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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 INTERVIEW: IRAN’S PLAYBOOK - DRAIN THE U.S, CONTROL THE STRAIT, WIN THE WAR Stanislav Krapivnik, former U.S. Army officer, says Iran’s formula is cheap drones, buried missile launchers, and the ability to shut down the Strait of Hormuz while draining America’s billion-dollar air defenses one interception at a...

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Truth_teller 🇷🇺

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Iran to become the fourth center of world power Robert Pape is an American political scientist and professor at the University of Chicago. His military planning and war-gaming experience includes teaching air-power strategy at the U.S. Air Force’s School of Advanced Airpower Studies (1991–1994). He has advised every White House since 9/11 on military and air-war strategy. For over 20 years, he has run Iran-war simulations in his strategy courses, modeling bombing campaigns, escalation dynamics, and political outcomes to help the military and government understand how force translates into political results. On the Mario Nawfal show, Robert Pape argued that Iran is on a rapid path to become the fourth center of world power (alongside the U.S., China, and Russia) within roughly a year to 18 months if the current conflict dynamics continue. He explained that the ongoing war has trapped the U.S. in an “escalation trap” across three stages: failed regime-change bombing that hardened the Iranian regime, horizontal escalation (drones hitting regional targets and selective control of the Strait of Hormuz), and potential ground operations. Iran has already gained practical control of the Strait of Hormuz—through which 20% of global oil flows—allowing it to disrupt supplies, impose tolls, or expand influence to the Red Sea choke point. This would make Iran an oil hegemon richer than the U.S. (which produces ~16% of world oil). Combined with near-certain operational nuclear weapons (he estimated >90% chance of a dozen working bombs within a year if the war stops), Iran would acquire nuclear deterrence like North Korea while wielding unmatched energy leverage. Pape stressed he is not saying Iran is already the fourth power today, but that the war itself has created a “propitious” future for Tehran: it strengthens the regime, weakens adversaries, and positions Iran as a nuclear-armed regional hegemon capable of toppling Gulf states and reshaping global energy politics. Prolonged conflict or U.S. withdrawal would hand Iran this status, turning a contained adversary into a new pole of world power. He based this on 21 years of Iran-war modeling.

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880,540 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🔶 Secretary of State Marco Rubio told Al Jazeera the war on Iran is progressing “ahead of schedule” and could conclude “in weeks, not months,” and without deploying U.S. ground troops. Here’s more from the new interview: ➤ Rubio, who champions the illegal US blockade on Cuba, said Iran was using a “tollbooth system” in the Strait of Hormuz, and called it “unacceptable” and “illegal.” He said the waterway will reopen “one way or another,” and that U.S. would not accept Iranian sovereignty over the strait after the war. ➤ He said operations aim to “substantially” and “dramatically reduce the number of missile launchers” and the goal is “eliminating Iran’s ability” to produce long-range weapons and stop “sponsoring terrorism.” U.S. outlined a new objective today which includes destroying Iran’s factories that could help with weapons production. ➤ He insisted Iran will “never acquire nuclear weapons” and must end its programs, and said talks are ongoing through intermediaries, citing “cautious optimism” due to “fractures” within Iran’s leadership. ➤ Rubio maintained that President Trump “prefers diplomacy,” even as strikes continue. He said the Iranian regime, which Trump falsely claims has successfully been changed, is “weaker than they’ve been in recent history.” 🎥 Iran expert Negar Mortazavi نگار مرتضوی spoke to Al Jazeera about Rubio and Trump’s latest remarks.

Drop Site

29,121 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Iran war, day 140 | Iran hits back hard at GCC infrastructure and U.S. assets in kind Has the U.S. achieved any of its objectives in Iran? Not according to Israeli media! Per Ya'alon: “We failed in the war against Iran and none of the goals were achieved” Per Former Israeli War Minister Moshe Ya’alon: -I believe we failed, and worse, US blames us. •it was Israel’s initiative to strike Iran -We started the war with three goals: 1. Overthrowing the Iranian regime 2. Destroying the nuclear program 3. damaging the missile project -None of these goals were achieved. What war crimes did the U.S. commit today? Explosions have been reported in Sirik, Ahvaz, Bandar Abbas, and on Kish Island. -the U.S. recently struck a water desalination plant in Hormorzgan -10,000 people are left without a water -not a single GCC terror state has condemned this war crime -Iran warned they will respond in kind and they did to Kuwait -Kuwait is a major sponsor of US terrorism -Iran struck a power station and water desalination facility in Kuwait twice over two days. -and now gulf states are up in arms blaming Iran -where was their outrage when the U.S. struck 100s of Iranian schools, medical facilities, hospitals and bridges and murdered over 6000 Iranians? Where was their outrage when the U.S. struck multiple Iranian water desalination plants? The US struck two strategic water tanks in the Bemani district of Sirik, southern Iran, completely destroying them and cutting off water distribution in all villages of the Bemani district and the city of Kohstak, per Iran's Hormozgan Water and Sanitation Authority. This is the fourth US strike on Iranian water infrastructure in recent days. Not a single gulf terror state has condemned US war crimes in Iran that have murdered Iranian women and children. So why doesn’t Iran strike Israel’s water facilities they say? -because then Palestinians won’t have access to clean water -Israel uses Palestinian human shields all across occupied Palestine How badly is Iran beating American air defence systems? Per WSJ: Iran has seemingly cracked the code on beating U.S. missile defenses. U.S. Officials say their missiles are flying faster and pulling crazy maneuvers, making them tough to stop. Plus, their aim is getting a lot better. Iran uses China’s Baidu system, and not US GPS for its signals intelligence and mapping. -the US has no answer for this and can’t hack the system The U.S. continues to lick its wounds in the kosher loving state of Jordan! New York Times: - Iran damaged a large number of American helicopters in Jordan - The American helicopters are Black Hawk models, each valued at $21 million -Iran also vaporized and injured scores of American invaders terrorists serving Israel How significant are iran’s strikes on Kuwait? -Two important US bases in Kuwait, have been destroyed! -In response to the US’s repeated aggressions, the martyrdom of dear compatriots, and attacks on bridges, infrastructure, and civilian areas in the sixteenth phase of Operation Thunderbolt, the Iranian army targeted the ammunition depot of the terrorist US army at Camp Al-Adairi and the Patriot radar and air radar of this aggressor army at Ali Al Salem Air Base in Kuwait with heavy attacks from its destructive drones. -Camp Al-Adairi is one of the important bases of the terrorist US army in the region, located 104 kilometers from the borders of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and is a major center for supporting and reorganizing American forces. -Disrupting the operations of this base will have a significant impact on the army's support operations in the region. -Ali Al Salem Air Base is also one of the important bases, the main air transport center, and the gateway for military forces to enter the West Asia region, playing a pivotal role in the military and logistical strategy of the aggressor US army in the region. Videos 2,3: Jordan U.S. assets struck Video 4: Kuwaiti bases struck

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

42,569 Aufrufe • vor 11 Tagen

Iran has proposed a deal to the U.S. to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war, while deferring nuclear talks to a later stage. President Trump has summoned a Situation Room meeting today to decide Washington’s response. Why accepting this deal by the U.S. would be a defeat for the United States and a big victory for Iran, let’s understand in simple language: The Strait of Hormuz was open before the war, and it will be open after the war once peace is restored. Then what was the objective of this war? This will remain a big question. The initial objectives of the U.S. and Israel were regime change, seizing enriched uranium, and destroying Iran’s nuclear and long-range missile programs. Have they achieved any of these? No. Rather, after this deal, the Islamic regime will intensify its nuclear weapons and long-range missile programs without hesitation because they now know the weakness of the United States. Postponing discussions on the nuclear program indirectly means that Iran is not going to stop. What are the future repercussions of this deal? Many independent journalists have reported that the current IRGC chief, Ahmad Wahidi, has ordered an intensification of the nuclear weapons development program. After a few months or years, Iran may have a nuclear bomb. Once Iran acquires nuclear weapons and long-range missiles, neither the United States nor any other country will be able to save Israel. The Islamic regime has the intent but not the capability to target the U.S. mainland; the day they gain that capability, they will target the U.S. mainland. In short, we can say that this is a trap for the U.S.

Baba Banaras™

36,866 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten