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🇺🇸🇮🇷🇮🇳 The ceasefire bought time. The war itself is just on pause. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider breaks down why the U.S. military buildup stays in place, ready to restart at any moment. "At the end of this conflict, the entire Middle East will not look like it did... show more

Mario Nawfal

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68,054 次观看 • 1 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇮🇷 Iran will never give up the Strait, and that may be harder to negotiate than nukes. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider just broke down why this deal could collapse before it starts. "Hormuz is their leverage. That's what they've got. If the regime wants to stay in power, they have to maintain that." The question now is whether the White House announcement is real progress, or just another move to talk oil prices down. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The pause in fighting doubled as an oil market cooldown, and the pattern looks deliberate. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider explains how the conflict-ceasefire cycle could be a strategy in itself: fight until energy prices threaten to break things, pause until they settle, then resume grinding down the opposition: "Every time we go through a period of conflict, we're degrading the Iranians further and further." Each round leaves Iran weaker and the oil market calm enough to go again. The clock keeps getting reset, and that may be the whole design. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 The pause in fighting doubled as an oil market cooldown, and the pattern looks deliberate. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider explains how the conflict-ceasefire cycle could be a strategy in itself: fight until energy prices threaten to break things, pause until they settle, then resume grinding down the opposition: "Every time we go through a period of conflict, we're degrading the Iranians further and further." Each round leaves Iran weaker and the oil market calm enough to go again. The clock keeps getting reset, and that may be the whole design. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇨🇳🇮🇷 Small and medium businesses worldwide stopped hiring years ago, and that was before any of this started. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider breaks down how much damage is already there: "Higher energy costs just simply push more of them over the edge. Then you don't just have rising unemployment. You also have to keep in mind there's a credit component to this too." The downside is pretty bad, but China's data just made it uglier. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇨🇳🇮🇷 Small and medium businesses worldwide stopped hiring years ago, and that was before any of this started. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider breaks down how much damage is already there: "Higher energy costs just simply push more of them over the edge. Then you don't just have rising unemployment. You also have to keep in mind there's a credit component to this too." The downside is pretty bad, but China's data just made it uglier. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 The myth of a global peace with China is officially dead, as the world realigns under a more aggressive U.S. umbrella. While some argue the U.S. is alienating allies, Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider suggests the UAE’s move to double down on Washington shows that regional players know where the real security lies. The Chinese were never going to be "just like us," and the West is finally waking up to their strategic clash of interests. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 The myth of a global peace with China is officially dead, as the world realigns under a more aggressive U.S. umbrella. While some argue the U.S. is alienating allies, Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider suggests the UAE’s move to double down on Washington shows that regional players know where the real security lies. The Chinese were never going to be "just like us," and the West is finally waking up to their strategic clash of interests. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran thinks stalling will force Trump to capitulate before the midterms, and it might be working. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider laid it all out: "Trump is a dealmaker. He will give concessions. He won't give away the farm, but he will give major concessions to get a deal done." If Iran misreads this, the fork in the road gets a lot darker. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iran thinks stalling will force Trump to capitulate before the midterms, and it might be working. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider laid it all out: "Trump is a dealmaker. He will give concessions. He won't give away the farm, but he will give major concessions to get a deal done." If Iran misreads this, the fork in the road gets a lot darker. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil's real price is around $50 a barrel. Everything above that is the war. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider agrees the Trump administration has worked the oil market, and explains why the "two weeks from a deal" announcements kept coming every two weeks. Traders know that absent this conflict, oil returns to the 50s, so nobody wants to be caught holding long positions when peace breaks out. Where Jeff parts ways is on how much that explains: "That's not manipulation to me. That's the market saying shit's getting bad in the short run, and the inevitable consequences are like every other energy shock that we've seen in history, which is a global recession at the very least." Speculators can be spooked with a headline. The physical barrels still have to show up, and the shape of the futures curve is pricing in something no press release can talk down. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider

🚨🇺🇸🇮🇷 Why is the Trump administration willing to risk severe short-term economic pain to keep pushing the war in Iran? Jeffrey Snider argues that the U.S. sees the potential long-term gains in the Middle East as outweighing the immediate disruption, betting that a permanent victory will dismantle China's regional influence and secure American dominance for decades to come. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇨🇳 Every foreign policy move traces back to one rivalry: not donors, not oil, or Israel. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider laid it all out: "I think this is one of those I hate to use the term red line because that's way overused, but I think the Trump administration says there's no way that happens. We don't leave the Middle East with all our military equipment until the Strait of Hormuz is out of Iran's control." If Iran keeps the Strait, China keeps the Strait, and that's the one outcome Trump will not allow. Jeffrey P. Snider

🇺🇸🇨🇳 Every foreign policy move traces back to one rivalry: not donors, not oil, or Israel. Global Monetary Expert Jeff Snider laid it all out: "I think this is one of those I hate to use the term red line because that's way overused, but I think the Trump administration says there's no way that happens. We don't leave the Middle East with all our military equipment until the Strait of Hormuz is out of Iran's control." If Iran keeps the Strait, China keeps the Strait, and that's the one outcome Trump will not allow. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 The positive exits are disappearing fast, and only two futures remain on the table. Global monetary expert Jeffrey Snider lays out the collision course: a regime fighting for survival against a superpower that will not blink, with every off-ramp closing behind them: "It either the Iranian regime collapses or oil prices go to the moon and all hell breaks loose everywhere else." Regime collapse or global economic chaos. We are running out of time before one of those two futures arrives. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸🇨🇳 Trump is weaponizing the global energy crisis to bring Beijing to its knees before the first peace deal is even signed. Global Monetary Expert Jeffrey Snider explains that the administration is leveraging China’s weak economy and its total inability to survive a massive oil shock. By delaying key meetings, Trump is negotiating from a position of absolute strength, essentially holding the Chinese "by the balls" until they blink. Jeffrey P. Snider

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🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 CEASEFIRE ODDS PLUMMET AS WAR STRETCHES TOWARD APRIL Betting markets have seen the odds of a March ceasefire crash from 65% to below 50%. Most now expect the war to rage through at least the end of April. As the U.S. depletes its munitions in Ukraine and Iran, questions arise: Is this the moment China makes its move on Taiwan? The global order is being tested on every front. This is no longer a localized conflict. Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸

🚨🇺🇸 🇮🇱 🇮🇷 CEASEFIRE ODDS PLUMMET AS WAR STRETCHES TOWARD APRIL Betting markets have seen the odds of a March ceasefire crash from 65% to below 50%. Most now expect the war to rage through at least the end of April. As the U.S. depletes its munitions in Ukraine and Iran, questions arise: Is this the moment China makes its move on Taiwan? The global order is being tested on every front. This is no longer a localized conflict. Jackson Hinkle 🇺🇸

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