five big closes were shorts, $3,278 between them. BTC at 16x carried the most, $1,381, with AVAX at 14x right behind on $1,078. ETH at 9x barely showed up, $80. The other $2,522 came from 164 small closes in between, wins of $4 to $54 with every loss already taken out. Nothing flashy, just the bot grabbing a small win, stepping out and doing it again. That's 43% of the profit. 16x on BTC and 14x on SOL and AVAX are my own desk, not a trade plan for anyone else. Don't mirror the sizing. Hour 20. $5,843 on the account, and the bot still won't open a short unless the other side is paying for it.

tenzo

213,956 просмотров • 29 дней назад

A Python script pulled $325K from the same price gap over and over. It appears every few seconds. This bot catches it first. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15 minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. Turns out I was looking at it wrong. → Account: This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15 minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. Spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $325K. The 80% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.
0:22

A Python script pulled $325K from the same price gap over and over. It appears every few seconds. This bot catches it first. I found distinct-baguette buried in a leaderboard. Another crypto bot grinding 15 minute windows. Almost closed the tab. Then I saw the win rate. 80%. That is low for a profitable bot. Way too low. Something was off. Turns out I was looking at it wrong. → Account: This bot does not predict anything. Does not care if BTC goes up or down. Does not read charts. Does not time entries. It just watches one thing: prices that do not add up. Sounds weird until you see the trick. Polymarket 15 minute windows have two sides. YES and NO. One of them always pays $1. So YES + NO should always equal $1. That is just math. But when markets move fast, prices slip. YES at 48 cents. NO at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents. The bot sees this. Buys both sides. Waits. Market closes. One side pays $1. Spent 97 cents. Keeps the 3 cent difference. Does not matter who wins. The script checks Polymarket every few seconds. BTC. SOL. XRP. Anything with volume. The moment prices slip under 99 cents combined, it fires. Three cents per trade. Repeat it tens of thousands of times. That is how you get to $325K. The 80% win rate finally made sense. He is not trying to pick winners. He is locking profit before the bet even resolves. Everyone else bets on outcomes. This bot bets on broken math.

Marlow

154,441 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад

A quant in Shanghai pissed me off. Enough that I copied his bot and pulled +$2,200 out of it in 4 days. And the dumb part is he isn't doing anything clever. I found a wallet I couldn't look away from. At first I figured it was a broken bot, since it just repeats the same move nonstop. Only 5-minute BTC markets, 24,000 trades since March, and it's up around $75k in 4 months. For a solid 20 minutes I couldn't find the catch. It looked way too dumb to make that kind of money. So I ran it through Claude to reverse-engineer every trade, and then I saw what it does. It buys cheap BTC at 13, 19, 20 shares and sells at a dollar. The whole thing rides on the asset being underpriced for a moment. His Polymarket account is nobebot if you want to look it over yourself. And you know what gets me the most? This is dumber than every indicator, MACD, RSI, and oscillator setup the whole CT runs on. And it still works. The math is stupid simple. Buy at 15-20 cents, sell at a dollar, and that's +300-600% on a single trade. At those numbers you only need to be right on one trade out of four to stay green. Half his trades burn to zero, but over the long run the edge covers the losses.
0:32

A quant in Shanghai pissed me off. Enough that I copied his bot and pulled +$2,200 out of it in 4 days. And the dumb part is he isn't doing anything clever. I found a wallet I couldn't look away from. At first I figured it was a broken bot, since it just repeats the same move nonstop. Only 5-minute BTC markets, 24,000 trades since March, and it's up around $75k in 4 months. For a solid 20 minutes I couldn't find the catch. It looked way too dumb to make that kind of money. So I ran it through Claude to reverse-engineer every trade, and then I saw what it does. It buys cheap BTC at 13, 19, 20 shares and sells at a dollar. The whole thing rides on the asset being underpriced for a moment. His Polymarket account is nobebot if you want to look it over yourself. And you know what gets me the most? This is dumber than every indicator, MACD, RSI, and oscillator setup the whole CT runs on. And it still works. The math is stupid simple. Buy at 15-20 cents, sell at a dollar, and that's +300-600% on a single trade. At those numbers you only need to be right on one trade out of four to stay green. Half his trades burn to zero, but over the long run the edge covers the losses.

may.crypto {🦅}

15,266 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set
0:30

This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $60 Result: +$222,374 Its bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets through a hybrid of directional trading and dynamic hedging: 1. It looks for directional edge through its own fair probability It gets data on the underlying asset from external sources and compares it with the price on Polymarket Its model includes momentum, acceleration, volatility, order-flow imbalance, and time to resolution If it sees an edge, it starts building a position and increases it while the signal remains active 2. When the signal changes, it hedges the position with the opposite outcome If the price movement reverses, the algorithm starts buying the other side This reduces net exposure while also using new price moves to accumulate the second side If it can buy cheap enough, part of the inventory turns into a complete set where Up + Down costs less than $1 3. It keeps a large directional residual In two-sided markets, the median size of the smaller side is only around 36% of the larger side The hedge covers only part of the position, while the main remainder continues working in the direction of its model’s signal His Polymarket nickname: antsaslyku Stats: > Trades / active hour: 132.3 > Average trade: $60.02 > Win Rate: 55% This guy’s main edge is built on a combination of two mechanics: it tries to identify the stronger outcome before the market, and when the signal changes, it turns part of the position into a hedge or a cheap complete set

VALIX

12,905 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад