Iran doesn't need to fire a single missile at a US soldier. It just needs to destroy a water factory. The GCC has no natural fresh water. 60% comes from desalination plants. 80% of its food is imported. One drone. One plant. Millions without water. This war was never... going to be fought the way you thought.show more

This is the asymmetric threat nobody in the Pentagon wants to discuss publicly. The numbers are staggering: • Saudi Arabia: 70% of drinking water from desalination. 30+ major plants along the Gulf coast. • UAE: 42% from desalination. Dubai has ~3 days of water reserves. • Kuwait: 90% desalinated. ONE successful strike = national emergency within 48 hours. • Qatar: Hosts Al Udeid (largest US air base in ME). 99% desalinated water. • Bahrain: Hosts US 5th Fleet. Almost entirely desalination-dependent. The defense problem: these plants are coastal, static, massive industrial targets. They can't be moved. They can't be hidden. And they're within range of Iran's cheapest weapons — Shahed drones at $20K each. Iran doesn't need hypersonic missiles for this. A $20K drone hitting a $2B desalination plant is the most cost-effective military strategy in history. The market implication nobody is pricing: if ANY GCC desalination plant gets hit, you don't just get an oil spike — you get a humanitarian crisis that forces the US to negotiate. Water > oil as a pressure point. This is why GCC states have been notably quiet about the war. They know their vulnerability. They're praying Iran doesn't escalate to infrastructure.

If you want to understand the structural logic behind this - Tainter's "Collapse of Complex Societies" explains why no empire survives its own complexity.

Islam has rules of engagement in wars. Wars are defensive only. No destruction of public facilities. So many no's:

@PlainJa65866722 President Trump really fucked up starting this war.

it’s against Islamic principles of war though, striking source of water

Iran already took out the largest desalination plant in Israel.

Why this guy is all of a sudden showing up everywhere how us will lose war?

People should research the Iraq/Iran war of the 80's. We were financing Saddam back then. Up to 1 million died over the eight years of that war and neither side were victorious. Posting this so you understand what "boots on the ground" really means if you want to defeat Iran.

This guy is thinking on another level.

@yakno220 Are you now giving strategic tips to the mullahs? If so, why?

This time I have to disagree with the professor. Reverse osmosis facilities are very simple and the country is surrounded by ocean. If needed, the facility can be built underground (they have plenty of tunnels already). Pumping all the way to Tehran might be harder.

Well the IDF destroyed hundreds if not thousands of Palestinian wells, water pump stations. Perhaps it’s good that Israelis actually feel what it’s like for once.

Iran is already out of water, which was one of the reasons the protest took off. 1 hit to Iran's water system, and they are all dead. The only reason we have not hit it already is that we are on the Citizens' side.

Israelis should just flee the region. their government is out of control as in the USA's 14 million fleeing back to Europe is better than the chaos that will happen if Iran and/or Israel start targeting water supplies Trump is an idiot

Saudi Arabia depleted it's ground aquifer growing wheat in a desert.

I wonder if our Politicians have any 🧠 or was it lost on Epstein’s Island. Iranians overthrew the Shah who was installed by the west & replaced him with the current our politicians want regime change & have the Shah’s son run Iran. WTF r we doing❓

This guys a true blessing a real knowledge. We appreciate you

I got news for ya, carriers have desalination capabilities. lol.

@Waffl3x No more water for Stallman

Same professor that predicted both Trump’s eventual election win as well as Trump going to war with Iran during this term and who is now predicting a loss for the U.S. in this war…

If that were the US objective, we would have already destroyed their water supply as we have total military control of the country. The reason why we are not interested in doing that is because a disparate religious factions are what got us into this mess in the first place. So the first step is to rip out a the religious faction that has been in cultural retreat for the last 1400 years that took control of the country at the roots. Then the next step is to get the Arab nations that understand the benefits of a flourishing populous to understand that if they want to keep a flourishing populous that they need to be responsible for the outcome of the new Iran so that there will finally be peace over there.

And Iran has 10% water reservoirs. Blow them. Electricity goes. Mountain passes closed. Iran no longer exists.

Islamically you are corrupt to damage water bodies. So I don't think Iran will do that, Nobel Quran have laid detailed laws at war time not to damage crops, water bodies , women and children. So Iran won't do it.

3/3/26 Prof Jiang: How US loses v Iran. Iran’s cheap drones exhaust $m interceptors. Hormuz Straits cut off Gulf allies' food. Oil/gas +desalination plants +datacentres +Israeli nuclear sites hit. Petrodollar +Gulf+Saudi governments face existential risk.

It is not an islamic tradition to destroy water supply, Imam Hussain was martyed in Kerbela encircled for 10 days and for the last 3 days he was blocked from water supplies. This went into history as Ashura. Iranians would not cut water supplies to anybody. That is their moral.

WHY DRINKING WATER IS AT RISK IN THE GULF

But Trump tells us that we’re winning! 😂😂💩

This is one of Iran's ace cards that it uses to deter nuclear strikes. Nukes == no more water in the region.

The real conspiracy here is who are this guy's students? I think he's actually teaching 10 year old savants. When the war lasts another 10 they'll have been groomed with the true world history and they can go on to create a Jew free utopia.

Just an update on the previous part of your lecture. Israel's now using laser weapons to eliminate Iranian drones and missiles out of fraction of the cost of the missiles the US was using. But good stuff you will professor..

Pentagon thinks they’re the only ones who use asymmetrical warfare.

Professor Jiang 🎯again.