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In meetings, there’s a familiar pattern. Someone asks, “What does everyone think?” and the first person to speak is usually the most confident. That initial comment sets the tone. Others—especially the more reserved—hesitate to challenge it. Over time, the discussion drifts toward a quiet consensus, not because everyone agrees,...

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Rob Henderson

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24,196 次观看 • 5 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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Peter Thiel: There is no wisdom of crowds Thiel suggests that the antithesis of his book Zero To One is Malcolm Gladwell’s The Wisdom of Crowds. “If you have to give credit to Malcolm Gladwell, the way the argument actually works in the wisdom of crowds is if you have a crowd of people and they independently make a judgement, you can average it out and you’ll get to a pretty good idea.” The classic example is asking a group of people to independently guess how many marbles are in a bag—the average answer will be pretty good. “But the problem is that in most cases, the decisions don’t end up getting made individually.” Thiel explains. “People are influenced by one another. And when you have a crowd dynamic in which people are drawing conclusions because they’re looking toward one another, that is where the crowd is untruth.” Thiel believes imitation is a deep part of human nature: “Kids learn language by copying their parents. It’s how culture is transmitted in our society. But it’s also how very many things go wrong.” Thiel believes you need to go against the crowd if you want to accomplish something truly great. He points out that many of the most successful entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley seem to be suffering from a mild form of Aspergers. Video source: Saïd Business School (2015)
2:55

Peter Thiel: There is no wisdom of crowds Thiel suggests that the antithesis of his book Zero To One is Malcolm Gladwell’s The Wisdom of Crowds. “If you have to give credit to Malcolm Gladwell, the way the argument actually works in the wisdom of crowds is if you have a crowd of people and they independently make a judgement, you can average it out and you’ll get to a pretty good idea.” The classic example is asking a group of people to independently guess how many marbles are in a bag—the average answer will be pretty good. “But the problem is that in most cases, the decisions don’t end up getting made individually.” Thiel explains. “People are influenced by one another. And when you have a crowd dynamic in which people are drawing conclusions because they’re looking toward one another, that is where the crowd is untruth.” Thiel believes imitation is a deep part of human nature: “Kids learn language by copying their parents. It’s how culture is transmitted in our society. But it’s also how very many things go wrong.” Thiel believes you need to go against the crowd if you want to accomplish something truly great. He points out that many of the most successful entrepreneurs in Silicon Valley seem to be suffering from a mild form of Aspergers. Video source: Saïd Business School (2015)

Startup Archive

457,810 次观看 • 1 年前

Most people choose belonging over accuracy. The desire to fit in overpowers the desire for truth. "A lot of the time, people will tell you, “Don’t care what other people think about you,” but we all care what other people think—often for very good reason, which is that if people think well of you, it benefits you in life. It puts you in a good position; you are rewarded for it. It helps you accomplish things. It makes you safer. It just feels good. Belonging is a critical part of being human. However, especially in the modern world, the desire to belong can often run counter to the desire to understand or be accurate. If you have to choose between “I could believe this thing and be ostracized or criticized or outcast from my community” or “I could believe this other thing, which may not be that accurate, but it will get me praised and rewarded and accepted by my community,” a lot of the time, the desire to belong overpowers the desire to understand." James Clear on The Knowledge Project
1:09

Most people choose belonging over accuracy. The desire to fit in overpowers the desire for truth. "A lot of the time, people will tell you, “Don’t care what other people think about you,” but we all care what other people think—often for very good reason, which is that if people think well of you, it benefits you in life. It puts you in a good position; you are rewarded for it. It helps you accomplish things. It makes you safer. It just feels good. Belonging is a critical part of being human. However, especially in the modern world, the desire to belong can often run counter to the desire to understand or be accurate. If you have to choose between “I could believe this thing and be ostracized or criticized or outcast from my community” or “I could believe this other thing, which may not be that accurate, but it will get me praised and rewarded and accepted by my community,” a lot of the time, the desire to belong overpowers the desire to understand." James Clear on The Knowledge Project

Shane Parrish

63,966 次观看 • 8 个月前

Elon Musk about the meaning of life and the trap of wishful thinking : “When I was a kid, I was wondering what's the meaning of life? Like, why are we here? What's it all about? And I came to the conclusion that what really matters is trying to understand the right questions to ask. And the more that we can increase the scope and scale of human consciousness, the better we are able to ask these questions. And so I think that there are certain things that are necessary to ensure that the future is good. One of the biggest mistakes people generally make, and I'm guilty of it too, is wishful thinking. You know, like, you want something to be true even if it isn't true. And so you ignore the things that you ignore the real truth because of what you want to be true. This is a very difficult trap to avoid.”
0:55

Elon Musk about the meaning of life and the trap of wishful thinking : “When I was a kid, I was wondering what's the meaning of life? Like, why are we here? What's it all about? And I came to the conclusion that what really matters is trying to understand the right questions to ask. And the more that we can increase the scope and scale of human consciousness, the better we are able to ask these questions. And so I think that there are certain things that are necessary to ensure that the future is good. One of the biggest mistakes people generally make, and I'm guilty of it too, is wishful thinking. You know, like, you want something to be true even if it isn't true. And so you ignore the things that you ignore the real truth because of what you want to be true. This is a very difficult trap to avoid.”

Eva Fo𝕏 🦊 Claudius Nero's Legion

75,023 次观看 • 10 个月前

Sam Altman says AI leaders have done a terrible job at communicating to the public: “The, ‘Dear peasants, we will bequeath upon you these gifts of a cure for cancer and material wealth and great entertainment, and you stop complaining, and we'll make all the decisions about the future and just trust us, we'll be benevolent dictators.’ That’s not good. Not good.” “A lot of the people building AI have been saying, ‘There's a 25% chance we're going to destroy the world, and yet we're going to race ahead to do it because otherwise those bad guys will do it first.’” “Or, ‘Man, this thing is going to be really terrible, and 50% of the jobs are going to go away in the next year, and we hope you all are okay, but it seems really scary.’” “We have not, as a field, done a very good job of explaining to people what the benefits are and how the downsides can be mitigated—and we certainly have not done a good job even if people have had answers like saying, ‘There's going to be UBI, or work will be optional.’” “There's been very little discussion from people about how and why it's important that people have more power and personal freedom in the world, not less. And that matters a lot to most people.” “The ability of people to influence their own future and collectively design where society is going to go, and the autonomy that comes with that, is very important. I don't think a lot of people in the AI field… they feel it for themselves, but they don't spend much time thinking about it, reflecting on or acknowledging how important that is to other people.”
3:19

Sam Altman says AI leaders have done a terrible job at communicating to the public: “The, ‘Dear peasants, we will bequeath upon you these gifts of a cure for cancer and material wealth and great entertainment, and you stop complaining, and we'll make all the decisions about the future and just trust us, we'll be benevolent dictators.’ That’s not good. Not good.” “A lot of the people building AI have been saying, ‘There's a 25% chance we're going to destroy the world, and yet we're going to race ahead to do it because otherwise those bad guys will do it first.’” “Or, ‘Man, this thing is going to be really terrible, and 50% of the jobs are going to go away in the next year, and we hope you all are okay, but it seems really scary.’” “We have not, as a field, done a very good job of explaining to people what the benefits are and how the downsides can be mitigated—and we certainly have not done a good job even if people have had answers like saying, ‘There's going to be UBI, or work will be optional.’” “There's been very little discussion from people about how and why it's important that people have more power and personal freedom in the world, not less. And that matters a lot to most people.” “The ability of people to influence their own future and collectively design where society is going to go, and the autonomy that comes with that, is very important. I don't think a lot of people in the AI field… they feel it for themselves, but they don't spend much time thinking about it, reflecting on or acknowledging how important that is to other people.”

David Senra

32,300 次观看 • 1 个月前

BREAKING: IRAN MESSAGE TO PALESTINE AND MUSLIMS IN THE REGION: Spokesman for the Khatim Al-Anbiya Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces: “Our defense is a defense of the dignity of the Islamic Ummah. To the Muslim brothers in the region and our loved ones in the land of Palestine, and especially patient Gaza: Today, from the Islamic Republic of Iran, we speak to you honestly and from the heart; a word of loyalty, love, and brotherhood. The Islamic Ummah and the Palestinian people have always been alive in the conscience of the people of Islamic Iran. Its name, since the first days of the victory of the revolution, has been imprinted in our awareness like a banner for a right that never falls, and for a nation that cannot be worn down no matter how heavy the hardships are, and whose will cannot be broken no matter how dire the events become. We tell you that today we are not fighting only to defend ourselves, nor only to avenge our own martyrs, but we are also fighting to defend the grievances of the Islamic Ummah, the Palestinian people, and their martyrs, who have a steadfast and deep-rooted share in this position. Palestine has never been the issue of one nation alone; rather, it has always been, and will continue to be, an issue of dignity, right, and justice, and an issue of the entire Islamic Ummah. O Islamic Ummah and O people of Palestine, do not think that you are alone in this battlefield against the usurping zionist regime; we are with you, upon a covenant that does not change and upon a position that does not waver. You are the nation of return and dignity; a nation that knows how to be patient, how to remain steadfast, and how to preserve its right from generation to generation. We pledge to you that we will remain steadfast by your side on this path until the right reaches its people and dear Palestine returns, free and proud, to its original owners.”
1:55

BREAKING: IRAN MESSAGE TO PALESTINE AND MUSLIMS IN THE REGION: Spokesman for the Khatim Al-Anbiya Headquarters of the Iranian Armed Forces: “Our defense is a defense of the dignity of the Islamic Ummah. To the Muslim brothers in the region and our loved ones in the land of Palestine, and especially patient Gaza: Today, from the Islamic Republic of Iran, we speak to you honestly and from the heart; a word of loyalty, love, and brotherhood. The Islamic Ummah and the Palestinian people have always been alive in the conscience of the people of Islamic Iran. Its name, since the first days of the victory of the revolution, has been imprinted in our awareness like a banner for a right that never falls, and for a nation that cannot be worn down no matter how heavy the hardships are, and whose will cannot be broken no matter how dire the events become. We tell you that today we are not fighting only to defend ourselves, nor only to avenge our own martyrs, but we are also fighting to defend the grievances of the Islamic Ummah, the Palestinian people, and their martyrs, who have a steadfast and deep-rooted share in this position. Palestine has never been the issue of one nation alone; rather, it has always been, and will continue to be, an issue of dignity, right, and justice, and an issue of the entire Islamic Ummah. O Islamic Ummah and O people of Palestine, do not think that you are alone in this battlefield against the usurping zionist regime; we are with you, upon a covenant that does not change and upon a position that does not waver. You are the nation of return and dignity; a nation that knows how to be patient, how to remain steadfast, and how to preserve its right from generation to generation. We pledge to you that we will remain steadfast by your side on this path until the right reaches its people and dear Palestine returns, free and proud, to its original owners.”

Sulaiman Ahmed

212,966 次观看 • 6 个月前

“‘Red Rain’ is one of my favourite tracks from that record [‘So’]. It’s a good example of a band playing together with a lot of energy and again, I think from Daniel Lanois’ input, there’s a respect for the moment. So many times in studios you see people desperately trying to get the best possible sound, but they let the moment go because they want to get something right or fixed, or they know that this bit can be improved, but the moment is something instinctively that you feel and if you get that great performance everything else will bow to it. And you can fix a lot of things afterwards. But, if you get the best sound but you don’t get the great performance, you have nothing. And it’s so easy to forget that in the studio.” - PG
1:21

“‘Red Rain’ is one of my favourite tracks from that record [‘So’]. It’s a good example of a band playing together with a lot of energy and again, I think from Daniel Lanois’ input, there’s a respect for the moment. So many times in studios you see people desperately trying to get the best possible sound, but they let the moment go because they want to get something right or fixed, or they know that this bit can be improved, but the moment is something instinctively that you feel and if you get that great performance everything else will bow to it. And you can fix a lot of things afterwards. But, if you get the best sound but you don’t get the great performance, you have nothing. And it’s so easy to forget that in the studio.” - PG

Peter Gabriel

89,226 次观看 • 2 年前

“It’s ok if you’re just average right now. I just want to know whether you want to become great. Because there are a lot of people who are ok accepting average. They think it’s safer and more comfortable. They think trying to be great comes with a lot of risk. They think it’s too hard and they might get exposed. People think it’s easier to be average than to go try to be great. There’s more friends, more acceptance, more comfort among the average. But I’ll tell you the real truth: Being average is only safe and comfortable for a small window of time. Because at the end of the regular season, when that final whistle blows, and you’re not playing for a championship? How comfortable is that?”
0:40

“It’s ok if you’re just average right now. I just want to know whether you want to become great. Because there are a lot of people who are ok accepting average. They think it’s safer and more comfortable. They think trying to be great comes with a lot of risk. They think it’s too hard and they might get exposed. People think it’s easier to be average than to go try to be great. There’s more friends, more acceptance, more comfort among the average. But I’ll tell you the real truth: Being average is only safe and comfortable for a small window of time. Because at the end of the regular season, when that final whistle blows, and you’re not playing for a championship? How comfortable is that?”

Brian Kight

212,824 次观看 • 3 年前

This infamous portion reads, “That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.” This is the part that describes both the right and the duty of the people to overthrow or replace a government that has become tyrannical or destructive to the ends of securing life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness (especially when a pattern of abuses shows intent toward absolute despotism). I ask you, out of sheer consensus, are we there yet?
0:45

This infamous portion reads, “That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government, laying its foundation on such principles and organizing its powers in such form, as to them shall seem most likely to effect their Safety and Happiness. Prudence, indeed, will dictate that Governments long established should not be changed for light and transient causes; and accordingly all experience hath shewn, that mankind are more disposed to suffer, while evils are sufferable, than to right themselves by abolishing the forms to which they are accustomed. But when a long train of abuses and usurpations, pursuing invariably the same Object evinces a design to reduce them under absolute Despotism, it is their right, it is their duty, to throw off such Government, and to provide new Guards for their future security.” This is the part that describes both the right and the duty of the people to overthrow or replace a government that has become tyrannical or destructive to the ends of securing life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness (especially when a pattern of abuses shows intent toward absolute despotism). I ask you, out of sheer consensus, are we there yet?

🚫👁️Drinks on Saturday🇺🇸

27,904 次观看 • 6 个月前

Steve Jobs: The difference between good people and great people is 50-to-1 “I’ve always considered part of my job was to keep the quality level of people in the organizations I work with very high. I mean that’s what I consider one of the few things I can contribute individually myself — versus the team that work with — is to really try to instill in the organization the goal of having only A players.” Steve argues this is especially important in technology where there’s a huge range between the best person and the worst person: “In a lot of fields, the difference between, say, the worst taxicab driver and the best taxicab driver to get you across town in Manhattan might be 2-to-1. The best one will get you there in 15 minutes, the worst one will get you there in half an hour… Or the best cook and the worst cook, maybe it’s 3-to-1… But in the field that I’m in. In software in particular. The difference between the best person and the worst person is about 100-to-1 or more.” He continues: “The difference between a good software person and a great software person is probably 50-to-1 or 25-to-1. Huge dynamic range. And therefore, I have found — and not just in software but in almost everything I’ve done — it really pays to go after the best people in the world.” But as Steve points out, this isn’t always easy: “It’s very painful when you have some people that are not the best people in the world, and you have to get rid of them. But I’ve found that my job has sometimes been exactly that, to get rid of some of the people that didn’t measure up. And I’ve always tried to do it in a humane way, but nonetheless it has to be done and it’s not ever fun.”
1:53

Steve Jobs: The difference between good people and great people is 50-to-1 “I’ve always considered part of my job was to keep the quality level of people in the organizations I work with very high. I mean that’s what I consider one of the few things I can contribute individually myself — versus the team that work with — is to really try to instill in the organization the goal of having only A players.” Steve argues this is especially important in technology where there’s a huge range between the best person and the worst person: “In a lot of fields, the difference between, say, the worst taxicab driver and the best taxicab driver to get you across town in Manhattan might be 2-to-1. The best one will get you there in 15 minutes, the worst one will get you there in half an hour… Or the best cook and the worst cook, maybe it’s 3-to-1… But in the field that I’m in. In software in particular. The difference between the best person and the worst person is about 100-to-1 or more.” He continues: “The difference between a good software person and a great software person is probably 50-to-1 or 25-to-1. Huge dynamic range. And therefore, I have found — and not just in software but in almost everything I’ve done — it really pays to go after the best people in the world.” But as Steve points out, this isn’t always easy: “It’s very painful when you have some people that are not the best people in the world, and you have to get rid of them. But I’ve found that my job has sometimes been exactly that, to get rid of some of the people that didn’t measure up. And I’ve always tried to do it in a humane way, but nonetheless it has to be done and it’s not ever fun.”

Startup Archive

45,192 次观看 • 8 个月前

At some point in our lives, we will be the one who needs help. It maybe be in a small way or in a big way, but we will all have to ask for help. Be the kind of person who offers help before someone has to ask. This bus driver stops everyday and literally picks the young lady up and carries her on the bus. That’s not part of his job description, that is from his heart! This gentleman sees a need and fills the need with kindness. Would you ever go the extra mile for someone, not because you have to, but because you can? It cost nothing to be kind!
1:22

At some point in our lives, we will be the one who needs help. It maybe be in a small way or in a big way, but we will all have to ask for help. Be the kind of person who offers help before someone has to ask. This bus driver stops everyday and literally picks the young lady up and carries her on the bus. That’s not part of his job description, that is from his heart! This gentleman sees a need and fills the need with kindness. Would you ever go the extra mile for someone, not because you have to, but because you can? It cost nothing to be kind!

CeCe

20,850 次观看 • 6 个月前

ELON: SEEK TRUTH, NOT COMFORT “The biggest mistakes people generally make, and I'm guilty of it too, is wishful thinking. You want something to be true, even if it isn’t true, and you ignore the real truth because of what you want to be true. This is a very difficult trap to avoid, and it’s one I struggle with myself. But if you take the approach that you’re always to some degree wrong, your goal is to be less wrong. Solicit critical feedback, especially from friends. People who love you want the best for you, but they don’t always tell you the bad things, so you have to ask.” Source: Naruto
0:47

ELON: SEEK TRUTH, NOT COMFORT “The biggest mistakes people generally make, and I'm guilty of it too, is wishful thinking. You want something to be true, even if it isn’t true, and you ignore the real truth because of what you want to be true. This is a very difficult trap to avoid, and it’s one I struggle with myself. But if you take the approach that you’re always to some degree wrong, your goal is to be less wrong. Solicit critical feedback, especially from friends. People who love you want the best for you, but they don’t always tell you the bad things, so you have to ask.” Source: Naruto

Mario Nawfal

53,367 次观看 • 10 个月前

Must listen and Share Here is Chase Hughes bringing the receipts. I’ve spoken about everything here over the years. But what he has done here is put it all together. And how all of the people and cultures speak to the same common truths. And Brings the Recipes. Words have always been our limitations. And we are on a journey of discovery. Not of something new but the discovery is who we are, who you are! It’s about REMEMBERING. So don’t be in such a hurry to get to the destination. You’re exactly where you are supposed to be. And you are participating in God‘s plan for humanity. Stop trying to figure out what you need to be doing but fall back and into just being. “JUST BE”. Don’t miss or not smell the roses on your journey. Don’t be so right in your thinking and that you already have the answer. That when you’re presented with the truth you refuse to entertain anything other than your own version of what you believe is truth. Take it or Leave it It will Always be your choice freely. Capt Capt Kyles On Telegram Capt Kyle On X
38:25

Must listen and Share Here is Chase Hughes bringing the receipts. I’ve spoken about everything here over the years. But what he has done here is put it all together. And how all of the people and cultures speak to the same common truths. And Brings the Recipes. Words have always been our limitations. And we are on a journey of discovery. Not of something new but the discovery is who we are, who you are! It’s about REMEMBERING. So don’t be in such a hurry to get to the destination. You’re exactly where you are supposed to be. And you are participating in God‘s plan for humanity. Stop trying to figure out what you need to be doing but fall back and into just being. “JUST BE”. Don’t miss or not smell the roses on your journey. Don’t be so right in your thinking and that you already have the answer. That when you’re presented with the truth you refuse to entertain anything other than your own version of what you believe is truth. Take it or Leave it It will Always be your choice freely. Capt Capt Kyles On Telegram Capt Kyle On X

Capt Kyle

14,408 次观看 • 14 天前

Deep down inside, every one of us wants to go to Heaven. And if you asked most people how to get there, they’d say some version of the same thing — “Live a good life. Be a decent person. Do more good than bad.” Sounds reasonable. Feels right. But what if conventional wisdom is completely wrong on this one? What if everything you’ve been told about how to get to Heaven — is actually keeping you from it? In the next sixty seconds, I want to share something that just might be the most important thing you hear today. Watch this. 👇
0:51

Deep down inside, every one of us wants to go to Heaven. And if you asked most people how to get there, they’d say some version of the same thing — “Live a good life. Be a decent person. Do more good than bad.” Sounds reasonable. Feels right. But what if conventional wisdom is completely wrong on this one? What if everything you’ve been told about how to get to Heaven — is actually keeping you from it? In the next sixty seconds, I want to share something that just might be the most important thing you hear today. Watch this. 👇

Greg Laurie

13,338 次观看 • 5 个月前

Don’t be confused by how the story ends- choose Hope my friends - get the cynicism and negativity and pessimism out of your system. For so many of you who see this post, that framework of what you're looking for has been crushing you, not in a good way, crushing you and hurting you over the last five years. So many people are caught up in the drama and the bullshit that so many are pushing on you because they can control you when you're scared. I promise it's much more fun to choose hope and optimism, especially when it's grounded in patience, accountability, and most of all, practical truth. This is your chance to use this post to wake you up to the fact that the people that are most controlling you are the ones that scare you the most and try to infiltrate you to deploy hate and fear
0:32

Don’t be confused by how the story ends- choose Hope my friends - get the cynicism and negativity and pessimism out of your system. For so many of you who see this post, that framework of what you're looking for has been crushing you, not in a good way, crushing you and hurting you over the last five years. So many people are caught up in the drama and the bullshit that so many are pushing on you because they can control you when you're scared. I promise it's much more fun to choose hope and optimism, especially when it's grounded in patience, accountability, and most of all, practical truth. This is your chance to use this post to wake you up to the fact that the people that are most controlling you are the ones that scare you the most and try to infiltrate you to deploy hate and fear

Gary Vaynerchuk

16,714 次观看 • 4 个月前

MacFarlane: The DOJ is, by choice, undermanned right now. This is a decision they made to fire a lot of people or force a lot of people out. And according to new reporting from ProPublica, and my own reporting, they may be underutilizing the manpower they still have. Listen to these numbers: in February 2025, per ProPublica, they declined 11,000 prosecutions. That’s the most since 2004. And the numbers I have show they’re down roughly 5,000 full-time staffers from this time in early 2025. That’s madness—to be down that many people. You just can’t pick up the cases you want with fewer staff.
0:59

MacFarlane: The DOJ is, by choice, undermanned right now. This is a decision they made to fire a lot of people or force a lot of people out. And according to new reporting from ProPublica, and my own reporting, they may be underutilizing the manpower they still have. Listen to these numbers: in February 2025, per ProPublica, they declined 11,000 prosecutions. That’s the most since 2004. And the numbers I have show they’re down roughly 5,000 full-time staffers from this time in early 2025. That’s madness—to be down that many people. You just can’t pick up the cases you want with fewer staff.

Acyn

79,864 次观看 • 6 个月前

Jeff Bezos: “Any high-performing organization has to have mechanisms and a culture that supports truth telling” As Jeff explains in the clip below: “Truths often don’t want to be heard. Important truths can be uncomfortable, awkward, exhausting, challenging. They can make people defensive, even if that’s not the intent. But any high-performing organization—whether it’s a sports team, a business, a political organization, or activist group—has to have mechanisms and a culture that supports truth telling.” And one of the things you have to do to support this kind of culture is talk about it: “You have to talk about the fact that it takes energy to do that. And you have to remind people that it’s ok that it’s uncomfortable. You have to literally tell people: it’s not what we’re designed to do as humans… we mostly survive by being social animals—cordial and cooperative.” He continues: “You also want to set up your culture so that the most junior person can overrule the most senior person.” And in every meeting Jeff attends, he always speaks last: “I know from experience that if I speak first, even very strong-willed, highly-intelligent participants of that meeting will [wonder if their ideas are incorrect because they’re different from Jeff’s]… Ideally you try to have the most junior go first and then go in order of seniority so that you can hear everyone’s opinion in an unfiltered way… Because we really do change our opinions—if somebody you really respect says something, it makes you change your mind a little.” Jeff also points out that a lot of the most powerful truths aren’t always based on data—they turn out to be hunches, are based on anecdotes, or are intuition-based: “You may feel yourself leaning in. It may resonate with a set of anecdotes you have. And then you may be able to say: ‘something about that feels right. Let’s go collect some data on that and try to see if we can know if it’s right.’” And lastly he discusses fighting inherent biases. For example, most companies usually have an optimism bias. As Jeff explains: “If there are two interpretations of a new set of data—one is happy and the other is unhappy—it’s a little dangerous to jump to the conclusion that the happy interpretation is right. You may want to compensate for that human bias of trying to find the silver lining and say ‘that might be good, but I’m gonna go with it’s bad for now until we’re sure.’”
4:11

Jeff Bezos: “Any high-performing organization has to have mechanisms and a culture that supports truth telling” As Jeff explains in the clip below: “Truths often don’t want to be heard. Important truths can be uncomfortable, awkward, exhausting, challenging. They can make people defensive, even if that’s not the intent. But any high-performing organization—whether it’s a sports team, a business, a political organization, or activist group—has to have mechanisms and a culture that supports truth telling.” And one of the things you have to do to support this kind of culture is talk about it: “You have to talk about the fact that it takes energy to do that. And you have to remind people that it’s ok that it’s uncomfortable. You have to literally tell people: it’s not what we’re designed to do as humans… we mostly survive by being social animals—cordial and cooperative.” He continues: “You also want to set up your culture so that the most junior person can overrule the most senior person.” And in every meeting Jeff attends, he always speaks last: “I know from experience that if I speak first, even very strong-willed, highly-intelligent participants of that meeting will [wonder if their ideas are incorrect because they’re different from Jeff’s]… Ideally you try to have the most junior go first and then go in order of seniority so that you can hear everyone’s opinion in an unfiltered way… Because we really do change our opinions—if somebody you really respect says something, it makes you change your mind a little.” Jeff also points out that a lot of the most powerful truths aren’t always based on data—they turn out to be hunches, are based on anecdotes, or are intuition-based: “You may feel yourself leaning in. It may resonate with a set of anecdotes you have. And then you may be able to say: ‘something about that feels right. Let’s go collect some data on that and try to see if we can know if it’s right.’” And lastly he discusses fighting inherent biases. For example, most companies usually have an optimism bias. As Jeff explains: “If there are two interpretations of a new set of data—one is happy and the other is unhappy—it’s a little dangerous to jump to the conclusion that the happy interpretation is right. You may want to compensate for that human bias of trying to find the silver lining and say ‘that might be good, but I’m gonna go with it’s bad for now until we’re sure.’”

Startup Archive

1,187,674 次观看 • 2 年前

The uncomfortable truth is that some beliefs are held for the same reason some people buy Rolexes: they look good in public. In the same way that many people buy expensive material possessions, not because they especially like the possession itself, but because they know it will impress other people, there are people who express luxury beliefs not simply because they believe them, but because they know those beliefs will bring them clout and status. So the motivation behind the luxury good and the luxury belief is often very similar. But many people convince themselves that their motives are completely sincere. Take a guy who buys a Lamborghini. If you ask him why he bought it, he might say, “Look, it makes me feel confident. I like driving it. It makes me feel good. That’s why I bought it. I’m not trying to impress anyone.” And I think part of you might suspect, “Well, all of that may be true. But I also think part of you likes the fact that when people see you in that Lamborghini, they think of you in a certain way.” The same thing can happen with luxury beliefs. People may sincerely believe what they are saying. But part of me thinks that, somewhere deep down, there is also a sense of satisfaction that comes from expressing a belief and having your peers, your social circle, and other similarly credentialed elites applaud you for it. They think, “What a compassionate, interesting, sophisticated person you are for holding that view.” A belief can be sincerely held while also conferring status to the speaker.
1:00

The uncomfortable truth is that some beliefs are held for the same reason some people buy Rolexes: they look good in public. In the same way that many people buy expensive material possessions, not because they especially like the possession itself, but because they know it will impress other people, there are people who express luxury beliefs not simply because they believe them, but because they know those beliefs will bring them clout and status. So the motivation behind the luxury good and the luxury belief is often very similar. But many people convince themselves that their motives are completely sincere. Take a guy who buys a Lamborghini. If you ask him why he bought it, he might say, “Look, it makes me feel confident. I like driving it. It makes me feel good. That’s why I bought it. I’m not trying to impress anyone.” And I think part of you might suspect, “Well, all of that may be true. But I also think part of you likes the fact that when people see you in that Lamborghini, they think of you in a certain way.” The same thing can happen with luxury beliefs. People may sincerely believe what they are saying. But part of me thinks that, somewhere deep down, there is also a sense of satisfaction that comes from expressing a belief and having your peers, your social circle, and other similarly credentialed elites applaud you for it. They think, “What a compassionate, interesting, sophisticated person you are for holding that view.” A belief can be sincerely held while also conferring status to the speaker.

Rob Henderson

12,163 次观看 • 1 个月前