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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran may be transforming a strategic victory into a catastrophic miscalculation. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert says that for weeks, Iran had gained the upper hand. America's long-range missile stockpiles were running low, its Gulf posture had become more vulnerable, regional states wanted the fighting to stop, and Tehran... had the leverage. Now, Brandon thinks Iran may be pushing that leverage too far. During the interview, reports emerged that Iranian lawmakers were preparing legislation that would reportedly: - Ban U.S and Israeli vessels from transiting the Strait of Hormuz. - Block cargo linked to Israel. - Demand compensation from countries that supported the war. - And impose penalties of up to 20% of the cargo value on violators. At the same time, reports suggested Iran was seeking transit fees of between 5% and 7% of each cargo's value. If those numbers hold, Brandon believes the entire diplomatic process could collapse. Not because Iran lacks leverage, but because it may be asking for more than the world is prepared to accept. His concern isn't Washington, it's everyone else. Countries that quietly shifted toward Iran after the war may begin asking whether Tehran is now overplaying its hand. And if that happens, Trump gets exactly what he needs. A political justification to walk away from negotiations, argue that Iran was never serious about peace, and escalate the war. Brandon believes that changes everything. Because the fastest way to lose a winning position is convincing your opponent they have nothing left to lose. Brandon Weichertshow more

Mario Nawfal

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438,646 次观看 • 15 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump's immediate objective is simple: get the U.S. out of the Strait of Hormuz without allowing Iran to dictate who passes through it. The problem is that Tehran now sees Hormuz as its leverage. That may be the central problem with Washington's strategy. Economic warfare can avoid a ground invasion and nuclear escalation. But if Iran believes control of Hormuz is essential to its survival, sanctions may only convince Tehran to hold the strait tighter. The war may have moved from missiles to economics. The underlying confrontation hasn't moved an inch. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

68,357 次观看 • 1 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may be making the biggest strategic miscalculation of the war. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert believes the White House is assuming one overwhelming show of force will push Iran back to the negotiating table. He thinks the opposite will happen. According to reports discussed in the interview, Washington is weighing a large-scale campaign targeting not only military sites, but potentially Iran's energy infrastructure as well. Brandon believes the logic is simple. Hit Iran hard enough, demonstrate overwhelming American power, then negotiate from a position of strength. He doesn't think Tehran sees it that way. His argument is that Washington is treating Iran like a conventional state that responds primarily to military pressure. Iran, he says, defines legitimacy through resistance. The harder it's hit, the harder it becomes politically for Tehran to compromise. That's why Brandon believes a major U.S. campaign wouldn't be the final round. It would simply be the start of the next one. The U.S. may be able to destroy what it can find. But it can never be certain it found everything. Meanwhile, Iran only needs to keep enough capability intact to continue imposing costs. Brandon believes that asymmetry favors Tehran over time. If Iran refuses to bend, what started as escalation could well become an open-ended war neither side knows how to end. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

374,538 次观看 • 20 天前

🇮🇷 Brandon Weichert says the proposed Strait of Hormuz arrangement is running into a problem nobody can negotiate away: the people who actually move the world's cargo. Reports of Iran demanding 5–7% of cargo value in transit fees have raised alarm among shipping sources. Brandon compares that with fees charged in other major waterways and argues the difference is too large to ignore. Even if Washington, Tehran and Oman reach an agreement, he says insurers and ship owners may simply refuse to participate. "The politicians can make a deal. But shippers decide whether the ships move." Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷 Brandon Weichert says the proposed Strait of Hormuz arrangement is running into a problem nobody can negotiate away: the people who actually move the world's cargo. Reports of Iran demanding 5–7% of cargo value in transit fees have raised alarm among shipping sources. Brandon compares that with fees charged in other major waterways and argues the difference is too large to ignore. Even if Washington, Tehran and Oman reach an agreement, he says insurers and ship owners may simply refuse to participate. "The politicians can make a deal. But shippers decide whether the ships move." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

67,162 次观看 • 15 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may sign the Hormuz deal, but only because he needs a ceasefire more than he can afford to admit Reports suggest Iran and Oman are close to finalising a new shipping arrangement through the Strait. According to geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert, it's a great deal for Iran, and a terrible one for Trump. And Trump will probably agree to it because he may no longer have a better option. Brandon believes the White House is running into three realities at the same time. America has burned through an enormous number of precision missiles, energy markets remain vulnerable every time Hormuz is threatened, and the midterms are getting closer. That combination, he argues, leaves Trump needing an off-ramp... fast. The emerging agreement reportedly gives Tehran oversight of shipping, and could even allow it to charge vessels for passage. If that happens, Brandon argues it won't just be another diplomatic compromise; it will signal something much bigger: The end of the maritime order the U.S built after World War II. For decades, global trade rested on one assumption: The U.S Navy would keep strategic waterways open. Brandon believes those days are over. Regional powers are increasingly setting the rules in their own neighbourhoods, and Hormuz could simply be the first major example. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump may sign the Hormuz deal, but only because he needs a ceasefire more than he can afford to admit Reports suggest Iran and Oman are close to finalising a new shipping arrangement through the Strait. According to geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert, it's a great deal for Iran, and a terrible one for Trump. And Trump will probably agree to it because he may no longer have a better option. Brandon believes the White House is running into three realities at the same time. America has burned through an enormous number of precision missiles, energy markets remain vulnerable every time Hormuz is threatened, and the midterms are getting closer. That combination, he argues, leaves Trump needing an off-ramp... fast. The emerging agreement reportedly gives Tehran oversight of shipping, and could even allow it to charge vessels for passage. If that happens, Brandon argues it won't just be another diplomatic compromise; it will signal something much bigger: The end of the maritime order the U.S built after World War II. For decades, global trade rested on one assumption: The U.S Navy would keep strategic waterways open. Brandon believes those days are over. Regional powers are increasingly setting the rules in their own neighbourhoods, and Hormuz could simply be the first major example. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

273,301 次观看 • 16 天前

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸 Brandon Weichert warns that a ceasefire or deal with Iran may only be a pause, not the end of the crisis. While reports suggest the U.S. has heavily depleted its stockpile of long-range precision weapons, Brandon says he remains concerned by suggestions that Washington could revisit military action within months if negotiations falter. His concern is that even a partial replenishment of U.S. munitions could convince the White House that military options are back on the table. "They assume Trump is going to restart hostilities, quote, soon." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

52,338 次观看 • 17 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may have already decided Trump is a lame duck it can simply wait out. Brandon Weichert points to Tehran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz, including control over which ships pass and potential reparations, as evidence that the two sides are negotiating from completely different realities. "The Iranians don't respect Trump anymore. They're angry at him and they don't want to deal with him." If Tehran believes the U.S. economy will deteriorate faster than Iran’s, Brandon says it may see little reason to compromise, risking a return to war. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran may have already decided Trump is a lame duck it can simply wait out. Brandon Weichert points to Tehran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz, including control over which ships pass and potential reparations, as evidence that the two sides are negotiating from completely different realities. "The Iranians don't respect Trump anymore. They're angry at him and they don't want to deal with him." If Tehran believes the U.S. economy will deteriorate faster than Iran’s, Brandon says it may see little reason to compromise, risking a return to war. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

79,595 次观看 • 11 天前

🚨 THE U.S.-IRAN MEMORANDUM MAY BE A PAUSE — NOT PEACE 🚨 The memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran is unlikely to end the conflict permanently. Because the war against Iran was never only about nuclear policy or regional security. It was about reshaping Iran itself: weakening it, fragmenting it, gaining leverage over its energy resources, and ultimately controlling the Strait of Hormuz. Had that project succeeded, Israel would have emerged with enormous military, political, and economic leverage across West Asia. Every country hesitant to join the Abraham Accords would have faced growing pressure to enter an Israeli-led regional order. That is why I see this as a high-stakes, zero-sum struggle for the Israeli Zionist establishment. A memorandum can pause open warfare, but it cannot erase Israeli strategic ambitions, intelligence operations, psychological warfare, and regional competition that produced the conflict in the first place. I do not believe Iran is naive about this either. The war has shown that Tehran plans for worst-case scenarios, and I expect Iranian officials to assume that another phase of confrontation remains possible, potentially after the U.S. midterm elections, depending on political developments in Washington. For now, the conflict may be on the shelf, but it is not over.

🚨 THE U.S.-IRAN MEMORANDUM MAY BE A PAUSE — NOT PEACE 🚨 The memorandum of understanding between the United States and Iran is unlikely to end the conflict permanently. Because the war against Iran was never only about nuclear policy or regional security. It was about reshaping Iran itself: weakening it, fragmenting it, gaining leverage over its energy resources, and ultimately controlling the Strait of Hormuz. Had that project succeeded, Israel would have emerged with enormous military, political, and economic leverage across West Asia. Every country hesitant to join the Abraham Accords would have faced growing pressure to enter an Israeli-led regional order. That is why I see this as a high-stakes, zero-sum struggle for the Israeli Zionist establishment. A memorandum can pause open warfare, but it cannot erase Israeli strategic ambitions, intelligence operations, psychological warfare, and regional competition that produced the conflict in the first place. I do not believe Iran is naive about this either. The war has shown that Tehran plans for worst-case scenarios, and I expect Iranian officials to assume that another phase of confrontation remains possible, potentially after the U.S. midterm elections, depending on political developments in Washington. For now, the conflict may be on the shelf, but it is not over.

Kevork Almassian

16,152 次观看 • 2 个月前

“We are literally fighting a new war to free up the Strait of Hormuz that was completely free and open before the war started.” Ben Swann highlights the irony of Trump tipping Iran off to just how powerful its control over the Strait of Hormuz could be. “Iran wins, if nothing else, because all we did was prove that Iran is much more powerful than the world had given them credit for.” Full interview on Sanchez Effect.

“We are literally fighting a new war to free up the Strait of Hormuz that was completely free and open before the war started.” Ben Swann highlights the irony of Trump tipping Iran off to just how powerful its control over the Strait of Hormuz could be. “Iran wins, if nothing else, because all we did was prove that Iran is much more powerful than the world had given them credit for.” Full interview on Sanchez Effect.

Rick Sanchez

25,850 次观看 • 1 个月前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. raided its Indo-Pacific arsenal to fight Iran, and none of it is coming back anytime soon. Brandon Weichert says another round of war could leave everyone exposed, and Trump may be negotiating without fully grasping America's offensive limitations. "The United States military of 2026 is not even the same military of 2003 that invaded Iraq. Even though we have all of this money going into the system, it's going to the contractors, not the actual war capabilities." Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. raided its Indo-Pacific arsenal to fight Iran, and none of it is coming back anytime soon. Brandon Weichert says another round of war could leave everyone exposed, and Trump may be negotiating without fully grasping America's offensive limitations. "The United States military of 2026 is not even the same military of 2003 that invaded Iraq. Even though we have all of this money going into the system, it's going to the contractors, not the actual war capabilities." Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

31,459 次观看 • 2 个月前

In an interview for Al Mayadeen, Professor Mohammad Marandi argued that Iran has emerged from the US war in a stronger position and will not accept compromises that weaken its control over the Strait of Hormuz or its previously agreed positions. "Iran is not going to change its position on the Strait of Hormuz," Marandi asserted, adding that due to the renewed US aggression, "Iran will have further demands," especially regarding Yemen He stressed that Tehran is not currently seeking a ceasefire and remains prepared for escalation, stressing that "the Iranians won the war" and "have the upper hand," leaving Tehran with "no reason… to compromise on anything." Seyed Mohammad Marandi #Iran #WarOnIran #UnitedStates #StraitOfHormuz

In an interview for Al Mayadeen, Professor Mohammad Marandi argued that Iran has emerged from the US war in a stronger position and will not accept compromises that weaken its control over the Strait of Hormuz or its previously agreed positions. "Iran is not going to change its position on the Strait of Hormuz," Marandi asserted, adding that due to the renewed US aggression, "Iran will have further demands," especially regarding Yemen He stressed that Tehran is not currently seeking a ceasefire and remains prepared for escalation, stressing that "the Iranians won the war" and "have the upper hand," leaving Tehran with "no reason… to compromise on anything." Seyed Mohammad Marandi #Iran #WarOnIran #UnitedStates #StraitOfHormuz

Al Mayadeen English

13,904 次观看 • 27 天前

Tucker Carlson on Iran: “The Iraq war was a catastrophe, and Trump was the first major political figure willing to say so. He’s always known it. So the question is: why would he even contemplate another war, this time with Iran? One answer is that Washington may not fully control whether such a war begins. Israel, under Benjamin Netanyahu, could decide to strike Iran on its own, without coordination. If that happened, Iran would almost certainly retaliate against Israel, and could also hit U.S. assets and energy infrastructure in the Gulf. At that point, America would be pulled in automatically. From that perspective, the U.S. may not be seeking a war with Iran at all, but instead trying to restrain the actions of its closest ally and prevent a wider conflict.”

Tucker Carlson on Iran: “The Iraq war was a catastrophe, and Trump was the first major political figure willing to say so. He’s always known it. So the question is: why would he even contemplate another war, this time with Iran? One answer is that Washington may not fully control whether such a war begins. Israel, under Benjamin Netanyahu, could decide to strike Iran on its own, without coordination. If that happened, Iran would almost certainly retaliate against Israel, and could also hit U.S. assets and energy infrastructure in the Gulf. At that point, America would be pulled in automatically. From that perspective, the U.S. may not be seeking a war with Iran at all, but instead trying to restrain the actions of its closest ally and prevent a wider conflict.”

Open Source Intel

58,984 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸 The U.S. burned through its arsenal hitting targets Iran was glad to give up. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert lays out an uncomfortable scoreboard. America spent its munitions striking targets Tehran was perfectly happy to sacrifice, and the lull everyone is reading as peace is something far more calculated: "This is a momentary pause to rearm and reload and reacquire targets." The part that should worry Washington? Brandon says it'll take America far longer to replenish its stockpiles than it takes Iran to rebuild. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸 The U.S. burned through its arsenal hitting targets Iran was glad to give up. Geopolitics expert Brandon Weichert lays out an uncomfortable scoreboard. America spent its munitions striking targets Tehran was perfectly happy to sacrifice, and the lull everyone is reading as peace is something far more calculated: "This is a momentary pause to rearm and reload and reacquire targets." The part that should worry Washington? Brandon says it'll take America far longer to replenish its stockpiles than it takes Iran to rebuild. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

74,361 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING | An Iranian source told Reuters that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) strongly believes that if Iran loses control of the Strait of Hormuz, it will effectively lose the war. For this reason, Donald Trump will likely do everything possible to ensure that Iran loses control of the strait. The deployment of the U.S. Marine Corps to the Persian Gulf is also connected to this objective. There is a possibility that American forces could attempt to seize Iranian islands and parts of the southern coastline, which would allow the United States and its allies to restore secure navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. In such a scenario, Iran would lose its main strategic leverage over the course and potential outcome of the war. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING | An Iranian source told Reuters that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) strongly believes that if Iran loses control of the Strait of Hormuz, it will effectively lose the war. For this reason, Donald Trump will likely do everything possible to ensure that Iran loses control of the strait. The deployment of the U.S. Marine Corps to the Persian Gulf is also connected to this objective. There is a possibility that American forces could attempt to seize Iranian islands and parts of the southern coastline, which would allow the United States and its allies to restore secure navigation through the Strait of Hormuz. In such a scenario, Iran would lose its main strategic leverage over the course and potential outcome of the war. See the latest updates with us: Visioner

Visioner

1,403,700 次观看 • 5 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America isn't fighting Iran over the Strait of Hormuz; it's fighting to stop Tehran from proving that U.S. control of the Middle East can be broken. Most people still think this war is about ships, oil, or transit fees, but military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says it stopped being about that a long time ago. According to him, Washington believed it could strip Iran of its greatest source of leverage by moving Gulf shipping away from the Iranian-controlled channel and through Oman instead. He says they fundamentally misunderstood how Iran thinks. Tehran could negotiate over uranium enrichment, frozen assets, and it could even tolerate parts of the Memorandum of Understanding being chipped away, but Hormuz was never negotiable. For twenty years, Iran lived under sanctions while the rest of the world largely carried on as normal. Now, for the first time, Tehran has a way to make everyone else feel the consequences too. Its message is simple: If we cannot export our oil normally, then nobody else in the Gulf will either. That is why Elijah believes this war has become much bigger than a dispute over a shipping lane; the U.S is now fighting for its reputation. Because if Iran proves that it can defy Washington, absorb U.S military power and still dictate the terms of navigation through one of the world's most important chokepoints, every American ally and adversary will draw the same conclusion. U.S dominance is over. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

🇺🇸🇮🇷 America isn't fighting Iran over the Strait of Hormuz; it's fighting to stop Tehran from proving that U.S. control of the Middle East can be broken. Most people still think this war is about ships, oil, or transit fees, but military and political analyst Elijah Magnier says it stopped being about that a long time ago. According to him, Washington believed it could strip Iran of its greatest source of leverage by moving Gulf shipping away from the Iranian-controlled channel and through Oman instead. He says they fundamentally misunderstood how Iran thinks. Tehran could negotiate over uranium enrichment, frozen assets, and it could even tolerate parts of the Memorandum of Understanding being chipped away, but Hormuz was never negotiable. For twenty years, Iran lived under sanctions while the rest of the world largely carried on as normal. Now, for the first time, Tehran has a way to make everyone else feel the consequences too. Its message is simple: If we cannot export our oil normally, then nobody else in the Gulf will either. That is why Elijah believes this war has become much bigger than a dispute over a shipping lane; the U.S is now fighting for its reputation. Because if Iran proves that it can defy Washington, absorb U.S military power and still dictate the terms of navigation through one of the world's most important chokepoints, every American ally and adversary will draw the same conclusion. U.S dominance is over. Elijah J. Magnier 🇪🇺

Mario Nawfal

380,449 次观看 • 1 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has reportedly given Washington a new ultimatum: return to diplomacy and lift the naval blockade within “a few weeks,” or Tehran will expand the war. Iran says the previous 60-day MOU deadline is meaningless because Washington violated the agreement before negotiations even began. The new deadline is different. This one is coming from Tehran. And the pressure is already visible. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to a near standstill, with only five commodity vessels reportedly transiting Saturday and none Sunday, compared with 31 the previous weekend. The dispute at the center of everything is Hormuz. Iran wants control over passage and the ability to charge fees. Washington appears unwilling to accept that, making the Strait the central bargaining chip in the entire conflict. Trump, meanwhile, claims the U.S. has “total control” of Hormuz, says he is communicating with the IRGC, and has threatened Oman if it obstructs efforts to reopen the Strait. The IRGC has publicly denied that any backchannel negotiations with Washington are taking place. That leaves both sides claiming leverage while preparing for another round of escalation. Iran is reportedly shifting from a defensive posture to an offensive one, with officials warning that a failed diplomatic process could bring attacks on Gulf infrastructure, internet cables and other regional targets. The bigger concern is that Tehran appears to be preparing for a long war rather than assuming another ceasefire will hold. Inside Iran, authorities are also tightening restrictions, including proposed criminal penalties for unauthorized contact with foreign media, foreign-funded organizations and scientific institutions. Meanwhile, the U.S. is dealing with growing questions about military morale, political constraints and whether Washington actually has a viable off-ramp. The core problem is becoming increasingly difficult to escape: Iran believes Washington will eventually try to escalate again. Washington cannot easily accept Iran gaining control over Hormuz. And neither side appears willing to concede the point that matters most. The next few weeks could determine whether this remains a standoff or becomes the next phase of the war. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has reportedly given Washington a new ultimatum: return to diplomacy and lift the naval blockade within “a few weeks,” or Tehran will expand the war. Iran says the previous 60-day MOU deadline is meaningless because Washington violated the agreement before negotiations even began. The new deadline is different. This one is coming from Tehran. And the pressure is already visible. Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen to a near standstill, with only five commodity vessels reportedly transiting Saturday and none Sunday, compared with 31 the previous weekend. The dispute at the center of everything is Hormuz. Iran wants control over passage and the ability to charge fees. Washington appears unwilling to accept that, making the Strait the central bargaining chip in the entire conflict. Trump, meanwhile, claims the U.S. has “total control” of Hormuz, says he is communicating with the IRGC, and has threatened Oman if it obstructs efforts to reopen the Strait. The IRGC has publicly denied that any backchannel negotiations with Washington are taking place. That leaves both sides claiming leverage while preparing for another round of escalation. Iran is reportedly shifting from a defensive posture to an offensive one, with officials warning that a failed diplomatic process could bring attacks on Gulf infrastructure, internet cables and other regional targets. The bigger concern is that Tehran appears to be preparing for a long war rather than assuming another ceasefire will hold. Inside Iran, authorities are also tightening restrictions, including proposed criminal penalties for unauthorized contact with foreign media, foreign-funded organizations and scientific institutions. Meanwhile, the U.S. is dealing with growing questions about military morale, political constraints and whether Washington actually has a viable off-ramp. The core problem is becoming increasingly difficult to escape: Iran believes Washington will eventually try to escalate again. Washington cannot easily accept Iran gaining control over Hormuz. And neither side appears willing to concede the point that matters most. The next few weeks could determine whether this remains a standoff or becomes the next phase of the war. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

296,727 次观看 • 4 天前

Biden’s former National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan: “The main lesson Iran has taken from this war is that they can now shut down the Strait of Hormuz, and the United States will look at that as a source of leverage for Iran. That used to be a theoretical possibility; now it’s an actual reality.” “[Iran] decide down the road if we want to close it up again that is what Iran got out of this war.”

Biden’s former National Security Advisor, Jake Sullivan: “The main lesson Iran has taken from this war is that they can now shut down the Strait of Hormuz, and the United States will look at that as a source of leverage for Iran. That used to be a theoretical possibility; now it’s an actual reality.” “[Iran] decide down the road if we want to close it up again that is what Iran got out of this war.”

RedWave Press

170,204 次观看 • 4 个月前

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is turning the war into a global energy conflict, and each day that passes increasingly favors Tehran Most people still think this war will be decided by airstrikes, missiles, or whichever side destroys more military targets. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks that's yesterday's way of looking at it; the real battlefield is energy. Every additional day that the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted creates costs that spread far beyond the Middle East. Higher energy prices, more expensive shipping, pressure on agriculture, manufacturing, and global supply chains. Even if the shooting stopped tomorrow, those economic effects wouldn't disappear overnight. And that's exactly why Brandon believes time increasingly favours Tehran. Iran doesn't need to defeat the U.S military; it simply needs to keep imposing economic costs that Washington, its allies and the global economy become less willing to absorb. That's the strategic shift he believes many people still haven't recognised. The U.S isn't fighting a conventional war of conquest; it's trying to restore normal trade, shipping and energy flows. Iran's objective is much simpler: Prevent that from happening. The longer disruption continues, the more pressure builds on Washington to either negotiate or dramatically escalate. Trump would probably prefer a negotiated settlement if it preserved U.S interests. Iran also wants a deal, but on terms that recognise the leverage it has created. The obstacle, in Brandon's view, is that Israel's strategic objectives are much broader than Washington's. As long as those objectives remain misaligned, every diplomatic opening becomes harder to turn into an actual agreement. That's why he thinks this conflict is becoming more dangerous, not less. Brandon Weichert

🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran is turning the war into a global energy conflict, and each day that passes increasingly favors Tehran Most people still think this war will be decided by airstrikes, missiles, or whichever side destroys more military targets. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks that's yesterday's way of looking at it; the real battlefield is energy. Every additional day that the Strait of Hormuz remains disrupted creates costs that spread far beyond the Middle East. Higher energy prices, more expensive shipping, pressure on agriculture, manufacturing, and global supply chains. Even if the shooting stopped tomorrow, those economic effects wouldn't disappear overnight. And that's exactly why Brandon believes time increasingly favours Tehran. Iran doesn't need to defeat the U.S military; it simply needs to keep imposing economic costs that Washington, its allies and the global economy become less willing to absorb. That's the strategic shift he believes many people still haven't recognised. The U.S isn't fighting a conventional war of conquest; it's trying to restore normal trade, shipping and energy flows. Iran's objective is much simpler: Prevent that from happening. The longer disruption continues, the more pressure builds on Washington to either negotiate or dramatically escalate. Trump would probably prefer a negotiated settlement if it preserved U.S interests. Iran also wants a deal, but on terms that recognise the leverage it has created. The obstacle, in Brandon's view, is that Israel's strategic objectives are much broader than Washington's. As long as those objectives remain misaligned, every diplomatic opening becomes harder to turn into an actual agreement. That's why he thinks this conflict is becoming more dangerous, not less. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

273,838 次观看 • 22 天前

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 100 days of strikes and the bulk of Iran's missile force may still be untouched. Brandon Weichert says the intelligence community is now worried that many of the launchers hit were decoys. "A lot of what they've been hitting in terms of launchers were either outright decoys or were only part of the force that we were hitting." Iran doesn't even need missiles. It just needs to squeeze the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon Weichert

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Over 100 days of strikes and the bulk of Iran's missile force may still be untouched. Brandon Weichert says the intelligence community is now worried that many of the launchers hit were decoys. "A lot of what they've been hitting in terms of launchers were either outright decoys or were only part of the force that we were hitting." Iran doesn't even need missiles. It just needs to squeeze the Strait of Hormuz. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

51,985 次观看 • 2 个月前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bombing Iran failed, so did the sanctions, and the maritime blockade. Now Trump's answer is to try blocking the entire country by land!! His original strategy was simple: Bomb Iran hard, destroy its military infrastructure, break the regime, and force Tehran to accept American terms. That didn't happen, so Washington is moving to the next idea: A land blockade. According to reports, the U.S and Israel are considering pressuring Iran's seven neighbours to restrict trade and tighten the economic noose around the country. Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks the proposal is pure fantasy. These countries have different interests, deep economic ties to Iran and, in many cases, major relationships with China. Even if some publicly agreed, enforcing a complete blockade against a country as large and geographically connected as Iran would be another matter entirely. But Brandon says the plan reveals something much more important. America is no longer pursuing a coherent strategy; it's cycling through different versions of the same failed idea. At the same time, Iran appears to be changing its own strategy. Instead of simply waiting to retaliate after every American strike, Tehran is increasingly demonstrating that any new blockade, sabotage campaign or act of coercion could trigger a much wider regional war. Brandon believes Iran now sees a weakened and overstretched opponent. U.S interceptors are being depleted, military assets are being pulled from other theatres, disagreements inside the White House are becoming harder to hide, and Trump is reportedly furious that the war has produced neither a clear victory nor an obvious exit. That's what makes this moment so dangerous. Brandon Weichert

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Bombing Iran failed, so did the sanctions, and the maritime blockade. Now Trump's answer is to try blocking the entire country by land!! His original strategy was simple: Bomb Iran hard, destroy its military infrastructure, break the regime, and force Tehran to accept American terms. That didn't happen, so Washington is moving to the next idea: A land blockade. According to reports, the U.S and Israel are considering pressuring Iran's seven neighbours to restrict trade and tighten the economic noose around the country. Iraq, Turkey, Pakistan, Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Armenia, and Azerbaijan. Geopolitical analyst Brandon Weichert thinks the proposal is pure fantasy. These countries have different interests, deep economic ties to Iran and, in many cases, major relationships with China. Even if some publicly agreed, enforcing a complete blockade against a country as large and geographically connected as Iran would be another matter entirely. But Brandon says the plan reveals something much more important. America is no longer pursuing a coherent strategy; it's cycling through different versions of the same failed idea. At the same time, Iran appears to be changing its own strategy. Instead of simply waiting to retaliate after every American strike, Tehran is increasingly demonstrating that any new blockade, sabotage campaign or act of coercion could trigger a much wider regional war. Brandon believes Iran now sees a weakened and overstretched opponent. U.S interceptors are being depleted, military assets are being pulled from other theatres, disagreements inside the White House are becoming harder to hide, and Trump is reportedly furious that the war has produced neither a clear victory nor an obvious exit. That's what makes this moment so dangerous. Brandon Weichert

Mario Nawfal

351,533 次观看 • 21 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump threatened to unleash the “gates of hell” against Iran, then he backed away, which in Washington may have been seen as restraint. According to Geopolitical analyst Pepe Escobar, Tehran interpreted it very differently. They saw it as proof that Iran’s deterrence had worked, America’s military options were narrowing, and that the longer Iran holds out, the more leverage it gains. Pepe says that transformed Iran’s objectives. Tehran is no longer thinking only about surviving the war, lifting sanctions or securing control over the Strait of Hormuz. According to his sources, forcing the U.S to retreat from West Asia has now become a central strategic goal. Iran began this conflict trying to prevent America from imposing its will. Pepe believes it now sees an opportunity to dismantle the military system that allowed Washington to threaten it in the first place. And Tehran reportedly believes it has found the mechanism. He says Iran has replaced its previous proportional retaliation policy with a new warning: Strike one Iranian energy target, and Iran will strike ten targets across America’s regional network. The message to Gulf governments is brutal. If they help Trump attack Iran, their refineries, pipelines and export facilities will pay the price. Pepe says that threat is one reason regional leaders pushed Trump to stand down. Saudi Arabia, in particular, understands that another major escalation could devastate the infrastructure it depends on to export oil. For decades, American bases were supposed to protect Gulf allies from Iran, but now those bases are putting the countries hosting them at risk. Pepe Escobar

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump threatened to unleash the “gates of hell” against Iran, then he backed away, which in Washington may have been seen as restraint. According to Geopolitical analyst Pepe Escobar, Tehran interpreted it very differently. They saw it as proof that Iran’s deterrence had worked, America’s military options were narrowing, and that the longer Iran holds out, the more leverage it gains. Pepe says that transformed Iran’s objectives. Tehran is no longer thinking only about surviving the war, lifting sanctions or securing control over the Strait of Hormuz. According to his sources, forcing the U.S to retreat from West Asia has now become a central strategic goal. Iran began this conflict trying to prevent America from imposing its will. Pepe believes it now sees an opportunity to dismantle the military system that allowed Washington to threaten it in the first place. And Tehran reportedly believes it has found the mechanism. He says Iran has replaced its previous proportional retaliation policy with a new warning: Strike one Iranian energy target, and Iran will strike ten targets across America’s regional network. The message to Gulf governments is brutal. If they help Trump attack Iran, their refineries, pipelines and export facilities will pay the price. Pepe says that threat is one reason regional leaders pushed Trump to stand down. Saudi Arabia, in particular, understands that another major escalation could devastate the infrastructure it depends on to export oil. For decades, American bases were supposed to protect Gulf allies from Iran, but now those bases are putting the countries hosting them at risk. Pepe Escobar

Mario Nawfal

286,832 次观看 • 18 天前