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I'm extremely concerned that Melissa is undergoing rapid intensification – or I suppose rapid reintensification – again as it approaches Cuba. The core/eye have RAPIDLY reorganized and the EEL – Enveloped Eyewall Lightning – signature has re-appeared. Cat-4 impact possible!

Matthew Cappucci

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175,455 görüntüleme • 8 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Well, this is crazy. Coming off of her historically violent, 185 MPH landfall in Jamaica, Hurricane Melissa has rapidly reorganized on her way to Cuba despite being heavily disrupted by mountainous terrain. The latest NHC advisory has her back at CATEGORY 4 status with winds of 130 MPH, as a furious explosion of lightning illuminates her western eyewall. What’s more, she is trending well east of her initial forecast cone and may now be threatening Santiago de Cuba, Cuba’s 2nd largest city.

Well, this is crazy. Coming off of her historically violent, 185 MPH landfall in Jamaica, Hurricane Melissa has rapidly reorganized on her way to Cuba despite being heavily disrupted by mountainous terrain. The latest NHC advisory has her back at CATEGORY 4 status with winds of 130 MPH, as a furious explosion of lightning illuminates her western eyewall. What’s more, she is trending well east of her initial forecast cone and may now be threatening Santiago de Cuba, Cuba’s 2nd largest city.

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Just leave this with you, as Paul said a turds eye view. Thanks to everyone for the messages of support, if i have missed anyone i do apologise it is not intentional, but my notifications have been red hot and it is time for shut eye as i'm in the river tomorrow. Thanks again

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The new cone from the NHC paints a terribly grim picture. It calls for Melissa to make landfall in Jamaica with winds of 155 MPH and potential gusts up to 190 MPH. And that’s if she only peaks as a low-end CAT 5. Right now, the storm has leveled off, but this actually isn’t good news. Jamaica radar indicates that Melissa is possibly about to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle or merger, which explains why the Hurricane’s pressure has risen a bit (953 mbar) despite an absolutely monstrous appearance on satellite. The problem, however, is that Melissa is still only moving at 3 mph and will have plenty of time to complete the cycle/merger; and given the favorability of the environment, it could wrap up smoothly. What’s worse, the core wind field may grow larger in size during the process. At this time, models and the NHC unfortunately remain locked on the worst case scenario prospect of Hurricane Melissa reaching Category 5 intensity.

The new cone from the NHC paints a terribly grim picture. It calls for Melissa to make landfall in Jamaica with winds of 155 MPH and potential gusts up to 190 MPH. And that’s if she only peaks as a low-end CAT 5. Right now, the storm has leveled off, but this actually isn’t good news. Jamaica radar indicates that Melissa is possibly about to undergo an eyewall replacement cycle or merger, which explains why the Hurricane’s pressure has risen a bit (953 mbar) despite an absolutely monstrous appearance on satellite. The problem, however, is that Melissa is still only moving at 3 mph and will have plenty of time to complete the cycle/merger; and given the favorability of the environment, it could wrap up smoothly. What’s worse, the core wind field may grow larger in size during the process. At this time, models and the NHC unfortunately remain locked on the worst case scenario prospect of Hurricane Melissa reaching Category 5 intensity.

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🚨 NOW: The Director of the CIA John Ratcliffe has just personally met with CUBA'S Communist government in Havana The CIA just publicly went INSIDE Cuba while President Trump and Marco Rubio talk about a possible friendly takeover or deal! 🔥 CUBA IS NEXT. 🇺🇸🇨🇺 Rubio nailed it: "Military generals take all the money, the people are literally eating GARBAGE in the streets!" "You cannot change the economic trajectory of Cuba as long as the people in charge now are in charge of that regime. THAT'S gonna have to change." "I hope I'm wrong. We'll give them a chance, but I don't think it's going to happen."

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LOOK AT THESE! You've probably never heard of "mesovortices," but the eyes of major/intensifying hurricanes, like Category 5 Melissa, actually contain addition, smaller whirls a few miles across. Mesovortices are a few miles across; they form as a way to balance an extreme discontinuity in angular momentum. In the buzzsaw-like eyewall – that ring of winds spiraling around the eye – there's an incredible amount of extreme wind and "angular momentum." But in the eye, there's hardly any – the air is calm. That means the eyewall "chafes" against the calm eye. Since the atmosphere is a fluid, that chafing pinches off into eddies and vortices. Think about when you're kayaking or canoeing through a pond. You might notice a few whirlpools shedding off your oar as the moving oar sweeps through the stationary water. A similar premise exists here. In this case, the atmosphere handles the transition from the eyewall to the eye by having some of the fluid "curl back" on itself, forming 4, 5 to 6 smaller "mesovortices." This eye exhibited a "wavenumber 5" pattern, meaning there were five mesovortices. The mesovortices often contort the inner edge of the eyewall into a wonky "sawtooth" pattern. That means that, if you stand right near the interface, you'd have about 5 minutes of "in... out... in... out" where, despite being basically in the eye, ebbs of the eyewall could still swing through and bring you a sudden, extreme gust. Welcome to the magic of fluid dynamics in the atmosphere.

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Just a short distance from Mecca, the #RedSeaIFF25 is held in #Jeddah, where actors and actresses showcase outfits and celebrations that do not reflect Saudi values or identity. It is a scene marketed as “progress,” yet in reality, it is a rapid cultural alienation that ignores the sanctity of the land and its closeness to the holiest place on earth. Has the identity of society become the last concern in the name of art and entertainment? #SaudiArabia

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As HUD Secretary, I used to say a city is either growing or dying. It can take 4 years to get a building permit in NYC; I built LaGuardia airport in 4 years. NYC is about development, growth, entrepreneurship. That is the NYC that will thrive again when I'm Mayor

As HUD Secretary, I used to say a city is either growing or dying. It can take 4 years to get a building permit in NYC; I built LaGuardia airport in 4 years. NYC is about development, growth, entrepreneurship. That is the NYC that will thrive again when I'm Mayor

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On a previous #TeawithGaryVee I was asked If I’d do an Overrated vs. Underrated section again, so this clip is exactly that! If you have a question for me, drop it here so my team can add it to the next Rapid Fire Q&A and follow me on

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