Video yükleniyor...

Video Yüklenemedi

Ana Sayfaya Dön

IRAN WAR DISASTER: THE WORLD JUST LEARNED HOW WEAK THE US HAND REALLY IS A 20-year Defense Department veteran who spent a decade on missiles and missile defense just delivered a blunt assessment. This war is a disaster for the United States. Not because of any single battlefield loss,...

152,968 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce •via X (Twitter)

40 Yorum

Andre Pieck profil fotoğrafı
Andre Pieck1 ay önce

Iran is re-writing how wars and conflicts develop and how to win: - maximise the use of high quantity, cheap drones to exhaust the other party - use sophisticated missiles for specific targets after the defence is exhausted by cheap drones - hide weapons/supply deep in the mountains, so that the other party can't destroy them Nothing in those elements was unknown to the US. Still it went with a classical approach into the conflict.

Mark profil fotoğrafı
Mark1 ay önce

yes

DopaPrana profil fotoğrafı
DopaPrana1 ay önce

Yup. Exposed us for the 'paper tiger' we've become

Mark profil fotoğrafı
Mark1 ay önce

It was all show and no substance – you can impress people with a ridiculously expensive high-tech instrument, but you can’t win a war with it. Now everyone knows that, even my granny.

Jason Steiner profil fotoğrafı
Jason Steiner1 ay önce

100% truth here. Industrial production is fucked on so many levels, if we started today & made it a trillion $ priority we might be getting on our feet in ten years. We're not going to be doing that. It will never happen.

Thomas J Wheat profil fotoğrafı
Thomas J Wheat1 ay önce

I think it just shows the incompetent leadership of Pete Hegseth. It also shows how monopoly consolidation in the defense contractor agency has driven up prices for weapons to unsustainable levels & it is also creating supply shortages as the industry relies on pricegouging graft

Michael Beckerman profil fotoğrafı
Michael Beckerman1 ay önce

Are you even kidding me? They don't have the slightest CLUE what the US is capable of. (Hint: The US intentionally holds back their best weapons because they don't want the world to know what they have. These are not existential conflicts. These are minor, regional skirmishes.)

Mark profil fotoğrafı
Mark1 ay önce

ok

🇧🇷🚩Lula é amor 🚩🇧🇷🇵🇸 profil fotoğrafı
🇧🇷🚩Lula é amor 🚩🇧🇷🇵🇸1 ay önce

Logistics wins wars. The West lacks the logistics or means to win the wars it started against Russia, Iran, or China. The Global South won. Borders will be redrawn. Israel will disappear. Ukraine will lose territory. Taiwan will return to China.

Truth Matters profil fotoğrafı
Truth Matters1 ay önce

The only thing the US has left is nuclear weapons. And if the US foolishly drops them on a nation, it's over for the empire.

David Brookes profil fotoğrafı
David Brookes1 ay önce

We now see the mad man behind the curtain.

John K Weinberg profil fotoğrafı
John K Weinberg1 ay önce

We can destroy the proxies. Take over soh / oman. But trump wont do it. Trump just uses the military for parades on Pennsylvania Avenue. Fighting to protect American interests? Hell no. Trump has to get approval from Pakistan erdogan and Qatar first before any major mil move.

AmmoSexual profil fotoğrafı
AmmoSexual1 ay önce

Drop one nuke and the military might is reestablished.

Mark profil fotoğrafı
Mark1 ay önce

If the US drops a nuke, it will not only have lost, but will have completely destroyed itself.

AmmoSexual profil fotoğrafı
AmmoSexual1 ay önce

Hell that’s a stupid thing to says it worked to end the second world war You have to use a real show of force every so often. Nit this plinkering of rockets. What kind of half ass war is that. If you go to war either me I would destroy you in the first 2 days. We have just forgotten how to fight wars and win them. I would have glassed the entire place 40 years ago. We don’t need their oil. Let it be a bit radioactive for a few thousand years

Mark profil fotoğrafı
Mark1 ay önce

I don’t think you’ve really thought through what the big difference is between then and now.

AmmoSexual profil fotoğrafı
AmmoSexual1 ay önce

I was mostly kidding. I am a study of history. I am fast to nuke though that much is true. I should NOT be put in charge.

Felix Su profil fotoğrafı
Felix Su1 ay önce

No. You are wrong. China has spent the last 30 years studying and building weapon systems specifically to counter the US. They know the exact specifications of US weapons. They have been watching via satellite and drones of every US operation for the last 30 years.

stellar protocol profil fotoğrafı
stellar protocol1 ay önce

Wars often reveal strengths and weaknesses on every side.

Dave profil fotoğrafı
Dave1 ay önce

That idiot tRump thought Iran 🇮🇷 would be like Venezuela 🇻🇪

E Denny profil fotoğrafı
E Denny1 ay önce

This guy doesn't understand at sea replenishment? We have a hundred and ten that can rotate in and out of the military zone with relative ease . That doesn't include the active us merchant marine ships.

GreyRunner profil fotoğrafı
GreyRunner1 ay önce

The US can only offer nuclear weapons and that would be the "final" for the world. The remaining weapons of the US are running out because of the "rare earths" which China controls 95% by REFINING China controls WORLD PEACE 👍

Alex Ustasu profil fotoğrafı
Alex Ustasu1 ay önce

The red-haired clown no longer has any trump cards, and he never had any brains

S Hutfilz profil fotoğrafı
S Hutfilz1 ay önce

Uh oh. He didn’t flatter Trump and Hegseths cluster in the gulf. Off with his he’d

Yashar profil fotoğrafı
Yashar1 ay önce

Partly true. Iran spent decades planning to counter the US capabilities. It would take decades for other counties to learn and position themselves to survive a sustained attack from the US. The fear is less, but the US can still bully most other countires out there.

LeeKay profil fotoğrafı
LeeKay1 ay önce

That such an adversary can win a strategic victory as we tend to lose interest, lose domestic popular support and lose the will to commit to a ground war and resulting casualties. Iran has played us like a fiddle - knowing our weaknesses and Trumps pressure points.

Hugh Cross profil fotoğrafı
Hugh Cross1 ay önce

Myopic. An armed Iranian populace will overthrow the tyranny. Piss poor planning… it still can work out. Try not to FUCK ANYONE OVER LIKE YOU DID THE KURDS.

Yate Court profil fotoğrafı
Yate Court1 ay önce

The untold story that Russia and China watch: look what women in combat did to the Americans. Yes, it is not only tech that lacks in the military.

Citizen Concerned profil fotoğrafı
Citizen Concerned1 ay önce

What they can do is strike anyone anywhere, kill your entire leadership, your defenses will be useless, you can't see our jets, will fly WW2 era bombers directly over your Capitol. China and Russian systems cannot stop us.

Pedro profil fotoğrafı
Pedro1 ay önce

The kinetic part is just one side of the arsenal in this war. The economic war has been played out for 20 plus years. No support from Saudi Arabia, which is the #1 purchaser of US military weapons. The weapons the US used are 90's tech at best.

Shalltearkiss profil fotoğrafı
Shalltearkiss1 ay önce

Plus we the USA hav a retarded president & fools & morons that lead this military now! We lost Iran war cause everyone that was in high military said no it can’t be won or done & they got all fired & let go & replaced them with more fools^-^

Shana profil fotoğrafı
Shana1 ay önce

Someone had to expose this so-called mighty military of the USA 🇺🇸, I'm glad that it was Iran who exposed it to the world.

Clownmojo profil fotoğrafı
Clownmojo1 ay önce

The real question though is what advanced tech does the US possess that it has decided not to use? Or, has that advanced tech been seized by contractors that went rogue and are basically forming break away civilizations

Bill profil fotoğrafı
Bill1 ay önce

What a load of crap. We are fighting with the goal to avoid US losses and minimize civilian deaths.

LeeKay profil fotoğrafı
LeeKay1 ay önce

Fact is that the US- if attacked and if popular sentiment is behind a response ala 9-11 - that we can wipe out any enemy and will have volunteers lining up to fight ( as in early 9-11 response). But people are tired of endless wars without a clear goal or direct threat to USA

b profil fotoğrafı
b1 ay önce

My father was a ammunition specialist for 30 years G-14. He said he wouldn’t bother listening to this shit about the US is running low on munitions

LeeKay profil fotoğrafı
LeeKay1 ay önce

Some truth but more deception than reality. The world can see that the US has incredible tactical kinetic capabilities unmatched by any adversary. Thats a fact. But it also sees that if an adversary is willing to incurr damage and batten down the hatches and wait us out...

@MurieAnita1 profil fotoğrafı
@MurieAnita11 ay önce

We are currently being run by a bunch of undisciplined idiots. That is the United States biggest liability right now.

Martina Thompson profil fotoğrafı
Martina Thompson1 ay önce

That's what U.S. gets for underestimating Iran's resilience.

CrisisWhatCrisis? profil fotoğrafı
CrisisWhatCrisis?1 ay önce

Long story short: The emperor was stripped of his clothes... Now the world can see as the emperor is naked... ... but still with the biggest mouth...

Benzer Videolar

AMERICA'S IRAN HUMILIATION: THE LESSON THAT EMPOWERS CHINA AND BRICS FOREVER Former British diplomat Alastair Crooke delivers a blunt assessment of the Iran conflict. What was long treated as unchallengeable American military power has been exposed as brittle and limited. The consequences reach far beyond the region and are already strengthening the rising influence of BRICS. THE SHREDDED US STANDING ➡️ This war is shredding the standing of the US military presence. ➡️ It was thought to be invulnerable, unable to be contested or attacked. That has all been proved wrong. ➡️ American military structures have their arches healed. They do not have enough defense weapons. They do not have enough wherewithal to launch a major war. ➡️ They are not doing very well even with a localized war and are making mistakes. THE FIFTH FLEET HOSTAGE ➡️ In 1979 the embassy hostages brought down an American administration. There are no students in an embassy now. There is the Fifth Fleet. ➡️ Where is that? Of Bahrain. That is quite a big hostage. ➡️ Effectively the Fifth Fleet is an Iranian hostage. ➡️ Someone in the White House needs to wise up and get out of this quite quickly. Otherwise it becomes a complete catastrophe for the United States, for its image and for its presence in the world. It will be a humiliation. THE TWO CHOICES ➡️ One path is climbing down from the tree. Psychologically that may prove impossible. ➡️ The other is all-out war. That will finish the standing of the United States as a serious political player or serious military power. ➡️ People will have learned from the Iranian experience exactly how to deal with the United States. THE LESSONS THAT STICK ➡️ The first lesson is to trust in nothing. Nothing said, nothing written, nothing. ➡️ Young people on the streets of Iran ask why anyone is negotiating. He will say one thing one moment and pull it back the next. There is no point talking to a person like that. Forget it. We do not need to deal with the United States. ➡️ The second lesson is clearer still. If you punch the United States in the face, they cannot deal with those blows. They cannot stop them. They are more vulnerable than people thought. THE BRICS BOOST ➡️ This strengthens the BRICS because they can see a weakening America. ➡️ If America has failed to subordinate Iran and reduce it to a vassal, it will not succeed with Russia or China. ➡️ Those states will take strong encouragement from Iran winning the war. ➡️ It will increase China’s insistence on a close relationship with Iran to secure energy supplies. ➡️ China already views the entire process as an attempt to put it under siege by squeezing its energy routes. THE BOTTOM LINE The order that existed before this war is gone forever. Iran has emerged stronger. American military standing has been shredded in public. BRICS powers are drawing the direct conclusion that US dominance is no longer unchallengeable. This is the sound of multipolar power rising while American control slips away. #BRICSRise #IranVictory #USHumiliation #FifthFleetHostage #AlastairCrooke #AmericanDecline #MultipolarWorld HT: YouTube Daniel Davis / Deep Dive

Mark

18,591 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

LARRY JOHNSON AMERICA HAS ZERO CAPACITY TO BEAT IRAN Former CIA analyst Larry Johnson just delivered a brutal assessment that should stop every policymaker cold. The United States is fighting a war against Iran it simply cannot win. Limited missiles, no reserves, and an enemy that only needs to hit a handful of fixed bases have created a strategic trap with no exit. THE MISSILE REALITY ➡️ The United States has produced only 56 Precision Strike Missiles this entire year. ➡️ Those missiles have limited range and are already being fired. ➡️ Once they are gone, America must rely on Tomahawk and JASSM cruise missiles that also exist in finite numbers. ➡️ Restocking either system will take years, not months, and both depend on rare earth minerals controlled by China. THE TARGET ASYMMETRY ➡️ Iran fields thousands of launch sites along the Persian Gulf coastline. ➡️ The United States can strike only 10 to 12 of them at a time before its inventory shrinks further. ➡️ Iran, by contrast, needs to focus on roughly ten fixed American bases and logistics hubs across Jordan, Qatar, Oman, the UAE, Bahrain and Kuwait. ➡️ “Iran only has to worry about 10 targets. They don’t have to worry about a thousand,” Johnson stated. That single fact is decisive. THE PRE-EMPTIVE STRIKES ➡️ Iran is not waiting. It has already begun hitting bases in Bahrain and Kuwait. ➡️ Every American launch further depletes a stockpile that cannot be replaced quickly. ➡️ The more the United States fires, the weaker its position becomes. THE BOTTOM LINE The United States entered this fight without the firepower, the reserves, or the industrial capacity required to degrade Iran’s coastal defenses. Iran holds the simpler, more sustainable math. America is exhausting itself against an opponent that only needs to keep pressure on a short list of known targets. This is not a close contest. It is a structural mismatch the United States cannot close. HT: YouTube The Peacemonger #IranWar #USMilitary #LarryJohnson #ExCIA #MissileShortage #StrategicFailure #Hormuz

Mark

45,633 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

WE ARE ALREADY IN WORLD WAR III US Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar, a military analyst and combat veteran with 25 years of experience in the region, just delivered one of the clearest warnings yet. Five and a half months after the United States opened a conflict with Iran without a clear political end state, he says the war has already met every historic definition of a world war. What follows is his assessment. THE HISTORIC DEFINITION ➡️ A world war is a large international conflict involving most or all of the world’s major powers, spanning multiple continents, and requiring total societal mobilization. ➡️ By that accepted standard used by historians and war scholars, the current conflict already qualifies. ➡️ “How is this not a world war? I would offer anyone to argue the counterpoint to that.” THE SHOOTING WAR IS ALREADY GLOBAL ➡️ Yemen, Saudi Arabia, Oman, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Iran, Jordan, Israel and the United States are all directly engaged in combat operations. ➡️ Russia, China, Turkey, Ukraine, Pakistan, Azerbaijan and European powers are being pulled deeper every day through logistics, proxies and strategic necessity. ➡️ The fighting now spans Asia, Africa and reaches into the Western hemisphere. THE PRECIPICE HAS BEEN CROSSED ➡️ Aguilar states we are no longer approaching the threshold — “we are at the doorway of and the door is open and we are stepping into a world war.” ➡️ World War I and World War II did not begin as fully formed global conflicts. They expanded from regional fights through the same pattern of mission creep now visible here. ➡️ “This is how regional wars become world wars.” NO PATH BACK ➡️ There is no clear political end state and no credible pathway to peace in sight. ➡️ The conflict has grown far beyond the original belligerents and continues to expand. ➡️ The next American president will inherit this war in worse condition than it stands today. THE BOTTOM LINE A war launched without a defined political objective has already crossed the historic threshold into a world war. The door is open and the world is walking through it. #WorldWarIII #IranWar #MissionCreep #GlobalConflict #DefinitionMet #NoExit #WarExpansion HT: YouTube Dialogue Works

Mark

14,018 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

IRANIAN PROF EXPOSES THE PLAN: DESTROY THE U.S. ECONOMY WHILE TRUMP IS PRESIDENT Iranian Professor Izadi just laid out the clearest statement yet of Tehran’s current thinking. After failed talks and repeated U.S. strikes, a growing number of voices inside Iran no longer believe diplomacy can work. Their answer is simple and brutal: raise the cost until the American economy itself is broken. THE CORE THESIS: CRUSH THE U.S. ECONOMY TO END TRUMP ➡️ “Make sure the U.S. economy is destroyed while Trump is the president.” ➡️ That is the explicit goal now being discussed among many Iranians. ➡️ Take 20 percent of the oil coming from the region and prices stay high for at least two years. ➡️ High oil prices for two years mean the end of Trump, the end of his presidency, and the end of the American economy — three goals at the same time. THE MILITARY SOLUTION ➡️ Negotiations have failed for more than 20 years. Every time Iran sat at the table, the United States bombed the table. ➡️ The problem with the United States therefore has no diplomatic solution. It has a military solution. ➡️ Continued attacks are needed to cause enough pain so this never happens again and military deterrence is restored. THE TARGET LIST ➡️ Oil facilities, hit hard enough that repairs take a long time. ➡️ Desalination plants that supply 98 percent of the water for Gulf countries. ➡️ With 50,000 U.S. troops in the region, if those countries lose water the troops have no choice but to leave and drink water back home in America. WHY THIS LEVEL OF FORCE ➡️ For 46 years after the 1979 revolution the United States never attacked Iran the way it is attacking now. ➡️ Only in the last year did the attacks intensify because Washington believed it could handle the cost. ➡️ Iranians are tired of being hit every few weeks, losing civilians and infrastructure. Enough is enough. ➡️ The cost so far has not been high enough. Trump keeps attacking. The equation must change. THE HISTORICAL PLAYBOOK ➡️ America ends wars when its politicians finally realize they made a mistake. ➡️ That is how Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan stopped. Either the executive branch or Congress concludes the price is too high and the funding ends. ➡️ The same logic is now being applied: force the realization that the current policy is destroying the U.S. economy, and the policy will change. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran has decided that only the language of force works. Raise the economic cost high enough, for long enough, and the United States will be forced to stop. This is no longer about limited deterrence. This is about breaking the American economy while Trump is still in office. HT: YouTube Mario Nafwal #IranPlan #USEconomy #OilWeapon #TrumpEnd #DesalinationTarget #MilitarySolution #DeterrenceRestored

Mark

129,283 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

RAY DALIO: THE ERA OF US HEGEMONY IS OVER Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio just delivered a direct and sobering assessment of America's global position. Drawing from recent conversations with leaders across Asia and China, he explained why the United States can no longer project power the way it once did. His words reveal a superpower hitting hard limits that the rest of the world has already noticed. What he described about shifting alliances and rising risks around Taiwan changes how every investor and leader must think about the future. THE OVEREXTENSION REALITY ➡️ Ray Dalio stated that world leaders now see clearly the United States cannot fight a war against other major powers like China. ➡️ The American population refuses to accept the cost of living spikes and loss of life that prolonged conflicts would bring. ➡️ The country is already stretched far too thin trying to manage pressures in the Middle East at the same time. THE CONTAINMENT POLICY ENDS ➡️ For years the United States followed a strategy of containing China's rise through a network of alliances and military posture. ➡️ Dalio made it plain that this approach is now over because America's limitations have become impossible to hide. ➡️ The realization among global powers is already triggering major geopolitical adjustments. ➡️ Nations that once relied on US containment are rapidly recalibrating their strategies and expectations. THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ PARALLEL ➡️ Dalio has warned for some time that the Strait of Hormuz represents a critical vulnerability for the United States. ➡️ He draws a direct line to Britain's experience during the 1956 Suez Crisis when control of a vital chokepoint slipped away. ➡️ Failure to secure these strategic passages could spark a broader crisis of confidence in US financial markets. ➡️ The world is watching closely to see whether America can still protect the assets that underpin its global influence. THE BOTTOM LINE Ray Dalio's message leaves no room for wishful thinking. The era of uncontested American hegemony has reached its practical limit, and the world is already moving to a new and more dangerous balance of power. Those who pretend nothing has changed are ignoring the clearest signals yet. This is the sound of global dominance slipping away in real time. #RayDalio #USHegemony #ChinaContainment #TaiwanCrisis #StraitOfHormuz #GeopoliticalShift #BridgewaterAssociates

Mark

55,713 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

FORMER NATO SUPREME COMMANDER: THIS WAR IS NOW EXISTENTIAL FOR US HEGEMONY — NO EXIT ALLOWED Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark just laid out the real thinking inside Washington. This is no longer about Iran. It is about whether the United States remains the global hegemon or watches its power collapse in real time. Stopping is not an option. That is the hard line now being drawn. THE EXISTENTIAL STAKES ➡️ Clark makes it clear: if America pulls back and lets Iran keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, the hit to US global leadership is permanent. ➡️ He warns it would damage American deterrence, weaken influence in Asia, and undermine the security of Europe in one stroke. ➡️ This is the decision point. Failure here is not a temporary setback. It is the end of the post-1945 order. THE NO-EXIT REALITY ➡️ Clark rejects any idea of simply walking away or signing a weaker deal. ➡️ “Pulling back, that’s no good,” he states without hesitation. ➡️ An MOU worse than the last one would signal American weakness to every rival watching. ➡️ China and Russia are already feeling good about the current trajectory. Clark says they should not be allowed to celebrate further. THE STRATEGIC TRAP ➡️ There is no easy military solution, yet retreat is worse. ➡️ The near-term fight must stay focused on keeping the Strait open and isolating the theater of operations. ➡️ Any pause only gives Iran time to rebuild, rearm, and dig in deeper. ➡️ Clark insists the longer-term threat of Iranian missiles and nuclear capability cannot be ignored either. THE BOTTOM LINE Wesley Clark is not speaking as a pundit. He is speaking as a former NATO Supreme Commander who understands exactly how the deep state and neoconservative core in Washington now view this conflict. This war has become existential for American global power. Stopping is no longer on the table. HT: YouTube Piers Morgan Uncensored #WesleyClark #IranWar #USHegemony #NoExit #GlobalLeadership #StraitOfHormuz #AmericanPower

Mark

422,784 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

THE WEST IS ABOLISHING ITSELF: LOSING THE TWO BIGGEST WARS SINCE WWII Michael von der Schulenburg spent decades in war zones for the UN and knows Iran intimately. Now a MEP and one of Europe’s sharpest voices on the region, he delivers a brutal verdict. The West is not just losing the two largest wars since World War II. It is actively digging its own grave. THE CORE THESIS: WEST IN FREEFALL ➡️ We are simultaneously fighting and failing in Ukraine and Iran, the two most geostrategically critical conflicts since 1945. ➡️ Instead of victims, Western leaders have become the gravediggers of their own power. ➡️ This is not bad luck. It is the direct result of elite arrogance and self-righteousness. THE DOUBLE WAR NIGHTMARE ➡️ From a European perspective we sit trapped between these two monsters. ➡️ Both wars are unwinnable, yet we refuse to see reality. ➡️ The consequences will hit Europe hardest once America crosses the Atlantic again. THE DEATH OF INTERNATIONAL LAW ➡️ The UN Charter is dead, killed by the West that created it. ➡️ What remains is pure "Faustrecht", the law of the stronger. ➡️ Exactly what we claimed to fight against for decades. THE NUCLEAR RECKONING ➡️ For the first time since Hiroshima, nuclear weapons play a strategic role in active wars. ➡️ America and Israel attacked Iran precisely because it had no nukes. ➡️ Every other state now learns the only real defense is to get one fast. THE REGIME CHANGE DELUSION ➡️ Decapitation strikes and regime-change fantasies have never worked in modern history. ➡️ They only produce chaos, anarchy, and human suffering. ➡️ Yet the West keeps repeating the same fatal mistake. THE ELITE COLLAPSE ➡️ This disaster reflects the spiritual and intellectual decay of Western political elites. ➡️ Self-overestimation has replaced sober analysis. ➡️ We thought we could direct the world. Reality is directing us into the abyss. THE BOTTOM LINE The West triggered these wars through hubris, then lost control through the same blindness. Every institution and principle it built is now shattered by its own hand. This is not decline by accident. It is self-destruction by choice. HT: YouTube Patrik Baab #WestSelfDestructs #LostWars #UNCharterDead #NuclearProliferation #EliteDecay #Faustrecht #EuropeTrapped

Mark

28,753 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

IRAN'S REVENGE MOOD ERUPTS: SUPREME LEADER PROMISES "UNFORGETTABLE LESSONS" Professor Robert Pape has spent 20 years modeling the bombing of Iran and has advised every White House from 2001 to 2024. What he sees now is the exact nightmare scenario he warned about: Iran is stronger than before the war began, controls the Strait of Hormuz, and is in a pure mood of revenge. The Supreme Leader just vowed to deliver "unforgettable lessons" to America after U.S. soldiers were killed. The spiral is accelerating fast. THE EXPERT WHO SAW IT COMING ➡️ Pape has been modeling this exact conflict for two decades and says the patterns from history held up month by month. ➡️ Air power alone has never toppled a regime going all the way back to World War I. ➡️ The United States killed the supreme leader and 137 top Iranian leaders in the opening weeks, the equivalent of wiping out the American president, first family, half the cabinet, Pentagon leadership, CIA leadership, and a third of Congress. ➡️ The regime survived anyway. IRAN IS STRONGER TODAY ➡️ Iran now controls the Strait of Hormuz and can threaten virtually any ship that tries to pass. ➡️ It has demonstrated this power over and over, even when ships turn off their transponders. ➡️ Only a small fraction of its drone and missile arsenal is needed to keep hitting U.S. bases and shipping. ➡️ Iran entered the war with tens of thousands of drones and missiles and is still producing them at a rate of roughly 55,000 a year. THE REVENGE SPIRAL ➡️ The Supreme Leader used the exact phrase "unforgettable lessons" after American soldiers were killed in Jordan. ➡️ Iran is attacking U.S. bases more aggressively and has the Houthis shutting down the Red Sea oil route. ➡️ Pape says emotions are coursing through Iran and they are not pulling back. They want revenge. ➡️ Controlling pieces of homeland territory is the single biggest risk factor for suicide terrorism, according to Pape’s 25 years of research. THE ESCALATION TRAP ➡️ The choice is now brutal: accept a global economic crisis as oil and refining capacity run dry, or physically try to take Hormuz back. ➡️ Pape puts the chance of limited U.S. ground operations with boots on the ground at roughly 70 percent, possibly within weeks. ➡️ He compares the situation directly to Lyndon Johnson’s trap in Vietnam, where leaders escalate even when they know the military path is unlikely to work because the political cost of accepting defeat feels worse. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is not weakened. It is stronger, in control of the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, and openly in a mood of revenge. The next few months will decide whether this stays a limited conflict or crosses into something far darker. This is the sound of a spiral that no longer has an easy exit. HT: YouTube The Diary Of A CEO #IranRevenge #HormuzCrisis #RobertPape #EscalationTrap #StraitOfHormuz #BootsOnTheGround #EconomicCrisis

Mark

141,758 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

IRAN FIRED BALLISTIC MISSILES AT A U.S. CARRIER — NANCE SAYS IT WAS A WARNING, NOT A KILL SHOT CENTCOM admitted Iran fired ballistic missiles — not cruise missiles — at a U.S. aircraft carrier near Hormuz. The USS Washington executed an evasion maneuver. IRGC then claimed the carrier and a destroyer were hit, damaged, and forced to flee. Malcolm Nance, former U.S. Navy senior chief and naval intelligence officer, sat with Mario Nawfal and drew a hard line between the shot, the propaganda, and what it would actually take to sink a carrier. THE SHOT ➡️ CENTCOM confirmed ballistic missiles were aimed at the carrier group, and the Washington maneuvered to avoid them. ➡️ IRGC claimed both the carrier and a destroyer were damaged and driven out of the engagement area. ➡️ Nance’s split verdict is blunt: he believes they were forced to leave the box. He does not believe they were damaged. THE HALF-TRUTH ➡️ Nance says Iran’s pattern is always the same: verify one real act, then pile a lie on top of it. ➡️ “The best form of propaganda is a truth, a half-truth capitalized by a lie.” ➡️ That is why a few ballistic missiles get sold as a carrier kill. The launch happened. The Hollywood ending did not. WHY FIVE MISSILES IS NOT A SINK ATTEMPT ➡️ Mario argued Iran would not try a real carrier kill with two or three rounds. Nance said Mario won that debate. ➡️ A serious attempt, in Nance’s math, looks like a massive coordinated salvo — he used the extreme of hundreds of missiles plus drones punching through the screen. ➡️ Five ballistic missiles is not that. “That’s not even attempting it.” ➡️ He calls yesterday’s fire technically warning shots: get off Fujairah, sit farther south near Salalah, do not loiter inside easy range. WHAT ACTUALLY KILLS A CARRIER ➡️ Ballistic missiles launched from Iran give the Navy about 20 to 30 minutes of warning. Computers plot the box while the bird is still climbing. ➡️ Aegis destroyers sit on the carrier with dozens of interceptors. Hitting those escorts is already hard. Hitting the carrier through them with a handful of rounds is harder. ➡️ Carriers die from fire, not from a clean hole in the paint. Nance’s yardstick is the Forrestal blaze and World War II hanger-deck disasters: a lucky pierce, ammunition cooking off, a conflagration eating stem to stern. ➡️ One or two hits can wreck aircraft, shut the flight deck, and send the ship running for Diego Garcia. That is not the same as sinking 6,000 sailors. ➡️ If Iran ever “lost their mind” and actually burned a carrier, Nance’s read is the United States does not climb back down the ladder. A carrier is one-twelfth of U.S. strike aviation. That is the line he will not treat as a game. THE NEW REALITY IN HORMUZ ➡️ This is not Nance’s young-sailor Gulf, when the Navy hunted Boghammers and expected to dominate the strait. ➡️ Hormuz at its narrowest is 21 to 32 nautical miles. You can see both sides. Iran can now touch U.S. ships in a way almost nobody believed before this war. ➡️ “Now they have the capacity to sink us, not just hurt us.” ➡️ That is why he is glad CENTCOM’s naval side is not taking dumb risk just to look tough. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran launched ballistic missiles at a U.S. carrier. The carrier moved. The damage claim is propaganda stacked on a real shot. Five missiles is a warning. A real kill shot is a different war — and Nance’s point is that Iran already proved it can reach the deck if someone is stupid enough to keep the ship in the wrong box. #Iran #USSWashington #Hormuz #MalcolmNance #USNavy #BallisticMissiles #CarrierGroup HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Mario Nawfal

Mark

71,392 görüntüleme • 21 gün önce

HOW IRAN OUTSMARTED AMERICA: DECADES UNDERGROUND BEAT A WAR OF CHOICE America stumbled into its Iran war with no clear objectives and no method to win. Iran had been preparing for exactly this fight for decades. One side improvised a war of choice. The other had already buried the war it expected. THE STUMBLE ➡️ America entered without settled aims or a plan to achieve them. ➡️ Iran treated the fight as existential years in advance. ➡️ It built regional allies, readied its leadership to survive a decapitation strike, and put what it valued most underground. THE 35 MISSILE CITIES ➡️ Western analysts put about 35 “missile cities” at the center of Iran’s war plans. ➡️ Their job was to shelter ballistic missiles aimed at Israel and America’s Gulf Arab partners. ➡️ February strikes knocked out many launchers. The fire rate fell by as much as 80%. ➡️ Missiles already deep underground could not be touched. ➡️ So the campaign shifted to caving in tunnel mouths. ➡️ Iran hunkered down, fired what survived more slowly, and dug the entrances back out. ➡️ Commanders admitted the bunkers were so deep that none of America’s munitions could reach them. ➡️ “Everybody is going underground.” MOSAIC COMMAND ➡️ They hardened command as well as concrete. ➡️ When senior leaders were killed on the first night, officers elsewhere already had authority to launch counterstrikes. ➡️ The same complexes stored the speedboats, drones, and missiles built to close the Strait of Hormuz. THE STOCKPILE AMERICA NEVER BUILT ➡️ Iran had built large weapons stocks. America had not. ➡️ At the start: around 1,000 ballistic missiles able to hit Israel, and as many as 4,000 that could strike the Gulf. ➡️ Even after firing and losses, enough remained to keep some operations going. ➡️ Bombing wrecked much of the capacity to make new missiles. ➡️ Small drone workshops were another matter. Those can keep producing almost indefinitely. THE BOTTOM LINE The Iranian government has survived. Guard commanders stepped into key roles. Arab capitals got a lesson in geography and in the limits of American power. Washington showed a president hooked on short-term politics and a military short of the tools for a war of survival against another state. This was never a war of choice against an insurgency. It was a prepared state versus an improvised one. #IranWar #Hormuz #MissileCities #MosaicCommand #AxisOfResistance #BabElMandeb HT: YouTube Times Originals

Mark

124,782 görüntüleme • 12 gün önce

THE FOURTH CENTER OF WORLD POWER EMERGES: PAPE'S PREDICTION COMES TRUE IN REAL TIME Professor Robert Pape has delivered a clear-eyed assessment of the Iran war now past day 100. What began as a fight for survival has shifted into something far more ambitious and dangerous. Iran is no longer reacting. It is actively reshaping the region while American influence erodes in real time. The consequences for global power and economic stability are only beginning to register. THE CORE THESIS: IRAN FROM SURVIVAL TO AMBITION ➡️ Iran has moved from survival to ambition in the middle game of this conflict. ➡️ The regime is no longer focused only on protecting itself inside Tehran. ➡️ A new security belt of resistance now runs from the Strait of Hormuz to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and into the Red Sea. ➡️ Iran is using this architecture to pressure Gulf states like Kuwait and Bahrain to remove American forces from their territory. ➡️ Strikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut triggered immediate Iranian threats against Israel as part of enforcing new red lines. THE TRUMP CONTROL COLLAPSE ➡️ President Trump still speaks and acts as if America remains the dominant power in full control. ➡️ Iran is simply ignoring his calls for negotiations and has publicly laid out its own demands without hesitation. ➡️ Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu took Trump's calls but then defied his direct order not to retaliate. ➡️ For 72 days Trump has claimed a deal with Iran is only days away yet nothing has changed. ➡️ His optimistic rhetoric has lost all connection to reality because America has lost ground as Iran has gained it. THE EMERGENCE OF THE FOURTH WORLD POWER ➡️ Pape warned months ago that Iran was on track to become the fourth center of world power as the dominant state in the Gulf. ➡️ This status means building a genuine sphere of influence where Iran protects and coordinates with allies rather than treating them as expendable. ➡️ The old view of groups like Hezbollah as mere pawns has been reversed by Iran's growing strength. ➡️ Recent Iranian actions have already forced the United States to pressure Israel to pull back. ➡️ This new position will strengthen further when the coming economic crisis hits world markets later this summer. THE MIDDLE GAME THAT LIES AHEAD ➡️ This phase of ambition and escalation will run through the summer and deep into the fall midterms. ➡️ Iran sees clear opportunities to exploit political timelines in both the United States and Israel. ➡️ A major disruption to the global economy driven by regional instability now appears almost locked in. ➡️ Hopes of wrapping the conflict up neatly by Labor Day for domestic political reasons do not match Iran's strategic thinking. THE WEAKENING OF ISRAEL ➡️ Israel's freedom of action is beginning to shrink as its main backer loses strategic ground in the region. ➡️ Iranian-backed forces are showing early signs of more coordinated and sophisticated drone and missile operations. ➡️ The recent expansion of Houthi threats against Israeli-linked shipping in the Red Sea marks a widening of the conflict theater. ➡️ Over time the combination of reduced American support and rising proxy capabilities will place Israel under growing pressure. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape makes the stakes unmistakable. Iran has flipped from a strategy of pure survival into one of expanding ambition and the United States has lost the control it once took for granted. This is the sound of a new center of world power rising while old assumptions fall apart. HT: YouTube Breaking Points #IranWar #FourthWorldPower #AxisOfResistance #TrumpLosingControl #MiddleGame #SecurityBelt #PapeAnalysis

Mark

15,618 görüntüleme • 3 ay önce

LARRY JOHNSON PREDICTS: US GROUND INVASION OF IRAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND Ex CIA Larry Johnson cuts through the noise with a chilling assessment based on troop movements and force deployments right now. Trump has not backed down out of fear. He is simply playing the same games he has played before to lull the Iranians into complacency. A major ground attack is coming fast, and it is aimed straight at the heart of the Strait of Hormuz. THE INVASION TIMELINE ➡️ The United States will launch a ground attack this weekend. ➡️ If bad weather hits, it may be pushed back until Monday or Tuesday. ➡️ If the weather clears, expect it sometime Friday or Saturday. THE TARGETS SELECTED ➡️ They will attack either Car Island or Keshum Island. ➡️ Car Island is one of the most important gas production sites for the Iranians. THE DEPLOYMENT DETAILS ➡️ Massive special operation assets have already been poured into the region. ➡️ Right now they are deployed in Israel and Jordan. ➡️ They will be forward deployed prior to the operation to Aluded Air Force Base in Qatar or possibly Prince Sultan Air Force Base in Saudi Arabia. ➡️ Aluded would be the more likely location. THE STATED MISSION ➡️ The attack is ostensibly to open the Strait of Hormuz. THE INEVITABLE FAILURE ➡️ It will fail. ➡️ They may actually take control of Keshum Island. ➡️ But then what? ➡️ Iran still has drones, submarines, underwater drones that are maneuverable, and missiles in the cliffs that line the strait. ➡️ The United States is not sending enough military force to actually open the strait and keep it open. THE DEADLY CONSEQUENCE ➡️ What they are creating is a big fat target that Iran is going to attack. ➡️ This will inflict significant casualties on some of the United States most elite forces. THE BOTTOM LINE Larry Johnson’s assessment is blunt and final: this ground invasion is nothing more than a show of force that will turn America’s best troops into sitting ducks with no path to lasting success or control of the strait. America is about to learn the hard way what happens when you underestimate Iran. #USGroundInvasion #StraitOfHormuz #LarryJohnson #HormuzTrap #EliteForcesAtRisk #IranWar #DoomedOperation

Mark

175,776 görüntüleme • 5 ay önce

LAVROV DROPS THE MASK: AMERICA IS NOT HELPING — IT IS FIGHTING RUSSIA Sergey Lavrov just stated what Western media refuses to admit. The United States is not a distant supporter of Ukraine. According to Russia’s Foreign Minister, America is an active participant in the war against Russia itself. THE DIRECT PARTICIPATION ➡️ Lavrov said American officials supply weapons, intelligence data, and the Starlink system. ➡️ He stressed these are not passive forms of assistance. ➡️ The United States, he declared, “not only helps, but directly participates in targeting Ukrainian weapons at targets, including civilian targets on Russian territory.” THE REAL ROLE ➡️ Arms shipments funded through European channels still carry American direction. ➡️ Real-time intelligence and Starlink connectivity allow Ukrainian forces to strike with precision they would not otherwise possess. ➡️ Lavrov framed this as active combat involvement, not remote sponsorship. THE DOUBLE STANDARD ➡️ Western capitals accuse Russia and China of arming Iran. ➡️ At the same time, Lavrov pointed out, America openly enables strikes deep inside Russia while denying it is a party to the conflict. ➡️ He left the contradiction hanging in plain sight. THE BOTTOM LINE When a major power provides the weapons, the targeting data, and the communication network that guide missiles onto another country’s soil, it is no longer a helper. It is a combatant. This is the admission Trump never wanted spoken aloud. #Lavrov #USInTheWar #StarlinkWar #UkraineConflict #DirectParticipation #Russia #AmericaAtWar

Mark

113,848 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

PROF. MARANDI: MAJOR ATTACK ON IRAN COULD HIT ANY DAY Professor Marandi of the University of Tehran has delivered a stark warning. The United States has already prepared a major assault on Iran, with forces positioned across the region and a strong possibility the attack comes in the coming days. What follows could reshape the entire global economy. THE PREPARATION IS REAL ➡️ American and Israeli forces in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, the Emirates and Jordan stand fully prepared. ➡️ Many troops are no longer in their bases. They have moved into hotels and civilian buildings to hide from Iranian missiles and drones. ➡️ Extra troops, ammunition, warships and jets have already been brought in for the operation. ➡️ No one knows if the attack will last days or longer, or whether Washington will ultimately back down. IRAN’S RESPONSE WILL BE DECISIVE ➡️ Iranian forces are on full alert. ➡️ If the United States strikes Iranian infrastructure, Tehran has pledged a decisive reply that will destroy Israeli facilities and demolish infrastructure across Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar. ➡️ The Strait of Hormuz will no longer matter. Oil exports from the Caucasus will stop too. ➡️ The result, according to Marandi, will be a collapse of the global economy. THE POLITICAL CLOCK IS TICKING ➡️ Netanyahu and the Zionist lobby are pushing hard for results before Israel’s late-October elections and the U.S. vote in early November. ➡️ Alternative plans include major new atrocities in the West Bank to ethnically cleanse the territory and secure political gains. ➡️ The next two and a half months, Marandi warns, will be extremely dangerous. THE BOTTOM LINE The United States has moved into a highly dangerous phase. Iran is prepared, the region’s energy arteries are already under pressure, and any major strike risks triggering an economic shock far beyond the battlefield. Control is slipping faster than Washington admits. HT: YouTube Dialogue Works Seyed Mohammad Marandi #IranAttack #USWarPrep #StraitOfHormuz #GlobalEconomy #TrumpIran #MiddleEastWar #Marandi

Mark

107,490 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

SWISS HISTORIAN EXPOSES: IRAN JUST CHECKMATED THE AMERICAN EMPIRE Dr. Daniele Ganser is a Swiss historian and peace researcher who heads the Swiss Institute for Peace and Energy Research (SIPER). In his upcoming book he lays out why the February 2026 attack on Iran marks a historic turning point. What began as another confident American-Israeli strike has turned into the clearest signal yet that the unipolar era is collapsing. THE IMPOSSIBLE DEFEAT ➡️ The United States spent 997 billion dollars on its military in 2024. ➡️ Iran spent only 8 billion. ➡️ A gap of more than one hundred times should have produced an easy victory. ➡️ Instead the far weaker side forced the superpower into retreat. ➡️ Ganser calls the claim that higher military budgets automatically win “a story of the arms industry.” THE PENSIONER ASSAULT ➡️ Eighty-year-old Donald Trump and seventy-six-year-old Benjamin Netanyahu ordered the illegal strike on February 28, 2026. ➡️ On day one they killed eighty-six-year-old Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. ➡️ His son Mojtaba took command and the attackers lost. ➡️ “A battle of the pensioners,” Ganser observes, while ordinary people in Switzerland retire at sixty-five and tend their gardens. THE HORMUZ WEAPON ➡️ Twenty percent of the world’s seaborne oil exports pass through the Strait of Hormuz. ➡️ After the attack the flow collapsed and stayed near zero for months. ➡️ Geography, not aircraft carriers, decided the outcome. ➡️ Ganser stresses that this single chokepoint gives Iran power no amount of military spending can erase. THE VOICES FROM INSIDE AMERICA ➡️ Tucker Carlson told his five million subscribers: “You are watching the end of the global American empire, the end of the unipolar world. With the rise of China and the BRICS states, a new world order is emerging before our eyes.” ➡️ Lifelong hawk Robert Kagan admitted Iran had “checkmated” the United States and that the defeat is “more serious than Vietnam.” ➡️ Former Marine and weapons inspector Scott Ritter called it “a colossal defeat of the USA and Israel” that “heralds the end of an empire.” THE LEGAL LINE CROSSED ➡️ The UN Charter forbids the threat or use of force against any member state. ➡️ The same rule Russia broke in Ukraine was broken by the United States and Israel in Iran. ➡️ China and Russia stated it clearly at the United Nations. ➡️ Ganser insists the prohibition of force must apply to every country without exception. THE BOTTOM LINE A Swiss peace researcher has documented what American voices are already admitting: the superpower that once bombed its way across the map has been stopped by a far weaker opponent backed by geography and rising rivals. The age of unpunished American wars is ending in plain sight. #IranDefeat #EndOfEmpire #DanieleGanser #HormuzShutdown #TuckerCarlson #USMilitaryMyth #NewWorldOrder

Mark

55,966 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

ISTANBUL PEACE DEAL KILLED BY UK: PESKOW EXPOSES THE CALL THAT CHANGED EVERYTHING Dmitry Peskow, Putin’s press secretary since 2012, delivered a strikingly direct assessment in a recent interview. He confirmed that Russia’s special military operation has evolved into a full-scale war driven by Western intervention. Most explosively, he detailed the exact moment a signed peace agreement in Istanbul was deliberately derailed. THE WAR TRANSFORMATION ➡️ Peskow stated the operation now looks like a complete war in every respect. ➡️ The Kiev regime became the hub of anti-Russian efforts backed by Europe and America. ➡️ It stood on the verge of NATO integration and hosting foreign troops plus weapons aimed at Russia. ➡️ No European capital and no Biden administration would listen to Russian security warnings. THE ISTANBUL SABOTAGE ➡️ A complete agreement was negotiated, written, and confirmed by both sides on 22 April in Istanbul. ➡️ Every page and every clause had already been approved. ➡️ London stepped in at that precise moment. ➡️ Major called Zelensky and asked him not to sign the document. ➡️ Kiev demanded a gesture of goodwill from Russia without “a gun to the head.” ➡️ Putin ordered the withdrawal of troops from the Kiev region as that exact gesture. ➡️ This marked the first time a European country actively championed war over peace. THE PROXY WAR REALITY ➡️ Europe and the United States now deliver millions of tons of weapons and ammunition to the Kiev regime. ➡️ They supply military advisors and hand over complete satellite surveillance results. ➡️ Western satellites are used to designate targets for Ukrainian strikes. ➡️ Artificial intelligence supports the regime’s military operations. ➡️ If this is not direct participation, Peskow asked, then what is it? THE EUROPEAN MILITARIZATION ➡️ Europe accepted it can no longer rely on American security guarantees. ➡️ The EU is transforming into an economic and military bloc. ➡️ Many capitals now spend around 5% of national GDP on defense. ➡️ To justify this to taxpayers, Russia is painted as the absolute evil on European soil. ➡️ This amounts to total brainwashing that diverts money from hospitals and schools into weapons. THE BOTTOM LINE Peskow made it clear Russia is too large and responsible to start a third world war, yet it will always secure its borders against militarization. The Istanbul agreement offered an exit that was deliberately destroyed. Europe chose to prolong the conflict at enormous cost to its own future. The only remaining path is eventual dialogue once new leadership appears. This is the sound of a war that could have ended in April 2022 but was pushed into grinding escalation instead. HT: YouTube DIE WELTWOCHE #Peskow #IstanbulDeal #UkraineWar #WesternProxy #EuropeMilitarization #FullScaleWar #SecurityFirst

Mark

18,395 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

WESTERN ELITES’ REAL WAR: BREAK CHINA, RUSSIA AND BRICS BY TARGETING IRAN Pepe Escobar: The deeper story is far bigger. Western ruling elites are not primarily fighting Tehran. They are fighting the rising power structure forming around China, Russia and BRICS. Iran sits at the center of that system, and that is exactly why it is under pressure. THE TRUE OBJECTIVE ➡️ The war on Iran is a war against Russia, China, BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the entire project of Eurasian integration. ➡️ US ruling elites see Eurasia as an organic system connecting east, west, north and south. ➡️ That system is the key vector of 21st-century geopolitics and an absolute anathema to them. ➡️ They are determined to break Eurasian integration by any means necessary. IRAN AS THE KEY NODE ➡️ Geography and history place Iran at the decisive crossroads of connectivity corridors. ➡️ The Caspian Express is being built from Astrakhan to Bandar Anzali, linking the International North-South Transportation Corridor. ➡️ The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor reaches Gwadar, then crosses freely into Iran with almost no barriers. ➡️ These routes allow China, Russia and Iran to trade outside American naval control and sanctions. THE DISRUPTION STRATEGY ➡️ Western elites know that if these corridors mature, the multipolar power centered on China, Russia and BRICS becomes much harder to contain. ➡️ They will try to break the system. ➡️ One method already visible is the use of proxy cells in Pakistani Baluchistan to create constant instability along the Iranian border. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is the visible target. The real mission is to disrupt the rising power of China, Russia and BRICS before the new Eurasian architecture locks in. The elites are not improvising. They are following a long-standing strategic imperative: prevent the emergence of a coherent Eurasian system at all costs. That is the war behind the war. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Pepe Escobar #EurasiaWar #ChinaRussiaBRICS #WesternElites #IranKeyNode #CPEC #CaspianExpress #MultipolarOrder

Mark

41,888 görüntüleme • 1 ay önce

US MISSILE STOCKS CRASH: FORMER ARMY OFFICER EXPOSES TRUMP’S UNWINNABLE IRAN ATTRITION WAR Former U.S. Army officer and missile-defense expert David T. Pyne just delivered one of the clearest assessments yet of the Iran conflict. His numbers and operational read paint a picture far darker than official statements. America is burning through its most critical munitions faster than it can replace them, while Iran remains resilient and strategically positioned to outlast the campaign. THE MUNITIONS COLLAPSE ➡️ Pyne cites CIA-linked analysis showing the United States depleted roughly 45 percent of its overall offensive and defensive missile stocks in the first 38 days alone. ➡️ At least one-third of the Tomahawk inventory is already gone. ➡️ SM-3 and SM-6 interceptors have been expended at rates that signal either intense naval fighting or massive defensive intercepts against incoming Iranian missiles. ➡️ Iran, by contrast, has lost only about 30 percent of its missile force through both kinetic strikes and its own expenditure, leaving it with an estimated 5,600 ballistic missiles still available. THE STRATEGIC REALITY ➡️ Iran enjoys anti-ship missile supremacy inside the Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz. ➡️ U.S. Navy surface ships have been forced to retreat after brief forays; sustained control of the strait by American forces is not currently achievable. ➡️ Continuous daily bombing has failed to achieve a single one of the six original objectives Trump publicly set. ➡️ Nuclear facilities, including the deeply buried Pickaxe Mountain complex, remain intact and beyond the reach of even the largest conventional penetrators. THE ESCALATION TRAP ➡️ Trump has floated everything from obliterating Iran’s energy grid to limited ground raids on islands and facilities. ➡️ Pyne assesses any major airborne or amphibious assault would produce heavy U.S. casualties while giving Iran a ready-made hostage and attrition opportunity only 16 miles from its mainland. ➡️ The war has already become a pure attrition contest. The side that retains the larger remaining stockpile of missiles and drones will hold the strategic advantage. THE BOTTOM LINE America is fighting a near-peer adversary with superior regional missile density and no viable theory of victory. Every additional week of escalation further empties U.S. magazines while Iran’s core capabilities endure. The longer this continues, the more irreversible the depletion becomes. This is the sound of a superpower discovering its limits in real time. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal #IranWar #MissileDepletion #Hormuz #DavidPyne #AttritionWar #USMilitary #TrumpIran

Mark

22,237 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce

VUCIC WARNS: OIL CRISIS HITS NOW — FULL ESCALATION COMES AFTER SEPTEMBER Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić has just made one of the most blunt assessments of the war between Russia and Ukraine and the looming energy crisis that any European head of state has ever expressed publicly. Sitting in the middle of summer, he said the real shortage of oil has already begun, state reserves are being emptied, and the situation will turn sharply worse within two months. What follows is not speculation. It is the reading of a man who has watched war destroy his own country and who now sees the same machinery grinding again. THE OIL SHOCK ALREADY HERE ➡️ For the first time we feel the real shortage of oil and we will have to intervene from state reserves with huge quantities of diesel. ➡️ This is driven by the Russia-Ukraine war and the Iran war at the same time. ➡️ Unlike all the others, Vučić believes the situation after September will be even worse than today. THE CORE LOGIC: NO WINNER, NO END ➡️ The war has lasted almost five years. Everybody is nervous. Nobody is happy. People are dying on a daily basis. ➡️ In both capitals and in many Western capitals, people in power are not delivering what they promised. ➡️ One has to win the war. You cannot stop it without a winning side or a defeated side. Nobody will give in easily. ➡️ That is why escalation is coming. THE SEPTEMBER PRESSURE POINT ➡️ Vučić expects Russians may launch a bigger conscription by the end of September or early October. ➡️ Ukraine faces deep problems of its own, visible in places like Lviv and along the front. ➡️ After Russia’s elections on 20 September, he sees no other choice for Moscow but to escalate. THE PSYCHOLOGICAL TRAP ➡️ Ukrainian drones have hit every single Russian refinery. That creates nervousness inside Russian society and pushes the Kremlin to act harder. ➡️ Ukrainians will do everything to escalate attacks deeper into Russian territory because they see it as a huge psychological advantage they can sell in the West. ➡️ The West believes each new strike brings Russia closer to the table. Vučić says the opposite is true: the resolve only mounts. THE EUROPEAN ILLUSION ➡️ Western European politicians are totally sure they are on the right side of history. ➡️ They treat any different opinion as forbidden. Serbia has not opened a single EU cluster in five years solely because it refused full CFSP alignment against Russia. ➡️ Nobody wants to compromise. Not Russians, not Ukrainians, not Europeans. Everybody wants the other side to lose. That is why the war lasts. THE BOTTOM LINE Vučić has lived through wars that cost Serbia 29 percent of its population in the First World War alone. He watches the same pattern repeat: leaders speak of victory while people become numbers, and the rifle hanging on the wall in the first act is already being reached for in the third. The only thing that stops a war is a winner and a loser. Everything else is just more time for the escalation machine to run. HT: YouTube DIE WELTWOCHE #VucicWarning #OilCrisis #SeptemberEscalation #RussiaUkraine #NoWinnerNoPeace #EuropeBlind #WarLogic

Mark

20,263 görüntüleme • 2 ay önce