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🇮🇷🇺🇸 Iran has spent decades preparing for a confrontation like this. The U.S. is discovering there are no easy options left. Economist Chris Martenson argues that time is becoming Washington's biggest problem. "Time is not on our side in this story. We just can't keep stretching week after week... show more

Mario Nawfal

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Dr. Chris Martenson on off-grid energy solutions and the critical priority of personal preparedness, now that we are living in the midst of a global energy chokehold. (Clip from our interview earlier this week.)

Dr. Chris Martenson on off-grid energy solutions and the critical priority of personal preparedness, now that we are living in the midst of a global energy chokehold. (Clip from our interview earlier this week.)

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇺🇦 The same week the Iran war began, Ukraine escalated its strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. Different war, same target: energy. Economist Chris Martenson says the timing is hard to ignore, even though he doesn't love where it leads: "It felt to me like there was actually a fairly sustained attack on world energy output at that point in time, one at the Strait and two in Russia at the same time. Or it's one of the biggest coincidences ever. And I hate being a coincidence theorist, because there's usually a better explanation." Coincidence or not, the timing did exactly what a coordinated strike would do. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇺🇦 The same week the Iran war began, Ukraine escalated its strikes on Russian energy infrastructure. Different war, same target: energy. Economist Chris Martenson says the timing is hard to ignore, even though he doesn't love where it leads: "It felt to me like there was actually a fairly sustained attack on world energy output at that point in time, one at the Strait and two in Russia at the same time. Or it's one of the biggest coincidences ever. And I hate being a coincidence theorist, because there's usually a better explanation." Coincidence or not, the timing did exactly what a coordinated strike would do. Chris Martenson

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 You can't fix 1953 with a fee-sharing deal paid in dollars. Economist Chris Martenson says the Hormuz standoff runs on grievances going back to the CIA-backed coup, which is why Washington's neat little revenue-split proposals keep falling flat with Tehran. The easy options are gone, and what's left is the part nobody wants to say: reaching any agreement now means America accepting real economic pain, and the longer it waits, the steeper that price gets. Chris Martenson

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 You can't fix 1953 with a fee-sharing deal paid in dollars. Economist Chris Martenson says the Hormuz standoff runs on grievances going back to the CIA-backed coup, which is why Washington's neat little revenue-split proposals keep falling flat with Tehran. The easy options are gone, and what's left is the part nobody wants to say: reaching any agreement now means America accepting real economic pain, and the longer it waits, the steeper that price gets. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran has already named its next target if the bombing escalates, and it's the one thing holding the global economy together. PhD economist Chris Martenson says the warning from Tehran could not be clearer, especially with Trump now openly floating strikes on power plants and bridges after two of the heaviest nights of the war. "If they do that, if we do that to Iran, Iran has clearly said, well, now we're coming after your energy targets." One miscalculation on either side and the entire world pays the bill. The only question left is how bad it gets. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 Iran has already named its next target if the bombing escalates, and it's the one thing holding the global economy together. PhD economist Chris Martenson says the warning from Tehran could not be clearer, especially with Trump now openly floating strikes on power plants and bridges after two of the heaviest nights of the war. "If they do that, if we do that to Iran, Iran has clearly said, well, now we're coming after your energy targets." One miscalculation on either side and the entire world pays the bill. The only question left is how bad it gets. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has just recorded 3 consecutive weeks of massive crude oil inventory draws, some of the largest on record, and the market barely seems to care. Economist Chris Martenson says that's the wrong reaction. "How is oil not higher at this point, is the correct question." His argument: inventories are shrinking, supply risks remain elevated, and Iran knows time may be working in its favor. The market may be starting to reach the same conclusion. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. has just recorded 3 consecutive weeks of massive crude oil inventory draws, some of the largest on record, and the market barely seems to care. Economist Chris Martenson says that's the wrong reaction. "How is oil not higher at this point, is the correct question." His argument: inventories are shrinking, supply risks remain elevated, and Iran knows time may be working in its favor. The market may be starting to reach the same conclusion. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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🚨 🇫🇷 🇮🇷 Every war simulation since the 1980s ended the same way: Iran captures and retains control of the Strait of Hormuz. Chris Martenson suggested there are no military solutions left, and France is the first nation to swallow its western pride and cooperate with Iran. "We're watching world global oil inventories just dwindle, dwindle, dwindle. We don't have months in this story." Chris Martenson

🚨 🇫🇷 🇮🇷 Every war simulation since the 1980s ended the same way: Iran captures and retains control of the Strait of Hormuz. Chris Martenson suggested there are no military solutions left, and France is the first nation to swallow its western pride and cooperate with Iran. "We're watching world global oil inventories just dwindle, dwindle, dwindle. We don't have months in this story." Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls “dictate mode,” assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The White House may be trying to sell the markets a clean diplomatic victory, but the reality underneath looks far messier. Analyst Chris Martenson says Iran still refuses to back down on its core demands over reparations, sanctions relief, and nuclear sovereignty, despite Washington projecting confidence publicly. He argues the bigger problem is structural: the U.S. keeps negotiating in what he calls “dictate mode,” assuming pressure alone can force outcomes, while the actual balance of leverage on the ground keeps shifting. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 A tiny dip in debt during 2008 nearly collapsed the entire financial system, and that was barely a flinch. Economist Chris Martenson says losing Gulf energy would gut every buyer of U.S. debt at once. "We were hours away from complete meltdown of our system simply because credit markets started to go down a tiny bit instead of up." If your biggest customers are drowning, nobody's left to buy the $10 trillion you need to roll. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 A tiny dip in debt during 2008 nearly collapsed the entire financial system, and that was barely a flinch. Economist Chris Martenson says losing Gulf energy would gut every buyer of U.S. debt at once. "We were hours away from complete meltdown of our system simply because credit markets started to go down a tiny bit instead of up." If your biggest customers are drowning, nobody's left to buy the $10 trillion you need to roll. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸 Even if you add up every barrel in America, Canada and Venezuela, it's still only 30% of the world's oil. Economist Chris Martenson says the energy independence story falls apart on the numbers, because the Middle East sits on more than half of global reserves. And reserves in the ground aren't the same as fuel in a tank. Turning them into flowing barrels takes decades and hundreds of billions of dollars, which is why no amount of AI or drilling at home changes who really holds the prize. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 Even if you add up every barrel in America, Canada and Venezuela, it's still only 30% of the world's oil. Economist Chris Martenson says the energy independence story falls apart on the numbers, because the Middle East sits on more than half of global reserves. And reserves in the ground aren't the same as fuel in a tank. Turning them into flowing barrels takes decades and hundreds of billions of dollars, which is why no amount of AI or drilling at home changes who really holds the prize. Chris Martenson

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The longer this war drags on, the worse the U.S. position gets. Alex Christoforou says every week that passes gives Iran more leverage and pushes the U.S. into a weaker negotiating position. He suggested, at this point, the best option may be to accept a deal that is worse than what was originally available. Alex Christoforou

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The longer this war drags on, the worse the U.S. position gets. Alex Christoforou says every week that passes gives Iran more leverage and pushes the U.S. into a weaker negotiating position. He suggested, at this point, the best option may be to accept a deal that is worse than what was originally available. Alex Christoforou

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🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran stopped hitting hangars and started hitting barracks. Economic researcher and Peak Prosperity founder Chris Martenson points to satellite images showing the shift, and it happened about a week ago. Five barracks significantly destroyed, hit with extraordinary precision: "They've started to actually openly target places where they're going to get casualties." Hangars cost equipment. Barracks cost lives. Iran has spent this war answering blow for blow, and Tehran has now signaled it may stop responding and start initiating. Where the missiles land is the message, and this one says the tit-for-tat phase is ending. Chris Martenson

🇮🇷 🇺🇸 Iran stopped hitting hangars and started hitting barracks. Economic researcher and Peak Prosperity founder Chris Martenson points to satellite images showing the shift, and it happened about a week ago. Five barracks significantly destroyed, hit with extraordinary precision: "They've started to actually openly target places where they're going to get casualties." Hangars cost equipment. Barracks cost lives. Iran has spent this war answering blow for blow, and Tehran has now signaled it may stop responding and start initiating. Where the missiles land is the message, and this one says the tit-for-tat phase is ending. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 The smartest move Iran can make right now is simply to wait. PhD economist Chris Martenson explains how draining strategic reserves to hold oil prices down for political cover is leaving America with nothing to fall back on: "You just let that clock run as long as possible, and then you pull the plug on the whole thing." That's the trap he lays out. Whenever Iran finally chooses to close the strait, Martenson warns there will be no reserves left to soften the blow. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is heading toward a collision with physical reality, and central banks may not be able to print their way out of it this time. Peak Prosperity analyst Chris Martenson warns that if the Gulf shipping crisis isn’t resolved, treasury yields could spike while energy markets spiral deeper into chaos. His point is simple: governments can print money endlessly, but they cannot print the physical energy needed to keep economies functioning. Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The global financial system is heading toward a collision with physical reality, and central banks may not be able to print their way out of it this time. Peak Prosperity analyst Chris Martenson warns that if the Gulf shipping crisis isn’t resolved, treasury yields could spike while energy markets spiral deeper into chaos. His point is simple: governments can print money endlessly, but they cannot print the physical energy needed to keep economies functioning. Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

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🇺🇲🇮🇷 Forget whether Trump bombs Iran again. The real problem is that the U.S. has no clean way out. Economic Researcher Chris Martenson believes the U.S. has reached a strategic dead end after months of confrontation with Iran. His argument starts with the Strait of Hormuz. Officials keep saying the waterway is open. Reality says otherwise. Oil volumes are still depressed, insurers remain nervous, and tanker traffic never bounced back. The economic squeeze never actually ended. That leaves Trump with two bad options: Escalate with a shrinking inventory of long-range precision missiles and invite retaliation across the Gulf… or cut a deal that effectively admits Iran still holds the keys to the world’s most important oil chokepoint. Neither one looks like a win. The bigger risk, Martenson says, isn’t missiles. It’s money. Japan imports nearly all of its oil. Higher energy prices have pushed inflation higher, driven up Japanese bond yields, and put pressure on the yen. That matters because Japan has long provided the cheap funding that helped lubricate global financial markets through the yen carry trade. As that system comes under stress, Washington has reportedly been forced to step in to stabilize markets and prevent additional pressure on U.S. Treasuries. In other words, the Iran confrontation is no longer a regional fight. It’s turning into a live stress test of the financial system that has underwritten American power for decades. If he's right, history may remember this not as a regional war, but as the moment geopolitics and global finance collided. Chris Martenson

🇺🇲🇮🇷 Forget whether Trump bombs Iran again. The real problem is that the U.S. has no clean way out. Economic Researcher Chris Martenson believes the U.S. has reached a strategic dead end after months of confrontation with Iran. His argument starts with the Strait of Hormuz. Officials keep saying the waterway is open. Reality says otherwise. Oil volumes are still depressed, insurers remain nervous, and tanker traffic never bounced back. The economic squeeze never actually ended. That leaves Trump with two bad options: Escalate with a shrinking inventory of long-range precision missiles and invite retaliation across the Gulf… or cut a deal that effectively admits Iran still holds the keys to the world’s most important oil chokepoint. Neither one looks like a win. The bigger risk, Martenson says, isn’t missiles. It’s money. Japan imports nearly all of its oil. Higher energy prices have pushed inflation higher, driven up Japanese bond yields, and put pressure on the yen. That matters because Japan has long provided the cheap funding that helped lubricate global financial markets through the yen carry trade. As that system comes under stress, Washington has reportedly been forced to step in to stabilize markets and prevent additional pressure on U.S. Treasuries. In other words, the Iran confrontation is no longer a regional fight. It’s turning into a live stress test of the financial system that has underwritten American power for decades. If he's right, history may remember this not as a regional war, but as the moment geopolitics and global finance collided. Chris Martenson

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 What happens when a war starts putting pressure on systems far beyond the battlefield? I sat down with Chris Martenson to make sense of a situation that is becoming increasingly difficult to understand through individual headlines. We started with oil. Despite attacks on shipping, disruptions across multiple regions and the growing importance of the Strait of Hormuz, oil markets have remained surprisingly calm. Chris argues that the futures market may be increasingly disconnected from the physical reality of the energy system, and that the real crisis could come when that gap finally closes. From there, we get into the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, how quickly it is being depleted, what the realistic floor looks like, and what happens when countries around the world eventually have to rebuild their reserves at the same time. We also explore Iran’s growing leverage, why Tehran may simply be playing for time, and how control of Hormuz changes the negotiating equation. But the conversation goes much further than Iran. We talk about China’s manufacturing advantage, the vulnerabilities created by decades of globalization, and why rebuilding industrial capacity in the U.S. is far more complicated than simply bringing factories home. We get into drones and the changing nature of warfare, the growing strain on U.S. military capacity, Treasury markets, Japan’s yen and the enormous carry trade sitting underneath global finance. And eventually, it all comes back to the same question: Are these separate crises, or are we watching different parts of the same system begin to break? Chris has some fascinating and uncomfortable answers. Great for having you on Chris Martenson

🇺🇸🇮🇷 What happens when a war starts putting pressure on systems far beyond the battlefield? I sat down with Chris Martenson to make sense of a situation that is becoming increasingly difficult to understand through individual headlines. We started with oil. Despite attacks on shipping, disruptions across multiple regions and the growing importance of the Strait of Hormuz, oil markets have remained surprisingly calm. Chris argues that the futures market may be increasingly disconnected from the physical reality of the energy system, and that the real crisis could come when that gap finally closes. From there, we get into the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, how quickly it is being depleted, what the realistic floor looks like, and what happens when countries around the world eventually have to rebuild their reserves at the same time. We also explore Iran’s growing leverage, why Tehran may simply be playing for time, and how control of Hormuz changes the negotiating equation. But the conversation goes much further than Iran. We talk about China’s manufacturing advantage, the vulnerabilities created by decades of globalization, and why rebuilding industrial capacity in the U.S. is far more complicated than simply bringing factories home. We get into drones and the changing nature of warfare, the growing strain on U.S. military capacity, Treasury markets, Japan’s yen and the enormous carry trade sitting underneath global finance. And eventually, it all comes back to the same question: Are these separate crises, or are we watching different parts of the same system begin to break? Chris has some fascinating and uncomfortable answers. Great for having you on Chris Martenson

Mario Nawfal

294,436 Aufrufe • vor 21 Tagen

Time after time after time, the same outcome... How does anyone in their right mind watch this week in week out and come to the conclusion that Marcus Rashford 'has to start' every week for this Football Club? The way he's played this season is exactly how he did in 21/22

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The world has never seen a supply disruption like this one, and it could get far worse before it gets better. Chris Martenson breaks down exactly how bad it gets if the Strait stays closed another month. "We have to get out of this thing, and stop pretending we can achieve something militarily. We can't, not without risking global worldwide depression." One month more and normal oil flows may not return until 2027. Chris Martenson

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