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IRAN'S MIDTERM STRANGLEHOLD: WHY THE STRAIT STAYS SHUT UNTIL TRUMP BLEEDS Former US diplomat and JCPOA negotiator Alan Eyre lays out a cold calculation now driving Tehran. Iran is no longer treating the Strait of Hormuz as a bargaining chip for quick relief. It is treating it as a...

15,890 次观看 • 14 天前 •via X (Twitter)

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ZERO CONTACT, ZERO AGREEMENT: TEHRAN UNIVERSITY PROFESSOR DESTROYS TRUMP'S NARRATIVE Professor Mohammad Marandi of Tehran University just delivered a clear, unfiltered assessment that shreds the latest wave of American claims. No phone calls. No begging. No secret talks. And absolute Iranian control over the Strait of Hormuz remains non-negotiable. THE FAKE NEWS MACHINE ➡️ Trump repeatedly claims Middle Eastern leaders and even Iran are calling him, pleading not to attack. ➡️ Marandi states flatly there has been zero communication between Iran and the United States. ➡️ This is not the first time. Trump has made the same false claim so often it has become boring. ➡️ His own supporters keep following anyway, but the facts on the ground never change. HORMUZ REMAINS UNDER FULL IRANIAN CONTROL ➡️ Negotiations with Oman exist only about managing the strait. ➡️ Iran has made its position crystal clear: full supervision over every ship that wants to pass. ➡️ There will be no two corridors. Oman cannot operate any route without Iranian knowledge. ➡️ Every vessel must receive Iranian consent and will pay a fee. ➡️ The entire strait from beginning to end stays fully monitored and controlled by Iran. NO AGREEMENT ON THE TABLE ➡️ Iran will not accept the old nuclear deal in its previous form. ➡️ Demands now include the end of the siege on Yemen, resolution on Gaza, and the release of Iran’s frozen assets. ➡️ Iran will not concede any authority over the Strait of Hormuz under any arrangement with Oman or anyone else. ➡️ There is no ceasefire. Iran continues to strike threats wherever they appear. THE BOTTOM LINE Trump can issue threats every few days and invent stories of desperate phone calls. The reality delivered by Professor Marandi is simpler and far more powerful: Iran never begged, never negotiated under pressure, and will never surrender control of Hormuz. This is the sound of a narrative collapsing in real time. #HormuzControl #TrumpFakeNews #NoAgreement #MarandiTruth #IranStance #StraitOfHormuz #ZeroContact HT: YouTube Dialogue Works Dialogue works

Mark

72,702 次观看 • 27 天前

DOES IRAN OVERPLAY ITS HAND? EXPERTS DELIVER THE BRUTAL ANSWER Top Iran experts Vali Nasr and John Mearsheimer just dismantled the favorite Washington talking point. Iran is not overreaching. It is simply playing the hand it now holds after months of war that left the United States weaker, not stronger. What follows is the clearest picture yet of who actually sits in the driver’s seat. THE NEW REALITY IN THE STRAIT ➡️ Iran understands it is in the driver’s seat and the Americans have almost no leverage left. ➡️ The June 17 memorandum that Washington walked away from looks generous compared to Iran’s current demands. ➡️ Tehran now insists the big three economic issues — full sanctions relief, reparations, and frozen assets — must be settled on Iranian terms before the Strait of Hormuz reopens. ➡️ The nuclear file has effectively disappeared from the negotiation table. WHY THE “OVERPLAYING” CHARGE IS FALSE ➡️ A country that survived two nuclear-armed militaries going after it in six months does not look like it is overplaying anything. ➡️ Iran forced the United States to abandon Gulf bases, move material farther away, and back off from threats to hit power plants. ➡️ After 47 years of pressure, Iranian decision-makers believe they can endure more short-term pain than their opponents. ➡️ Short-term economic cost is accepted as the price of long-term strategic gain. THE TRUST PROBLEM THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING ➡️ Trump walked away from a nuclear deal, bombed while talks continued, signed an MOU and then undermined it. ➡️ That track record leaves Tehran with zero faith that any future American promise will be kept. ➡️ Front-loading every concession is therefore rational, not reckless. ➡️ Any Iranian who still believes moderation will produce American moderation is, in Mearsheimer’s words, out of his mind. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is not overplaying its hand. It is playing the only hand that makes sense after the United States and Israel demonstrated they can neither finish the job nor protect their own positions. Washington keeps repeating the overplaying line because it still cannot accept how completely the balance has shifted. This is what real leverage looks like when the other side has already lost control. HT: YouTube Switzerland with Tom Switzer #IranLeverage #StraitOfHormuz #NotOverplaying #USDefeat #TehranHoldsCards #HardBargain #MiddleEastShift

Mark

47,715 次观看 • 20 天前

🇺🇸🇮🇷⚠️ Trump hoped reopening the Strait of Hormuz would give him an opportunity to declare victory and wind down the war with Iran, even without securing a nuclear agreement. Tehran, however, has dramatically raised the price of a deal. According to The Wall Street Journal, Iran is demanding the withdrawal of U.S. forces from the region, an end to the naval blockade, the lifting of sanctions, the release of frozen Iranian assets, and billions of dollars in war reparations before fully reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Those demands have significantly narrowed the Trump administration’s room for maneuver. Tehran reportedly believes Washington is increasingly eager to find an exit from the conflict and is therefore using its ability to disrupt the Strait of Hormuz, and consequently a crucial portion of global oil flows, as leverage at the negotiating table. The pressure is also growing inside the United States. Gasoline prices are hovering around $4 per gallon, while the approaching midterm elections give the Trump administration a strong political incentive to stabilize energy markets and reach an agreement with Iran. The situation leaves Washington facing an increasingly difficult calculation. Accepting Tehran’s sweeping demands would represent a major concession, while renewed military escalation risks further disruption of Hormuz and another surge in global energy prices. Iran appears to understand that pressure on the Strait directly translates into economic and political pressure on Washington, and Tehran is attempting to exploit that leverage to extract concessions it could never obtain under normal circumstances.

NSTRIKE

19,620 次观看 • 22 天前

LARRY JOHNSON PREDICTS: US GROUND INVASION OF IRAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND Ex CIA Larry Johnson cuts through the noise with a chilling assessment based on troop movements and force deployments right now. Trump has not backed down out of fear. He is simply playing the same games he has played before to lull the Iranians into complacency. A major ground attack is coming fast, and it is aimed straight at the heart of the Strait of Hormuz. THE INVASION TIMELINE ➡️ The United States will launch a ground attack this weekend. ➡️ If bad weather hits, it may be pushed back until Monday or Tuesday. ➡️ If the weather clears, expect it sometime Friday or Saturday. THE TARGETS SELECTED ➡️ They will attack either Car Island or Keshum Island. ➡️ Car Island is one of the most important gas production sites for the Iranians. THE DEPLOYMENT DETAILS ➡️ Massive special operation assets have already been poured into the region. ➡️ Right now they are deployed in Israel and Jordan. ➡️ They will be forward deployed prior to the operation to Aluded Air Force Base in Qatar or possibly Prince Sultan Air Force Base in Saudi Arabia. ➡️ Aluded would be the more likely location. THE STATED MISSION ➡️ The attack is ostensibly to open the Strait of Hormuz. THE INEVITABLE FAILURE ➡️ It will fail. ➡️ They may actually take control of Keshum Island. ➡️ But then what? ➡️ Iran still has drones, submarines, underwater drones that are maneuverable, and missiles in the cliffs that line the strait. ➡️ The United States is not sending enough military force to actually open the strait and keep it open. THE DEADLY CONSEQUENCE ➡️ What they are creating is a big fat target that Iran is going to attack. ➡️ This will inflict significant casualties on some of the United States most elite forces. THE BOTTOM LINE Larry Johnson’s assessment is blunt and final: this ground invasion is nothing more than a show of force that will turn America’s best troops into sitting ducks with no path to lasting success or control of the strait. America is about to learn the hard way what happens when you underestimate Iran. #USGroundInvasion #StraitOfHormuz #LarryJohnson #HormuzTrap #EliteForcesAtRisk #IranWar #DoomedOperation

Mark

175,776 次观看 • 5 个月前

SCOTT RITTER: IRAN WON, AMERICA LOST Scott Ritter, former UN weapons inspector, just delivered a devastating reality check on the Iran conflict. While Washington spins victory narratives, the former UN weapons inspector declares the opposite: Iran did not lose this war — the United States did. Iran holds every lever of power while America has none left. THE CORE REALITY ➡️ Iran retains full control of the Strait of Hormuz — their true nuclear weapon. ➡️ The United States has zero military, economic, or political leverage to force any outcome. ➡️ No scenario exists for US troops seizing Iranian nuclear sites — that idea is pure delusion. THE TRUMP THEATER ➡️ Trump is running desperate political theater driven by malignant narcissistic personality disorder. ➡️ He craves a face-saving deal that Iran will never grant him. ➡️ The world has already moved on through Iran’s new agreements with Oman. THE LEVERAGE GAP ➡️ Iran dictates terms as the clear winner. ➡️ America stands empty-handed after the conflict. ➡️ Ritter’s verdict is blunt: Washington got played and has zero cards remaining. THE BOTTOM LINE Trump entered this confrontation expecting dominance, but every signal now shows America overreached and lost. Iran holds the real power and refuses to surrender it. The empire just ran out of moves. #IranWon #USLost #ScottRitter #StraitOfHormuz #TrumpTheater #AmericaDefeat #NoLeverageLeft HT: YouTube Judge Napolitano Scott Ritter

Mark

13,485 次观看 • 2 个月前

THE FOURTH CENTER OF WORLD POWER EMERGES: PAPE'S PREDICTION COMES TRUE IN REAL TIME Professor Robert Pape has delivered a clear-eyed assessment of the Iran war now past day 100. What began as a fight for survival has shifted into something far more ambitious and dangerous. Iran is no longer reacting. It is actively reshaping the region while American influence erodes in real time. The consequences for global power and economic stability are only beginning to register. THE CORE THESIS: IRAN FROM SURVIVAL TO AMBITION ➡️ Iran has moved from survival to ambition in the middle game of this conflict. ➡️ The regime is no longer focused only on protecting itself inside Tehran. ➡️ A new security belt of resistance now runs from the Strait of Hormuz to the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and into the Red Sea. ➡️ Iran is using this architecture to pressure Gulf states like Kuwait and Bahrain to remove American forces from their territory. ➡️ Strikes on Hezbollah targets in Beirut triggered immediate Iranian threats against Israel as part of enforcing new red lines. THE TRUMP CONTROL COLLAPSE ➡️ President Trump still speaks and acts as if America remains the dominant power in full control. ➡️ Iran is simply ignoring his calls for negotiations and has publicly laid out its own demands without hesitation. ➡️ Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu took Trump's calls but then defied his direct order not to retaliate. ➡️ For 72 days Trump has claimed a deal with Iran is only days away yet nothing has changed. ➡️ His optimistic rhetoric has lost all connection to reality because America has lost ground as Iran has gained it. THE EMERGENCE OF THE FOURTH WORLD POWER ➡️ Pape warned months ago that Iran was on track to become the fourth center of world power as the dominant state in the Gulf. ➡️ This status means building a genuine sphere of influence where Iran protects and coordinates with allies rather than treating them as expendable. ➡️ The old view of groups like Hezbollah as mere pawns has been reversed by Iran's growing strength. ➡️ Recent Iranian actions have already forced the United States to pressure Israel to pull back. ➡️ This new position will strengthen further when the coming economic crisis hits world markets later this summer. THE MIDDLE GAME THAT LIES AHEAD ➡️ This phase of ambition and escalation will run through the summer and deep into the fall midterms. ➡️ Iran sees clear opportunities to exploit political timelines in both the United States and Israel. ➡️ A major disruption to the global economy driven by regional instability now appears almost locked in. ➡️ Hopes of wrapping the conflict up neatly by Labor Day for domestic political reasons do not match Iran's strategic thinking. THE WEAKENING OF ISRAEL ➡️ Israel's freedom of action is beginning to shrink as its main backer loses strategic ground in the region. ➡️ Iranian-backed forces are showing early signs of more coordinated and sophisticated drone and missile operations. ➡️ The recent expansion of Houthi threats against Israeli-linked shipping in the Red Sea marks a widening of the conflict theater. ➡️ Over time the combination of reduced American support and rising proxy capabilities will place Israel under growing pressure. THE BOTTOM LINE Pape makes the stakes unmistakable. Iran has flipped from a strategy of pure survival into one of expanding ambition and the United States has lost the control it once took for granted. This is the sound of a new center of world power rising while old assumptions fall apart. HT: YouTube Breaking Points #IranWar #FourthWorldPower #AxisOfResistance #TrumpLosingControl #MiddleGame #SecurityBelt #PapeAnalysis

Mark

15,618 次观看 • 2 个月前

USA HANDED IRAN THE STRAIT BY AGREEMENT -THE NEW ESCALATION THAT COULD CLOSE IT BUT TRUMP WILL ULTIMATELY TACO Ex-Navy SEAL, author, and historian Matt Bracken revealed a truth the mainstream media has completely buried. President Trump signed a memorandum of understanding that places Iran in charge of the Strait of Hormuz. Despite that foundation, military pressure resumed with new strikes and daily operations. This sequence creates real risks that Iran could close the strait and damage critical infrastructure, yet the pattern suggests Trump will ultimately pull back rather than allow serious harm to the American economy. THE AGREEMENT AS STARTING POINT ➡️ The memorandum explicitly included Iranian authority over the Strait of Hormuz as a key later condition. ➡️ It was presented as part of a broader settlement that began with steps such as ending the war in Lebanon. ➡️ The document acknowledged the practical reality that Iran holds decisive influence over passage through the waterway. ➡️ At the moment of signing, the agreement established structured limits rather than open military confrontation. THE RESUMED MILITARY PRESSURE ➡️ New U.S. strikes on Iran began again after the memorandum had already been signed. ➡️ Daily air operations continue in limited windows followed by Iranian missile responses. ➡️ Internal pressures pushed for renewed action framed as finishing the job. ➡️ This occurred even though the agreement had already recognized Iran’s controlling position over the strait. THE POTENTIAL SELF-DEFEATING PATH ➡️ The signed terms had already accepted that Iran effectively controls the strait through geography and low-cost drones. ➡️ Continued strikes now make it far more likely that Iran could close the strait and destroy critical loading and refining infrastructure. ➡️ That infrastructure took roughly fifty years to build and could be wrecked in a couple of weeks with no quick replacement possible. ➡️ These steps create a credible path toward permanent closure and global commodity shock. THE DEEPER PATTERN ➡️ A coherent strategy would have treated the signed recognition of Iranian control as a firm boundary rather than something to test. ➡️ Instead the pattern shows resumed pressure that raises the probability of serious economic consequences. ➡️ At the same time Trump has a consistent history of stepping back when real damage to the U.S. economy becomes likely. ➡️ This suggests the escalation serves short-term signaling while the ultimate limit remains protecting American economic stability. THE BOTTOM LINE The United States signed an agreement that handed Iran control of the Strait of Hormuz as its starting point. Resumed strikes have created a credible risk that Iran could close the waterway and destroy infrastructure that took decades to build. Yet the same decision-making process that produced this dangerous sequence also shows Trump’s repeated pattern of pulling back before allowing real and lasting damage to the American economy. The risks are real. The final backdown is predictable. Trump will TACO before he lets this turn into an actual economic disaster. HT: YouTube Michael Farris (Coffee and a Mike) Michael Farris #HormuzAgreement #TACO #StraitControl #EscalationRisk #EconomicLimit #IranDeal #TrumpPattern

Mark

11,510 次观看 • 1 个月前

FORMER NATO SUPREME COMMANDER: THIS WAR IS NOW EXISTENTIAL FOR US HEGEMONY — NO EXIT ALLOWED Former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Wesley Clark just laid out the real thinking inside Washington. This is no longer about Iran. It is about whether the United States remains the global hegemon or watches its power collapse in real time. Stopping is not an option. That is the hard line now being drawn. THE EXISTENTIAL STAKES ➡️ Clark makes it clear: if America pulls back and lets Iran keep control of the Strait of Hormuz, the hit to US global leadership is permanent. ➡️ He warns it would damage American deterrence, weaken influence in Asia, and undermine the security of Europe in one stroke. ➡️ This is the decision point. Failure here is not a temporary setback. It is the end of the post-1945 order. THE NO-EXIT REALITY ➡️ Clark rejects any idea of simply walking away or signing a weaker deal. ➡️ “Pulling back, that’s no good,” he states without hesitation. ➡️ An MOU worse than the last one would signal American weakness to every rival watching. ➡️ China and Russia are already feeling good about the current trajectory. Clark says they should not be allowed to celebrate further. THE STRATEGIC TRAP ➡️ There is no easy military solution, yet retreat is worse. ➡️ The near-term fight must stay focused on keeping the Strait open and isolating the theater of operations. ➡️ Any pause only gives Iran time to rebuild, rearm, and dig in deeper. ➡️ Clark insists the longer-term threat of Iranian missiles and nuclear capability cannot be ignored either. THE BOTTOM LINE Wesley Clark is not speaking as a pundit. He is speaking as a former NATO Supreme Commander who understands exactly how the deep state and neoconservative core in Washington now view this conflict. This war has become existential for American global power. Stopping is no longer on the table. HT: YouTube Piers Morgan Uncensored #WesleyClark #IranWar #USHegemony #NoExit #GlobalLeadership #StraitOfHormuz #AmericanPower

Mark

422,130 次观看 • 29 天前

IRANIAN PROF EXPOSES THE PLAN: DESTROY THE U.S. ECONOMY WHILE TRUMP IS PRESIDENT Iranian Professor Izadi just laid out the clearest statement yet of Tehran’s current thinking. After failed talks and repeated U.S. strikes, a growing number of voices inside Iran no longer believe diplomacy can work. Their answer is simple and brutal: raise the cost until the American economy itself is broken. THE CORE THESIS: CRUSH THE U.S. ECONOMY TO END TRUMP ➡️ “Make sure the U.S. economy is destroyed while Trump is the president.” ➡️ That is the explicit goal now being discussed among many Iranians. ➡️ Take 20 percent of the oil coming from the region and prices stay high for at least two years. ➡️ High oil prices for two years mean the end of Trump, the end of his presidency, and the end of the American economy — three goals at the same time. THE MILITARY SOLUTION ➡️ Negotiations have failed for more than 20 years. Every time Iran sat at the table, the United States bombed the table. ➡️ The problem with the United States therefore has no diplomatic solution. It has a military solution. ➡️ Continued attacks are needed to cause enough pain so this never happens again and military deterrence is restored. THE TARGET LIST ➡️ Oil facilities, hit hard enough that repairs take a long time. ➡️ Desalination plants that supply 98 percent of the water for Gulf countries. ➡️ With 50,000 U.S. troops in the region, if those countries lose water the troops have no choice but to leave and drink water back home in America. WHY THIS LEVEL OF FORCE ➡️ For 46 years after the 1979 revolution the United States never attacked Iran the way it is attacking now. ➡️ Only in the last year did the attacks intensify because Washington believed it could handle the cost. ➡️ Iranians are tired of being hit every few weeks, losing civilians and infrastructure. Enough is enough. ➡️ The cost so far has not been high enough. Trump keeps attacking. The equation must change. THE HISTORICAL PLAYBOOK ➡️ America ends wars when its politicians finally realize they made a mistake. ➡️ That is how Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan stopped. Either the executive branch or Congress concludes the price is too high and the funding ends. ➡️ The same logic is now being applied: force the realization that the current policy is destroying the U.S. economy, and the policy will change. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran has decided that only the language of force works. Raise the economic cost high enough, for long enough, and the United States will be forced to stop. This is no longer about limited deterrence. This is about breaking the American economy while Trump is still in office. HT: YouTube Mario Nafwal #IranPlan #USEconomy #OilWeapon #TrumpEnd #DesalinationTarget #MilitarySolution #DeterrenceRestored

Mark

128,920 次观看 • 1 个月前

AMERICA'S IRAN HUMILIATION: THE LESSON THAT EMPOWERS CHINA AND BRICS FOREVER Former British diplomat Alastair Crooke delivers a blunt assessment of the Iran conflict. What was long treated as unchallengeable American military power has been exposed as brittle and limited. The consequences reach far beyond the region and are already strengthening the rising influence of BRICS. THE SHREDDED US STANDING ➡️ This war is shredding the standing of the US military presence. ➡️ It was thought to be invulnerable, unable to be contested or attacked. That has all been proved wrong. ➡️ American military structures have their arches healed. They do not have enough defense weapons. They do not have enough wherewithal to launch a major war. ➡️ They are not doing very well even with a localized war and are making mistakes. THE FIFTH FLEET HOSTAGE ➡️ In 1979 the embassy hostages brought down an American administration. There are no students in an embassy now. There is the Fifth Fleet. ➡️ Where is that? Of Bahrain. That is quite a big hostage. ➡️ Effectively the Fifth Fleet is an Iranian hostage. ➡️ Someone in the White House needs to wise up and get out of this quite quickly. Otherwise it becomes a complete catastrophe for the United States, for its image and for its presence in the world. It will be a humiliation. THE TWO CHOICES ➡️ One path is climbing down from the tree. Psychologically that may prove impossible. ➡️ The other is all-out war. That will finish the standing of the United States as a serious political player or serious military power. ➡️ People will have learned from the Iranian experience exactly how to deal with the United States. THE LESSONS THAT STICK ➡️ The first lesson is to trust in nothing. Nothing said, nothing written, nothing. ➡️ Young people on the streets of Iran ask why anyone is negotiating. He will say one thing one moment and pull it back the next. There is no point talking to a person like that. Forget it. We do not need to deal with the United States. ➡️ The second lesson is clearer still. If you punch the United States in the face, they cannot deal with those blows. They cannot stop them. They are more vulnerable than people thought. THE BRICS BOOST ➡️ This strengthens the BRICS because they can see a weakening America. ➡️ If America has failed to subordinate Iran and reduce it to a vassal, it will not succeed with Russia or China. ➡️ Those states will take strong encouragement from Iran winning the war. ➡️ It will increase China’s insistence on a close relationship with Iran to secure energy supplies. ➡️ China already views the entire process as an attempt to put it under siege by squeezing its energy routes. THE BOTTOM LINE The order that existed before this war is gone forever. Iran has emerged stronger. American military standing has been shredded in public. BRICS powers are drawing the direct conclusion that US dominance is no longer unchallengeable. This is the sound of multipolar power rising while American control slips away. #BRICSRise #IranVictory #USHumiliation #FifthFleetHostage #AlastairCrooke #AmericanDecline #MultipolarWorld HT: YouTube Daniel Davis / Deep Dive

Mark

18,591 次观看 • 1 个月前

PROFESSOR PAPE’S VERDICT: IRAN MOVES TO HARD POWER WHILE TRUMP WATCHES HELPLESSLY Professor Robert Pape of the University of Chicago delivered a clinical assessment this morning: the United States is no longer a player in the Persian Gulf. It is a spectator. Iran has completed its shift from survival to ambition to hard power and is now actively shaping the regional balance while Washington sits frozen in an escalation trap of its own making. THE STRATEGIC PARALYSIS ➡️ Trump halted the bombing campaign on July 30 and has remained locked in the bleachers ever since. ➡️ He faces massive limits on the further use of force yet cannot accept Iran as a rising regional hegemon. ➡️ The result is pure strategic paralysis: the field is moving, the teams are scoring, and America is watching. IRAN’S HARD-POWER PLAY ➡️ Tehran is deliberately keeping the Strait of Hormuz closed to almost everyone except China-bound traffic. ➡️ Since July 20 the Houthis, Iran’s allies, have been hitting Saudi tankers and Aramco facilities, applying kinetic pressure on the Red Sea front. ➡️ Iranian leaders have issued a maximalist list of upfront demands for any reopening of the Strait — demands that would politically destroy Trump’s presidency if met. THE GULF REALIGNMENT ➡️ Gulf states that once sat firmly in the American orbit are drifting toward neutrality or worse. ➡️ America can no longer protect them, and every capital knows it. ➡️ The new Mecca defense pact between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan is largely symbolic; it creates no integrated command and offers no credible deterrent to Iranian hard power. THE EXIT TRAP ➡️ Focusing only on an exit before the midterms narrows options further every single day. ➡️ Pape warns the conflict is already a long war. Short time horizons make the trap tighter, not looser. ➡️ Worse outcomes — including a path to $6 national average gasoline if Saudi oil is driven toward zero — remain fully available before November. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is no longer reacting. It is writing the next chapter of the regional order while the president who started this war finds himself with no good options and no way out of the trap he constructed. Control has changed hands. HT: YouTube At the Water's Edge #IranHardPower #EscalationTrap #TrumpParalysis #HormuzControl #ProfessorPape #GulfRealignment #StrategicParalysis

Mark

41,890 次观看 • 20 天前

PROF. MARANDI: MAJOR ATTACK ON IRAN COULD HIT ANY DAY Professor Marandi of the University of Tehran has delivered a stark warning. The United States has already prepared a major assault on Iran, with forces positioned across the region and a strong possibility the attack comes in the coming days. What follows could reshape the entire global economy. THE PREPARATION IS REAL ➡️ American and Israeli forces in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Bahrain, the Emirates and Jordan stand fully prepared. ➡️ Many troops are no longer in their bases. They have moved into hotels and civilian buildings to hide from Iranian missiles and drones. ➡️ Extra troops, ammunition, warships and jets have already been brought in for the operation. ➡️ No one knows if the attack will last days or longer, or whether Washington will ultimately back down. IRAN’S RESPONSE WILL BE DECISIVE ➡️ Iranian forces are on full alert. ➡️ If the United States strikes Iranian infrastructure, Tehran has pledged a decisive reply that will destroy Israeli facilities and demolish infrastructure across Saudi Arabia, the Emirates, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar. ➡️ The Strait of Hormuz will no longer matter. Oil exports from the Caucasus will stop too. ➡️ The result, according to Marandi, will be a collapse of the global economy. THE POLITICAL CLOCK IS TICKING ➡️ Netanyahu and the Zionist lobby are pushing hard for results before Israel’s late-October elections and the U.S. vote in early November. ➡️ Alternative plans include major new atrocities in the West Bank to ethnically cleanse the territory and secure political gains. ➡️ The next two and a half months, Marandi warns, will be extremely dangerous. THE BOTTOM LINE The United States has moved into a highly dangerous phase. Iran is prepared, the region’s energy arteries are already under pressure, and any major strike risks triggering an economic shock far beyond the battlefield. Control is slipping faster than Washington admits. HT: YouTube Dialogue Works Seyed Mohammad Marandi #IranAttack #USWarPrep #StraitOfHormuz #GlobalEconomy #TrumpIran #MiddleEastWar #Marandi

Mark

107,490 次观看 • 19 天前

IRAN'S REVENGE MOOD ERUPTS: SUPREME LEADER PROMISES "UNFORGETTABLE LESSONS" Professor Robert Pape has spent 20 years modeling the bombing of Iran and has advised every White House from 2001 to 2024. What he sees now is the exact nightmare scenario he warned about: Iran is stronger than before the war began, controls the Strait of Hormuz, and is in a pure mood of revenge. The Supreme Leader just vowed to deliver "unforgettable lessons" to America after U.S. soldiers were killed. The spiral is accelerating fast. THE EXPERT WHO SAW IT COMING ➡️ Pape has been modeling this exact conflict for two decades and says the patterns from history held up month by month. ➡️ Air power alone has never toppled a regime going all the way back to World War I. ➡️ The United States killed the supreme leader and 137 top Iranian leaders in the opening weeks, the equivalent of wiping out the American president, first family, half the cabinet, Pentagon leadership, CIA leadership, and a third of Congress. ➡️ The regime survived anyway. IRAN IS STRONGER TODAY ➡️ Iran now controls the Strait of Hormuz and can threaten virtually any ship that tries to pass. ➡️ It has demonstrated this power over and over, even when ships turn off their transponders. ➡️ Only a small fraction of its drone and missile arsenal is needed to keep hitting U.S. bases and shipping. ➡️ Iran entered the war with tens of thousands of drones and missiles and is still producing them at a rate of roughly 55,000 a year. THE REVENGE SPIRAL ➡️ The Supreme Leader used the exact phrase "unforgettable lessons" after American soldiers were killed in Jordan. ➡️ Iran is attacking U.S. bases more aggressively and has the Houthis shutting down the Red Sea oil route. ➡️ Pape says emotions are coursing through Iran and they are not pulling back. They want revenge. ➡️ Controlling pieces of homeland territory is the single biggest risk factor for suicide terrorism, according to Pape’s 25 years of research. THE ESCALATION TRAP ➡️ The choice is now brutal: accept a global economic crisis as oil and refining capacity run dry, or physically try to take Hormuz back. ➡️ Pape puts the chance of limited U.S. ground operations with boots on the ground at roughly 70 percent, possibly within weeks. ➡️ He compares the situation directly to Lyndon Johnson’s trap in Vietnam, where leaders escalate even when they know the military path is unlikely to work because the political cost of accepting defeat feels worse. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is not weakened. It is stronger, in control of the world’s most critical oil chokepoint, and openly in a mood of revenge. The next few months will decide whether this stays a limited conflict or crosses into something far darker. This is the sound of a spiral that no longer has an easy exit. HT: YouTube The Diary Of A CEO #IranRevenge #HormuzCrisis #RobertPape #EscalationTrap #StraitOfHormuz #BootsOnTheGround #EconomicCrisis

Mark

141,758 次观看 • 1 个月前

PROF. MARANDI: IRAN'S DEVASTATING VOW - GULF INFRASTRUCTURE WILL BURN IF TRUMP ATTACKS Trump just threatened to attack Iran's energy facilities and paralyze the country if the Strait of Hormuz stays closed. Professor Marandi calls it an enormous crime against humanity aimed straight at over 90 million civilians. Iran has drawn its red line and the retaliation plan is locked in. Any strike on their power plants will ignite an unstoppable chain reaction across the Gulf. THE CRIME AGAINST HUMANITY ➡️ This threat targets hospitals, infants and the entire Iranian population. ➡️ It exposes the West’s deep contempt and longstanding hatred for Iranian women and children. ➡️ Western media stays silent because it serves the same elite class that controls governments. THE RETALIATION PLAN ➡️ Iran will destroy power plants and everything else on the other side of the Persian Gulf. ➡️ Arab family dictatorships are fully complicit with Iranian blood on their hands. ➡️ They opened their bases, allowed overflights and supported strikes against Iran. THE POINT OF NO RETURN ➡️ Retaliation means no more oil or gas tankers will ever move through the region. ➡️ The result is a permanent global economic crisis with implications beyond imagination. ➡️ Oil and gas prices will explode through the roof as soon as markets open this week. THE WEAPONS TRUTH ➡️ Iranian missiles and drones keep firing day and night with growing deadliness. ➡️ Every claim that Iran is running out of weapons has already been proven false. ➡️ Retaliation can strike within an hour and hit far more high-value targets than the other side. THE BOTTOM LINE Trump issued this threat expecting quick dominance. Instead Iran stands ready to deliver retaliation that ends the global energy trade forever. This is the sound of the world economy breaking beyond repair. #IranRetaliation #HormuzCrisis #TrumpThreat #GulfBurn #EnergyCollapse #OilDoom #GlobalMeltdown HT: Seyed Mohammad Marandi

Mark

38,697 次观看 • 5 个月前

JEFF CURRIE: GIVE IRAN THE STRAIT AND THE DOLLAR DIES Jeff Currie, former Goldman Sachs head of commodities and lifelong insider of the dollar system, just laid out the one line America cannot cross. Handing control of the Strait of Hormuz to Iran is not a tactical retreat. It is the formal end of the United States as global hegemon and the death of the dollar as the world’s reserve currency. THE GRAND BARGAIN THAT BUILT THE SYSTEM ➡️ In 1945 the United States made a deal the world still lives under: we protect every major shipping lane with our navy so you use our dollar and recycle your money through New York. ➡️ Oil was the strategic commodity that made the bargain stick. ➡️ After Nixon broke the gold link in 1971 the same bargain became the petrodollar system that still funds American living standards today. THE HORMUZ RED LINE ➡️ Currie is blunt: if the United States walks away and lets Iran and Oman manage the strait under any fee structure, the rest of the planet sees the protector has quit. ➡️ Every other chokepoint on earth immediately becomes fair game. ➡️ The Fifth Fleet would then need Iranian permission to enter or leave its own base in Bahrain—an image that ends the illusion of sea control overnight. THE EXORBITANT PRIVILEGE AT RISK ➡️ Currie points to Switzerland right now: a 30-year fixed mortgage at 50 basis points because global capital floods into a safe currency. ➡️ That is the privilege America still enjoys. ➡️ The United States currently spends 7 percent more than it produces. Remove the forced global demand for dollars and that gap becomes pure economic pain. THE HISTORICAL TRUTH NO ONE WANTS TO SAY ➡️ No previous hegemon—Britain, Spain, or any other—was forced out of the world’s most important sea lanes and remained the hegemon. ➡️ Currie is clear: you can retreat to the Monroe Doctrine and defend only the Western Hemisphere, but then you are no longer the global power and the dollar is no longer the reserve currency. ➡️ Those two outcomes cannot coexist. THE BOTTOM LINE America can lose battles. It cannot lose the Strait of Hormuz and still claim to run the system that has defined the last eighty years. Once the world sees the United States no longer guarantees free navigation, the privilege that keeps the American consumer alive begins its irreversible decline. #HormuzRedLine #DollarHegemony #JeffCurrie #Petrodollar #USHegemony #StraitOfHormuz #ReserveCurrency HT: YouTube Mario Nafwal

Mark

422,973 次观看 • 1 个月前

WESTERN ELITES’ REAL WAR: BREAK CHINA, RUSSIA AND BRICS BY TARGETING IRAN Pepe Escobar: The deeper story is far bigger. Western ruling elites are not primarily fighting Tehran. They are fighting the rising power structure forming around China, Russia and BRICS. Iran sits at the center of that system, and that is exactly why it is under pressure. THE TRUE OBJECTIVE ➡️ The war on Iran is a war against Russia, China, BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization and the entire project of Eurasian integration. ➡️ US ruling elites see Eurasia as an organic system connecting east, west, north and south. ➡️ That system is the key vector of 21st-century geopolitics and an absolute anathema to them. ➡️ They are determined to break Eurasian integration by any means necessary. IRAN AS THE KEY NODE ➡️ Geography and history place Iran at the decisive crossroads of connectivity corridors. ➡️ The Caspian Express is being built from Astrakhan to Bandar Anzali, linking the International North-South Transportation Corridor. ➡️ The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor reaches Gwadar, then crosses freely into Iran with almost no barriers. ➡️ These routes allow China, Russia and Iran to trade outside American naval control and sanctions. THE DISRUPTION STRATEGY ➡️ Western elites know that if these corridors mature, the multipolar power centered on China, Russia and BRICS becomes much harder to contain. ➡️ They will try to break the system. ➡️ One method already visible is the use of proxy cells in Pakistani Baluchistan to create constant instability along the Iranian border. THE BOTTOM LINE Iran is the visible target. The real mission is to disrupt the rising power of China, Russia and BRICS before the new Eurasian architecture locks in. The elites are not improvising. They are following a long-standing strategic imperative: prevent the emergence of a coherent Eurasian system at all costs. That is the war behind the war. HT: YouTube Mario Nawfal Pepe Escobar #EurasiaWar #ChinaRussiaBRICS #WesternElites #IranKeyNode #CPEC #CaspianExpress #MultipolarOrder

Mark

41,720 次观看 • 9 天前

IRAN PROPOSALS REJECTED: WHY TRUMP WILL NOT TACO Former British diplomat and MI6 officer Alastair Crooke has decades of experience in Middle East diplomacy. He just analyzed Iran's firm response to Trump's 14-point proposal. Trump instantly called it "totally unacceptable." Crooke reveals why this rejection was inevitable and why any negotiated settlement now stands zero chance. THE IRANIAN STANCE ➡️ Iran categorically rejects any handover of its 430 kilos of enriched uranium to the United States or any other state. ➡️ They demand an immediate permanent end to the war with ironclad guarantees of no further aggression. ➡️ The reply insists on lifting the US naval blockade, full sanctions relief, asset returns, reparations, and Iranian sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. THE FUNDAMENTAL IMPASSE ➡️ Trump cannot deliver the security guarantees Iran requires. ➡️ Any serious deal would need formal treaties through the UN Security Council or Congress. ➡️ Past US sneak attacks during negotiations have destroyed all trust. TRUMP'S PSYCHOLOGICAL TRAP ➡️ He is obsessed with replicating the quick Venezuela model success. ➡️ Deep jealousy of Obama's JCPOA deal leaves him painted into a corner. ➡️ His ego demands America always project unyielding strength and emerge the clear winner. THE ISRAEL FACTOR ➡️ Netanyahu and Israeli interests will never accept these terms. ➡️ They push hard against any deal that leaves Iran's nuclear program intact. ➡️ Trump faces overwhelming domestic pressure that rules out compromise. THE BOTTOM LINE Trump entered these exchanges convinced he held all the cards while Iran held none. Iran's tough proposals prove otherwise, yet his personal psychology and political realities make acceptance impossible. This is the sound of diplomacy slamming shut. #TrumpIran #IranProposals #NoDeal #HormuzBlockade #TrumpEgo #MiddleEastCrisis #DiplomaticDeadEnd

Mark

50,343 次观看 • 3 个月前