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🇱🇧 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “DISARMING HEZBOLLAH ON ISRAEL’S TERMS RISKS CIVIL WAR” Trita Parsi warns that U.S. and Israeli pressure for Hezbollah’s disarmament could destabilize Lebanon entirely. Trita Parsi: “There are many in Lebanon who want to see Hezbollah disarmed. But they want it done on Lebanon’s timeline... show more

Mario Nawfal

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🚨🇱🇧 For Lebanon, disarming Hezbollah could be more dangerous than keeping it armed. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says many Lebanese may dislike Hezbollah, but they also know the Lebanese army cannot deter Israel on its own. He says forcing disarmament too fast could push Lebanon into civil war. Trita Parsi

🚨🇱🇧 For Lebanon, disarming Hezbollah could be more dangerous than keeping it armed. Trita Parsi, expert in international relations, says many Lebanese may dislike Hezbollah, but they also know the Lebanese army cannot deter Israel on its own. He says forcing disarmament too fast could push Lebanon into civil war. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱🇱🇧 Netanyahu's entire Washington play reportedly hinges on one swap, getting the Israel-Lebanon agreement prioritized ahead of the MoU. Quincy Institute EVP and Middle East Analyst Trita Parsi says it's a major blow that could allegedly collapse the MoU altogether. The kicker, per Parsi: a "disarm Hezbollah first" standoff, or outright civil war, is the exact pressure point that makes the whole thing unravel. Trita Parsi

🇮🇱🇱🇧 Netanyahu's entire Washington play reportedly hinges on one swap, getting the Israel-Lebanon agreement prioritized ahead of the MoU. Quincy Institute EVP and Middle East Analyst Trita Parsi says it's a major blow that could allegedly collapse the MoU altogether. The kicker, per Parsi: a "disarm Hezbollah first" standoff, or outright civil war, is the exact pressure point that makes the whole thing unravel. Trita Parsi

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🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Trump rarely pressures Israel over Hezbollah or Lebanon. Trita Parsi argues that changed only after Iran linked progress on a nuclear deal to a regional ceasefire. "We've never seen Trump, frankly we've never seen many other American presidents in recent history putting that type of pressure on the Israelis when they're in pursuit of Hezbollah or Hamas, unless there's some other factor at play." Trita Parsi

🇺🇸🇮🇱🇱🇧 Trump rarely pressures Israel over Hezbollah or Lebanon. Trita Parsi argues that changed only after Iran linked progress on a nuclear deal to a regional ceasefire. "We've never seen Trump, frankly we've never seen many other American presidents in recent history putting that type of pressure on the Israelis when they're in pursuit of Hezbollah or Hamas, unless there's some other factor at play." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “WITHOUT U.S. SUPPORT, ISRAEL’S WAR IN GAZA WOULD END IN 5 DAYS” Trita Parsi says Israel’s military power is heavily dependent on uninterrupted American backing. Trita Parsi: “Israel is not a superpower on its own. Its military strength depends on U.S. support. In November 2023, an Israeli general said the war in Gaza would end in 5 days if the U.S. stopped arms transfers. Israel has a strong high-tech sector, but it cannot sustain the pace of munitions and weapons use without American resupply. The war effort relies on Washington.”

🇮🇱 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “WITHOUT U.S. SUPPORT, ISRAEL’S WAR IN GAZA WOULD END IN 5 DAYS” Trita Parsi says Israel’s military power is heavily dependent on uninterrupted American backing. Trita Parsi: “Israel is not a superpower on its own. Its military strength depends on U.S. support. In November 2023, an Israeli general said the war in Gaza would end in 5 days if the U.S. stopped arms transfers. Israel has a strong high-tech sector, but it cannot sustain the pace of munitions and weapons use without American resupply. The war effort relies on Washington.”

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TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: There was a segment of the Iranian people that seemed to welcome this conflict because they were just so sick and tired of this theocracy. But those sentiments seem to have shifted very fast as it's become clear to them that this is a war on the country, not a war on the regime. Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇱🇧 If Israel remains inside southern Lebanon, Trita Parsi argues a lasting regional ceasefire may be impossible. He says Iran's priority isn't simply strengthening Hezbollah, but also securing a ceasefire that holds across the region. As long as Israeli forces remain in Lebanon, armed resistance will continue, risking a collapse of any broader agreement. He also notes that some areas in southern Lebanon have significant military value for Hezbollah, making an Israeli withdrawal important not just politically, but strategically. "The priority is a ceasefire that is region-wide and stops the fighting everywhere." Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇱🇧 If Israel remains inside southern Lebanon, Trita Parsi argues a lasting regional ceasefire may be impossible. He says Iran's priority isn't simply strengthening Hezbollah, but also securing a ceasefire that holds across the region. As long as Israeli forces remain in Lebanon, armed resistance will continue, risking a collapse of any broader agreement. He also notes that some areas in southern Lebanon have significant military value for Hezbollah, making an Israeli withdrawal important not just politically, but strategically. "The priority is a ceasefire that is region-wide and stops the fighting everywhere." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇱 🇱🇧 Netanyahu may need the Lebanon war to survive, and Trump just found the move to end his career. Trita Parsi lays out why Lebanon won't settle down easily. Netanyahu's political survival, he says, may hinge on keeping that conflict burning, even as Washington insiders work behind the scenes to tank Trump's diplomatic memorandum and shield Israel. But Parsi says Trump holds a devastating counter. He could threaten to throw his weight behind Israeli opposition figures, some of whom are allegedly already in backdoor talks with Trump's inner circle, and end Netanyahu's political career outright. Trita Parsi

🇮🇱 🇱🇧 Netanyahu may need the Lebanon war to survive, and Trump just found the move to end his career. Trita Parsi lays out why Lebanon won't settle down easily. Netanyahu's political survival, he says, may hinge on keeping that conflict burning, even as Washington insiders work behind the scenes to tank Trump's diplomatic memorandum and shield Israel. But Parsi says Trump holds a devastating counter. He could threaten to throw his weight behind Israeli opposition figures, some of whom are allegedly already in backdoor talks with Trump's inner circle, and end Netanyahu's political career outright. Trita Parsi

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Trita Parsi told Drop Site that one of the risks Iran faces is overplaying its hand—pushing too far in negotiations or on the battlefield and hardening Trump’s position, which could prolong the war in a “lose-lose” situation, instead of securing a deal.

Trita Parsi told Drop Site that one of the risks Iran faces is overplaying its hand—pushing too far in negotiations or on the battlefield and hardening Trump’s position, which could prolong the war in a “lose-lose” situation, instead of securing a deal.

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Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

Dr. Trita Parsi (Trita Parsi) | Middle East Expert | Quincy Institute for Responsible Statecraft: Diplomacy can still work to stop the war - but it has become much harder. Despite escalation in Lebanon, attacks on Iran & Iranian strikes on GCC states, diplomacy was never shut down. That tells you the desire for a deal on both sides is strong enough to weather even these setbacks. But the last 5-6% of the distance comes down to trust. And that is exactly where they are stuck.

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TRITA PARSI: Trump has already said that the U.S. is not reliant on Persian Gulf oil anymore. The Strait of Hormuz matters to Asia and Europe, not the United States. The entire Middle East is no longer crucial to the United States! We are overextended in a region that doesn't have a vital interest for U.S. national security any longer! Trita Parsi

TRITA PARSI: Trump has already said that the U.S. is not reliant on Persian Gulf oil anymore. The Strait of Hormuz matters to Asia and Europe, not the United States. The entire Middle East is no longer crucial to the United States! We are overextended in a region that doesn't have a vital interest for U.S. national security any longer! Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has carried out thousands of strikes on the UAE since the war began, and it calls that letting it off the hook. Trita Parsi talked about how the war is aggravating tensions in the Middle East while Israel capitalizes on the chaos to bring max pain to Iran. "There could very well be scenarios where they will try to sabotage the talks." Trita Parsi

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has carried out thousands of strikes on the UAE since the war began, and it calls that letting it off the hook. Trita Parsi talked about how the war is aggravating tensions in the Middle East while Israel capitalizes on the chaos to bring max pain to Iran. "There could very well be scenarios where they will try to sabotage the talks." Trita Parsi

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🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

🇮🇷🇺🇸 “Their sense is that they are close.” Iran expert Trita Parsi says U.S. officials told him they believe Washington and Tehran are nearing a deal, despite recent tensions over Israeli attacks on Lebanon. Parsi said Iran views continued Israeli strikes as a serious red line and is using the issue to test whether President Trump is willing, or able, to restrain Benjamin Netanyahu. “If Trump is unwilling or incapable of holding the Israelis back, then what is the value of a deal with the United States?” Trita Parsi | Ryan Grim | Maysa Mustafa

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Netanyahu is heading to the White House this week. Trita Parsi says he's arriving wounded, defensive, and having sold Trump a war that turned into disaster. But the real agenda isn't Iran. It's Lebanon. Parsi believes he'll push Trump to give the Israel-Lebanon agreement precedence over the MOU, decouple Lebanon from Iran's demands entirely, and quietly lay the groundwork for the MOU collapsing. If he succeeds, a Lebanese civil war becomes much more likely. On the notion that Trump will simply restart the war after the midterms: "If there is a military option, why isn't he just using it?" If it takes years, it's not a solution, it's just the rest of Trump's presidency being consumed by war. He called the Lebanese government's deal with Israel "absolutely bizarre," saying it essentially told Israel it could stay in Lebanon until Hezbollah is disarmed, which the Lebanese army cannot do. His warning if the MOU fails: not a return to full war, but something potentially worse... lower intensity conflict spreading further geographically through proxies, with no decisive outcome in sight. I always learn a lot from my conversations with Trita Parsi, enjoy!

Netanyahu is heading to the White House this week. Trita Parsi says he's arriving wounded, defensive, and having sold Trump a war that turned into disaster. But the real agenda isn't Iran. It's Lebanon. Parsi believes he'll push Trump to give the Israel-Lebanon agreement precedence over the MOU, decouple Lebanon from Iran's demands entirely, and quietly lay the groundwork for the MOU collapsing. If he succeeds, a Lebanese civil war becomes much more likely. On the notion that Trump will simply restart the war after the midterms: "If there is a military option, why isn't he just using it?" If it takes years, it's not a solution, it's just the rest of Trump's presidency being consumed by war. He called the Lebanese government's deal with Israel "absolutely bizarre," saying it essentially told Israel it could stay in Lebanon until Hezbollah is disarmed, which the Lebanese army cannot do. His warning if the MOU fails: not a return to full war, but something potentially worse... lower intensity conflict spreading further geographically through proxies, with no decisive outcome in sight. I always learn a lot from my conversations with Trita Parsi, enjoy!

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🚨🇱🇧🇮🇱 Even if a sweeping regional ceasefire is secured, the absolute silence on whether Israel will actually pull its forces out of Lebanon remains a dangerous wildcard. Middle East expert Trita Parsi highlights that any temporary peace could fall apart instantly if localized border clashes are treated as immediate violations. While the White House has shown a willingness to temporarily restrain Jerusalem, Parsi warns it will take relentless, long-term pressure from Washington to keep the entire deal from blowing up. Trita Parsi

🚨🇱🇧🇮🇱 Even if a sweeping regional ceasefire is secured, the absolute silence on whether Israel will actually pull its forces out of Lebanon remains a dangerous wildcard. Middle East expert Trita Parsi highlights that any temporary peace could fall apart instantly if localized border clashes are treated as immediate violations. While the White House has shown a willingness to temporarily restrain Jerusalem, Parsi warns it will take relentless, long-term pressure from Washington to keep the entire deal from blowing up. Trita Parsi

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Trita Parsi Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of Quincy Institute, is reportedly being investigated by the U.S. Administration and may be in danger of being deported. I can only hope that is a scare tactic, or just fake news, bc not only would such an attempt to silence a critic of America's foolish war in Iran be unconstitutional, it would be incredibly foolish. Trita has been on our show many times, and has ALWAYS been a voice of reason, of intelligence, and perhaps most of all: pro-America. He is a genuine America-firster and all of his advice and critique has been centered on trying to convince the government to avoid policies that are harmful to us and to pursue policies from which we can benefit. We need more men like Trita Parsi in the national dialogue.

Trita Parsi Trita Parsi, Executive Vice President of Quincy Institute, is reportedly being investigated by the U.S. Administration and may be in danger of being deported. I can only hope that is a scare tactic, or just fake news, bc not only would such an attempt to silence a critic of America's foolish war in Iran be unconstitutional, it would be incredibly foolish. Trita has been on our show many times, and has ALWAYS been a voice of reason, of intelligence, and perhaps most of all: pro-America. He is a genuine America-firster and all of his advice and critique has been centered on trying to convince the government to avoid policies that are harmful to us and to pursue policies from which we can benefit. We need more men like Trita Parsi in the national dialogue.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

🇮🇷🇮🇱 TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL CANNOT START A WAR WITH IRAN WITHOUT U.S. INVOLVEMENT” Parsi says Israel’s ability to escalate against Iran is limited without U.S. backing, and that Washington’s role should shift from enabling conflict to helping build an inclusive regional peace framework. Trita Parsi: "The Israelis cannot commit that type of a war against Iran without American involvement. The U.S. provides so much of the defense of Israel against Iranian missiles that it needs to be put in place before the war, not after. If this peace deal succeeds, the administration should move forward with a larger peace agreement that would include Iran and essentially everyone."

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Trump could lose his own base if U.S. boots hit Iranian soil — Trita Parsi. He says much of Trump’s support is shaped by Fox News, but that illusion won’t survive a ground war. An invasion risks a quagmire — Just ask Iraq and Afghanistan. Full interview on The Sanchez Effect.

Trump could lose his own base if U.S. boots hit Iranian soil — Trita Parsi. He says much of Trump’s support is shaped by Fox News, but that illusion won’t survive a ground war. An invasion risks a quagmire — Just ask Iraq and Afghanistan. Full interview on The Sanchez Effect.

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🇮🇷🇮🇱 WILL IRAN COLLAPSE INTO CIVIL WAR? Trita Parsi lays out a very disturbing scenario: Iran’s protests may not lead to freedom, but to civil war. "It is plausible that they’ve taken some buildings in Kermanshah If you end up having a collapse of the state, not just the regime, you do have the risk of separatism. Israel’s position here is very different. I think [for them] collapse and instability wouldn’t just be okay, it would be desirable. I don’t see any recent example where that kind of military action actually led to democracy, especially after you’ve already decimated the middle class." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

🇮🇷🇮🇱 WILL IRAN COLLAPSE INTO CIVIL WAR? Trita Parsi lays out a very disturbing scenario: Iran’s protests may not lead to freedom, but to civil war. "It is plausible that they’ve taken some buildings in Kermanshah If you end up having a collapse of the state, not just the regime, you do have the risk of separatism. Israel’s position here is very different. I think [for them] collapse and instability wouldn’t just be okay, it would be desirable. I don’t see any recent example where that kind of military action actually led to democracy, especially after you’ve already decimated the middle class." Iranian analyst, Trita Parsi

Mario Nawfal

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🇮🇷 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL WANTED TO TURN IRAN INTO ANOTHER SYRIA OR LEBANON” Trita Parsi says Israel aimed to strike Iran with impunity, but the reality proved far more costly than expected. Trita Parsi: “The goal was to turn Iran into a country Israel could strike at will, like Syria or Lebanon. But Israel could not even carry out this attack without U.S. support. They hoped to achieve more with the first strike, but Iran’s missile response was stronger than expected. Toward the end of the war, more missiles were penetrating Israeli defenses and causing serious damage. Military censorship in Israel has limited public understanding, but the full picture is starting to emerge. Israel likely would have kept going if the U.S. had stayed in the fight. Once Washington pulled back, the cost-benefit shifted, and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.”

🇮🇷 INTERVIEW – TRITA PARSI: “ISRAEL WANTED TO TURN IRAN INTO ANOTHER SYRIA OR LEBANON” Trita Parsi says Israel aimed to strike Iran with impunity, but the reality proved far more costly than expected. Trita Parsi: “The goal was to turn Iran into a country Israel could strike at will, like Syria or Lebanon. But Israel could not even carry out this attack without U.S. support. They hoped to achieve more with the first strike, but Iran’s missile response was stronger than expected. Toward the end of the war, more missiles were penetrating Israeli defenses and causing serious damage. Military censorship in Israel has limited public understanding, but the full picture is starting to emerge. Israel likely would have kept going if the U.S. had stayed in the fight. Once Washington pulled back, the cost-benefit shifted, and Israel agreed to a ceasefire.”

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🇮🇷 TRITA PARSI: “THE PALESTINIAN STATE NEEDS TO BE ESTABLISHED” Parsi says optimism over Trump’s Middle East deal reflects hopes that U.S. pressure on Israel will finally lead to ending the genocide. Trita Parsi: "My initial reaction is that it is extremely, extremely positive if this can hold. If it translates to not just an end to the genocide but actually a deal that settles the root cause of these conflicts. Which is the fact that the Israeli occupation has been continuing for decades. The Palestinian state needs to be established. Everyone in the region wants to continue to encourage Trump."

🇮🇷 TRITA PARSI: “THE PALESTINIAN STATE NEEDS TO BE ESTABLISHED” Parsi says optimism over Trump’s Middle East deal reflects hopes that U.S. pressure on Israel will finally lead to ending the genocide. Trita Parsi: "My initial reaction is that it is extremely, extremely positive if this can hold. If it translates to not just an end to the genocide but actually a deal that settles the root cause of these conflicts. Which is the fact that the Israeli occupation has been continuing for decades. The Palestinian state needs to be established. Everyone in the region wants to continue to encourage Trump."

Mario Nawfal

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