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Sensational catch by Ian Happ! 15% catch probability from Statcast, it's a 5-star play. Good jump. Happ covered 66 feet on the play, his best work is before the camera finds him, also a great full-extension catch:

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The WARmonger

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74,266 просмотров • 1 месяц назад •via X (Twitter)

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Great play by Owen Caissie on the liner. Just 10% catch probability on this ball from Statcast, it's a 5-star play for Caissie!
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Great play by Owen Caissie on the liner. Just 10% catch probability on this ball from Statcast, it's a 5-star play for Caissie!

The WARmonger

315,274 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Catch of the Day Jackson Chourio, Milwaukee Chourio breaks into the gap to snag this liner without a dive or slide, the best kind of highlight catch! 40% catch probability, it's a 4-star play. Chourio's jump was nearly seven feet above average, making a very tough play look routine because of his good work before the camera is on him:
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Catch of the Day Jackson Chourio, Milwaukee Chourio breaks into the gap to snag this liner without a dive or slide, the best kind of highlight catch! 40% catch probability, it's a 4-star play. Chourio's jump was nearly seven feet above average, making a very tough play look routine because of his good work before the camera is on him:

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26,434 просмотров • 13 дней назад

Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:
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Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:

The WARmonger

32,367 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.
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Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.

The WARmonger

55,840 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.
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This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

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437,897 просмотров • 1 год назад

Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!
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Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!

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205,582 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!
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New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!

The WARmonger

231,476 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).
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Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

The WARmonger

55,454 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.
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Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.

The WARmonger

99,789 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:
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Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:

The WARmonger

74,658 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

As I suspected last night, Andy Pages' robbery of Austin Wells was one of his best catches of the season. Statcast has it at 15% catch probability, with Pages going 63 feet in 3.8 seconds to make the grab. It's his fourth 5-star catch of the year.
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As I suspected last night, Andy Pages' robbery of Austin Wells was one of his best catches of the season. Statcast has it at 15% catch probability, with Pages going 63 feet in 3.8 seconds to make the grab. It's his fourth 5-star catch of the year.

Jeff J. Snider

99,565 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!
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Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

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345,224 просмотров • 1 год назад

Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era
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Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era

Expected Chop

94,822 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:
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"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:

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134,000 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed
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A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed

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60,633 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Catch of the Day- By the Numbers The first 5-star catch of the season for the reigning champ, Pete Crow-Armstrong! PCA did what he does best, making a 5% probability play look much easier than it was. 69 feet in 3.9 seconds with a smooth sliding grab.
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Catch of the Day- By the Numbers The first 5-star catch of the season for the reigning champ, Pete Crow-Armstrong! PCA did what he does best, making a 5% probability play look much easier than it was. 69 feet in 3.9 seconds with a smooth sliding grab.

The WARmonger

112,677 просмотров • 6 месяцев назад

Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.
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Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.

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26,052 просмотров • 3 месяцев назад