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"It just doesn't compute. And I think when things like this don't compute, it means that there is going to be a very fast reconciliation at some point, which is the Omega Candle and a fast run to $1 million [bitcoin]." - Samson Mow, CEO of JAN3

THE Bitcoin Podcast

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37,703 次观看 • 10 个月前 •via X (Twitter)

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"I'm still expecting Omega very soon... what concerns me is we're not getting that slow & steady rise, which means the rise is going to be far more violent simply because we're not going up gradually… And if it's not gradually, then it's sudden." Samson Mow CEO of JAN3 w/Walker⚡️

"I'm still expecting Omega very soon... what concerns me is we're not getting that slow & steady rise, which means the rise is going to be far more violent simply because we're not going up gradually… And if it's not gradually, then it's sudden." Samson Mow CEO of JAN3 w/Walker⚡️

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Today I had the pleasure of interviewing Samson Mow to discuss: 🔥What do we call a $1M candle? 🔥Where is Bitcoins Veblen Threshold? 🔥When will we see the Bitcoin Omega candle? 📺Check out my FULL interview with Samson Mow below.👇

Today I had the pleasure of interviewing Samson Mow to discuss: 🔥What do we call a $1M candle? 🔥Where is Bitcoins Veblen Threshold? 🔥When will we see the Bitcoin Omega candle? 📺Check out my FULL interview with Samson Mow below.👇

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SAMSON MOW: “it’s not gonna be a gradual slow increase to $1 million a #Bitcoin, but rather a very short and violent upheaval that sends us there in a matter of weeks to months.” 🚀

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Chris Haynes on Giannis future with the Bucks and believes he could be moved at some point: "When the losses keep compiling, Giannis is going to have to keep fielding these questions. Thats why its getting to a point he is tired of hearing it. The Bucks have to make a decision. Do you waste a players talent when you know what that player desire is and what you promised him? I don't think this will go away anytime soon. I think he could be moved at some point. Which point? That i don't know. This team is not good. They have to make a miraculous turn around."

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I'll let Noam Brown (OpenAI research) answer Yann's “told you so” again. There is nothing to add. There is no wall, there is no end in sight! "Now, we are in a world, like I said earlier, where the amount of compute that's going into pretraining for things large language models is very, very high. But the inference costs are very low. And there was a reasonable concern among various people that we were going to start seeing diminishing returns from AI progress because the costs and the amount of data that you need for pretraining would become so astronomical. And I think the really important takeaway from o1 is that that wall doesn't actually exist, that we can actually push this a lot further. Because, now, we can scale up inference compute. And there's so much room to scale up inference compute."

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RL is a powerful mechanism for training company-specific models on their unique work and data. This is what we do at Applied Compute. A key challenge is how to make RL efficient, because we need runs to be fast (delivered in days), cheap (scalable unit economics), and predictable (not just fast, but reliably fast). Here are some takeaways: • Synchronous RL is wasteful with time and compute. • Asynchronous RL is more efficient but introduces staleness, which causes learning instabilities. • Modeling and simulations can help analytically solve for what configuration leads to optimal efficiency. This allows us to rapidly prototype training configurations, without burning expensive compute cycles on trial runs. Two of our co-founders, Rhythm Garg 🚂 and Linden Li, discussed some of this research at AI Engineer recently, with a focus on the following subproblem: what is the highest throughput way to do RL given a maximum staleness and compute budget?

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I don't think there's a single franchise out there that has been as consistently mishandled as Halo. Like it gets to a point that it's almost impressive in a way, if it weren't so sad. It sucks to see the trend setter become the trend chaser, losing it's identity and just trying to be whatever is popular at the time. I don't think we'll ever get this back again. There really is something to be said for series like Dark Souls that know when to end.

I don't think there's a single franchise out there that has been as consistently mishandled as Halo. Like it gets to a point that it's almost impressive in a way, if it weren't so sad. It sucks to see the trend setter become the trend chaser, losing it's identity and just trying to be whatever is popular at the time. I don't think we'll ever get this back again. There really is something to be said for series like Dark Souls that know when to end.

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