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fresh crumbs 🥐 Nothing changes narrative like a 3% gamma rally on Quarterly #Opex Tomorrow we may see some follow through but the big effect was #vol compression Today was a reaction to structural flows within a stairstep decline Stocktwits with Cem Karsan 🥐

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Ozzy

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77,476 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

#Opex#vol
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🥐 fresh crumbs Something has changed 🫢 We just got a BIG BEAUTIFUL DEAL with China 🇨🇳 🔸 we expected the decline into March #Opex 🔸 we expected the rally to 5700-6000 🔸 the bigger decline will begin in Q3 We still believe this, but a deal like this changes the path 🔀 Follow The Flows 👇 If you have ever wondered how Cem Karsan is able to call pivotal moments (exact dates in some cases) well in advance 👸 Vanna and 🦥 Charm are structural flows embedded in this market Click below to hear the full interview with Ash Bennington Ash Bennington + Cem Karsan Cem Karsan 🥐 ▶️
5:05

🥐 fresh crumbs Something has changed 🫢 We just got a BIG BEAUTIFUL DEAL with China 🇨🇳 🔸 we expected the decline into March #Opex 🔸 we expected the rally to 5700-6000 🔸 the bigger decline will begin in Q3 We still believe this, but a deal like this changes the path 🔀 Follow The Flows 👇 If you have ever wondered how Cem Karsan is able to call pivotal moments (exact dates in some cases) well in advance 👸 Vanna and 🦥 Charm are structural flows embedded in this market Click below to hear the full interview with Ash Bennington Ash Bennington + Cem Karsan Cem Karsan 🥐 ▶️

Ozzy

88,845 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh TASTY crumbs on tastylive 🍒 Look for a decline until Sep #OPex - Late September #Vol expansion to drive Vanna Charm flows Find a bottom in the next ~5% down Cem Karsan 🥐 with Christopher Vecchio, CFA and Ilya Spivak Full Interview:
1:23

🥐 fresh TASTY crumbs on tastylive 🍒 Look for a decline until Sep #OPex - Late September #Vol expansion to drive Vanna Charm flows Find a bottom in the next ~5% down Cem Karsan 🥐 with Christopher Vecchio, CFA and Ilya Spivak Full Interview:

Ozzy

11,645 просмотров • 7 дней назад

🥐 fresh crumbs The #vol supply that lead to the 👸🦥 support that pushed markets higher is now going away #Gamma is in short supply & the market is slowly becoming unpinned Upcoming Event Volatility: 🔸 May 13th #CPI data 🔸 May 16th #Opex 🔸 June 30th #QuarterlyOpex ... Quarterly Opex are always dangerous ⚠️ Cem Karsan 🥐
1:55

🥐 fresh crumbs The #vol supply that lead to the 👸🦥 support that pushed markets higher is now going away #Gamma is in short supply & the market is slowly becoming unpinned Upcoming Event Volatility: 🔸 May 13th #CPI data 🔸 May 16th #Opex 🔸 June 30th #QuarterlyOpex ... Quarterly Opex are always dangerous ⚠️ Cem Karsan 🥐

Ozzy

44,458 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh TASTY crumbs on tastylive 🍒 #OPex Week 🗓️ Next Week Sep 16th #Fed meeting + #VIXpiration Sep 18th #OPex Expect #vol compression ➿ with 👸🦥 flows remaining supportive 👉 UNTIL expiration 👈 If the market unpins heading into Friday ⚠️ Cem Karsan 🥐 with Jermal Chandler + Mike Butler
2:15

🥐 fresh TASTY crumbs on tastylive 🍒 #OPex Week 🗓️ Next Week Sep 16th #Fed meeting + #VIXpiration Sep 18th #OPex Expect #vol compression ➿ with 👸🦥 flows remaining supportive 👉 UNTIL expiration 👈 If the market unpins heading into Friday ⚠️ Cem Karsan 🥐 with Jermal Chandler + Mike Butler

Ozzy

13,998 просмотров • 6 дней назад

🥐 fresh crumbs Here we are $ES 6100 in the Summer of George ☀️ 👸Vanna 🦥 Charm have been supportive ... but Friday #Opex they are gone Next couple weeks, expect market 🔻 down + vol 🔻 down #Vol compression will continue for at least 1-2 months Base case, this decline will be a slow-motion train wreck to yearly lows ( $ES ~4800 ) within the next 6 months Cem Karsan 🥐 with Stocktwits Full interview
2:35

🥐 fresh crumbs Here we are $ES 6100 in the Summer of George ☀️ 👸Vanna 🦥 Charm have been supportive ... but Friday #Opex they are gone Next couple weeks, expect market 🔻 down + vol 🔻 down #Vol compression will continue for at least 1-2 months Base case, this decline will be a slow-motion train wreck to yearly lows ( $ES ~4800 ) within the next 6 months Cem Karsan 🥐 with Stocktwits Full interview

Ozzy

102,408 просмотров • 1 год назад

Interesting, Cem Karsan 🥐 was dropping some 🥐crumbs warning of a possible return of volatility beginning this week. (see my chart below) The 2020 crash began after Feb 21 OpEx. The 2008 crash began after Aug 15 OpEx.
2:59

Interesting, Cem Karsan 🥐 was dropping some 🥐crumbs warning of a possible return of volatility beginning this week. (see my chart below) The 2020 crash began after Feb 21 OpEx. The 2008 crash began after Aug 15 OpEx.

Financelot

54,527 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

In case you missed Cem Karsan 🥐 🥐 pre #FOMC 🔸 positive flows peaked Monday 🔸 that was a warning sign 🔸 #VIXpiration today is the beginning of 🪟 WOW The decline we are seeing today is not a surprise 🔸 could see a stairstep down 🔸 be cautious into early January ⚠️ 10 - 15 % 🔻
3:54

In case you missed Cem Karsan 🥐 🥐 pre #FOMC 🔸 positive flows peaked Monday 🔸 that was a warning sign 🔸 #VIXpiration today is the beginning of 🪟 WOW The decline we are seeing today is not a surprise 🔸 could see a stairstep down 🔸 be cautious into early January ⚠️ 10 - 15 % 🔻

Ozzy

25,728 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh crumbs We need to hit new meaningful highs if we are going to continue this rally In the absence of a dovish FED 🕊️ FOMC this rally will likely fade $SPX could decline below the Nov gap 5500 - 5200 around March #OPex ... followed by a 10% rally 🔺 after March #OPex to a minor new all time high ~6100 May, June ☀️ look for signs of a reversal (top) Cem Karsan 🥐 with Maggie Lake Full Video
2:24

🥐 fresh crumbs We need to hit new meaningful highs if we are going to continue this rally In the absence of a dovish FED 🕊️ FOMC this rally will likely fade $SPX could decline below the Nov gap 5500 - 5200 around March #OPex ... followed by a 10% rally 🔺 after March #OPex to a minor new all time high ~6100 May, June ☀️ look for signs of a reversal (top) Cem Karsan 🥐 with Maggie Lake Full Video

Ozzy

100,859 просмотров • 1 год назад

🎶Hello OpEx, my old friend… I’ve come to trade with you again 🎶 Join us LIVE tomorrow @ 4:30pm ET for the Sound of OpEx w/ 𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧 & Cem Karsan 🥐 — a special Taco Tuesday edition of Weekend Rip🌮 Post-OpEx review, volatility flows, and maybe even a hymn for the gamma gods 👀 Don't miss it!
0:37

🎶Hello OpEx, my old friend… I’ve come to trade with you again 🎶 Join us LIVE tomorrow @ 4:30pm ET for the Sound of OpEx w/ 𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧 & Cem Karsan 🥐 — a special Taco Tuesday edition of Weekend Rip🌮 Post-OpEx review, volatility flows, and maybe even a hymn for the gamma gods 👀 Don't miss it!

Stocktwits

235,067 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh crumbs Look at what happened in the 60s - 70s it was a very similar setup 10%-15% chance indexes see ATH within the next year Cem Karsan 🥐 + Rick Santelli = 🔥🎆🔥🎇🔥
4:07

🥐 fresh crumbs Look at what happened in the 60s - 70s it was a very similar setup 10%-15% chance indexes see ATH within the next year Cem Karsan 🥐 + Rick Santelli = 🔥🎆🔥🎇🔥

Ozzy

45,238 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh crumbs 🔥 People are aware of this decline 🦜🍹 so it's not going to be fast... But it's coming 🔸 This is the 🪟 weakness into March #OPex 🔸 Will be met with QE causing ✍️ a rally into May-Jun 🔸 First FED rate cut ✂️ in Q2 ( June ) 🔸 30-40% decline from ATH into Q4 Cem Karsan 🥐 on Forward Guidance Full interview
4:12

🥐 fresh crumbs 🔥 People are aware of this decline 🦜🍹 so it's not going to be fast... But it's coming 🔸 This is the 🪟 weakness into March #OPex 🔸 Will be met with QE causing ✍️ a rally into May-Jun 🔸 First FED rate cut ✂️ in Q2 ( June ) 🔸 30-40% decline from ATH into Q4 Cem Karsan 🥐 on Forward Guidance Full interview

Ozzy

181,847 просмотров • 1 год назад

"We've never seen a 50% rally in the semiconductors in 15 sessions. 50%!" "We've only seen something like that before, and it was literally in March of 2000. Right before the top." Fresh 🥐 crumbs from Cem Karsan 🥐
4:21

"We've never seen a 50% rally in the semiconductors in 15 sessions. 50%!" "We've only seen something like that before, and it was literally in March of 2000. Right before the top." Fresh 🥐 crumbs from Cem Karsan 🥐

Financelot

229,768 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🥐 Cem Karsan 🥐 serves up fresh Crumbs We were pretty adamant coming out of February, if we didn't see weakness, it was risk on for the year As we entered summer, I was very clear it would be a slow grind with dispersion + lack of pullback "Summer of George" As we get to mid-August, summer flows start to change a bit Wednesday, Aug 14th #VIXpiration, there is a short window of 👉potential risk 👈 into September 30th Quarterly OpEX Weakness in this 🪟 would very buyable dip leading into the real end of year rally (true blow off top) ... a market up vol up event Early 2025 🗓️ we'll see a real (2nd move) market decline TopTradersLive.com | Alan Dunne
7:06

🥐 Cem Karsan 🥐 serves up fresh Crumbs We were pretty adamant coming out of February, if we didn't see weakness, it was risk on for the year As we entered summer, I was very clear it would be a slow grind with dispersion + lack of pullback "Summer of George" As we get to mid-August, summer flows start to change a bit Wednesday, Aug 14th #VIXpiration, there is a short window of 👉potential risk 👈 into September 30th Quarterly OpEX Weakness in this 🪟 would very buyable dip leading into the real end of year rally (true blow off top) ... a market up vol up event Early 2025 🗓️ we'll see a real (2nd move) market decline TopTradersLive.com | Alan Dunne

Ozzy

269,426 просмотров • 2 лет назад

What's worse than inflation? Stagflation—and it's already here... Cem Karsan 🥐 breaks down his thesis on stagflation and why we may be entering a lost decade — a structural shift that echoes the 1970s, but with even more complexity 😬
1:43

What's worse than inflation? Stagflation—and it's already here... Cem Karsan 🥐 breaks down his thesis on stagflation and why we may be entering a lost decade — a structural shift that echoes the 1970s, but with even more complexity 😬

Stocktwits

131,397 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh crumbs with OJ 🧃 #OPex week Dips are #BUYING opportunities 👸🦥 + positive Jan 1st flows will continue to grind $SPX higher through the low volume holidays #Dispersion is back and we may see a running of the MEMES🎲 We can expect to see a shift in market leadership, a #rotation where some high-performing stocks $NVDA would potentially lose ground #PumpersInChief 👔 Trump & Elon 🚀 means narratives will drive this market 😉 #Dogecoin Go find the #narratives! Oliver Renick with Cem Karsan 🥐
8:53

🥐 fresh crumbs with OJ 🧃 #OPex week Dips are #BUYING opportunities 👸🦥 + positive Jan 1st flows will continue to grind $SPX higher through the low volume holidays #Dispersion is back and we may see a running of the MEMES🎲 We can expect to see a shift in market leadership, a #rotation where some high-performing stocks $NVDA would potentially lose ground #PumpersInChief 👔 Trump & Elon 🚀 means narratives will drive this market 😉 #Dogecoin Go find the #narratives! Oliver Renick with Cem Karsan 🥐

Ozzy

83,187 просмотров • 1 год назад

🥐 fresh crumbs Summer of George ☀️ more than ever this year If they can keep the market up until June, 👸🦥 flows kick in and we are going to squeeze through the summer Could last until September when summer vol compression stops ... or as long as November into midterm elections Look for a rotation out of tech ✍️ Until it breaks ... "Laissez les bons temps rouler" Cem Karsan 🥐 with 𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧 AFTER HOURS 🍶 Stocktwits Full interview
4:14

🥐 fresh crumbs Summer of George ☀️ more than ever this year If they can keep the market up until June, 👸🦥 flows kick in and we are going to squeeze through the summer Could last until September when summer vol compression stops ... or as long as November into midterm elections Look for a rotation out of tech ✍️ Until it breaks ... "Laissez les bons temps rouler" Cem Karsan 🥐 with 𝐁𝐞𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐡𝐧 AFTER HOURS 🍶 Stocktwits Full interview

Ozzy

46,427 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад