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.Garry Tan on why the future is already here, it's just not evenly distributed. "If you're just willing to spend $100,000 a year on tokens, you can basically live like you are a normal citizen in 2028. It's just pretty clear that token cost is gonna come down. Compute... show more

Y Combinator

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173,113 次观看 • 22 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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Ansem explains why you need a long-term outlook in crypto “Crypto is so volatile that if you get too caught up in the day-to-day price action and you don't have a strong thesis on why this shit actually matters long-term, you're gonna get fucked over” “You're never gonna really make money in these markets. You're just not. It's because it's way too hard to trade them. It's too volatile” “So if you have like an extended picture, you can zoom out and you can DCA” “That's also I think why you should be able to sell on the way up at the top because you know how volatile this shit gets” “Like, okay, maybe in five to seven years it's just gonna be up infinite but this year it may go down 70%. So okay, maybe I'll take some profits”

Ansem explains why you need a long-term outlook in crypto “Crypto is so volatile that if you get too caught up in the day-to-day price action and you don't have a strong thesis on why this shit actually matters long-term, you're gonna get fucked over” “You're never gonna really make money in these markets. You're just not. It's because it's way too hard to trade them. It's too volatile” “So if you have like an extended picture, you can zoom out and you can DCA” “That's also I think why you should be able to sell on the way up at the top because you know how volatile this shit gets” “Like, okay, maybe in five to seven years it's just gonna be up infinite but this year it may go down 70%. So okay, maybe I'll take some profits”

Jack

35,772 次观看 • 23 天前

Trump on Greenland: "It cannot go on the way it is. It's not gonna go on the way it is. I'll make a statement. It's not gonna happen. So they're going there, and it's purely friendship ... people from Greenland are asking us to go there."

Trump on Greenland: "It cannot go on the way it is. It's not gonna go on the way it is. I'll make a statement. It's not gonna happen. So they're going there, and it's purely friendship ... people from Greenland are asking us to go there."

Aaron Rupar

2,369,899 次观看 • 1 年前

IN NEWS: Baseten raises a $150M series D round. Tuhin Srivastava (Founder & CEO, Baseten) on the future of inference: “I think the token price goes down and inference should get cheaper over time. And that really just means there is going to be more inference.” “Every time we lower prices or optimize models to make it cheaper, four months later customers are spending more anyway.” “Inference prices will go down, but if the world is run by AI in 10 years, there is going to be a lot of inference. It better be cheap.”

IN NEWS: Baseten raises a $150M series D round. Tuhin Srivastava (Founder & CEO, Baseten) on the future of inference: “I think the token price goes down and inference should get cheaper over time. And that really just means there is going to be more inference.” “Every time we lower prices or optimize models to make it cheaper, four months later customers are spending more anyway.” “Inference prices will go down, but if the world is run by AI in 10 years, there is going to be a lot of inference. It better be cheap.”

TBPN

17,057 次观看 • 10 个月前

🚨 LMFAO! CNN just got EXPOSED refusing to raise the thermostat to 78 degrees despite host Abby Phillip supporting Zohran Mamdani's demands BEN FERGUSON: "By the way, just to be clear, it's NOT 78 degrees in here right now! No one's gonna buy this, it's absurd!" PHILLIP: "This is a WEIRD hill to die on...you can let this one go." FERGUSON: "Or we can turn it up to 78 right now in solidarity we stand with Mamdani!" PHILLIP: "You don't have to jump off the partisan cliff." FERGUSON: "It's not 78 in here!" 🤣🤣👏🏻

🚨 LMFAO! CNN just got EXPOSED refusing to raise the thermostat to 78 degrees despite host Abby Phillip supporting Zohran Mamdani's demands BEN FERGUSON: "By the way, just to be clear, it's NOT 78 degrees in here right now! No one's gonna buy this, it's absurd!" PHILLIP: "This is a WEIRD hill to die on...you can let this one go." FERGUSON: "Or we can turn it up to 78 right now in solidarity we stand with Mamdani!" PHILLIP: "You don't have to jump off the partisan cliff." FERGUSON: "It's not 78 in here!" 🤣🤣👏🏻

Eric Daugherty

1,780,524 次观看 • 22 天前

UFO Revolution: S2E3 - 2027 and the Approaching Craft. Is it a Lie? "You're gonna be told that there is a craft on its way to Earth. That 100 f**king percent is the lie you are going to be told." ~Corbell (Well, I was not expecting this. And right now, I don't know what to think. But we all know it's been hinted at by various folks, including Lue Elizondo. So what's going on?) ~ Jeremy Kenyon Lockyer Corbell: "Your government now wants you to know one truth, and that truth is that UFOs are real. They've already done told you. Sometimes, when you want somebody to know a truth, it's so you can set them up to believe a lie, and that's coming. I have zero doubt that lie is coming." Producer: "What is the lie?" Corbell: "Specifically, you want me to say it right now, for real, real? On camera, to be put in the show?" Producer: "Yes." Corbell: "Okay. Problem with that: If we tell the lie before it's told, they can adapt. That wouldn't be wise. I'll tell you privately, but I would really think about if you want to put this in your show. For real. That's a real thing I'm telling you. So, will you think about it before putting it in your show?" Producer: "Absolutely." Corbell: "Okay. So UFOs are real, and they've been here a long time, and that's the truth. But the lie is coming. All indications, like ALL of them, is that that lie is going to be that there is a craft slowly making its way to us here on Earth. And that is the lie they're gonna want you to believe. "It's nuanced, how they explain that, the nature of that threat. But that 100 f**king percent is the lie you are going to be told. You even got a date. People been whispering a date for a long time now. I know where that lie comes from. I know, specifically, what document from the 70s initiated the idea of that lie. A classified document. That is the lie you will be told. You're gonna be told that there is a craft on its way to Earth. That's the lie. "Maybe I'm wrong. Hope I'm wrong. I sent you two texts today with a year (Messages showing 2027 are shown on a cell phone). Not from me. Nope, I'm not gonna propagate that lie. I'm not gonna be part of it, I'm not going to say it to the camera. Everybody knows. Just start paying attention. And they'll change the date - especially if they see this - things will change. Because maybe I'm trustworthy, maybe I'm worthy of your trust, maybe I've told you the truth the whole way through it and now and you can verify it. If that's the case, then I'm f**king dangerous. "You've been told the truth about UFOs for a long time now. It's been pretty orchestrated, it's been pretty clear, and it's using people that are telling the truth and wanna tell the truth. Ultimately, they want you to know something. They want you to know UFOs are real. Thank God, we're finally there, we're all there now. They want you to know the truth. But why [do] they want you to know that truth now. I hope I'm wrong, but it's terrifying. Think about it "Maybe it's good to get ahead of it, call it out now, before they do it. I'll be called crazy. That's okay."

UFO Revolution: S2E3 - 2027 and the Approaching Craft. Is it a Lie? "You're gonna be told that there is a craft on its way to Earth. That 100 fking percent is the lie you are going to be told." ~Corbell (Well, I was not expecting this. And right now, I don't know what to think. But we all know it's been hinted at by various folks, including Lue Elizondo. So what's going on?) ~ Jeremy Kenyon Lockyer Corbell: "Your government now wants you to know one truth, and that truth is that UFOs are real. They've already done told you. Sometimes, when you want somebody to know a truth, it's so you can set them up to believe a lie, and that's coming. I have zero doubt that lie is coming." Producer: "What is the lie?" Corbell: "Specifically, you want me to say it right now, for real, real? On camera, to be put in the show?" Producer: "Yes." Corbell: "Okay. Problem with that: If we tell the lie before it's told, they can adapt. That wouldn't be wise. I'll tell you privately, but I would really think about if you want to put this in your show. For real. That's a real thing I'm telling you. So, will you think about it before putting it in your show?" Producer: "Absolutely." Corbell: "Okay. So UFOs are real, and they've been here a long time, and that's the truth. But the lie is coming. All indications, like ALL of them, is that that lie is going to be that there is a craft slowly making its way to us here on Earth. And that is the lie they're gonna want you to believe. "It's nuanced, how they explain that, the nature of that threat. But that 100 fking percent is the lie you are going to be told. You even got a date. People been whispering a date for a long time now. I know where that lie comes from. I know, specifically, what document from the 70s initiated the idea of that lie. A classified document. That is the lie you will be told. You're gonna be told that there is a craft on its way to Earth. That's the lie. "Maybe I'm wrong. Hope I'm wrong. I sent you two texts today with a year (Messages showing 2027 are shown on a cell phone). Not from me. Nope, I'm not gonna propagate that lie. I'm not gonna be part of it, I'm not going to say it to the camera. Everybody knows. Just start paying attention. And they'll change the date - especially if they see this - things will change. Because maybe I'm trustworthy, maybe I'm worthy of your trust, maybe I've told you the truth the whole way through it and now and you can verify it. If that's the case, then I'm f**king dangerous. "You've been told the truth about UFOs for a long time now. It's been pretty orchestrated, it's been pretty clear, and it's using people that are telling the truth and wanna tell the truth. Ultimately, they want you to know something. They want you to know UFOs are real. Thank God, we're finally there, we're all there now. They want you to know the truth. But why [do] they want you to know that truth now. I hope I'm wrong, but it's terrifying. Think about it "Maybe it's good to get ahead of it, call it out now, before they do it. I'll be called crazy. That's okay."

Joe Murgia

757,327 次观看 • 1 年前

Qullamaggie on Why You Are Losing Money Most of the Time “This is actually one thing I got from Peter Brandt on his blog. He explained it really nicely. I never thought about it before. The most successful traders and investors are gonna be in a drawdown most of the time. Like even this year, even though I'm up at least 500%, I've spent half of the year in a drawdown, at least. So expecting to be like peak equity all the time, it's just not gonna happen. You're gonna spend most of your time in a drawdown, even on a really good year. That's just how it works. You just need to realize it and you need to accept it. Look at something like AMZN, one of the best stocks like ever, in the history of the world. It's up what? 200,000% since the IPO. Now look at the amount of time it's been in a drawdown. out of the 23 years it's been public, it was in a drawdown for 15 years. NFLX out of 8 years, it has been in a drawdown almost half of the time. Being in a drawdown is normal. It’s not an anomaly. The question is how big of a drawdown are you gonna be in. I try to limit my drawdowns to 10-15% but sometimes they become more severe than that. Drawdowns, it's the nature of the game. If you want to have big returns, you are going to have drawdowns. If you don't have drawdowns, it means you don't take any risk. And if you don't take any risk, you won't have any returns.”

Qullamaggie on Why You Are Losing Money Most of the Time “This is actually one thing I got from Peter Brandt on his blog. He explained it really nicely. I never thought about it before. The most successful traders and investors are gonna be in a drawdown most of the time. Like even this year, even though I'm up at least 500%, I've spent half of the year in a drawdown, at least. So expecting to be like peak equity all the time, it's just not gonna happen. You're gonna spend most of your time in a drawdown, even on a really good year. That's just how it works. You just need to realize it and you need to accept it. Look at something like AMZN, one of the best stocks like ever, in the history of the world. It's up what? 200,000% since the IPO. Now look at the amount of time it's been in a drawdown. out of the 23 years it's been public, it was in a drawdown for 15 years. NFLX out of 8 years, it has been in a drawdown almost half of the time. Being in a drawdown is normal. It’s not an anomaly. The question is how big of a drawdown are you gonna be in. I try to limit my drawdowns to 10-15% but sometimes they become more severe than that. Drawdowns, it's the nature of the game. If you want to have big returns, you are going to have drawdowns. If you don't have drawdowns, it means you don't take any risk. And if you don't take any risk, you won't have any returns.”

Lone

22,190 次观看 • 1 年前

Alexandra Pelosi Explaining The Need For The Psyop That’s About To Be Unleashed Against The American People Nancy Pelosi's Daughter Is Talking About The Importance Of 24/7 Media Lies To Push A False Narrative About January 6th. She CLEARLY States There Was “No Insurrection, No Plan, No Guns,” They Then Pushed The Lie. This Is Literal Treason Caught On Camera “Well, the reason, see, I think time is gonna remember January 6th differently. Right now people are still in the heat of them. There's two things. Media needs stuff to fill. I mean, if you watch TV on January 6th, it's like, January 6th, 24-7. As time goes on, it's gonna be less, and as, so I think also people are gonna lose their office, the jobs, the people that were there will lose their jobs. It's not gonna mean anything if you weren't even there. I know, we need like a word. No, it's not. Okay, I... Thank you for your time. Listen, I really... I know you're not the bad guy. I mean, if there is... I haven't found the bad guy yet. But if there is, I know you're not the bad guy. The guy with the outfit, he's like a stereotypical bad guy. But the thing... Why I ask you the question of like, So what was the plan? If there was an interaction... You were supposed to be in line marching. You were in the military, you know this. You were supposed to have a plan. Exactly, you sit down overnight with your soldiers, you go over, all right, you're gonna go here, you're gonna go in by this side. At this time, we're gonna take over this. There was none of that. It's a sorry insurrection in the 20th, 21st century ever. No guns, no land, people taking cells. A guy smoking pot. I love the guy. Yeah, I like that. Well, we did that. We just went to New Hampshire last week for the guy that just was drinking beer. My favorite guy.”

Alexandra Pelosi Explaining The Need For The Psyop That’s About To Be Unleashed Against The American People Nancy Pelosi's Daughter Is Talking About The Importance Of 24/7 Media Lies To Push A False Narrative About January 6th. She CLEARLY States There Was “No Insurrection, No Plan, No Guns,” They Then Pushed The Lie. This Is Literal Treason Caught On Camera “Well, the reason, see, I think time is gonna remember January 6th differently. Right now people are still in the heat of them. There's two things. Media needs stuff to fill. I mean, if you watch TV on January 6th, it's like, January 6th, 24-7. As time goes on, it's gonna be less, and as, so I think also people are gonna lose their office, the jobs, the people that were there will lose their jobs. It's not gonna mean anything if you weren't even there. I know, we need like a word. No, it's not. Okay, I... Thank you for your time. Listen, I really... I know you're not the bad guy. I mean, if there is... I haven't found the bad guy yet. But if there is, I know you're not the bad guy. The guy with the outfit, he's like a stereotypical bad guy. But the thing... Why I ask you the question of like, So what was the plan? If there was an interaction... You were supposed to be in line marching. You were in the military, you know this. You were supposed to have a plan. Exactly, you sit down overnight with your soldiers, you go over, all right, you're gonna go here, you're gonna go in by this side. At this time, we're gonna take over this. There was none of that. It's a sorry insurrection in the 20th, 21st century ever. No guns, no land, people taking cells. A guy smoking pot. I love the guy. Yeah, I like that. Well, we did that. We just went to New Hampshire last week for the guy that just was drinking beer. My favorite guy.”

Wall Street Apes

2,211,362 次观看 • 2 年前

Elon Musk: Why a 1 Terawatt AI is impossible on Earth?? "My estimate is that the cost-effectiveness of AI in space will be overwhelmingly better than AI on the ground. So, long before you exhaust potential energy sources on Earth, meaning perhaps in the four or five-year timeframe, the lowest cost way to do AI compute will be with solar-powered AI satellites. I'd say not more than five years from now Just look at the supercomputers we're building together. Let's say each rack is two tons; out of that two tons, 1.95 of it is probably for cooling. Just imagine how tiny that little supercomputer is Electricity generation is already becoming a challenge. If you start doing any kind of scaling for both electricity generation and cooling, you realize space is incredibly compelling Let's say you wanted to do 200 or 300 gigawatts per year of AI compute. It's very difficult to do that on Earth. The US average electricity usage, last time I checked, was around 460 gigawatts per year. So, if you're doing 300 gigawatts a year, that would be like two-thirds of US electricity production per year. There's no way you're building power plants at that level And then if you take it up to a Terawatt per year, impossible. You have to do that in space In space, you've got continuous solar. You don't need batteries because it's always sunny. The solar panels actually become cheaper because you don't need glass or framing, and the cooling is just radiative"

Elon Musk: Why a 1 Terawatt AI is impossible on Earth?? "My estimate is that the cost-effectiveness of AI in space will be overwhelmingly better than AI on the ground. So, long before you exhaust potential energy sources on Earth, meaning perhaps in the four or five-year timeframe, the lowest cost way to do AI compute will be with solar-powered AI satellites. I'd say not more than five years from now Just look at the supercomputers we're building together. Let's say each rack is two tons; out of that two tons, 1.95 of it is probably for cooling. Just imagine how tiny that little supercomputer is Electricity generation is already becoming a challenge. If you start doing any kind of scaling for both electricity generation and cooling, you realize space is incredibly compelling Let's say you wanted to do 200 or 300 gigawatts per year of AI compute. It's very difficult to do that on Earth. The US average electricity usage, last time I checked, was around 460 gigawatts per year. So, if you're doing 300 gigawatts a year, that would be like two-thirds of US electricity production per year. There's no way you're building power plants at that level And then if you take it up to a Terawatt per year, impossible. You have to do that in space In space, you've got continuous solar. You don't need batteries because it's always sunny. The solar panels actually become cheaper because you don't need glass or framing, and the cooling is just radiative"

X Freeze

446,323 次观看 • 8 个月前

The challenge the entire industry faces is that in every single location, I don't care whether it's Michigan, West Virginia, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, if you announce you're doing a data center, all of a sudden you get a plethora of misinformation, like it's three times the size of Manhattan, it's so hot it's gonna melt a hole in the ground, the amount of water it's going to use, it's gonna suck the ocean dry. All of this stuff is just not true. I think as we get the real facts out, we'll turn this around. There seems to be an organized attempt to stop any development of power.

The challenge the entire industry faces is that in every single location, I don't care whether it's Michigan, West Virginia, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, if you announce you're doing a data center, all of a sudden you get a plethora of misinformation, like it's three times the size of Manhattan, it's so hot it's gonna melt a hole in the ground, the amount of water it's going to use, it's gonna suck the ocean dry. All of this stuff is just not true. I think as we get the real facts out, we'll turn this around. There seems to be an organized attempt to stop any development of power.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

17,521 次观看 • 1 个月前

Let's, let's just look at the numbers. You're gonna give up a third of your net worth as you split these assets apart. Why don't you just live in separate bedrooms? It's a lot cheaper. Divorce is too expensive, and there's a better way, particularly if you're your 50s and 60s. You're not gonna have new kids unless you're nuts. Why don't you just live at separate ends of the house.

Let's, let's just look at the numbers. You're gonna give up a third of your net worth as you split these assets apart. Why don't you just live in separate bedrooms? It's a lot cheaper. Divorce is too expensive, and there's a better way, particularly if you're your 50s and 60s. You're not gonna have new kids unless you're nuts. Why don't you just live at separate ends of the house.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

38,268 次观看 • 1 年前

Oh my God! The Wildfire that just blew up South of Boston Bar has a clear Pyrocumulus Cloud visible all the way from Vancouver. This is as extreme as Wildfire behavior can be. If you live in Boston Bar get out now, your life is in extreme danger. Follow Kamscan for up to date info. This is horrifying that I can this all the way from down here. #bcstorm

Oh my God! The Wildfire that just blew up South of Boston Bar has a clear Pyrocumulus Cloud visible all the way from Vancouver. This is as extreme as Wildfire behavior can be. If you live in Boston Bar get out now, your life is in extreme danger. Follow Kamscan for up to date info. This is horrifying that I can this all the way from down here. #bcstorm

Brad604

391,154 次观看 • 4 天前

Nvidia CEO on whether we are in a bubble: "The bubble will come someday. It's just not today." "Yeah, it's very unlikely in the next five years." "We basically are constrained in every single direction, in every single way. That constraint is good." "That constraint is what holds the system back. So that gives us plenty of time to go build out these infrastructure." $NVDA

Nvidia CEO on whether we are in a bubble: "The bubble will come someday. It's just not today." "Yeah, it's very unlikely in the next five years." "We basically are constrained in every single direction, in every single way. That constraint is good." "That constraint is what holds the system back. So that gives us plenty of time to go build out these infrastructure." $NVDA

CapexAndChill

30,352 次观看 • 2 天前

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

FULL TRANSCRIPT OF ELON'S CYBERCAB AND ROBOVAN PRESENTATION 00:00 Welcome 01:16 Cybercab & Future of transportation 04:33 Cost 05:53 Timeline 07:13 Self-driving technology 10:05 Inductive charging 10:24 The cities of the future 11:04 Robovan 12:13 Optimus Welcome Welcome to the We, Robot party. We have quite a show for you tonight. I think you're going to like it. As you can see, I just arrived in the Robotaxi, the Cybercab. And there's 20 more where that came from. So they've been traveling, there's no people in them. As you can see, the car is just going by with no people. We have 50 fully autonomous cars here tonight. So you'll see model Y's and the Cybercabs, all driverless. You'll be able to take a ride in the Cybercab. There's no steering wheel or pedals. So I hope this goes well, we'll find out. You see a lot of sci-fi movies where the future is dark and dismal, where it's not a future you want to be in. So, you know, I love Blade Runner, but I don't know if we want that future. We want that duster he's wearing, but not the bleak apocalypse. We want to have a fun, exciting future that, if you could look in a crystal ball and see the future, you'd be like, yes, I wish I could be there now. That's what we want. Cybercab & Future of transportation So, when we think about transport today, there's a lot of pain that we take for granted, that we think is normal. Like having to drive around LA in 3 hours of traffic. Yeah, people that live in LA, I mean, you know, try to get from Pasadena to El Segundo during rush hour. You can fly to another city faster than you can get to LA. And you have to drive the whole way, unless you're in a Tesla. Of course, our Tesla already does quite well at this supervised self-driving. So, supervised full self-driving is actually working quite well. I'm sure there's people in the crowd who are using that. So, we'll move from supervised full self-driving to unsupervised full self-driving where the car, you could fall asleep and wake up at your destination. But there's also a challenge for a lot of people that cars cost too much. I mean, when you factor in everything that goes into a car and the car insurance and the car payments, storage of the car, it's very expensive. You say, like, how many hours a week are cars used? Your average passenger car is only used about 10 hours a week out of 168 hours. So, the vast majority of the time cars are just doing nothing. But if they're autonomous, they could be used, I don't know, five times more, maybe ten times more. So you could actually, for the same car, would have five times as much value, maybe ten times as much value. There's 168 hours in the week, and like I said, only ten of them are used for driving. And then, a bunch of those hours are looking for a parking spot, which can be pretty annoying at times. So, with autonomy, you get your time back. This is a very big deal. So it's not just, it'll save lives, like a lot of lives and prevent injuries. I think we'll see autonomous cars become ten times safer than a human. I mean, if you think of times past where there used to be an elevator operator in every elevator but once in a while, they get tired and accidentally shear somebody in half. Now, we have automated elevators. You just get an elevator and you press a button and you don't even think about it and it just takes you to the floor. And if you did see an elevator operator with a big relay switch, you'd be like, that's weird. That's how cars will be. And it's not just the lives saved in injuries, but if you think about the cumulative time that people spend in a car and the time that they will get back that they can now spend, well, I guess, on their phones or watching a movie or doing work or whatever you want to do you can think of the car in autonomous world as being like just little lounge. You're just sitting in a comfortable little lounge and you can do whatever you want while you're in this comfortable little lounge. And when you get out, you will be at your destination. So, yeah, it's gonna be awesome. Cost So, in fact, I think the cost of autonomous transport will be so low that you can think of it like individualized mass transit. The average cost of a bus per mile for a city, not the ticket price, because that is subsidized, but the average price is about a dollar a mile, whereas the cost of Cybercab we think probably over time, the operating cost is probably going to be around twenty cents a mile. Including taxes and everything else, it probably ends up being 30 or 40 cents a mile. And you will be able to buy one. And we expect the cost to be below $30,000. And I think there'll be an interesting business model where, let's say somebody is an Uber or Lyft driver today where they can actually sort of manage a fleet of cars and like, sort of manage, I don't know, 10, 20 cars and just take care of them. Like a shepherd tends their flock. You have a little flock of cars and you're the shepherd and you take care of your flock of cars. I think that would be pretty cool. I think it's going to be a glorious future. It's going to be really something special. Timeline We do expect actually to start fully autonomous unsupervised FSD in Texas and California next year. And that's obviously, that's with the Model 3 and Model Y. And then we expect to be in production with the Cybercab, which is really highly optimized for autonomous transport in probably, I tend to be a little optimistic with time frames, but in 2026. So, yeah, before 2027, let me put it that way. And we'll make this vehicle in very high volume. But well, before that, you will experience a robotic taxi via the Model 3 and Model Y program and model S and X, too. But the Model 3 and Y will achieve unsupervised full self-driving with permission, in wherever regulators essentially approve it. In the US, and then to follow outside the US. And Cybertruck, too. All our cars are basically, all cars that we make. Let's not get nuanced here. Self-driving technology One of the reasons why the computer can be so much better than a person is that we have millions of cars that are training on driving. It's like living millions of lives simultaneously and seeing very unusual situations that a person in their entire lifetime would not see. With that amount of training data, it's obviously going to be much better than what a human could be because you can't live a million lives. And it's also, it can see in all directions simultaneously and it doesn't get tired or text or any of those things. So, it will naturally be, like I said 10, 20, 30 times safer than a human, just for all those reasons. And I want to emphasize that the solution that we have is, AI and vision. So, there's no expensive equipment needed. The Model 3 and Model Y and S and X that we make today will be capable of full autonomy, unsupervised. And that means that our cost of producing the vehicle is low. Now, we are going to actually over-spec the computer for the Cybercab. So, our AI 5 computer will be somewhat over-spec'd because I think there's actually also an opportunity, sort of like an Amazon Web Services, where if the car is driving for 50 hours a week, there's still over 100 hours left and there's a potential there to have a massive amount of distributed inference compute, where if you've got like a fleet of 100 million vehicles and a kilowatt of efficient inference compute, you have 100 gigawatts of compute, which is really quite substantial. And if it's there, you might as well use it so that I think will make sense. So, our autonomous future is here. As I said, we've got 50 Teslas driving autonomously. We're trying to give you a sense of what cities will be like in the future. And when you get in, you'll see like, it's really quite a wild experience to just be in a car with no steering wheel, no pedals, no controls, and it feels great. So we have enough vehicles here, so everyone should be able to try it out and experience the set that we've built here. It's a very big set. So it's like really we've used I don't know, 20, 30 acres or something like that. It's really big. So, it goes on, the ride's long. And we set it up to feel like a ride, like a park ride. So, it'll be cool and you'll get to experience it tonight. Inductive charging Something we're also doing is and it's really high time we did this is inductive charging. So, the robotaxi has no plug. It just goes over the inductive charger and charges. So, yeah, it's kind of how it should be. The cities of the future One of the things that is really interesting is how will this affect the cities that we live in. And when you drive around a city, or when the car drives you around the city, you'll see there's a lot of parking lots. There's parking lots everywhere, parking garages. What would happen if you have an autonomous world is that you can now turn parking lots into parks. And so, from we're taking the inglot out of parking lot. You're welcome. So, there's a lot of opportunity to create green space in the cities that we live in. So, like, that would be quite fantastic. Robovan Oh, and also, what happens if you need a vehicle that is bigger than a Model Y? The Robovan. We're going to make this and it's going to look like that. Now, can you imagine going down the streets and you see this coming towards you? That'd be sick. So this can carry up to 20 people, and it can also transport goods. You can configure it for goods transport within a city. Or transport of up to 20 people at a time. The Robovan is what's gonna solve for high density. If you want to take a sports team somewhere or you're looking to really get the cost of travel down to, I don't know, 5, 10 cents a mile, then you can use the Robovan. One of the things we want to do, and we've seen this with the Cybertruck, is we want to change the look of the roads. The future should look like the future. Optimus Speaking of robots. Everything we've developed for our cars, the batteries, power electronics, the advanced motors, gearboxes, the software, the AI inference computer, it all actually applies to a humanoid robot. The same techniques. It's just a robot with arms and legs instead of a robot with wheels. We've made a lot of progress with Optimus. And as you can see, we started up with someone in a robot suit. And then, we've progressed dramatically, year after year. So, if you extrapolate this, you're really going to have something spectacular, something that anyone could own. So, you can have your own personal R2-D2-C3PO. And I think at scale, this would cost something like, I don't know, $20,000, $30,000, probably less than a car is my prediction, long-term. It'll take us a minute to get to the long term. But fundamentally, at scale, the Optimus robot, you should be able to buy an Optimus robot for, I think, probably $20,000 to $30,000, long-term. And what can it do? It'll basically do anything you want. It can be a teacher or babysit your kids, it can walk your dog, mow your lawn, get the groceries, just be your friend, serve drinks whatever you can think of, it will do. And, yeah, it's going to be awesome. I think this will be the biggest product ever of any kind, because I think everyone of the 8 billion people of Earth, I think everyone's going to want their Optimus buddy. And there's going to be maybe two. And then, they'll be producing products and services. I predict, actually, provided we address risks of digital superintelligence, 80% probability of good outcome, look on the bright side, the cup is 80% full, the cost of products and services will decline dramatically. And basically, anyone will be able to have any products and services they want. It will be an age of abundance the likes of which people have not, almost no one has envisioned. It will be something special. So now, one of the things we wanted to show tonight was that Optimus is not a canned video. It's not walled off. The Optimus robots will walk among you. Please, please be nice to the Optimus robots. You'll be able to walk right up to them and they'll serve drinks at the bar. I mean, it's a wild experience just to have humanoid robots and they're there, you're just in front of you. So yeah, with that, let's party!

Mario Nawfal

241,051 次观看 • 1 年前

Destiny reacts to Hasan’s take about stealing from big corporations on the NYT "It's one thing if u can't afford food..but when it's all these decently wealthy yuppies..and their form of protest is..I'm gonna shoplift..what are u doing?" "This is like the most bougie..also god the rizz voice..all of this u can just draw this on the most slop lines..if they say yes, it's gonna be bc..imperialism, imperialism" "Is some amount of loss factored in, yes..but if everybody starts stealing obv that number is gonna go up..places are just gonna close” “These cringe f's..never shop in these poor places..this is why when u go to certain stores, everything is behind a lock..gonna lead to more" "Hasan u are that .001%..does he not realize this..how is he sitting here having this convo..u are the rich..ur family is the rich bro"

Destiny reacts to Hasan’s take about stealing from big corporations on the NYT "It's one thing if u can't afford food..but when it's all these decently wealthy yuppies..and their form of protest is..I'm gonna shoplift..what are u doing?" "This is like the most bougie..also god the rizz voice..all of this u can just draw this on the most slop lines..if they say yes, it's gonna be bc..imperialism, imperialism" "Is some amount of loss factored in, yes..but if everybody starts stealing obv that number is gonna go up..places are just gonna close” “These cringe f's..never shop in these poor places..this is why when u go to certain stores, everything is behind a lock..gonna lead to more" "Hasan u are that .001%..does he not realize this..how is he sitting here having this convo..u are the rich..ur family is the rich bro"

yeet

66,787 次观看 • 3 个月前

JUST IN: JD Vance prepares the public for a major media narrative coming our way when Trump enacts mass deportations. He's right. "This term is something you're gonna hear a lot - 'family separation.' It's important - that's a euphemism. That is a dishonest term to hide behind the fact Biden has not done border enforcement." "If we have a guy convicted of a violent crime, and has to go to prison - it means that guy is gonna be separated from his family. That is the consequence." "If you are here illegally, you need to go back home. They're going to hide behind this - say this is all about 'compassion for families.'"

JUST IN: JD Vance prepares the public for a major media narrative coming our way when Trump enacts mass deportations. He's right. "This term is something you're gonna hear a lot - 'family separation.' It's important - that's a euphemism. That is a dishonest term to hide behind the fact Biden has not done border enforcement." "If we have a guy convicted of a violent crime, and has to go to prison - it means that guy is gonna be separated from his family. That is the consequence." "If you are here illegally, you need to go back home. They're going to hide behind this - say this is all about 'compassion for families.'"

Eric Daugherty

1,781,898 次观看 • 1 年前

He’s insane. “But tonight's event is even crazier than the last time. In fact, it's so successful that I've been informed by CBS News's David Ellison, who's gonna do a fan, he's the owner. He's the owner, he bought it, spent a lot of money and he's gonna make, I think, fantastic changes and keep some of the great stuff going. But the next year, they're going to call it the “Trump White House correspondent dinner.” He told me that, and I like that very much, you're gonna change the name of it, okay? Well, it's gonna be so hot, just like our country is hot. We are hot, by the way. But to be honest, it's just about the only way that they're gonna ever get me back here. You're gonna have to change the name of the dinner.”

He’s insane. “But tonight's event is even crazier than the last time. In fact, it's so successful that I've been informed by CBS News's David Ellison, who's gonna do a fan, he's the owner. He's the owner, he bought it, spent a lot of money and he's gonna make, I think, fantastic changes and keep some of the great stuff going. But the next year, they're going to call it the “Trump White House correspondent dinner.” He told me that, and I like that very much, you're gonna change the name of it, okay? Well, it's gonna be so hot, just like our country is hot. We are hot, by the way. But to be honest, it's just about the only way that they're gonna ever get me back here. You're gonna have to change the name of the dinner.”

Jim Stewartson, Decelerationist 🇨🇦🇺🇦🇺🇸

357,173 次观看 • 1 天前

So if this video is real, and this person is literally stealing this lady's groceries... Let me just say that THIS IS A BAD IDEA!! In fact I can think of 9mm reasons why YOU DON'T WANT TO DO THIS!!! It's not gonna be like taking candy from a baby, I promise...

So if this video is real, and this person is literally stealing this lady's groceries... Let me just say that THIS IS A BAD IDEA!! In fact I can think of 9mm reasons why YOU DON'T WANT TO DO THIS!!! It's not gonna be like taking candy from a baby, I promise...

SaltyGoat

207,749 次观看 • 8 个月前