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Iran just fired missiles at five countries simultaneously. Here is what actually happened to each of them. Bahrain. Confirmed hit on the US Navy Fifth Fleet headquarters. Bahrain’s own state news agency reported the strike. No casualty figures released yet. This is the command center for every American naval...

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Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

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16,724,449 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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Iran did not strike a military base in Dubai. It struck the idea of Dubai. Missile debris hit the Fairmont on Palm Jumeirah. Drone fragments set fire to the facade of the Burj Al Arab. A terminal at Dubai International Airport, the busiest hub for international passengers on earth, sustained damage. Jebel Ali Port, which hosts US warships and handles aircraft carriers, caught fire from interceptor debris. Abu Dhabi’s Zayed International Airport took a direct hit. One dead. Seven wounded. The UAE Defense Ministry confirmed intercepting more than one hundred ballistic missiles and two hundred drones. That means Iran fired over three hundred munitions at a country that has spent the last four decades marketing itself as the safest square mile in the Middle East. Dubai is not a military target. Dubai is a financial thesis. It is the proposition that you can build a global city at the mouth of the Persian Gulf and insulate it from the region’s violence through money, architecture, and diplomatic neutrality. Two million expatriates live there. Sixty percent of the emirate’s revenue flows through its airport and seaport. Every sovereign wealth fund in the Gulf has exposure. Every global bank has a regional desk there. Every luxury brand on earth has a storefront on Sheikh Zayed Road. Iran just put a missile through that thesis. Not metaphorically. The Burj Al Arab, the building that appears on every postcard, every airline advertisement, every sovereign wealth fund pitch deck, had fire crews on its roof Saturday night. Dubai’s airspace went dark. Flight tracking maps showed the entire Gulf region virtually empty. Airlines suspended operations. Schools prepared to move online. Residents sheltered in underground parking garages because Dubai has no bomb shelters. The financial implications compound from here. Dubai real estate, the asset class that underwrites half the Gulf’s wealth effect, just discovered it sits within range of Iranian ballistic missiles. Every property valuation on Palm Jumeirah, in Dubai Marina, in Downtown, now carries a war risk premium that did not exist forty eight hours ago. Insurance underwriters who just repriced Hormuz transit are about to reprice Gulf property portfolios. Saudi Arabia was hit. Qatar was hit. Kuwait was hit. Bahrain’s Fifth Fleet base took drone strikes that destroyed a three hundred million dollar radar system. Iran targeted every Gulf state that hosts American forces. The only Gulf country spared was Oman, the mediator. The message is not military. It is economic. Iran cannot defeat the Fifth Fleet. But it can make the Gulf uninhabitable for capital. And capital has no loyalty. Only a return address.
0:10

Iran did not strike a military base in Dubai. It struck the idea of Dubai. Missile debris hit the Fairmont on Palm Jumeirah. Drone fragments set fire to the facade of the Burj Al Arab. A terminal at Dubai International Airport, the busiest hub for international passengers on earth, sustained damage. Jebel Ali Port, which hosts US warships and handles aircraft carriers, caught fire from interceptor debris. Abu Dhabi’s Zayed International Airport took a direct hit. One dead. Seven wounded. The UAE Defense Ministry confirmed intercepting more than one hundred ballistic missiles and two hundred drones. That means Iran fired over three hundred munitions at a country that has spent the last four decades marketing itself as the safest square mile in the Middle East. Dubai is not a military target. Dubai is a financial thesis. It is the proposition that you can build a global city at the mouth of the Persian Gulf and insulate it from the region’s violence through money, architecture, and diplomatic neutrality. Two million expatriates live there. Sixty percent of the emirate’s revenue flows through its airport and seaport. Every sovereign wealth fund in the Gulf has exposure. Every global bank has a regional desk there. Every luxury brand on earth has a storefront on Sheikh Zayed Road. Iran just put a missile through that thesis. Not metaphorically. The Burj Al Arab, the building that appears on every postcard, every airline advertisement, every sovereign wealth fund pitch deck, had fire crews on its roof Saturday night. Dubai’s airspace went dark. Flight tracking maps showed the entire Gulf region virtually empty. Airlines suspended operations. Schools prepared to move online. Residents sheltered in underground parking garages because Dubai has no bomb shelters. The financial implications compound from here. Dubai real estate, the asset class that underwrites half the Gulf’s wealth effect, just discovered it sits within range of Iranian ballistic missiles. Every property valuation on Palm Jumeirah, in Dubai Marina, in Downtown, now carries a war risk premium that did not exist forty eight hours ago. Insurance underwriters who just repriced Hormuz transit are about to reprice Gulf property portfolios. Saudi Arabia was hit. Qatar was hit. Kuwait was hit. Bahrain’s Fifth Fleet base took drone strikes that destroyed a three hundred million dollar radar system. Iran targeted every Gulf state that hosts American forces. The only Gulf country spared was Oman, the mediator. The message is not military. It is economic. Iran cannot defeat the Fifth Fleet. But it can make the Gulf uninhabitable for capital. And capital has no loyalty. Only a return address.

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

3,382,628 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

BREAKING: Iran has started launching a heavy wave of ballistic missile and drone attacks against U.S. and allied military sites across the Gulf in retaliation for today's U.S. strikes on Iranian territory. Jordan: Iran reportedly fired 12 ballistic missiles toward Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, with preliminary reports of three impacts. Jordanian air defenses were activated. The base is believed to host U.S. F-35 fighter jets. Bahrain: Sirens have sounded, with Fars News reporting explosions near American military facilities. The latest reports suggest Iran may be targeting the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters. Kuwait: Explosions have also been reported as Iranian missiles targeted regional military sites. UAE: The Ministry of Defense said UAE air defenses are intercepting ballistic missiles and drones. Multiple explosions have been reported across Dubai and Abu Dhabi, marking the first reported Iranian strike on the UAE in over two months. Qatar: Initial reports also indicate explosions. Note: In a previous Iranian strike on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, satellite imagery appeared to show damaged or destroyed hangars.
0:07

BREAKING: Iran has started launching a heavy wave of ballistic missile and drone attacks against U.S. and allied military sites across the Gulf in retaliation for today's U.S. strikes on Iranian territory. Jordan: Iran reportedly fired 12 ballistic missiles toward Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, with preliminary reports of three impacts. Jordanian air defenses were activated. The base is believed to host U.S. F-35 fighter jets. Bahrain: Sirens have sounded, with Fars News reporting explosions near American military facilities. The latest reports suggest Iran may be targeting the U.S. Fifth Fleet headquarters. Kuwait: Explosions have also been reported as Iranian missiles targeted regional military sites. UAE: The Ministry of Defense said UAE air defenses are intercepting ballistic missiles and drones. Multiple explosions have been reported across Dubai and Abu Dhabi, marking the first reported Iranian strike on the UAE in over two months. Qatar: Initial reports also indicate explosions. Note: In a previous Iranian strike on Muwaffaq Salti Air Base, satellite imagery appeared to show damaged or destroyed hangars.

The Hormuz Report

81,198 Aufrufe • vor 5 Tagen

🚨 BREAKING UPDATE: The US military carried out “SELF DEFENSE STRIKES” on Iran’s Qeshm Island, before Iran launched missiles at US military installations in the region NO US servicemembers were injured, thank God. One of the Iranian missiles seems to have BROKEN APART in the air, causing burning shrapnel to rain down on Kuwait Full statement from CENTCOM: “U.S. forces successfully defeated multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones, and conducted self-defense strikes on Qeshm Island in response to attempted attacks by Iran across the Middle East, June 2. Iran launched several ballistic missiles toward regional neighbors; however, all failed to hit their intended targets. Two Iranian missiles fired at Kuwait fell short or broke apart enroute, and three missiles launched at Bahrain were immediately intercepted by U.S. and Bahrain air defense forces. Moments earlier, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces shot down three one-way attack drones launched by Iran toward civilian mariners that were rightfully transiting regional waters. American forces also conducted self-defense strikes on an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island.”
0:12

🚨 BREAKING UPDATE: The US military carried out “SELF DEFENSE STRIKES” on Iran’s Qeshm Island, before Iran launched missiles at US military installations in the region NO US servicemembers were injured, thank God. One of the Iranian missiles seems to have BROKEN APART in the air, causing burning shrapnel to rain down on Kuwait Full statement from CENTCOM: “U.S. forces successfully defeated multiple Iranian ballistic missiles and drones, and conducted self-defense strikes on Qeshm Island in response to attempted attacks by Iran across the Middle East, June 2. Iran launched several ballistic missiles toward regional neighbors; however, all failed to hit their intended targets. Two Iranian missiles fired at Kuwait fell short or broke apart enroute, and three missiles launched at Bahrain were immediately intercepted by U.S. and Bahrain air defense forces. Moments earlier, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) forces shot down three one-way attack drones launched by Iran toward civilian mariners that were rightfully transiting regional waters. American forces also conducted self-defense strikes on an Iranian military ground control station on Qeshm Island.”

Nick Sortor

208,588 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Iran launches symbolic missile attack against Israel, which retaliates strongly After Iran launched a symbolic attack against Israel in protest against the attacks on Beirut, hours later it was Israel's turn to retaliate, this time indeed with violence and hitting more than 10 targets in Iran, including Tehran airport and Tehran, Isfahan, Tabriz, Kermanshah, Karaj, and some other areas in western Iran. Israel used air-launched ballistic missiles from Iranian airspace and also dared to launch cruise missiles from ships stationed in the Mediterranean. The White House said the US had no part in the attack; however, strangely, American tanker planes were seen in the air. Refueling whom? It wasn't my motorcycle. There are two questions at this moment: One is that since the Iranian retaliation did not hit targets in Israel in a significant way, it is very likely that Iran still has a serious problem with the refurbishment and upgrade of its long-range missiles. And the other is that perhaps the US has not only reinstated THAAD radars and others but also added more batteries brought from Asia that were positioned in advance in the corridors. Be that as it may, the current situation forces Iran to retaliate and show that it possesses real means of inflicting damage on Israel. There will be no ceasefire in Lebanon in the way Iran desires, simply because Israel saw the quantity of missiles that Hezbollah accumulated in a short period of time and will not allow that again. Israel has its own agenda, its own interests, and they are completely antagonistic to the peace plan that has been discussed. Trump is trying to save his political skin, but Netanyahu will impose his agenda and Trump will be dragged along by it. But while Trump isn't dragged along, Iran seems to be wanting to settle scores with Israel, launching a new wave of missiles along with Yemen, which, by all accounts, has also decided to launch missiles against Israel. It remains to be seen what the level of these attacks will be. In the last few instances, the Houthis launched merely symbolic attacks. Join my substack and support my work:
0:12

Iran launches symbolic missile attack against Israel, which retaliates strongly After Iran launched a symbolic attack against Israel in protest against the attacks on Beirut, hours later it was Israel's turn to retaliate, this time indeed with violence and hitting more than 10 targets in Iran, including Tehran airport and Tehran, Isfahan, Tabriz, Kermanshah, Karaj, and some other areas in western Iran. Israel used air-launched ballistic missiles from Iranian airspace and also dared to launch cruise missiles from ships stationed in the Mediterranean. The White House said the US had no part in the attack; however, strangely, American tanker planes were seen in the air. Refueling whom? It wasn't my motorcycle. There are two questions at this moment: One is that since the Iranian retaliation did not hit targets in Israel in a significant way, it is very likely that Iran still has a serious problem with the refurbishment and upgrade of its long-range missiles. And the other is that perhaps the US has not only reinstated THAAD radars and others but also added more batteries brought from Asia that were positioned in advance in the corridors. Be that as it may, the current situation forces Iran to retaliate and show that it possesses real means of inflicting damage on Israel. There will be no ceasefire in Lebanon in the way Iran desires, simply because Israel saw the quantity of missiles that Hezbollah accumulated in a short period of time and will not allow that again. Israel has its own agenda, its own interests, and they are completely antagonistic to the peace plan that has been discussed. Trump is trying to save his political skin, but Netanyahu will impose his agenda and Trump will be dragged along by it. But while Trump isn't dragged along, Iran seems to be wanting to settle scores with Israel, launching a new wave of missiles along with Yemen, which, by all accounts, has also decided to launch missiles against Israel. It remains to be seen what the level of these attacks will be. In the last few instances, the Houthis launched merely symbolic attacks. Join my substack and support my work:

Patricia Marins

200,195 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Quick recap of today’s sequence of events: via Brodie K. - Analyze & Educate “Summary: Resumption of Iranian strikes - Yesterday, UKMTO reported that a vessel off the coast of the UAE was struck by a projectile. Subsequently, the government of the UAE released a statement saying thag the targeted vessel was an ANDOC national tanker and condemned the Iranian strikes. - Early Morning: Likely in reaction to the declaration of the U.S.-led Project Freedom, the IRGC-N announced the creation of a new control area in the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to strike violating parties. - Iran claimed to have targeted and struck an unspecified U.S. destroyer that was in the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM subsequently denied that a vessel was struck, but stopped short of clarifying whether or not any vessels were targeted. -Mid-morning: Iran resumed ballistic missile and drone strikes against the UAE, targeting the UAE’s primary oil and gas export location of Fujairah. - In response to the Iranian uptempo in strikes and offensive action the U.S. struck 6-7 Iranian fast-craft operating in the locality of the Strait of Hormuz. - Iran continued strikes against the UAE. At the time of writing, per the UAE Ministry of Defense, since the resumption of Iranian strikes, Iran has launched 4 UAVs, 12 ballistic missiles, and 3 cruise missiles at the UAE. 3 Indian nationals have been moderately injured as a result. - Gulf nations, including Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, have condemned Iran’s actions.”
0:19

Quick recap of today’s sequence of events: via Brodie K. - Analyze & Educate “Summary: Resumption of Iranian strikes - Yesterday, UKMTO reported that a vessel off the coast of the UAE was struck by a projectile. Subsequently, the government of the UAE released a statement saying thag the targeted vessel was an ANDOC national tanker and condemned the Iranian strikes. - Early Morning: Likely in reaction to the declaration of the U.S.-led Project Freedom, the IRGC-N announced the creation of a new control area in the Strait of Hormuz and threatened to strike violating parties. - Iran claimed to have targeted and struck an unspecified U.S. destroyer that was in the Strait of Hormuz. CENTCOM subsequently denied that a vessel was struck, but stopped short of clarifying whether or not any vessels were targeted. -Mid-morning: Iran resumed ballistic missile and drone strikes against the UAE, targeting the UAE’s primary oil and gas export location of Fujairah. - In response to the Iranian uptempo in strikes and offensive action the U.S. struck 6-7 Iranian fast-craft operating in the locality of the Strait of Hormuz. - Iran continued strikes against the UAE. At the time of writing, per the UAE Ministry of Defense, since the resumption of Iranian strikes, Iran has launched 4 UAVs, 12 ballistic missiles, and 3 cruise missiles at the UAE. 3 Indian nationals have been moderately injured as a result. - Gulf nations, including Kuwait, Qatar, and Saudi Arabia, have condemned Iran’s actions.”

OSINTdefender

169,309 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten

🚨🇮🇷 Iran just hit 9 countries in a single night, including 7 of the wealthiest nations on earth This was Tehran's answer to Israel striking the South Pars gas field, the world's largest, earlier today. The most intense retaliatory barrage of the entire war, and Iran is now the only country on the planet simultaneously attacking seven of the richest nations by GDP per capita: 🇮🇱 Israel: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. Two killed in Ramat Gan. Four Palestinian women killed in the West Bank by an Iranian missile. 🇶🇦 Qatar ($110K GDP per capita): 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. 🇦🇪 UAE ($100K): 13 ballistic missiles and 27 attack drones intercepted. Iran threatening imminent strikes on energy facilities. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia ($35K): Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles intercepted over Riyadh. 🇰🇼 Kuwait ($75K): Ballistic missiles intercepted. U.S. facilities targeted again. 🇧🇭 Bahrain ($65K): U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. 🇴🇲 Oman ($32K): Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. The last neutral Gulf state is now taking fire. 🇯🇴 Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. 🇮🇶 Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. Combined GDP per capita of the Gulf states under attack: over $417,000. These are some of the most prosperous, developed nations on earth, and Iran is hitting all of them simultaneously while its own economy collapses. This is Operation Madman at full throttle: torch the region's wealth until the world demands the war stops. Source: 🇦🇪 Rami Al-Hashimi رامي الهاشمي / Reuters / World updates
0:40

🚨🇮🇷 Iran just hit 9 countries in a single night, including 7 of the wealthiest nations on earth This was Tehran's answer to Israel striking the South Pars gas field, the world's largest, earlier today. The most intense retaliatory barrage of the entire war, and Iran is now the only country on the planet simultaneously attacking seven of the richest nations by GDP per capita: 🇮🇱 Israel: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. Two killed in Ramat Gan. Four Palestinian women killed in the West Bank by an Iranian missile. 🇶🇦 Qatar ($110K GDP per capita): 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. 🇦🇪 UAE ($100K): 13 ballistic missiles and 27 attack drones intercepted. Iran threatening imminent strikes on energy facilities. 🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia ($35K): Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles intercepted over Riyadh. 🇰🇼 Kuwait ($75K): Ballistic missiles intercepted. U.S. facilities targeted again. 🇧🇭 Bahrain ($65K): U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. 🇴🇲 Oman ($32K): Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. The last neutral Gulf state is now taking fire. 🇯🇴 Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. 🇮🇶 Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. Combined GDP per capita of the Gulf states under attack: over $417,000. These are some of the most prosperous, developed nations on earth, and Iran is hitting all of them simultaneously while its own economy collapses. This is Operation Madman at full throttle: torch the region's wealth until the world demands the war stops. Source: 🇦🇪 Rami Al-Hashimi رامي الهاشمي / Reuters / World updates

Mario Nawfal

3,846,443 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

IRAN JUST HIT THE LARGEST OIL EXPORT TERMINAL ON EARTH AND THIS TIME THERE IS NO PROXY TO BLAME A Shahed-136 drone struck Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery on March 2, igniting a fire that was quickly contained according to Reuters and Bloomberg citing industry sources. Saudi Aramco shut down the entire facility as a precautionary measure. No casualties were reported. The Saudi Defence Ministry confirmed it intercepted drones targeting the site, with debris causing the ground fire per The Hindu. Ras Tanura processes 550,000 barrels per day. It is one of the largest oil refining and export complexes on the planet. And Iran just hit it with a $30,000 drone. On September 14, 2019, drones and cruise missiles struck Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq processing facility and Khurais oil field, temporarily halving Saudi output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The Houthis claimed responsibility. The United States, Saudi Arabia, and European intelligence agencies concluded Iran orchestrated the attack. Tehran denied involvement. The proxy shield held. No retaliation followed. Oil spiked 15% on Monday, then unwound within two weeks as production resumed. That playbook is dead. In 2026, Iran is launching strikes against Saudi territory under its own flag as part of Operation True Promise 4. The IRGC is simultaneously hitting nine countries. There is no Houthi intermediary absorbing attribution. There is no plausible deniability. Iran struck Ras Tanura, and every intelligence agency, every oil trader, and every Saudi military commander knows exactly who launched the drone, from which territory, under whose orders. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spent eight years building Vision 2030 around a single premise: that Saudi Arabia could diversify away from oil dependence while maintaining the kingdom’s security through a combination of American protection and regional de-escalation with Iran. MBS authorized backchannel normalization with Tehran through China in 2023. The Saudi-Iran detente was the centerpiece of Gulf stability. That detente just burned on the tarmac at Ras Tanura. Saudi Arabia has not been a co-belligerent in Operation Epic Fury. Riyadh did not participate in strikes on Iran. Saudi airspace may have been used for overflight, and Saudi air defenses are intercepting Iranian ordnance, but the kingdom has deliberately avoided offensive operations. The reward for that restraint is an Iranian drone on the crown jewel of Saudi economic infrastructure. Now stack the arithmetic. The Strait of Hormuz is functionally closed, sealing 15 million barrels per day. Ras Tanura’s 550,000 barrels per day is offline. Kuwait International Airport was struck. Jebel Ali port in the UAE showed smoke on satellite. Brent crude already surged 9% to $79.45 per barrel per Bloomberg before this strike was reported. Ras Tanura was not on the market’s pricing model. The market priced Hormuz disruption. The market priced Gulf airspace closure. The market did not price Iran directly attacking Saudi refining capacity because the market assumed Saudi neutrality provided protection. Saudi neutrality provided a target. Monday morning’s crude open will reprice everything written above. And Riyadh will answer a question MBS has avoided for three years: does Saudi Arabia enter this war, or absorb the next drone?
0:14

IRAN JUST HIT THE LARGEST OIL EXPORT TERMINAL ON EARTH AND THIS TIME THERE IS NO PROXY TO BLAME A Shahed-136 drone struck Saudi Aramco’s Ras Tanura refinery on March 2, igniting a fire that was quickly contained according to Reuters and Bloomberg citing industry sources. Saudi Aramco shut down the entire facility as a precautionary measure. No casualties were reported. The Saudi Defence Ministry confirmed it intercepted drones targeting the site, with debris causing the ground fire per The Hindu. Ras Tanura processes 550,000 barrels per day. It is one of the largest oil refining and export complexes on the planet. And Iran just hit it with a $30,000 drone. On September 14, 2019, drones and cruise missiles struck Saudi Aramco’s Abqaiq processing facility and Khurais oil field, temporarily halving Saudi output by 5.7 million barrels per day. The Houthis claimed responsibility. The United States, Saudi Arabia, and European intelligence agencies concluded Iran orchestrated the attack. Tehran denied involvement. The proxy shield held. No retaliation followed. Oil spiked 15% on Monday, then unwound within two weeks as production resumed. That playbook is dead. In 2026, Iran is launching strikes against Saudi territory under its own flag as part of Operation True Promise 4. The IRGC is simultaneously hitting nine countries. There is no Houthi intermediary absorbing attribution. There is no plausible deniability. Iran struck Ras Tanura, and every intelligence agency, every oil trader, and every Saudi military commander knows exactly who launched the drone, from which territory, under whose orders. Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman spent eight years building Vision 2030 around a single premise: that Saudi Arabia could diversify away from oil dependence while maintaining the kingdom’s security through a combination of American protection and regional de-escalation with Iran. MBS authorized backchannel normalization with Tehran through China in 2023. The Saudi-Iran detente was the centerpiece of Gulf stability. That detente just burned on the tarmac at Ras Tanura. Saudi Arabia has not been a co-belligerent in Operation Epic Fury. Riyadh did not participate in strikes on Iran. Saudi airspace may have been used for overflight, and Saudi air defenses are intercepting Iranian ordnance, but the kingdom has deliberately avoided offensive operations. The reward for that restraint is an Iranian drone on the crown jewel of Saudi economic infrastructure. Now stack the arithmetic. The Strait of Hormuz is functionally closed, sealing 15 million barrels per day. Ras Tanura’s 550,000 barrels per day is offline. Kuwait International Airport was struck. Jebel Ali port in the UAE showed smoke on satellite. Brent crude already surged 9% to $79.45 per barrel per Bloomberg before this strike was reported. Ras Tanura was not on the market’s pricing model. The market priced Hormuz disruption. The market priced Gulf airspace closure. The market did not price Iran directly attacking Saudi refining capacity because the market assumed Saudi neutrality provided protection. Saudi neutrality provided a target. Monday morning’s crude open will reprice everything written above. And Riyadh will answer a question MBS has avoided for three years: does Saudi Arabia enter this war, or absorb the next drone?

Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡

799,642 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

BREAKING: Iran has reportedly struck the BAPCO oil refinery in Bahrain while launching missile and drone attacks against U.S. military assets in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq. Iranian drones also reportedly destroyed a $5 million U.S. HIMARS launcher in Kuwait, marking Tehran's largest coordinated assault since the collapse of the MoU. The offensive follows heavy U.S. strikes across southern Iran, where Iranian state media says American forces targeted six civilian bridges, a major railway station, a telecommunications tower, and a civilian airport in Hormozgan Province and Chabahar. The strikes reportedly killed and injured civilians and severed key transport links around Bandar Abbas. The attacks came just hours after the IRGC warned that any U.S. strike on Iranian infrastructure would be met with the destruction of "every last piece of infrastructure" across the region, while the Houthis reiterated threats to shut the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Reports indicate the U.S. military base in Kuwait is on fire following the strikes. In Qatar, reports claim Iranian missiles struck Al Duhail Camp on the outskirts of Doha, with loud explosions reported across the capital. In Bahrain, reports also claim missiles hit Hamala Camp, which houses U.S. forces, as well as another U.S. military installation. Two U.S. AH-64 Apache helicopters were seen operating over Bahrain during the latest drone attacks. Arabic media further reports an Iranian missile struck the King Fahd Causeway linking Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with ambulances and emergency crews dispatched to the scene. 1. Smoke rises from Bahrain's BAPCO refinery following reported Iranian strike 2. U.S. strikes damage bridges and transport infrastructure in southern Iran 3. Reported Iranian missile strike on Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar 4. Heavy reported Iranian strikes target U.S. military sites in Bahrain
0:36

BREAKING: Iran has reportedly struck the BAPCO oil refinery in Bahrain while launching missile and drone attacks against U.S. military assets in Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, and Iraq. Iranian drones also reportedly destroyed a $5 million U.S. HIMARS launcher in Kuwait, marking Tehran's largest coordinated assault since the collapse of the MoU. The offensive follows heavy U.S. strikes across southern Iran, where Iranian state media says American forces targeted six civilian bridges, a major railway station, a telecommunications tower, and a civilian airport in Hormozgan Province and Chabahar. The strikes reportedly killed and injured civilians and severed key transport links around Bandar Abbas. The attacks came just hours after the IRGC warned that any U.S. strike on Iranian infrastructure would be met with the destruction of "every last piece of infrastructure" across the region, while the Houthis reiterated threats to shut the Bab al-Mandab Strait. Reports indicate the U.S. military base in Kuwait is on fire following the strikes. In Qatar, reports claim Iranian missiles struck Al Duhail Camp on the outskirts of Doha, with loud explosions reported across the capital. In Bahrain, reports also claim missiles hit Hamala Camp, which houses U.S. forces, as well as another U.S. military installation. Two U.S. AH-64 Apache helicopters were seen operating over Bahrain during the latest drone attacks. Arabic media further reports an Iranian missile struck the King Fahd Causeway linking Bahrain and Saudi Arabia, with ambulances and emergency crews dispatched to the scene. 1. Smoke rises from Bahrain's BAPCO refinery following reported Iranian strike 2. U.S. strikes damage bridges and transport infrastructure in southern Iran 3. Reported Iranian missile strike on Al Udeid Air Base, Qatar 4. Heavy reported Iranian strikes target U.S. military sites in Bahrain

The Hormuz Report

36,104 Aufrufe • vor 12 Stunden

Day 20: Iran reminded West Asia who the superpower is in the region! Tehran struck 9 countries in less than 24 hours, including all of the gulf slave states, Occupied Palestine, Jordan, Iraq and additional U.S. assets after all of the targets were forewarned in advance not to touch Iranian energy infrastructure. They FAFO and now they’re crying about the consequences. And the U.S. and Israel still think decapitation strikes work while the Straight of Hormuz remains closed and oil is above $110/barrel! GCC states are stupid enough to think the U.S. can protect them and Iran is the least bit intimidated by their barking. -Occupied Palestine: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. 100s killed and injured and there is significant infrastructure damage. Kosher terrorists are trapped in a burning building in Tel Aviv. -Qatar: 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. -UAE: 13 ballistic missiles plus drones struck energy facilities. -Saudi Arabia: Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles struck Riyadh’s oil facilities. -Kuwait: Ballistic missiles struck oil facilities and U.S. facilities targeted again. -Bahrain: U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. -Oman: Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. -Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. -Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. The GCC slave states have yet to take any responsibility for their complicity in the attacks on Iran, nor do they condemn the kosher American attacks on Iranian civilian targets that led to murdered women and children. Meanwhile there is an Iranian submunition missile strike in the skies of "Tel Aviv" in the midst of occupied Palestine and the activation of sirens. There are kosher terrorists stranded in a building that was destroyed in the Tel Aviv area after an Iranian missile attack. Kosher first responders are scrambling to keep up! American missile defence systems and radars remain inoperable or useless!
0:17

Day 20: Iran reminded West Asia who the superpower is in the region! Tehran struck 9 countries in less than 24 hours, including all of the gulf slave states, Occupied Palestine, Jordan, Iraq and additional U.S. assets after all of the targets were forewarned in advance not to touch Iranian energy infrastructure. They FAFO and now they’re crying about the consequences. And the U.S. and Israel still think decapitation strikes work while the Straight of Hormuz remains closed and oil is above $110/barrel! GCC states are stupid enough to think the U.S. can protect them and Iran is the least bit intimidated by their barking. -Occupied Palestine: Ballistic missiles and cluster munitions over central Israel. 100s killed and injured and there is significant infrastructure damage. Kosher terrorists are trapped in a burning building in Tel Aviv. -Qatar: 14 ballistic missiles fired. Ras Laffan LNG hub suffered "extensive damage" confirmed by QatarEnergy. -UAE: 13 ballistic missiles plus drones struck energy facilities. -Saudi Arabia: Evacuation orders issued for Samref Refinery and Jubail Petrochemical Complex. Waves of missiles struck Riyadh’s oil facilities. -Kuwait: Ballistic missiles struck oil facilities and U.S. facilities targeted again. -Bahrain: U.S. 5th Fleet headquarters under continued assault throughout the war. -Oman: Drone strikes on industrial zones. Workers killed. -Jordan: U.S. bases struck as part of the widening multi-front campaign. -Iraq: U.S. Embassy in Baghdad under nightly drone siege. The GCC slave states have yet to take any responsibility for their complicity in the attacks on Iran, nor do they condemn the kosher American attacks on Iranian civilian targets that led to murdered women and children. Meanwhile there is an Iranian submunition missile strike in the skies of "Tel Aviv" in the midst of occupied Palestine and the activation of sirens. There are kosher terrorists stranded in a building that was destroyed in the Tel Aviv area after an Iranian missile attack. Kosher first responders are scrambling to keep up! American missile defence systems and radars remain inoperable or useless!

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

35,935 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 BREAKING: Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain this week as the Trump administration works to lock down support from America’s Gulf allies for the preliminary Iran agreement. This is how serious diplomacy is done. You do not just cut a deal, celebrate for cameras, and hope the region figures itself out later. You bring the key players to the table, you make sure the Gulf understands what is in the agreement, you build pressure around Iran, and you remind every country in the region that peace only survives when America leads with strength. Rubio is also set to meet with the Gulf Cooperation Council in Bahrain, bringing together major U.S. partners from across the region at the exact moment when Iran, Israel, the Strait of Hormuz, energy security, and nuclear enforcement are all on the line. This is bigger than one trip. This is about making sure the Iran deal does not become another Obama-style paper promise with loopholes, cash, and weakness. Trump is building the wall around Iran diplomatically, Rubio is taking the message directly to the Gulf, and now every ally has to decide whether they are serious about peace, security, and stopping Tehran from ever getting nuclear leverage again. 🇺🇸🚨 BREAKING: Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain this week as the Trump administration works to lock down support from America’s Gulf allies for the preliminary Iran agreement. This is how serious diplomacy is done. You do not just cut a deal, celebrate for cameras, and hope the region figures itself out later. You bring the key players to the table, you make sure the Gulf understands what is in the agreement, you build pressure around Iran, and you remind every country in the region that peace only survives when America leads with strength. Rubio is also set to meet with the Gulf Cooperation Council in Bahrain, bringing together major U.S. partners from across the region at the exact moment when Iran, Israel, the Strait of Hormuz, energy security, and nuclear enforcement are all on the line. This is bigger than one trip. This is about making sure the Iran deal does not become another Obama-style paper promise with loopholes, cash, and weakness. Trump is building the wall around Iran diplomatically, Rubio is taking the message directly to the Gulf, and now every ally has to decide whether they are serious about peace, security, and stopping Tehran from ever getting nuclear leverage again. 🇺🇸
0:15

🚨 BREAKING: Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain this week as the Trump administration works to lock down support from America’s Gulf allies for the preliminary Iran agreement. This is how serious diplomacy is done. You do not just cut a deal, celebrate for cameras, and hope the region figures itself out later. You bring the key players to the table, you make sure the Gulf understands what is in the agreement, you build pressure around Iran, and you remind every country in the region that peace only survives when America leads with strength. Rubio is also set to meet with the Gulf Cooperation Council in Bahrain, bringing together major U.S. partners from across the region at the exact moment when Iran, Israel, the Strait of Hormuz, energy security, and nuclear enforcement are all on the line. This is bigger than one trip. This is about making sure the Iran deal does not become another Obama-style paper promise with loopholes, cash, and weakness. Trump is building the wall around Iran diplomatically, Rubio is taking the message directly to the Gulf, and now every ally has to decide whether they are serious about peace, security, and stopping Tehran from ever getting nuclear leverage again. 🇺🇸🚨 BREAKING: Secretary of State Marco Rubio is heading to the UAE, Kuwait, and Bahrain this week as the Trump administration works to lock down support from America’s Gulf allies for the preliminary Iran agreement. This is how serious diplomacy is done. You do not just cut a deal, celebrate for cameras, and hope the region figures itself out later. You bring the key players to the table, you make sure the Gulf understands what is in the agreement, you build pressure around Iran, and you remind every country in the region that peace only survives when America leads with strength. Rubio is also set to meet with the Gulf Cooperation Council in Bahrain, bringing together major U.S. partners from across the region at the exact moment when Iran, Israel, the Strait of Hormuz, energy security, and nuclear enforcement are all on the line. This is bigger than one trip. This is about making sure the Iran deal does not become another Obama-style paper promise with loopholes, cash, and weakness. Trump is building the wall around Iran diplomatically, Rubio is taking the message directly to the Gulf, and now every ally has to decide whether they are serious about peace, security, and stopping Tehran from ever getting nuclear leverage again. 🇺🇸

ⁿᵉʷˢ Barron Trump 🇺🇸

42,221 Aufrufe • vor 24 Tagen

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 IRAN JUST ATTACKED OUR ALLIES AND THE FAKE NEWS WON'T TELL YOU THE WHOLE STORY While you were sleeping, Iran launched missiles and drones at Bahrain and Kuwait. Two of our closest partners in the Gulf. In direct retaliation for Trump-authorized U.S. strikes that hit back hard after Iran targeted an oil tanker. This is what strength looks like. And Iran is rattled. Kuwait's air defenses knocked those missiles out of the sky. No casualties. No damage. Because unlike the Biden years, our allies are armed, ready, and backed by a president who means what he says. Bahrain took some hits to a residential building near the airport. That's on Tehran. Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi is crying in Baghdad right now, warning the world that any attempt to open the Strait of Hormuz without Iran's blessing will "increase tension." Translation: they're scared of losing their stranglehold on one of the most critical shipping lanes on the planet. That strait once carried a fifth of the world's oil. Iran has used it as a hostage for decades. Trump struck 10 Iranian targets after they hit a Panama-flagged tanker hauling over two million barrels of crude. That's not aggression. That's accountability. That's a president who draws a red line and actually enforces it. For four years under Biden, Iran laughed at us. They funded proxies, armed terror groups, and pushed every boundary they could find while Democrats handed them cash and called it diplomacy. Now they're intercepting our missiles with their air defense systems instead of shipping drones to kill our sailors. The mullahs wanted to test this president. They got their answer.
0:14

🇺🇸 🇮🇷 IRAN JUST ATTACKED OUR ALLIES AND THE FAKE NEWS WON'T TELL YOU THE WHOLE STORY While you were sleeping, Iran launched missiles and drones at Bahrain and Kuwait. Two of our closest partners in the Gulf. In direct retaliation for Trump-authorized U.S. strikes that hit back hard after Iran targeted an oil tanker. This is what strength looks like. And Iran is rattled. Kuwait's air defenses knocked those missiles out of the sky. No casualties. No damage. Because unlike the Biden years, our allies are armed, ready, and backed by a president who means what he says. Bahrain took some hits to a residential building near the airport. That's on Tehran. Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi is crying in Baghdad right now, warning the world that any attempt to open the Strait of Hormuz without Iran's blessing will "increase tension." Translation: they're scared of losing their stranglehold on one of the most critical shipping lanes on the planet. That strait once carried a fifth of the world's oil. Iran has used it as a hostage for decades. Trump struck 10 Iranian targets after they hit a Panama-flagged tanker hauling over two million barrels of crude. That's not aggression. That's accountability. That's a president who draws a red line and actually enforces it. For four years under Biden, Iran laughed at us. They funded proxies, armed terror groups, and pushed every boundary they could find while Democrats handed them cash and called it diplomacy. Now they're intercepting our missiles with their air defense systems instead of shipping drones to kill our sailors. The mullahs wanted to test this president. They got their answer.

Bill Mitchell

16,091 Aufrufe • vor 18 Tagen

The latest updates on Iran: - There were targeted assassinations of American officers from the US Navy 5th fleet HQ inside a building (likely hotel) in Bahrain. -Kosher media will lie about casualties of course. Iran’s President: -“We have entered a new phase of the war. Tehran has exhausted its older missile stockpiles, and now the true technology of the Islamic Republic will be revealed. -From now on, Khorramshahr-4 missiles will be launched across the Gulf and the Middle East, with intense strikes toward Israel and U.S. forces in the region. -Anyone who chose to stand against Iran will face the consequences in the coming hours.” Expect shock and awe! Drunk, r@pist, psychopath Kafir Pete Hegseth caught lying again. -US Secretary of war hegseth claimed that the US had achieved complete air superiority over Iran but, it emerged that American bombers were using long-range AGM-158 JASSM missiles, launched from considerable distances! - Israel is getting destroyed by non-stop Iranian strikes!
0:23

The latest updates on Iran: - There were targeted assassinations of American officers from the US Navy 5th fleet HQ inside a building (likely hotel) in Bahrain. -Kosher media will lie about casualties of course. Iran’s President: -“We have entered a new phase of the war. Tehran has exhausted its older missile stockpiles, and now the true technology of the Islamic Republic will be revealed. -From now on, Khorramshahr-4 missiles will be launched across the Gulf and the Middle East, with intense strikes toward Israel and U.S. forces in the region. -Anyone who chose to stand against Iran will face the consequences in the coming hours.” Expect shock and awe! Drunk, r@pist, psychopath Kafir Pete Hegseth caught lying again. -US Secretary of war hegseth claimed that the US had achieved complete air superiority over Iran but, it emerged that American bombers were using long-range AGM-158 JASSM missiles, launched from considerable distances! - Israel is getting destroyed by non-stop Iranian strikes!

Truth_teller 🇷🇺

285,344 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is on fire — here's what happened US CENTCOM said it struck Iranian military comms, air defense, and surveillance sites across Iran. Iran hit back on every front. ▪️ Bahrain: drone strike on 5th Fleet base — Patriot radar and comms antennas hit ▪️ Kuwait: IRGC destroys 18 targets across 2 US airbases in 2 waves ▪️ Hormuz: Iran declares the strait closed — warns all vessels will be targeted, claims 2 already struck ▪️ Iranian media says F-16 breached airspace, forced to retreat by surface-to-air missiles CENTCOM says commercial ships are still transiting and denies any warships were hit. This is likely the biggest exchange of strikes since the Pakistan-mediated ceasefire on April 8.
0:17

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Gulf is on fire — here's what happened US CENTCOM said it struck Iranian military comms, air defense, and surveillance sites across Iran. Iran hit back on every front. ▪️ Bahrain: drone strike on 5th Fleet base — Patriot radar and comms antennas hit ▪️ Kuwait: IRGC destroys 18 targets across 2 US airbases in 2 waves ▪️ Hormuz: Iran declares the strait closed — warns all vessels will be targeted, claims 2 already struck ▪️ Iranian media says F-16 breached airspace, forced to retreat by surface-to-air missiles CENTCOM says commercial ships are still transiting and denies any warships were hit. This is likely the biggest exchange of strikes since the Pakistan-mediated ceasefire on April 8.

Sputnik

95,008 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

Day 19: Iran Suffers Serious Damage to Its Energy Infrastructure and Strikes Back Following the heavy bombardments Iran suffered, which I mentioned earlier, the Iranians struck back against the Gulf countries, exactly as we and the coalition had expected. Since the first days of war, US-Israel are working to involve the gulf countries, but without any success. Early in the evening, Saudi Arabia was the first to be attacked, with two ballistic missiles hitting targets in Jubail, the world’s largest petrochemical complex. Subsequently, the Al Hosn and Bab Fields in the UAE were struck, along with the Mesaieed Petrochemical Complex in Qatar. Later that day, Iran targeted SAMREF in Yanbu on the Red Sea, the facility from which Saudi Arabia exports its oil. The company confirmed that a missile struck its installations. Israel’s Channel 14 also reported waves of Iranian attacks throughout the day, which continue into tonight. Additionally, tonight the Israeli Air Force struck Iranian naval bases and ships in the Caspian Sea, raising suspicions once again that the operation was launched from Azerbaijan. Over the last two days, Iran has been increasing its missile launches, defying the analysis of many respected experts out there. The war is deepening, targeting more non-military sites and expanding into other areas such as the Caspian Sea. Join my Substack:
0:18

Day 19: Iran Suffers Serious Damage to Its Energy Infrastructure and Strikes Back Following the heavy bombardments Iran suffered, which I mentioned earlier, the Iranians struck back against the Gulf countries, exactly as we and the coalition had expected. Since the first days of war, US-Israel are working to involve the gulf countries, but without any success. Early in the evening, Saudi Arabia was the first to be attacked, with two ballistic missiles hitting targets in Jubail, the world’s largest petrochemical complex. Subsequently, the Al Hosn and Bab Fields in the UAE were struck, along with the Mesaieed Petrochemical Complex in Qatar. Later that day, Iran targeted SAMREF in Yanbu on the Red Sea, the facility from which Saudi Arabia exports its oil. The company confirmed that a missile struck its installations. Israel’s Channel 14 also reported waves of Iranian attacks throughout the day, which continue into tonight. Additionally, tonight the Israeli Air Force struck Iranian naval bases and ships in the Caspian Sea, raising suspicions once again that the operation was launched from Azerbaijan. Over the last two days, Iran has been increasing its missile launches, defying the analysis of many respected experts out there. The war is deepening, targeting more non-military sites and expanding into other areas such as the Caspian Sea. Join my Substack:

Patricia Marins

154,674 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN WAR UPDATE: DAY 17 🇰🇼 Kuwait confirmed its air defenses engaged incoming missiles and drones, with explosions heard across the country attributed to successful interceptions. 🇮🇶 Drone strikes reportedly hit inside Baghdad’s Green Zone, with sirens sounding across the city during another wave of Iran-backed attacks. 🇮🇷 Satellite imagery showed heavy damage to a major oil depot in southern Tehran following recent Israeli strikes. 🇮🇶 Another drone attack was reported in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, as the city continued facing near-daily strikes for weeks. 🇺🇸 Trump traveled to Dover, Delaware, for another dignified transfer ceremony honoring U.S. servicemembers killed in Operation Epic Fury. 🇮🇷 Iran launched 61 waves of missiles and drones at U.S. bases, Israel, and Gulf states, even after thousands of coalition strikes and major military losses. 🇮🇱 Fire was reported near Ben Gurion Airport after an Iranian missile strike. 🇱🇧 A multi-story residential building in Beirut’s Al-Bashura district collapsed following an Israeli airstrike.
0:22

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 IRAN WAR UPDATE: DAY 17 🇰🇼 Kuwait confirmed its air defenses engaged incoming missiles and drones, with explosions heard across the country attributed to successful interceptions. 🇮🇶 Drone strikes reportedly hit inside Baghdad’s Green Zone, with sirens sounding across the city during another wave of Iran-backed attacks. 🇮🇷 Satellite imagery showed heavy damage to a major oil depot in southern Tehran following recent Israeli strikes. 🇮🇶 Another drone attack was reported in Erbil, Iraqi Kurdistan, as the city continued facing near-daily strikes for weeks. 🇺🇸 Trump traveled to Dover, Delaware, for another dignified transfer ceremony honoring U.S. servicemembers killed in Operation Epic Fury. 🇮🇷 Iran launched 61 waves of missiles and drones at U.S. bases, Israel, and Gulf states, even after thousands of coalition strikes and major military losses. 🇮🇱 Fire was reported near Ben Gurion Airport after an Iranian missile strike. 🇱🇧 A multi-story residential building in Beirut’s Al-Bashura district collapsed following an Israeli airstrike.

Mario Nawfal

27,889 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Day 2: Israel decimales Iranian Installations - Iran Retaliates Unprecedentedly Overnight Israel and the US have been relentlessly bombing Iranian territory on the second day of the war, launching strikes primarily from Iraqi and Saudi airspace. Approximately 1,000 targets have been hit in Iran, including air bases and bunkers. The Iranian navy was also targeted, with 3 to 4 warships sunk. However, it's worth noting that only one of these vessels was modern; the others date back to the 1960s. The hunt for Iranian missile launchers continues, with Israel striking several mobile launchers and anti-aircraft units daily. This is an extremely arduous task, as estimates from The Military Balance suggest Iran may possess up to 500 mobile launchers and hundreds of SHORAD systems. On this second day, Iran decided to strike five bases/airports being used by US-Israel forces all at once. The Saudi Prince Sultan Air Base was hit by multiple ballistic missiles, with several reports of smoke rising. Similarly, Iraq's Ain Al-Asad base was targeted. But nothing compared to the intensity of the attacks on Erbil Air Base in northern Iraq and Ben Gurion Airport, which came under several ballistic missiles overnight. And do you know what the biggest problem is? Iranian missiles are slipping through Israeli and American air defenses like a hot knife through butter. Yesterday and today, I've shown videos where launchers fire up to 9 (or more) interceptors in attempts to down a single Iranian missile, often with little success. Iran's retaliation against US bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the UAE continued on the second day, mainly using drones. As I mentioned yesterday, Iran has proven that the war is only just beginning. It targeted Israeli cities with modern missiles that disperse submunitions during reentry, significantly expanding the affected areas. These missiles had never been used before in combat, showing that Iran is now deploying its most advanced systems, which are also far more resilient to interceptors. At the current rate, interceptors will run out soon, and panic will grip both Israeli and American leadership. Both sides are failing in their primary objective: significantly reducing Iran's launch capacity, which remains high, with roughly 450 missiles and 850 drones ready in just two days. If this pace holds, defensive munitions won't last more than 4-5 days. Based on what we've observed, Iran launches 200-220 missiles per day, while the coalition expends no fewer than 700-1,000 interceptors (or even more), with very limited success. In the best-case scenario, this gives about 5 days of defensive ammo left; in the realistic (worst-case) scenario I've estimated from the interceptions I've seen, it's only 4 days. This puts enormous pressure on the leaders of both countries to seek a ceasefire. I believe that if Iran refuses a ceasefire, both Israel and the US will push for Gulf countries to enter the war, aiming to bolster defenses and deter further Iranian actions. The entry of these countries would be paramount for the US and Israel due to their air support and, especially, their naval power. These Gulf nations possess approximately 400 vessels, including frigates, corvettes, and patrol boats. But until that happens, the war boils down to the same question: What runs out first, Iran's missile launch capability or the coalition's interceptors?
0:12

Day 2: Israel decimales Iranian Installations - Iran Retaliates Unprecedentedly Overnight Israel and the US have been relentlessly bombing Iranian territory on the second day of the war, launching strikes primarily from Iraqi and Saudi airspace. Approximately 1,000 targets have been hit in Iran, including air bases and bunkers. The Iranian navy was also targeted, with 3 to 4 warships sunk. However, it's worth noting that only one of these vessels was modern; the others date back to the 1960s. The hunt for Iranian missile launchers continues, with Israel striking several mobile launchers and anti-aircraft units daily. This is an extremely arduous task, as estimates from The Military Balance suggest Iran may possess up to 500 mobile launchers and hundreds of SHORAD systems. On this second day, Iran decided to strike five bases/airports being used by US-Israel forces all at once. The Saudi Prince Sultan Air Base was hit by multiple ballistic missiles, with several reports of smoke rising. Similarly, Iraq's Ain Al-Asad base was targeted. But nothing compared to the intensity of the attacks on Erbil Air Base in northern Iraq and Ben Gurion Airport, which came under several ballistic missiles overnight. And do you know what the biggest problem is? Iranian missiles are slipping through Israeli and American air defenses like a hot knife through butter. Yesterday and today, I've shown videos where launchers fire up to 9 (or more) interceptors in attempts to down a single Iranian missile, often with little success. Iran's retaliation against US bases in Qatar, Bahrain, and the UAE continued on the second day, mainly using drones. As I mentioned yesterday, Iran has proven that the war is only just beginning. It targeted Israeli cities with modern missiles that disperse submunitions during reentry, significantly expanding the affected areas. These missiles had never been used before in combat, showing that Iran is now deploying its most advanced systems, which are also far more resilient to interceptors. At the current rate, interceptors will run out soon, and panic will grip both Israeli and American leadership. Both sides are failing in their primary objective: significantly reducing Iran's launch capacity, which remains high, with roughly 450 missiles and 850 drones ready in just two days. If this pace holds, defensive munitions won't last more than 4-5 days. Based on what we've observed, Iran launches 200-220 missiles per day, while the coalition expends no fewer than 700-1,000 interceptors (or even more), with very limited success. In the best-case scenario, this gives about 5 days of defensive ammo left; in the realistic (worst-case) scenario I've estimated from the interceptions I've seen, it's only 4 days. This puts enormous pressure on the leaders of both countries to seek a ceasefire. I believe that if Iran refuses a ceasefire, both Israel and the US will push for Gulf countries to enter the war, aiming to bolster defenses and deter further Iranian actions. The entry of these countries would be paramount for the US and Israel due to their air support and, especially, their naval power. These Gulf nations possess approximately 400 vessels, including frigates, corvettes, and patrol boats. But until that happens, the war boils down to the same question: What runs out first, Iran's missile launch capability or the coalition's interceptors?

Patricia Marins

735,793 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

🚨 Reports are emerging of a direct strike in Jordan — potentially making it another country drawn into today’s rapidly expanding confrontation. If confirmed, this would mean multiple sovereign states across the region have now faced missile threats or attacks within hours. The strategic paradox is extraordinary: Israel strikes Iran — and Iran’s response risks pulling surrounding Arab nations closer together against it. For years, regional diplomacy has revolved around fragile balances, quiet coordination, and uneasy neutrality. But when missiles cross borders, calculations change overnight. Any country whose territory is struck, whose airspace is violated, or whose civilians are endangered suddenly has both legal justification and political pressure to respond. If this trajectory continues, the outcome may be the exact opposite of what Tehran intended — a stronger regional alignment among states that were previously cautious, divided, or neutral. The next moves will determine whether this remains escalation… or becomes realignment.
0:19

🚨 Reports are emerging of a direct strike in Jordan — potentially making it another country drawn into today’s rapidly expanding confrontation. If confirmed, this would mean multiple sovereign states across the region have now faced missile threats or attacks within hours. The strategic paradox is extraordinary: Israel strikes Iran — and Iran’s response risks pulling surrounding Arab nations closer together against it. For years, regional diplomacy has revolved around fragile balances, quiet coordination, and uneasy neutrality. But when missiles cross borders, calculations change overnight. Any country whose territory is struck, whose airspace is violated, or whose civilians are endangered suddenly has both legal justification and political pressure to respond. If this trajectory continues, the outcome may be the exact opposite of what Tehran intended — a stronger regional alignment among states that were previously cautious, divided, or neutral. The next moves will determine whether this remains escalation… or becomes realignment.

Jim Ferguson

26,742 Aufrufe • vor 4 Monaten

Israel’s Beersheba steel complex is on fire after the latest Iranian missile arrivals Over a month into the war, Iran is still able to announce what it will be targeting, launch missiles, evade air defences, and strike targets in Israel. All the goals of the war have failed: IRGC command and control is still effective Iran’s missile capabilities have not been degraded, in fact, they have more than what the US and Israel estimated Iran’s government did not collapse under the pressure of this enormous US-Israeli bombing campaign Iran had better intelligence than either the US or Israel expected While the US and Israel suffer the consequences of their own arrogance, the Gulf States, which did not want this war, also suffer the consequences, as Iran exercises its own Samson Option of creating a regional war and economic chaos. What was meant to be a quick Venezuela-style regime change war has turned into a quagmire. If the US is foolish enough to escalate this with boots on the ground, it will end the same way as Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq did: Total failure, and American lives lost.
0:12

Israel’s Beersheba steel complex is on fire after the latest Iranian missile arrivals Over a month into the war, Iran is still able to announce what it will be targeting, launch missiles, evade air defences, and strike targets in Israel. All the goals of the war have failed: IRGC command and control is still effective Iran’s missile capabilities have not been degraded, in fact, they have more than what the US and Israel estimated Iran’s government did not collapse under the pressure of this enormous US-Israeli bombing campaign Iran had better intelligence than either the US or Israel expected While the US and Israel suffer the consequences of their own arrogance, the Gulf States, which did not want this war, also suffer the consequences, as Iran exercises its own Samson Option of creating a regional war and economic chaos. What was meant to be a quick Venezuela-style regime change war has turned into a quagmire. If the US is foolish enough to escalate this with boots on the ground, it will end the same way as Vietnam, Afghanistan, and Iraq did: Total failure, and American lives lost.

Afshin Rattansi

36,525 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran. Main points: Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure. Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel. Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots. Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas. Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles. Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel. Missiles & drones: 2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties. 2 rockets were launched from Gaza, both of which impacted an unspecified section of the Gaza buffer zone. They were either targeting IDF troops, or malfunctioned mid-flight. The IDF claimed to have intercepted 2 drones, launched by either Iran or factions in Iraq, in the area of Kiryat Shmona, northeastern Israel. Consequences: Israeli outlet Haaretz confirms that 30 Iranian ballistic missiles impacted military bases across Israel, including 10 in Tel Aviv. This was at around 7am local time in Israel, prior to more missile impacts in the north of the country. Iranian ballistic missiles impacted Haifa and Tamra, targeting the Haifa Oil Refinery Israeli airstrikes and drones targeted various targets around Tehran including a central oil depot. Footage shows what appears to be wreckage of a shot down Israeli F-16 somewhere over Iran. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian claims that Iran shot down an Israeli F-35 fighter jet. Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran’s Bushehr Port. IDF spokesperson claimed that 7 IDF soldiers were “slightly” wounded Friday night in an Iranian ballistic missile strike on central Israel. Israeli airstrikes targeted the Yemen capital of Sana’a, reportedly killing the commander-in-chief of the Houthis. This remains unconfirmed. Al Jazeera, citing a senior Iranian official, stated that Iran is preparing for an “ongoing” confrontation with Israel, and will escalate its attacks. The head of Israel’s domestic intelligence announced his resignation, citing the failure to stop Hamas’ October 7 attacks. The IDF claimed to have killed the head of Iran’s military Intelligence, as well as the commander of the surface-to-surface missile sector. Israeli MDA spokesperson stated that 3 people have been killed and 172 others (directly) wounded. Iranian intelligence claims to have arrested 16 Mossad-affiliated collaborators and spies across Iran, The IAEA stated that 4 "critical" buildings were damaged at the Isfahan Nuclear Technology/Research Center in central Iran, including the Uranium Conversion Facility and the Fuel Plate Fabrication Plant. They added that no increase in off-site radiation is expected at the Natanz Nuclear enrichment facility after significant Israeli airstrikes, including with bunker-busting bombs. The current home-front guidelines remain in place for all of Israel, including a ban on all educational activities and large gatherings, except for essential services. Regional developments: Trump stated that “The war between Iran and Israel must end”. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that new military assets are being transferred to the Middle East, including aircraft, for “contingency support”. Iran’s foreign ministry confirmed that Iran will not participate in nuclear talks with the U.S. on Sunday, stating that “Participating in talks with accomplices of the aggressor is pointless.” Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Shariz expressed his “unwavering support” to Iran in a phone call with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.
0:07

Developments in the Iran-Israel war. It is currently 1:11am in Tel Aviv and 1:42am in Tehran. Main points: Iran and Israel have started targeting each other’s energy infrastructure. Iranian missiles continued to target and impact northern and central Israel. Israel has started targeting Iranian oil infrastructure, including oil refineries and oil depots. Israeli airstrikes continue to target various parts of Tehran and the surrounding areas. Iranian air defence seems to finally be doing some damage to Israeli missiles and drones. In turn, Israel has deployed dozens of small quadcopters and loitering munitions to waste Iranian air defence and saturate for larger attacks with cruise missiles. Drones launched from Iran and factions in Iraq continue to target northern and southern Israel. Missiles & drones: 2 rockets were launched from the Khan Younis area of southern Gaza by an unknown Palestinian faction. Neither were intercepted, with the IDF claiming they hit an open area with no casualties. 2 rockets were launched from Gaza, both of which impacted an unspecified section of the Gaza buffer zone. They were either targeting IDF troops, or malfunctioned mid-flight. The IDF claimed to have intercepted 2 drones, launched by either Iran or factions in Iraq, in the area of Kiryat Shmona, northeastern Israel. Consequences: Israeli outlet Haaretz confirms that 30 Iranian ballistic missiles impacted military bases across Israel, including 10 in Tel Aviv. This was at around 7am local time in Israel, prior to more missile impacts in the north of the country. Iranian ballistic missiles impacted Haifa and Tamra, targeting the Haifa Oil Refinery Israeli airstrikes and drones targeted various targets around Tehran including a central oil depot. Footage shows what appears to be wreckage of a shot down Israeli F-16 somewhere over Iran. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian claims that Iran shot down an Israeli F-35 fighter jet. Israeli airstrikes targeted Iran’s Bushehr Port. IDF spokesperson claimed that 7 IDF soldiers were “slightly” wounded Friday night in an Iranian ballistic missile strike on central Israel. Israeli airstrikes targeted the Yemen capital of Sana’a, reportedly killing the commander-in-chief of the Houthis. This remains unconfirmed. Al Jazeera, citing a senior Iranian official, stated that Iran is preparing for an “ongoing” confrontation with Israel, and will escalate its attacks. The head of Israel’s domestic intelligence announced his resignation, citing the failure to stop Hamas’ October 7 attacks. The IDF claimed to have killed the head of Iran’s military Intelligence, as well as the commander of the surface-to-surface missile sector. Israeli MDA spokesperson stated that 3 people have been killed and 172 others (directly) wounded. Iranian intelligence claims to have arrested 16 Mossad-affiliated collaborators and spies across Iran, The IAEA stated that 4 "critical" buildings were damaged at the Isfahan Nuclear Technology/Research Center in central Iran, including the Uranium Conversion Facility and the Fuel Plate Fabrication Plant. They added that no increase in off-site radiation is expected at the Natanz Nuclear enrichment facility after significant Israeli airstrikes, including with bunker-busting bombs. The current home-front guidelines remain in place for all of Israel, including a ban on all educational activities and large gatherings, except for essential services. Regional developments: Trump stated that “The war between Iran and Israel must end”. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer stated that new military assets are being transferred to the Middle East, including aircraft, for “contingency support”. Iran’s foreign ministry confirmed that Iran will not participate in nuclear talks with the U.S. on Sunday, stating that “Participating in talks with accomplices of the aggressor is pointless.” Pakistan’s Prime Minister Shehbaz Shariz expressed his “unwavering support” to Iran in a phone call with Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian.

AMK Mapping 🇳🇿

38,923 Aufrufe • vor 1 Jahr

🇮🇷 TRUMP COMMITS ANOTHER WAR CRIME IN IRAN The US has struck the B1 bridge in Karaj, the tallest bridge in the Middle East, twice in the same day. The second strike hit while rescue teams were treating victims of the first. At least 2 civilians killed, several wounded. The strike took place on Iran's national Nature Day, when families were out in parks and green spaces. The B1 was a newly completed civilian infrastructure project, designed to cut commute times between Tehran and Karaj from over an hour to minutes. It had no military function. Iranian engineers described it as a masterpiece of Iranian civil engineering. The US justification has not been verified by any independent source. Under international humanitarian law, destroying civilian infrastructure with no demonstrated military necessity can constitute a war crime. Trump's response on Truth Social: "The biggest bridge in Iran comes tumbling down, never to be used again." Iran has since declared bridges across the region legitimate targets, including in Israel, Kuwait, Abu Dhabi and Jordan.
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🇮🇷 TRUMP COMMITS ANOTHER WAR CRIME IN IRAN The US has struck the B1 bridge in Karaj, the tallest bridge in the Middle East, twice in the same day. The second strike hit while rescue teams were treating victims of the first. At least 2 civilians killed, several wounded. The strike took place on Iran's national Nature Day, when families were out in parks and green spaces. The B1 was a newly completed civilian infrastructure project, designed to cut commute times between Tehran and Karaj from over an hour to minutes. It had no military function. Iranian engineers described it as a masterpiece of Iranian civil engineering. The US justification has not been verified by any independent source. Under international humanitarian law, destroying civilian infrastructure with no demonstrated military necessity can constitute a war crime. Trump's response on Truth Social: "The biggest bridge in Iran comes tumbling down, never to be used again." Iran has since declared bridges across the region legitimate targets, including in Israel, Kuwait, Abu Dhabi and Jordan.

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