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If an AI lab is kicking off an intelligence explosion, would it be in their interest to tell the President or not? Scott Alexander and Daniel Kokotajlo think yes. "We made the guess that early in 2027, the [leading AI] company would deliberately wake up the president. Strategically, [not...

53,186 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce •via X (Twitter)

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Dwarkesh Patel profil fotoğrafı
Dwarkesh Patel1 yıl önce

Transcript: Apple Podcasts: Spotify: YouTube:

The Information profil fotoğrafı
The Information1 yıl önce

Meta AI researchers are fretting over the threat of Chinese AI, whose quality caught American firms, including OpenAI, by surprise.

Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️ profil fotoğrafı
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo All of this lives in the imaginary world where a powerful AGI trained mostly on human prediction is *not* advising on how to manipulate the President, nor manipulating its own "owners". Normies react skeptically to that prediction so it gets left out of scenarios.

Johannes Miertschischk profil fotoğrafı
Johannes Miertschischk1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo You could have saved yourself the time❗️ The brilliant American engineer Suchir Balaji (major contributor to ChatGPT), who was murdered in his San Francisco apartment on November 22, 2024, explains in his final, unfinished essay why LLMs can never achieve AGI.

Venu Vasudevan profil fotoğrafı
Venu Vasudevan1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo À Positively double negative argument

Hermopolis Prime 🇳🇿 profil fotoğrafı
Hermopolis Prime 🇳🇿1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo Brick wall background again... 🤔

James profil fotoğrafı
James1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo Which president :)

Parzival profil fotoğrafı
Parzival1 yıl önce

@slatestarcodex @DKokotajlo and they will not know how or what exactly the AI is doing... but it gets the job done. the takeover will be gradual then sudden.

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21,983 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

The founders of Stripe and Pinterest on how to convince people to join your startup Stripe CEO Patrick Collison argues that part of the reason startups resonate so much is because the outcome is not guaranteed: "If it were guaranteed, it would be boring... Whether or not you're the best person in the world at what you do, you're probably not going to alter Google's trajectory. But if you really want to benchmark yourself and see how much of a contribution and impact you can make--which is a really compelling prospect for a lot of the best people--a startup is a much better place to test that." Pinterest founder Ben Silbermann emphasized this as well: "No smart person that you're hiring is under the illusion that you have a crystal ball into the future and that joining is a guaranteed thing. In fact, if you're telling them that and they select in, you shouldn't hire them because they didn't pass a basic intelligence test. I think it's important to tell them what's exciting and where you think the company can go. But also tell them where it will be hard and chart your best plan. And then tell them why their role can be instrumental--because it will be... What I would discourage doing is whitewashing all of that. If people are joining your company because they want all of the certainty and safety of working at Google but also the perks of working at a small startup with lots of responsibility and transparency, that's a really negative sign." Apparently in the early days of PayPal, Peter Thiel and Max Levchin would tell people after they interviewed all the reasons that the company would fail: "Visa and MasterCard want to kill us. We also might be doing something that's illegal. But if we succeed, we'll redefine payments." Don't whitewash the risks. Instead tell them how your startup will change the world if you succeed and how their role will be instrumental in affecting that change. Video source: Y Combinator (2014)

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11,811 görüntüleme • 9 ay önce