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$IREN Horizon 1–4 buildout for $MSFT has already reached 200MW with additional phases actively underway. AI demand is moving faster than the normal data center build cycle which is making power-secured capacity a lot more valuable.

119,523 Aufrufe • vor 3 Monaten •via X (Twitter)

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The next two months put $IREN's entire pivot on one milestone. Horizon 1, its first GB300 super cluster at Childress, is targeted to hand off to $MSFT in Q3, roughly July through September, the opening delivery under the five year, $9.7 billion Microsoft contract and the point where that contract starts turning into revenue. For a year the company has been buying the hard things. Power, land, financing. Now it has to turn them into delivered compute. That is the whole test. "The world is structurally short compute, and the bottleneck is delivered data center and GPU capacity," said Daniel Roberts, Co-Founder and Co-CEO of $IREN. Horizon 1 is him putting that to the proof. Capacity nobody can energize is worthless. Capacity handed to a hyperscaler on schedule is the business. The rest of the window fills in around it. The Mirantis acquisition, signed in May, is pending close and adds the software layer to run the fleet. $3.1 billion of ARR sits under contract against a $4.4 billion target, so there is room for another customer, and management is openly chasing one. The $3.65 billion GPU financing that closed June 1 already funds most of the $MSFT hardware, with $NVDA and $DELL on the supply side. Sweetwater 1, energized in May, keeps ramping power behind all of it. The full year FY2026 results that put real numbers on all of this land just past the window, late August into September. The catalysts here are operational first, reported second. What makes that timeline credible is the record behind it. $IREN hit 50 EH/s on the schedule it set, energized Sweetwater 1 on schedule, and has Horizon 1-4 tracking for year-end. This is a team that keeps turning secured power into online capacity on time, and each build makes the next one faster. How many names in this AI buildout are actually delivering capacity on schedule, not just announcing it? It's not a sprint, it's a marathon.

Patient Investor

105,170 Aufrufe • vor 1 Monat

🚨JPMORGAN’S STEVE TUSA JUST DROPPED HIS 2026 OUTLOOK, IT’S BULLISH FOR DATA CENTERS🔥 Steve Tusa from JPMorgan has released his 2026 market predictions, with data centers sitting at the center of his outlook. Within the industrials space, he describes data centers as the primary driver, arguing that much of the group’s performance ultimately ties back to the AI and data center buildout. While he acknowledges some recent concern around the sustainability and length of the cycle, his on-the-ground read differs from the narrative that has taken hold in parts of the market. Demand tied to data centers has continued to accelerate through recent months, and he is clear that being materially underexposed to AI data centers is a mistake. In his view, pullbacks should be approached as opportunities rather than warnings. He directly addresses the overbuild debate, which remains a key source of skepticism. According to Tusa, there is no pause in real-world data center construction activity. Order activity has improved in recent weeks and is running stronger than it was around the end of the third quarter. Feedback from hyperscalers suggests supply is still struggling to catch up with demand, reinforcing his belief that the industry remains early in a multi-year buildout rather than late in the cycle. His comment about not seeing any “dark GPUs” sitting idle captures how tight the market still is. From a portfolio perspective, Tusa continues to favor staying with the AI data center buildout trade into 2026. Several data center-exposed industrial names have pulled back, but he views those moves as valuation resets driven by sentiment rather than a deterioration in underlying demand. That reset has created a more attractive entry point than what investors were facing just a few months ago. His preferred setup is a barbell approach. On one side are growth-oriented names with direct exposure to AI infrastructure demand. On the other are idiosyncratic margin expansion stories with some data center leverage, such as Johnson Controls, where he sees earnings growing in the mid-teens to around twenty percent over the next few years at reasonable valuations. Beyond that, he also points to select industrial names with cheaper economic leverage, but the primary focus remains on data center-driven growth and margin expansion. The broader takeaway is that despite skepticism and overbuild chatter, real-world demand, orders, and construction tied to data centers continue to strengthen. From JPMorgan’s perspective, this cycle still has meaningful runway left and is unlikely to be nearing its end anytime soon. $NBIS $IREN $NVDA $ORCL $AMD $GOOGL

Jordan

56,476 Aufrufe • vor 7 Monaten