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This guy built an asynchronous complete-set bot and made +$111,945 on Polymarket with a 50% win rate I analyzed its trades and found that its main strategy is based on gradually accumulating both sides of the same market In 88.76% of markets, it bought both Up and Down It...

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VALIX

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16,979 просмотров • 5 дней назад •via X (Twitter)

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Комментарии: 10

Фото профиля S.E.I
S.E.I4 дней назад

@RetroValix You seem knowledgeable. Honestly, it looks like you really understand how the bot functions. Even if you don't know every single detail yet, getting started is what matters. That’s great. I think you can access to my strategy closely

Фото профиля VALIX
VALIX4 дней назад

I’m glad you liked my research

Фото профиля Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack
Hussain Hashim | Building SundayBack4 дней назад

@RetroValix that's wild. reminds me of how i tried balancing risk by covering both sides but never nailed it like this guy. guess patience and strategy are key here.

Фото профиля Daniro
Daniro4 дней назад

A great strategy is to stick to a model where yes+no<100. The market maker's strategy allows him to have a 1% edge on each trade

Фото профиля VALIX
VALIX4 дней назад

Yeah, this is a pretty common strategy among trading bots right now

Фото профиля HyperTradeWorx | AI Trading
HyperTradeWorx | AI Trading5 дней назад

the 1.31c only exists once both legs are on. how long does it sit half filled on average? that's the number we'd want next

Фото профиля predit.market
predit.market4 дней назад

A 1.31c edge leaves no room for bad fills

Фото профиля DexorynLabs
DexorynLabs4 дней назад

Good bot catches deep value.

Фото профиля Phoom 300x Channel
Phoom 300x Channel4 дней назад

Really??

Фото профиля Verilla.eth
Verilla.eth4 дней назад

不赖

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $18.69 Result: +$88,641 The bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets using a passive maker grid, asynchronous accumulation, and a directional residual: 1. Places BUY limit orders across a fixed price grid It provides liquidity at multiple price levels in advance and waits for the orders to fill 2. Accumulates the opposite outcome as the market moves It bought both Up and Down in 63.6% of markets Orders on one side fill first. Once the market reprices, orders on the opposite side start filling Within each market, it switches between Up and Down a median of 2 times 3. Keeps part of its inventory directional After pairing both sides, a directional residual remains. The size of this residual becomes the main source of PnL In markets where it bought both sides, the outcome with the larger inventory won 53.7% of the time Its Polymarket account: 98euf98a Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The bot’s main edge comes from a two-part strategy: matched Up/Down positions reduce exposure, while the remaining directional residual drives most of its PnL
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This guy built an HFT bot on Polymarket with an average trade size of $8 Result: +$243,619 His bot trades 5- and 15-minute crypto Up/Down markets using a directional latency strategy with fast position switching: 1. It looks for latency between external crypto markets and Polymarket It gets the underlying price from external sources and tracks momentum, acceleration, order-flow imbalance, and distance from the starting price of the current window Based on this data, it constantly recalculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 2. It trades mispricing before Polymarket fully reprices If the external market has already moved, but the outcome price is still lagging, the algorithm sees an edge and starts building a position 3. It quickly changes direction and dynamically hedges the old position If the signal reverses, it can sell the old side or start accumulating the opposite outcome, constantly rebuilding its net exposure His Polymarket nickname: nj23adsknml3 You can build your own trading bot here: (A trial period will be available after registration) This guy’s edge is built on speed. The bot tries to detect changes in external market prices before they are fully reflected on Polymarket, then quickly rebuilds its position after every new signal It repeats this micro edge thousands of times and keeps growing its capital

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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $53 Result: +$129,923 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, complete-set accumulation, and inventory rebalancing: 1. It accumulates Up and Down at different points during the market It keeps BUY orders on both sides and uses intramarket volatility to get fills at different prices For example: > Up = 47c -> some time later Down = 52c > Up + Down = 99c -> 1c gross edge 2. It leaves a small directional residual After forming complete sets, it keeps some directional exposure when its own fair probability model sees an edge based on: > Underlying asset data from external sources > Order book depth > Momentum, acceleration, and volatility His Polymarket nickname: Polkadot-Frog Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from repeating the same cycle over and over again That’s how he captures a consistent edge and steadily grows his capital
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This guy built an HFT algorithm on Polymarket with an average trade size of $53 Result: +$129,923 His bot trades short-term BTC/ETH Up/Down markets using a hybrid of two-sided market making, complete-set accumulation, and inventory rebalancing: 1. It accumulates Up and Down at different points during the market It keeps BUY orders on both sides and uses intramarket volatility to get fills at different prices For example: > Up = 47c -> some time later Down = 52c > Up + Down = 99c -> 1c gross edge 2. It leaves a small directional residual After forming complete sets, it keeps some directional exposure when its own fair probability model sees an edge based on: > Underlying asset data from external sources > Order book depth > Momentum, acceleration, and volatility His Polymarket nickname: Polkadot-Frog Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this bot: The main edge of his HFT algorithm comes from repeating the same cycle over and over again That’s how he captures a consistent edge and steadily grows his capital

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68,914 просмотров • 24 дней назад

This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading
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This trader made $132,356 on Polymarket using trading bot, buying markets for $11 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets and combines high-frequency directional trading with dynamic hedging Its strategy is simple: > Finds mispricing with its probability model and buys the outcome where it sees an edge > Increases the position if the signal is confirmed, and partially reduces exposure when the signal weakens > When the underlying asset reverses, it buys the opposite side as a hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 You can build your own trading bot here: (Free trial available after registration) Using its strategy and high-quality execution, this guy turned $2,000 into $132,356 in 4 months of trading

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50,580 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit
0:32

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $96,000 on Polymarket with an average trade size of $3 His bot trades crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy that combines two-sided market making, arbitrage, and directional trading His strategy has five steps: 1. Monitors multiple crypto markets 2. Calculates its own fair probability for Up and Down 3. Places orders at prices that keep the combined cost of Up + Down below $1 4. Manages the unhedged portion of the position 5. Keeps directional exposure when its model identifies one outcome as undervalued This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures a small edge, repeats it thousands of times, and steadily grows his deposit

VALIX

86,436 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$110,343 in 1.5 months His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining a hybrid of 2 components: 1. Temporal arbitrage between Up and Down: the bot accumulates both sides at different moments, trying to get the combined cost below $1 2. Directional residual: when his algorithm gives a strong signal, the bot increases one side and creates a directional skew His Polymarket username: bosona Using this strategy, clean execution, and a strong mathematical model, he turned $20k into $110k
0:25

He used Claude to build a trading bot on Polymarket Result: +$110,343 in 1.5 months His bot trades short-term crypto Up/Down markets, combining a hybrid of 2 components: 1. Temporal arbitrage between Up and Down: the bot accumulates both sides at different moments, trying to get the combined cost below $1 2. Directional residual: when his algorithm gives a strong signal, the bot increases one side and creates a directional skew His Polymarket username: bosona Using this strategy, clean execution, and a strong mathematical model, he turned $20k into $110k

VALIX

36,453 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange
0:36

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $193,000 on Polymarket His bot trades the microstructure of short BTC Up / Down markets through limit orders and combines a hybrid of arbitrage, market making, and hedging His strategy is simple: > Enters a position when it sees mispricing > Then buys the opposite outcome, turning part of the trade into a paired arb > The base position is hedged with the pair, while the rest remains as a directional trade This guy’s Polymarket account: Using this strategy, he captures an average edge of 2-3% and repeats it hundreds of times Consistent micro edge + clean execution = lifechange

VALIX

98,892 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital
0:29

This guy built a trading bot with Claude and made $671,000 on Polymarket His bot trades Up/Down markets at high frequency and combines asynchronous two-sided arbitrage with short-term directional trading His Polymarket account: His strategy is simple: > Places limit orders on both sides of crypto markets > Buys Up and Down one after another when each side temporarily becomes undervalued > At the same time, keeps a directional skew toward the side his model sees as more likely Using this strategy, he captures a consistent edge, repeats it thousands of times, and keeps growing his capital

VALIX

21,839 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k
0:25

He built a trading bot on Polymarket with Claude Result: +$810,028 in 3 months His bot trades the microstructure of crypto Up/Down markets using a hybrid strategy with 3 stages: 1. After a market opens, it chooses one side based on its probability model and starts building a position 2. If the asset’s movement changes, it buys the opposite outcome as a hedge 3. If it sees arbitrage, it builds a full set of Up and Down. Otherwise, it keeps the directional skew His Polymarket account: Using this strategy and clean execution, he turned $100k into $810k

VALIX

18,729 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging
0:25

This trader built a trading bot on Polymarket and made +$149,305 His bot trades 5-minute crypto Up/Down markets using its own probability model and dynamic exposure management: 1. It looks for undervalued outcomes based on its model It pulls underlying asset data from external sources, compares it with the current Polymarket price, and enters a position when it sees mispricing The model factors in distance from the reference price, momentum, volatility, time to resolution, and order flow 2. When the signal weakens, it reduces the position or adds the opposite outcome If the initial edge disappears, it can partially reduce the position If the signal fully reverses, it starts buying the opposite outcome as a dynamic hedge His Polymarket nickname: trinity42 Follow this account and trade on Polymarket through this app: The main edge of this algorithm comes from the accuracy of its probability model and effective position management through hedging

VALIX

26,313 просмотров • 20 дней назад