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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran thinks stalling will force Trump to capitulate before the midterms, and it might be working. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider laid it all out: "Trump is a dealmaker. He will give concessions. He won't give away the farm, but he will give major concessions to get a... show more

Mario Nawfal

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52,946 Aufrufe • vor 2 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸 Trump walking away is the most likely outcome. Trita Parsi says there's a 70% chance that Trump gets zero concessions from Iran and concedes the Strait of Hormuz. "He walks away. He doesn't get a deal signed. He doesn't get nuclear concessions. He doesn't give sanctions relief. The Iranians continue to control the Strait." The US already knows it. That's why they tried to cut themselves in on the tolls. Trita Parsi

🇺🇸 Trump walking away is the most likely outcome. Trita Parsi says there's a 70% chance that Trump gets zero concessions from Iran and concedes the Strait of Hormuz. "He walks away. He doesn't get a deal signed. He doesn't get nuclear concessions. He doesn't give sanctions relief. The Iranians continue to control the Strait." The US already knows it. That's why they tried to cut themselves in on the tolls. Trita Parsi

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump is weaponizing the global energy crisis to bring Beijing to its knees before the first peace deal is even signed. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that the administration is leveraging China’s weak economy and its total inability to survive a massive oil shock. By delaying key meetings, Trump is negotiating from a position of absolute strength, essentially holding the Chinese "by the balls" until they blink. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump is weaponizing the global energy crisis to bring Beijing to its knees before the first peace deal is even signed. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that the administration is leveraging China’s weak economy and its total inability to survive a massive oil shock. By delaying key meetings, Trump is negotiating from a position of absolute strength, essentially holding the Chinese "by the balls" until they blink. Jeffrey P. Snider

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Jeffrey Sachs: "The solution? The US just goes home. Iran has been attacked by the US and Israel. It has every reason to believe that if it makes major concessions, it will be attacked again. So Iran will keep up its deterrence. It won't give up what the US is demanding." They've seen Libya give up its weapons and get destroyed. They've watched Ukraine give up nukes in exchange for "security guarantees" that evaporated. They have every reason to believe that concessions won't bring peace-they'll invite more aggression

Jeffrey Sachs: "The solution? The US just goes home. Iran has been attacked by the US and Israel. It has every reason to believe that if it makes major concessions, it will be attacked again. So Iran will keep up its deterrence. It won't give up what the US is demanding." They've seen Libya give up its weapons and get destroyed. They've watched Ukraine give up nukes in exchange for "security guarantees" that evaporated. They have every reason to believe that concessions won't bring peace-they'll invite more aggression

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The oil market knows something, and it's priced between $90 and $110 until it doesn't. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider lays it all out. "Yeah the latest news might sound positive, but we gotta take it skeptically because we don't really know what's going on." Watch oil. When it breaks $80, that's your real peace signal. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The oil market knows something, and it's priced between $90 and $110 until it doesn't. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider lays it all out. "Yeah the latest news might sound positive, but we gotta take it skeptically because we don't really know what's going on." Watch oil. When it breaks $80, that's your real peace signal. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Hormuz closure was a risk, one they definitely planned around. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider explains how high global oil inventories gave the administration its economic green light. "Iran was in their mind from the very beginning because, again, this goes back to China." This was bound to happen in 2026. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The Hormuz closure was a risk, one they definitely planned around. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider explains how high global oil inventories gave the administration its economic green light. "Iran was in their mind from the very beginning because, again, this goes back to China." This was bound to happen in 2026. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇨🇳 Every foreign policy move traces back to one rivalry: not donors, not oil, or Israel. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider laid it all out: "I think this is one of those I hate to use the term red line because that's way overused, but I think the Trump administration says there's no way that happens. We don't leave the Middle East with all our military equipment until the Strait of Hormuz is out of Iran's control." If Iran keeps the Strait, China keeps the Strait, and that's the one outcome Trump will not allow. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Every foreign policy move traces back to one rivalry: not donors, not oil, or Israel. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider laid it all out: "I think this is one of those I hate to use the term red line because that's way overused, but I think the Trump administration says there's no way that happens. We don't leave the Middle East with all our military equipment until the Strait of Hormuz is out of Iran's control." If Iran keeps the Strait, China keeps the Strait, and that's the one outcome Trump will not allow. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The positive exits are disappearing fast, and only two futures remain on the table. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider lays out the collision course: a regime fighting for survival against a superpower that will not blink, with every off-ramp closing behind them: "It either the Iranian regime collapses or oil prices go to the moon and all hell breaks loose everywhere else." Regime collapse or global economic chaos. We are running out of time before one of those two futures arrives. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The positive exits are disappearing fast, and only two futures remain on the table. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider lays out the collision course: a regime fighting for survival against a superpower that will not blink, with every off-ramp closing behind them: "It either the Iranian regime collapses or oil prices go to the moon and all hell breaks loose everywhere else." Regime collapse or global economic chaos. We are running out of time before one of those two futures arrives. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸 People can't buy homes until they're 40, can't afford a car, can't make ends meet, yet every authority figure tells them the economy is booming. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider says that gap is exactly what's fueling the rise of socialism. "Central bankers are the only one of the few places in the world where we give them the authority or give them the mandate to try to make the economy and then also give them the ability to tell us how they're doing." Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸 People can't buy homes until they're 40, can't afford a car, can't make ends meet, yet every authority figure tells them the economy is booming. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider says that gap is exactly what's fueling the rise of socialism. "Central bankers are the only one of the few places in the world where we give them the authority or give them the mandate to try to make the economy and then also give them the ability to tell us how they're doing." Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸 We are officially on track for $5 per gallon gasoline nationwide, and the political fallout will be unlike anything we’ve seen. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that surging prices are reflecting a harsh economic reality that the White House seems willing to sacrifice for its geopolitical goals. The administration appears to have already written off the midterms, betting that neutralizing the Iranian nuclear threat is worth crashing the domestic economy. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨🇺🇸 We are officially on track for $5 per gallon gasoline nationwide, and the political fallout will be unlike anything we’ve seen. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that surging prices are reflecting a harsh economic reality that the White House seems willing to sacrifice for its geopolitical goals. The administration appears to have already written off the midterms, betting that neutralizing the Iranian nuclear threat is worth crashing the domestic economy. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump: U.S. Will ATTACK IRAN Again TODAY He is using the helicopter excuse again to keep attacking Iran. The same one he DOWNPLAYED yesterday to the WSJ. THEN, he got on a call with Netanyahu and got his orders. There will NEVER be a U.S. and Iran deal.

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump: U.S. Will ATTACK IRAN Again TODAY He is using the helicopter excuse again to keep attacking Iran. The same one he DOWNPLAYED yesterday to the WSJ. THEN, he got on a call with Netanyahu and got his orders. There will NEVER be a U.S. and Iran deal.

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🇮🇷 Iran WILL NOT Give Trump a Signing Ceremony Iran's FM Dr. Abbas Araghchi says if an MoU is agreed upon, it will be signed DIGITALLY. This is the ULTIMATE troll. Trump loves the theatrics, Iran said NOPE.

🇮🇷 Iran WILL NOT Give Trump a Signing Ceremony Iran's FM Dr. Abbas Araghchi says if an MoU is agreed upon, it will be signed DIGITALLY. This is the ULTIMATE troll. Trump loves the theatrics, Iran said NOPE.

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🇺🇸 The hidden plumbing that supplies the world with dollars is jamming up, and the Fed won't say a word about it publicly. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider tracks the network of banks outside America that lend dollars to everyone else, the system he built Eurodollar University to explain. When that supply tightens, every country starts scrambling for dollars at the same moment. Jeffrey says that scramble is already happening, in ways the headline economic data hasn't picked up yet. Everyone is watching the oil price. The dollar problem underneath it moves faster and hits harder. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸 The hidden plumbing that supplies the world with dollars is jamming up, and the Fed won't say a word about it publicly. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider tracks the network of banks outside America that lend dollars to everyone else, the system he built Eurodollar University to explain. When that supply tightens, every country starts scrambling for dollars at the same moment. Jeffrey says that scramble is already happening, in ways the headline economic data hasn't picked up yet. Everyone is watching the oil price. The dollar problem underneath it moves faster and hits harder. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨 The markets are dangerously calm, but the underlying data suggests we are drifting toward massive demand destruction. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider warns that as energy costs spike, the lack of a robust labor market means consumers will have to cannibalize spending elsewhere just to survive. This shift is fundamentally recessionary, threatening to trigger a wave of layoffs as business margins completely erode. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨 The markets are dangerously calm, but the underlying data suggests we are drifting toward massive demand destruction. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider warns that as energy costs spike, the lack of a robust labor market means consumers will have to cannibalize spending elsewhere just to survive. This shift is fundamentally recessionary, threatening to trigger a wave of layoffs as business margins completely erode. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇳 The ceasefire bought time. The war itself is just on pause. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider breaks down why the U.S. military buildup stays in place, ready to restart at any moment. "At the end of this conflict, the entire Middle East will not look like it did before the conflict started." India is already rationing diesel. Every leader on earth is burning up the phone to the White House. This isn't over. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇳 The ceasefire bought time. The war itself is just on pause. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider breaks down why the U.S. military buildup stays in place, ready to restart at any moment. "At the end of this conflict, the entire Middle East will not look like it did before the conflict started." India is already rationing diesel. Every leader on earth is burning up the phone to the White House. This isn't over. Jeffrey P. Snider

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Told BBC that some voices in Iran fear that Trump just wants a deal to pacify the markets ahead of the midterms, but that he will restart the war after November. I am unconvinced. If Trump had a military option, he would use it now to WIN the war and use that win for the midterms. But the bottom line is: He doesn't have a winning military option with Iran.

Told BBC that some voices in Iran fear that Trump just wants a deal to pacify the markets ahead of the midterms, but that he will restart the war after November. I am unconvinced. If Trump had a military option, he would use it now to WIN the war and use that win for the midterms. But the bottom line is: He doesn't have a winning military option with Iran.

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“The reality is that President Trump will get the deal that he wants,” Mahyar Tousi weighs in on if Iran will come to the table to make a deal.

“The reality is that President Trump will get the deal that he wants,” Mahyar Tousi weighs in on if Iran will come to the table to make a deal.

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Any deal with Iran will require lifting sanctions, the same thing Trump spent years attacking Obama for doing. Fmr. U.S. Ambassador Daniel Fried says the Trump administration will have to do it anyway and will simply claim their deal is better than the JCPoA. He won't criticize them for an imperfect deal if the nuclear concessions are real: inspectors back in, enrichment suspended, uranium blended down. Sanctions are a tool, not an end in themselves. The only question is what the deal is actually tied to. Daniel Fried

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Any deal with Iran will require lifting sanctions, the same thing Trump spent years attacking Obama for doing. Fmr. U.S. Ambassador Daniel Fried says the Trump administration will have to do it anyway and will simply claim their deal is better than the JCPoA. He won't criticize them for an imperfect deal if the nuclear concessions are real: inspectors back in, enrichment suspended, uranium blended down. Sanctions are a tool, not an end in themselves. The only question is what the deal is actually tied to. Daniel Fried

Mario Nawfal

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The idea that TTrump'sump's blockade is needed to get Iran to the table is bizarre - the blockade pushed Iran away from the table. Trump gambles that the blockade is a silver bullet that will force Iran to surrender. We have been here before - Iran will not capitulate, particularly not now, since it believes it handed the US a strategic defeat.

The idea that TTrump'sump's blockade is needed to get Iran to the table is bizarre - the blockade pushed Iran away from the table. Trump gambles that the blockade is a silver bullet that will force Iran to surrender. We have been here before - Iran will not capitulate, particularly not now, since it believes it handed the US a strategic defeat.

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39,673 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten