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“If AI is technologically possible, it is inevitable.” - Dwarkesh Patel We’re mid-Cambrian Explosion: • 4× annual jump in frontier-model spend • Energy demand will hit nation-state scale by 2028 • Chips & compute racing toward $ 1Tn+ industries This is the Scaling Era—a new normal written in real...

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Limitless

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18,823 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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@dwarkesh_sp 31:25 models have to feel it in their bones (weights), just like humans tie their identity to a job and develop instuition and familiar routine of working paths. So my guess is there will be countless individually trained models distilled from largest models.

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PIN AI1 yıl önce

@dwarkesh_sp AGI seems inevitable, but who it serves is uncertain. The Scaling Era will shape both its abilities and values. PIN AI aims for a future where your AI responds to you, not big tech.

Benzer Videolar

Dwarkesh says the Age of Scaling isn’t over. Companies will keep pouring exponentially more compute into training because the value of intelligence is so high, it’s worth even $1 trillion if it gets us to AGI. Right now, compute usage for frontier models grows ~4x per year, but by 2028–2030, physical and economic limits (chips, energy, GDP) will take progress slower. A 160x increase in four years can’t go on.
1:20

Dwarkesh says the Age of Scaling isn’t over. Companies will keep pouring exponentially more compute into training because the value of intelligence is so high, it’s worth even $1 trillion if it gets us to AGI. Right now, compute usage for frontier models grows ~4x per year, but by 2028–2030, physical and economic limits (chips, energy, GDP) will take progress slower. A 160x increase in four years can’t go on.

Wes Roth

18,531 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

"The AI revolution is here." - Dwarkesh Patel Join us tonight for our conversation with Dwarkesh Patel, writer, researcher, and host of one of the most influential podcasts exploring AI and technology. We discuss the breakthroughs shaping the AI era, what comes next, and the opportunities and challenges ahead. Don't miss the full episode tonight, Saturday, May 30th, at 7PM UK | 2PM ET on YouTube, Facebook and X.
1:03

"The AI revolution is here." - Dwarkesh Patel Join us tonight for our conversation with Dwarkesh Patel, writer, researcher, and host of one of the most influential podcasts exploring AI and technology. We discuss the breakthroughs shaping the AI era, what comes next, and the opportunities and challenges ahead. Don't miss the full episode tonight, Saturday, May 30th, at 7PM UK | 2PM ET on YouTube, Facebook and X.

TRIGGERnometry

80,877 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

The brightest minds in AI take the stage. Dwarkesh Patel, Balaji, open a full house at #SuperAI
0:20

The brightest minds in AI take the stage. Dwarkesh Patel, Balaji, open a full house at #SuperAI

SuperAI

29,387 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

new website with Nick Jones for a book about AI by Dwarkesh Patel called The Scaling Era. releasing soon on Stripe Press >
0:38

new website with Nick Jones for a book about AI by Dwarkesh Patel called The Scaling Era. releasing soon on Stripe Press >

🎨

49,619 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel Watch the full episode with Dwarkesh Patel right here on X.
1:19:57

People Have No Idea What Is About To Happen - Dwarkesh Patel Watch the full episode with Dwarkesh Patel right here on X.

TRIGGERnometry

25,504 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

New episode with Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 on AGI and the economy. This is perhaps my favorite podcast conversation since joining a16z.
1:10:18

New episode with Dwarkesh Patel and Noah Smith 🐇🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼 on AGI and the economy. This is perhaps my favorite podcast conversation since joining a16z.

Erik Torenberg

265,500 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

NVIDIA Vera Rubin is in full production and arrives just in time for the next frontier of AI. The #NVIDIARubin platform uses extreme co-design across six new chips to accelerate agentic AI, advanced reasoning and massive-scale MoE model inference. NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72: Six new chips, one AI supercomputer — see how we built it.
2:50

NVIDIA Vera Rubin is in full production and arrives just in time for the next frontier of AI. The #NVIDIARubin platform uses extreme co-design across six new chips to accelerate agentic AI, advanced reasoning and massive-scale MoE model inference. NVIDIA Vera Rubin NVL72: Six new chips, one AI supercomputer — see how we built it.

NVIDIA Data Center

27,643 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

.Dwarkesh Patel says AGI won’t reshape the world by getting smarter. It will when it masters the tasks everyday people do. "A chatbot cannot edit videos for me." PhD-level intelligence doesn’t drive the economy. The real leverage comes from automating the mundane. Once AI can do that and scale itself, we’re looking at 20% growth and a self-compounding world.
0:58

.Dwarkesh Patel says AGI won’t reshape the world by getting smarter. It will when it masters the tasks everyday people do. "A chatbot cannot edit videos for me." PhD-level intelligence doesn’t drive the economy. The real leverage comes from automating the mundane. Once AI can do that and scale itself, we’re looking at 20% growth and a self-compounding world.

a16z

56,896 görüntüleme • 11 ay önce

Why wouldn’t China want more data centers built in the United States? Simple, the nation that leads in AI will lead the future, economically, technologically, and militarily. We’re already seeing it happen in real time as AI drives unprecedented productivity and margin expansion across every sector of the economy. While America debates permits, regulations, and protests over data centers, China is rapidly building power infrastructure and scaling compute capacity as fast as possible. This race is no longer theoretical. Whoever has the most compute, the best models, and the strongest infrastructure will shape the next era of global power.
1:51

Why wouldn’t China want more data centers built in the United States? Simple, the nation that leads in AI will lead the future, economically, technologically, and militarily. We’re already seeing it happen in real time as AI drives unprecedented productivity and margin expansion across every sector of the economy. While America debates permits, regulations, and protests over data centers, China is rapidly building power infrastructure and scaling compute capacity as fast as possible. This race is no longer theoretical. Whoever has the most compute, the best models, and the strongest infrastructure will shape the next era of global power.

Kevin O'Leary aka Mr. Wonderful

35,450 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

We asked Dwarkesh Patel to share his disagreements with tylercowen on AGI: "He believes AGI is here." "But then he also believes AGI is going to result in 0.5% more economic growth a year." "When AGI hits, we're going to see, like, 20% economic growth as a minimum." "Our current AI isn't AGI. The real AGI will come later."
0:58

We asked Dwarkesh Patel to share his disagreements with tylercowen on AGI: "He believes AGI is here." "But then he also believes AGI is going to result in 0.5% more economic growth a year." "When AGI hits, we're going to see, like, 20% economic growth as a minimum." "Our current AI isn't AGI. The real AGI will come later."

TBPN

69,217 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

All-In Podcast Interview with $IREN CEO Dan Roberts: We were doing [data centers] in a scale that amazed people at the time, like 750MW as our flagship Texas site, 4 years ago was unheard of. $MSFT deal is 5% of our capacity. For us, the constraint is the time to compute. We have used 100% renewable energy since inception. We cannot meet demand. AI is inevitable.
18:32

All-In Podcast Interview with $IREN CEO Dan Roberts: We were doing [data centers] in a scale that amazed people at the time, like 750MW as our flagship Texas site, 4 years ago was unheard of. $MSFT deal is 5% of our capacity. For us, the constraint is the time to compute. We have used 100% renewable energy since inception. We cannot meet demand. AI is inevitable.

The Tech Investor

127,588 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

New pod w/ Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition, & Plenty More Full episode --> Spotify: Apple: YouTube: Etc.
1:09:30

New pod w/ Dwarkesh Patel: AI Continuous Improvement, Intelligence Explosion, Memory, Frontier Lab Competition, & Plenty More Full episode --> Spotify: Apple: YouTube: Etc.

Alex Kantrowitz

18,803 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

What is China's key advantage in the AI race? Credit: A clip taken from Dwarkesh Patel podcast
1:09

What is China's key advantage in the AI race? Credit: A clip taken from Dwarkesh Patel podcast

Intrinsic Compounding

13,973 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Dwarkesh calmly shreds Zuck's argument for open-sourcing AGI. The flimsy wishful thinking behind Meta's reckless actions has been exposed. Another incredible job by Dwarkesh Patel.
2:34

Dwarkesh calmly shreds Zuck's argument for open-sourcing AGI. The flimsy wishful thinking behind Meta's reckless actions has been exposed. Another incredible job by Dwarkesh Patel.

Liron Shapira

115,123 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

Showing how alias jump / movement keys (jump; worked the same) is consistent with the ; on the patch before today vs how it will work with it not working and everyone being on +jump and normal movement keys Pretty much we are showing the server ticks and registering time scale slower so you can see each tick. With alias / semicolon after commands, the jump will register the tick after we begin it. With subtick / normal “jump” command which is forced now with the update, it can register it on the first tick(like it happened in the video) or as long as 16 ticks we have had happen. In the video it was 9 ticks. This is not optimal
0:57

Showing how alias jump / movement keys (jump; worked the same) is consistent with the ; on the patch before today vs how it will work with it not working and everyone being on +jump and normal movement keys Pretty much we are showing the server ticks and registering time scale slower so you can see each tick. With alias / semicolon after commands, the jump will register the tick after we begin it. With subtick / normal “jump” command which is forced now with the update, it can register it on the first tick(like it happened in the video) or as long as 16 ticks we have had happen. In the video it was 9 ticks. This is not optimal

Jonathan Jablonowski

797,495 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

📣 Call for proposals! Our first funded programme is now live — Scaling Compute: AI at 1/1000th the cost. Hear more from PD Suraj Bramhavar on how we aim to radically reduce the cost + energy consumption of compute hardware, and open new avenues to reap the benefits of AI 👇
0:43

📣 Call for proposals! Our first funded programme is now live — Scaling Compute: AI at 1/1000th the cost. Hear more from PD Suraj Bramhavar on how we aim to radically reduce the cost + energy consumption of compute hardware, and open new avenues to reap the benefits of AI 👇

ARIA

61,121 görüntüleme • 2 yıl önce

What is the real bottleneck for compute? Anjney Midha explains it in the latest episode of Moonshots: - Demand is uncapped - Compute providers outbid each other for energy supply - We don't have enough electricity to power the chips. Bullish $IREN h/t Mike Hillier
0:53

What is the real bottleneck for compute? Anjney Midha explains it in the latest episode of Moonshots: - Demand is uncapped - Compute providers outbid each other for energy supply - We don't have enough electricity to power the chips. Bullish $IREN h/t Mike Hillier

Frans Bakker

35,988 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

The Dario Amodei interview. 0:00:00 - What exactly are we scaling? 0:12:36 - Is diffusion cope? 0:29:42 - Is continual learning necessary? 0:46:20 - If AGI is imminent, why not buy more compute? 0:58:49 - How will AI labs actually make profit? 1:31:19 - Will regulations destroy the boons of AGI? 1:47:41 - Why can’t China and America both have a country of geniuses in a datacenter? Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc.
2:22:19

The Dario Amodei interview. 0:00:00 - What exactly are we scaling? 0:12:36 - Is diffusion cope? 0:29:42 - Is continual learning necessary? 0:46:20 - If AGI is imminent, why not buy more compute? 0:58:49 - How will AI labs actually make profit? 1:31:19 - Will regulations destroy the boons of AGI? 1:47:41 - Why can’t China and America both have a country of geniuses in a datacenter? Look up Dwarkesh Podcast on Youtube, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, etc.

Dwarkesh Patel

2,056,457 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce