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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran has cracked the code to win the war... and the code is patience. Brandon Weichert laid out the cold logic. Iran doesn't need to reopen the strait or sign anything. It just has to keep that waterway half-shut and let the clock run. Within 60 days, his...

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Mario Nawfal

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179,730 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is springing an escalation trap built to make sure America never threatens it again. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the strikes landing in Kuwait and Egypt point the same direction whether Iran fired them or someone staged them to look that way. American stockpiles keep draining while Tehran keeps widening the map, and that's the design: push this war somewhere Washington can't contain, and end it on terms that leave the regime untouchable. Brandon Weichert
3:36

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran is springing an escalation trap built to make sure America never threatens it again. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says the strikes landing in Kuwait and Egypt point the same direction whether Iran fired them or someone staged them to look that way. American stockpiles keep draining while Tehran keeps widening the map, and that's the design: push this war somewhere Washington can't contain, and end it on terms that leave the regime untouchable. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

101,005 просмотров • 29 дней назад

Speaking to Al Mayadeen, Professor Mohammad Marandi argued that Iran's decision to shut the Strait of Hormuz has placed US President Donald Trump before a defining choice. "Is he going to choose the United States? Or is he going to choose the Israeli regime?" Marandi asked, arguing that Trump now has "no third choice" between protecting the US economy or forcing "Israel" to halt its aggression and ceasefire violations in Lebanon. He said Iran briefly reopened the Strait to demonstrate that it sought an end to the war and expected the US to honor its commitments, but after "they didn't act," Tehran closed it again. Marandi stressed that Iran "is dead serious," insisting it will not compromise until the Israeli occupation ends its war, withdraws from Lebanon, and fully implements the agreement, warning that "Iran has even implied that if this is not enough; they are willing to go further... It will strike 'Israel'." Seyed Mohammad Marandi #Iran #WarOnIran #UnitedStates #Lebanon #AlMayadeen
3:00

Speaking to Al Mayadeen, Professor Mohammad Marandi argued that Iran's decision to shut the Strait of Hormuz has placed US President Donald Trump before a defining choice. "Is he going to choose the United States? Or is he going to choose the Israeli regime?" Marandi asked, arguing that Trump now has "no third choice" between protecting the US economy or forcing "Israel" to halt its aggression and ceasefire violations in Lebanon. He said Iran briefly reopened the Strait to demonstrate that it sought an end to the war and expected the US to honor its commitments, but after "they didn't act," Tehran closed it again. Marandi stressed that Iran "is dead serious," insisting it will not compromise until the Israeli occupation ends its war, withdraws from Lebanon, and fully implements the agreement, warning that "Iran has even implied that if this is not enough; they are willing to go further... It will strike 'Israel'." Seyed Mohammad Marandi #Iran #WarOnIran #UnitedStates #Lebanon #AlMayadeen

Al Mayadeen English

15,335 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Reza Pahlavi ADMITS His Israel Trip Helped Start the War on Iran Pahlavi ADMITS he pushed Israel and the U.S. to ATTACK Iran: "It was because of a trip I took to Israel two years ago." The traitor who begged for the strikes on Iran now wants credit for the destruction.
0:29

Reza Pahlavi ADMITS His Israel Trip Helped Start the War on Iran Pahlavi ADMITS he pushed Israel and the U.S. to ATTACK Iran: "It was because of a trip I took to Israel two years ago." The traitor who begged for the strikes on Iran now wants credit for the destruction.

Ryan Rozbiani

19,741 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Trump said Israel wasn't going to strike Iran. Israel struck Iran anyway. Was Trump lying, or has Netanyahu made it clear that even the President of the United States doesn't get the final say? For all the talk of Iran being weakened, it is Israel and Washington that increasingly look stupid and unable to dictate events. Tehran has emerged with greater power and leverage than before the war, and now Trump appears eager for a deal that Israel seems determined to sabotage.
2:45

Trump said Israel wasn't going to strike Iran. Israel struck Iran anyway. Was Trump lying, or has Netanyahu made it clear that even the President of the United States doesn't get the final say? For all the talk of Iran being weakened, it is Israel and Washington that increasingly look stupid and unable to dictate events. Tehran has emerged with greater power and leverage than before the war, and now Trump appears eager for a deal that Israel seems determined to sabotage.

Bushra Shaikh

16,707 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran may be transforming a strategic victory into a catastrophic miscalculation. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says that for weeks, Iran had gained the upper hand. America's long-range missile stockpiles were running low, its Gulf posture had become more vulnerable, regional states wanted the fighting to stop, and Tehran had the leverage. Now, Brandon thinks Iran may be pushing that leverage too far. During the interview, reports emerged that Iranian lawmakers were preparing legislation that would reportedly: - Ban U.S and Israeli vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz. - Block cargo linked to Israel. - Demand compensation from countries that supported the war. - And impose penalties of up to 20% of the cargo value on violators. At the same time, reports suggested Iran was seeking transit fees of between 5% and 7% of each cargo's value. If those numbers hold, Brandon believes the entire diplomatic process could collapse. Not because Iran lacks leverage, but because it may be asking for more than the world is prepared to accept. His concern isn't Washington, it's everyone else. Countries that quietly shifted toward Iran after the war may begin asking whether Tehran is now overplaying its hand. And if that happens, Trump gets exactly what he needs. A political justification to walk away from negotiations, argue that Iran was never serious about peace, and escalate the war. Brandon believes that changes everything. Because the fastest way to lose a winning position is convincing your opponent they have nothing left to lose. Brandon Weichert
41:09

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran may be transforming a strategic victory into a catastrophic miscalculation. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says that for weeks, Iran had gained the upper hand. America's long-range missile stockpiles were running low, its Gulf posture had become more vulnerable, regional states wanted the fighting to stop, and Tehran had the leverage. Now, Brandon thinks Iran may be pushing that leverage too far. During the interview, reports emerged that Iranian lawmakers were preparing legislation that would reportedly: - Ban U.S and Israeli vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz. - Block cargo linked to Israel. - Demand compensation from countries that supported the war. - And impose penalties of up to 20% of the cargo value on violators. At the same time, reports suggested Iran was seeking transit fees of between 5% and 7% of each cargo's value. If those numbers hold, Brandon believes the entire diplomatic process could collapse. Not because Iran lacks leverage, but because it may be asking for more than the world is prepared to accept. His concern isn't Washington, it's everyone else. Countries that quietly shifted toward Iran after the war may begin asking whether Tehran is now overplaying its hand. And if that happens, Trump gets exactly what he needs. A political justification to walk away from negotiations, argue that Iran was never serious about peace, and escalate the war. Brandon believes that changes everything. Because the fastest way to lose a winning position is convincing your opponent they have nothing left to lose. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

439,433 просмотров • 23 дней назад

🇺🇸 The U.S. can force Israel to stop in Lebanon. The question is whether Trump has the nerve. Alexander Christoforou says there's no doubt Washington holds the leverage to make Israel stand down in Lebanon. The real uncertainty is whether the Trump administration has the political courage to use it. His worry is that the White House may simply be running out the clock, stalling the negotiations until after the midterms. And there could be a cold strategic logic to the delay. Christoforou suggests the US may need the time to rebuild its weapon stockpiles and petroleum reserves, a process that could stretch on for years. The catch is that Iran gets to use that very same window to keep strengthening its own hand. Alex Christoforou
1:47

🇺🇸 The U.S. can force Israel to stop in Lebanon. The question is whether Trump has the nerve. Alexander Christoforou says there's no doubt Washington holds the leverage to make Israel stand down in Lebanon. The real uncertainty is whether the Trump administration has the political courage to use it. His worry is that the White House may simply be running out the clock, stalling the negotiations until after the midterms. And there could be a cold strategic logic to the delay. Christoforou suggests the US may need the time to rebuild its weapon stockpiles and petroleum reserves, a process that could stretch on for years. The catch is that Iran gets to use that very same window to keep strengthening its own hand. Alex Christoforou

Mario Nawfal

39,215 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The Iran deal is not just about Iran — one of the big points is Lebanon. Iran war isn’t really over if Israel keeps bombing Lebanon — Trump knows it, also he wants out of it ASAP. But Netanyahu thinks that decision is his and that's a real danger. If Israel hits Beirut, Iran will almost certainly answer — and then Washington has to decide whether it gets dragged right back into the war Trump is trying to escape. Watch LIVE on BitChute at 5:30 Moscow time (2:30 GMT):
2:49

The Iran deal is not just about Iran — one of the big points is Lebanon. Iran war isn’t really over if Israel keeps bombing Lebanon — Trump knows it, also he wants out of it ASAP. But Netanyahu thinks that decision is his and that's a real danger. If Israel hits Beirut, Iran will almost certainly answer — and then Washington has to decide whether it gets dragged right back into the war Trump is trying to escape. Watch LIVE on BitChute at 5:30 Moscow time (2:30 GMT):

Rick Sanchez

45,160 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

MUST-WATCH: "The Israelis Are Going To Threaten Or Follow Through On Dropping Some Kind Of Nuclear Weapon On Iran To End The Threat Once & For All!" Author Brandon Weichert Joins The Alex Jones Show The Break Down The Latest Developments On The Iran War & Make Bold Predictions On The Future Of The Conflict! Weichert Goes On To Assess That Trump Is A "Co-Pilot" In The Iran War, And If He Goes Ahead With Ordering A Ground Invasion Of Iran, It Will Ultimately Fail— That's When He Predicts Israel Will Deploy Their Nuclear Weapons As The Final Solution! Brandon Weichert »WATCH THE LIVE X STREAM HERE:
45:32

MUST-WATCH: "The Israelis Are Going To Threaten Or Follow Through On Dropping Some Kind Of Nuclear Weapon On Iran To End The Threat Once & For All!" Author Brandon Weichert Joins The Alex Jones Show The Break Down The Latest Developments On The Iran War & Make Bold Predictions On The Future Of The Conflict! Weichert Goes On To Assess That Trump Is A "Co-Pilot" In The Iran War, And If He Goes Ahead With Ordering A Ground Invasion Of Iran, It Will Ultimately Fail— That's When He Predicts Israel Will Deploy Their Nuclear Weapons As The Final Solution! Brandon Weichert »WATCH THE LIVE X STREAM HERE:

Alex Jones

118,745 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert
42:29

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

377,798 просмотров • 28 дней назад

Israel says it is locked and loaded to restart the war with Iran, stating that Iran has a plan to blow up their entire country. Israel says it already has the targets locked and is now waiting for a green light from the United States. Israel says it will bring Iran back to the Stone Age and destroy them once and for all.
0:30

Israel says it is locked and loaded to restart the war with Iran, stating that Iran has a plan to blow up their entire country. Israel says it already has the targets locked and is now waiting for a green light from the United States. Israel says it will bring Iran back to the Stone Age and destroy them once and for all.

Shadow of Ezra

138,166 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

Told BBC that some voices in Iran fear that Trump just wants a deal to pacify the markets ahead of the midterms, but that he will restart the war after November. I am unconvinced. If Trump had a military option, he would use it now to WIN the war and use that win for the midterms. But the bottom line is: He doesn't have a winning military option with Iran.
5:58

Told BBC that some voices in Iran fear that Trump just wants a deal to pacify the markets ahead of the midterms, but that he will restart the war after November. I am unconvinced. If Trump had a military option, he would use it now to WIN the war and use that win for the midterms. But the bottom line is: He doesn't have a winning military option with Iran.

Trita Parsi

34,123 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇮🇱🇱🇧 The territory Israel seized in southern Lebanon was never meant to be returned. Brandon Weichert explains why the ceasefire lines are already irrelevant. "They're not giving up the core territories that they've captured, either in Lebanon, in Syria, or in the Gaza Strip." And Iran is about to make everyone pay for it. Brandon Weichert
1:26

🇮🇱🇱🇧 The territory Israel seized in southern Lebanon was never meant to be returned. Brandon Weichert explains why the ceasefire lines are already irrelevant. "They're not giving up the core territories that they've captured, either in Lebanon, in Syria, or in the Gaza Strip." And Iran is about to make everyone pay for it. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

131,061 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

Trump just told the media four times in thirty seconds that the US and Israel had to invade Iran because Iran was "going to take over the Middle East," which is odd because the nation which attacked or invaded half a dozen of its neighbours last year was...Israel
0:46

Trump just told the media four times in thirty seconds that the US and Israel had to invade Iran because Iran was "going to take over the Middle East," which is odd because the nation which attacked or invaded half a dozen of its neighbours last year was...Israel

Nicholas Guyatt

1,851,404 просмотров • 5 месяцев назад

Let me explain why Iran and the US are trading shots again. Under the MOU, Iran was to control the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor for 60 days. Trump instead quietly backed a second route along Oman's coast, bypassing Iran's control. Tehran fired warning shots at a vessel using the new corridor. The US used that as justification to resume bombing Iran. There's no way to spin this as Iran being the side that broke the ceasefire.
1:17

Let me explain why Iran and the US are trading shots again. Under the MOU, Iran was to control the Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor for 60 days. Trump instead quietly backed a second route along Oman's coast, bypassing Iran's control. Tehran fired warning shots at a vessel using the new corridor. The US used that as justification to resume bombing Iran. There's no way to spin this as Iran being the side that broke the ceasefire.

Rick Sanchez

213,912 просмотров • 1 месяц назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran denies Trump's claims that a US deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could happen TODAY. Iran's FM Esmaeil Baqaei says the current negotiations are only between Iran and Oman, no US, and are not about immediately reopening the waterway. Iran says Hormuz will remain closed until the US ends its military threats and changes its behavior. Earlier, Axios reported that the US, Iran and Oman were nearing a temporary 60-day agreement that would reopen the Strait on Wednesday. This directly contradicts Trump’s claim that a deal “could happen tomorrow or the next day.”
0:25

🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran denies Trump's claims that a US deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz could happen TODAY. Iran's FM Esmaeil Baqaei says the current negotiations are only between Iran and Oman, no US, and are not about immediately reopening the waterway. Iran says Hormuz will remain closed until the US ends its military threats and changes its behavior. Earlier, Axios reported that the US, Iran and Oman were nearing a temporary 60-day agreement that would reopen the Strait on Wednesday. This directly contradicts Trump’s claim that a deal “could happen tomorrow or the next day.”

Coin Bureau

87,275 просмотров • 24 дней назад

🚨 JUST NOW: Iran just HELPED broker the new Israel-Lebanon/Hezbollah ceasefire with President Trump and Qatar, seeking to stop the firing on all sides "A U.S. official says it was brokered by Qatar, the United States and with help from Iran." "This is not a retreat for Israel from these established security zones in southern Lebanon and the IDF said that this is not a retreat for Israel."
1:27

🚨 JUST NOW: Iran just HELPED broker the new Israel-Lebanon/Hezbollah ceasefire with President Trump and Qatar, seeking to stop the firing on all sides "A U.S. official says it was brokered by Qatar, the United States and with help from Iran." "This is not a retreat for Israel from these established security zones in southern Lebanon and the IDF said that this is not a retreat for Israel."

Eric Daugherty

433,048 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

The US and Iran have announced a memorandum of understanding to end the war and re-open the Strait of Hormuz. But Israel hasn’t confirmed it would abide by an agreement that requires its withdrawal from Lebanon.
1:21

The US and Iran have announced a memorandum of understanding to end the war and re-open the Strait of Hormuz. But Israel hasn’t confirmed it would abide by an agreement that requires its withdrawal from Lebanon.

Al Jazeera English

37,594 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert
26:59

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump has tried military force and economic strangulation against Iran; now Tehran has concluded that pressure simply does not work Iran has taken enormous punishment. Its economy is reeling, inflation is brutal, and its military has absorbed repeated strikes. But six months into the war, the regime is still standing, and crucially, Iran can still disrupt the Strait of Hormuz. Middle East scholar Joshua Landis believes that has fundamentally changed Tehran's calculation. Washington has moved from military force to its new “Economic D-Day,” but the regional cooperation needed to make that strategy truly devastating isn't materialising. Iraq, Turkey, the UAE and Qatar still have powerful incentives to trade with Iran. Oman is negotiating with Tehran. Pakistan and Qatar are talking to the Iranians. These countries don't want another regional war or a permanently closed Persian Gulf, and Iran knows it. Joshua says Tehran increasingly believes America has already played its strongest cards, which makes surrender even less attractive. Iranian leaders now believe that if they cave to Trump's demands, America and Israel will simply return once Iran has recovered and hit it again. In Joshua's words, Iran fears becoming another Gaza, Lebanon or Syria; periodically attacked to keep it permanently weak. So Tehran has reached the opposite conclusion: It has to make resisting Iran more painful than living with it. Tehran may finally have learned the difference between America having the power to hurt it, and having the power to make it surrender. Joshua Landis Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

215,721 просмотров • 1 день назад

💢 Strait of Hormuz Commission — “Open for All or Closed to All” Richard Haass, former head of the Council on Foreign Relations, says Washington is not negotiating from strength and and that Iran has emerged from the war with greater leverage. 🔸On Hormuz, he suggests Washington should tell Iran that the Strait of Hormuz can be “open to all or closed to all.” ➤ Proposes an international governing commission, including Iran and Gulf states, to oversee transit though Hormuz ➤ Open to tolls and shared revenue as part of the framework 🔸Crucially, Haass says if Iran refuses, the U.S. should consider blockading Hormuz at the Gulf of Oman to stop Iranian oil exports. 🔸His view: ➤ Washington should not accept Iran’s sole control over Hormuz ➤ But also cannot realistically exclude Iran from the strait ➤ Haass says the war has made a return to the pre-war status quo impossible and U.S. has lost the war in a strategic and political sense. Separately. he calls on Trump to pressure Israel to stop what he describes as a “discretionary war” in Lebanon. “Knock it off,” he suggests Trump tell Netanyahu.
3:46

💢 Strait of Hormuz Commission — “Open for All or Closed to All” Richard Haass, former head of the Council on Foreign Relations, says Washington is not negotiating from strength and and that Iran has emerged from the war with greater leverage. 🔸On Hormuz, he suggests Washington should tell Iran that the Strait of Hormuz can be “open to all or closed to all.” ➤ Proposes an international governing commission, including Iran and Gulf states, to oversee transit though Hormuz ➤ Open to tolls and shared revenue as part of the framework 🔸Crucially, Haass says if Iran refuses, the U.S. should consider blockading Hormuz at the Gulf of Oman to stop Iranian oil exports. 🔸His view: ➤ Washington should not accept Iran’s sole control over Hormuz ➤ But also cannot realistically exclude Iran from the strait ➤ Haass says the war has made a return to the pre-war status quo impossible and U.S. has lost the war in a strategic and political sense. Separately. he calls on Trump to pressure Israel to stop what he describes as a “discretionary war” in Lebanon. “Knock it off,” he suggests Trump tell Netanyahu.

Drop Site

109,977 просмотров • 4 месяцев назад

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 The MOU hands Iran sole control of who passes through Hormuz, and by that reading it's the U.S., not Iran, breaching the deal. Larry Johnson kept pulling it back to the exact wording. Clause 5 says Iran, and only Iran, makes the arrangements for safe passage. Not Iran and Oman, not Iran and Washington. So when Iran stops a ship that skipped its protocol and ran the Omani route, he argues, Iran is enforcing the agreement, and the U.S. strikes answering those stops are the real violation. He read the rest of the scorecard the same way. Sanctions waivers, clause ten, already issued. But the frozen assets, the troop drawdown, the Lebanon clause, all unmet. The delegation heading to Doha isn't there to negotiate, in his telling, but to hold Washington to what it already signed. On the proxy fronts, he splashed cold water on the easy read of Yemen: that mobilization isn't Saudis massing on the Houthis, it's Saudis against the Emiratis' own faction, and nobody who watched 18 months of failed US strikes thinks the Houthis can be dislodged from Bab el-Mandeb. His verdict on the weekend stuck with me. After all the chest-thumping, the U.S. stood down rather than answer Iran's last strike. To Larry, that silence says everything about who actually holds the leverage. SonofNewAmericanRevolution
37:22

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 The MOU hands Iran sole control of who passes through Hormuz, and by that reading it's the U.S., not Iran, breaching the deal. Larry Johnson kept pulling it back to the exact wording. Clause 5 says Iran, and only Iran, makes the arrangements for safe passage. Not Iran and Oman, not Iran and Washington. So when Iran stops a ship that skipped its protocol and ran the Omani route, he argues, Iran is enforcing the agreement, and the U.S. strikes answering those stops are the real violation. He read the rest of the scorecard the same way. Sanctions waivers, clause ten, already issued. But the frozen assets, the troop drawdown, the Lebanon clause, all unmet. The delegation heading to Doha isn't there to negotiate, in his telling, but to hold Washington to what it already signed. On the proxy fronts, he splashed cold water on the easy read of Yemen: that mobilization isn't Saudis massing on the Houthis, it's Saudis against the Emiratis' own faction, and nobody who watched 18 months of failed US strikes thinks the Houthis can be dislodged from Bab el-Mandeb. His verdict on the weekend stuck with me. After all the chest-thumping, the U.S. stood down rather than answer Iran's last strike. To Larry, that silence says everything about who actually holds the leverage. SonofNewAmericanRevolution

Mario Nawfal

433,451 просмотров • 2 месяцев назад