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🚨 GOLD IS LOADING FOR ANOTHER EXPLOSIVE RUN The $XAU macro cycle is wrapping up in 2026, and the setup here is about as clean as it gets! Gold pulled back roughly 22% from its $5,602 all-time high. That correction is complete, and the late buyers who chased the...

149,178 Aufrufe • vor 9 Tagen •via X (Twitter)

4 Kommentare

Profilbild von Kiersten Castellano
Kiersten Castellanovor 9 Tagen

🔥

Profilbild von juan C. Bonilla M.
juan C. Bonilla M.vor 9 Tagen

Las probabilidades que bajen tasas este año son minimas con un petroleo subiendo igual que la inflacion. En largo plazo si se dara eso.

Profilbild von paramjit singh
paramjit singhvor 9 Tagen

Haha yes in dreams 🤣

Profilbild von Martin Kemp
Martin Kempvor 9 Tagen

It’s going 3900

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🚨 GOLD JUST FIRED A WARNING THAT COULD BREAK THIS ENTIRE MARKET Forget the gold dump. What it may be signaling next is far more dangerous. I warned about the gold selloff before it happened. Now the setup behind it is starting to spread into the one place nobody wants to question: AI stocks. The chain is brutal: War → Oil → Inflation → Higher yields → Gold gets crushed → Cost of capital stays high → AI valuations crack. The Iran conflict disrupted energy flows and pushed oil higher. Higher oil keeps inflation alive. Sticky inflation gives the Fed less room to cut. Less cutting keeps real yields elevated. And elevated real yields are exactly what an overheated, non-yielding asset like gold does NOT want. But here's the part almost everyone is missing: Money isn't rotating from gold into risk. Retail is hiding in cash and short-duration Treasuries. That matters. People buy gold when they're scared about tomorrow. They sell gold when they need safety today. And if rates stay higher for longer, this stops being a gold problem. It becomes an equity valuation problem. The market is insanely concentrated in a handful of AI names priced for years of future growth. Higher discount rates destroy the value of those distant cash flows. Suddenly the market stops paying for the story and starts asking one question: Where's the cash? That's when the AI trade gets vulnerable. That's when concentration becomes a liability. That's when the same rates that broke gold start hitting everything priced for perfection. Gold may have been the first domino. I called the gold dump before it happened. Now I'm watching what comes next. Because if this chain keeps moving, the gold selloff will be the part everyone wishes they had paid attention to. Turn notifications on. The next domino is bigger.

Discover

161,244 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

Silver's squeeze is being driven by gold which in turn is being driven by the dollar. No, not "debasement" or "inflation." Eurodollar deflation. People make the critical mistake believing gold is a substitute for the dollar when it's not even in the same arena. Precious metals instead compete with stocks and other risky financial assets as the safe haven alternative to them. Ledger money separated medium of exchange from store of value 150 years ago (not that you've heard anything about it, but you live it every day each time you use your credit card - medium - and check your 401k - store). Gold is not a medium, but it is superior form of value. Gold's behavior therefore has nothing to do with "the dollar" except when eurodollar conditions drive the exchange value and signal conditions relative to stores of value alternatives. This is why gold has behaved like it has and why all the gold "experts" get it wrong. When the dollar is rising, that's a deflation signal which means increasing chance conditions will be bad for risky stores of value. Gold shines. And that is exactly how it has traded recently, too, from late last year through April, the middle of the year when gold backed off because risk-taking was back at the forefront, and now with flat Beveridge everywhere and credit cockroaches showing up every other minute gold is utterly flying. That deflation would be really bad for risky assets that gold competes with. IT IS NOT DEBASEMENT OR ANYTHING LIKE IT. All the evidence is here: Everything you get from the mainstream is either wrong or backward. Oftentimes on purpose. Misdirection and misinformation is actually the trade of "central banks." Start unlearning the garbage and start learning the truth which has been hiding in plain sight all this time.

Jeffrey P. Snider

26,897 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

The next time this market cracks, nobody is coming to save you. When markets got in trouble, the Fed showed up. More liquidity. Buy the dip, wait for the cavalry, you're a genius. But that game is OVER. When the Fed creates liquidity, the money that doesn't get sucked up by the real economy sloshes into stocks. That's been happening since 2009. But guess what? Right now the real economy IS sucking it up, because growth is okay and prices are rising. So there's a lot less left over for your portfolio. My good friend Michael Howell, the Liquidity King, has called the turns better than anybody alive, and he went cautious back in January for exactly this reason. The termites are eating away underneath this market and nobody wants to look. The proof: We've had a war. Bond yields go DOWN in a war. That's what's supposed to happen. But instead they're UP 40 basis points since it started. And look at the math on Washington: They pull in around five trillion a year and they spend seven and a half. They already owe $40 trillion, and that's before you get to the $125 trillion in off-balance-sheet promises nobody wants to discuss. Now imagine that borrower walks up to you and asks you to lend him money for 10 years at 4.5%, while inflation is running north of 3 and rising. You'd have to be brain dead to take that deal. That's exactly why yields are grinding higher, not lower, and if you ask me they belong closer to five and a half or six. Rates are too low, and the whole world knows it. And don't forget Japan, the biggest creditor nation on the planet, just saw its bond yields blow out to a 30 year high. When Japanese rates go up, all that money that's been funding OUR markets starts heading home. The 60/40 portfolio is built for a world that's gone. Bonds don't protect you when the whole problem IS the money getting debased - they get shot first. What actually hedges you now is the stuff they can't print: Gold and energy. The safety net is gone, and the margin for error with it.

George Noble

110,660 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

BITCOIN'S "DIGITAL GOLD" NARRATIVE JUST FAILED ITS BIGGEST TEST While gold surged past $5,000 and silver hit record after record... Bitcoin dropped 6% in 2025. Silver is up 138%. Bitcoin? Down 30% from its October high. The "digital gold" thesis is collapsing. But here's what most people are getting wrong about WHY... My good friend Michael Howell at CrossBorder Capital/ GLIndexes nailed it: This isn't a "Great Debasement" trade. If it were, Bitcoin would be celebrating and bonds would be in freefall. Neither is happening. THE REAL DRIVER: CHINA The People's Bank of China has added $1.1T to Chinese money markets over the past year. And they'll likely do the same again this year. This aggressive monetary debasement is pushing Chinese residents into gold as an inflation hedge. You see, Chinese residents are big gold buyers but NOT big Bitcoin buyers. Why? The PBoC banned cryptocurrencies onshore. So when China prints money, it flows into gold, not crypto. And because the Yuan is stable against the dollar (capital controls and trade surplus), changes in the Yuan gold price transmit virtually 1:1 into the US dollar gold price. Bitcoin gets none of this flow. THE LIQUIDITY PROBLEM Michael's research shows something critical: Cryptocurrencies are the most liquidity-sensitive assets on the planet. And Global Liquidity is starting to slow. During the last liquidity downswing from late 2021 through 2022, Bitcoin fell from $65k to under $20k. In the next upswing, it gained over $100k. Now liquidity is peaking again. Bond term premia have stopped rising. Bitcoin is flatlining. The correlation between Global Liquidity and Bitcoin is ironclad. And the cycle is turning against crypto. THE OCTOBER CRASH EXPOSED EVERYTHING On October 10, 2025, Trump's 100% China tariff threat triggered the largest single-day liquidation in crypto history. $19B wiped out in 24 hours. 1.6M accounts blown up. Bitcoin plunged from $126,000 to below $105,000. Order book depth collapsed 98%. This was a stress test And Bitcoin failed. THE "HEDGE" THAT ISN'T During recent geopolitical tensions over Greenland: Gold rose 8.6%. Bitcoin dropped 6.6%. NYDIG found that Bitcoin behaves like an "ATM" during crises. Investors sell it first to raise cash. That's not a hedge. That's a liquidity source. Meanwhile, central banks are buying gold at record levels. They're not touching Bitcoin. THE MINING DEATH SPIRAL Hashprice - the key profitability metric - fell to $35-36 per PH/s/day in November. Below breakeven for most operations. 2025 was the "harshest margin environment of all time." ROI on new mining rigs? 1,000 days. In 2017? Same equipment paid for itself in 3-6 months. AI data centers are outbidding miners for cheap electricity. The squeeze is structural. WHERE THIS IS HEADING Paolo Ardoino, Tether's CEO, said it himself last week: "There are foreign countries buying a lot of gold, and we believe these countries will soon launch tokenized versions of gold as a competitive currency to the US dollar." Gold is being repositioned as foundational collateral beneath a fragmented digital monetary landscape. The BRICS are building gold-backed currencies to accelerate dedollarization. And ironically, the US will use gold-backed stablecoins to DEFEND the dollar's dominance. Gold, forever the bane of the dollar's existence, is being resurrected as its savior. A new monetary age is coming. And Bitcoin isn't part of it. MY TAKE My good friend Michael is right: Monetary debasement is a long-term investment strategy, not a short-term trade. But Bitcoin's cycle is no longer a simple 4 year halving cycle based on supply. It's a complex demand cycle driven by Global Liquidity. And that liquidity is peaking. When Chinese liquidity floods into gold while Bitcoin sits banned on the mainland... When Global Liquidity peaks and crypto flatlines... When the asset fails every stress test thrown at it... There's a serious problem.

George Noble

133,956 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten

🚨 GOLD IS PRICING SOMETHING BIGGER RIGHT NOW Read that again. Gold just changed its entire pricing behavior, and it's now pricing a crash bigger than the dot-com bubble. I've traded these markets for over a decade. I warned you about this gold dump before it happened, it's in the post below. But what's coming next is worse than the dump itself. Here's the chain that's driving it. The Iran conflict disrupted oil flows and pushed energy prices higher. Higher oil means higher inflation. Higher inflation means less room to cut rates, which means higher yields, and higher yields are poison for gold, an asset that pays you nothing to hold it. Add in the fact that gold was overheated at peak attention, and you get the flush. But here's the detail almost nobody's watching: retail is skipping gold entirely. They're parking money in cash and short-duration Treasuries instead. There's an old truth about this: people buy gold when they're worried about the future, and sell it when they're worried about today. Right now, they're worried about today. That tells you everything. And this is where it gets dangerous, because higher rates don't just hurt gold. They set the cost of capital for every long-duration asset on the board. The whole equity market is now jammed into a handful of AI names, all priced for a low-rate world. When rates stay high, the math flips, and the market rotates out of "AI dreams" and into "show me the cash flows." The full chain: War → Inflation → Higher real yields → Gold reprices → Cost of capital rises → The AI trade cracks. Gold is the first domino. It just fell. The rest are lined up right behind it. I called the gold dump exactly. Now I'm calling this. A lot of people are going to wish they'd listened sooner. Turn notifications on. You'll understand why when it hits!

Qmo

318,002 Aufrufe • vor 19 Tagen

🚨 WARNING: SOMETHING EXTREMELY UNUSUAL IS HAPPENING!! Insiders are buying COMEX Gold options at $15,000 - $20,000 for December 2026. Gold is around $4,500 right now. This means THEY EXPECT THE GOLD PRICE TO TRIPLE. And if you think that's just gambling YOU'RE COMPLETELY WRONG. Let me explain this in simple words. This position did NOT show up before the top. It started building after gold printed above $5,600, then got hit by its biggest one-day dump in decades. That's the part most people miss. Retail sold the panic. This buyer kept adding. Even after gold dropped back toward $4,500. Now the structure is around 11,000 contracts. About 1.1 MILLION ounces. About $4.95 BILLION of gold at today's price. About $16.5 BILLION of gold at the $15,000 strike. That is NOT a normal trade. It's someone positioning for a full repricing. Now connect the dots. Normal bank targets for 2026 are around $6,100-$6,300. This trade starts paying in the $15,000 area. That tells you everything. This is NOT someone positioning for a normal bull case. It's someone positioning for a monetary event, a crisis event, or a market break big enough to make $15,000 gold look realistic. And that's why the timing matters. This buying did NOT start during euphoria. It started after the flush, when gold had already broken hard and most people were busy calling the top. That one fact explains a lot. Because real size usually does NOT chase headlines. It waits for stress, it waits for disbelief, and then it builds. So if you're asking what this means, the answer is simple. Somebody with serious money is still paying for extreme upside in gold, even after the biggest correction in decades. That's preparation. I've studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I'll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

278,213 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 THIS IS NOT NORMAL Look at what China has quietly done: U.S. TREASURIES: 28.2% → 6.8% GOLD: 1,054t → 2,387t And China has now bought gold for 22 consecutive months. Now ask yourself one question: WHY IS ALL OF THIS HAPPENING AT THE SAME TIME? And buying gold was only step one. Now China is adding the vaults, clearing, settlement, yuan contracts and payment rails around it: - Hong Kong launched a government-backed gold clearing system linked directly to the Shanghai Gold Exchange. - It is expanding gold storage beyond 2,000 tonnes and exploring physically settled RMB gold futures That is what changes the entire equation. China does NOT need the yuan to replace the dollar. It only needs to make the dollar LESS NECESSARY. Because if another country gets paid in yuan, there has always been one obvious problem: What does it do with the yuan afterward? China is increasingly building another answer: TURN IT INTO GOLD. 1) Trade with China in yuan. 2) Settle without the dollar. 3) Move the proceeds into physical gold. 4) Store and clear that gold through Chinese-linked infrastructure. And if more countries start using the same rails, this stops being a story about the price of gold. It becomes a story about the dollar being needed for fewer transactions. Save this tweet. When the monetary system looks different five years from now, people will look back at these two charts and wonder how they missed what was happening in plain sight. Remember, I’ve been trading markets for over 15 years. I follow what central banks, governments and the biggest institutions are doing in real time, and when I see something important developing, I’ll post it here publicly like I always do. Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

Alex Mason 👁△

220,371 Aufrufe • vor 3 Tagen