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Friday August 7, 2026, 8:06 AM: An embedded easterly wave component has brought some short-lived, brief heavy rainfall near Encinitas between Solana Beach and proper this morning. This is the first measurable rain of the summer in a very isolated area along the coast, accompanied by a clap of...

33,949 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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As anticipated, a mesoscale #vortex developed along the East–West monsoon #ShearZone near the #Palghar–#Manor region, significantly enhancing the local monsoon dynamics. 🌧️ The strengthening of this vortex resulted in a sharp pressure fall over the #Mumbai region, with mean sea-level pressure dropping to around 997 hPa. Simultaneously, strong convective winds accompanied the system, with wind gusts of up to 80 km/h reported at #CSMIA, according to #METAR observations around **10:30 AM. From a #rainfall perspective, precipitation associated with such vortices is always challenging to forecast because the heaviest rainfall often becomes highly localized and depends on the exact position and movement of the circulation. Nevertheless, as indicated in the earlier outlook, there was potential for 300 mm-plus rainfall where the vortex became anchored, and that scenario has now materialized. The most intense rainfall overnight was concentrated over the southern quadrant of Mumbai, parts of North #Raigad district, particularly #Panvel, #Khalapur, #Matheran, #Karjat, and the adjoining #Sahyadri Ghat sections, including #Khandala to #Tamhini, where extremely heavy rainfall was recorded. Following the passage of the most intense phase, rainfall has reduced to intermittent drizzle across many areas, accompanied by breezy conditions as the vortex gradually weakens. Looking ahead, #atmospheric conditions remain favourable for heavy rainfall until 7 July, with Raigad district and Mumbai currently appearing best placed for further significant rainfall. Thereafter, rainfall prospects over #Thane and Palghar districts will depend largely on the future movement and positioning of the monsoon shear zone. If the primary vortex-induced event has already peaked, these regions are likely to continue receiving generally heavy rainfall upto 250 mm may be if any, although the probability of another widespread 300 mm-plus event may reduce unless a fresh mesoscale circulation develops. #WeatherAnalysis #WeatherUpdate #KonkanWeather #Maharashtra #July #SWM2026 #Monsoon2026 #MumbaiRains

Abhijit Modak (कोकण हवामान)🌞🌦️⛈️

36,819 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

A senior friend of mine has this passion of sharing a blog with many of us each year, especially tracking the monsoon in the coastal regions of Karnataka. This year, the below was his post. It was heartbreaking 💔💔💔 "Hello my friend: Just back from the coast. I have never experienced such a bleak monsoon. We have not even received a fifth of the rainfall expected during the first 40-day monsoon period. The El Nino effect is triggering extreme weather events worldwide. We have had 50km winds for many days(bringing down trees of all shapes and sizes), but the rainfall is severely suppressed. Very choppy ocean. A huge Jamun tree fell onto our home clipping the rear roof. Luckily a coconut tree standing tall broke the fall and averted a major disaster. We hardly see the sun during this part of the monsoon but every single day in July, we had sunshine 🌞 followed gloomy skies. At the same, it is paradoxical that Mumbai is getting hammered by record breaking rainfall and flooding. Scientists say moisture laden winds from the Arabian see is converging with the low-pressure system over the Bay of Bengal. City's coastal geography forces weather systems to hit the Western Ghats and dump huge amounts rain in concertrated bursts. This phenomenon that defies El Nino is perplexing. This will adversely affect agriculture and crop productivity in coastal Karnataka. We will face drought conditions well before the summer sets in. I can already imagine we are going to have some really challenging times." Karnataka has been massively affected by the bad monsoon.

Saikiran Kannan | 赛基兰坎南

16,393 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten