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Great example of old vs. new values By the eye test, this is a marvelous catch, the kind fans are glad they paid money to see By analytics, this had an 85% catch probability per The WARmonger & only looked hard because of a bad jump Is it good...

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Not Gaetti

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238,203 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.
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This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

The WARmonger

437,897 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:
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This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

The WARmonger

324,332 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability. Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...
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Yesterday's best outfield catch! Just a 45% catch probability. Looks like a routine play, no? Why is it so special? Because of what happens before the camera is on PCA. This is why the eye test is poor for fielding. A +10.7 feet jump, just remarkable, allows him to cruise to the ball, covering 77 feet in 4.2 seconds. Jump is player movement in the first three seconds from pitch release. Most MLB outfielders don't catch this one, and many who do are diving...

The WARmonger

958,386 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Not to be a hater right now but this play had an 85% catch probability. Freeman has picked it up with the bat and its great to see but I do not think he is a centerfielder at all.
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Not to be a hater right now but this play had an 85% catch probability. Freeman has picked it up with the bat and its great to see but I do not think he is a centerfielder at all.

mlbfeeelit

1,452,125 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

Sensational catch by Ian Happ! 15% catch probability from Statcast, it's a 5-star play. Good jump. Happ covered 66 feet on the play, his best work is before the camera finds him, also a great full-extension catch:
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Sensational catch by Ian Happ! 15% catch probability from Statcast, it's a 5-star play. Good jump. Happ covered 66 feet on the play, his best work is before the camera finds him, also a great full-extension catch:

The WARmonger

74,266 Aufrufe • vor 27 Tagen

Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.
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Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.

The WARmonger

99,789 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

This play had a 0% catch probability and a 0% catch actuality (but only just barely)! Pete Crow-Armstrong is going to spoil the curve for lesser outfielders!
0:16

This play had a 0% catch probability and a 0% catch actuality (but only just barely)! Pete Crow-Armstrong is going to spoil the curve for lesser outfielders!

The WARmonger

1,106,931 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

I really want Noelvi Marte to be good in CF, but this was pretty rough. Took a step in. Then kind of never sprinted. His average sprint speed is 29 feet/per second. On this play, it was just 26.8. MLB had it as an 80% catch probability for him.
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I really want Noelvi Marte to be good in CF, but this was pretty rough. Took a step in. Then kind of never sprinted. His average sprint speed is 29 feet/per second. On this play, it was just 26.8. MLB had it as an 80% catch probability for him.

Reds Daily

34,536 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

Michael Harris II with the diving grab this evening in Atlanta: 80% catch probability. Why did it look so tough? -5.3 feet below average on the jump, and that's against all OF, not just CF. Tough sun for sure. The broadcast with an excellent theory, they cut to Andruw Jones with "he's probably saying he catches this standing up"! Still a fun catch and exciting finish. Please don't think you're not allowed to love a catch because of what the metrics are. Harris II always tends to catch the ball, the most important thing!
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Michael Harris II with the diving grab this evening in Atlanta: 80% catch probability. Why did it look so tough? -5.3 feet below average on the jump, and that's against all OF, not just CF. Tough sun for sure. The broadcast with an excellent theory, they cut to Andruw Jones with "he's probably saying he catches this standing up"! Still a fun catch and exciting finish. Please don't think you're not allowed to love a catch because of what the metrics are. Harris II always tends to catch the ball, the most important thing!

The WARmonger

311,488 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:
0:18

Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:

Jake Rill

38,094 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!
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Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

The WARmonger

345,224 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

This ball had a 99% catch probability. Heston Kjerstad had -11.7 feet of jump (😬), then took a circuitous route at 18.1 f/os to get to the general area of where this Salvador Perez "double" finally left a crater.
0:17

This ball had a 99% catch probability. Heston Kjerstad had -11.7 feet of jump (😬), then took a circuitous route at 18.1 f/os to get to the general area of where this Salvador Perez "double" finally left a crater.

The WARmonger

719,858 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

The TNF broadcast only showed one angle of this catch by the Falcons. It's hard to tell but it looks like the receiver does not survive the fall and secures the catch
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The TNF broadcast only showed one angle of this catch by the Falcons. It's hard to tell but it looks like the receiver does not survive the fall and secures the catch

Rate the Refs

189,999 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten

This is an example of a GREAT throw with GOOD mechanics by Bryce Underwood last season. -Drops back -Steps up in the pocket. -Makes the throw to Anthony Simpson for a 30+ yard gain. We will see more of this in 2026.
0:10

This is an example of a GREAT throw with GOOD mechanics by Bryce Underwood last season. -Drops back -Steps up in the pocket. -Makes the throw to Anthony Simpson for a 30+ yard gain. We will see more of this in 2026.

Michigan Metal 〽️

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KATSEYE breaks down the variety of ways ‘Gnarly’ can be used by definition (good or bad) and Manon lets it be known that Tesla is definitely the BAD kind of gnarly #KATSEYE KATSEYE
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KATSEYE breaks down the variety of ways ‘Gnarly’ can be used by definition (good or bad) and Manon lets it be known that Tesla is definitely the BAD kind of gnarly #KATSEYE KATSEYE

KATSEYE News

302,331 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.
0:10

I just noticed that Andy Pages has a new "best catch of the year" according to catch probability, and it's a great example of how watching the advanced stats can tell you things you won't get from watching on TV. This was the last play of the game last Wednesday. Bogaerts hit the ball 102.3 MPH at a 15° launch angle, and Pages covered 45 feet in 2.9 seconds and did it so efficiently he didn't even have to leave his feet. Statcast has it at just a 5% catch probability.

Jeff J. Snider

121,230 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Gorou vs Tighnari An old one Too bad Tighnari is hard to generate now because of the filters🙃 #AIボクシング部 #Tighnari #Gorou
0:10

Gorou vs Tighnari An old one Too bad Tighnari is hard to generate now because of the filters🙃 #AIボクシング部 #Tighnari #Gorou

QWE

30,831 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

The Wii is an old console. It predates this particular kind of liberal lunacy by at LEAST a decade😂
0:12

The Wii is an old console. It predates this particular kind of liberal lunacy by at LEAST a decade😂

Fight With Memes

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