Adam Livingston
@AdamBLiv • 87,026 subscribers
The Bitcoin Wizard | Author of The Great Harvest | @BitcoinForCorps | Advisor @saturn_credit | MSTR + MTPLF + ASST HODLER |
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Why are we at $63,000 Bitcoin in 2026... and why will it be $200k soon? Let me tell you. Because the move above $100,000 was the largest economic changing of the guard Bitcoin has ever seen. And almost everyone is looking at the aftermath backwards. Bitcoin spent 340 days in its six-figure regime. On December 8, 2024, Bitcoin closed at roughly $101,000. By November 12, 2025, it was still roughly $101,000. Price change? Basically ZERO. But underneath the surface, something absolutely enormous happened. Bitcoin's realized price - essentially the aggregate on-chain cost basis of the network - exploded from $38,233 to $56,194. That's +47%. Read that again. Bitcoin spent almost a YEAR going sideways while the economic acquisition basis underneath the entire asset repriced nearly 50% higher. Why? Because OGs were selling. And for the first time in Bitcoin's history, the market had enough liquidity at six-figure prices to absorb an absolutely gigantic redistribution of ancient coins. The data is insane. During this period, the trailing-year share of spent Bitcoin coming from: 2+ year old coins reached the 99.2nd percentile historically. 5+ year old coins reached the 99.7th percentile. 10+ year old coins reached roughly the 98th percentile. Long-Term Holder Coin Days Destroyed confirms the same thing. 2025 produced 5.79 BILLION LTH coin-days destroyed. The highest calendar-year total in the dataset. Even higher than 2017. And 58% higher than 2021. Combine 2024 + 2025 and you get: 11.47 BILLION long-term-holder coin-days destroyed. That's 47% more than the 2016–2017 cycle. And 65% more than 2020–2021. This was an enormous transfer of Bitcoin from ancient, low-cost-basis holders into an entirely new ownership base. At the end of 2023, coins older than two years represented 40.8% of Bitcoin's realized capitalization. By November 2025? 13.2%. And capital represented by coins younger than one year exploded from 43.8% to 74.1%. That's the changing of the guard. Think about what actually happens economically when an OG who bought Bitcoin at $1,000 sells it for $100,000. The supply of Bitcoin doesn't change. But the CHARACTER of that supply changes dramatically. The seller had a 100x embedded gain and enormous incentive to monetize. The new buyer has a $100,000 cost basis. You have replaced an incredibly profitable latent seller... ...with someone who just committed $100,000 of fresh capital to own the exact same coin. Do this across millions of economically ancient coins and you haven't merely changed ownership. You have RECAPITALIZED the network. Bitcoin eventually fell almost 50% from its $124,700 ATH. Yet realized price barely gave back the enormous increase created during the redistribution. At the first $100k close, the realized price was $38,233. Today the realized price is ~$52,645. So while spot Bitcoin fell from $101k to ~$62k... The aggregate network cost basis is STILL 38% HIGHER. The price got crushed. The capitalization reset survived. And now comes the part I think almost everyone is missing. Those "new buyers" aren't new anymore. At the end of the six-figure regime, coins aged 6 months–2 years represented about 32.8% of realized cap. Today? 59.2%. Nearly SIXTY PERCENT of Bitcoin's realized capitalization now sits in coins that haven't moved for 6–24 months. The hot money is seasoning. The new ownership cohort is becoming the long-term holder cohort. And ancient-holder spending has COLLAPSED from its 2025 highs. On a trailing 180-day basis: 2+ year spending intensity: down ~62%. 3+ year: down ~69%. 5+ year: down ~51%. The OG supply avalanche is drying up. So zoom out. In 2024–2025, old, massively profitable holders distributed into unprecedented liquidity. Bitcoin absorbed it. The network cost basis exploded higher. Price eventually corrected. The new holders DIDN'T collectively dump their coins back onto the market. They aged. Now Bitcoin sits around $62,000 with a realized price near $52,600. The speculative premium has been annihilated. At $100k, Bitcoin traded around 2.65x realized price. Today? About 1.19x. The market has compressed almost all the way back toward aggregate cost basis... AFTER one of the largest economic ownership resets in Bitcoin history. And this is where $200,000 becomes interesting. Bitcoin just needs another demand expansion against a supply base that has already been dramatically recapitalized. If realized price climbs toward $70,000 during the next expansion... $200,000 Bitcoin would represent about 2.86x realized price. The peak of the most recent cycle was already ~2.77x. In other words... you don't need 2017 insanity. You don't even need 2021 insanity. You need continued capitalization of the network combined with a holder base that is now dramatically less eager to sell at the prices where the previous generation unloaded. THAT is the setup. The $100,000 was a massive clearing event. Bitcoin used six-figure liquidity to transfer ancient coins out of the hands of people sitting on absurd gains... ...and into the hands of investors willing to capitalize the network at vastly higher prices. Then the bear market compressed the speculative premium while leaving much of that higher cost basis intact. Now the coins are aging. OG spending is fading. The network has been recapitalized. And the next wave of demand will be competing against a very different supply curve. $62,000 Bitcoin looks depressing if you're staring at the chart. It looks completely different when you look at WHO owns the coins now. This may be the most important holder redistribution Bitcoin has ever experienced. And I think we're watching the foundation for the move to $200,000+ being built in real time.
Adam Livingston111,421 просмотров • 17 дней назад
Saylor succinctly explains difference between MSTR and all the different Strategy credit instruments in 3 minutes. This should be your go-to video for the quick primer for anyone in your life who wants to easily understand the different investments.
Adam Livingston1,801,458 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад
Saylor telling you how you can get 10% tax-free dividends with $STRC: "The tax-equivalent yield is 16-20%. It's like a bank paying you 20% interest. It's because we're built on Bitcoin. A Bitcoin treasury company is the most tax-efficient fixed income generator in the world."
Adam Livingston1,042,912 просмотров • 10 месяцев назад
BITCOIN is about to EXPLODE: Bitcoin is sitting around $63k, down roughly 50% from the ATH, basically stapled to its 4-year moving average. So I ran 20,000 historically conditioned Monte Carlo paths from here. The model uses actual historical Bitcoin return blocks and conditions on the kind of state we’re in now: BTC near its 4-year MA 90-day return deeply negative drawdown near 50% realized volatility compressed long-term moving average still rising Then I asked a simple question: What tends to happen next if Bitcoin behaves like Bitcoin? Here’s the raw 24-month distribution: 10th percentile: $79K 25th percentile: $108K Median: $179K 75th percentile: $255K 90th percentile: $402K Median outcome: $63K → $179K That’s roughly a +183% total return (68% CAGR) In the middle of a bear market. While everyone is currently examining a -2.7% candle like the Warren Commission examining the Zapruder film. The path to those outcomes is also aggressively Bitcoin. Across the simulations: 93.3% suffer a 30%+ drawdown somewhere along the way. Median maximum drawdown: -42.7% So the model is basically saying: “Congratulations. You may become much richer. First, however, Bitcoin would like to put your nervous system in a Home Depot paint shaker.” The simulation practically expects emotional property damage. But when I look at this distribution, the question becomes less: “What if Bitcoin drops again?” and more: “What if this is the part everyone remembers later as obvious?” Bear markets are where conviction gets tested. Sometimes they’re also where the future CAGR is quietly being manufactured while everyone else is refreshing the chart and developing a magnesium deficiency:
Adam Livingston59,659 просмотров • 20 дней назад
🔥$150K BITCOIN IMMINENT?!? THIS SETUP IS INSANE!🔥 Gold already moved. Bitcoin may be next - VIOLENTLY. Since 2016, every completed monthly setup where gold beat Bitcoin by at least 40 percentage points over the prior year saw BTC higher 12 months later. Today, that gap is over 60 points - a 95th-percentile regime. In this video I break down the gold/BTC signal, Bitcoin’s 200-day recovery, liquidity, QQQ, M2, volatility, and why the historical center of gravity points toward roughly $150,000 Bitcoin. Gold is the smoke detector. Bitcoin is the gas line. THIS WILL BLOW YOUR MIND:
Adam Livingston14,458 просмотров • 4 дней назад
🔥COFFEEZILLA REFUTED - STRC IS THE GREATEST FIXED INCOME INVESTMENT EVER🔥 Coffeezilla just made an 18 minute CHARACTER ASSASSINATION on Strategy by saying it was comparable to a PONZI SCHEME. He made ZERO arguments in his video, provided ZERO mechanisms by which the structure is fraudulent, and provided ZERO proof that Strategy hasn't disclosed the proper risks. This didn't stop thousands of people from immediately thinking that Strategy is FRAUDELENT. DO BETTER, COFFEEZILLA. THIS IS YOUR RECKONING:
Adam Livingston294,004 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад
🔥SAYLOR HAS WON: THE BITCOIN SINGULARITY IS HERE🔥 THIS IS THE BIGGEST STORY IN FINANCE. THE BEARS ARE ON LIFE SUPPORT. ASSUMING LAST WEEK'S CAPTURE RATE, STRATEGY JUST RAISED MORE THAN THEIR ENTIRE ANNUAL DIVIDEND OBLIGATION... ...IN ONE TRADING SESSION... ...WITH ZERO MSTR ISSUANCE NEEDED. $1.2 BILLION OF BITCOIN PURCHASED IN ONE DAY. THE CAPITAL FROM THE WORLD'S LARGEST INCOME POOL IS FLOODING INTO BITCOIN. STRC. THE GREATEST SHARPE RATIO IN HISTORY. 11.5% YIELD. 1.7% VOLATILITY. HIGH LIQUIDITY. NOTHING CAN COMPETE WITH SAYLOR'S BITCOIN WAR MACHINE. THIS IS THE GREATEST WEALTH TRANSFER IN THE HISTORY OF HUMANITY:
Adam Livingston243,412 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад
I ran a BRUTAL 3-year MSTR stress test. Not the cute kind. The “Bitcoin crashes 55% from here, mNAV collapses below 0.50x, capital markets are closed, cash gets burned, BTC has to be sold to pay the senior stack, and everyone on X is filming their victory lap in the clown mirror” kind. Starting point: BTC: $59,135 MSTR: $87.64 Total BTC: 847,363 Cash: $1.4B CEBE: 138,161 sats/share Claim ratio: 41.5% Then the model nukes BTC to $26,611 by month 6. The senior stack does exactly what fixed-dollar claims do when collateral crashes. It explodes in BTC terms. Senior claims go from 351,567 BTC to 819,073 BTC. Claim ratio spikes from 41.5% to 96.7%. Common equity BTC collapses from 495,796 BTC to 28,290 BTC. CEBE gets annihilated: 138,161 sats/share → 7,884 sats/share. MSTR stock gets modeled from $87.64 to $1.01. That is the horror movie. Would the stock price actually go this low in that scenario? I doubt it. 2022 had NEGATIVE -14,000+ of common equity sats exposure and the stock never dropped below $10. But here is where the bear case gets uncomfortable. The model assumes: Zero new BTC buys. Zero common issuance. $167.7M/month of obligations. Cash gone by month 9. BTC sales begin after cash is exhausted. Over 3 years, MSTR sells 115,727 BTC to keep servicing the stack. That is real damage. But it still ends with 731,636 BTC. Final state: BTC: $48,498 MSTR: $51.86 mNAV: 1.40x Common equity BTC: 274,093 CEBE: 76,380 sats/share Claim ratio: 62.5% MSTR survives. The common gets dragged through flaming glass for 18 months, but it survives. The real risk is not “instant bankruptcy" like all the FUD spreaders are telling you. The real risk is CEBE compression while fixed-dollar senior claims temporarily consume almost the entire Bitcoin stack in BTC-equivalent terms. Survival is not comfort. But death spiral? This model says no.
Adam Livingston122,179 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
I think MSTR could go to around all-time high at only a 1.4x mNAV + $150k BTC. $150k Bitcoin is going to be incredibly cheap compared to the long term trend 1 year from now. If we start the climb back now, STRC gets turned back w/ $2b per month issued, and $500m of MSTR gets issued per month. This pace would still be under their 2026 YTD capital raising pace. The beach ball is being held underwater it's just waiting for Bitcoin to move.
Adam Livingston113,938 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад
The Ultimate Beginner's Guide to STRC + MSTR Is Strategy running a ponzi scheme? No. This is video, I take an objective, no-nonsense approach to explaining STRC, MSTR, and the risks behind both. I go into detail of Strategy's strategy so your grandma can understand this perfectly. Whether you want to get paid 11.5% annual dividends, paid monthly with STRC... ...or you want amplified Bitcoin exposure via MSTR. This is the ultimate beginner's guide to understanding Strategy:
Adam Livingston211,891 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад
SAYLOR NOW PAYING 11% CASH DIVIDENDS WITH STRC - TOO GOOD TO BE TRUE? They told you 11% paid monthly must be a scam. They said it was “too risky.” They said “where are the cash flows?” Then they went back to buying government bonds from a country that can’t pay its bills without printing. In this video, I break down STRC, Michael Saylor’s income vehicle paying 11% cash, paid monthly, and why it’s making traditional finance people short-circuit. This is what happens when a product: • Already has decades of dividend coverage on the balance sheet • Doesn’t need refinancing windows to stay alive • Doesn’t depend on consumers, confidence, or GDP fairy tales • Pays real cash while fiat melts quietly Meanwhile, the same critics call it “dangerous” while lending money to: • Governments running permanent deficits • Corporations drowning in rollover debt • Pensions powered by optimism and vibes We’re going to walk through why STRC is being priced like junk credit despite behaving nothing like it, how cash-backed income breaks the modern risk framework, and why people trained on spreadsheets panic when money actually already exists.
Adam Livingston354,949 просмотров • 8 месяцев назад
🔥BITCOIN HITS $80K - FULL MSTR + ASST UPDATE!🔥 Bitcoin just broke through $80,000 - but the price move may be only half the story. Strive just acquired another 1,110 BTC for $81.5 million, growing its Bitcoin treasury by roughly 5.5% in a single week. Meanwhile, Strategy has built approximately $6.69 billion of dollar liquidity around its enormous 840,447 BTC reserve while repurchasing $136 million of STRC. In this video I break down the new Strive and Strategy capital stacks, CEBE changes, what every $1,000 move in Bitcoin now does to Strategy's balance sheet, the historical Bitcoin cycle setup, and why the combination of rising BTC prices and increasingly sophisticated corporate Bitcoin treasury machines could become an extraordinary capital flywheel:
Adam Livingston17,546 просмотров • 10 дней назад
🔥METAPLANET = INSANE OPPORTUNITY🔥 I think everyone is SEVERELY underappreciating what Metaplanet is building out in Japan. If Metaplanet can borrow at 4.15% today and carry that debt until Bitcoin reaches $1 million, the economics for existing shareholders resemble selling common equity at more than TEN TIMES NAV. Yup. Imagine being able to issue equity to buy Bitcoin at a 10x mNAV. Let's break it down. The first BitBond issuance was tiny, roughly ¥200 million, or $1.3 million. The pipe behind it could eventually become enormous. Metaplanet can now issue ordinary yen-denominated bonds through its own securities subsidiary, pay investors around 4.15%, use the capital to buy Bitcoin, and roll the principal into new bonds every three years. The bondholders receive a fixed yield in yen. Metaplanet’s common shareholders capture everything Bitcoin earns above that cost of capital. Here’s how absurdly powerful the math gets. Metaplanet borrows $1 at 4.15% and buys $1 of Bitcoin. After 3 years, that $1 of debt has grown to approximately $1.13 if we assume the interest is financed and rolled. If Bitcoin doubles, the Bitcoin is worth $2. Pay the $1.13 obligation and common shareholders are left with $0.87 of incremental equity without issuing a single common share. Economically, that is equivalent to selling common equity at roughly 1.77× mNAV: $2.00 of Bitcoin ÷ $1.13 bond obligation = 1.77×. Starting with Bitcoin around $63,000: At $100,000 BTC, the bond behaves like equity issued at 1.41× mNAV. At $150,000 BTC, it behaves like equity issued at 2.11× mNAV. At $200,000 BTC, it behaves like equity issued at 2.81× mNAV. That matters enormously while Metaplanet’s common stock trades around or below NAV. Selling common shares down here would dilute existing shareholders. BitBonds allow the company to acquire more Bitcoin per share while waiting for the common-stock premium to return. Now extend this idea over the next decade. Assume Bitcoin rises from $63,000 to $1 million over 10 years. Every $1 of Bitcoin purchased today becomes $15.87. $1 borrowed at 4.15% and continuously rolled becomes approximately $1.50 owed. Common shareholders capture the remaining $14.37. The mNAV-equivalent financing multiple becomes: 15.87 ÷ 1.50 = 10.57× mNAV. Read that again. Yes. I'll repeat it for you. Metaplanet can borrow at 4.15% today and carry that debt until Bitcoin reaches $1 million, the economics for existing shareholders resemble selling common equity at more than TEN TIMES NAV. So I modeled a simple scenario. Metaplanet begins with 43,000 BTC at $63,000, giving it roughly $2.71 billion of Bitcoin. It then maintains 10% balance-sheet amplification all the way to $1 million Bitcoin. Gross BTC exposure stays at 1.10× common equity. New bonds are issued monthly at 4.15%, and every bond is rolled after three years. The opening issuance would be approximately $271 million, buying another 4,300 BTC immediately. As Bitcoin appreciates, the balance sheet creates additional borrowing capacity. Metaplanet keeps issuing enough to maintain the same conservative 10% amplification instead of allowing leverage to run wild. Average monthly issuance begins around $8 million during year one. Once the three-year rollover cycle starts, new issuance plus refinancings average approximately: $37 million per month in year 3 $72 million per month in year 6 $101 million per month in year 8 $192 million per month in year 10 Across the full decade, the company issues approximately $8.9 billion of gross bonds, including around $3.5 billion of refinanced maturities. Here is where Metaplanet ends when Bitcoin reaches $1 million (not a prediction, just a projection of these inputs): 59,727 BTC $59.73 billion of gross Bitcoin assets $5.43 billion of outstanding debt $54.30 billion of common NAV Without BitBonds, the original 43,000 BTC would simply be worth $43 billion. The bond strategy therefore creates approximately $11.30 billion of additional common equity. Same common shareholders. Same original 43,000 BTC starting point. Approximately 16,727 additional Bitcoin accumulated through controlled balance-sheet amplification. That produces 26.3% more NAV per share at $1 million Bitcoin without common-share dilution from the bond program. Of course, they still need buyers for the bonds. They must stagger maturities, maintain adequate liquidity, service the coupons and avoid building some psychotic refinancing wall during a Bitcoin bear market. The relevant hurdle is also BTC measured in yen, rather than dollars. But at 10% amplification, Bitcoin only needs to outperform a 4.15% yen cost of capital for the strategy to become accretive. Metaplanet owns 43,000 Bitcoin and now owns the securities platform capable of distributing its debt directly into Japan’s gigantic market for fixed-income savings. This is becoming much bigger than a Bitcoin treasury company. They are building a machine that converts Japanese demand for fixed yen yield into permanently increasing Bitcoin per common share. The bondholders get 4.15%. Metaplanet shareholders get everything Bitcoin does above it for the next decade. Short fiat. Long Bitcoin. This trade is OBSCENE:
Adam Livingston29,566 просмотров • 19 дней назад
WHY $STRF IS THE GREATEST FIXED INCOME PRODUCT EVER The death of legacy fixed income is here. Michael Saylor, Bitcoin, and Strategy are here with $STRF to fill that gap. I aim to give a comprehensive breakdown of the most mind-blowing financial instrument today:
Adam Livingston520,684 просмотров • 1 год назад
I TESTED EVERY POSSIBLE BITCOIN VS. MSTR TRADE No cherry-picked years or convenient cycle bottoms here. Every possible entry and exit across 1,496 shared trading days from August 10, 2020 through July 24, 2026. 1,118,260 holding periods. MSTR beat Bitcoin in 68.75% of them. But that headline conceals the real discovery... that MSTR was basically a coin toss over short periods. 1 week: 46.8% win rate 1 month: 47.2% 3 months: 48.0% 6 months: 52.0% 1 year: 54.4% Over weeks and months, MSTR was louder Bitcoin with a necktie and a caffeine problem. Then time entered the room. 2 years: 64.0% win rate 3 years: 86.7% 4 years: 100.0% 5 years: 84.5% The median 4-year MSTR investment produced 108.6% more terminal wealth than Bitcoin. That means the median MSTR holder finished with approximately 2.09× as much money as the equivalent Bitcoin holder. And when every holding period of at least a certain length is included: 1+ years: MSTR won 76.0% 2+ years: 86.9% 3+ years: 96.1% 4+ years: 96.6% 5+ years: 92.3% Across the entire dataset: Median MSTR return: +127.5% Median Bitcoin return: +62.2% Median MSTR wealth advantage: +33.1% From the beginning of the study: $10,000 in MSTR became $74,167. $10,000 in Bitcoin became $53,951. The decisive variable was time in the market. MSTR wins by giving the machine enough runway to work.
Adam Livingston48,800 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
🔥 THE BITCOIN BEAR MARKET IS DEAD 🔥 Bitcoin touched $79,200. IBIT vacuumed up $1.1 BILLION in 4 days. NUPL recovered faster than after the 2018 and 2022 washouts. Metaplanet and ASST gained roughly 47% this week, which is apparently what traditional finance now calls prudent hospitality and asset management. The bears spent six months drawing arrows to $40,000 from a rented WeWork desk, whispering “macro” into a Blue Yeti microphone while their shorts were slowly converted into institutional exit liquidity. FULL BREAKDOWN:
Adam Livingston17,348 просмотров • 13 дней назад
🚨SAYLOR DESTROYS ALL CRITICS WITH USD CASH RESERVE - STRATEGY UPDATE 12.1.25🚨 Michael Saylor just broke the brains of every critic who spent 5 years predicting Strategy’s collapse. The $1.44B cash reserve announcement completely destroys the “LUNA 2.0” narrative and exposes how unserious the crypto commentariat really is. Strategy holds 650,000 BTC and enough cash to run the company for nearly two years with ZERO BITCOIN SELLING. In this video, I walk through the entire update like adults while laughing at the panic influencers who still think “MSTR bad” is a sophisticated thesis. S&P Global got addressed directly. Insolvency claims got vaporized. Market access concerns got resolved in real time. Critics are now scrambling to pretend they understood any of this. Watch the breakdown. Watch the receipts. Watch the complete destruction of the “death spiral” storyline. Strategy is not failing. Strategy is expanding. THE CRITICS ARE FAILING:
Adam Livingston244,611 просмотров • 9 месяцев назад
🚀WHAT PRICE WILL MSTR BE AT $1 MILLION BITCOIN?🚀 I handicapped the absolute hell out of this model. Bitcoin rises from $65,993 to $1,000,000 over 8 full years. The entire STR preferred stack remains at a 12% dividend rate for all 96 months. The rate never declines. MSTR common stock is issued to fund every dollar of dividends, so shareholders absorb the dilution. No additional debt is added. No MSTR is sold at a premium to acquire Bitcoin... EVER. mNAV is only permitted to rise modestly as STRC scales. Strategy has already raised approximately $16.4 billion in 2026 through July 19, a roughly $29.9 billion annualized pace. Yet these scenarios allow only $0 to $6 billion of annual STRC issuance: $0/month - no STRC ever issued | 1.023× mNAV | $2,100 MSTR | 21.08× return | 1.39× Bitcoin’s multiple (+39%) $100M/month | $1.2B/year, 4% of current pace | 1.10× mNAV | $2,292 MSTR | 23.01× | 1.52× Bitcoin (+52%) $200M/month | $2.4B/year, 8% of pace | 1.20× mNAV | $2,540 MSTR | 25.50× | 1.68× Bitcoin (+68%) $300M/month | $3.6B/year, 12% of pace | 1.30× mNAV | $2,796 MSTR | 28.07× | 1.85× Bitcoin (+85%) $400M/month | $4.8B/year, 16% of pace | 1.40× mNAV | $3,060 MSTR | 30.73× | 2.03× Bitcoin (+103%) $500M/month | $6B/year, 20% of pace | 1.50× mNAV | $3,333 MSTR | 33.47× | 2.21× Bitcoin (+121%) Bitcoin itself returns 15.15×. The most important result is the first one. With zero new STRC issuance and absolutely zero mNAV expansion, MSTR still reaches approximately $2,100 and outperforms Bitcoin. Stock Multiple = BTC Multiple × CEBE Sats/Share Multiple × CEBE mNAV Multiple 15.15× BTC appreciation × 1.39× CEBE sats/share accretion × 1.00× mNAV change = 21.08× MSTR. The amplification is already embedded in the balance sheet. The market does not need to award MSTR a higher valuation multiple for it to work. Even in the $500M monthly STRC scenario, Strategy finishes with only 987,098 Bitcoin. Yes, the $3,333 model example includes a scenario where they fail to reach 1 million BTC in the next 8 years. If Bitcoin goes up... the machine works:
Adam Livingston46,237 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Gold is the largest asset on Earth: $28 trillion of monetary memory trapped in rock. Bitcoin is $1.3 trillion. It has captured just 4.6% of gold’s value, leaving roughly 21.6× of runway before the flip. Even after a vicious bear market, Bitcoin’s two-year moving average still buys 25.81 ounces of gold - down just 0.9% YoY. Bitcoin is scarcer, infinitely more portable, divisible, instantly settled and independently verifiable. Gold won because it was the best money physics allowed. Bitcoin wins because physics upgraded. Be on the right side of history. Buy Bitcoin.
Adam Livingston49,663 просмотров • 1 месяц назад
Strategy spent 1,554 days stacking its first 252,220 BTC. 162 BTC/day. Since November 2024? 591,486 BTC in 568 days. 1,041 BTC/day. That is a 6.4x acceleration. ~31,700 BTC/month. ~380,000 BTC/year run rate. And the mouth-breathing crypto traders on here are criticizing this, thinking it's on the verge of collapse. The machine is just getting started, and they hate that. Bullish $MSTR.
Adam Livingston78,163 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад