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introducing on deck. a dynamic calendar for prediction markets. these are information markets — and information is time-dependent. resolution dates matter. volume clusters matter. timing is the edge. on deck visualizes that as a living heatmap. based on volume, importance, and proximity to resolution with markets pre-researched on a...

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probly.trade (formerly @polybroapp)

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18,468 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

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Prediction Market is one of the leading Web3 niches in 2024! With about $4 Billion in trading volume, $192 Million in TVL and millions of users in 2024, prediction protocols have been showing tremendous growth and attracting user adoption in Web3. PolyMarket seems to be leading the pack, with over $175M in TVL, and backing from Vitalik Buterin. However, a majority of Prediction Markets, including PolyMarket, currently lacks the flexibility and capital efficiency required for seamless transactions. Also, they are all majorly focused on driving Web2 users thus neglecting the need for markets that cater for short-term, high-risk investments from Web3 Degens. To tackle these flaws, there's a need for a revolutionary contender that understands the need of Web3 Chads That's where Predict Hub comes in PredictHub is a prediction Market that transforms real world events into opportunities for everyone to participate and forecast. Launching on Arbitrum, PredictHub is already catching the attention of major players in the Space by offering something PolyMarket and others don't - Flexibility and Incentives. By offering fast market updates and innovative prediction category like ETF Forecasts, PredictHub is changing how we interact with Prediction Markets. But then, here's where it gets more interesting; PredictHub offer users a unique point system, where you don't just make predictions, you also earn rewards. The more you Predict, the more you earn. These rewards are 2-fold: Nova and Orbit Points. Nova Points are earned by traders based on their trading activity and their leaderboard ranking. Orbit Points, on the other hand, are earned by users who provide liquidity, based on their LP size and duration. Other Point systems include PolyMarket User Points, Leaderboard Bonus and Market Multipliers. These rewards offer users more competitive edge than other prediction markets. Apart from these rewards, PredictHub features a unique 3-tier referral system, rewarding users with even more as you invite your friends. The more friends you bring, the greater the rewards. On top of these, PredictHub focuses on USDC and a wide-range of yield bearing assets like GLP, gUSDC, and sUSDe, enabling users to optimise their earning while holding assets across Networks. Exciting, right? PredictHub is in its Testnet phase and you can start earning Points Right away 🔅 Here's how to Get Started on PredictHub: 1. Go to 2. Request Faucet 3. Start making predictions and earning Points Easy-Peasy ✅ More Info can be gotten from Predict Hub All eyes are on PredictHub as the fix for the flaws of Prediction Market Protocols. With its unique approach targeting untapped niches that most existing prediction markets have yet to explore, I believe the Protocol has the potential to become a breakout success I will be placing good Predictions to Position 🚀🚀🚀
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Prediction Market is one of the leading Web3 niches in 2024! With about $4 Billion in trading volume, $192 Million in TVL and millions of users in 2024, prediction protocols have been showing tremendous growth and attracting user adoption in Web3. PolyMarket seems to be leading the pack, with over $175M in TVL, and backing from Vitalik Buterin. However, a majority of Prediction Markets, including PolyMarket, currently lacks the flexibility and capital efficiency required for seamless transactions. Also, they are all majorly focused on driving Web2 users thus neglecting the need for markets that cater for short-term, high-risk investments from Web3 Degens. To tackle these flaws, there's a need for a revolutionary contender that understands the need of Web3 Chads That's where Predict Hub comes in PredictHub is a prediction Market that transforms real world events into opportunities for everyone to participate and forecast. Launching on Arbitrum, PredictHub is already catching the attention of major players in the Space by offering something PolyMarket and others don't - Flexibility and Incentives. By offering fast market updates and innovative prediction category like ETF Forecasts, PredictHub is changing how we interact with Prediction Markets. But then, here's where it gets more interesting; PredictHub offer users a unique point system, where you don't just make predictions, you also earn rewards. The more you Predict, the more you earn. These rewards are 2-fold: Nova and Orbit Points. Nova Points are earned by traders based on their trading activity and their leaderboard ranking. Orbit Points, on the other hand, are earned by users who provide liquidity, based on their LP size and duration. Other Point systems include PolyMarket User Points, Leaderboard Bonus and Market Multipliers. These rewards offer users more competitive edge than other prediction markets. Apart from these rewards, PredictHub features a unique 3-tier referral system, rewarding users with even more as you invite your friends. The more friends you bring, the greater the rewards. On top of these, PredictHub focuses on USDC and a wide-range of yield bearing assets like GLP, gUSDC, and sUSDe, enabling users to optimise their earning while holding assets across Networks. Exciting, right? PredictHub is in its Testnet phase and you can start earning Points Right away 🔅 Here's how to Get Started on PredictHub: 1. Go to 2. Request Faucet 3. Start making predictions and earning Points Easy-Peasy ✅ More Info can be gotten from Predict Hub All eyes are on PredictHub as the fix for the flaws of Prediction Market Protocols. With its unique approach targeting untapped niches that most existing prediction markets have yet to explore, I believe the Protocol has the potential to become a breakout success I will be placing good Predictions to Position 🚀🚀🚀

InfoSpace OG

19,674 görüntüleme • 1 yıl önce

NEW: Limitless, the largest prediction market on Base, adopts Chainlink Data Streams as its oracle infra to power high-speed resolution for short-term, high-volume crypto markets with instant payouts. Predict outcomes across BTC, ETH, SOL, and more leading assets today.
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NEW: Limitless, the largest prediction market on Base, adopts Chainlink Data Streams as its oracle infra to power high-speed resolution for short-term, high-volume crypto markets with instant payouts. Predict outcomes across BTC, ETH, SOL, and more leading assets today.

Chainlink

37,485 görüntüleme • 27 gün önce

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - HashDive - Prediction Market Analytics: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!
0:10

My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - HashDive - Prediction Market Analytics: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

Yoshi

31,700 görüntüleme • 10 ay önce

we're reshaping the interaction layer to unlock billions more in volume on prediction markets. excited to announce our pre-seed round with participation from Collab+Currency and Colosseum.
0:10

we're reshaping the interaction layer to unlock billions more in volume on prediction markets. excited to announce our pre-seed round with participation from Collab+Currency and Colosseum.

Synthesis

14,223 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

YOSO ALPHA ACCESS ❤️ Alpha Access Giveaway I’ll be sharing 50 Alpha access spots with the community To participate: ✅ Follow Yoso 👁️ - Social Prediction and The nazzy ✅ Like & Repost this post ✅ Tag 2 friends interested in prediction markets After the 24-hour it closes, send “YOSOALPHA” on Telegram: 👉 @nazyy0x Participants will be selected and given Alpha trading access Most prediction markets move slowly Yoso is experimenting with something different short-cycle, region-driven prediction markets Instead of only global headlines, markets can focus on what people actually follow locally Think narratives like: • Cricket discussions • Regional market sentiment Add daily trading cycles on top of that and the result is a more active and community-driven trading experience. Short cycles Frequent trading loops. More discussion around each market. That’s what makes Yoso interesting right now 📢 Official Community Invite access updates will also be shared here: - - - If you enjoy exploring new Web3 trading experiences early, this might be worth checking out
0:10

YOSO ALPHA ACCESS ❤️ Alpha Access Giveaway I’ll be sharing 50 Alpha access spots with the community To participate: ✅ Follow Yoso 👁️ - Social Prediction and The nazzy ✅ Like & Repost this post ✅ Tag 2 friends interested in prediction markets After the 24-hour it closes, send “YOSOALPHA” on Telegram: 👉 @nazyy0x Participants will be selected and given Alpha trading access Most prediction markets move slowly Yoso is experimenting with something different short-cycle, region-driven prediction markets Instead of only global headlines, markets can focus on what people actually follow locally Think narratives like: • Cricket discussions • Regional market sentiment Add daily trading cycles on top of that and the result is a more active and community-driven trading experience. Short cycles Frequent trading loops. More discussion around each market. That’s what makes Yoso interesting right now 📢 Official Community Invite access updates will also be shared here: - - - If you enjoy exploring new Web3 trading experiences early, this might be worth checking out

The nazzy

36,750 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

The DFlow Prediction Markets API is now live in @Phantom Running on 100% of Kalshi markets - Phantom users can access tokenized predictions natively on @Solana with the deepest liquidity and full onchain composability The future of markets in the crypto wallet for everyone
0:19

The DFlow Prediction Markets API is now live in @Phantom Running on 100% of Kalshi markets - Phantom users can access tokenized predictions natively on @Solana with the deepest liquidity and full onchain composability The future of markets in the crypto wallet for everyone

DFlow

27,061 görüntüleme • 6 ay önce

Introducing streaming on Prediction. We are the first Polymarket powered prediction experience with rich-media support, embedding live and relevant content directly inside each market. Over time, we will continue expanding rich-media coverage across major sports events and key Mention markets to create the most immersive prediction experience on mobile. Stay Based.
0:17

Introducing streaming on Prediction. We are the first Polymarket powered prediction experience with rich-media support, embedding live and relevant content directly inside each market. Over time, we will continue expanding rich-media coverage across major sports events and key Mention markets to create the most immersive prediction experience on mobile. Stay Based.

Based

444,171 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

What if you could see what the market believes before you trade? Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi price real world outcomes, in real time. We bring that signal into one place. Introducing AceTrader Prediction Markets, trade ahead of the move.
0:20

What if you could see what the market believes before you trade? Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi price real world outcomes, in real time. We bring that signal into one place. Introducing AceTrader Prediction Markets, trade ahead of the move.

AceTrader

25,483 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

📽️ The Wolf Of All Streets: "With prediction markets and being able to trade other markets on crypto casinos, there's no reason to trade altcoins anymore."x
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📽️ The Wolf Of All Streets: "With prediction markets and being able to trade other markets on crypto casinos, there's no reason to trade altcoins anymore."x

CoinDesk

26,250 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

A new all-time high for prediction markets on BNB Chain 🔥 $30B in cumulative volume, with $10B added in just the past two months. This is what acceleration looks like 🧵
0:15

A new all-time high for prediction markets on BNB Chain 🔥 $30B in cumulative volume, with $10B added in just the past two months. This is what acceleration looks like 🧵

BNB Chain

188,786 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

The first HIP-4 prediction market is still very inefficient. As more markets roll out there will be even more inefficient markets and lots of opportunities to exploit other bots.
0:19

The first HIP-4 prediction market is still very inefficient. As more markets roll out there will be even more inefficient markets and lots of opportunities to exploit other bots.

Leo Margolis

25,547 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

introducing polymarket cli - the fastest way for ai agents to access prediction markets built with rust. your agent can query markets, place trades, and pull data - all from the terminal fast, lightweight, no overhead
0:11

introducing polymarket cli - the fastest way for ai agents to access prediction markets built with rust. your agent can query markets, place trades, and pull data - all from the terminal fast, lightweight, no overhead

Suhail Kakar

1,716,002 görüntüleme • 4 ay önce

🌐 Imagine a prediction market where intelligence drives the price — and the noise steps aside. That world is #MERIN — the next evolution of prediction. On anything. Anytime. The era of AI-powered prediction markets has arrived. #MERIN #PredictionMarkets #AI #Web3
0:10

🌐 Imagine a prediction market where intelligence drives the price — and the noise steps aside. That world is #MERIN — the next evolution of prediction. On anything. Anytime. The era of AI-powered prediction markets has arrived. #MERIN #PredictionMarkets #AI #Web3

MERIN

10,856 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

Most agents track price. Ours track how information propagates through markets. That difference is where the edge comes from. The visualization below is a Shannon entropy field: a model of how uncertainty collapses and spreads as new information enters a market. Each trade, liquidity shift, or derivatives flow updates a probability distribution. When information arrives, entropy collapses locally as the market incorporates it. But that update rarely happens everywhere at once. Different venues, liquidity pools, and derivative layers incorporate signals at different speeds, creating measurable information gradients across the system. One of the analytical tools in our agents’ stack models this directly: > Entropy quantifies uncertainty embedded in each probability market > KL divergence reveals conflicting distributions across venues > Information gradients show where signals have propagated—and where they haven’t yet Prediction markets and DeFi make this particularly powerful because price already represents probability. Mapping how those probability distributions update across venues turns the market into a measurable system: a live field of information flow showing where uncertainty remains—and where probability is likely to adjust next
0:18

Most agents track price. Ours track how information propagates through markets. That difference is where the edge comes from. The visualization below is a Shannon entropy field: a model of how uncertainty collapses and spreads as new information enters a market. Each trade, liquidity shift, or derivatives flow updates a probability distribution. When information arrives, entropy collapses locally as the market incorporates it. But that update rarely happens everywhere at once. Different venues, liquidity pools, and derivative layers incorporate signals at different speeds, creating measurable information gradients across the system. One of the analytical tools in our agents’ stack models this directly: > Entropy quantifies uncertainty embedded in each probability market > KL divergence reveals conflicting distributions across venues > Information gradients show where signals have propagated—and where they haven’t yet Prediction markets and DeFi make this particularly powerful because price already represents probability. Mapping how those probability distributions update across venues turns the market into a measurable system: a live field of information flow showing where uncertainty remains—and where probability is likely to adjust next

Lucid - Internet of AI (IoAI)

22,998 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

If Prediction Markets truly want to beat traditional SportsBooks they need real parlays - Not conditional markets If you're working on Parlays for Prediction Markets get in my DMs. We're working at the frontier of innovation for Prediction markets TradeFox
0:12

If Prediction Markets truly want to beat traditional SportsBooks they need real parlays - Not conditional markets If you're working on Parlays for Prediction Markets get in my DMs. We're working at the frontier of innovation for Prediction markets TradeFox

Yoshi

12,304 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Unpacking prediction markets as the new financial primitive, new report co-authored by Jupiter and Chainlink 👇 Prediction markets aren’t betting. They’re outcome-based instruments that price uncertainty directly and hedge real-world events — with >90% accuracy right before resolution. We analyzed: > Exponential growth & market structure > A hybrid derivative model > Accuracy vs. traditional polling > Institutional adoption
0:12

Unpacking prediction markets as the new financial primitive, new report co-authored by Jupiter and Chainlink 👇 Prediction markets aren’t betting. They’re outcome-based instruments that price uncertainty directly and hedge real-world events — with >90% accuracy right before resolution. We analyzed: > Exponential growth & market structure > A hybrid derivative model > Accuracy vs. traditional polling > Institutional adoption

Birdeye Data

12,502 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

Insider trading will not be tolerated. The CFTC will use the full force of the law to protect market integrity for the American people and those who misappropriate information on our markets should be on notice. Watch more with Sara Eisen on CNBC 📺
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Insider trading will not be tolerated. The CFTC will use the full force of the law to protect market integrity for the American people and those who misappropriate information on our markets should be on notice. Watch more with Sara Eisen on CNBC 📺

Mike Selig

36,437 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

Introducing Level Terminal, powered by Kalshi. We're building the most powerful data & trading terminal in prediction markets, and will be among the first apps to support Kalshi's on-chain launch. Stay tuned.
0:16

Introducing Level Terminal, powered by Kalshi. We're building the most powerful data & trading terminal in prediction markets, and will be among the first apps to support Kalshi's on-chain launch. Stay tuned.

Level Terminal

28,895 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce

We’re kicking off our IMO launches with Cobot, the third Prediction Markets Hackathon winner. Cobot is building one of the smartest AI terminals for prediction markets, combining AI insights, market discovery, and fast execution into a single workflow. An AI-powered aggregator and trading companion for Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, and Opinion. Registrations are now live for $SFUND stakers. 📅 Sale starts January 19th at 11:00 AM UTC. Agreed milestones will be available on the sale page tomorrow. Don’t miss it.
0:20

We’re kicking off our IMO launches with Cobot, the third Prediction Markets Hackathon winner. Cobot is building one of the smartest AI terminals for prediction markets, combining AI insights, market discovery, and fast execution into a single workflow. An AI-powered aggregator and trading companion for Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, and Opinion. Registrations are now live for $SFUND stakers. 📅 Sale starts January 19th at 11:00 AM UTC. Agreed milestones will be available on the sale page tomorrow. Don’t miss it.

Seedify

30,891 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

Based AI Localised Prediction Markets Based has launched the first localizable prediction market with refined market discoverability. View or search markets directly in your native language. Increase your win rate with a clearer understanding of the markets you are trading. Based = 베이스드 = ベースド = 牛逼 = Berdasar = Basado Stay Based.
0:19

Based AI Localised Prediction Markets Based has launched the first localizable prediction market with refined market discoverability. View or search markets directly in your native language. Increase your win rate with a clearer understanding of the markets you are trading. Based = 베이스드 = ベースド = 牛逼 = Berdasar = Basado Stay Based.

Based

46,487 görüntüleme • 7 ay önce