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Initial catch probability here is 90%. Nice route, Magellan.

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The WARmonger

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274,610 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr •via X (Twitter)

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Lots of requests for the late night/early morning walk-off play in Los Angeles. This ball had a 95% catch probability. 0% catch actuality. Nice route, Magellan.
0:18

Lots of requests for the late night/early morning walk-off play in Los Angeles. This ball had a 95% catch probability. 0% catch actuality. Nice route, Magellan.

The WARmonger

753,953 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke-
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Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke- Don’t make a catch probability joke-

Dallas Braden

416,387 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten

Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:
0:18

Per Statcast, a 90% catch probability here for #Orioles right fielder Heston Kjerstad on this leadoff double by Mariners' J.P. Crawford in the bottom of the 5th inning:

Jake Rill

38,090 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Andrew Vaughn came around to score the go-ahead run after Grisham misplayed this ball which had 90% catch probability
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Andrew Vaughn came around to score the go-ahead run after Grisham misplayed this ball which had 90% catch probability

Talkin' Yanks

159,325 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Daulton Varsho: *3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career *6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove
0:13

Daulton Varsho: *3rd 5% catch probability catch of his career *6th 5% catch probability catch by a Jay in the Statcast era (Varsho only guy with more than 1) *14th 5% catch probability catch in MLB this season (Varsho 1 of 2 players with more than 1) #PlatinumGlove

Chris Black

39,940 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Kayden Chan with a nice route/catch during 1-on-1s. Local product from Mountain View.
0:10

Kayden Chan with a nice route/catch during 1-on-1s. Local product from Mountain View.

B.J. Rains

11,520 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.
0:13

Fernando Tatis Jr. had a nearly perfect catch in Yankee Stadium, and he executed it so well that it hasn't gotten much acclaim! Just 15% initial catch probability, what makes this catch so special happens before the camera is on him. +6.9 feet of jump above average, and back toward the wall. The route efficiency was elite, 97.9%. Not only are very few outfielders getting to this, most who do have to make it look spectacular.

The WARmonger

133,791 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Terrific catch by Jake Meyers. Catch probability was 35 percent.
0:16

Terrific catch by Jake Meyers. Catch probability was 35 percent.

Brian McTaggart

36,546 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Catch probability? You wouldn’t believe me.
0:15

Catch probability? You wouldn’t believe me.

Codify

1,645,956 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Travis Kelce with a nice route to get past S Bryan Cook for the catch 💨 #Chiefs l #ChiefsKingdom
0:13

Travis Kelce with a nice route to get past S Bryan Cook for the catch 💨 #Chiefs l #ChiefsKingdom

Sports Radio 810 WHB

143,530 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

Ceddanne Rafaela. 5% catch probability. Just unreal.
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Ceddanne Rafaela. 5% catch probability. Just unreal.

Tyler Milliken

65,256 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

Nice catch into a Styles Clash here by Leon Slater
0:12

Nice catch into a Styles Clash here by Leon Slater

LB ✩

40,744 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

The Ben Sinnott catch. Nice route. Clearly a primary option (rare occasion). He puts his right foot in the ground to sell a shorter route and the DB squats. And then he beats him inside. Nice read and throw by Mariota, too.
0:17

The Ben Sinnott catch. Nice route. Clearly a primary option (rare occasion). He puts his right foot in the ground to sell a shorter route and the DB squats. And then he beats him inside. Nice read and throw by Mariota, too.

Grant Paulsen

42,615 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

99% catch probability, Matthew Lugo can't make the play
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99% catch probability, Matthew Lugo can't make the play

Underdog MLB

151,168 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

According to Baseball Savant, this double by Bryce Harper had a 99% catch probability. Pages had 4.3 seconds to cover 55 feet. It's important to note that catch probability doesn't account for how difficult a ball is to read off the bat.
0:12

According to Baseball Savant, this double by Bryce Harper had a 99% catch probability. Pages had 4.3 seconds to cover 55 feet. It's important to note that catch probability doesn't account for how difficult a ball is to read off the bat.

Jacob Brownson

746,927 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

A discrete Markov chain is basically a random walk on a graph, where each outgoing edge has a fixed probability. Cool fact: any initial distribution on a sufficiently nice* Markov chain converges to its stationary distribution after many steps—because it's a contraction mapping.
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A discrete Markov chain is basically a random walk on a graph, where each outgoing edge has a fixed probability. Cool fact: any initial distribution on a sufficiently nice* Markov chain converges to its stationary distribution after many steps—because it's a contraction mapping.

Keenan Crane

181,753 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:
0:11

This Wyatt Langford catch from yesterday is a great example of why catch probability is good to know. Just a 45% catch probability here. Why? Any MLB outfielder catches this ball if they get there. Most can't get there. Langford's jump is elite, +8.7 feet above the average outfielder. The jump is so good he doesn't even have to get up to top speed. This is just a routine double into the gap much of the time, and the TV viewer thinks nothing of it:

The WARmonger

324,208 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

This play had a 125% catch probability btw 😭😭😭
0:15

This play had a 125% catch probability btw 😭😭😭

KutterIsKing

1,399,597 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

Victor Robles caught TWO balls with 10% catch probability last night!
0:10

Victor Robles caught TWO balls with 10% catch probability last night!

The WARmonger

45,482 Aufrufe • vor 10 Tagen

really liked how early Cam Ward lets this throw go. Right when Ridley plants on his route break. Ridley makes a nice catch but this ball is put in a good spot.
0:12

really liked how early Cam Ward lets this throw go. Right when Ridley plants on his route break. Ridley makes a nice catch but this ball is put in a good spot.

Nate Tice

26,755 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten