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“If AI is technologically possible, it is inevitable.” - Dwarkesh Patel We’re mid-Cambrian Explosion: • 4× annual jump in frontier-model spend • Energy demand will hit nation-state scale by 2028 • Chips & compute racing toward $ 1Tn+ industries This is the Scaling Era—a new normal written in real...

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Limitless

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18,823 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Limitlessvor 11 Monaten

Listen or watch on your favorite platform here:

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Navor 11 Monaten

@dwarkesh_sp 31:25 models have to feel it in their bones (weights), just like humans tie their identity to a job and develop instuition and familiar routine of working paths. So my guess is there will be countless individually trained models distilled from largest models.

Profilbild von PIN AI
PIN AIvor 11 Monaten

@dwarkesh_sp AGI seems inevitable, but who it serves is uncertain. The Scaling Era will shape both its abilities and values. PIN AI aims for a future where your AI responds to you, not big tech.

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Dwarkesh says the Age of Scaling isn’t over. Companies will keep pouring exponentially more compute into training because the value of intelligence is so high, it’s worth even $1 trillion if it gets us to AGI. Right now, compute usage for frontier models grows ~4x per year, but by 2028–2030, physical and economic limits (chips, energy, GDP) will take progress slower. A 160x increase in four years can’t go on.
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new website with Nick Jones for a book about AI by Dwarkesh Patel called The Scaling Era. releasing soon on Stripe Press >
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new website with Nick Jones for a book about AI by Dwarkesh Patel called The Scaling Era. releasing soon on Stripe Press >

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35,420 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

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18,803 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

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TBPN

69,217 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

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115,123 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

What is China's key advantage in the AI race? Credit: A clip taken from Dwarkesh Patel podcast
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ARIA

61,121 Aufrufe • vor 2 Jahren

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The Dario Amodei interview. 0:00:00 - What exactly are we scaling? 0:12:36 - Is diffusion cope? 0:29:42 - Is continual learning necessary? 0:46:20 - If AGI is imminent, why not buy more compute? 0:58:49 - How will AI labs actually make profit? 1:31:19 - Will regulations destroy the boons of AGI? 1:47:41 - Why can’t China and America both have a country of geniuses in a datacenter? Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc.

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2,056,457 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten