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Iran just closed the Strait again, live, as this interview was starting. Lt. Col. Davis said it was predictable as sunrise and he's right, you cannot end a 3-party war with a 2-party deal. Israel was never in the room and they've made clear they never intend to honor...

237,045 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Possibly the best analysis on the Iran-US war and how it could end. As part of much broader conversation with Drop Site, Trita Parsi search. .. makes the case for why Iran cannot end this conflict without imposing a high enough cost on Israel and the US to deter them from coming after Iran again. Effectively: “ • Iran’s core goal is to end the war in a way that makes it impossible to restart. They refuse to accept a simple ceasefire that lets the US and Israel regroup, rearm, and attack again in six or eight months — a “mowing the lawn” cycle Iran literally cannot survive. • To achieve lasting deterrence, Iran must make the war as costly as possible for the United States, Israel, and others involved. The aim is for everyone to conclude this war was a grave mistake that should never be repeated. • Iran will not agree to end the war without some form of sanctions relief. This isn’t just leverage — it’s survival. Without relief, Iran emerges weakened and degraded, making future attacks even more likely because weakness is exactly what invited this war in the first place. • Sanctions relief is therefore part of Iran’s long-term deterrence strategy. It prevents the country from sliding into continuous decline and removes the incentive for the US and Israel to strike again. • Negotiations are inevitable. The US has already quietly opened the door by lifting sanctions on Iranian oil at sea to help bring down global oil prices — a clear sign that sanctions relief is now on the table. • Continuing the war carries huge risk: if it drags on and Trump can no longer credibly claim victory, he loses any incentive to end it. The conflict could then become a low-intensity “forever war” that destroys his presidency.”

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#WATCH | On being asked about the West Asia conflict and where the Islamabad MoU stands right now, Senior Journalist, Political Commentator & Author, Fareed Zakaria says, "It's completely dead. It was predictable that it would be dead... Iran has figured out it has a usable nuclear weapon that can be used as leverage, which is control over the Strait of Hormuz...What we are trying to solve now is a problem created by the war itself, and even that has not been solved. In my opinion, the whole thing is a very humiliating defeat for the United States" "It's completely dead. And it was predictable that it would be dead because it is a memorandum of misunderstanding...Iran has figured out it has a usable nuclear weapon, in other words, a weapon that is actually more powerful because it can be used as leverage. That leverage is control over the Strait of Hormuz, and they want to assert that power...To give you an understanding of how poorly this war has gone for the United States, remember President Trump's original goal, which was to destroy the Iranian regime, have the people of Iran launch an uprising, and bring democracy to Iran. That didn't work. The goal number two became the nuclear issue...The desire to get the Iranians to hand over their enriched uranium, swear that they would never use it again, and permanently end the program none of that has happened. The third goal then became control of the Strait of Hormuz, which, of course, was open before the war. What we are trying to solve now is a problem created by the war itself, and even that has not been solved. In my opinion, the whole thing is a very humiliating defeat for the United States" Watch full interview here:

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