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Introducing Decision-Bench, a new industry standard for measuring model capabilities in making ROI-positive decisions on messy enterprise data. Every enterprise has slowed AI investments due to no ROI; AIs still fail at complex decisions, and pricing second order effects.

14,365 views • 13 days ago •via X (Twitter)

30 Comments

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

We built a high-fidelity simulation of New York, an RL environment where AI agents make business decisions on workloads like fraud prevention A year of a food-delivery platform: 81M orders, 7.5B warehouse rows, 235 ERP tables, 210 real decisions, graded in dollars

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

frontier models systematically read human error as fraud if a kitchen forgets a regular's fries twice, a user might keep ordering. frontier models were overeager to flag fraud & freeze the restaurant's account Opus froze 98 restaurants, w/ a 73% false positive rate

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

they also had very narrow short term reward functions: told to trim $9.6M of delivery bonus programs, Opus cut the ones w/ the miles per dollar but those programs were loss leaders keeping surge pricing down. resulting in a loss of $86K in a single day

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

frontier models also demonstrated no skepticism towards prior risk systems told to find thieves the old risk engine missed, Opus trained on that engine's labels obviously - this led to it catching 0/78 cases of theft

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

This were the final results of Decision-Bench on a cost / performance curve particularly interesting is the dominance of 6.1 Sol, operating on an almost entirely different pareto frontier

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

read more about it here:

ethan ding 📊's profile picture
ethan ding 📊13 days ago

or just read the paper here

Rodney's profile picture
Rodney13 days ago

decision decision decision

Farzam's profile picture
Farzam13 days ago

@SalehOfTomorrow Can you guys run some “Decision models” through this benchmark and see how they perform?

nic's profile picture
nic13 days ago

🚢

Victor Wang's profile picture
Victor Wang13 days ago

Love this new benchmark! Much-needed in the industry.

chi's profile picture
chi13 days ago

nice

Ali Partovi's profile picture
Ali Partovi13 days ago

A giant leap forward for enterprise AI!

bickell's profile picture
bickell13 days ago

decision bench is wild - pumped to see this public now!

Veyra | AI & Tech's profile picture
Veyra | AI & Tech13 days ago

Finally a benchmark for messy enterprise decisions

Unconvo's profile picture
Unconvo13 days ago

this is incredible wow

kelgi's profile picture
kelgi13 days ago

😱😱 YAY TEXTQL

Saleh Hindi's profile picture
Saleh Hindi13 days ago

Holy shit, insanely cool

Alice The Ai Expert's profile picture
Alice The Ai Expert13 days ago

Finally a benchmark that measures what actually matters ROI positive decisions on messy enterprise data. Decision Bench is exactly what the industry needed!

Sani Ai Tech's profile picture
Sani Ai Tech13 days ago

A valuable benchmark for making enterprise AI decisions more reliable

kartik bhardwaj's profile picture
kartik bhardwaj13 days ago

The hard part with ROI-positive decisions is ground truth, since the payoff often shows up weeks later. Are you scoring against realized historical outcomes, or a simulator that prices the second-order effects?

Aaliya's profile picture
Aaliya13 days ago

AI needs to make better choices, not just give answers.

Elise Tech Ai's profile picture
Elise Tech Ai13 days ago

Measuring ROI-positive decisions on messy enterprise data is exactly the benchmark we need!

Ian's profile picture
Ian13 days ago

Knowing how each model performs across different enterprise workloads (fraud, forecasting, the month-end close) does more than help with cost optimization and model choice. It gives you grounded confidence in the decision itself. This is awesome!

Aria Tech's profile picture
Aria Tech13 days ago

Decision Bench is a much needed benchmark for real enterprise ROI

RAZA | AI EXPLORER's profile picture
RAZA | AI EXPLORER12 days ago

A much-needed benchmark! Measuring real-world ROI and decision-making on messy enterprise data is crucial for driving AI adoption.

Mira Synth Tech's profile picture
Mira Synth Tech13 days ago

Great initiative! Better decision-making benchmarks are essential for proving real ROI from enterprise AI.

Richard Mensah's profile picture
Richard Mensah13 days ago

this is cool

Jimi Barkway's profile picture
Jimi Barkway13 days ago

Benchmarks that test complete decisions, not just answers, feel much closer to what teams need from agents.

tim's profile picture
tim13 days ago

👀

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