Video wird geladen...

Video konnte nicht geladen werden

Beim Laden dieses Videos ist ein Problem aufgetreten. Dies könnte an einem vorübergehenden Netzwerkproblem liegen oder das Video ist möglicherweise nicht verfügbar.

Iran just called Trump’s bluff. Its supreme leader was assassinated. Its nuclear sites were bombed. And it is winning the war that is left. Washington walked into a trap with three locked doors. Trump cannot settle: a tentative 60-day ceasefire has stalled for a week while he demands changes... Iran rejects. He cannot walk away: the strait stays shut and the bill keeps running. And the House just voted 215 to 208 to rein him in, with the Senate one vote behind. But the door he can least afford to open is escalation, and this is the part no one is pricing. America is draining two reserves at once. It has pulled its Strategic Petroleum Reserve down 12% to 365 million barrels to hold the oil price down, and it has fired roughly 1,100 Tomahawks and 1,200 Patriots, weapons it needs years to rebuild. Both gauges fall on the same clock. Neither refills fast: the oil reserve is not projected back to pre-war levels until 2028. And Iran can see all of it. That is why Iran will not move. A country this battered is winning the only contest left, the contest of who can afford to wait. The screen still looks calm. Brent is back above $100. US stocks sat at record highs days ago. But that calm is bought with a draining reserve and a spent arsenal, and neither comes back for years. Trump called the vote meaningless. The market shrugged. Iran read it as a green light. This war is not being won on the battlefield. It is being won by whoever outlasts the other’s reserves. For the first time, that is not Washington.show more

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

309,160 subscribers

78,401 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

Nachrichten & Politik

Anya Rossi• Live Now

Private livecam show

0 Kommentare

Keine Kommentare verfügbar

Kommentare vom Original-Post werden hier angezeigt

Ähnliche Videos

Time, as the Rolling Stones said, is on my side. The Iranian side, that is. Iran is on land, commanding the Strait of Hormuz. The 'United States' is out at sea, and all of its base belong to us. Iran can break the imperial economy with its weapon of Mass Economic Destruction (MED), but the White Empire can't break them because they're used to it. The ships that didn't leave a month ago are not arriving just now and Iran just has to wait for the imperial economy to blow. Any minute now. Iran is not in a hurry to make (or break) this ceasefire. Their shots have already been fired and they just need to wait a little bit for 'America' to realize it. They can delay this day a bit using the futures market, but eventually the future becomes the present, and then what? All 'America' can do, in its furore, is close the strait even more, which just makes the straitjacket even tighter. 'America' has to move mountains to change their fate, but all Iran has to do is not move.

Time, as the Rolling Stones said, is on my side. The Iranian side, that is. Iran is on land, commanding the Strait of Hormuz. The 'United States' is out at sea, and all of its base belong to us. Iran can break the imperial economy with its weapon of Mass Economic Destruction (MED), but the White Empire can't break them because they're used to it. The ships that didn't leave a month ago are not arriving just now and Iran just has to wait for the imperial economy to blow. Any minute now. Iran is not in a hurry to make (or break) this ceasefire. Their shots have already been fired and they just need to wait a little bit for 'America' to realize it. They can delay this day a bit using the futures market, but eventually the future becomes the present, and then what? All 'America' can do, in its furore, is close the strait even more, which just makes the straitjacket even tighter. 'America' has to move mountains to change their fate, but all Iran has to do is not move.

indi.ca

19,844 Aufrufe • vor 5 Monaten

#BREAKINGNEWS #IRANWAR 🚀💥 🇮🇷 Iran has just changed the rules of the game. Iran didn't just respond. It entered Israeli territory directly and struck. This is important for several reasons. It shatters the myth that Israel is "untouchable" and can only attack without receiving a direct response. It demonstrates that Iran is willing to pay a high price to defend Lebanon and the Axis of Resistance. It exposes Israel's strategic weakness: no matter how much bombing and propaganda it engages in, it can no longer strike with impunity without being struck back. While Netanyahu tries to escalate the war to survive politically, Iran is reminding Zionism and its American patron that the game is no longer one-sided. The lion of the Gulf roared. And the roar was loud.. 🤷🏻‍♂️ -

#BREAKINGNEWS #IRANWAR 🚀💥 🇮🇷 Iran has just changed the rules of the game. Iran didn't just respond. It entered Israeli territory directly and struck. This is important for several reasons. It shatters the myth that Israel is "untouchable" and can only attack without receiving a direct response. It demonstrates that Iran is willing to pay a high price to defend Lebanon and the Axis of Resistance. It exposes Israel's strategic weakness: no matter how much bombing and propaganda it engages in, it can no longer strike with impunity without being struck back. While Netanyahu tries to escalate the war to survive politically, Iran is reminding Zionism and its American patron that the game is no longer one-sided. The lion of the Gulf roared. And the roar was loud.. 🤷🏻‍♂️ -

Al Monday

21,034 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE BIG QUESTION: SHOULD TRUMP FINALLY HIT IRAN'S INFRASTRUCTURE? History does not repeat, but it rhymes loud enough to hear. In 1945, Japan was finished. Its navy was gone. Its cities were burning. Its war machine could not replace what it lost. And still the leadership would not surrender. Iran today looks eerily familiar. Its radar sites keep getting flattened. Its small boats keep getting sunk. Its missile stockpiles keep getting hit. And still Tehran keeps shooting, mining, and lying its way through every ceasefire it signs. To be clear, nobody is talking about the weapon that finally ended Japan's war. Trump is not dropping a nuclear bomb on Iran, and nobody serious is suggesting he would. That is not the parallel. The parallel is the dilemma itself. What do you do with an enemy that is beaten by every rational measure, yet refuses to act like it? Trump has tried to solve that puzzle the hard way, the careful way. Hit the drone depots. Hit the coastal radar. Leave the power plants standing. Leave the water desalination facilities alone. Spare the bridges and highways ordinary families use every day. He said it himself. He does not want to punish a population for the sins of a regime they never chose, and he does not want American taxpayers footing the bill to rebuild a country we did not break in the first place. But restraint only works on an enemy capable of reading the signal. Iran keeps proving it cannot, or will not. So the real question is not whether Iran is beaten. It clearly is. The real question is what finally convinces a regime that will not admit defeat, without turning millions of ordinary Iranians into collateral damage for their leaders' stubbornness. That is the needle Trump has to thread. Escalate enough to end this, without becoming the very thing his restraint was designed to avoid. The world will be watching which targets he chooses next as closely as it watches whether Iran ever really surrenders at all.

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 THE BIG QUESTION: SHOULD TRUMP FINALLY HIT IRAN'S INFRASTRUCTURE? History does not repeat, but it rhymes loud enough to hear. In 1945, Japan was finished. Its navy was gone. Its cities were burning. Its war machine could not replace what it lost. And still the leadership would not surrender. Iran today looks eerily familiar. Its radar sites keep getting flattened. Its small boats keep getting sunk. Its missile stockpiles keep getting hit. And still Tehran keeps shooting, mining, and lying its way through every ceasefire it signs. To be clear, nobody is talking about the weapon that finally ended Japan's war. Trump is not dropping a nuclear bomb on Iran, and nobody serious is suggesting he would. That is not the parallel. The parallel is the dilemma itself. What do you do with an enemy that is beaten by every rational measure, yet refuses to act like it? Trump has tried to solve that puzzle the hard way, the careful way. Hit the drone depots. Hit the coastal radar. Leave the power plants standing. Leave the water desalination facilities alone. Spare the bridges and highways ordinary families use every day. He said it himself. He does not want to punish a population for the sins of a regime they never chose, and he does not want American taxpayers footing the bill to rebuild a country we did not break in the first place. But restraint only works on an enemy capable of reading the signal. Iran keeps proving it cannot, or will not. So the real question is not whether Iran is beaten. It clearly is. The real question is what finally convinces a regime that will not admit defeat, without turning millions of ordinary Iranians into collateral damage for their leaders' stubbornness. That is the needle Trump has to thread. Escalate enough to end this, without becoming the very thing his restraint was designed to avoid. The world will be watching which targets he chooses next as closely as it watches whether Iran ever really surrenders at all.

Bill Mitchell

33,676 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST PULLED THE PLUG ON IRAN'S OIL MONEY! Iran wanted to play games in the Strait of Hormuz. Three tankers hit with unknown projectiles in a matter of days. Now the bill just came due. The Treasury Department is revoking the license that let Iran sell oil under the June ceasefire deal. That waiver was a gift, not a right, and Iran just spat on it. A US official put it plainly. "As President Trump and the administration have repeatedly affirmed, the MOU in effect with Iran is entirely performance based." Translation. Behave or lose the deal. Another official didn't mince words either. "Iran's actions in the Strait were wholly unacceptable to the United States and will be met with consequences." This is not a slap on the wrist. Oil exports are Iran's lifeline to China and its only real source of hard currency. Cutting that off is aiming straight at the regime's wallet. Iran signed up for a deal that required keeping the strait open. Instead they fired on a Qatari LNG carrier, a Saudi supertanker, and a third vessel hit by a drone. That is not a misunderstanding. That is a pattern. You do not get to torch tankers with one hand and collect sanctions relief with the other. Oil prices jumped more than three percent on the news, proof that markets know exactly what this means. Consequences are not just words anymore. Iran wanted leverage. What they got was a reminder that Trump's deals come with strings, and he is not afraid to pull them.

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST PULLED THE PLUG ON IRAN'S OIL MONEY! Iran wanted to play games in the Strait of Hormuz. Three tankers hit with unknown projectiles in a matter of days. Now the bill just came due. The Treasury Department is revoking the license that let Iran sell oil under the June ceasefire deal. That waiver was a gift, not a right, and Iran just spat on it. A US official put it plainly. "As President Trump and the administration have repeatedly affirmed, the MOU in effect with Iran is entirely performance based." Translation. Behave or lose the deal. Another official didn't mince words either. "Iran's actions in the Strait were wholly unacceptable to the United States and will be met with consequences." This is not a slap on the wrist. Oil exports are Iran's lifeline to China and its only real source of hard currency. Cutting that off is aiming straight at the regime's wallet. Iran signed up for a deal that required keeping the strait open. Instead they fired on a Qatari LNG carrier, a Saudi supertanker, and a third vessel hit by a drone. That is not a misunderstanding. That is a pattern. You do not get to torch tankers with one hand and collect sanctions relief with the other. Oil prices jumped more than three percent on the news, proof that markets know exactly what this means. Consequences are not just words anymore. Iran wanted leverage. What they got was a reminder that Trump's deals come with strings, and he is not afraid to pull them.

Bill Mitchell

158,537 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

China has flatly rejected Reuters’ claim that it planned to supply Iran with 400 surface-to-air missiles. Beijing barely concealed its impatience—because it knows that what Washington needs is not the truth, but an excuse. The United States has been fighting Iran for more than five months without achieving the clean victory it expected. It has not broken Iran on the battlefield. It has not won the information war. It has not restored the illusion of effortless American supremacy. So now it needs a hidden mastermind. Washington cannot admit that a country it sanctioned, isolated, and impoverished for decades still refuses to collapse. The preferred explanation must therefore be: America is not failing against Iran. China is secretly controlling the war. Hence the convenient fantasy of 400 Chinese missiles. China is the perfect villain because blaming China preserves every other myth: American weapons remain invincible. American sanctions remain omnipotent. American strategy remains flawless. Only an unseen Chinese hand could possibly explain Iran’s resistance. At this point, it is no longer intelligence reporting. It is an empire writing fan fiction to avoid looking directly at the limits of its own power.

China has flatly rejected Reuters’ claim that it planned to supply Iran with 400 surface-to-air missiles. Beijing barely concealed its impatience—because it knows that what Washington needs is not the truth, but an excuse. The United States has been fighting Iran for more than five months without achieving the clean victory it expected. It has not broken Iran on the battlefield. It has not won the information war. It has not restored the illusion of effortless American supremacy. So now it needs a hidden mastermind. Washington cannot admit that a country it sanctioned, isolated, and impoverished for decades still refuses to collapse. The preferred explanation must therefore be: America is not failing against Iran. China is secretly controlling the war. Hence the convenient fantasy of 400 Chinese missiles. China is the perfect villain because blaming China preserves every other myth: American weapons remain invincible. American sanctions remain omnipotent. American strategy remains flawless. Only an unseen Chinese hand could possibly explain Iran’s resistance. At this point, it is no longer intelligence reporting. It is an empire writing fan fiction to avoid looking directly at the limits of its own power.

𝘊𝘰𝘳𝘳𝘪𝘯𝘦

121,386 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

BREAKING: Iran named a warship after the general who spent his career threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz. The US just lit it on fire in the Strait of Hormuz. The IRIS Shahid Sayyad Shirazi, a Soleimani-class corvette, is burning at Bandar Abbas right now. Footage is out. The smoke is visible from the port. Bandar Abbas is not a random target. It is Iran’s primary naval base. It sits directly at the mouth of the strait that carries 20% of the world’s oil. This is not a ship that was sunk in the Indian Ocean four thousand miles away. This is Iran’s naval guardian, on fire, at the gate it was built to defend. A week ago, Admiral Brad Cooper said the US had destroyed 17 Iranian ships. Then the IRIS Dena went down near Sri Lanka. Now a corvette is burning at the crown jewel of Iran’s entire naval posture. Here is what the Strait of Hormuz looks like right now. 85% reduction in maritime traffic. Iran threatening closure. The vessel specifically designed to enforce that threat is on fire at the base that commands the chokepoint. Iran cannot close the Strait. Iran cannot defend the Strait. Iran cannot patrol the Strait. The force built to do all three is being systematically destroyed at its own piers. Every tanker captain, every shipping insurer, every energy desk pricing this conflict as a 4-to-5-week regional event needs to look at that footage and ask a different question. Not when does the war end. When does the traffic come back. Those are not the same question. And only one of them is priced.

BREAKING: Iran named a warship after the general who spent his career threatening to close the Strait of Hormuz. The US just lit it on fire in the Strait of Hormuz. The IRIS Shahid Sayyad Shirazi, a Soleimani-class corvette, is burning at Bandar Abbas right now. Footage is out. The smoke is visible from the port. Bandar Abbas is not a random target. It is Iran’s primary naval base. It sits directly at the mouth of the strait that carries 20% of the world’s oil. This is not a ship that was sunk in the Indian Ocean four thousand miles away. This is Iran’s naval guardian, on fire, at the gate it was built to defend. A week ago, Admiral Brad Cooper said the US had destroyed 17 Iranian ships. Then the IRIS Dena went down near Sri Lanka. Now a corvette is burning at the crown jewel of Iran’s entire naval posture. Here is what the Strait of Hormuz looks like right now. 85% reduction in maritime traffic. Iran threatening closure. The vessel specifically designed to enforce that threat is on fire at the base that commands the chokepoint. Iran cannot close the Strait. Iran cannot defend the Strait. Iran cannot patrol the Strait. The force built to do all three is being systematically destroyed at its own piers. Every tanker captain, every shipping insurer, every energy desk pricing this conflict as a 4-to-5-week regional event needs to look at that footage and ask a different question. Not when does the war end. When does the traffic come back. Those are not the same question. And only one of them is priced.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

237,301 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST WALKED AWAY FROM IRAN. WHO'S SURPRISED? Iran struck a deal. No nukes. Everyone agreed. Then their own guys stepped outside and told the press it never happened. That is not diplomacy. That is a con. Trump laid it out plain. "They're liars. They're cheats. They're sick people." You cannot negotiate with a government that denies the deal the second the cameras turn on. This is the same regime that gunned down 54,000 of its own people for daring to protest. No guns on one side. Machine guns on the other. The media barely blinked. Trump still says the door stays open for his team. Witkoff and Kushner can keep talking if Tehran wants to be serious. But Trump himself is done playing referee in a game where the other side keeps moving the goalposts after the whistle blows. Strength is not cruelty. It is refusing to reward a liar with your time. Iran wanted a deal on their terms and deniability on ours. Trump is not signing up for that twice.

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 BREAKING: TRUMP JUST WALKED AWAY FROM IRAN. WHO'S SURPRISED? Iran struck a deal. No nukes. Everyone agreed. Then their own guys stepped outside and told the press it never happened. That is not diplomacy. That is a con. Trump laid it out plain. "They're liars. They're cheats. They're sick people." You cannot negotiate with a government that denies the deal the second the cameras turn on. This is the same regime that gunned down 54,000 of its own people for daring to protest. No guns on one side. Machine guns on the other. The media barely blinked. Trump still says the door stays open for his team. Witkoff and Kushner can keep talking if Tehran wants to be serious. But Trump himself is done playing referee in a game where the other side keeps moving the goalposts after the whistle blows. Strength is not cruelty. It is refusing to reward a liar with your time. Iran wanted a deal on their terms and deniability on ours. Trump is not signing up for that twice.

Bill Mitchell

50,414 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

President Trump is being duped on polling numbers about the popularity of War with Iran and does not realize it. CNN released a clearly fake or cherry picked poll saying that almost all of MAGA supports the War. This could not be further from the truth. If you think it is, go ask a few MAGA people in your actual life their thoughts on the War. A lot of them are strongly against it. But both the mainstream media and the neocons around President Trump want him to believe these numbers. The left leaning mainstream media want him to believe these numbers because the longer this war goes on, the better it works out for Democrats in upcoming elections. The right leaning mainstream media want him to believe it because their biggest donors are very pro war in Iran. The neocons surrounding him want him to believe it because then they can have the war in the Middle East they have always pushed for. I do not think President Trump is playing 4D chess with this war. I do not think he is super pro war. I do not think he cares about the Middle East that much. I just think he is being manipulated by the people around him and he does not realize it. The best thing for President Trump and the country as a whole is that he recognizes how unpopular this disaster is, corrects course by getting the United States out of involvement, and fires anyone who has lied to him about polling around him. Now to be clear, I do think there are many in MAGA who are suddenly pro this war, but that is just the people who would believe the sky is green and grass is blue if President Trump told them to. That does not represent the majority of the MAGA base. As always, I am not the holder of truth. This is just my assessment of the current situation.

President Trump is being duped on polling numbers about the popularity of War with Iran and does not realize it. CNN released a clearly fake or cherry picked poll saying that almost all of MAGA supports the War. This could not be further from the truth. If you think it is, go ask a few MAGA people in your actual life their thoughts on the War. A lot of them are strongly against it. But both the mainstream media and the neocons around President Trump want him to believe these numbers. The left leaning mainstream media want him to believe these numbers because the longer this war goes on, the better it works out for Democrats in upcoming elections. The right leaning mainstream media want him to believe it because their biggest donors are very pro war in Iran. The neocons surrounding him want him to believe it because then they can have the war in the Middle East they have always pushed for. I do not think President Trump is playing 4D chess with this war. I do not think he is super pro war. I do not think he cares about the Middle East that much. I just think he is being manipulated by the people around him and he does not realize it. The best thing for President Trump and the country as a whole is that he recognizes how unpopular this disaster is, corrects course by getting the United States out of involvement, and fires anyone who has lied to him about polling around him. Now to be clear, I do think there are many in MAGA who are suddenly pro this war, but that is just the people who would believe the sky is green and grass is blue if President Trump told them to. That does not represent the majority of the MAGA base. As always, I am not the holder of truth. This is just my assessment of the current situation.

End Tribalism in Politics

11,565 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST DROPPED THIS: The U.S. is locked and loaded against Iran at levels not seen since World War II. Iran and other Middle Eastern countries just asked us to hold off because the perimeter of a deal has been agreed to. That deal includes: • Immediate, complete, and total OPENING of the Hormuz Strait • An end to Iran’s nuclear threat Trump agreed, for the benefit of the world and a successful Iran, subject to rapidly making the DEAL. “Get to work, everybody, and get it DONE.” Peace through strength is not a slogan. It’s happening in real time.

🚨 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST DROPPED THIS: The U.S. is locked and loaded against Iran at levels not seen since World War II. Iran and other Middle Eastern countries just asked us to hold off because the perimeter of a deal has been agreed to. That deal includes: • Immediate, complete, and total OPENING of the Hormuz Strait • An end to Iran’s nuclear threat Trump agreed, for the benefit of the world and a successful Iran, subject to rapidly making the DEAL. “Get to work, everybody, and get it DONE.” Peace through strength is not a slogan. It’s happening in real time.

Gunther Eagleman™

134,829 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

WHILE THE IRAN WAR COOLS, GAZA REMAINS IN RUINS I'm glad the Iran war is coming to an end, but the world is still turning a blind eye to the plight of Palestinians in Gaza. With Israel and Iran agreeing to a ceasefire, the world has shown that even the most dangerous conflicts can be paused. Now is the time to demand the same for Gaza.

WHILE THE IRAN WAR COOLS, GAZA REMAINS IN RUINS I'm glad the Iran war is coming to an end, but the world is still turning a blind eye to the plight of Palestinians in Gaza. With Israel and Iran agreeing to a ceasefire, the world has shown that even the most dangerous conflicts can be paused. Now is the time to demand the same for Gaza.

Mario Nawfal

405,185 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! Trump just OFFICIALLY confirmed that the US will invade Cuba IMMEDIATELY after finishing with Iran. Should I remind you what happened to the markets when the US started strikes on Iran? When markets start pricing that reality, this will NOT be just another headline. This is a geopolitical catalyst hitting an already fragile system. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. Risk will get hit all at once. This is no longer just about Iran. It is about expansion. And now the pressure just multiplied. Because when one conflict is still burning and the next target is already being named, markets stop pricing de-escalation. They start pricing EXPANSION. And expansion is where the real damage starts. That one fact explains a lot. This is NOT just a Cuba story. This is about the war map getting bigger, not smaller. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: it stays at the headline level, markets panic first, then stabilize if nothing follows. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: Cuba starts getting priced as the next pressure point, and regional risk starts spreading. - WORST CASE: markets start pricing a second front after Iran, and the whole risk picture changes again. That last one is the REAL danger. Because if Iran was phase one, Cuba becomes phase two. Now connect the dots. This does NOT stay political. It hits flows. It hits freight. It hits regional risk. It hits every market that was hoping Iran was the end of the story. That is why this matters so much. Because once markets stop pricing closure and start pricing expansion, the whole framework changes. Not a dip. Not a fake panic. A REAL warning that the geopolitical map is getting bigger again. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 WARNING: MONDAY WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!! Trump just OFFICIALLY confirmed that the US will invade Cuba IMMEDIATELY after finishing with Iran. Should I remind you what happened to the markets when the US started strikes on Iran? When markets start pricing that reality, this will NOT be just another headline. This is a geopolitical catalyst hitting an already fragile system. Stocks will dump. Crypto will dump. Risk will get hit all at once. This is no longer just about Iran. It is about expansion. And now the pressure just multiplied. Because when one conflict is still burning and the next target is already being named, markets stop pricing de-escalation. They start pricing EXPANSION. And expansion is where the real damage starts. That one fact explains a lot. This is NOT just a Cuba story. This is about the war map getting bigger, not smaller. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: it stays at the headline level, markets panic first, then stabilize if nothing follows. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: Cuba starts getting priced as the next pressure point, and regional risk starts spreading. - WORST CASE: markets start pricing a second front after Iran, and the whole risk picture changes again. That last one is the REAL danger. Because if Iran was phase one, Cuba becomes phase two. Now connect the dots. This does NOT stay political. It hits flows. It hits freight. It hits regional risk. It hits every market that was hoping Iran was the end of the story. That is why this matters so much. Because once markets stop pricing closure and start pricing expansion, the whole framework changes. Not a dip. Not a fake panic. A REAL warning that the geopolitical map is getting bigger again. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

125,288 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! The US-Iran peace deal is breaking from BOTH sides now. Trump is NOT accepting it. Iran is NOT accepting it And markets are NOT ready for what comes next. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be just a dip. This is a geopolitical catalyst hitting an already fragile system. Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Bitcoin will dump even harder. That one fact explains a lot. Because this is no longer about hope. It's about the market realizing that the deal everyone was waiting for is not real yet. No breakthrough. No stability. No real off ramp. And when diplomacy breaks down, markets do NOT price hope. They price WAR. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: both sides keep talking, markets panic first, oil pumps, then risk tries to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: Trump rejects the deal again, Iran refuses the nuclear terms, and markets start pricing a longer conflict. - WORST CASE: talks collapse completely, strikes restart, oil pumps HARD, yields pump, liquidity gets worse, and risk assets dump all at once. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Oil is already unstable. Bonds are already stressed. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now the peace deal looks like another fake hope trade. Now connect the dots. If the deal fails, oil does NOT move slowly. It pumps HARD. Shipping gets hit. Inflation comes back Central banks stay trapped. And every market that needs cheap energy and easy money gets hit again. That is where the real damage starts. Because once markets stop pricing temporary fear and start pricing prolonged instability, the whole system changes. Capital does NOT rotate calmly. It runs to safety all at once. And risk assets? They do NOT correct. They DUMP HARD. This is NOT a theory. The deal is being rejected from both sides. Markets are NOT pricing the next move now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

🚨 SOMETHING EXTREMELY BAD IS COMING THIS MONDAY!! The US-Iran peace deal is breaking from BOTH sides now. Trump is NOT accepting it. Iran is NOT accepting it And markets are NOT ready for what comes next. When markets open on Monday, this will NOT be just a dip. This is a geopolitical catalyst hitting an already fragile system. Stocks will dump. Bonds will dump. Bitcoin will dump even harder. That one fact explains a lot. Because this is no longer about hope. It's about the market realizing that the deal everyone was waiting for is not real yet. No breakthrough. No stability. No real off ramp. And when diplomacy breaks down, markets do NOT price hope. They price WAR. There are only a few ways this goes from here, and they are NOT equal. - LIGHT SHOCK: both sides keep talking, markets panic first, oil pumps, then risk tries to stabilize. - HEAVIER SCENARIO: Trump rejects the deal again, Iran refuses the nuclear terms, and markets start pricing a longer conflict. - WORST CASE: talks collapse completely, strikes restart, oil pumps HARD, yields pump, liquidity gets worse, and risk assets dump all at once. That last one is the REAL danger. Because none of this is happening in a vacuum. Oil is already unstable. Bonds are already stressed. Liquidity is already getting worse. And now the peace deal looks like another fake hope trade. Now connect the dots. If the deal fails, oil does NOT move slowly. It pumps HARD. Shipping gets hit. Inflation comes back Central banks stay trapped. And every market that needs cheap energy and easy money gets hit again. That is where the real damage starts. Because once markets stop pricing temporary fear and start pricing prolonged instability, the whole system changes. Capital does NOT rotate calmly. It runs to safety all at once. And risk assets? They do NOT correct. They DUMP HARD. This is NOT a theory. The deal is being rejected from both sides. Markets are NOT pricing the next move now. But they will. I’ve studied macro for 10 years and I called almost every major market top, including the October BTC ATH. Follow and turn notifications on. I’ll post the warning BEFORE it hits the headlines.

Wimar.X

146,442 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Not long ago, Turkey was running a neo-Ottoman project across the Arab world. The Muslim Brotherhood was the tool. Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, the Gulf media wars. Western analysts called it one of the defining threats to the regional order. They were right! That era is over! It did not end through Western pressure. It ended because Saudi Arabia spent a decade building the economic, religious and diplomatic weight that made accommodation with Riyadh worth more to Ankara than confrontation. Investment. Mediation. Religious authority. Doors quietly closed. Soft power in its least glamorous form, and its most effective. I think we should be grateful for that. We rarely are. Turkey is now moving toward the Arab world, not away from it. On 7 August, in Mecca, Erdoğan, Mohammed bin Salman and Shehbaz Sharif signed a joint defence agreement: an attack on one is an attack on all three. It did not come from nowhere. Ankara joined a Riyadh-led maritime coalition in late July, one of fourteen founding members. The 2023 drone contract was Turkey's largest defence export deal at the time. This is the Middle East Western analysts spent fifteen years asking for. Two days before the signing, Steven A. Cook published a column in Foreign Policy arguing that strategic blunders have plagued Saudi Arabia's approach to the region. The verdict arrived before the ink was dry. Read it closely and it collapses. Cook says Riyadh has no strategy. Then he lists it: protect the economic transformation, avoid a wider war, lower tensions with Iran, stop armed factions from imposing facts by force, tie normalisation with Israel to a Palestinian state. That is not the absence of a strategy. That is a hierarchy of priorities. His real objection is that it is not his strategy- one that would have Saudi Arabia tolerate the STC, hold the UAE partnership regardless of conflicting aims, welcome an Israeli foothold in Somaliland, and stand as the front line against Iran. He says the Sanaa runway strike was unnecessary. In the same breath he concedes Mahan Air is tied to the IRGC, and that the Houthi delegation may have carried more than pistachios and carpets. He accepts the violation, then faults the attempt to stop it. He also assigns the strike to Riyadh. Saudi Arabia never claimed it. Yemen's internationally recognised government announced it. Then the pattern. Restraint is weakness. Action is recklessness. De-escalation is buying calm. Interdiction is provocation. Cook recommends retreat, then cites the retreat as proof there is no strategy. And he blames Riyadh for the Houthi escalation - as if the Houthis had not been firing at Saudi cities for years, as if Iran's proxy project began this July. A possible Saudi miscalculation does not absolve Iran and the Houthis of their own violence! Underneath all of it sits the oldest false narrative in the file: that Saudi Arabia is weak. Remember Yemen. The Kingdom had the capability and the intent to end the Houthi project militarily. What constrained it was Western political pressure in the name of human rights - war powers votes, suspended munitions, withdrawn targeting support. Riyadh was told to stop. It stopped. Then it absorbed years of missiles and drones on its airports, its cities and its oil infrastructure while holding a truce it was never legally obliged to hold! You can argue the restrictions were right. You cannot impose them, watch the adversary rearm through the corridor you protected, and then call the result a Saudi failure. Restraint imposed by allies is not incapacity. Saudi Arabia is not the architect of this crisis. It is the state repeatedly asked to carry the cost of other people's strategies - and it is now building, with Ankara and Islamabad, an architecture that reduces its need to. The criticism came before the agreement was a week old. That says less about Saudi strategy than about how hard it is for some analysts to read an order they no longer write.

Not long ago, Turkey was running a neo-Ottoman project across the Arab world. The Muslim Brotherhood was the tool. Egypt, Libya, Tunisia, the Gulf media wars. Western analysts called it one of the defining threats to the regional order. They were right! That era is over! It did not end through Western pressure. It ended because Saudi Arabia spent a decade building the economic, religious and diplomatic weight that made accommodation with Riyadh worth more to Ankara than confrontation. Investment. Mediation. Religious authority. Doors quietly closed. Soft power in its least glamorous form, and its most effective. I think we should be grateful for that. We rarely are. Turkey is now moving toward the Arab world, not away from it. On 7 August, in Mecca, Erdoğan, Mohammed bin Salman and Shehbaz Sharif signed a joint defence agreement: an attack on one is an attack on all three. It did not come from nowhere. Ankara joined a Riyadh-led maritime coalition in late July, one of fourteen founding members. The 2023 drone contract was Turkey's largest defence export deal at the time. This is the Middle East Western analysts spent fifteen years asking for. Two days before the signing, Steven A. Cook published a column in Foreign Policy arguing that strategic blunders have plagued Saudi Arabia's approach to the region. The verdict arrived before the ink was dry. Read it closely and it collapses. Cook says Riyadh has no strategy. Then he lists it: protect the economic transformation, avoid a wider war, lower tensions with Iran, stop armed factions from imposing facts by force, tie normalisation with Israel to a Palestinian state. That is not the absence of a strategy. That is a hierarchy of priorities. His real objection is that it is not his strategy- one that would have Saudi Arabia tolerate the STC, hold the UAE partnership regardless of conflicting aims, welcome an Israeli foothold in Somaliland, and stand as the front line against Iran. He says the Sanaa runway strike was unnecessary. In the same breath he concedes Mahan Air is tied to the IRGC, and that the Houthi delegation may have carried more than pistachios and carpets. He accepts the violation, then faults the attempt to stop it. He also assigns the strike to Riyadh. Saudi Arabia never claimed it. Yemen's internationally recognised government announced it. Then the pattern. Restraint is weakness. Action is recklessness. De-escalation is buying calm. Interdiction is provocation. Cook recommends retreat, then cites the retreat as proof there is no strategy. And he blames Riyadh for the Houthi escalation - as if the Houthis had not been firing at Saudi cities for years, as if Iran's proxy project began this July. A possible Saudi miscalculation does not absolve Iran and the Houthis of their own violence! Underneath all of it sits the oldest false narrative in the file: that Saudi Arabia is weak. Remember Yemen. The Kingdom had the capability and the intent to end the Houthi project militarily. What constrained it was Western political pressure in the name of human rights - war powers votes, suspended munitions, withdrawn targeting support. Riyadh was told to stop. It stopped. Then it absorbed years of missiles and drones on its airports, its cities and its oil infrastructure while holding a truce it was never legally obliged to hold! You can argue the restrictions were right. You cannot impose them, watch the adversary rearm through the corridor you protected, and then call the result a Saudi failure. Restraint imposed by allies is not incapacity. Saudi Arabia is not the architect of this crisis. It is the state repeatedly asked to carry the cost of other people's strategies - and it is now building, with Ankara and Islamabad, an architecture that reduces its need to. The criticism came before the agreement was a week old. That says less about Saudi strategy than about how hard it is for some analysts to read an order they no longer write.

𝐌𝐢𝐜𝐡𝐚𝐞𝐥 𝐀𝐫𝐢𝐳𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐢

478,566 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨 JD VANCE AND TRUMP JUST GAVE TWO VERY DIFFERENT DESCRIPTIONS OF THE IRAN CONFLICT. 🇺🇸🇮🇷 🇺🇸 JD Vance: “Nobody has won a war in the last 42 years of American history. President Trump did that by winning the Iran war.” 🇺🇸 Trump: “We will not give payouts for U.S. soldiers who died in the war against Iran — because it isn’t a war.” 💀 So according to Vance: 🇺🇸 Trump WON the Iran war. According to Trump: It WASN’T A WAR. 🤯 Same administration. Two completely different descriptions. This is an absolute clown show. 🤡

🚨 JD VANCE AND TRUMP JUST GAVE TWO VERY DIFFERENT DESCRIPTIONS OF THE IRAN CONFLICT. 🇺🇸🇮🇷 🇺🇸 JD Vance: “Nobody has won a war in the last 42 years of American history. President Trump did that by winning the Iran war.” 🇺🇸 Trump: “We will not give payouts for U.S. soldiers who died in the war against Iran — because it isn’t a war.” 💀 So according to Vance: 🇺🇸 Trump WON the Iran war. According to Trump: It WASN’T A WAR. 🤯 Same administration. Two completely different descriptions. This is an absolute clown show. 🤡

Global War Desk

82,597 Aufrufe • vor 17 Tagen

People don’t understand what is going on and I don’t blame them because US Media is imperialist propaganda so here’s the 411: Donald Trump is freaking out because he is not only losing, but this war against Iran is speeding up the collapse of the US empire. Iran taking control of the Strait of Hormuz is going to cost the US $3 trillion a year. Since the 1970s oil has been traded using the petrodollar. Iran knew this and knew it could severely weaken US hegemony by allowing ships to pass if they switched from the petrodollar to Chinese yuan. The other major development that isn’t being covered is the US has spent trillions of dollars on building US bases in order to occupy and control the Middle East. These bases have taken significant damage from Iranian missiles and are being abandoned. The US is not and never was “liberating” Iran, but Iran is absolutely liberating the Middle East from US imperialism. Like all empires of the past the US is no different: It is collapsing under the weight of its own greed, corruption, and barbarity.

People don’t understand what is going on and I don’t blame them because US Media is imperialist propaganda so here’s the 411: Donald Trump is freaking out because he is not only losing, but this war against Iran is speeding up the collapse of the US empire. Iran taking control of the Strait of Hormuz is going to cost the US $3 trillion a year. Since the 1970s oil has been traded using the petrodollar. Iran knew this and knew it could severely weaken US hegemony by allowing ships to pass if they switched from the petrodollar to Chinese yuan. The other major development that isn’t being covered is the US has spent trillions of dollars on building US bases in order to occupy and control the Middle East. These bases have taken significant damage from Iranian missiles and are being abandoned. The US is not and never was “liberating” Iran, but Iran is absolutely liberating the Middle East from US imperialism. Like all empires of the past the US is no different: It is collapsing under the weight of its own greed, corruption, and barbarity.

Power to the People ☭🕊

22,415 Aufrufe • vor 6 Monaten

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN HAS JUST OFFICIALLY CONFIRMED THAT THEY ARE CLOSE TO A DEAL WITH THE U.S. THIS DEAL INCLUDES A 12-YEAR HALT TO ITS NUCLEAR PROGRAM AND A STOP TO ALL MILITARY ACTIONS OIL JUST DUMPED BELOW $95 AND THE STOCK MARKET IS PUMPING ON THIS NEWS LOOKS LIKE THE WAR IS ENDING!!

🚨 BREAKING: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN HAS JUST OFFICIALLY CONFIRMED THAT THEY ARE CLOSE TO A DEAL WITH THE U.S. THIS DEAL INCLUDES A 12-YEAR HALT TO ITS NUCLEAR PROGRAM AND A STOP TO ALL MILITARY ACTIONS OIL JUST DUMPED BELOW $95 AND THE STOCK MARKET IS PUMPING ON THIS NEWS LOOKS LIKE THE WAR IS ENDING!!

ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ

566,520 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

US intelligence assessed just weeks ago that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon “The IC [Intelligence Community] continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader Khamanei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program he suspended in 2003. The IC is monitoring if Tehran decides to reauthorize its nuclear weapons program.” - Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, 25 March 2025

US intelligence assessed just weeks ago that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon “The IC [Intelligence Community] continues to assess that Iran is not building a nuclear weapon and Supreme Leader Khamanei has not authorized the nuclear weapons program he suspended in 2003. The IC is monitoring if Tehran decides to reauthorize its nuclear weapons program.” - Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard, 25 March 2025

WikiLeaks

3,486,563 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🇮🇱🇮🇷‼️ The Middle East is not calming down. We see different regional conflicts flare up and escalate. The war between the USA and Iran is on in a semi-hot state, with occasional bombings and insults, but it looks more like a war of (economic) attrition and will most likely not escalate into a full-fledged conflict again for a while. Will Israel and Iran stay in a ceasefire? Israel itself is not interested in a confrontation with Iran on its own. Israel wants Iran’s regime changed by others. To achieve this, Israel turns up the heat in Palestine or Lebanon at will, which triggers Iran and in turn flames up the whole conflict, leading to the US striking Iran again (which leads to retaliation, and so on). Especially since the situation with air-defense interceptors is difficult and the US is already basically in a war with Iran, I don’t see a need to escalate the conflict with Iran directly. If they want to, they’d do it indirectly via Lebanon, for example. In my opinion, yes, Iran and Israel will stay in a ceasefire unless Iran attacks Israel directly, which I don’t see. This will continue while other countries in the Middle East occasionally flare up in conflict.

🇮🇱🇮🇷‼️ The Middle East is not calming down. We see different regional conflicts flare up and escalate. The war between the USA and Iran is on in a semi-hot state, with occasional bombings and insults, but it looks more like a war of (economic) attrition and will most likely not escalate into a full-fledged conflict again for a while. Will Israel and Iran stay in a ceasefire? Israel itself is not interested in a confrontation with Iran on its own. Israel wants Iran’s regime changed by others. To achieve this, Israel turns up the heat in Palestine or Lebanon at will, which triggers Iran and in turn flames up the whole conflict, leading to the US striking Iran again (which leads to retaliation, and so on). Especially since the situation with air-defense interceptors is difficult and the US is already basically in a war with Iran, I don’t see a need to escalate the conflict with Iran directly. If they want to, they’d do it indirectly via Lebanon, for example. In my opinion, yes, Iran and Israel will stay in a ceasefire unless Iran attacks Israel directly, which I don’t see. This will continue while other countries in the Middle East occasionally flare up in conflict.

Lord Bebo

38,495 Aufrufe • vor 8 Tagen

There was a ceasefire in place and peace talks were starting to happen. Then last night the US bombed a civilian port in Iran, and now Trump is threatening to seize Kharg Island and steal Iran’s oil. You have to have your head buried in the sand not to see what is happening here: Peace is not profitable for a US empire that wages war and loots other countries’ resources to enrich its oligarchs. The world is run by terrorists, and the terrorists are the U.S. and Israel. Iran has a right to defend itself from said terrorists.

There was a ceasefire in place and peace talks were starting to happen. Then last night the US bombed a civilian port in Iran, and now Trump is threatening to seize Kharg Island and steal Iran’s oil. You have to have your head buried in the sand not to see what is happening here: Peace is not profitable for a US empire that wages war and loots other countries’ resources to enrich its oligarchs. The world is run by terrorists, and the terrorists are the U.S. and Israel. Iran has a right to defend itself from said terrorists.

Power to the People ☭🕊

2,903,690 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten