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How low does Bitcoin go from here? It's probably not as bad as you may think. 200-week moving average? $61,000. Realized price? $54,000. A repeat of 2022? $42,000. We've already fallen 50%. The hard part is mostly behind us.

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Joe Consorti

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25,373 views • 1 month ago •via X (Twitter)

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58,694 views • 1 month ago

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Everybody is sharing the same Bitcoin chart right now... "200-week moving average broke. Here comes another June 2022." But I think that comparison is missing something important. Why are we not also talking about the bullish divergence on the weekly RSI that happened in December 2022 (not June)? Or the fact that altcoins actually bottomed before Bitcoin in 2022? Every cycle looks different. Cherry-picking one fractal from one cycle doesn't tell the whole story. I continue to think no one knows for sure, but one thing seems clear; we are in opportunity zone. And I think most agree with that. Intro 00:00 Is every cycle the same? 2:00 Bullish divergence 3:00 Monthly chart clues 4:50 Total market cap 6:45 Altcoin bottom 11:20

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1:48

"I worry the world is just becoming a lot more correlated. That's my big worry. That if things ever did go down the drain, there's nowhere to hide." - tylercowen on the rush into precious metals "We've realized Bitcoin is not a hedge. Where else do you go?" "The rest of the world seems a bit crazy, Europe is still slow growth. [So] you pick the precious metals. They're like the new meme stocks. That's fine. I don't think it has major significance, but look, it's not good news." "People will keep on looking [for a store of value]. They look at different things. But if you want something that does not positively covary with Treasuries, good luck. Send me an email when you find it. It turned out Bitcoin is super positively covarying with a lot of other US assets, which again is good news for the US. It may not be good news for those seeking to hedge."

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flame⛧

14,722 views • 1 month ago

I believe the top is in for this cycle, and I'm treating this as a typical 4-year cycle with a low being put in around 1 year from the top (Oct 2026). My plan has always been to trade trends until they break. If we get back above the 50-week moving average and 200-day moving average, then I will reassess. I've been talking about the trendline that connects the 2017 top, 2021 top, and 2025 top, but I honestly expected alts to run at the end of the year... let's see
0:20

I believe the top is in for this cycle, and I'm treating this as a typical 4-year cycle with a low being put in around 1 year from the top (Oct 2026). My plan has always been to trade trends until they break. If we get back above the 50-week moving average and 200-day moving average, then I will reassess. I've been talking about the trendline that connects the 2017 top, 2021 top, and 2025 top, but I honestly expected alts to run at the end of the year... let's see

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REPORTER: "The average price of a gallon of gas is now $4.30 in this country..." PRESIDENT TRUMP: "And you know what? And we're not going to have a nuclear weapon in the hands of Iran." "The gas will go down. As soon as the war is over, it'll drop like a rock. There's so much of it. It's all over the place, sitting all over the oceans of the world."
0:36

REPORTER: "The average price of a gallon of gas is now $4.30 in this country..." PRESIDENT TRUMP: "And you know what? And we're not going to have a nuclear weapon in the hands of Iran." "The gas will go down. As soon as the war is over, it'll drop like a rock. There's so much of it. It's all over the place, sitting all over the oceans of the world."

Fox News

2,973,919 views • 2 months ago

Kalshi's Bitcoin market reveals 54% of people think Bitcoin is going below $50,000 "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026, people think it's gonna be real bad. The majority of this is clustered all the way below current price. Some people think we might get to 75, but nobody really thinking that we go higher" "How low will Bitcoin get this year? 63% think below 55. 54%, a majority of people betting with their actual United States dollar, think that Bitcoin's going below $50,000. Below 45, 42%, that's still a lot to me" "People are betting actual money, below 30, below 40 thousand dollars, 31%. Tells me that very few people believe that this market is bottoming at all"
0:53

Kalshi's Bitcoin market reveals 54% of people think Bitcoin is going below $50,000 "Bitcoin price at the end of 2026, people think it's gonna be real bad. The majority of this is clustered all the way below current price. Some people think we might get to 75, but nobody really thinking that we go higher" "How low will Bitcoin get this year? 63% think below 55. 54%, a majority of people betting with their actual United States dollar, think that Bitcoin's going below $50,000. Below 45, 42%, that's still a lot to me" "People are betting actual money, below 30, below 40 thousand dollars, 31%. Tells me that very few people believe that this market is bottoming at all"

The Wolf Of All Streets

82,978 views • 7 days ago

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FactPost

74,248 views • 5 months ago