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introducing on deck. a dynamic calendar for prediction markets. these are information markets — and information is time-dependent. resolution dates matter. volume clusters matter. timing is the edge. on deck visualizes that as a living heatmap. based on volume, importance, and proximity to resolution with markets pre-researched on a...

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probly.trade (formerly @polybroapp)

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18,479 Aufrufe • vor 8 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Prediction Market is one of the leading Web3 niches in 2024! With about $4 Billion in trading volume, $192 Million in TVL and millions of users in 2024, prediction protocols have been showing tremendous growth and attracting user adoption in Web3. PolyMarket seems to be leading the pack, with over $175M in TVL, and backing from Vitalik Buterin. However, a majority of Prediction Markets, including PolyMarket, currently lacks the flexibility and capital efficiency required for seamless transactions. Also, they are all majorly focused on driving Web2 users thus neglecting the need for markets that cater for short-term, high-risk investments from Web3 Degens. To tackle these flaws, there's a need for a revolutionary contender that understands the need of Web3 Chads That's where Predict Hub comes in PredictHub is a prediction Market that transforms real world events into opportunities for everyone to participate and forecast. Launching on Arbitrum, PredictHub is already catching the attention of major players in the Space by offering something PolyMarket and others don't - Flexibility and Incentives. By offering fast market updates and innovative prediction category like ETF Forecasts, PredictHub is changing how we interact with Prediction Markets. But then, here's where it gets more interesting; PredictHub offer users a unique point system, where you don't just make predictions, you also earn rewards. The more you Predict, the more you earn. These rewards are 2-fold: Nova and Orbit Points. Nova Points are earned by traders based on their trading activity and their leaderboard ranking. Orbit Points, on the other hand, are earned by users who provide liquidity, based on their LP size and duration. Other Point systems include PolyMarket User Points, Leaderboard Bonus and Market Multipliers. These rewards offer users more competitive edge than other prediction markets. Apart from these rewards, PredictHub features a unique 3-tier referral system, rewarding users with even more as you invite your friends. The more friends you bring, the greater the rewards. On top of these, PredictHub focuses on USDC and a wide-range of yield bearing assets like GLP, gUSDC, and sUSDe, enabling users to optimise their earning while holding assets across Networks. Exciting, right? PredictHub is in its Testnet phase and you can start earning Points Right away 🔅 Here's how to Get Started on PredictHub: 1. Go to 2. Request Faucet 3. Start making predictions and earning Points Easy-Peasy ✅ More Info can be gotten from Predict Hub All eyes are on PredictHub as the fix for the flaws of Prediction Market Protocols. With its unique approach targeting untapped niches that most existing prediction markets have yet to explore, I believe the Protocol has the potential to become a breakout success I will be placing good Predictions to Position 🚀🚀🚀
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Prediction Market is one of the leading Web3 niches in 2024! With about $4 Billion in trading volume, $192 Million in TVL and millions of users in 2024, prediction protocols have been showing tremendous growth and attracting user adoption in Web3. PolyMarket seems to be leading the pack, with over $175M in TVL, and backing from Vitalik Buterin. However, a majority of Prediction Markets, including PolyMarket, currently lacks the flexibility and capital efficiency required for seamless transactions. Also, they are all majorly focused on driving Web2 users thus neglecting the need for markets that cater for short-term, high-risk investments from Web3 Degens. To tackle these flaws, there's a need for a revolutionary contender that understands the need of Web3 Chads That's where Predict Hub comes in PredictHub is a prediction Market that transforms real world events into opportunities for everyone to participate and forecast. Launching on Arbitrum, PredictHub is already catching the attention of major players in the Space by offering something PolyMarket and others don't - Flexibility and Incentives. By offering fast market updates and innovative prediction category like ETF Forecasts, PredictHub is changing how we interact with Prediction Markets. But then, here's where it gets more interesting; PredictHub offer users a unique point system, where you don't just make predictions, you also earn rewards. The more you Predict, the more you earn. These rewards are 2-fold: Nova and Orbit Points. Nova Points are earned by traders based on their trading activity and their leaderboard ranking. Orbit Points, on the other hand, are earned by users who provide liquidity, based on their LP size and duration. Other Point systems include PolyMarket User Points, Leaderboard Bonus and Market Multipliers. These rewards offer users more competitive edge than other prediction markets. Apart from these rewards, PredictHub features a unique 3-tier referral system, rewarding users with even more as you invite your friends. The more friends you bring, the greater the rewards. On top of these, PredictHub focuses on USDC and a wide-range of yield bearing assets like GLP, gUSDC, and sUSDe, enabling users to optimise their earning while holding assets across Networks. Exciting, right? PredictHub is in its Testnet phase and you can start earning Points Right away 🔅 Here's how to Get Started on PredictHub: 1. Go to 2. Request Faucet 3. Start making predictions and earning Points Easy-Peasy ✅ More Info can be gotten from Predict Hub All eyes are on PredictHub as the fix for the flaws of Prediction Market Protocols. With its unique approach targeting untapped niches that most existing prediction markets have yet to explore, I believe the Protocol has the potential to become a breakout success I will be placing good Predictions to Position 🚀🚀🚀

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NEW: Limitless, the largest prediction market on Base, adopts Chainlink Data Streams as its oracle infra to power high-speed resolution for short-term, high-volume crypto markets with instant payouts. Predict outcomes across BTC, ETH, SOL, and more leading assets today.
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My Prediction Market Tools list + Trading Workflow A) Tools I use: - Betmoar: Filtering + Analysing specific smart money wallets - HashDive - Prediction Market Analytics: Spotting volume and OI changes + whale flows - Polymarket Analytics: Comparing markets across different Prediction Markets - Polycule: Trading on the go - Polysights: Advanced Metrics related to volatility and trends B) My workflow: 1) I usually trade sports + crypto price prediction markets since I have some kind of expertise there 2) I use Betmoar to filter and find interesting markets. Try to enter new markets as early as possible since there are significant mispricings 3) I then use Hashdive to see what OI changes and whale flows are like for a particular market 4) Polymarket Analytics to compare markets across PM and Kalshi to see where I can get the best price 5) Trade directly through PM and Kalshi for now to execute if im on my laptop and Polycule when I'm not 6) I also check in daily on smart money wallets I follow on BetMoar to see if they've made any interesting trades recently I don't focus on Arbitrage, LPing or delta-neutral trades at all. Prefer to either take directional trades where I have an information edge or I'm early Sometimes I'll 'gamble' on sports markets because it's fun C) Takeaways for you: - Only trade in markets you have in-depth knowledge/edge - Being early is lucrative in prediction markets - Pro tools can save you hours trying to find alpha - Don't use too many tools. Use a few and master them instead - Everyone has their own process. Don't copy mine it won't work for you. The point of this tweet was to educate you on how you can build your own process LMK if there's any other useful tools I should check out that could optimise my workflow further!

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We’re kicking off our IMO launches with Cobot, the third Prediction Markets Hackathon winner. Cobot is building one of the smartest AI terminals for prediction markets, combining AI insights, market discovery, and fast execution into a single workflow. An AI-powered aggregator and trading companion for Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless, Myriad, and Opinion. Registrations are now live for $SFUND stakers. 📅 Sale starts January 19th at 11:00 AM UTC. Agreed milestones will be available on the sale page tomorrow. Don’t miss it.

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How prediction vouchers work on XBIT Prediction Vouchers (also called Prediction Tickets) are the core reward and participation token in XBIT’s ongoing World Cup 2026 campaign. They turn your regular trading activity into entries for big prize pools without needing extra deposits. What are they? • Event-specific tokens issued by XBIT DEX. • Non-transferable and campaign-limited (tied to the World Cup Million Prize Pool and related events). • Used to join daily/weekly prediction markets and share in reward distributions. How to earn Prediction Vouchers 1. Trade on XBIT’s prediction markets (sports, politics, BTC price moves, etc.). 2. Trade futures/perpetuals (leverage trading also qualifies). 3. Complete eligible tasks announced in the campaign (volume thresholds, specific market participation, Lucky Spin, etc.). 4. Higher activity means more tickets. Exact multipliers are shown in the event dashboard on How to use them • Enter Daily Focus Matches or other prediction events. • Allocate your tickets to outcomes (e.g., Team A wins, Over/Under goals, correct score range). • Correct or high-performing predictions earn proportional shares of daily and final prize pools (up to $150k+ for the tournament finale on July 19). • Unused or partially winning tickets may still contribute to overall pool sharing based on total ticket volume. Why they matter They add capital efficiency, you earn tickets through normal trading instead of buying entries. Combined with XBIT’s 2x–5x prediction leverage, they let users amplify positions on World Cup outcomes while keeping skin in the game through on-chain, transparent markets. Hands-on tip: Connect your wallet on check your current ticket balance, and browse active matches. Start small with a simple game like “Match Winner” to see how tickets convert into real USDC rewards. XBIT + XBIT_ZH #XBIT #XBITCreator

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Google Employee Won $929,259 on Polymarket Using Inside Information? While most traders were jumping between random markets and chasing hype, one Polymarket user focused on just one thing. He made $929,259 betting on “#1 Searched Person on Google this year.” His profile: Wallet 0xafEe, previously known as AlphaRaccoon, is widely believed by users to be a Google employee. Many think he wasn’t just guessing, but using some form of private insight. And the numbers are hard to ignore: +1,826% on a single trade. > "Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?" > "YES" at 5% > $10,646 —> $205,108 At the time, d4vd wasn’t an obvious pick. There was no info about him before. This trader has 100% win rate on Tech markets. Was this just an insanely disciplined trader with elite intuition or someone with access to information the market didn’t have?
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Google Employee Won $929,259 on Polymarket Using Inside Information? While most traders were jumping between random markets and chasing hype, one Polymarket user focused on just one thing. He made $929,259 betting on “#1 Searched Person on Google this year.” His profile: Wallet 0xafEe, previously known as AlphaRaccoon, is widely believed by users to be a Google employee. Many think he wasn’t just guessing, but using some form of private insight. And the numbers are hard to ignore: +1,826% on a single trade. > "Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?" > "YES" at 5% > $10,646 —> $205,108 At the time, d4vd wasn’t an obvious pick. There was no info about him before. This trader has 100% win rate on Tech markets. Was this just an insanely disciplined trader with elite intuition or someone with access to information the market didn’t have?

may.crypto {🦅}

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24/5 equities pricing, tokenized treasuries, and price-based prediction markets. This is what modern finance looks like. More from the week on Sei ↓ 🔴 Chainlink 24/5 U.S. Equities Data Streams went live, with Monaco set to be among the first venues to integrate: 🔴 Tokenized treasuries reached $9B — still just 0.1% of the $8T corporate cash market: 🔴 Sei crossed 5B total transactions as daily active addresses approach all-time highs: 🔴 Token Relations reported 214% YoY DAU growth on Sei, with activity surging across apps like Yei Finance, Takara Lend💎, and Match Fighters: 🔴 Blits went live with Tap Trading, introducing price-based prediction markets on Sei: 🔴 MystenLabs.sui and Sei Labs researchers co-authored "Sedna" — a research piece on sharding that addresses the latency-censorship tradeoff in high-throughput chains: 🔴 Sei Labs explored how stablecoin adoption extends U.S. monetary policy in a new research paper: Markets Move Faster on Sei. ($/acc)

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Next Frontier: Predictions 📈 Our goal is for MobyScreener to become the home for all types of onchain discovery. We started by reshaping token discovery with MobyScreener and Whale Watch by Moby Now, we’re expanding into Prediction Markets with the launch of Smart Money Feeds natively on This live feed tracks the top traders on Polymarket, showing you exactly what they’re buying and selling in real time. Our algorithm identifies the most profitable bettors onchain and surfaces their trades in a clean, actionable UI. Smart Money Feeds is just the beginning of a new wave of features designed to transform how traders win with Prediction Markets.

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Happy to announce that the man, the myth, the legendary former RB of the Pittsburgh Steelers Le'Veon Bell will be on stream for Rainmaker soon! More details to come. We are building the best sniper for AI sports prediction markets and what better way to introduce it to the world than to have one of the NFL's best running backs join us!
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Happy to announce that the man, the myth, the legendary former RB of the Pittsburgh Steelers Le'Veon Bell will be on stream for Rainmaker soon! More details to come. We are building the best sniper for AI sports prediction markets and what better way to introduce it to the world than to have one of the NFL's best running backs join us!

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14,977 Aufrufe • vor 10 Monaten

LLM Artifacts Connected to Andrej Karpathy's LLM Knowledge base idea, I've been building out a fun way to generate dynamic artifacts from these knowledge bases with the goal of discovering and revealing meaningful and deeper insights. LLM KBs are hard to consume for humans, as I think they are more built for agents. So the question is, what form would be useful for humans to take actions and make important decisions? That's what I am trying to figure out with these artifacts. The artifact example shows a pulse on HN discussions around AI-related stories. The insights can go deeper, of course, but this is already super fun and thought-provoking, like some of my favorite podcasts. The format and depth matter a lot. The aggregation skills of agents are outstanding if you tune the prompts and skill carefully. I built this artifact generator in a few minutes through an agent skill, but I feel like there are so many ways that LLM-generated information can be used and consumed. Like generating deeper insights and analysis, and things that are just not feasible for humans today. The generated artifact (including its data and design) serves as reusable templates or can be updated in real-time via auomations, which is something I am also working on. It is truly an insane way to monitor and track information. Better than a newsletter. Better than newspapers. There is something about this that gets me really excited about the future of AI agents for knowledge generation and discovery. Lots of hidden gems everywhere just waiting to be discovered and acted on if the information is presented correctly. This is not perfect. The format, style/prose can be improved, but this is easy to customize via skill. You can personalize it to your liking. I feel like these dynamic artifacts are going to emerge as a strong new medium to stay on the cutting edge of things, both for agents and humans. My target is research, of course. This was just a basic example. Besides animation, I am also targeting other components like voice, videos, images, slides, etc. This space is full of opportunities to explore. Skill for this coming soon.
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LLM Artifacts Connected to Andrej Karpathy's LLM Knowledge base idea, I've been building out a fun way to generate dynamic artifacts from these knowledge bases with the goal of discovering and revealing meaningful and deeper insights. LLM KBs are hard to consume for humans, as I think they are more built for agents. So the question is, what form would be useful for humans to take actions and make important decisions? That's what I am trying to figure out with these artifacts. The artifact example shows a pulse on HN discussions around AI-related stories. The insights can go deeper, of course, but this is already super fun and thought-provoking, like some of my favorite podcasts. The format and depth matter a lot. The aggregation skills of agents are outstanding if you tune the prompts and skill carefully. I built this artifact generator in a few minutes through an agent skill, but I feel like there are so many ways that LLM-generated information can be used and consumed. Like generating deeper insights and analysis, and things that are just not feasible for humans today. The generated artifact (including its data and design) serves as reusable templates or can be updated in real-time via auomations, which is something I am also working on. It is truly an insane way to monitor and track information. Better than a newsletter. Better than newspapers. There is something about this that gets me really excited about the future of AI agents for knowledge generation and discovery. Lots of hidden gems everywhere just waiting to be discovered and acted on if the information is presented correctly. This is not perfect. The format, style/prose can be improved, but this is easy to customize via skill. You can personalize it to your liking. I feel like these dynamic artifacts are going to emerge as a strong new medium to stay on the cutting edge of things, both for agents and humans. My target is research, of course. This was just a basic example. Besides animation, I am also targeting other components like voice, videos, images, slides, etc. This space is full of opportunities to explore. Skill for this coming soon.

elvis

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Introducing CRYPTAL - The First AI-Powered Prediction Platform Powered by Social Intelligence 1/ Prediction markets let you bet on real-world outcomes: elections, price targets, product launches, sporting events. The edge goes to whoever processes information faster and more accurately. Most platforms give you a betting interface, but only Cryptal gives you an intelligence advantage. Base Build Base #Web3Prediction #PredictionMarket

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The global industry standard oracle platform, Chainlink, is now live on the Injective Mainnet. Time to market for dApp developers is critical and now with Injective’s EVM deployment, the iBuild AI dApp creator, onchain financial modules, and Chainlink data streams - developers on Injective can experience one of the fastest time to market anywhere in the industry. Chainlink brings real time Data Streams with sub-second latency to the only blockchain purpose-built for finance. This now gives Injective developers full access to Chainlink’s battle-tested data stream markets across the Injective ecosystem. Helix 🧬 will be the first Injective dApp to integrate Chainlink Data Streams set to power its crypto and RWA markets. Benefits for using Chainlink Data Streams on Injective: ✅ Low latency market data: up to sub-second delivery ✅ Institutional reliability: collaborating with institutional data giants like ICE and FTSE Russell, An LSEG Business ✅ Programmability: custom tailor formats, cadence, and fields to match a dApps exact needs. Injective markets now powered by Chainlink Data Streams. Ninjas are just getting started. 🥷
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The global industry standard oracle platform, Chainlink, is now live on the Injective Mainnet. Time to market for dApp developers is critical and now with Injective’s EVM deployment, the iBuild AI dApp creator, onchain financial modules, and Chainlink data streams - developers on Injective can experience one of the fastest time to market anywhere in the industry. Chainlink brings real time Data Streams with sub-second latency to the only blockchain purpose-built for finance. This now gives Injective developers full access to Chainlink’s battle-tested data stream markets across the Injective ecosystem. Helix 🧬 will be the first Injective dApp to integrate Chainlink Data Streams set to power its crypto and RWA markets. Benefits for using Chainlink Data Streams on Injective: ✅ Low latency market data: up to sub-second delivery ✅ Institutional reliability: collaborating with institutional data giants like ICE and FTSE Russell, An LSEG Business ✅ Programmability: custom tailor formats, cadence, and fields to match a dApps exact needs. Injective markets now powered by Chainlink Data Streams. Ninjas are just getting started. 🥷

Injective 🥷

116,813 Aufrufe • vor 9 Monaten

The best time to understand a product is before everyone else is using it That’s one reason I’ve been following Quant AI With 100,000+ people already on the waitlist ahead of its public launch, interest is clearly building around what Quant AI is creating What stands out to me isn’t just the numbers It’s the problem the product is trying to solve Instead of adding another layer of charts, indicators, and dashboards, Quant AI is focused on making market research easier to navigate. With Quant AI, users can: ➫ Explore markets through natural conversations ➫ Follow crypto, stocks, and commodities from one interface ➫ Use chat and voice instead of constantly switching between tools ➫ Understand both opportunities and risks before taking action ➫ Move from research to execution through a simpler workflow We already have access to more market data than ever before The challenge isn’t finding information It’s knowing what matters That’s where I think Quant AI is taking a different approach, helping users spend less time searching and more time understanding. Maybe that’s one reason the waitlist has grown so quickly. People aren’t just looking for another trading platform. They’re looking for a better way to make sense of the markets. If you’re curious about where AI and financial intelligence are heading, now is a good time to explore what Quant AI is building before the public launch. Join the whitelist 👇 #QuantAIPioneers
0:14

The best time to understand a product is before everyone else is using it That’s one reason I’ve been following Quant AI With 100,000+ people already on the waitlist ahead of its public launch, interest is clearly building around what Quant AI is creating What stands out to me isn’t just the numbers It’s the problem the product is trying to solve Instead of adding another layer of charts, indicators, and dashboards, Quant AI is focused on making market research easier to navigate. With Quant AI, users can: ➫ Explore markets through natural conversations ➫ Follow crypto, stocks, and commodities from one interface ➫ Use chat and voice instead of constantly switching between tools ➫ Understand both opportunities and risks before taking action ➫ Move from research to execution through a simpler workflow We already have access to more market data than ever before The challenge isn’t finding information It’s knowing what matters That’s where I think Quant AI is taking a different approach, helping users spend less time searching and more time understanding. Maybe that’s one reason the waitlist has grown so quickly. People aren’t just looking for another trading platform. They’re looking for a better way to make sense of the markets. If you’re curious about where AI and financial intelligence are heading, now is a good time to explore what Quant AI is building before the public launch. Join the whitelist 👇 #QuantAIPioneers

Habibiofcrypto

146,787 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

$EPIC Is Now Live on One of Southeast Asia’s and Thailand’s Leading Fiat Exchange, Bitkub.com Epic has officially launched on a major regulated exchange with 5M+ users and billions in annual volume, unlocking direct THB access in one of Asia’s most institutionally and retail-driven markets. What this activates: → EPIC/THB trading now live → Seamless fiat on-ramps for millions of local users → Native entry into a market where 80%+ of activity is retail → Regional campaigns, liquidity programs & activations underway Stay tuned for more! Trade now →
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$EPIC Is Now Live on One of Southeast Asia’s and Thailand’s Leading Fiat Exchange, Bitkub.com Epic has officially launched on a major regulated exchange with 5M+ users and billions in annual volume, unlocking direct THB access in one of Asia’s most institutionally and retail-driven markets. What this activates: → EPIC/THB trading now live → Seamless fiat on-ramps for millions of local users → Native entry into a market where 80%+ of activity is retail → Regional campaigns, liquidity programs & activations underway Stay tuned for more! Trade now →

EPIC Travel

27,227 Aufrufe • vor 11 Monaten