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Sensational catch by Ian Happ! 15% catch probability from Statcast, it's a 5-star play. Good jump. Happ covered 66 feet on the play, his best work is before the camera finds him, also a great full-extension catch:

The WARmonger

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73,783 views • 2 days ago •via X (Twitter)

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Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:

Dylan Crews- 15% catch probability on this ball from Statcast +.85 OAA. Crews covered 107 feet on the play:

The WARmonger

32,364 views • 1 month ago

Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.

Another day, another 5-star catch for Pete Crow-Armstrong. This one Wednesday night. His 9th on the season in 13 opportunities. 25% catch probability on this ball from Statcast. The magic happens before the camera is on him. Pete is #1 in average outfield jump by a good amount.

The WARmonger

55,601 views • 19 days ago

This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

This is the kind of play that eye testers have a hard time with, but also shows why catch probability is so useful. This ball had just a 55% catch probability, and is just made to look so easy by Ceddanne Rafaela. It's all about what you don't see on the screen, because it happens before the camera is on the play. The jump is 9.0 feet above average. He was positioned well into right-center. Lesser outfielders win catch on the week on this one with a full extension dive.

The WARmonger

437,897 views • 1 year ago

Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!

Andy Pages made the first 5-star catch of the season last night, just a 5% catch probability on this one according to Statcast! Pages covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds with the sliding grab. Add a big homer to his +1.2 OAA and Pages is off to a great start!

The WARmonger

205,582 views • 4 months ago

New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!

New acquisition Tyrone Taylor filled in as the Cubs CF yesterday and made one of the best catches of the day. 15% catch probability on this one, and that doesn't consider dodging Ian Happ as he makes the play!

The WARmonger

230,928 views • 5 days ago

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

Catch of the Day- By The Numbers Cam Smith covers an incredible 137 feet to snag this foul ball off the bat of Zach Neto. Statcast gives it just a 20% catch probability, it's Smith's first 5-star grab of the season. +.8 OAA on this play. According to my search, Smith covered more ground than any outfielder did on a catch during all of 2025 (136 feet by Nathan Lukes).

The WARmonger

55,409 views • 4 months ago

Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.

Absurd catch yesterday by Jacob Young of the Nationals. Just 2% catch probability on this one from Statcast (rounds up to 5%). Why doesn't it look that hard for Young? His jump was one of the best of the year, over 12 feet above average.

The WARmonger

99,789 views • 2 months ago

Daulton Varsho: *3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career *6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove

Daulton Varsho: 3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career 6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove

Chris Black

39,940 views • 2 years ago

Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:

Great play by Kahlil Watson this afternoon! 30% catch probability on this ball for now from Statcast. He actually played it so well he won't make any highlight reels, his jump was ~8 feet above average! A lesser outfielder on this play would be trailing behind Watson and have to make a more spectacular "catch" to get to this one:

The WARmonger

74,658 views • 1 month ago

As I suspected last night, Andy Pages' robbery of Austin Wells was one of his best catches of the season. Statcast has it at 15% catch probability, with Pages going 63 feet in 3.8 seconds to make the grab. It's his fourth 5-star catch of the year.

As I suspected last night, Andy Pages' robbery of Austin Wells was one of his best catches of the season. Statcast has it at 15% catch probability, with Pages going 63 feet in 3.8 seconds to make the grab. It's his fourth 5-star catch of the year.

Jeff J. Snider

99,553 views • 24 days ago

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

Pete Crow-Armstrong is a wizard in CF! Two plays! 🧵 Play One: How good is PCA? This ball (a single) had a ZERO PERCENT catch probability! He covered an insane 43 feet in his "jump", and the play didn't even last long enough to be considered a full jump!

The WARmonger

345,170 views • 1 year ago

Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a ***5% CATCH PROBABILITY*** White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era

Braves fans will focus on the Dubón RBIs and the Eli White throw, but there's another play that saved the game This play had a 5% CATCH PROBABILITY White covered 93 feet in 4.9 seconds. One of the best Braves plays this season, and of the Statcast era

Expected Chop

94,770 views • 1 month ago

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:

"Pete Crow-Armstrong, who gets the best jumps of just about anybody in the world". Statcast agrees, with PCA averaging 5.1 feet above average on his jumps (#1 by a good amount, almost all of that before the camera is on him). Makes the "catch" look quite easy because it is. 35% out probability on this ball:

The WARmonger

133,547 views • 1 month ago

🚨 5-Star Alert 🚨 We have one, folks. Kyle Isbel in St. Louis. 15% catch probability. +6.8 feet of jump above average, positioned well into LF. He got up to 26.4 ft/sec in short time, full extension on the catch! Full field view is a must (1st comment, full-screen it)

🚨 5-Star Alert 🚨 We have one, folks. Kyle Isbel in St. Louis. 15% catch probability. +6.8 feet of jump above average, positioned well into LF. He got up to 26.4 ft/sec in short time, full extension on the catch! Full field view is a must (1st comment, full-screen it)

The WARmonger

166,614 views • 1 year ago

A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed

A clutch catch from Colton Cowser in center field to potentially save this game. Here are the Statcast metrics on this one: 45% catch probability +4-foot jump 86 feet traveled 29 ft/sec top speed

Jacob Calvin Meyer

60,633 views • 1 month ago

Catch of the Day- By the Numbers The first 5-star catch of the season for the reigning champ, Pete Crow-Armstrong! PCA did what he does best, making a 5% probability play look much easier than it was. 69 feet in 3.9 seconds with a smooth sliding grab.

Catch of the Day- By the Numbers The first 5-star catch of the season for the reigning champ, Pete Crow-Armstrong! PCA did what he does best, making a 5% probability play look much easier than it was. 69 feet in 3.9 seconds with a smooth sliding grab.

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112,677 views • 4 months ago

Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.

Statcast gave Leody Taveras a 60% catch probability on this two-out double from Jesús Sánchez. Taveras' jump was negative 9.6 feet, per Statcast. This double drove in one run and the Blue Jays scored another later in the inning.

Jacob Calvin Meyer

26,052 views • 2 months ago

Pretty routine catch by Cam Smith, no? No. Only 60% of MLB outfielders catch this ball, and most make it look much tougher, many even diving. Why? It's what happens before the camera is on the play. The jump, and then the route. Jump: +5.6 feet above average Route: 99% route efficiency (Oh, and he homered twice as well, let the kids play!)

Pretty routine catch by Cam Smith, no? No. Only 60% of MLB outfielders catch this ball, and most make it look much tougher, many even diving. Why? It's what happens before the camera is on the play. The jump, and then the route. Jump: +5.6 feet above average Route: 99% route efficiency (Oh, and he homered twice as well, let the kids play!)

The WARmonger

318,530 views • 1 year ago

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

The WARmonger

324,332 views • 1 year ago

This play had a 0% catch probability and a 0% catch actuality (but only just barely)! Pete Crow-Armstrong is going to spoil the curve for lesser outfielders!

This play had a 0% catch probability and a 0% catch actuality (but only just barely)! Pete Crow-Armstrong is going to spoil the curve for lesser outfielders!

The WARmonger

1,106,931 views • 1 year ago